株譜

AI 銘柄分析 · 10年

Elite Material Co., Ltd. / 台光電子材料股份有限公司 (台光電)

2383 · TWD · 分析基準日 2026-11-06

先端基板向け材料の成長と大型設備投資を考慮した10年評価

10年期待年率-1.37%
資本コスト11.50%
直近終値3,820.00 TWD2026-11-06

AIによるシナリオ分析です。基準日以降の出来事、株価や為替の変化は個別に確認が必要です。各数値は元の分析の単位と前提に従います。

分析の要約

高性能半導体や電子機器の基板向け材料を手掛けます。需要、製品価格、設備更新・増産投資、運転資本、株式報酬を5ケースで評価します。2026年9月末財務から11月6日までの残高は推計です。2026年10月に承認した投資予算は実支払額ではなく、融資枠の実行も未確認です。将来の利益・投資・配当は仮定で、現地源泉税、ETF経費、為替変動は含みません。出典は会社の2026年第3四半期報告と台湾取引所日報です。

事業

電子基板に用いられる銅張積層板や樹脂材料を製造します。

競争力・事業の質

先端用途の製品性能や顧客認証が強みになり得ますが、需要循環と投資回収に注意します。

業界と環境

半導体、サーバー、電子機器の需要と材料供給能力に左右されます。

財務・資本配分

増産予算、実際の投資支払、承認された融資枠と借入実行を区別します。

評価の前提と確認

会計上の利益だけでなく運転資本と維持・成長投資を差し引いた現金を評価します。

資本コストの前提

資本コスト
11.50%
label

illustrative required equity return for owner NPV (11.5%, unverified forward risk premium)

discount_basis

cashflows years = ACT/365.25 from 2026-11-06, fixed calendar ten-year horizon

事業別データ

事業別の内訳と、収録されている年度別データを確認できます。

事業別データを開く →

10年のシナリオ

シナリオごとの確率、期間内の株主還元・追加負担、終価です。金額は億TWD。株主の範囲や受取時点は各分析の前提を確認してください。

シナリオ確率株主還元・追加負担終価
悲観15.0%431.101,060.91
やや悲観25.0%1,214.733,792.76
中立35.0%3,152.369,454.58
やや強気18.0%5,309.0516,963.32
強気7.0%7,492.4923,704.04

悲観(確率 15.0%)

需要減少と投資負担で収益性と財務余力が低下するケース。

日付別キャッシュフロー

1
内容を開く
想定日

2026-12-08

year
0.087611225
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

future_monthly_revenue_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

Check issuer-exchange November sales; date is assumed.

2
内容を開く
想定日

2026-12-22

year
0.125941136
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

approved_capex_draw_execution_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

Distinguish board budget from signed commitments and actual disbursement.

3
内容を開く
想定日

2026-12-30

year
0.147843943
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

financing_facility_signature_draw_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

NT$350 oku is approval/limit, not assumed drawn debt.

4
内容を開く
想定日

2027-03-19

year
0.364134155
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

annual_financials_and_bank_reconciliation_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

Reconcile disclosed NI, cash, bank debt, SBC, capex and NCI; provisional publication date.

5
内容を開く
想定日

2027-05-20

year
0.533880903
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

predicted_dividend_declaration_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

No declaration is known as of 2026-11-06; confirm actual amount, holders and dates.

6
内容を開く
想定日

2027-06-25

year
0.632443532
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

expansion_capex_commitment_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

Confirm 2026/10/28 NT$986 oku authorization cumulative cash commitments vs actual spend.

7
内容を開く
想定日

2027-08-27

year
0.804928131
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

assumed_ex_dividend_rights_change

date_status

assumed

notes

Ex-date is a weekday adjusted heuristic, NOT announced; must recompute entitlement.

ex_date_assumed

2027-08-27

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

date_ex_date_confirmed
いいえ
ex_date_model_context

2027-08-27

8
内容を開く
想定日

2027-09-24

year
0.881587953
金額
86.698657836
amount_oku
86.698657836
種類

cash_dividend_to_original_shareholder_cohort

date_status

assumed

ex_date

2027-08-27

ex_date_assumed

2027-08-27

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

entitlement_rule

original cohort shares at the assumed ex-date / all dividend eligible shares

company_total_dividend_oku
86.698657836
original_cohort_share_count_at_ex_date
358321114
shares_eligible_for_dividend_at_ex_date
358321114
old_cohort_fraction_at_ex_date
1
notes

Forecast only. Taxes, including EWT ETF-level effective withholding, NOT deducted or asserted.

9
内容を開く
想定日

2027-10-15

year
0.93908282
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

assumed_sbc_share_issuance_non_cash

date_status

assumed

notes

New shares assumed issued to employees; no cash proceeds to original holders. Dilution applied once.

shares_assumed_issued
120000
issuance_proceeds_oku
0
sbc_expense_already_in_ebit_oku
4.67568
10
内容を開く
想定日

2028-03-20

year
1.368925394
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

annual_financials_and_bank_reconciliation_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

Reconcile disclosed NI, cash, bank debt, SBC, capex and NCI; provisional publication date.

11
内容を開く
想定日

2028-05-19

year
1.533196441
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

predicted_dividend_declaration_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

No declaration is known as of 2026-11-06; confirm actual amount, holders and dates.

12
内容を開く
想定日

2028-06-23

year
1.629021218
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

expansion_capex_commitment_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

Confirm 2026/10/28 NT$986 oku authorization cumulative cash commitments vs actual spend.

13
内容を開く
想定日

2028-08-28

year
1.80971937
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

assumed_ex_dividend_rights_change

date_status

assumed

notes

Ex-date is a weekday adjusted heuristic, NOT announced; must recompute entitlement.

ex_date_assumed

2028-08-28

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

date_ex_date_confirmed
いいえ
ex_date_model_context

2028-08-28

14
内容を開く
想定日

2028-09-22

year
1.87816564
金額
46.898847888
amount_oku
46.898847888
種類

cash_dividend_to_original_shareholder_cohort

date_status

assumed

ex_date

2028-08-28

ex_date_assumed

2028-08-28

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

entitlement_rule

original cohort shares at the assumed ex-date / all dividend eligible shares

company_total_dividend_oku
46.914554085
original_cohort_share_count_at_ex_date
358321114
shares_eligible_for_dividend_at_ex_date
358441114
old_cohort_fraction_at_ex_date
0.999665217
notes

Forecast only. Taxes, including EWT ETF-level effective withholding, NOT deducted or asserted.

15
内容を開く
想定日

2028-10-13

year
1.935660507
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

assumed_sbc_share_issuance_non_cash

date_status

assumed

notes

New shares assumed issued to employees; no cash proceeds to original holders. Dilution applied once.

shares_assumed_issued
120000
issuance_proceeds_oku
0
sbc_expense_already_in_ebit_oku
4.7691936
16
内容を開く
想定日

2029-03-20

year
2.368240931
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

annual_financials_and_bank_reconciliation_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

Reconcile disclosed NI, cash, bank debt, SBC, capex and NCI; provisional publication date.

17
内容を開く
想定日

2029-05-18

year
2.529774127
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

predicted_dividend_declaration_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

No declaration is known as of 2026-11-06; confirm actual amount, holders and dates.

18
内容を開く
想定日

2029-06-25

year
2.633812457
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

expansion_capex_commitment_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

Confirm 2026/10/28 NT$986 oku authorization cumulative cash commitments vs actual spend.

19
内容を開く
想定日

2029-08-28

year
2.809034908
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

assumed_ex_dividend_rights_change

date_status

assumed

notes

Ex-date is a weekday adjusted heuristic, NOT announced; must recompute entitlement.

ex_date_assumed

2029-08-28

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

date_ex_date_confirmed
いいえ
ex_date_model_context

2029-08-28

20
内容を開く
想定日

2029-09-24

year
2.882956879
金額
19.076856279
amount_oku
19.076856279
種類

cash_dividend_to_original_shareholder_cohort

date_status

assumed

ex_date

2029-08-28

ex_date_assumed

2029-08-28

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

entitlement_rule

original cohort shares at the assumed ex-date / all dividend eligible shares

company_total_dividend_oku
19.089633772
original_cohort_share_count_at_ex_date
358321114
shares_eligible_for_dividend_at_ex_date
358561114
old_cohort_fraction_at_ex_date
0.999330658
notes

Forecast only. Taxes, including EWT ETF-level effective withholding, NOT deducted or asserted.

21
内容を開く
想定日

2029-10-15

year
2.940451745
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

assumed_sbc_share_issuance_non_cash

date_status

assumed

notes

New shares assumed issued to employees; no cash proceeds to original holders. Dilution applied once.

shares_assumed_issued
120000
issuance_proceeds_oku
0
sbc_expense_already_in_ebit_oku
4.864577472
22
内容を開く
想定日

2030-03-20

year
3.367556468
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

annual_financials_and_bank_reconciliation_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

Reconcile disclosed NI, cash, bank debt, SBC, capex and NCI; provisional publication date.

23
内容を開く
想定日

2030-05-20

year
3.534565366
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

predicted_dividend_declaration_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

No declaration is known as of 2026-11-06; confirm actual amount, holders and dates.

24
内容を開く
想定日

2030-06-25

year
3.633127995
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

expansion_capex_commitment_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

Confirm 2026/10/28 NT$986 oku authorization cumulative cash commitments vs actual spend.

25
内容を開く
想定日

2030-08-28

year
3.808350445
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

assumed_ex_dividend_rights_change

date_status

assumed

notes

Ex-date is a weekday adjusted heuristic, NOT announced; must recompute entitlement.

ex_date_assumed

2030-08-28

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

date_ex_date_confirmed
いいえ
ex_date_model_context

2030-08-28

26
内容を開く
想定日

2030-09-24

year
3.882272416
金額
25.683885332
amount_oku
25.683885332
種類

cash_dividend_to_original_shareholder_cohort

date_status

assumed

ex_date

2030-08-28

ex_date_assumed

2030-08-28

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

entitlement_rule

original cohort shares at the assumed ex-date / all dividend eligible shares

company_total_dividend_oku
25.709689557
original_cohort_share_count_at_ex_date
358321114
shares_eligible_for_dividend_at_ex_date
358681114
old_cohort_fraction_at_ex_date
0.998996323
notes

Forecast only. Taxes, including EWT ETF-level effective withholding, NOT deducted or asserted.

27
内容を開く
想定日

2030-10-15

year
3.939767283
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

assumed_sbc_share_issuance_non_cash

date_status

assumed

notes

New shares assumed issued to employees; no cash proceeds to original holders. Dilution applied once.

shares_assumed_issued
120000
issuance_proceeds_oku
0
sbc_expense_already_in_ebit_oku
4.961869021
28
内容を開く
想定日

2031-03-20

year
4.366872005
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

annual_financials_and_bank_reconciliation_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

Reconcile disclosed NI, cash, bank debt, SBC, capex and NCI; provisional publication date.

29
内容を開く
想定日

2031-05-20

year
4.533880903
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

predicted_dividend_declaration_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

No declaration is known as of 2026-11-06; confirm actual amount, holders and dates.

30
内容を開く
想定日

2031-08-28

year
4.807665982
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

assumed_ex_dividend_rights_change

date_status

assumed

notes

Ex-date is a weekday adjusted heuristic, NOT announced; must recompute entitlement.

ex_date_assumed

2031-08-28

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

date_ex_date_confirmed
いいえ
ex_date_model_context

2031-08-28

31
内容を開く
想定日

2031-09-24

year
4.881587953
金額
29.698115716
amount_oku
29.698115716
種類

cash_dividend_to_original_shareholder_cohort

date_status

assumed

ex_date

2031-08-28

ex_date_assumed

2031-08-28

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

entitlement_rule

original cohort shares at the assumed ex-date / all dividend eligible shares

company_total_dividend_oku
29.737898735
original_cohort_share_count_at_ex_date
358321114
shares_eligible_for_dividend_at_ex_date
358801114
old_cohort_fraction_at_ex_date
0.998662212
notes

Forecast only. Taxes, including EWT ETF-level effective withholding, NOT deducted or asserted.

32
内容を開く
想定日

2031-10-15

year
4.93908282
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

assumed_sbc_share_issuance_non_cash

date_status

assumed

notes

New shares assumed issued to employees; no cash proceeds to original holders. Dilution applied once.

shares_assumed_issued
120000
issuance_proceeds_oku
0
sbc_expense_already_in_ebit_oku
5.061106402
33
内容を開く
想定日

2032-03-19

year
5.366187543
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

annual_financials_and_bank_reconciliation_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

Reconcile disclosed NI, cash, bank debt, SBC, capex and NCI; provisional publication date.

34
内容を開く
想定日

2032-05-20

year
5.535934292
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

predicted_dividend_declaration_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

No declaration is known as of 2026-11-06; confirm actual amount, holders and dates.

35
内容を開く
想定日

2032-08-27

year
5.80698152
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

assumed_ex_dividend_rights_change

date_status

assumed

notes

Ex-date is a weekday adjusted heuristic, NOT announced; must recompute entitlement.

ex_date_assumed

2032-08-27

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

date_ex_date_confirmed
いいえ
ex_date_model_context

2032-08-27

36
内容を開く
想定日

2032-09-24

year
5.883641342
金額
36.505140618
amount_oku
36.505140618
種類

cash_dividend_to_original_shareholder_cohort

date_status

assumed

ex_date

2032-08-27

ex_date_assumed

2032-08-27

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

entitlement_rule

original cohort shares at the assumed ex-date / all dividend eligible shares

company_total_dividend_oku
36.566267589
original_cohort_share_count_at_ex_date
358321114
shares_eligible_for_dividend_at_ex_date
358921114
old_cohort_fraction_at_ex_date
0.998328323
notes

Forecast only. Taxes, including EWT ETF-level effective withholding, NOT deducted or asserted.

37
内容を開く
想定日

2032-10-15

year
5.941136208
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

assumed_sbc_share_issuance_non_cash

date_status

assumed

notes

New shares assumed issued to employees; no cash proceeds to original holders. Dilution applied once.

shares_assumed_issued
120000
issuance_proceeds_oku
0
sbc_expense_already_in_ebit_oku
5.16232853
38
内容を開く
想定日

2033-03-18

year
6.362765229
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

annual_financials_and_bank_reconciliation_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

Reconcile disclosed NI, cash, bank debt, SBC, capex and NCI; provisional publication date.

39
内容を開く
想定日

2033-05-20

year
6.535249829
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

predicted_dividend_declaration_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

No declaration is known as of 2026-11-06; confirm actual amount, holders and dates.

40
内容を開く
想定日

2033-08-26

year
6.803559206
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

assumed_ex_dividend_rights_change

date_status

assumed

notes

Ex-date is a weekday adjusted heuristic, NOT announced; must recompute entitlement.

ex_date_assumed

2033-08-26

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

date_ex_date_confirmed
いいえ
ex_date_model_context

2033-08-26

41
内容を開く
想定日

2033-09-23

year
6.880219028
金額
38.732220133
amount_oku
38.732220133
種類

cash_dividend_to_original_shareholder_cohort

date_status

assumed

ex_date

2033-08-26

ex_date_assumed

2033-08-26

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

entitlement_rule

original cohort shares at the assumed ex-date / all dividend eligible shares

company_total_dividend_oku
38.810047527
original_cohort_share_count_at_ex_date
358321114
shares_eligible_for_dividend_at_ex_date
359041114
old_cohort_fraction_at_ex_date
0.997994659
notes

Forecast only. Taxes, including EWT ETF-level effective withholding, NOT deducted or asserted.

42
内容を開く
想定日

2033-10-14

year
6.937713895
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

assumed_sbc_share_issuance_non_cash

date_status

assumed

notes

New shares assumed issued to employees; no cash proceeds to original holders. Dilution applied once.

shares_assumed_issued
120000
issuance_proceeds_oku
0
sbc_expense_already_in_ebit_oku
5.265575101
43
内容を開く
想定日

2034-03-20

year
7.367556468
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

annual_financials_and_bank_reconciliation_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

Reconcile disclosed NI, cash, bank debt, SBC, capex and NCI; provisional publication date.

44
内容を開く
想定日

2034-05-19

year
7.531827515
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

predicted_dividend_declaration_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

No declaration is known as of 2026-11-06; confirm actual amount, holders and dates.

45
内容を開く
想定日

2034-08-28

year
7.808350445
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

assumed_ex_dividend_rights_change

date_status

assumed

notes

Ex-date is a weekday adjusted heuristic, NOT announced; must recompute entitlement.

ex_date_assumed

2034-08-28

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

date_ex_date_confirmed
いいえ
ex_date_model_context

2034-08-28

46
内容を開く
想定日

2034-09-22

year
7.876796715
金額
45.01502363
amount_oku
45.01502363
種類

cash_dividend_to_original_shareholder_cohort

date_status

assumed

ex_date

2034-08-28

ex_date_assumed

2034-08-28

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

entitlement_rule

original cohort shares at the assumed ex-date / all dividend eligible shares

company_total_dividend_oku
45.120550819
original_cohort_share_count_at_ex_date
358321114
shares_eligible_for_dividend_at_ex_date
359161114
old_cohort_fraction_at_ex_date
0.997661217
notes

Forecast only. Taxes, including EWT ETF-level effective withholding, NOT deducted or asserted.

47
内容を開く
想定日

2034-10-13

year
7.934291581
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

assumed_sbc_share_issuance_non_cash

date_status

assumed

notes

New shares assumed issued to employees; no cash proceeds to original holders. Dilution applied once.

shares_assumed_issued
120000
issuance_proceeds_oku
0
sbc_expense_already_in_ebit_oku
5.370886603
48
内容を開く
想定日

2035-03-20

year
8.366872005
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

annual_financials_and_bank_reconciliation_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

Reconcile disclosed NI, cash, bank debt, SBC, capex and NCI; provisional publication date.

49
内容を開く
想定日

2035-05-18

year
8.528405202
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

predicted_dividend_declaration_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

No declaration is known as of 2026-11-06; confirm actual amount, holders and dates.

50
内容を開く
想定日

2035-08-28

year
8.807665982
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

assumed_ex_dividend_rights_change

date_status

assumed

notes

Ex-date is a weekday adjusted heuristic, NOT announced; must recompute entitlement.

ex_date_assumed

2035-08-28

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

date_ex_date_confirmed
いいえ
ex_date_model_context

2035-08-28

51
内容を開く
想定日

2035-09-24

year
8.881587953
金額
47.883900966
amount_oku
47.883900966
種類

cash_dividend_to_original_shareholder_cohort

date_status

assumed

ex_date

2035-08-28

ex_date_assumed

2035-08-28

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

entitlement_rule

original cohort shares at the assumed ex-date / all dividend eligible shares

company_total_dividend_oku
48.012189652
original_cohort_share_count_at_ex_date
358321114
shares_eligible_for_dividend_at_ex_date
359281114
old_cohort_fraction_at_ex_date
0.997327998
notes

Forecast only. Taxes, including EWT ETF-level effective withholding, NOT deducted or asserted.

52
内容を開く
想定日

2035-10-15

year
8.93908282
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

assumed_sbc_share_issuance_non_cash

date_status

assumed

notes

New shares assumed issued to employees; no cash proceeds to original holders. Dilution applied once.

shares_assumed_issued
120000
issuance_proceeds_oku
0
sbc_expense_already_in_ebit_oku
5.478304335
53
内容を開く
想定日

2036-03-20

year
9.368925394
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

annual_financials_and_bank_reconciliation_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

Reconcile disclosed NI, cash, bank debt, SBC, capex and NCI; provisional publication date.

54
内容を開く
想定日

2036-05-20

year
9.535934292
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

predicted_dividend_declaration_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

No declaration is known as of 2026-11-06; confirm actual amount, holders and dates.

55
内容を開く
想定日

2036-08-28

year
9.80971937
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

assumed_ex_dividend_rights_change

date_status

assumed

notes

Ex-date is a weekday adjusted heuristic, NOT announced; must recompute entitlement.

ex_date_assumed

2036-08-28

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

date_ex_date_confirmed
いいえ
ex_date_model_context

2036-08-28

56
内容を開く
想定日

2036-09-24

year
9.883641342
金額
54.903037882
amount_oku
54.903037882
種類

cash_dividend_to_original_shareholder_cohort

date_status

assumed

ex_date

2036-08-28

ex_date_assumed

2036-08-28

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

entitlement_rule

original cohort shares at the assumed ex-date / all dividend eligible shares

company_total_dividend_oku
55.068518727
original_cohort_share_count_at_ex_date
358321114
shares_eligible_for_dividend_at_ex_date
359401114
old_cohort_fraction_at_ex_date
0.996995001
notes

Forecast only. Taxes, including EWT ETF-level effective withholding, NOT deducted or asserted.

57
内容を開く
想定日

2036-10-15

year
9.941136208
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

assumed_sbc_share_issuance_non_cash

date_status

assumed

notes

New shares assumed issued to employees; no cash proceeds to original holders. Dilution applied once.

shares_assumed_issued
101967
issuance_proceeds_oku
0
sbc_expense_already_in_ebit_oku
4.748153194

その他の数値・前提

キャッシュフローの算出方法

timed_holder_cashflows_v1

basis_ownership

original Nov06 2026 common-share holder cohort, no future hypothetical tender buybacks

forecast_assumptions
内容を開く
stub_sales
360
stub_margin
0.15
annual_sales
内容を開く
1
1900
2
1700
3
1800
4
1900
5
2100
6
2200
7
2300
8
2400
9
2500
10
2550
annual_margin
内容を開く
1
0.16
2
0.08
3
0.1
4
0.11
5
0.12
6
0.12
7
0.13
8
0.13
9
0.14
10
0.14
tax
0.25
maint_sales_rate
0.03
da_sales_rate
0.024
nwc_ratio
0.3
expansion_plan_ratio
0.65
later_growth_capex_ratio
0.018
dividend_prior_ni_ratio
0.22
sbc_shares_annual
120000
sbc_reference_growth
0.02
interest_rate
0.053
terminal_growth
0
terminal_margin
0.12
terminal_discount_rate
0.135
terminal_growth_capex_ratio
0.023
minimum_operating_cash_oku
230
periods
内容を開く
1
内容を開く
period_index
0
calendar_year
2026
label

2026_initial_55d

開始日

2026-11-07

終了日

2026-12-31

days
55
days_in_calendar_year
365
fraction_of_calendar_year
0.150684932
source_status

MODEL_ASSUMPTION

売上高
360
annualized_revenue_reference_oku
2389.090909091
営業利益率
15.00%
営業利益(億)
54
bank_interest_expense_oku
3.536659129
min_cash_interest_income_oku
0.277260274
net_finance_income_oku
-3.259398855
profit_before_tax_oku
50.740601145
effective_tax_rate_assumed
0.25
income_tax_expense_oku
12.685150286
consolidated_net_income_oku
38.055450858
nci_net_income_oku
-0.007534247
parent_common_net_income_oku
38.062985105
employee_cash_bonus_expense_in_margin_note

Cash employee bonuses presumed included in operating expenses and NI; not added back.

equity_settled_sbc_expense_in_ebit_oku
0
equity_settled_sbc_cfo_addback_oku
0
depreciation_amortization_oku
8.64
change_in_operating_working_capital_cash_use_oku
36.72
operating_cashflow_estimated_oku
9.975450858
maintenance_capex_cash_oku
10.8
expansion_capex_cash_oku
44.863
capex_total_cash_oku
55.663
lease_principal_cash_oku
0.138630137
fcf_before_dividends_and_financing_oku
-45.826179278
gross_company_dividend_paid_oku
0
original_holder_dividend_received_oku
0
common_buyback_company_spend_oku
0
old_holder_buyback_cash_received_oku
0
new_equity_cash_proceeds_oku
0
bank_borrowing_cash_in_oku
0
bank_debt_repayment_cash_out_oku
35.745663961
opening_cash_oku
311.571843239
ending_cash_oku
230
opening_bank_debt_oku
442.84068
ending_bank_debt_oku
407.095016039
opening_parent_equity_oku
793.574243239
ending_parent_equity_oku
831.637228345
opening_nci_equity_oku
-0.24861
ending_nci_equity_oku
-0.256144247
opening_operating_nwc_oku
628.45434
ending_operating_nwc_oku
665.17434
opening_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
new_lease_liability_oku
0.138630137
ending_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
opening_company_common_shares
358321114
new_employees_sbc_common_shares
0
issuer_buyback_shares
0
ending_company_common_shares
358321114
original_holder_shares_after_transactions
358321114
original_holder_ownership_fraction_end
1
issued_sbc_fair_value_reference_twd
3820
dividend_basis_parent_net_income_previous_calendar_year_oku
0
dividend_rate_on_prior_fiscal_income_assumed
0
dividend_declaration_date_assumed
未確認
dividend_ex_date
未確認
dividend_ex_date_confirmed
未確認
dividend_ex_date_status
未確認
dividend_ex_date_assumed
未確認
dividend_cash_pay_date_assumed
未確認
sources
内容を開く
1

S04

2

S05

3

S06

4

S07

5

S08

6

S09

2
内容を開く
period_index
1
calendar_year
2027
label

2027

開始日

2027-01-01

終了日

2027-12-31

days
365
days_in_calendar_year
365
fraction_of_calendar_year
1
source_status

MODEL_ASSUMPTION

売上高
1900
annualized_revenue_reference_oku
1900
営業利益率
16.00%
営業利益(億)
304
bank_interest_expense_oku
21.57603585
min_cash_interest_income_oku
1.84
net_finance_income_oku
-19.73603585
profit_before_tax_oku
284.26396415
effective_tax_rate_assumed
0.25
income_tax_expense_oku
71.065991037
consolidated_net_income_oku
213.197973112
nci_net_income_oku
-0.05
parent_common_net_income_oku
213.247973112
employee_cash_bonus_expense_in_margin_note

Cash employee bonuses presumed included in operating expenses and NI; not added back.

equity_settled_sbc_expense_in_ebit_oku
4.67568
equity_settled_sbc_cfo_addback_oku
4.67568
depreciation_amortization_oku
45.6
change_in_operating_working_capital_cash_use_oku
-48.599256
operating_cashflow_estimated_oku
312.072909112
maintenance_capex_cash_oku
57
expansion_capex_cash_oku
179.452
capex_total_cash_oku
236.452
lease_principal_cash_oku
0.92
fcf_before_dividends_and_financing_oku
74.700909112
gross_company_dividend_paid_oku
86.698657836
original_holder_dividend_received_oku
86.698657836
common_buyback_company_spend_oku
0
old_holder_buyback_cash_received_oku
0
new_equity_cash_proceeds_oku
0
bank_borrowing_cash_in_oku
11.997748723
bank_debt_repayment_cash_out_oku
0
opening_cash_oku
230
ending_cash_oku
230
opening_bank_debt_oku
407.095016039
ending_bank_debt_oku
419.092764762
opening_parent_equity_oku
831.637228345
ending_parent_equity_oku
962.862223621
opening_nci_equity_oku
-0.256144247
ending_nci_equity_oku
-0.306144247
opening_operating_nwc_oku
665.17434
ending_operating_nwc_oku
616.575084
opening_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
new_lease_liability_oku
0.92
ending_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
opening_company_common_shares
358321114
new_employees_sbc_common_shares
120000
issuer_buyback_shares
0
ending_company_common_shares
358441114
original_holder_shares_after_transactions
358321114
original_holder_ownership_fraction_end
0.999665217
issued_sbc_fair_value_reference_twd
3896.4
dividend_basis_parent_net_income_previous_calendar_year_oku
394.084808344
dividend_rate_on_prior_fiscal_income_assumed
0.22
dividend_declaration_date_assumed

2027-05-20

dividend_ex_date

2027-08-27

dividend_ex_date_confirmed
未確認
dividend_ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

dividend_ex_date_assumed

2027-08-27

dividend_cash_pay_date_assumed

2027-09-24

sources
内容を開く
1

S04

2

S05

3

S06

4

S07

5

S08

6

S09

3
内容を開く
period_index
2
calendar_year
2028
label

2028

開始日

2028-01-01

終了日

2028-12-31

days
366
days_in_calendar_year
366
fraction_of_calendar_year
1
source_status

MODEL_ASSUMPTION

売上高
1700
annualized_revenue_reference_oku
1700
営業利益率
8.00%
営業利益(億)
136
bank_interest_expense_oku
22.211916532
min_cash_interest_income_oku
1.84
net_finance_income_oku
-20.371916532
profit_before_tax_oku
115.628083468
effective_tax_rate_assumed
0.25
income_tax_expense_oku
28.907020867
consolidated_net_income_oku
86.721062601
nci_net_income_oku
-0.05
parent_common_net_income_oku
86.771062601
employee_cash_bonus_expense_in_margin_note

Cash employee bonuses presumed included in operating expenses and NI; not added back.

equity_settled_sbc_expense_in_ebit_oku
4.7691936
equity_settled_sbc_cfo_addback_oku
4.7691936
depreciation_amortization_oku
40.8
change_in_operating_working_capital_cash_use_oku
-60
operating_cashflow_estimated_oku
192.290256201
maintenance_capex_cash_oku
51
expansion_capex_cash_oku
166.634
capex_total_cash_oku
217.634
lease_principal_cash_oku
0.92
fcf_before_dividends_and_financing_oku
-26.263743799
gross_company_dividend_paid_oku
46.914554085
original_holder_dividend_received_oku
46.898847888
common_buyback_company_spend_oku
0
old_holder_buyback_cash_received_oku
0
new_equity_cash_proceeds_oku
0
bank_borrowing_cash_in_oku
73.178297884
bank_debt_repayment_cash_out_oku
0
opening_cash_oku
230
ending_cash_oku
230
opening_bank_debt_oku
419.092764762
ending_bank_debt_oku
492.271062646
opening_parent_equity_oku
962.862223621
ending_parent_equity_oku
1007.487925737
opening_nci_equity_oku
-0.306144247
ending_nci_equity_oku
-0.356144247
opening_operating_nwc_oku
616.575084
ending_operating_nwc_oku
556.575084
opening_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
new_lease_liability_oku
0.92
ending_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
opening_company_common_shares
358441114
new_employees_sbc_common_shares
120000
issuer_buyback_shares
0
ending_company_common_shares
358561114
original_holder_shares_after_transactions
358321114
original_holder_ownership_fraction_end
0.999330658
issued_sbc_fair_value_reference_twd
3974.328
dividend_basis_parent_net_income_previous_calendar_year_oku
213.247973112
dividend_rate_on_prior_fiscal_income_assumed
0.22
dividend_declaration_date_assumed

2028-05-19

dividend_ex_date

2028-08-28

dividend_ex_date_confirmed
未確認
dividend_ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

dividend_ex_date_assumed

2028-08-28

dividend_cash_pay_date_assumed

2028-09-22

sources
内容を開く
1

S04

2

S05

3

S06

4

S07

5

S08

6

S09

4
内容を開く
period_index
3
calendar_year
2029
label

2029

開始日

2029-01-01

終了日

2029-12-31

days
365
days_in_calendar_year
365
fraction_of_calendar_year
1
source_status

MODEL_ASSUMPTION

売上高
1800
annualized_revenue_reference_oku
1800
営業利益率
10.00%
営業利益(億)
180
bank_interest_expense_oku
26.09036632
min_cash_interest_income_oku
1.84
net_finance_income_oku
-24.25036632
profit_before_tax_oku
155.74963368
effective_tax_rate_assumed
0.25
income_tax_expense_oku
38.93740842
consolidated_net_income_oku
116.81222526
nci_net_income_oku
-0.05
parent_common_net_income_oku
116.86222526
employee_cash_bonus_expense_in_margin_note

Cash employee bonuses presumed included in operating expenses and NI; not added back.

equity_settled_sbc_expense_in_ebit_oku
4.864577472
equity_settled_sbc_cfo_addback_oku
4.864577472
depreciation_amortization_oku
43.2
change_in_operating_working_capital_cash_use_oku
30
operating_cashflow_estimated_oku
134.876802732
maintenance_capex_cash_oku
54
expansion_capex_cash_oku
147.407
capex_total_cash_oku
201.407
lease_principal_cash_oku
0.92
fcf_before_dividends_and_financing_oku
-67.450197268
gross_company_dividend_paid_oku
19.089633772
original_holder_dividend_received_oku
19.076856279
common_buyback_company_spend_oku
0
old_holder_buyback_cash_received_oku
0
new_equity_cash_proceeds_oku
0
bank_borrowing_cash_in_oku
86.53983104
bank_debt_repayment_cash_out_oku
0
opening_cash_oku
230
ending_cash_oku
230
opening_bank_debt_oku
492.271062646
ending_bank_debt_oku
578.810893687
opening_parent_equity_oku
1007.487925737
ending_parent_equity_oku
1110.125094697
opening_nci_equity_oku
-0.356144247
ending_nci_equity_oku
-0.406144247
opening_operating_nwc_oku
556.575084
ending_operating_nwc_oku
586.575084
opening_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
new_lease_liability_oku
0.92
ending_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
opening_company_common_shares
358561114
new_employees_sbc_common_shares
120000
issuer_buyback_shares
0
ending_company_common_shares
358681114
original_holder_shares_after_transactions
358321114
original_holder_ownership_fraction_end
0.998996323
issued_sbc_fair_value_reference_twd
4053.81456
dividend_basis_parent_net_income_previous_calendar_year_oku
86.771062601
dividend_rate_on_prior_fiscal_income_assumed
0.22
dividend_declaration_date_assumed

2029-05-18

dividend_ex_date

2029-08-28

dividend_ex_date_confirmed
未確認
dividend_ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

dividend_ex_date_assumed

2029-08-28

dividend_cash_pay_date_assumed

2029-09-24

sources
内容を開く
1

S04

2

S05

3

S06

4

S07

5

S08

6

S09

5
内容を開く
period_index
4
calendar_year
2030
label

2030

開始日

2030-01-01

終了日

2030-12-31

days
365
days_in_calendar_year
365
fraction_of_calendar_year
1
source_status

MODEL_ASSUMPTION

売上高
1900
annualized_revenue_reference_oku
1900
営業利益率
11.00%
営業利益(億)
209
bank_interest_expense_oku
30.676977365
min_cash_interest_income_oku
1.84
net_finance_income_oku
-28.836977365
profit_before_tax_oku
180.163022635
effective_tax_rate_assumed
0.25
income_tax_expense_oku
45.040755659
consolidated_net_income_oku
135.122266976
nci_net_income_oku
-0.05
parent_common_net_income_oku
135.172266976
employee_cash_bonus_expense_in_margin_note

Cash employee bonuses presumed included in operating expenses and NI; not added back.

equity_settled_sbc_expense_in_ebit_oku
4.961869021
equity_settled_sbc_cfo_addback_oku
4.961869021
depreciation_amortization_oku
45.6
change_in_operating_working_capital_cash_use_oku
30
operating_cashflow_estimated_oku
155.684135997
maintenance_capex_cash_oku
57
expansion_capex_cash_oku
102.544
capex_total_cash_oku
159.544
lease_principal_cash_oku
0.92
fcf_before_dividends_and_financing_oku
-4.779864003
gross_company_dividend_paid_oku
25.709689557
original_holder_dividend_received_oku
25.683885332
common_buyback_company_spend_oku
0
old_holder_buyback_cash_received_oku
0
new_equity_cash_proceeds_oku
0
bank_borrowing_cash_in_oku
30.48955356
bank_debt_repayment_cash_out_oku
0
opening_cash_oku
230
ending_cash_oku
230
opening_bank_debt_oku
578.810893687
ending_bank_debt_oku
609.300447247
opening_parent_equity_oku
1110.125094697
ending_parent_equity_oku
1224.549541137
opening_nci_equity_oku
-0.406144247
ending_nci_equity_oku
-0.456144247
opening_operating_nwc_oku
586.575084
ending_operating_nwc_oku
616.575084
opening_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
new_lease_liability_oku
0.92
ending_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
opening_company_common_shares
358681114
new_employees_sbc_common_shares
120000
issuer_buyback_shares
0
ending_company_common_shares
358801114
original_holder_shares_after_transactions
358321114
original_holder_ownership_fraction_end
0.998662212
issued_sbc_fair_value_reference_twd
4134.8908512
dividend_basis_parent_net_income_previous_calendar_year_oku
116.86222526
dividend_rate_on_prior_fiscal_income_assumed
0.22
dividend_declaration_date_assumed

2030-05-20

dividend_ex_date

2030-08-28

dividend_ex_date_confirmed
未確認
dividend_ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

dividend_ex_date_assumed

2030-08-28

dividend_cash_pay_date_assumed

2030-09-24

sources
内容を開く
1

S04

2

S05

3

S06

4

S07

5

S08

6

S09

6
内容を開く
period_index
5
calendar_year
2031
label

2031

開始日

2031-01-01

終了日

2031-12-31

days
365
days_in_calendar_year
365
fraction_of_calendar_year
1
source_status

MODEL_ASSUMPTION

売上高
2100
annualized_revenue_reference_oku
2100
営業利益率
12.00%
営業利益(億)
252
bank_interest_expense_oku
32.292923704
min_cash_interest_income_oku
1.84
net_finance_income_oku
-30.452923704
profit_before_tax_oku
221.547076296
effective_tax_rate_assumed
0.25
income_tax_expense_oku
55.386769074
consolidated_net_income_oku
166.160307222
nci_net_income_oku
-0.05
parent_common_net_income_oku
166.210307222
employee_cash_bonus_expense_in_margin_note

Cash employee bonuses presumed included in operating expenses and NI; not added back.

equity_settled_sbc_expense_in_ebit_oku
5.061106402
equity_settled_sbc_cfo_addback_oku
5.061106402
depreciation_amortization_oku
50.4
change_in_operating_working_capital_cash_use_oku
60
operating_cashflow_estimated_oku
161.621413624
maintenance_capex_cash_oku
63
expansion_capex_cash_oku
37.8
capex_total_cash_oku
100.8
lease_principal_cash_oku
0.92
fcf_before_dividends_and_financing_oku
59.901413624
gross_company_dividend_paid_oku
29.737898735
original_holder_dividend_received_oku
29.698115716
common_buyback_company_spend_oku
0
old_holder_buyback_cash_received_oku
0
new_equity_cash_proceeds_oku
0
bank_borrowing_cash_in_oku
0
bank_debt_repayment_cash_out_oku
30.163514889
opening_cash_oku
230
ending_cash_oku
230
opening_bank_debt_oku
609.300447247
ending_bank_debt_oku
579.136932357
opening_parent_equity_oku
1224.549541137
ending_parent_equity_oku
1366.083056026
opening_nci_equity_oku
-0.456144247
ending_nci_equity_oku
-0.506144247
opening_operating_nwc_oku
616.575084
ending_operating_nwc_oku
676.575084
opening_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
new_lease_liability_oku
0.92
ending_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
opening_company_common_shares
358801114
new_employees_sbc_common_shares
120000
issuer_buyback_shares
0
ending_company_common_shares
358921114
original_holder_shares_after_transactions
358321114
original_holder_ownership_fraction_end
0.998328323
issued_sbc_fair_value_reference_twd
4217.588668224
dividend_basis_parent_net_income_previous_calendar_year_oku
135.172266976
dividend_rate_on_prior_fiscal_income_assumed
0.22
dividend_declaration_date_assumed

2031-05-20

dividend_ex_date

2031-08-28

dividend_ex_date_confirmed
未確認
dividend_ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

dividend_ex_date_assumed

2031-08-28

dividend_cash_pay_date_assumed

2031-09-24

sources
内容を開く
1

S04

2

S05

3

S06

4

S07

5

S08

6

S09

7
内容を開く
period_index
6
calendar_year
2032
label

2032

開始日

2032-01-01

終了日

2032-12-31

days
366
days_in_calendar_year
366
fraction_of_calendar_year
1
source_status

MODEL_ASSUMPTION

売上高
2200
annualized_revenue_reference_oku
2200
営業利益率
12.00%
営業利益(億)
264
bank_interest_expense_oku
30.694257415
min_cash_interest_income_oku
1.84
net_finance_income_oku
-28.854257415
profit_before_tax_oku
235.145742585
effective_tax_rate_assumed
0.25
income_tax_expense_oku
58.786435646
consolidated_net_income_oku
176.359306939
nci_net_income_oku
-0.05
parent_common_net_income_oku
176.409306939
employee_cash_bonus_expense_in_margin_note

Cash employee bonuses presumed included in operating expenses and NI; not added back.

equity_settled_sbc_expense_in_ebit_oku
5.16232853
equity_settled_sbc_cfo_addback_oku
5.16232853
depreciation_amortization_oku
52.8
change_in_operating_working_capital_cash_use_oku
30
operating_cashflow_estimated_oku
204.321635469
maintenance_capex_cash_oku
66
expansion_capex_cash_oku
39.6
capex_total_cash_oku
105.6
lease_principal_cash_oku
0.92
fcf_before_dividends_and_financing_oku
97.801635469
gross_company_dividend_paid_oku
36.566267589
original_holder_dividend_received_oku
36.505140618
common_buyback_company_spend_oku
0
old_holder_buyback_cash_received_oku
0
new_equity_cash_proceeds_oku
0
bank_borrowing_cash_in_oku
0
bank_debt_repayment_cash_out_oku
61.23536788
opening_cash_oku
230
ending_cash_oku
230
opening_bank_debt_oku
579.136932357
ending_bank_debt_oku
517.901564478
opening_parent_equity_oku
1366.083056026
ending_parent_equity_oku
1511.088423906
opening_nci_equity_oku
-0.506144247
ending_nci_equity_oku
-0.556144247
opening_operating_nwc_oku
676.575084
ending_operating_nwc_oku
706.575084
opening_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
new_lease_liability_oku
0.92
ending_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
opening_company_common_shares
358921114
new_employees_sbc_common_shares
120000
issuer_buyback_shares
0
ending_company_common_shares
359041114
original_holder_shares_after_transactions
358321114
original_holder_ownership_fraction_end
0.997994659
issued_sbc_fair_value_reference_twd
4301.940441588
dividend_basis_parent_net_income_previous_calendar_year_oku
166.210307222
dividend_rate_on_prior_fiscal_income_assumed
0.22
dividend_declaration_date_assumed

2032-05-20

dividend_ex_date

2032-08-27

dividend_ex_date_confirmed
未確認
dividend_ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

dividend_ex_date_assumed

2032-08-27

dividend_cash_pay_date_assumed

2032-09-24

sources
内容を開く
1

S04

2

S05

3

S06

4

S07

5

S08

6

S09

8
内容を開く
period_index
7
calendar_year
2033
label

2033

開始日

2033-01-01

終了日

2033-12-31

days
365
days_in_calendar_year
365
fraction_of_calendar_year
1
source_status

MODEL_ASSUMPTION

売上高
2300
annualized_revenue_reference_oku
2300
営業利益率
13.00%
営業利益(億)
299
bank_interest_expense_oku
27.448782917
min_cash_interest_income_oku
1.84
net_finance_income_oku
-25.608782917
profit_before_tax_oku
273.391217083
effective_tax_rate_assumed
0.25
income_tax_expense_oku
68.347804271
consolidated_net_income_oku
205.043412812
nci_net_income_oku
-0.05
parent_common_net_income_oku
205.093412812
employee_cash_bonus_expense_in_margin_note

Cash employee bonuses presumed included in operating expenses and NI; not added back.

equity_settled_sbc_expense_in_ebit_oku
5.265575101
equity_settled_sbc_cfo_addback_oku
5.265575101
depreciation_amortization_oku
55.2
change_in_operating_working_capital_cash_use_oku
30
operating_cashflow_estimated_oku
235.508987913
maintenance_capex_cash_oku
69
expansion_capex_cash_oku
41.4
capex_total_cash_oku
110.4
lease_principal_cash_oku
0.92
fcf_before_dividends_and_financing_oku
124.188987913
gross_company_dividend_paid_oku
38.810047527
original_holder_dividend_received_oku
38.732220133
common_buyback_company_spend_oku
0
old_holder_buyback_cash_received_oku
0
new_equity_cash_proceeds_oku
0
bank_borrowing_cash_in_oku
0
bank_debt_repayment_cash_out_oku
85.378940386
opening_cash_oku
230
ending_cash_oku
230
opening_bank_debt_oku
517.901564478
ending_bank_debt_oku
432.522624092
opening_parent_equity_oku
1511.088423906
ending_parent_equity_oku
1682.637364292
opening_nci_equity_oku
-0.556144247
ending_nci_equity_oku
-0.606144247
opening_operating_nwc_oku
706.575084
ending_operating_nwc_oku
736.575084
opening_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
new_lease_liability_oku
0.92
ending_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
opening_company_common_shares
359041114
new_employees_sbc_common_shares
120000
issuer_buyback_shares
0
ending_company_common_shares
359161114
original_holder_shares_after_transactions
358321114
original_holder_ownership_fraction_end
0.997661217
issued_sbc_fair_value_reference_twd
4387.97925042
dividend_basis_parent_net_income_previous_calendar_year_oku
176.409306939
dividend_rate_on_prior_fiscal_income_assumed
0.22
dividend_declaration_date_assumed

2033-05-20

dividend_ex_date

2033-08-26

dividend_ex_date_confirmed
未確認
dividend_ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

dividend_ex_date_assumed

2033-08-26

dividend_cash_pay_date_assumed

2033-09-23

sources
内容を開く
1

S04

2

S05

3

S06

4

S07

5

S08

6

S09

9
内容を開く
period_index
8
calendar_year
2034
label

2034

開始日

2034-01-01

終了日

2034-12-31

days
365
days_in_calendar_year
365
fraction_of_calendar_year
1
source_status

MODEL_ASSUMPTION

売上高
2400
annualized_revenue_reference_oku
2400
営業利益率
13.00%
営業利益(億)
312
bank_interest_expense_oku
22.923699077
min_cash_interest_income_oku
1.84
net_finance_income_oku
-21.083699077
profit_before_tax_oku
290.916300923
effective_tax_rate_assumed
0.25
income_tax_expense_oku
72.729075231
consolidated_net_income_oku
218.187225692
nci_net_income_oku
-0.05
parent_common_net_income_oku
218.237225692
employee_cash_bonus_expense_in_margin_note

Cash employee bonuses presumed included in operating expenses and NI; not added back.

equity_settled_sbc_expense_in_ebit_oku
5.370886603
equity_settled_sbc_cfo_addback_oku
5.370886603
depreciation_amortization_oku
57.6
change_in_operating_working_capital_cash_use_oku
30
operating_cashflow_estimated_oku
251.158112295
maintenance_capex_cash_oku
72
expansion_capex_cash_oku
43.2
capex_total_cash_oku
115.2
lease_principal_cash_oku
0.92
fcf_before_dividends_and_financing_oku
135.038112295
gross_company_dividend_paid_oku
45.120550819
original_holder_dividend_received_oku
45.01502363
common_buyback_company_spend_oku
0
old_holder_buyback_cash_received_oku
0
new_equity_cash_proceeds_oku
0
bank_borrowing_cash_in_oku
0
bank_debt_repayment_cash_out_oku
89.917561476
opening_cash_oku
230
ending_cash_oku
230
opening_bank_debt_oku
432.522624092
ending_bank_debt_oku
342.605062615
opening_parent_equity_oku
1682.637364292
ending_parent_equity_oku
1861.124925768
opening_nci_equity_oku
-0.606144247
ending_nci_equity_oku
-0.656144247
opening_operating_nwc_oku
736.575084
ending_operating_nwc_oku
766.575084
opening_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
new_lease_liability_oku
0.92
ending_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
opening_company_common_shares
359161114
new_employees_sbc_common_shares
120000
issuer_buyback_shares
0
ending_company_common_shares
359281114
original_holder_shares_after_transactions
358321114
original_holder_ownership_fraction_end
0.997327998
issued_sbc_fair_value_reference_twd
4475.738835429
dividend_basis_parent_net_income_previous_calendar_year_oku
205.093412812
dividend_rate_on_prior_fiscal_income_assumed
0.22
dividend_declaration_date_assumed

2034-05-19

dividend_ex_date

2034-08-28

dividend_ex_date_confirmed
未確認
dividend_ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

dividend_ex_date_assumed

2034-08-28

dividend_cash_pay_date_assumed

2034-09-22

sources
内容を開く
1

S04

2

S05

3

S06

4

S07

5

S08

6

S09

10
内容を開く
period_index
9
calendar_year
2035
label

2035

開始日

2035-01-01

終了日

2035-12-31

days
365
days_in_calendar_year
365
fraction_of_calendar_year
1
source_status

MODEL_ASSUMPTION

売上高
2500
annualized_revenue_reference_oku
2500
営業利益率
14.00%
営業利益(億)
350
bank_interest_expense_oku
18.158068319
min_cash_interest_income_oku
1.84
net_finance_income_oku
-16.318068319
profit_before_tax_oku
333.681931681
effective_tax_rate_assumed
0.25
income_tax_expense_oku
83.42048292
consolidated_net_income_oku
250.261448761
nci_net_income_oku
-0.05
parent_common_net_income_oku
250.311448761
employee_cash_bonus_expense_in_margin_note

Cash employee bonuses presumed included in operating expenses and NI; not added back.

equity_settled_sbc_expense_in_ebit_oku
5.478304335
equity_settled_sbc_cfo_addback_oku
5.478304335
depreciation_amortization_oku
60
change_in_operating_working_capital_cash_use_oku
30
operating_cashflow_estimated_oku
285.739753096
maintenance_capex_cash_oku
75
expansion_capex_cash_oku
45
capex_total_cash_oku
120
lease_principal_cash_oku
0.92
fcf_before_dividends_and_financing_oku
164.819753096
gross_company_dividend_paid_oku
48.012189652
original_holder_dividend_received_oku
47.883900966
common_buyback_company_spend_oku
0
old_holder_buyback_cash_received_oku
0
new_equity_cash_proceeds_oku
0
bank_borrowing_cash_in_oku
0
bank_debt_repayment_cash_out_oku
116.807563443
opening_cash_oku
230
ending_cash_oku
230
opening_bank_debt_oku
342.605062615
ending_bank_debt_oku
225.797499172
opening_parent_equity_oku
1861.124925768
ending_parent_equity_oku
2068.902489212
opening_nci_equity_oku
-0.656144247
ending_nci_equity_oku
-0.706144247
opening_operating_nwc_oku
766.575084
ending_operating_nwc_oku
796.575084
opening_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
new_lease_liability_oku
0.92
ending_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
opening_company_common_shares
359281114
new_employees_sbc_common_shares
120000
issuer_buyback_shares
0
ending_company_common_shares
359401114
original_holder_shares_after_transactions
358321114
original_holder_ownership_fraction_end
0.996995001
issued_sbc_fair_value_reference_twd
4565.253612137
dividend_basis_parent_net_income_previous_calendar_year_oku
218.237225692
dividend_rate_on_prior_fiscal_income_assumed
0.22
dividend_declaration_date_assumed

2035-05-18

dividend_ex_date

2035-08-28

dividend_ex_date_confirmed
未確認
dividend_ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

dividend_ex_date_assumed

2035-08-28

dividend_cash_pay_date_assumed

2035-09-24

sources
内容を開く
1

S04

2

S05

3

S06

4

S07

5

S08

6

S09

11
内容を開く
period_index
10
calendar_year
2036
label

2036_final_311d

開始日

2036-01-01

終了日

2036-11-06

days
311
days_in_calendar_year
366
fraction_of_calendar_year
0.849726776
source_status

MODEL_ASSUMPTION

売上高
2166.803278689
annualized_revenue_reference_oku
2550
営業利益率
14.00%
営業利益(億)
303.352459016
bank_interest_expense_oku
10.168907592
min_cash_interest_income_oku
1.563497268
net_finance_income_oku
-8.605410325
profit_before_tax_oku
294.747048692
effective_tax_rate_assumed
0.25
income_tax_expense_oku
73.686762173
consolidated_net_income_oku
221.060286519
nci_net_income_oku
-0.042486339
parent_common_net_income_oku
221.102772858
employee_cash_bonus_expense_in_margin_note

Cash employee bonuses presumed included in operating expenses and NI; not added back.

equity_settled_sbc_expense_in_ebit_oku
4.748153194
equity_settled_sbc_cfo_addback_oku
4.748153194
depreciation_amortization_oku
52.003278689
change_in_operating_working_capital_cash_use_oku
12.745901639
operating_cashflow_estimated_oku
265.065816762
maintenance_capex_cash_oku
65.004098361
expansion_capex_cash_oku
39.002459016
capex_total_cash_oku
104.006557377
lease_principal_cash_oku
0.781748634
fcf_before_dividends_and_financing_oku
160.277510751
gross_company_dividend_paid_oku
55.068518727
original_holder_dividend_received_oku
54.903037882
common_buyback_company_spend_oku
0
old_holder_buyback_cash_received_oku
0
new_equity_cash_proceeds_oku
0
bank_borrowing_cash_in_oku
0
bank_debt_repayment_cash_out_oku
105.208992023
opening_cash_oku
230
ending_cash_oku
230
opening_bank_debt_oku
225.797499172
ending_bank_debt_oku
120.588507149
opening_parent_equity_oku
2068.902489212
ending_parent_equity_oku
2239.684896535
opening_nci_equity_oku
-0.706144247
ending_nci_equity_oku
-0.748630585
opening_operating_nwc_oku
796.575084
ending_operating_nwc_oku
809.320985639
opening_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
new_lease_liability_oku
0.781748634
ending_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
opening_company_common_shares
359401114
new_employees_sbc_common_shares
101967
issuer_buyback_shares
0
ending_company_common_shares
359503081
original_holder_shares_after_transactions
358321114
original_holder_ownership_fraction_end
0.99671222
issued_sbc_fair_value_reference_twd
4656.55868438
dividend_basis_parent_net_income_previous_calendar_year_oku
250.311448761
dividend_rate_on_prior_fiscal_income_assumed
0.22
dividend_declaration_date_assumed

2036-05-20

dividend_ex_date

2036-08-28

dividend_ex_date_confirmed
未確認
dividend_ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

dividend_ex_date_assumed

2036-08-28

dividend_cash_pay_date_assumed

2036-09-24

sources
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1

S04

2

S05

3

S06

4

S07

5

S08

6

S09

period_count
11
期間内の親会社利益合計(億)
1827.480987338
期間内株主受取
431.09568628
終価
1060.907034036
probability_discount_rate
0.115
現在価値(億)
615.964903137
value_per_initial_share_twd
171.903044244
scenario_irr
-0.213178871
terminal
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日付

2036-11-06

valuation_method

2037 sustainable unlevered owner FCFF discounted by terminal return-g, less bank debt, plus excess cash; projected SBC grants neutralized by hypothetical repurchase expense solved algebraically

calendar_2036_revenue_full_year_reference_oku
2550
calendar_2036_fraction_modeled
0.849726776
revenue_2037_annual_oku
2550
normalized_operating_profit_2037_oku
306
normalized_operating_margin_2037
0.12
unlevered_operating_cash_tax_2037_oku
76.5
da_2037_oku
61.2
maintenance_capex_2037_oku
76.5
recurring_growth_capex_2037_oku
58.65
nwc_cash_investment_2037_oku
0
lease_service_2037_oku
0.92
sbc_employee_grant_shares_2037
120000
sbc_reference_price_2037_twd
4749.689858068
noncash_sbc_2037_in_ebit_oku
5.69962783
pre_sbc_buyback_owner_fcff_2037_oku
160.32962783
new_sbc_shares_to_outstanding_ratio
0.000333794
terminal_implied_issuer_buyback_share_price_twd
296.077175635
annual_cash_cost_to_keep_shares_flat_post_terminal_oku
0.355292611
sustainable_fcff_2037_after_neutralization_oku
159.974335219
terminal_fcff_discount_rate
0.135
terminal_growth_rate
0
terminal_capitalization_spread
0.135
operating_ev_2036_oku
1184.995075696
bank_debt_2036_oku
120.588507149
cash_total_2036_oku
230
non_distributable_operating_cash_oku
230
excess_cash_2036_oku
0
lease_service_normalized_not_double_counted_with_lease_liability

lease service is subtracted from sustainable FCFF; lease balance is NOT separately subtracted from EV

debt_minus_excess_cash_oku
120.588507149
issuer_total_terminal_common_equity_oku
1064.406568547
issuer_common_shares_2036
359503081
original_holder_common_shares_2036
358321114
fraction_owned_by_nov2026_original_holders_2036
0.99671222
terminal_old_holder_equity_oku
1060.907034036
terminal_value_per_original_share_twd
296.077175635
terminal_is_excluded_from_timed_cashflows
はい
terminal_2037_earnings_are_not_additional_2036_period_profit
はい

やや悲観(確率 25.0%)

需要の伸びが鈍り、投資回収が遅れるケース。

このシナリオの数値・キャッシュフローを開く →

中立(確率 35.0%)

需要は成長するが、競争と設備投資の負担が続くケース。

このシナリオの数値・キャッシュフローを開く →

やや強気(確率 18.0%)

高性能基板需要の拡大と生産効率が改善するケース。

このシナリオの数値・キャッシュフローを開く →

強気(確率 7.0%)

高付加価値製品の需要と投資効率が大きく改善するケース。

このシナリオの数値・キャッシュフローを開く →

金額の単位

億TWD (100,000,000 New Taiwan dollars)

事業の詳細

model

Mix epoxy resin/glass cloth/copper foil, fabricate specialty copper clad laminates/prepregs sold to PCB producers for AI server, high-speed networking, automotive and other electronics.

supplier_sources
1

copper foil mainly Taiwan

2

glass fiber cloth Taiwan/Japan

3

epoxy resin Taiwan/Japan

products
1

copper-clad laminate

2

prepreg

3

multilayer press laminate

customer_concentration_2025
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anonymous_customer_A_pct
14
anonymous_customer_B_pct
12
customer_identity_verified
いいえ
出典

S05 pdf p79

geographic_exposure

China ~79.11% of sales geography in 2025 annual; geographic location is not equal to end-customer economic exposures.

2025_annual_report_management_market_share_claims
global_ccl_pct
13.3
halogen_free_ccl_pct
34.4
third_party_prismark_original_verified
いいえ
high_speed_risk

Qualifications and chemistry create barriers, but new ultra-low-loss technologies and competing producers can compress margins.

競争力の詳細

understandability

medium-high core product economics; low auditability of final OEM exposure and ASP/mix

economic_moat

qualification and dielectric-performance manufacturing knowhow; not immune to competing process/capacity

management_capital_allocation

2026-10-28 expansion decision for 986 oku and syndication limit 350 oku demand disciplined project return monitoring

cash_conversion_warning

2026 nine-month cash from operations 122.93 oku vs PPE capex cash 168.78 oku (negative pre-intangible FCF)

cyclicality

volume, high-end product mix, raw copper/glass fiber/resin, customer capex cycles, concentration and fab utilization

業界の詳細

competitors
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1

Shengyi Technology

2

Kingboard

3

Nan Ya Plastics

4

Panasonic Industry

competition_assessment

High-end technical qualification supports margins, commodity CCL more price competitive.

overinvestment_risk

Approved 986 oku capex is an authorization, not immediate contractual CF nor guaranteed return.

財務・資本配分の詳細

actual_reviewed_sep2026
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現金(億)
296.78813
trade_receivables_oku
827.03857
inventory_oku
270.83831
trade_payables_oku
499.42254
pp_and_e_oku
477.48155
bank_short_term_borrowings_oku
182.5011
bank_current_long_debt_oku
35.86997
bank_long_term_borrowings_oku
224.46961
financial_debt_oku
442.84068
lease_liability_current_oku
0.56071
lease_liability_long_oku
5.59756
親会社持分(億)
734.68253
noncontrolling_interest_oku
-0.24061
total_equity_oku
734.44192
assets_total_oku
1937.4298
liabilities_total_oku
1202.98788
issued_common_shares
358321114
treasury_shares_reported
0
financial_net_debt_oku
146.05255
lease_liability_total_oku
6.15827
net_operating_working_capital_core_oku
598.45434
actual_2026_ytd
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売上高
1412.26994
営業利益(億)
385.48717
pretax_profit_oku
386.82854
income_tax_expense_oku
89.73315
consolidated_net_profit_oku
297.09539
parent_common_net_profit_oku
297.13011
nci_profit_oku
-0.03472
cfo_oku
122.92912
pp_and_e_cash_capex_oku
168.7846
intangible_cash_capex_oku
0.52555
depreciation_oku
18.95322
amortization_oku
0.35059
total_operating_wc_cash_outflow_oku
236.18383
cash_dividends_paid_oku
89.5802785
weighted_average_basic_shares_thousands
358321
weighted_average_diluted_shares_thousands
358577
potential_employee_stock_bonus_dilution_shares_thousands
256
employee_compensation_accrued_oku
9.99651
director_compensation_accrued_oku
0.68393
cash_dividend_2026_ex_date

2026-08-28

cash_dividend_2026_paid_date

2026-09-24

effective_group_tax_rate
0.231971379
actual_2025_and_oct2026
2026
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売上高
942.60578
profit_parent_oku
146.48907
profit_consolidated_oku
146.44888
dividend_2026_for_2025_per_share_twd
25
2026_10
売上高
244.72758
source_status

reproduced_market_regulatory_release; direct issuer MOPS primary row not independently confirmed

preferred_shares

none identified in company registration, 2025 annual and current common financing; reconfirm if future rights change

nci

negative reviewed NCI book and slight negative NCI earnings, separately carried; not added to parent terminal equity.

trust_treasury_and_sbc

2026 basic vs diluted share difference includes 256k hypothetically dilutive employee stock bonus; not confirmed actual share grant. Historical employee compensation accrual inside profit. Future grants entirely hypothetical and charged once in EBIT, CFO addback with corresponding dilution, then terminal future neutralizing buyback cash cost.

share_buybacks

no verified outstanding company buyback authorization or executed treasury shares at 2026-11-06; scenarios conservatively set buyback spending zero and do not count fictitious old-holder tender proceeds

dividend_rights
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2026_dividend_per_common_share_twd
25
2026_declared

2026-07-29

2026_ex_date

2026-08-28

2026_record_date

2026-09-05

2026_payment_date

2026-09-24

eligible_to_buy_at_2026_11_06
いいえ
included_in_projected_holder_cf_oku
0
出典

S06

unfunded_credit_limit_mistake_to_avoid

350 oku approved bank facility is separate from 442.84068 oku outstanding bank financial borrowing on Sep30, pending confirmed draw and signature.

intragroup_loans

Do not separately add subsidiaries related-party intercompany loans to consolidated external financing; eliminate in consolidation.

評価根拠の詳細

q3_2026_pretax_margin
0.307195313
nine_month_effective_tax_rate
0.231971379
annualized_2026_9month_parent_net_income_oku
396.17348
price_earnings_on_9month_annualization
34.55018381
2025_parent_ni_oku
146.48907
price_earnings_2025_full_year
93.439507499
reported_2026_ytd_nwc_cash_use_oku
236.18383
reported_2026_ytd_ebit_margin
0.272955728
reported_2026_ytd_cfo_less_ppe_cash_capex_oku
-45.85548

分析基準とデータ

価格・単価
3820
price_currency

TWD/share

株価の出所

台湾証券取引所2026-11-06日報の普通株終値3,820 TWD

株数
358321114
株数の出所

台湾証券取引所2026-11-06投資枠表の発行普通株358,321,114株。基準日の自己株・信託の有無は未確定のため旧株主分母は代理値。

issued_common_shares
358321114
自己株式数
0
treasury_status

no treasury share balance identified through reviewed 2026-09-30; Nov06 status not independently proven

old_holder_cohort_shares
358321114
total_outstanding_shares_proxy
358321114
時価総額(億)
13687.8665548
financial_statement_date_actual

2026-09-30

financial_starting_point_asof_proxy

2026-11-06 estimated 37-day bridge from 2026-09-30 with October reported revenue, otherwise explicitly assumed

initial_cash_proxy_oku
311.571843239
initial_bank_debt_proxy_oku
442.84068
initial_parent_book_equity_proxy_oku
793.574243239
initial_nci_book_equity_proxy_oku
-0.24861
actual_2026_09_30_parent_equity_oku
734.68253
initial_issuer_common_shares
358321114

検証上の留意点

publishability

UNVERIFIED MODEL assumptions; not fit to be presented as audited public valuation or EWT tax analysis.

actual_vs_proxy_vs_forecast
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1

All 2026-09-30 P&L/BS data verified in reviewed company PDF

2

2026-10 revenue from company announcement repost not direct MOPS original

3

37-day 2026-10-01 to 2026-11-06 reconciliation bridge explicitly estimated

4

55+9*12months+311 future periods purely hypothetical; no 2026 post-cutoff existing cash dividend assumed

tax

Reported 2026 9m consolidated effective tax ~23.2%; future case tax rates assumed 23-25% and apply to positive pretax income (no tax credits or NOL modeled). EWT dividend withholding UNKNOWN and intentionally NOT deducted.

maintenance_capex

Company has not disclosed exact maintenance/growth split. Forecast divides PP&E cash capex using estimated 2.6-3.1% sales maintenance and budget-linked growth; project timing unknown.

customer_concentration

Named downstream A/B anonymized; EWT ETF holdings and final OEM mix unknown.

capex_986

All scenarios model conditional post-cutoff expansion spending as a stress assumption, not a verified remaining cash commitment. Oct28-Jan?? already spent or previously planned overlap unknown.

debt_350

Board finance limit not a cash inflow without verified execution, borrowing dynamically modeled as separate assumptions.

dividends

2026 dividend ex and payment before cutoff, excluded. Future ex dates and payment dates are provisional weekday-adjusted assumptions (Taiwan holiday calendar not checked); declarative zero-event markers included.

SBC

Historical diluted stock-bonus potential is NOT actual paid equity issuance; forecast hypothetical grant shares charged in EBIT; post-terminal stock-neutrality cash replacement solved at implied market price; no same shares deducted twice.

cashflow_coverage

Scenario annual CFO assumes accounting tax equals cash tax, no extra derivative/investment/FX cash mismatch, NCI distributions zero and operating working capital tied to sales changes. Corporate actions after cutoff unverified.

terminal_value

2037 recurring FCFF, not market P/E. Terminal share equity appears exclusively in mcap_oku and IRR terminal separately; no nonzero terminal event inside timed_cashflows.

disclosure_gaps
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1

TWSE individual security original Nov06 daily-price API row not obtained (issuer price verified)

2

2026-11-06 exact audited cash, debt, book equity and treasury shares unavailable; 9/30 + estimated 37-day bridge only

3

2026-10 released sales direct MOPS record not obtained

4

Current newly signed 350oku credit and funding status unknown

5

986oku capex authorization cash timetable and committed vs cancellable parts unconfirmed

6

Future maintenance capex and long-run PCB material ASP/product mix and final buyers unknowable

7

2027+ dividend exact ex/payment times not announced; modeled dates not Taiwan-trading-holiday adjusted

8

Actual potential stock bonus settlement vs stock grant details and later issuances unconfirmed

9

Any ETF-level local dividend withholding tax rate unresolved

10

No validated official external importer schema beyond inferred aiv-2-eu-pilot key convention

追加データ・検証記録

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分析に使用した資料

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