株譜

AI 銘柄分析 · 10年

Elite Material Co., Ltd. / 台光電子材料股份有限公司 (台光電)

2383 · TWD · 分析基準日 2026-11-06

先端基板向け材料の成長と大型設備投資を考慮した10年評価

10年期待年率-1.37%
資本コスト11.50%
直近終値3,820.00 TWD2026-11-06

AIによるシナリオ分析です。基準日以降の出来事、株価や為替の変化は個別に確認が必要です。各数値は元の分析の単位と前提に従います。

分析の要約

高性能半導体や電子機器の基板向け材料を手掛けます。需要、製品価格、設備更新・増産投資、運転資本、株式報酬を5ケースで評価します。2026年9月末財務から11月6日までの残高は推計です。2026年10月に承認した投資予算は実支払額ではなく、融資枠の実行も未確認です。将来の利益・投資・配当は仮定で、現地源泉税、ETF経費、為替変動は含みません。出典は会社の2026年第3四半期報告と台湾取引所日報です。

事業

電子基板に用いられる銅張積層板や樹脂材料を製造します。

競争力・事業の質

先端用途の製品性能や顧客認証が強みになり得ますが、需要循環と投資回収に注意します。

業界と環境

半導体、サーバー、電子機器の需要と材料供給能力に左右されます。

財務・資本配分

増産予算、実際の投資支払、承認された融資枠と借入実行を区別します。

評価の前提と確認

会計上の利益だけでなく運転資本と維持・成長投資を差し引いた現金を評価します。

資本コストの前提

資本コスト
11.50%
label

illustrative required equity return for owner NPV (11.5%, unverified forward risk premium)

discount_basis

cashflows years = ACT/365.25 from 2026-11-06, fixed calendar ten-year horizon

事業別データ

事業別の内訳と、収録されている年度別データを確認できます。

事業別データを開く →

10年のシナリオ

シナリオごとの確率、期間内の株主還元・追加負担、終価です。金額は億TWD。株主の範囲や受取時点は各分析の前提を確認してください。

シナリオ確率株主還元・追加負担終価
悲観15.0%431.101,060.91
やや悲観25.0%1,214.733,792.76
中立35.0%3,152.369,454.58
やや強気18.0%5,309.0516,963.32
強気7.0%7,492.4923,704.04

悲観(確率 15.0%)

需要減少と投資負担で収益性と財務余力が低下するケース。

このシナリオの数値・キャッシュフローを開く →

やや悲観(確率 25.0%)

需要の伸びが鈍り、投資回収が遅れるケース。

日付別キャッシュフロー

1
内容を開く
想定日

2026-12-08

year
0.087611225
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

future_monthly_revenue_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

Check issuer-exchange November sales; date is assumed.

2
内容を開く
想定日

2026-12-22

year
0.125941136
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

approved_capex_draw_execution_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

Distinguish board budget from signed commitments and actual disbursement.

3
内容を開く
想定日

2026-12-30

year
0.147843943
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

financing_facility_signature_draw_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

NT$350 oku is approval/limit, not assumed drawn debt.

4
内容を開く
想定日

2027-03-19

year
0.364134155
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

annual_financials_and_bank_reconciliation_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

Reconcile disclosed NI, cash, bank debt, SBC, capex and NCI; provisional publication date.

5
内容を開く
想定日

2027-05-20

year
0.533880903
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

predicted_dividend_declaration_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

No declaration is known as of 2026-11-06; confirm actual amount, holders and dates.

6
内容を開く
想定日

2027-06-25

year
0.632443532
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

expansion_capex_commitment_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

Confirm 2026/10/28 NT$986 oku authorization cumulative cash commitments vs actual spend.

7
内容を開く
想定日

2027-08-27

year
0.804928131
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

assumed_ex_dividend_rights_change

date_status

assumed

notes

Ex-date is a weekday adjusted heuristic, NOT announced; must recompute entitlement.

ex_date_assumed

2027-08-27

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

date_ex_date_confirmed
いいえ
ex_date_model_context

2027-08-27

8
内容を開く
想定日

2027-09-24

year
0.881587953
金額
125.621641661
amount_oku
125.621641661
種類

cash_dividend_to_original_shareholder_cohort

date_status

assumed

ex_date

2027-08-27

ex_date_assumed

2027-08-27

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

entitlement_rule

original cohort shares at the assumed ex-date / all dividend eligible shares

company_total_dividend_oku
125.621641661
original_cohort_share_count_at_ex_date
358321114
shares_eligible_for_dividend_at_ex_date
358321114
old_cohort_fraction_at_ex_date
1
notes

Forecast only. Taxes, including EWT ETF-level effective withholding, NOT deducted or asserted.

9
内容を開く
想定日

2027-10-15

year
0.93908282
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

assumed_sbc_share_issuance_non_cash

date_status

assumed

notes

New shares assumed issued to employees; no cash proceeds to original holders. Dilution applied once.

shares_assumed_issued
150000
issuance_proceeds_oku
0
sbc_expense_already_in_ebit_oku
5.87325
10
内容を開く
想定日

2028-03-20

year
1.368925394
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

annual_financials_and_bank_reconciliation_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

Reconcile disclosed NI, cash, bank debt, SBC, capex and NCI; provisional publication date.

11
内容を開く
想定日

2028-05-19

year
1.533196441
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

predicted_dividend_declaration_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

No declaration is known as of 2026-11-06; confirm actual amount, holders and dates.

12
内容を開く
想定日

2028-06-23

year
1.629021218
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

expansion_capex_commitment_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

Confirm 2026/10/28 NT$986 oku authorization cumulative cash commitments vs actual spend.

13
内容を開く
想定日

2028-08-28

year
1.80971937
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

assumed_ex_dividend_rights_change

date_status

assumed

notes

Ex-date is a weekday adjusted heuristic, NOT announced; must recompute entitlement.

ex_date_assumed

2028-08-28

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

date_ex_date_confirmed
いいえ
ex_date_model_context

2028-08-28

14
内容を開く
想定日

2028-09-22

year
1.87816564
金額
110.328323187
amount_oku
110.328323187
種類

cash_dividend_to_original_shareholder_cohort

date_status

assumed

ex_date

2028-08-28

ex_date_assumed

2028-08-28

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

entitlement_rule

original cohort shares at the assumed ex-date / all dividend eligible shares

company_total_dividend_oku
110.374508712
original_cohort_share_count_at_ex_date
358321114
shares_eligible_for_dividend_at_ex_date
358471114
old_cohort_fraction_at_ex_date
0.999581556
notes

Forecast only. Taxes, including EWT ETF-level effective withholding, NOT deducted or asserted.

15
内容を開く
想定日

2028-10-13

year
1.935660507
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

assumed_sbc_share_issuance_non_cash

date_status

assumed

notes

New shares assumed issued to employees; no cash proceeds to original holders. Dilution applied once.

shares_assumed_issued
150000
issuance_proceeds_oku
0
sbc_expense_already_in_ebit_oku
6.02008125
16
内容を開く
想定日

2029-03-20

year
2.368240931
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

annual_financials_and_bank_reconciliation_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

Reconcile disclosed NI, cash, bank debt, SBC, capex and NCI; provisional publication date.

17
内容を開く
想定日

2029-05-18

year
2.529774127
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

predicted_dividend_declaration_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

No declaration is known as of 2026-11-06; confirm actual amount, holders and dates.

18
内容を開く
想定日

2029-06-25

year
2.633812457
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

expansion_capex_commitment_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

Confirm 2026/10/28 NT$986 oku authorization cumulative cash commitments vs actual spend.

19
内容を開く
想定日

2029-08-28

year
2.809034908
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

assumed_ex_dividend_rights_change

date_status

assumed

notes

Ex-date is a weekday adjusted heuristic, NOT announced; must recompute entitlement.

ex_date_assumed

2029-08-28

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

date_ex_date_confirmed
いいえ
ex_date_model_context

2029-08-28

20
内容を開く
想定日

2029-09-24

year
2.882956879
金額
92.95593216
amount_oku
92.95593216
種類

cash_dividend_to_original_shareholder_cohort

date_status

assumed

ex_date

2029-08-28

ex_date_assumed

2029-08-28

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

entitlement_rule

original cohort shares at the assumed ex-date / all dividend eligible shares

company_total_dividend_oku
93.033758385
original_cohort_share_count_at_ex_date
358321114
shares_eligible_for_dividend_at_ex_date
358621114
old_cohort_fraction_at_ex_date
0.999163463
notes

Forecast only. Taxes, including EWT ETF-level effective withholding, NOT deducted or asserted.

21
内容を開く
想定日

2029-10-15

year
2.940451745
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

assumed_sbc_share_issuance_non_cash

date_status

assumed

notes

New shares assumed issued to employees; no cash proceeds to original holders. Dilution applied once.

shares_assumed_issued
150000
issuance_proceeds_oku
0
sbc_expense_already_in_ebit_oku
6.170583281
22
内容を開く
想定日

2030-03-20

year
3.367556468
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

annual_financials_and_bank_reconciliation_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

Reconcile disclosed NI, cash, bank debt, SBC, capex and NCI; provisional publication date.

23
内容を開く
想定日

2030-05-20

year
3.534565366
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

predicted_dividend_declaration_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

No declaration is known as of 2026-11-06; confirm actual amount, holders and dates.

24
内容を開く
想定日

2030-06-25

year
3.633127995
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

expansion_capex_commitment_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

Confirm 2026/10/28 NT$986 oku authorization cumulative cash commitments vs actual spend.

25
内容を開く
想定日

2030-08-28

year
3.808350445
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

assumed_ex_dividend_rights_change

date_status

assumed

notes

Ex-date is a weekday adjusted heuristic, NOT announced; must recompute entitlement.

ex_date_assumed

2030-08-28

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

date_ex_date_confirmed
いいえ
ex_date_model_context

2030-08-28

26
内容を開く
想定日

2030-09-24

year
3.882272416
金額
100.475869871
amount_oku
100.475869871
種類

cash_dividend_to_original_shareholder_cohort

date_status

assumed

ex_date

2030-08-28

ex_date_assumed

2030-08-28

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

entitlement_rule

original cohort shares at the assumed ex-date / all dividend eligible shares

company_total_dividend_oku
100.602053173
original_cohort_share_count_at_ex_date
358321114
shares_eligible_for_dividend_at_ex_date
358771114
old_cohort_fraction_at_ex_date
0.998745718
notes

Forecast only. Taxes, including EWT ETF-level effective withholding, NOT deducted or asserted.

27
内容を開く
想定日

2030-10-15

year
3.939767283
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

assumed_sbc_share_issuance_non_cash

date_status

assumed

notes

New shares assumed issued to employees; no cash proceeds to original holders. Dilution applied once.

shares_assumed_issued
150000
issuance_proceeds_oku
0
sbc_expense_already_in_ebit_oku
6.324847863
28
内容を開く
想定日

2031-03-20

year
4.366872005
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

annual_financials_and_bank_reconciliation_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

Reconcile disclosed NI, cash, bank debt, SBC, capex and NCI; provisional publication date.

29
内容を開く
想定日

2031-05-20

year
4.533880903
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

predicted_dividend_declaration_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

No declaration is known as of 2026-11-06; confirm actual amount, holders and dates.

30
内容を開く
想定日

2031-08-28

year
4.807665982
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

assumed_ex_dividend_rights_change

date_status

assumed

notes

Ex-date is a weekday adjusted heuristic, NOT announced; must recompute entitlement.

ex_date_assumed

2031-08-28

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

date_ex_date_confirmed
いいえ
ex_date_model_context

2031-08-28

31
内容を開く
想定日

2031-09-24

year
4.881587953
金額
112.603097846
amount_oku
112.603097846
種類

cash_dividend_to_original_shareholder_cohort

date_status

assumed

ex_date

2031-08-28

ex_date_assumed

2031-08-28

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

entitlement_rule

original cohort shares at the assumed ex-date / all dividend eligible shares

company_total_dividend_oku
112.791648997
original_cohort_share_count_at_ex_date
358321114
shares_eligible_for_dividend_at_ex_date
358921114
old_cohort_fraction_at_ex_date
0.998328323
notes

Forecast only. Taxes, including EWT ETF-level effective withholding, NOT deducted or asserted.

32
内容を開く
想定日

2031-10-15

year
4.93908282
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

assumed_sbc_share_issuance_non_cash

date_status

assumed

notes

New shares assumed issued to employees; no cash proceeds to original holders. Dilution applied once.

shares_assumed_issued
150000
issuance_proceeds_oku
0
sbc_expense_already_in_ebit_oku
6.48296906
33
内容を開く
想定日

2032-03-19

year
5.366187543
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

annual_financials_and_bank_reconciliation_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

Reconcile disclosed NI, cash, bank debt, SBC, capex and NCI; provisional publication date.

34
内容を開く
想定日

2032-05-20

year
5.535934292
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

predicted_dividend_declaration_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

No declaration is known as of 2026-11-06; confirm actual amount, holders and dates.

35
内容を開く
想定日

2032-08-27

year
5.80698152
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

assumed_ex_dividend_rights_change

date_status

assumed

notes

Ex-date is a weekday adjusted heuristic, NOT announced; must recompute entitlement.

ex_date_assumed

2032-08-27

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

date_ex_date_confirmed
いいえ
ex_date_model_context

2032-08-27

36
内容を開く
想定日

2032-09-24

year
5.883641342
金額
120.039006447
amount_oku
120.039006447
種類

cash_dividend_to_original_shareholder_cohort

date_status

assumed

ex_date

2032-08-27

ex_date_assumed

2032-08-27

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

entitlement_rule

original cohort shares at the assumed ex-date / all dividend eligible shares

company_total_dividend_oku
120.290259447
original_cohort_share_count_at_ex_date
358321114
shares_eligible_for_dividend_at_ex_date
359071114
old_cohort_fraction_at_ex_date
0.997911277
notes

Forecast only. Taxes, including EWT ETF-level effective withholding, NOT deducted or asserted.

37
内容を開く
想定日

2032-10-15

year
5.941136208
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

assumed_sbc_share_issuance_non_cash

date_status

assumed

notes

New shares assumed issued to employees; no cash proceeds to original holders. Dilution applied once.

shares_assumed_issued
150000
issuance_proceeds_oku
0
sbc_expense_already_in_ebit_oku
6.645043286
38
内容を開く
想定日

2033-03-18

year
6.362765229
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

annual_financials_and_bank_reconciliation_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

Reconcile disclosed NI, cash, bank debt, SBC, capex and NCI; provisional publication date.

39
内容を開く
想定日

2033-05-20

year
6.535249829
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

predicted_dividend_declaration_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

No declaration is known as of 2026-11-06; confirm actual amount, holders and dates.

40
内容を開く
想定日

2033-08-26

year
6.803559206
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

assumed_ex_dividend_rights_change

date_status

assumed

notes

Ex-date is a weekday adjusted heuristic, NOT announced; must recompute entitlement.

ex_date_assumed

2033-08-26

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

date_ex_date_confirmed
いいえ
ex_date_model_context

2033-08-26

41
内容を開く
想定日

2033-09-23

year
6.880219028
金額
130.516081679
amount_oku
130.516081679
種類

cash_dividend_to_original_shareholder_cohort

date_status

assumed

ex_date

2033-08-26

ex_date_assumed

2033-08-26

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

entitlement_rule

original cohort shares at the assumed ex-date / all dividend eligible shares

company_total_dividend_oku
130.843900691
original_cohort_share_count_at_ex_date
358321114
shares_eligible_for_dividend_at_ex_date
359221114
old_cohort_fraction_at_ex_date
0.997494579
notes

Forecast only. Taxes, including EWT ETF-level effective withholding, NOT deducted or asserted.

42
内容を開く
想定日

2033-10-14

year
6.937713895
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

assumed_sbc_share_issuance_non_cash

date_status

assumed

notes

New shares assumed issued to employees; no cash proceeds to original holders. Dilution applied once.

shares_assumed_issued
150000
issuance_proceeds_oku
0
sbc_expense_already_in_ebit_oku
6.811169369
43
内容を開く
想定日

2034-03-20

year
7.367556468
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

annual_financials_and_bank_reconciliation_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

Reconcile disclosed NI, cash, bank debt, SBC, capex and NCI; provisional publication date.

44
内容を開く
想定日

2034-05-19

year
7.531827515
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

predicted_dividend_declaration_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

No declaration is known as of 2026-11-06; confirm actual amount, holders and dates.

45
内容を開く
想定日

2034-08-28

year
7.808350445
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

assumed_ex_dividend_rights_change

date_status

assumed

notes

Ex-date is a weekday adjusted heuristic, NOT announced; must recompute entitlement.

ex_date_assumed

2034-08-28

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

date_ex_date_confirmed
いいえ
ex_date_model_context

2034-08-28

46
内容を開く
想定日

2034-09-22

year
7.876796715
金額
138.928631038
amount_oku
138.928631038
種類

cash_dividend_to_original_shareholder_cohort

date_status

assumed

ex_date

2034-08-28

ex_date_assumed

2034-08-28

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

entitlement_rule

original cohort shares at the assumed ex-date / all dividend eligible shares

company_total_dividend_oku
139.335738119
original_cohort_share_count_at_ex_date
358321114
shares_eligible_for_dividend_at_ex_date
359371114
old_cohort_fraction_at_ex_date
0.997078229
notes

Forecast only. Taxes, including EWT ETF-level effective withholding, NOT deducted or asserted.

47
内容を開く
想定日

2034-10-13

year
7.934291581
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

assumed_sbc_share_issuance_non_cash

date_status

assumed

notes

New shares assumed issued to employees; no cash proceeds to original holders. Dilution applied once.

shares_assumed_issued
150000
issuance_proceeds_oku
0
sbc_expense_already_in_ebit_oku
6.981448603
48
内容を開く
想定日

2035-03-20

year
8.366872005
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

annual_financials_and_bank_reconciliation_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

Reconcile disclosed NI, cash, bank debt, SBC, capex and NCI; provisional publication date.

49
内容を開く
想定日

2035-05-18

year
8.528405202
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

predicted_dividend_declaration_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

No declaration is known as of 2026-11-06; confirm actual amount, holders and dates.

50
内容を開く
想定日

2035-08-28

year
8.807665982
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

assumed_ex_dividend_rights_change

date_status

assumed

notes

Ex-date is a weekday adjusted heuristic, NOT announced; must recompute entitlement.

ex_date_assumed

2035-08-28

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

date_ex_date_confirmed
いいえ
ex_date_model_context

2035-08-28

51
内容を開く
想定日

2035-09-24

year
8.881587953
金額
138.612732693
amount_oku
138.612732693
種類

cash_dividend_to_original_shareholder_cohort

date_status

assumed

ex_date

2035-08-28

ex_date_assumed

2035-08-28

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

entitlement_rule

original cohort shares at the assumed ex-date / all dividend eligible shares

company_total_dividend_oku
139.07694
original_cohort_share_count_at_ex_date
358321114
shares_eligible_for_dividend_at_ex_date
359521114
old_cohort_fraction_at_ex_date
0.996662227
notes

Forecast only. Taxes, including EWT ETF-level effective withholding, NOT deducted or asserted.

52
内容を開く
想定日

2035-10-15

year
8.93908282
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

assumed_sbc_share_issuance_non_cash

date_status

assumed

notes

New shares assumed issued to employees; no cash proceeds to original holders. Dilution applied once.

shares_assumed_issued
150000
issuance_proceeds_oku
0
sbc_expense_already_in_ebit_oku
7.155984818
53
内容を開く
想定日

2036-03-20

year
9.368925394
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

annual_financials_and_bank_reconciliation_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

Reconcile disclosed NI, cash, bank debt, SBC, capex and NCI; provisional publication date.

54
内容を開く
想定日

2036-05-20

year
9.535934292
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

predicted_dividend_declaration_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

No declaration is known as of 2026-11-06; confirm actual amount, holders and dates.

55
内容を開く
想定日

2036-08-28

year
9.80971937
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

assumed_ex_dividend_rights_change

date_status

assumed

notes

Ex-date is a weekday adjusted heuristic, NOT announced; must recompute entitlement.

ex_date_assumed

2036-08-28

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

date_ex_date_confirmed
いいえ
ex_date_model_context

2036-08-28

56
内容を開く
想定日

2036-09-24

year
9.883641342
金額
144.647470481
amount_oku
144.647470481
種類

cash_dividend_to_original_shareholder_cohort

date_status

assumed

ex_date

2036-08-28

ex_date_assumed

2036-08-28

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

entitlement_rule

original cohort shares at the assumed ex-date / all dividend eligible shares

company_total_dividend_oku
145.19244
original_cohort_share_count_at_ex_date
358321114
shares_eligible_for_dividend_at_ex_date
359671114
old_cohort_fraction_at_ex_date
0.996246571
notes

Forecast only. Taxes, including EWT ETF-level effective withholding, NOT deducted or asserted.

57
内容を開く
想定日

2036-10-15

year
9.941136208
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

assumed_sbc_share_issuance_non_cash

date_status

assumed

notes

New shares assumed issued to employees; no cash proceeds to original holders. Dilution applied once.

shares_assumed_issued
127459
issuance_proceeds_oku
0
sbc_expense_already_in_ebit_oku
6.232646904

その他の数値・前提

キャッシュフローの算出方法

timed_holder_cashflows_v1

basis_ownership

original Nov06 2026 common-share holder cohort, no future hypothetical tender buybacks

forecast_assumptions
内容を開く
stub_sales
410
stub_margin
0.21
annual_sales
内容を開く
1
2300
2
2400
3
2600
4
2750
5
2900
6
3100
7
3250
8
3400
9
3550
10
3700
annual_margin
内容を開く
1
0.22
2
0.18
3
0.18
4
0.19
5
0.19
6
0.19
7
0.19
8
0.18
9
0.18
10
0.18
tax
0.245
maint_sales_rate
0.027
da_sales_rate
0.023
nwc_ratio
0.29
expansion_plan_ratio
0.85
later_growth_capex_ratio
0.023
dividend_prior_ni_ratio
0.3
sbc_shares_annual
150000
sbc_reference_growth
0.025
interest_rate
0.05
terminal_growth
0.01
terminal_margin
0.17
terminal_discount_rate
0.125
terminal_growth_capex_ratio
0.027
minimum_operating_cash_oku
245
periods
内容を開く
1
内容を開く
period_index
0
calendar_year
2026
label

2026_initial_55d

開始日

2026-11-07

終了日

2026-12-31

days
55
days_in_calendar_year
365
fraction_of_calendar_year
0.150684932
source_status

MODEL_ASSUMPTION

売上高
410
annualized_revenue_reference_oku
2720.909090909
営業利益率
21.00%
営業利益(億)
86.1
bank_interest_expense_oku
3.336470877
min_cash_interest_income_oku
0.295342466
net_finance_income_oku
-3.041128411
profit_before_tax_oku
83.058871589
effective_tax_rate_assumed
0.245
income_tax_expense_oku
20.349423539
consolidated_net_income_oku
62.70944805
nci_net_income_oku
-0.007534247
parent_common_net_income_oku
62.716982296
employee_cash_bonus_expense_in_margin_note

Cash employee bonuses presumed included in operating expenses and NI; not added back.

equity_settled_sbc_expense_in_ebit_oku
0
equity_settled_sbc_cfo_addback_oku
0
depreciation_amortization_oku
9.43
change_in_operating_working_capital_cash_use_oku
40.426
operating_cashflow_estimated_oku
31.71344805
maintenance_capex_cash_oku
11.07
expansion_capex_cash_oku
58.667
capex_total_cash_oku
69.737
lease_principal_cash_oku
0.138630137
fcf_before_dividends_and_financing_oku
-38.162182087
gross_company_dividend_paid_oku
0
original_holder_dividend_received_oku
0
common_buyback_company_spend_oku
0
old_holder_buyback_cash_received_oku
0
new_equity_cash_proceeds_oku
0
bank_borrowing_cash_in_oku
0
bank_debt_repayment_cash_out_oku
28.409661152
opening_cash_oku
311.571843239
ending_cash_oku
245
opening_bank_debt_oku
442.84068
ending_bank_debt_oku
414.431018848
opening_parent_equity_oku
793.574243239
ending_parent_equity_oku
856.291225536
opening_nci_equity_oku
-0.24861
ending_nci_equity_oku
-0.256144247
opening_operating_nwc_oku
628.45434
ending_operating_nwc_oku
668.88034
opening_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
new_lease_liability_oku
0.138630137
ending_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
opening_company_common_shares
358321114
new_employees_sbc_common_shares
0
issuer_buyback_shares
0
ending_company_common_shares
358321114
original_holder_shares_after_transactions
358321114
original_holder_ownership_fraction_end
1
issued_sbc_fair_value_reference_twd
3820
dividend_basis_parent_net_income_previous_calendar_year_oku
0
dividend_rate_on_prior_fiscal_income_assumed
0
dividend_declaration_date_assumed
未確認
dividend_ex_date
未確認
dividend_ex_date_confirmed
未確認
dividend_ex_date_status
未確認
dividend_ex_date_assumed
未確認
dividend_cash_pay_date_assumed
未確認
sources
内容を開く
1

S04

2

S05

3

S06

4

S07

5

S08

6

S09

2
内容を開く
period_index
1
calendar_year
2027
label

2027

開始日

2027-01-01

終了日

2027-12-31

days
365
days_in_calendar_year
365
fraction_of_calendar_year
1
source_status

MODEL_ASSUMPTION

売上高
2300
annualized_revenue_reference_oku
2300
営業利益率
22.00%
営業利益(億)
506
bank_interest_expense_oku
20.721550942
min_cash_interest_income_oku
1.96
net_finance_income_oku
-18.761550942
profit_before_tax_oku
487.238449058
effective_tax_rate_assumed
0.245
income_tax_expense_oku
119.373420019
consolidated_net_income_oku
367.865029038
nci_net_income_oku
-0.05
parent_common_net_income_oku
367.915029038
employee_cash_bonus_expense_in_margin_note

Cash employee bonuses presumed included in operating expenses and NI; not added back.

equity_settled_sbc_expense_in_ebit_oku
5.87325
equity_settled_sbc_cfo_addback_oku
5.87325
depreciation_amortization_oku
52.9
change_in_operating_working_capital_cash_use_oku
54.5207192
operating_cashflow_estimated_oku
372.117559838
maintenance_capex_cash_oku
62.1
expansion_capex_cash_oku
234.668
capex_total_cash_oku
296.768
lease_principal_cash_oku
0.92
fcf_before_dividends_and_financing_oku
74.429559838
gross_company_dividend_paid_oku
125.621641661
original_holder_dividend_received_oku
125.621641661
common_buyback_company_spend_oku
0
old_holder_buyback_cash_received_oku
0
new_equity_cash_proceeds_oku
0
bank_borrowing_cash_in_oku
51.192081822
bank_debt_repayment_cash_out_oku
0
opening_cash_oku
245
ending_cash_oku
245
opening_bank_debt_oku
414.431018848
ending_bank_debt_oku
465.62310067
opening_parent_equity_oku
856.291225536
ending_parent_equity_oku
1104.457862914
opening_nci_equity_oku
-0.256144247
ending_nci_equity_oku
-0.306144247
opening_operating_nwc_oku
668.88034
ending_operating_nwc_oku
723.4010592
opening_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
new_lease_liability_oku
0.92
ending_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
opening_company_common_shares
358321114
new_employees_sbc_common_shares
150000
issuer_buyback_shares
0
ending_company_common_shares
358471114
original_holder_shares_after_transactions
358321114
original_holder_ownership_fraction_end
0.999581556
issued_sbc_fair_value_reference_twd
3915.5
dividend_basis_parent_net_income_previous_calendar_year_oku
418.738805535
dividend_rate_on_prior_fiscal_income_assumed
0.3
dividend_declaration_date_assumed

2027-05-20

dividend_ex_date

2027-08-27

dividend_ex_date_confirmed
未確認
dividend_ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

dividend_ex_date_assumed

2027-08-27

dividend_cash_pay_date_assumed

2027-09-24

sources
内容を開く
1

S04

2

S05

3

S06

4

S07

5

S08

6

S09

3
内容を開く
period_index
2
calendar_year
2028
label

2028

開始日

2028-01-01

終了日

2028-12-31

days
366
days_in_calendar_year
366
fraction_of_calendar_year
1
source_status

MODEL_ASSUMPTION

売上高
2400
annualized_revenue_reference_oku
2400
営業利益率
18.00%
営業利益(億)
432
bank_interest_expense_oku
23.281155034
min_cash_interest_income_oku
1.96
net_finance_income_oku
-21.321155034
profit_before_tax_oku
410.678844966
effective_tax_rate_assumed
0.245
income_tax_expense_oku
100.616317017
consolidated_net_income_oku
310.06252795
nci_net_income_oku
-0.05
parent_common_net_income_oku
310.11252795
employee_cash_bonus_expense_in_margin_note

Cash employee bonuses presumed included in operating expenses and NI; not added back.

equity_settled_sbc_expense_in_ebit_oku
6.02008125
equity_settled_sbc_cfo_addback_oku
6.02008125
depreciation_amortization_oku
55.2
change_in_operating_working_capital_cash_use_oku
29
operating_cashflow_estimated_oku
342.2826092
maintenance_capex_cash_oku
64.8
expansion_capex_cash_oku
217.906
capex_total_cash_oku
282.706
lease_principal_cash_oku
0.92
fcf_before_dividends_and_financing_oku
58.6566092
gross_company_dividend_paid_oku
110.374508712
original_holder_dividend_received_oku
110.328323187
common_buyback_company_spend_oku
0
old_holder_buyback_cash_received_oku
0
new_equity_cash_proceeds_oku
0
bank_borrowing_cash_in_oku
51.717899512
bank_debt_repayment_cash_out_oku
0
opening_cash_oku
245
ending_cash_oku
245
opening_bank_debt_oku
465.62310067
ending_bank_debt_oku
517.341000182
opening_parent_equity_oku
1104.457862914
ending_parent_equity_oku
1310.215963402
opening_nci_equity_oku
-0.306144247
ending_nci_equity_oku
-0.356144247
opening_operating_nwc_oku
723.4010592
ending_operating_nwc_oku
752.4010592
opening_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
new_lease_liability_oku
0.92
ending_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
opening_company_common_shares
358471114
new_employees_sbc_common_shares
150000
issuer_buyback_shares
0
ending_company_common_shares
358621114
original_holder_shares_after_transactions
358321114
original_holder_ownership_fraction_end
0.999163463
issued_sbc_fair_value_reference_twd
4013.3875
dividend_basis_parent_net_income_previous_calendar_year_oku
367.915029038
dividend_rate_on_prior_fiscal_income_assumed
0.3
dividend_declaration_date_assumed

2028-05-19

dividend_ex_date

2028-08-28

dividend_ex_date_confirmed
未確認
dividend_ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

dividend_ex_date_assumed

2028-08-28

dividend_cash_pay_date_assumed

2028-09-22

sources
内容を開く
1

S04

2

S05

3

S06

4

S07

5

S08

6

S09

4
内容を開く
period_index
3
calendar_year
2029
label

2029

開始日

2029-01-01

終了日

2029-12-31

days
365
days_in_calendar_year
365
fraction_of_calendar_year
1
source_status

MODEL_ASSUMPTION

売上高
2600
annualized_revenue_reference_oku
2600
営業利益率
18.00%
営業利益(億)
468
bank_interest_expense_oku
25.867050009
min_cash_interest_income_oku
1.96
net_finance_income_oku
-23.907050009
profit_before_tax_oku
444.092949991
effective_tax_rate_assumed
0.245
income_tax_expense_oku
108.802772748
consolidated_net_income_oku
335.290177243
nci_net_income_oku
-0.05
parent_common_net_income_oku
335.340177243
employee_cash_bonus_expense_in_margin_note

Cash employee bonuses presumed included in operating expenses and NI; not added back.

equity_settled_sbc_expense_in_ebit_oku
6.170583281
equity_settled_sbc_cfo_addback_oku
6.170583281
depreciation_amortization_oku
59.8
change_in_operating_working_capital_cash_use_oku
58
operating_cashflow_estimated_oku
343.260760524
maintenance_capex_cash_oku
70.2
expansion_capex_cash_oku
192.763
capex_total_cash_oku
262.963
lease_principal_cash_oku
0.92
fcf_before_dividends_and_financing_oku
79.377760524
gross_company_dividend_paid_oku
93.033758385
original_holder_dividend_received_oku
92.95593216
common_buyback_company_spend_oku
0
old_holder_buyback_cash_received_oku
0
new_equity_cash_proceeds_oku
0
bank_borrowing_cash_in_oku
13.655997861
bank_debt_repayment_cash_out_oku
0
opening_cash_oku
245
ending_cash_oku
245
opening_bank_debt_oku
517.341000182
ending_bank_debt_oku
530.996998042
opening_parent_equity_oku
1310.215963402
ending_parent_equity_oku
1558.692965541
opening_nci_equity_oku
-0.356144247
ending_nci_equity_oku
-0.406144247
opening_operating_nwc_oku
752.4010592
ending_operating_nwc_oku
810.4010592
opening_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
new_lease_liability_oku
0.92
ending_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
opening_company_common_shares
358621114
new_employees_sbc_common_shares
150000
issuer_buyback_shares
0
ending_company_common_shares
358771114
original_holder_shares_after_transactions
358321114
original_holder_ownership_fraction_end
0.998745718
issued_sbc_fair_value_reference_twd
4113.7221875
dividend_basis_parent_net_income_previous_calendar_year_oku
310.11252795
dividend_rate_on_prior_fiscal_income_assumed
0.3
dividend_declaration_date_assumed

2029-05-18

dividend_ex_date

2029-08-28

dividend_ex_date_confirmed
未確認
dividend_ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

dividend_ex_date_assumed

2029-08-28

dividend_cash_pay_date_assumed

2029-09-24

sources
内容を開く
1

S04

2

S05

3

S06

4

S07

5

S08

6

S09

5
内容を開く
period_index
4
calendar_year
2030
label

2030

開始日

2030-01-01

終了日

2030-12-31

days
365
days_in_calendar_year
365
fraction_of_calendar_year
1
source_status

MODEL_ASSUMPTION

売上高
2750
annualized_revenue_reference_oku
2750
営業利益率
19.00%
営業利益(億)
522.5
bank_interest_expense_oku
26.549849902
min_cash_interest_income_oku
1.96
net_finance_income_oku
-24.589849902
profit_before_tax_oku
497.910150098
effective_tax_rate_assumed
0.245
income_tax_expense_oku
121.987986774
consolidated_net_income_oku
375.922163324
nci_net_income_oku
-0.05
parent_common_net_income_oku
375.972163324
employee_cash_bonus_expense_in_margin_note

Cash employee bonuses presumed included in operating expenses and NI; not added back.

equity_settled_sbc_expense_in_ebit_oku
6.324847863
equity_settled_sbc_cfo_addback_oku
6.324847863
depreciation_amortization_oku
63.25
change_in_operating_working_capital_cash_use_oku
43.5
operating_cashflow_estimated_oku
401.997011187
maintenance_capex_cash_oku
74.25
expansion_capex_cash_oku
134.096
capex_total_cash_oku
208.346
lease_principal_cash_oku
0.92
fcf_before_dividends_and_financing_oku
192.731011187
gross_company_dividend_paid_oku
100.602053173
original_holder_dividend_received_oku
100.475869871
common_buyback_company_spend_oku
0
old_holder_buyback_cash_received_oku
0
new_equity_cash_proceeds_oku
0
bank_borrowing_cash_in_oku
0
bank_debt_repayment_cash_out_oku
92.128958014
opening_cash_oku
245
ending_cash_oku
245
opening_bank_debt_oku
530.996998042
ending_bank_debt_oku
438.868040028
opening_parent_equity_oku
1558.692965541
ending_parent_equity_oku
1840.387923555
opening_nci_equity_oku
-0.406144247
ending_nci_equity_oku
-0.456144247
opening_operating_nwc_oku
810.4010592
ending_operating_nwc_oku
853.9010592
opening_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
new_lease_liability_oku
0.92
ending_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
opening_company_common_shares
358771114
new_employees_sbc_common_shares
150000
issuer_buyback_shares
0
ending_company_common_shares
358921114
original_holder_shares_after_transactions
358321114
original_holder_ownership_fraction_end
0.998328323
issued_sbc_fair_value_reference_twd
4216.565242187
dividend_basis_parent_net_income_previous_calendar_year_oku
335.340177243
dividend_rate_on_prior_fiscal_income_assumed
0.3
dividend_declaration_date_assumed

2030-05-20

dividend_ex_date

2030-08-28

dividend_ex_date_confirmed
未確認
dividend_ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

dividend_ex_date_assumed

2030-08-28

dividend_cash_pay_date_assumed

2030-09-24

sources
内容を開く
1

S04

2

S05

3

S06

4

S07

5

S08

6

S09

6
内容を開く
period_index
5
calendar_year
2031
label

2031

開始日

2031-01-01

終了日

2031-12-31

days
365
days_in_calendar_year
365
fraction_of_calendar_year
1
source_status

MODEL_ASSUMPTION

売上高
2900
annualized_revenue_reference_oku
2900
営業利益率
19.00%
営業利益(億)
551
bank_interest_expense_oku
21.943402001
min_cash_interest_income_oku
1.96
net_finance_income_oku
-19.983402001
profit_before_tax_oku
531.016597999
effective_tax_rate_assumed
0.245
income_tax_expense_oku
130.09906651
consolidated_net_income_oku
400.917531489
nci_net_income_oku
-0.05
parent_common_net_income_oku
400.967531489
employee_cash_bonus_expense_in_margin_note

Cash employee bonuses presumed included in operating expenses and NI; not added back.

equity_settled_sbc_expense_in_ebit_oku
6.48296906
equity_settled_sbc_cfo_addback_oku
6.48296906
depreciation_amortization_oku
66.7
change_in_operating_working_capital_cash_use_oku
43.5
operating_cashflow_estimated_oku
430.600500549
maintenance_capex_cash_oku
78.3
expansion_capex_cash_oku
66.7
capex_total_cash_oku
145
lease_principal_cash_oku
0.92
fcf_before_dividends_and_financing_oku
284.680500549
gross_company_dividend_paid_oku
112.791648997
original_holder_dividend_received_oku
112.603097846
common_buyback_company_spend_oku
0
old_holder_buyback_cash_received_oku
0
new_equity_cash_proceeds_oku
0
bank_borrowing_cash_in_oku
0
bank_debt_repayment_cash_out_oku
171.888851552
opening_cash_oku
245
ending_cash_oku
245
opening_bank_debt_oku
438.868040028
ending_bank_debt_oku
266.979188477
opening_parent_equity_oku
1840.387923555
ending_parent_equity_oku
2135.046775107
opening_nci_equity_oku
-0.456144247
ending_nci_equity_oku
-0.506144247
opening_operating_nwc_oku
853.9010592
ending_operating_nwc_oku
897.4010592
opening_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
new_lease_liability_oku
0.92
ending_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
opening_company_common_shares
358921114
new_employees_sbc_common_shares
150000
issuer_buyback_shares
0
ending_company_common_shares
359071114
original_holder_shares_after_transactions
358321114
original_holder_ownership_fraction_end
0.997911277
issued_sbc_fair_value_reference_twd
4321.979373242
dividend_basis_parent_net_income_previous_calendar_year_oku
375.972163324
dividend_rate_on_prior_fiscal_income_assumed
0.3
dividend_declaration_date_assumed

2031-05-20

dividend_ex_date

2031-08-28

dividend_ex_date_confirmed
未確認
dividend_ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

dividend_ex_date_assumed

2031-08-28

dividend_cash_pay_date_assumed

2031-09-24

sources
内容を開く
1

S04

2

S05

3

S06

4

S07

5

S08

6

S09

7
内容を開く
period_index
6
calendar_year
2032
label

2032

開始日

2032-01-01

終了日

2032-12-31

days
366
days_in_calendar_year
366
fraction_of_calendar_year
1
source_status

MODEL_ASSUMPTION

売上高
3100
annualized_revenue_reference_oku
3100
営業利益率
19.00%
営業利益(億)
589
bank_interest_expense_oku
13.348959424
min_cash_interest_income_oku
1.96
net_finance_income_oku
-11.388959424
profit_before_tax_oku
577.611040576
effective_tax_rate_assumed
0.245
income_tax_expense_oku
141.514704941
consolidated_net_income_oku
436.096335635
nci_net_income_oku
-0.05
parent_common_net_income_oku
436.146335635
employee_cash_bonus_expense_in_margin_note

Cash employee bonuses presumed included in operating expenses and NI; not added back.

equity_settled_sbc_expense_in_ebit_oku
6.645043286
equity_settled_sbc_cfo_addback_oku
6.645043286
depreciation_amortization_oku
71.3
change_in_operating_working_capital_cash_use_oku
58
operating_cashflow_estimated_oku
456.041378921
maintenance_capex_cash_oku
83.7
expansion_capex_cash_oku
71.3
capex_total_cash_oku
155
lease_principal_cash_oku
0.92
fcf_before_dividends_and_financing_oku
300.121378921
gross_company_dividend_paid_oku
120.290259447
original_holder_dividend_received_oku
120.039006447
common_buyback_company_spend_oku
0
old_holder_buyback_cash_received_oku
0
new_equity_cash_proceeds_oku
0
bank_borrowing_cash_in_oku
0
bank_debt_repayment_cash_out_oku
179.831119475
opening_cash_oku
245
ending_cash_oku
245
opening_bank_debt_oku
266.979188477
ending_bank_debt_oku
87.148069002
opening_parent_equity_oku
2135.046775107
ending_parent_equity_oku
2457.547894582
opening_nci_equity_oku
-0.506144247
ending_nci_equity_oku
-0.556144247
opening_operating_nwc_oku
897.4010592
ending_operating_nwc_oku
955.4010592
opening_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
new_lease_liability_oku
0.92
ending_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
opening_company_common_shares
359071114
new_employees_sbc_common_shares
150000
issuer_buyback_shares
0
ending_company_common_shares
359221114
original_holder_shares_after_transactions
358321114
original_holder_ownership_fraction_end
0.997494579
issued_sbc_fair_value_reference_twd
4430.028857573
dividend_basis_parent_net_income_previous_calendar_year_oku
400.967531489
dividend_rate_on_prior_fiscal_income_assumed
0.3
dividend_declaration_date_assumed

2032-05-20

dividend_ex_date

2032-08-27

dividend_ex_date_confirmed
未確認
dividend_ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

dividend_ex_date_assumed

2032-08-27

dividend_cash_pay_date_assumed

2032-09-24

sources
内容を開く
1

S04

2

S05

3

S06

4

S07

5

S08

6

S09

8
内容を開く
period_index
7
calendar_year
2033
label

2033

開始日

2033-01-01

終了日

2033-12-31

days
365
days_in_calendar_year
365
fraction_of_calendar_year
1
source_status

MODEL_ASSUMPTION

売上高
3250
annualized_revenue_reference_oku
3250
営業利益率
19.00%
営業利益(億)
617.5
bank_interest_expense_oku
4.35740345
min_cash_interest_income_oku
1.96
net_finance_income_oku
-2.39740345
profit_before_tax_oku
615.10259655
effective_tax_rate_assumed
0.245
income_tax_expense_oku
150.700136155
consolidated_net_income_oku
464.402460395
nci_net_income_oku
-0.05
parent_common_net_income_oku
464.452460395
employee_cash_bonus_expense_in_margin_note

Cash employee bonuses presumed included in operating expenses and NI; not added back.

equity_settled_sbc_expense_in_ebit_oku
6.811169369
equity_settled_sbc_cfo_addback_oku
6.811169369
depreciation_amortization_oku
74.75
change_in_operating_working_capital_cash_use_oku
43.5
operating_cashflow_estimated_oku
502.463629764
maintenance_capex_cash_oku
87.75
expansion_capex_cash_oku
74.75
capex_total_cash_oku
162.5
lease_principal_cash_oku
0.92
fcf_before_dividends_and_financing_oku
339.043629764
gross_company_dividend_paid_oku
130.843900691
original_holder_dividend_received_oku
130.516081679
common_buyback_company_spend_oku
0
old_holder_buyback_cash_received_oku
0
new_equity_cash_proceeds_oku
0
bank_borrowing_cash_in_oku
0
bank_debt_repayment_cash_out_oku
87.148069002
opening_cash_oku
245
ending_cash_oku
366.051660071
opening_bank_debt_oku
87.148069002
ending_bank_debt_oku
0
opening_parent_equity_oku
2457.547894582
ending_parent_equity_oku
2797.967623655
opening_nci_equity_oku
-0.556144247
ending_nci_equity_oku
-0.606144247
opening_operating_nwc_oku
955.4010592
ending_operating_nwc_oku
998.9010592
opening_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
new_lease_liability_oku
0.92
ending_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
opening_company_common_shares
359221114
new_employees_sbc_common_shares
150000
issuer_buyback_shares
0
ending_company_common_shares
359371114
original_holder_shares_after_transactions
358321114
original_holder_ownership_fraction_end
0.997078229
issued_sbc_fair_value_reference_twd
4540.779579013
dividend_basis_parent_net_income_previous_calendar_year_oku
436.146335635
dividend_rate_on_prior_fiscal_income_assumed
0.3
dividend_declaration_date_assumed

2033-05-20

dividend_ex_date

2033-08-26

dividend_ex_date_confirmed
未確認
dividend_ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

dividend_ex_date_assumed

2033-08-26

dividend_cash_pay_date_assumed

2033-09-23

sources
内容を開く
1

S04

2

S05

3

S06

4

S07

5

S08

6

S09

9
内容を開く
period_index
8
calendar_year
2034
label

2034

開始日

2034-01-01

終了日

2034-12-31

days
365
days_in_calendar_year
365
fraction_of_calendar_year
1
source_status

MODEL_ASSUMPTION

売上高
3400
annualized_revenue_reference_oku
3400
営業利益率
18.00%
営業利益(億)
612
bank_interest_expense_oku
0
min_cash_interest_income_oku
1.96
net_finance_income_oku
1.96
profit_before_tax_oku
613.96
effective_tax_rate_assumed
0.245
income_tax_expense_oku
150.4202
consolidated_net_income_oku
463.5398
nci_net_income_oku
-0.05
parent_common_net_income_oku
463.5898
employee_cash_bonus_expense_in_margin_note

Cash employee bonuses presumed included in operating expenses and NI; not added back.

equity_settled_sbc_expense_in_ebit_oku
6.981448603
equity_settled_sbc_cfo_addback_oku
6.981448603
depreciation_amortization_oku
78.2
change_in_operating_working_capital_cash_use_oku
43.5
operating_cashflow_estimated_oku
505.221248603
maintenance_capex_cash_oku
91.8
expansion_capex_cash_oku
78.2
capex_total_cash_oku
170
lease_principal_cash_oku
0.92
fcf_before_dividends_and_financing_oku
334.301248603
gross_company_dividend_paid_oku
139.335738119
original_holder_dividend_received_oku
138.928631038
common_buyback_company_spend_oku
0
old_holder_buyback_cash_received_oku
0
new_equity_cash_proceeds_oku
0
bank_borrowing_cash_in_oku
0
bank_debt_repayment_cash_out_oku
0
opening_cash_oku
366.051660071
ending_cash_oku
561.017170556
opening_bank_debt_oku
0
ending_bank_debt_oku
0
opening_parent_equity_oku
2797.967623655
ending_parent_equity_oku
3129.203134139
opening_nci_equity_oku
-0.606144247
ending_nci_equity_oku
-0.656144247
opening_operating_nwc_oku
998.9010592
ending_operating_nwc_oku
1042.4010592
opening_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
new_lease_liability_oku
0.92
ending_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
opening_company_common_shares
359371114
new_employees_sbc_common_shares
150000
issuer_buyback_shares
0
ending_company_common_shares
359521114
original_holder_shares_after_transactions
358321114
original_holder_ownership_fraction_end
0.996662227
issued_sbc_fair_value_reference_twd
4654.299068488
dividend_basis_parent_net_income_previous_calendar_year_oku
464.452460395
dividend_rate_on_prior_fiscal_income_assumed
0.3
dividend_declaration_date_assumed

2034-05-19

dividend_ex_date

2034-08-28

dividend_ex_date_confirmed
未確認
dividend_ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

dividend_ex_date_assumed

2034-08-28

dividend_cash_pay_date_assumed

2034-09-22

sources
内容を開く
1

S04

2

S05

3

S06

4

S07

5

S08

6

S09

10
内容を開く
period_index
9
calendar_year
2035
label

2035

開始日

2035-01-01

終了日

2035-12-31

days
365
days_in_calendar_year
365
fraction_of_calendar_year
1
source_status

MODEL_ASSUMPTION

売上高
3550
annualized_revenue_reference_oku
3550
営業利益率
18.00%
営業利益(億)
639
bank_interest_expense_oku
0
min_cash_interest_income_oku
1.96
net_finance_income_oku
1.96
profit_before_tax_oku
640.96
effective_tax_rate_assumed
0.245
income_tax_expense_oku
157.0352
consolidated_net_income_oku
483.9248
nci_net_income_oku
-0.05
parent_common_net_income_oku
483.9748
employee_cash_bonus_expense_in_margin_note

Cash employee bonuses presumed included in operating expenses and NI; not added back.

equity_settled_sbc_expense_in_ebit_oku
7.155984818
equity_settled_sbc_cfo_addback_oku
7.155984818
depreciation_amortization_oku
81.65
change_in_operating_working_capital_cash_use_oku
43.5
operating_cashflow_estimated_oku
529.230784818
maintenance_capex_cash_oku
95.85
expansion_capex_cash_oku
81.65
capex_total_cash_oku
177.5
lease_principal_cash_oku
0.92
fcf_before_dividends_and_financing_oku
350.810784818
gross_company_dividend_paid_oku
139.07694
original_holder_dividend_received_oku
138.612732693
common_buyback_company_spend_oku
0
old_holder_buyback_cash_received_oku
0
new_equity_cash_proceeds_oku
0
bank_borrowing_cash_in_oku
0
bank_debt_repayment_cash_out_oku
0
opening_cash_oku
561.017170556
ending_cash_oku
772.751015373
opening_bank_debt_oku
0
ending_bank_debt_oku
0
opening_parent_equity_oku
3129.203134139
ending_parent_equity_oku
3481.256978957
opening_nci_equity_oku
-0.656144247
ending_nci_equity_oku
-0.706144247
opening_operating_nwc_oku
1042.4010592
ending_operating_nwc_oku
1085.9010592
opening_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
new_lease_liability_oku
0.92
ending_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
opening_company_common_shares
359521114
new_employees_sbc_common_shares
150000
issuer_buyback_shares
0
ending_company_common_shares
359671114
original_holder_shares_after_transactions
358321114
original_holder_ownership_fraction_end
0.996246571
issued_sbc_fair_value_reference_twd
4770.6565452
dividend_basis_parent_net_income_previous_calendar_year_oku
463.5898
dividend_rate_on_prior_fiscal_income_assumed
0.3
dividend_declaration_date_assumed

2035-05-18

dividend_ex_date

2035-08-28

dividend_ex_date_confirmed
未確認
dividend_ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

dividend_ex_date_assumed

2035-08-28

dividend_cash_pay_date_assumed

2035-09-24

sources
内容を開く
1

S04

2

S05

3

S06

4

S07

5

S08

6

S09

11
内容を開く
period_index
10
calendar_year
2036
label

2036_final_311d

開始日

2036-01-01

終了日

2036-11-06

days
311
days_in_calendar_year
366
fraction_of_calendar_year
0.849726776
source_status

MODEL_ASSUMPTION

売上高
3143.989071038
annualized_revenue_reference_oku
3700
営業利益率
18.00%
営業利益(億)
565.918032787
bank_interest_expense_oku
0
min_cash_interest_income_oku
1.665464481
net_finance_income_oku
1.665464481
profit_before_tax_oku
567.583497268
effective_tax_rate_assumed
0.245
income_tax_expense_oku
139.057956831
consolidated_net_income_oku
428.525540437
nci_net_income_oku
-0.042486339
parent_common_net_income_oku
428.568026776
employee_cash_bonus_expense_in_margin_note

Cash employee bonuses presumed included in operating expenses and NI; not added back.

equity_settled_sbc_expense_in_ebit_oku
6.232646904
equity_settled_sbc_cfo_addback_oku
6.232646904
depreciation_amortization_oku
72.311748634
change_in_operating_working_capital_cash_use_oku
36.963114754
operating_cashflow_estimated_oku
470.106821221
maintenance_capex_cash_oku
84.887704918
expansion_capex_cash_oku
72.311748634
capex_total_cash_oku
157.199453552
lease_principal_cash_oku
0.781748634
fcf_before_dividends_and_financing_oku
312.125619035
gross_company_dividend_paid_oku
145.19244
original_holder_dividend_received_oku
144.647470481
common_buyback_company_spend_oku
0
old_holder_buyback_cash_received_oku
0
new_equity_cash_proceeds_oku
0
bank_borrowing_cash_in_oku
0
bank_debt_repayment_cash_out_oku
0
opening_cash_oku
772.751015373
ending_cash_oku
939.684194409
opening_bank_debt_oku
0
ending_bank_debt_oku
0
opening_parent_equity_oku
3481.256978957
ending_parent_equity_oku
3770.865212637
opening_nci_equity_oku
-0.706144247
ending_nci_equity_oku
-0.748630585
opening_operating_nwc_oku
1085.9010592
ending_operating_nwc_oku
1122.864173954
opening_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
new_lease_liability_oku
0.781748634
ending_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
opening_company_common_shares
359671114
new_employees_sbc_common_shares
127459
issuer_buyback_shares
0
ending_company_common_shares
359798573
original_holder_shares_after_transactions
358321114
original_holder_ownership_fraction_end
0.99589365
issued_sbc_fair_value_reference_twd
4889.92295883
dividend_basis_parent_net_income_previous_calendar_year_oku
483.9748
dividend_rate_on_prior_fiscal_income_assumed
0.3
dividend_declaration_date_assumed

2036-05-20

dividend_ex_date

2036-08-28

dividend_ex_date_confirmed
未確認
dividend_ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

dividend_ex_date_assumed

2036-08-28

dividend_cash_pay_date_assumed

2036-09-24

sources
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1

S04

2

S05

3

S06

4

S07

5

S08

6

S09

period_count
11
期間内の親会社利益合計(億)
4129.755834146
期間内株主受取
1214.728787063
終価
3792.7628181
probability_discount_rate
0.115
現在価値(億)
1966.826239197
value_per_initial_share_twd
548.900458932
scenario_irr
-0.103531514
terminal
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日付

2036-11-06

valuation_method

2037 sustainable unlevered owner FCFF discounted by terminal return-g, less bank debt, plus excess cash; projected SBC grants neutralized by hypothetical repurchase expense solved algebraically

calendar_2036_revenue_full_year_reference_oku
3700
calendar_2036_fraction_modeled
0.849726776
revenue_2037_annual_oku
3737
normalized_operating_profit_2037_oku
635.29
normalized_operating_margin_2037
0.17
unlevered_operating_cash_tax_2037_oku
155.64605
da_2037_oku
85.951
maintenance_capex_2037_oku
100.899
recurring_growth_capex_2037_oku
100.899
nwc_cash_investment_2037_oku
10.73
lease_service_2037_oku
0.92
sbc_employee_grant_shares_2037
150000
sbc_reference_price_2037_twd
5012.171032801
noncash_sbc_2037_in_ebit_oku
7.518256549
pre_sbc_buyback_owner_fcff_2037_oku
359.665206549
new_sbc_shares_to_outstanding_ratio
0.0004169
terminal_implied_issuer_buyback_share_price_twd
1058.481532322
annual_cash_cost_to_keep_shares_flat_post_terminal_oku
1.587722298
sustainable_fcff_2037_after_neutralization_oku
358.077484251
terminal_fcff_discount_rate
0.125
terminal_growth_rate
0.01
terminal_capitalization_spread
0.115
operating_ev_2036_oku
3113.717254354
bank_debt_2036_oku
0
cash_total_2036_oku
939.684194409
non_distributable_operating_cash_oku
245
excess_cash_2036_oku
694.684194409
lease_service_normalized_not_double_counted_with_lease_liability

lease service is subtracted from sustainable FCFF; lease balance is NOT separately subtracted from EV

debt_minus_excess_cash_oku
-694.684194409
issuer_total_terminal_common_equity_oku
3808.401448763
issuer_common_shares_2036
359798573
original_holder_common_shares_2036
358321114
fraction_owned_by_nov2026_original_holders_2036
0.99589365
terminal_old_holder_equity_oku
3792.7628181
terminal_value_per_original_share_twd
1058.481532322
terminal_is_excluded_from_timed_cashflows
はい
terminal_2037_earnings_are_not_additional_2036_period_profit
はい

中立(確率 35.0%)

需要は成長するが、競争と設備投資の負担が続くケース。

このシナリオの数値・キャッシュフローを開く →

やや強気(確率 18.0%)

高性能基板需要の拡大と生産効率が改善するケース。

このシナリオの数値・キャッシュフローを開く →

強気(確率 7.0%)

高付加価値製品の需要と投資効率が大きく改善するケース。

このシナリオの数値・キャッシュフローを開く →

金額の単位

億TWD (100,000,000 New Taiwan dollars)

事業の詳細

model

Mix epoxy resin/glass cloth/copper foil, fabricate specialty copper clad laminates/prepregs sold to PCB producers for AI server, high-speed networking, automotive and other electronics.

supplier_sources
1

copper foil mainly Taiwan

2

glass fiber cloth Taiwan/Japan

3

epoxy resin Taiwan/Japan

products
1

copper-clad laminate

2

prepreg

3

multilayer press laminate

customer_concentration_2025
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anonymous_customer_A_pct
14
anonymous_customer_B_pct
12
customer_identity_verified
いいえ
出典

S05 pdf p79

geographic_exposure

China ~79.11% of sales geography in 2025 annual; geographic location is not equal to end-customer economic exposures.

2025_annual_report_management_market_share_claims
global_ccl_pct
13.3
halogen_free_ccl_pct
34.4
third_party_prismark_original_verified
いいえ
high_speed_risk

Qualifications and chemistry create barriers, but new ultra-low-loss technologies and competing producers can compress margins.

競争力の詳細

understandability

medium-high core product economics; low auditability of final OEM exposure and ASP/mix

economic_moat

qualification and dielectric-performance manufacturing knowhow; not immune to competing process/capacity

management_capital_allocation

2026-10-28 expansion decision for 986 oku and syndication limit 350 oku demand disciplined project return monitoring

cash_conversion_warning

2026 nine-month cash from operations 122.93 oku vs PPE capex cash 168.78 oku (negative pre-intangible FCF)

cyclicality

volume, high-end product mix, raw copper/glass fiber/resin, customer capex cycles, concentration and fab utilization

業界の詳細

competitors
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1

Shengyi Technology

2

Kingboard

3

Nan Ya Plastics

4

Panasonic Industry

competition_assessment

High-end technical qualification supports margins, commodity CCL more price competitive.

overinvestment_risk

Approved 986 oku capex is an authorization, not immediate contractual CF nor guaranteed return.

財務・資本配分の詳細

actual_reviewed_sep2026
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現金(億)
296.78813
trade_receivables_oku
827.03857
inventory_oku
270.83831
trade_payables_oku
499.42254
pp_and_e_oku
477.48155
bank_short_term_borrowings_oku
182.5011
bank_current_long_debt_oku
35.86997
bank_long_term_borrowings_oku
224.46961
financial_debt_oku
442.84068
lease_liability_current_oku
0.56071
lease_liability_long_oku
5.59756
親会社持分(億)
734.68253
noncontrolling_interest_oku
-0.24061
total_equity_oku
734.44192
assets_total_oku
1937.4298
liabilities_total_oku
1202.98788
issued_common_shares
358321114
treasury_shares_reported
0
financial_net_debt_oku
146.05255
lease_liability_total_oku
6.15827
net_operating_working_capital_core_oku
598.45434
actual_2026_ytd
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売上高
1412.26994
営業利益(億)
385.48717
pretax_profit_oku
386.82854
income_tax_expense_oku
89.73315
consolidated_net_profit_oku
297.09539
parent_common_net_profit_oku
297.13011
nci_profit_oku
-0.03472
cfo_oku
122.92912
pp_and_e_cash_capex_oku
168.7846
intangible_cash_capex_oku
0.52555
depreciation_oku
18.95322
amortization_oku
0.35059
total_operating_wc_cash_outflow_oku
236.18383
cash_dividends_paid_oku
89.5802785
weighted_average_basic_shares_thousands
358321
weighted_average_diluted_shares_thousands
358577
potential_employee_stock_bonus_dilution_shares_thousands
256
employee_compensation_accrued_oku
9.99651
director_compensation_accrued_oku
0.68393
cash_dividend_2026_ex_date

2026-08-28

cash_dividend_2026_paid_date

2026-09-24

effective_group_tax_rate
0.231971379
actual_2025_and_oct2026
2026
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売上高
942.60578
profit_parent_oku
146.48907
profit_consolidated_oku
146.44888
dividend_2026_for_2025_per_share_twd
25
2026_10
売上高
244.72758
source_status

reproduced_market_regulatory_release; direct issuer MOPS primary row not independently confirmed

preferred_shares

none identified in company registration, 2025 annual and current common financing; reconfirm if future rights change

nci

negative reviewed NCI book and slight negative NCI earnings, separately carried; not added to parent terminal equity.

trust_treasury_and_sbc

2026 basic vs diluted share difference includes 256k hypothetically dilutive employee stock bonus; not confirmed actual share grant. Historical employee compensation accrual inside profit. Future grants entirely hypothetical and charged once in EBIT, CFO addback with corresponding dilution, then terminal future neutralizing buyback cash cost.

share_buybacks

no verified outstanding company buyback authorization or executed treasury shares at 2026-11-06; scenarios conservatively set buyback spending zero and do not count fictitious old-holder tender proceeds

dividend_rights
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2026_dividend_per_common_share_twd
25
2026_declared

2026-07-29

2026_ex_date

2026-08-28

2026_record_date

2026-09-05

2026_payment_date

2026-09-24

eligible_to_buy_at_2026_11_06
いいえ
included_in_projected_holder_cf_oku
0
出典

S06

unfunded_credit_limit_mistake_to_avoid

350 oku approved bank facility is separate from 442.84068 oku outstanding bank financial borrowing on Sep30, pending confirmed draw and signature.

intragroup_loans

Do not separately add subsidiaries related-party intercompany loans to consolidated external financing; eliminate in consolidation.

評価根拠の詳細

q3_2026_pretax_margin
0.307195313
nine_month_effective_tax_rate
0.231971379
annualized_2026_9month_parent_net_income_oku
396.17348
price_earnings_on_9month_annualization
34.55018381
2025_parent_ni_oku
146.48907
price_earnings_2025_full_year
93.439507499
reported_2026_ytd_nwc_cash_use_oku
236.18383
reported_2026_ytd_ebit_margin
0.272955728
reported_2026_ytd_cfo_less_ppe_cash_capex_oku
-45.85548

分析基準とデータ

価格・単価
3820
price_currency

TWD/share

株価の出所

台湾証券取引所2026-11-06日報の普通株終値3,820 TWD

株数
358321114
株数の出所

台湾証券取引所2026-11-06投資枠表の発行普通株358,321,114株。基準日の自己株・信託の有無は未確定のため旧株主分母は代理値。

issued_common_shares
358321114
自己株式数
0
treasury_status

no treasury share balance identified through reviewed 2026-09-30; Nov06 status not independently proven

old_holder_cohort_shares
358321114
total_outstanding_shares_proxy
358321114
時価総額(億)
13687.8665548
financial_statement_date_actual

2026-09-30

financial_starting_point_asof_proxy

2026-11-06 estimated 37-day bridge from 2026-09-30 with October reported revenue, otherwise explicitly assumed

initial_cash_proxy_oku
311.571843239
initial_bank_debt_proxy_oku
442.84068
initial_parent_book_equity_proxy_oku
793.574243239
initial_nci_book_equity_proxy_oku
-0.24861
actual_2026_09_30_parent_equity_oku
734.68253
initial_issuer_common_shares
358321114

検証上の留意点

publishability

UNVERIFIED MODEL assumptions; not fit to be presented as audited public valuation or EWT tax analysis.

actual_vs_proxy_vs_forecast
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1

All 2026-09-30 P&L/BS data verified in reviewed company PDF

2

2026-10 revenue from company announcement repost not direct MOPS original

3

37-day 2026-10-01 to 2026-11-06 reconciliation bridge explicitly estimated

4

55+9*12months+311 future periods purely hypothetical; no 2026 post-cutoff existing cash dividend assumed

tax

Reported 2026 9m consolidated effective tax ~23.2%; future case tax rates assumed 23-25% and apply to positive pretax income (no tax credits or NOL modeled). EWT dividend withholding UNKNOWN and intentionally NOT deducted.

maintenance_capex

Company has not disclosed exact maintenance/growth split. Forecast divides PP&E cash capex using estimated 2.6-3.1% sales maintenance and budget-linked growth; project timing unknown.

customer_concentration

Named downstream A/B anonymized; EWT ETF holdings and final OEM mix unknown.

capex_986

All scenarios model conditional post-cutoff expansion spending as a stress assumption, not a verified remaining cash commitment. Oct28-Jan?? already spent or previously planned overlap unknown.

debt_350

Board finance limit not a cash inflow without verified execution, borrowing dynamically modeled as separate assumptions.

dividends

2026 dividend ex and payment before cutoff, excluded. Future ex dates and payment dates are provisional weekday-adjusted assumptions (Taiwan holiday calendar not checked); declarative zero-event markers included.

SBC

Historical diluted stock-bonus potential is NOT actual paid equity issuance; forecast hypothetical grant shares charged in EBIT; post-terminal stock-neutrality cash replacement solved at implied market price; no same shares deducted twice.

cashflow_coverage

Scenario annual CFO assumes accounting tax equals cash tax, no extra derivative/investment/FX cash mismatch, NCI distributions zero and operating working capital tied to sales changes. Corporate actions after cutoff unverified.

terminal_value

2037 recurring FCFF, not market P/E. Terminal share equity appears exclusively in mcap_oku and IRR terminal separately; no nonzero terminal event inside timed_cashflows.

disclosure_gaps
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1

TWSE individual security original Nov06 daily-price API row not obtained (issuer price verified)

2

2026-11-06 exact audited cash, debt, book equity and treasury shares unavailable; 9/30 + estimated 37-day bridge only

3

2026-10 released sales direct MOPS record not obtained

4

Current newly signed 350oku credit and funding status unknown

5

986oku capex authorization cash timetable and committed vs cancellable parts unconfirmed

6

Future maintenance capex and long-run PCB material ASP/product mix and final buyers unknowable

7

2027+ dividend exact ex/payment times not announced; modeled dates not Taiwan-trading-holiday adjusted

8

Actual potential stock bonus settlement vs stock grant details and later issuances unconfirmed

9

Any ETF-level local dividend withholding tax rate unresolved

10

No validated official external importer schema beyond inferred aiv-2-eu-pilot key convention

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分析に使用した資料

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