株譜

AI 銘柄分析 · 10年

Elite Material Co., Ltd. / 台光電子材料股份有限公司 (台光電)

2383 · TWD · 分析基準日 2026-11-06

先端基板向け材料の成長と大型設備投資を考慮した10年評価

10年期待年率-1.37%
資本コスト11.50%
直近終値3,820.00 TWD2026-11-06

AIによるシナリオ分析です。基準日以降の出来事、株価や為替の変化は個別に確認が必要です。各数値は元の分析の単位と前提に従います。

分析の要約

高性能半導体や電子機器の基板向け材料を手掛けます。需要、製品価格、設備更新・増産投資、運転資本、株式報酬を5ケースで評価します。2026年9月末財務から11月6日までの残高は推計です。2026年10月に承認した投資予算は実支払額ではなく、融資枠の実行も未確認です。将来の利益・投資・配当は仮定で、現地源泉税、ETF経費、為替変動は含みません。出典は会社の2026年第3四半期報告と台湾取引所日報です。

事業

電子基板に用いられる銅張積層板や樹脂材料を製造します。

競争力・事業の質

先端用途の製品性能や顧客認証が強みになり得ますが、需要循環と投資回収に注意します。

業界と環境

半導体、サーバー、電子機器の需要と材料供給能力に左右されます。

財務・資本配分

増産予算、実際の投資支払、承認された融資枠と借入実行を区別します。

評価の前提と確認

会計上の利益だけでなく運転資本と維持・成長投資を差し引いた現金を評価します。

資本コストの前提

資本コスト
11.50%
label

illustrative required equity return for owner NPV (11.5%, unverified forward risk premium)

discount_basis

cashflows years = ACT/365.25 from 2026-11-06, fixed calendar ten-year horizon

事業別データ

事業別の内訳と、収録されている年度別データを確認できます。

事業別データを開く →

10年のシナリオ

シナリオごとの確率、期間内の株主還元・追加負担、終価です。金額は億TWD。株主の範囲や受取時点は各分析の前提を確認してください。

シナリオ確率株主還元・追加負担終価
悲観15.0%431.101,060.91
やや悲観25.0%1,214.733,792.76
中立35.0%3,152.369,454.58
やや強気18.0%5,309.0516,963.32
強気7.0%7,492.4923,704.04

悲観(確率 15.0%)

需要減少と投資負担で収益性と財務余力が低下するケース。

このシナリオの数値・キャッシュフローを開く →

やや悲観(確率 25.0%)

需要の伸びが鈍り、投資回収が遅れるケース。

このシナリオの数値・キャッシュフローを開く →

中立(確率 35.0%)

需要は成長するが、競争と設備投資の負担が続くケース。

日付別キャッシュフロー

1
内容を開く
想定日

2026-12-08

year
0.087611225
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

future_monthly_revenue_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

Check issuer-exchange November sales; date is assumed.

2
内容を開く
想定日

2026-12-22

year
0.125941136
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

approved_capex_draw_execution_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

Distinguish board budget from signed commitments and actual disbursement.

3
内容を開く
想定日

2026-12-30

year
0.147843943
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

financing_facility_signature_draw_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

NT$350 oku is approval/limit, not assumed drawn debt.

4
内容を開く
想定日

2027-03-19

year
0.364134155
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

annual_financials_and_bank_reconciliation_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

Reconcile disclosed NI, cash, bank debt, SBC, capex and NCI; provisional publication date.

5
内容を開く
想定日

2027-05-20

year
0.533880903
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

predicted_dividend_declaration_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

No declaration is known as of 2026-11-06; confirm actual amount, holders and dates.

6
内容を開く
想定日

2027-06-25

year
0.632443532
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

expansion_capex_commitment_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

Confirm 2026/10/28 NT$986 oku authorization cumulative cash commitments vs actual spend.

7
内容を開く
想定日

2027-08-27

year
0.804928131
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

assumed_ex_dividend_rights_change

date_status

assumed

notes

Ex-date is a weekday adjusted heuristic, NOT announced; must recompute entitlement.

ex_date_assumed

2027-08-27

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

date_ex_date_confirmed
いいえ
ex_date_model_context

2027-08-27

8
内容を開く
想定日

2027-09-24

year
0.881587953
金額
181.007120011
amount_oku
181.007120011
種類

cash_dividend_to_original_shareholder_cohort

date_status

assumed

ex_date

2027-08-27

ex_date_assumed

2027-08-27

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

entitlement_rule

original cohort shares at the assumed ex-date / all dividend eligible shares

company_total_dividend_oku
181.007120011
original_cohort_share_count_at_ex_date
358321114
shares_eligible_for_dividend_at_ex_date
358321114
old_cohort_fraction_at_ex_date
1
notes

Forecast only. Taxes, including EWT ETF-level effective withholding, NOT deducted or asserted.

9
内容を開く
想定日

2027-10-15

year
0.93908282
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

assumed_sbc_share_issuance_non_cash

date_status

assumed

notes

New shares assumed issued to employees; no cash proceeds to original holders. Dilution applied once.

shares_assumed_issued
180000
issuance_proceeds_oku
0
sbc_expense_already_in_ebit_oku
7.08228
10
内容を開く
想定日

2028-03-20

year
1.368925394
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

annual_financials_and_bank_reconciliation_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

Reconcile disclosed NI, cash, bank debt, SBC, capex and NCI; provisional publication date.

11
内容を開く
想定日

2028-05-19

year
1.533196441
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

predicted_dividend_declaration_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

No declaration is known as of 2026-11-06; confirm actual amount, holders and dates.

12
内容を開く
想定日

2028-06-23

year
1.629021218
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

expansion_capex_commitment_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

Confirm 2026/10/28 NT$986 oku authorization cumulative cash commitments vs actual spend.

13
内容を開く
想定日

2028-08-28

year
1.80971937
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

assumed_ex_dividend_rights_change

date_status

assumed

notes

Ex-date is a weekday adjusted heuristic, NOT announced; must recompute entitlement.

ex_date_assumed

2028-08-28

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

date_ex_date_confirmed
いいえ
ex_date_model_context

2028-08-28

14
内容を開く
想定日

2028-09-22

year
1.87816564
金額
234.667178328
amount_oku
234.667178328
種類

cash_dividend_to_original_shareholder_cohort

date_status

assumed

ex_date

2028-08-28

ex_date_assumed

2028-08-28

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

entitlement_rule

original cohort shares at the assumed ex-date / all dividend eligible shares

company_total_dividend_oku
234.785061675
original_cohort_share_count_at_ex_date
358321114
shares_eligible_for_dividend_at_ex_date
358501114
old_cohort_fraction_at_ex_date
0.99949791
notes

Forecast only. Taxes, including EWT ETF-level effective withholding, NOT deducted or asserted.

15
内容を開く
想定日

2028-10-13

year
1.935660507
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

assumed_sbc_share_issuance_non_cash

date_status

assumed

notes

New shares assumed issued to employees; no cash proceeds to original holders. Dilution applied once.

shares_assumed_issued
180000
issuance_proceeds_oku
0
sbc_expense_already_in_ebit_oku
7.2947484
16
内容を開く
想定日

2029-03-20

year
2.368240931
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

annual_financials_and_bank_reconciliation_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

Reconcile disclosed NI, cash, bank debt, SBC, capex and NCI; provisional publication date.

17
内容を開く
想定日

2029-05-18

year
2.529774127
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

predicted_dividend_declaration_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

No declaration is known as of 2026-11-06; confirm actual amount, holders and dates.

18
内容を開く
想定日

2029-06-25

year
2.633812457
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

expansion_capex_commitment_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

Confirm 2026/10/28 NT$986 oku authorization cumulative cash commitments vs actual spend.

19
内容を開く
想定日

2029-08-28

year
2.809034908
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

assumed_ex_dividend_rights_change

date_status

assumed

notes

Ex-date is a weekday adjusted heuristic, NOT announced; must recompute entitlement.

ex_date_assumed

2029-08-28

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

date_ex_date_confirmed
いいえ
ex_date_model_context

2029-08-28

20
内容を開く
想定日

2029-09-24

year
2.882956879
金額
263.319918771
amount_oku
263.319918771
種類

cash_dividend_to_original_shareholder_cohort

date_status

assumed

ex_date

2029-08-28

ex_date_assumed

2029-08-28

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

entitlement_rule

original cohort shares at the assumed ex-date / all dividend eligible shares

company_total_dividend_oku
263.584472455
original_cohort_share_count_at_ex_date
358321114
shares_eligible_for_dividend_at_ex_date
358681114
old_cohort_fraction_at_ex_date
0.998996323
notes

Forecast only. Taxes, including EWT ETF-level effective withholding, NOT deducted or asserted.

21
内容を開く
想定日

2029-10-15

year
2.940451745
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

assumed_sbc_share_issuance_non_cash

date_status

assumed

notes

New shares assumed issued to employees; no cash proceeds to original holders. Dilution applied once.

shares_assumed_issued
180000
issuance_proceeds_oku
0
sbc_expense_already_in_ebit_oku
7.513590852
22
内容を開く
想定日

2030-03-20

year
3.367556468
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

annual_financials_and_bank_reconciliation_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

Reconcile disclosed NI, cash, bank debt, SBC, capex and NCI; provisional publication date.

23
内容を開く
想定日

2030-05-20

year
3.534565366
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

predicted_dividend_declaration_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

No declaration is known as of 2026-11-06; confirm actual amount, holders and dates.

24
内容を開く
想定日

2030-06-25

year
3.633127995
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

expansion_capex_commitment_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

Confirm 2026/10/28 NT$986 oku authorization cumulative cash commitments vs actual spend.

25
内容を開く
想定日

2030-08-28

year
3.808350445
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

assumed_ex_dividend_rights_change

date_status

assumed

notes

Ex-date is a weekday adjusted heuristic, NOT announced; must recompute entitlement.

ex_date_assumed

2030-08-28

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

date_ex_date_confirmed
いいえ
ex_date_model_context

2030-08-28

26
内容を開く
想定日

2030-09-24

year
3.882272416
金額
290.667560015
amount_oku
290.667560015
種類

cash_dividend_to_original_shareholder_cohort

date_status

assumed

ex_date

2030-08-28

ex_date_assumed

2030-08-28

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

entitlement_rule

original cohort shares at the assumed ex-date / all dividend eligible shares

company_total_dividend_oku
291.105604206
original_cohort_share_count_at_ex_date
358321114
shares_eligible_for_dividend_at_ex_date
358861114
old_cohort_fraction_at_ex_date
0.99849524
notes

Forecast only. Taxes, including EWT ETF-level effective withholding, NOT deducted or asserted.

27
内容を開く
想定日

2030-10-15

year
3.939767283
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

assumed_sbc_share_issuance_non_cash

date_status

assumed

notes

New shares assumed issued to employees; no cash proceeds to original holders. Dilution applied once.

shares_assumed_issued
180000
issuance_proceeds_oku
0
sbc_expense_already_in_ebit_oku
7.738998578
28
内容を開く
想定日

2031-03-20

year
4.366872005
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

annual_financials_and_bank_reconciliation_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

Reconcile disclosed NI, cash, bank debt, SBC, capex and NCI; provisional publication date.

29
内容を開く
想定日

2031-05-20

year
4.533880903
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

predicted_dividend_declaration_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

No declaration is known as of 2026-11-06; confirm actual amount, holders and dates.

30
内容を開く
想定日

2031-08-28

year
4.807665982
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

assumed_ex_dividend_rights_change

date_status

assumed

notes

Ex-date is a weekday adjusted heuristic, NOT announced; must recompute entitlement.

ex_date_assumed

2031-08-28

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

date_ex_date_confirmed
いいえ
ex_date_model_context

2031-08-28

31
内容を開く
想定日

2031-09-24

year
4.881587953
金額
318.291060314
amount_oku
318.291060314
種類

cash_dividend_to_original_shareholder_cohort

date_status

assumed

ex_date

2031-08-28

ex_date_assumed

2031-08-28

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

entitlement_rule

original cohort shares at the assumed ex-date / all dividend eligible shares

company_total_dividend_oku
318.930625091
original_cohort_share_count_at_ex_date
358321114
shares_eligible_for_dividend_at_ex_date
359041114
old_cohort_fraction_at_ex_date
0.997994659
notes

Forecast only. Taxes, including EWT ETF-level effective withholding, NOT deducted or asserted.

32
内容を開く
想定日

2031-10-15

year
4.93908282
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

assumed_sbc_share_issuance_non_cash

date_status

assumed

notes

New shares assumed issued to employees; no cash proceeds to original holders. Dilution applied once.

shares_assumed_issued
180000
issuance_proceeds_oku
0
sbc_expense_already_in_ebit_oku
7.971168535
33
内容を開く
想定日

2032-03-19

year
5.366187543
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

annual_financials_and_bank_reconciliation_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

Reconcile disclosed NI, cash, bank debt, SBC, capex and NCI; provisional publication date.

34
内容を開く
想定日

2032-05-20

year
5.535934292
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

predicted_dividend_declaration_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

No declaration is known as of 2026-11-06; confirm actual amount, holders and dates.

35
内容を開く
想定日

2032-08-27

year
5.80698152
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

assumed_ex_dividend_rights_change

date_status

assumed

notes

Ex-date is a weekday adjusted heuristic, NOT announced; must recompute entitlement.

ex_date_assumed

2032-08-27

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

date_ex_date_confirmed
いいえ
ex_date_model_context

2032-08-27

36
内容を開く
想定日

2032-09-24

year
5.883641342
金額
342.477239874
amount_oku
342.477239874
種類

cash_dividend_to_original_shareholder_cohort

date_status

assumed

ex_date

2032-08-27

ex_date_assumed

2032-08-27

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

entitlement_rule

original cohort shares at the assumed ex-date / all dividend eligible shares

company_total_dividend_oku
343.3374446
original_cohort_share_count_at_ex_date
358321114
shares_eligible_for_dividend_at_ex_date
359221114
old_cohort_fraction_at_ex_date
0.997494579
notes

Forecast only. Taxes, including EWT ETF-level effective withholding, NOT deducted or asserted.

37
内容を開く
想定日

2032-10-15

year
5.941136208
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

assumed_sbc_share_issuance_non_cash

date_status

assumed

notes

New shares assumed issued to employees; no cash proceeds to original holders. Dilution applied once.

shares_assumed_issued
180000
issuance_proceeds_oku
0
sbc_expense_already_in_ebit_oku
8.210303591
38
内容を開く
想定日

2033-03-18

year
6.362765229
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

annual_financials_and_bank_reconciliation_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

Reconcile disclosed NI, cash, bank debt, SBC, capex and NCI; provisional publication date.

39
内容を開く
想定日

2033-05-20

year
6.535249829
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

predicted_dividend_declaration_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

No declaration is known as of 2026-11-06; confirm actual amount, holders and dates.

40
内容を開く
想定日

2033-08-26

year
6.803559206
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

assumed_ex_dividend_rights_change

date_status

assumed

notes

Ex-date is a weekday adjusted heuristic, NOT announced; must recompute entitlement.

ex_date_assumed

2033-08-26

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

date_ex_date_confirmed
いいえ
ex_date_model_context

2033-08-26

41
内容を開く
想定日

2033-09-23

year
6.880219028
金額
359.160669532
amount_oku
359.160669532
種類

cash_dividend_to_original_shareholder_cohort

date_status

assumed

ex_date

2033-08-26

ex_date_assumed

2033-08-26

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

entitlement_rule

original cohort shares at the assumed ex-date / all dividend eligible shares

company_total_dividend_oku
360.2432
original_cohort_share_count_at_ex_date
358321114
shares_eligible_for_dividend_at_ex_date
359401114
old_cohort_fraction_at_ex_date
0.996995001
notes

Forecast only. Taxes, including EWT ETF-level effective withholding, NOT deducted or asserted.

42
内容を開く
想定日

2033-10-14

year
6.937713895
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

assumed_sbc_share_issuance_non_cash

date_status

assumed

notes

New shares assumed issued to employees; no cash proceeds to original holders. Dilution applied once.

shares_assumed_issued
180000
issuance_proceeds_oku
0
sbc_expense_already_in_ebit_oku
8.456612699
43
内容を開く
想定日

2034-03-20

year
7.367556468
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

annual_financials_and_bank_reconciliation_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

Reconcile disclosed NI, cash, bank debt, SBC, capex and NCI; provisional publication date.

44
内容を開く
想定日

2034-05-19

year
7.531827515
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

predicted_dividend_declaration_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

No declaration is known as of 2026-11-06; confirm actual amount, holders and dates.

45
内容を開く
想定日

2034-08-28

year
7.808350445
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

assumed_ex_dividend_rights_change

date_status

assumed

notes

Ex-date is a weekday adjusted heuristic, NOT announced; must recompute entitlement.

ex_date_assumed

2034-08-28

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

date_ex_date_confirmed
いいえ
ex_date_model_context

2034-08-28

46
内容を開く
想定日

2034-09-22

year
7.876796715
金額
375.020079774
amount_oku
375.020079774
種類

cash_dividend_to_original_shareholder_cohort

date_status

assumed

ex_date

2034-08-28

ex_date_assumed

2034-08-28

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

entitlement_rule

original cohort shares at the assumed ex-date / all dividend eligible shares

company_total_dividend_oku
376.3388
original_cohort_share_count_at_ex_date
358321114
shares_eligible_for_dividend_at_ex_date
359581114
old_cohort_fraction_at_ex_date
0.996495923
notes

Forecast only. Taxes, including EWT ETF-level effective withholding, NOT deducted or asserted.

47
内容を開く
想定日

2034-10-13

year
7.934291581
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

assumed_sbc_share_issuance_non_cash

date_status

assumed

notes

New shares assumed issued to employees; no cash proceeds to original holders. Dilution applied once.

shares_assumed_issued
180000
issuance_proceeds_oku
0
sbc_expense_already_in_ebit_oku
8.71031108
48
内容を開く
想定日

2035-03-20

year
8.366872005
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

annual_financials_and_bank_reconciliation_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

Reconcile disclosed NI, cash, bank debt, SBC, capex and NCI; provisional publication date.

49
内容を開く
想定日

2035-05-18

year
8.528405202
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

predicted_dividend_declaration_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

No declaration is known as of 2026-11-06; confirm actual amount, holders and dates.

50
内容を開く
想定日

2035-08-28

year
8.807665982
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

assumed_ex_dividend_rights_change

date_status

assumed

notes

Ex-date is a weekday adjusted heuristic, NOT announced; must recompute entitlement.

ex_date_assumed

2035-08-28

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

date_ex_date_confirmed
いいえ
ex_date_model_context

2035-08-28

51
内容を開く
想定日

2035-09-24

year
8.881587953
金額
388.974013913
amount_oku
388.974013913
種類

cash_dividend_to_original_shareholder_cohort

date_status

assumed

ex_date

2035-08-28

ex_date_assumed

2035-08-28

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

entitlement_rule

original cohort shares at the assumed ex-date / all dividend eligible shares

company_total_dividend_oku
390.5372
original_cohort_share_count_at_ex_date
358321114
shares_eligible_for_dividend_at_ex_date
359761114
old_cohort_fraction_at_ex_date
0.995997344
notes

Forecast only. Taxes, including EWT ETF-level effective withholding, NOT deducted or asserted.

52
内容を開く
想定日

2035-10-15

year
8.93908282
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

assumed_sbc_share_issuance_non_cash

date_status

assumed

notes

New shares assumed issued to employees; no cash proceeds to original holders. Dilution applied once.

shares_assumed_issued
180000
issuance_proceeds_oku
0
sbc_expense_already_in_ebit_oku
8.971620412
53
内容を開く
想定日

2036-03-20

year
9.368925394
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

annual_financials_and_bank_reconciliation_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

Reconcile disclosed NI, cash, bank debt, SBC, capex and NCI; provisional publication date.

54
内容を開く
想定日

2036-05-20

year
9.535934292
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

predicted_dividend_declaration_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

No declaration is known as of 2026-11-06; confirm actual amount, holders and dates.

55
内容を開く
想定日

2036-08-28

year
9.80971937
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

assumed_ex_dividend_rights_change

date_status

assumed

notes

Ex-date is a weekday adjusted heuristic, NOT announced; must recompute entitlement.

ex_date_assumed

2036-08-28

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

date_ex_date_confirmed
いいえ
ex_date_model_context

2036-08-28

56
内容を開く
想定日

2036-09-24

year
9.883641342
金額
398.771122099
amount_oku
398.771122099
種類

cash_dividend_to_original_shareholder_cohort

date_status

assumed

ex_date

2036-08-28

ex_date_assumed

2036-08-28

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

entitlement_rule

original cohort shares at the assumed ex-date / all dividend eligible shares

company_total_dividend_oku
400.574
original_cohort_share_count_at_ex_date
358321114
shares_eligible_for_dividend_at_ex_date
359941114
old_cohort_fraction_at_ex_date
0.995499264
notes

Forecast only. Taxes, including EWT ETF-level effective withholding, NOT deducted or asserted.

57
内容を開く
想定日

2036-10-15

year
9.941136208
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

assumed_sbc_share_issuance_non_cash

date_status

assumed

notes

New shares assumed issued to employees; no cash proceeds to original holders. Dilution applied once.

shares_assumed_issued
152951
issuance_proceeds_oku
0
sbc_expense_already_in_ebit_oku
7.852138128

その他の数値・前提

キャッシュフローの算出方法

timed_holder_cashflows_v1

basis_ownership

original Nov06 2026 common-share holder cohort, no future hypothetical tender buybacks

forecast_assumptions
内容を開く
stub_sales
460
stub_margin
0.28
annual_sales
内容を開く
1
2800
2
3200
3
3650
4
4050
5
4400
6
4700
7
4950
8
5200
9
5400
10
5600
annual_margin
内容を開く
1
0.28
2
0.275
3
0.265
4
0.26
5
0.255
6
0.25
7
0.248
8
0.245
9
0.242
10
0.24
tax
0.235
maint_sales_rate
0.026
da_sales_rate
0.024
nwc_ratio
0.27
expansion_plan_ratio
1
later_growth_capex_ratio
0.027
dividend_prior_ni_ratio
0.4
sbc_shares_annual
180000
sbc_reference_growth
0.03
interest_rate
0.045
terminal_growth
0.02
terminal_margin
0.22
terminal_discount_rate
0.12
terminal_growth_capex_ratio
0.032
minimum_operating_cash_oku
275
periods
内容を開く
1
内容を開く
period_index
0
calendar_year
2026
label

2026_initial_55d

開始日

2026-11-07

終了日

2026-12-31

days
55
days_in_calendar_year
365
fraction_of_calendar_year
0.150684932
source_status

MODEL_ASSUMPTION

売上高
460
annualized_revenue_reference_oku
3052.727272727
営業利益率
28.00%
営業利益(億)
128.8
bank_interest_expense_oku
3.002823789
min_cash_interest_income_oku
0.331506849
net_finance_income_oku
-2.67131694
profit_before_tax_oku
126.12868306
effective_tax_rate_assumed
0.235
income_tax_expense_oku
29.640240519
consolidated_net_income_oku
96.488442541
nci_net_income_oku
-0.007534247
parent_common_net_income_oku
96.495976788
employee_cash_bonus_expense_in_margin_note

Cash employee bonuses presumed included in operating expenses and NI; not added back.

equity_settled_sbc_expense_in_ebit_oku
0
equity_settled_sbc_cfo_addback_oku
0
depreciation_amortization_oku
11.04
change_in_operating_working_capital_cash_use_oku
42.228
operating_cashflow_estimated_oku
65.300442541
maintenance_capex_cash_oku
11.96
expansion_capex_cash_oku
69.02
capex_total_cash_oku
80.98
lease_principal_cash_oku
0.138630137
fcf_before_dividends_and_financing_oku
-15.818187596
gross_company_dividend_paid_oku
0
original_holder_dividend_received_oku
0
common_buyback_company_spend_oku
0
old_holder_buyback_cash_received_oku
0
new_equity_cash_proceeds_oku
0
bank_borrowing_cash_in_oku
0
bank_debt_repayment_cash_out_oku
20.753655644
opening_cash_oku
311.571843239
ending_cash_oku
275
opening_bank_debt_oku
442.84068
ending_bank_debt_oku
422.087024356
opening_parent_equity_oku
793.574243239
ending_parent_equity_oku
890.070220027
opening_nci_equity_oku
-0.24861
ending_nci_equity_oku
-0.256144247
opening_operating_nwc_oku
628.45434
ending_operating_nwc_oku
670.68234
opening_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
new_lease_liability_oku
0.138630137
ending_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
opening_company_common_shares
358321114
new_employees_sbc_common_shares
0
issuer_buyback_shares
0
ending_company_common_shares
358321114
original_holder_shares_after_transactions
358321114
original_holder_ownership_fraction_end
1
issued_sbc_fair_value_reference_twd
3820
dividend_basis_parent_net_income_previous_calendar_year_oku
0
dividend_rate_on_prior_fiscal_income_assumed
0
dividend_declaration_date_assumed
未確認
dividend_ex_date
未確認
dividend_ex_date_confirmed
未確認
dividend_ex_date_status
未確認
dividend_ex_date_assumed
未確認
dividend_cash_pay_date_assumed
未確認
sources
内容を開く
1

S04

2

S05

3

S06

4

S07

5

S08

6

S09

2
内容を開く
period_index
1
calendar_year
2027
label

2027

開始日

2027-01-01

終了日

2027-12-31

days
365
days_in_calendar_year
365
fraction_of_calendar_year
1
source_status

MODEL_ASSUMPTION

売上高
2800
annualized_revenue_reference_oku
2800
営業利益率
28.00%
営業利益(億)
784
bank_interest_expense_oku
18.993916096
min_cash_interest_income_oku
2.2
net_finance_income_oku
-16.793916096
profit_before_tax_oku
767.206083904
effective_tax_rate_assumed
0.235
income_tax_expense_oku
180.293429717
consolidated_net_income_oku
586.912654187
nci_net_income_oku
-0.05
parent_common_net_income_oku
586.962654187
employee_cash_bonus_expense_in_margin_note

Cash employee bonuses presumed included in operating expenses and NI; not added back.

equity_settled_sbc_expense_in_ebit_oku
7.08228
equity_settled_sbc_cfo_addback_oku
7.08228
depreciation_amortization_oku
67.2
change_in_operating_working_capital_cash_use_oku
172.2606696
operating_cashflow_estimated_oku
488.934264587
maintenance_capex_cash_oku
72.8
expansion_capex_cash_oku
276.08
capex_total_cash_oku
348.88
lease_principal_cash_oku
0.92
fcf_before_dividends_and_financing_oku
139.134264587
gross_company_dividend_paid_oku
181.007120011
original_holder_dividend_received_oku
181.007120011
common_buyback_company_spend_oku
0
old_holder_buyback_cash_received_oku
0
new_equity_cash_proceeds_oku
0
bank_borrowing_cash_in_oku
41.872855424
bank_debt_repayment_cash_out_oku
0
opening_cash_oku
275
ending_cash_oku
275
opening_bank_debt_oku
422.087024356
ending_bank_debt_oku
463.959879781
opening_parent_equity_oku
890.070220027
ending_parent_equity_oku
1303.108034203
opening_nci_equity_oku
-0.256144247
ending_nci_equity_oku
-0.306144247
opening_operating_nwc_oku
670.68234
ending_operating_nwc_oku
842.9430096
opening_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
new_lease_liability_oku
0.92
ending_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
opening_company_common_shares
358321114
new_employees_sbc_common_shares
180000
issuer_buyback_shares
0
ending_company_common_shares
358501114
original_holder_shares_after_transactions
358321114
original_holder_ownership_fraction_end
0.99949791
issued_sbc_fair_value_reference_twd
3934.6
dividend_basis_parent_net_income_previous_calendar_year_oku
452.517800027
dividend_rate_on_prior_fiscal_income_assumed
0.4
dividend_declaration_date_assumed

2027-05-20

dividend_ex_date

2027-08-27

dividend_ex_date_confirmed
未確認
dividend_ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

dividend_ex_date_assumed

2027-08-27

dividend_cash_pay_date_assumed

2027-09-24

sources
内容を開く
1

S04

2

S05

3

S06

4

S07

5

S08

6

S09

3
内容を開く
period_index
2
calendar_year
2028
label

2028

開始日

2028-01-01

終了日

2028-12-31

days
366
days_in_calendar_year
366
fraction_of_calendar_year
1
source_status

MODEL_ASSUMPTION

売上高
3200
annualized_revenue_reference_oku
3200
営業利益率
27.50%
営業利益(億)
880
bank_interest_expense_oku
20.87819459
min_cash_interest_income_oku
2.2
net_finance_income_oku
-18.67819459
profit_before_tax_oku
861.32180541
effective_tax_rate_assumed
0.235
income_tax_expense_oku
202.410624271
consolidated_net_income_oku
658.911181139
nci_net_income_oku
-0.05
parent_common_net_income_oku
658.961181139
employee_cash_bonus_expense_in_margin_note

Cash employee bonuses presumed included in operating expenses and NI; not added back.

equity_settled_sbc_expense_in_ebit_oku
7.2947484
equity_settled_sbc_cfo_addback_oku
7.2947484
depreciation_amortization_oku
76.8
change_in_operating_working_capital_cash_use_oku
108
operating_cashflow_estimated_oku
635.005929539
maintenance_capex_cash_oku
83.2
expansion_capex_cash_oku
256.36
capex_total_cash_oku
339.56
lease_principal_cash_oku
0.92
fcf_before_dividends_and_financing_oku
294.525929539
gross_company_dividend_paid_oku
234.785061675
original_holder_dividend_received_oku
234.667178328
common_buyback_company_spend_oku
0
old_holder_buyback_cash_received_oku
0
new_equity_cash_proceeds_oku
0
bank_borrowing_cash_in_oku
0
bank_debt_repayment_cash_out_oku
59.740867864
opening_cash_oku
275
ending_cash_oku
275
opening_bank_debt_oku
463.959879781
ending_bank_debt_oku
404.219011917
opening_parent_equity_oku
1303.108034203
ending_parent_equity_oku
1734.578902067
opening_nci_equity_oku
-0.306144247
ending_nci_equity_oku
-0.356144247
opening_operating_nwc_oku
842.9430096
ending_operating_nwc_oku
950.9430096
opening_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
new_lease_liability_oku
0.92
ending_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
opening_company_common_shares
358501114
new_employees_sbc_common_shares
180000
issuer_buyback_shares
0
ending_company_common_shares
358681114
original_holder_shares_after_transactions
358321114
original_holder_ownership_fraction_end
0.998996323
issued_sbc_fair_value_reference_twd
4052.638
dividend_basis_parent_net_income_previous_calendar_year_oku
586.962654187
dividend_rate_on_prior_fiscal_income_assumed
0.4
dividend_declaration_date_assumed

2028-05-19

dividend_ex_date

2028-08-28

dividend_ex_date_confirmed
未確認
dividend_ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

dividend_ex_date_assumed

2028-08-28

dividend_cash_pay_date_assumed

2028-09-22

sources
内容を開く
1

S04

2

S05

3

S06

4

S07

5

S08

6

S09

4
内容を開く
period_index
3
calendar_year
2029
label

2029

開始日

2029-01-01

終了日

2029-12-31

days
365
days_in_calendar_year
365
fraction_of_calendar_year
1
source_status

MODEL_ASSUMPTION

売上高
3650
annualized_revenue_reference_oku
3650
営業利益率
26.50%
営業利益(億)
967.25
bank_interest_expense_oku
18.189855536
min_cash_interest_income_oku
2.2
net_finance_income_oku
-15.989855536
profit_before_tax_oku
951.260144464
effective_tax_rate_assumed
0.235
income_tax_expense_oku
223.546133949
consolidated_net_income_oku
727.714010515
nci_net_income_oku
-0.05
parent_common_net_income_oku
727.764010515
employee_cash_bonus_expense_in_margin_note

Cash employee bonuses presumed included in operating expenses and NI; not added back.

equity_settled_sbc_expense_in_ebit_oku
7.513590852
equity_settled_sbc_cfo_addback_oku
7.513590852
depreciation_amortization_oku
87.6
change_in_operating_working_capital_cash_use_oku
121.5
operating_cashflow_estimated_oku
701.327601367
maintenance_capex_cash_oku
94.9
expansion_capex_cash_oku
226.78
capex_total_cash_oku
321.68
lease_principal_cash_oku
0.92
fcf_before_dividends_and_financing_oku
378.727601367
gross_company_dividend_paid_oku
263.584472455
original_holder_dividend_received_oku
263.319918771
common_buyback_company_spend_oku
0
old_holder_buyback_cash_received_oku
0
new_equity_cash_proceeds_oku
0
bank_borrowing_cash_in_oku
0
bank_debt_repayment_cash_out_oku
115.143128911
opening_cash_oku
275
ending_cash_oku
275
opening_bank_debt_oku
404.219011917
ending_bank_debt_oku
289.075883005
opening_parent_equity_oku
1734.578902067
ending_parent_equity_oku
2206.272030978
opening_nci_equity_oku
-0.356144247
ending_nci_equity_oku
-0.406144247
opening_operating_nwc_oku
950.9430096
ending_operating_nwc_oku
1072.4430096
opening_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
new_lease_liability_oku
0.92
ending_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
opening_company_common_shares
358681114
new_employees_sbc_common_shares
180000
issuer_buyback_shares
0
ending_company_common_shares
358861114
original_holder_shares_after_transactions
358321114
original_holder_ownership_fraction_end
0.99849524
issued_sbc_fair_value_reference_twd
4174.21714
dividend_basis_parent_net_income_previous_calendar_year_oku
658.961181139
dividend_rate_on_prior_fiscal_income_assumed
0.4
dividend_declaration_date_assumed

2029-05-18

dividend_ex_date

2029-08-28

dividend_ex_date_confirmed
未確認
dividend_ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

dividend_ex_date_assumed

2029-08-28

dividend_cash_pay_date_assumed

2029-09-24

sources
内容を開く
1

S04

2

S05

3

S06

4

S07

5

S08

6

S09

5
内容を開く
period_index
4
calendar_year
2030
label

2030

開始日

2030-01-01

終了日

2030-12-31

days
365
days_in_calendar_year
365
fraction_of_calendar_year
1
source_status

MODEL_ASSUMPTION

売上高
4050
annualized_revenue_reference_oku
4050
営業利益率
26.00%
営業利益(億)
1053
bank_interest_expense_oku
13.008414735
min_cash_interest_income_oku
2.2
net_finance_income_oku
-10.808414735
profit_before_tax_oku
1042.191585265
effective_tax_rate_assumed
0.235
income_tax_expense_oku
244.915022537
consolidated_net_income_oku
797.276562728
nci_net_income_oku
-0.05
parent_common_net_income_oku
797.326562728
employee_cash_bonus_expense_in_margin_note

Cash employee bonuses presumed included in operating expenses and NI; not added back.

equity_settled_sbc_expense_in_ebit_oku
7.738998578
equity_settled_sbc_cfo_addback_oku
7.738998578
depreciation_amortization_oku
97.2
change_in_operating_working_capital_cash_use_oku
108
operating_cashflow_estimated_oku
794.215561305
maintenance_capex_cash_oku
105.3
expansion_capex_cash_oku
157.76
capex_total_cash_oku
263.06
lease_principal_cash_oku
0.92
fcf_before_dividends_and_financing_oku
530.235561305
gross_company_dividend_paid_oku
291.105604206
original_holder_dividend_received_oku
290.667560015
common_buyback_company_spend_oku
0
old_holder_buyback_cash_received_oku
0
new_equity_cash_proceeds_oku
0
bank_borrowing_cash_in_oku
0
bank_debt_repayment_cash_out_oku
239.129957099
opening_cash_oku
275
ending_cash_oku
275
opening_bank_debt_oku
289.075883005
ending_bank_debt_oku
49.945925906
opening_parent_equity_oku
2206.272030978
ending_parent_equity_oku
2720.231988077
opening_nci_equity_oku
-0.406144247
ending_nci_equity_oku
-0.456144247
opening_operating_nwc_oku
1072.4430096
ending_operating_nwc_oku
1180.4430096
opening_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
new_lease_liability_oku
0.92
ending_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
opening_company_common_shares
358861114
new_employees_sbc_common_shares
180000
issuer_buyback_shares
0
ending_company_common_shares
359041114
original_holder_shares_after_transactions
358321114
original_holder_ownership_fraction_end
0.997994659
issued_sbc_fair_value_reference_twd
4299.4436542
dividend_basis_parent_net_income_previous_calendar_year_oku
727.764010515
dividend_rate_on_prior_fiscal_income_assumed
0.4
dividend_declaration_date_assumed

2030-05-20

dividend_ex_date

2030-08-28

dividend_ex_date_confirmed
未確認
dividend_ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

dividend_ex_date_assumed

2030-08-28

dividend_cash_pay_date_assumed

2030-09-24

sources
内容を開く
1

S04

2

S05

3

S06

4

S07

5

S08

6

S09

6
内容を開く
period_index
5
calendar_year
2031
label

2031

開始日

2031-01-01

終了日

2031-12-31

days
365
days_in_calendar_year
365
fraction_of_calendar_year
1
source_status

MODEL_ASSUMPTION

売上高
4400
annualized_revenue_reference_oku
4400
営業利益率
25.50%
営業利益(億)
1122
bank_interest_expense_oku
2.247566666
min_cash_interest_income_oku
2.2
net_finance_income_oku
-0.047566666
profit_before_tax_oku
1121.952433334
effective_tax_rate_assumed
0.235
income_tax_expense_oku
263.658821834
consolidated_net_income_oku
858.293611501
nci_net_income_oku
-0.05
parent_common_net_income_oku
858.343611501
employee_cash_bonus_expense_in_margin_note

Cash employee bonuses presumed included in operating expenses and NI; not added back.

equity_settled_sbc_expense_in_ebit_oku
7.971168535
equity_settled_sbc_cfo_addback_oku
7.971168535
depreciation_amortization_oku
105.6
change_in_operating_working_capital_cash_use_oku
94.5
operating_cashflow_estimated_oku
877.364780036
maintenance_capex_cash_oku
114.4
expansion_capex_cash_oku
118.8
capex_total_cash_oku
233.2
lease_principal_cash_oku
0.92
fcf_before_dividends_and_financing_oku
643.244780036
gross_company_dividend_paid_oku
318.930625091
original_holder_dividend_received_oku
318.291060314
common_buyback_company_spend_oku
0
old_holder_buyback_cash_received_oku
0
new_equity_cash_proceeds_oku
0
bank_borrowing_cash_in_oku
0
bank_debt_repayment_cash_out_oku
49.945925906
opening_cash_oku
275
ending_cash_oku
549.368229038
opening_bank_debt_oku
49.945925906
ending_bank_debt_oku
0
opening_parent_equity_oku
2720.231988077
ending_parent_equity_oku
3267.616143022
opening_nci_equity_oku
-0.456144247
ending_nci_equity_oku
-0.506144247
opening_operating_nwc_oku
1180.4430096
ending_operating_nwc_oku
1274.9430096
opening_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
new_lease_liability_oku
0.92
ending_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
opening_company_common_shares
359041114
new_employees_sbc_common_shares
180000
issuer_buyback_shares
0
ending_company_common_shares
359221114
original_holder_shares_after_transactions
358321114
original_holder_ownership_fraction_end
0.997494579
issued_sbc_fair_value_reference_twd
4428.426963826
dividend_basis_parent_net_income_previous_calendar_year_oku
797.326562728
dividend_rate_on_prior_fiscal_income_assumed
0.4
dividend_declaration_date_assumed

2031-05-20

dividend_ex_date

2031-08-28

dividend_ex_date_confirmed
未確認
dividend_ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

dividend_ex_date_assumed

2031-08-28

dividend_cash_pay_date_assumed

2031-09-24

sources
内容を開く
1

S04

2

S05

3

S06

4

S07

5

S08

6

S09

7
内容を開く
period_index
6
calendar_year
2032
label

2032

開始日

2032-01-01

終了日

2032-12-31

days
366
days_in_calendar_year
366
fraction_of_calendar_year
1
source_status

MODEL_ASSUMPTION

売上高
4700
annualized_revenue_reference_oku
4700
営業利益率
25.00%
営業利益(億)
1175
bank_interest_expense_oku
0
min_cash_interest_income_oku
2.2
net_finance_income_oku
2.2
profit_before_tax_oku
1177.2
effective_tax_rate_assumed
0.235
income_tax_expense_oku
276.642
consolidated_net_income_oku
900.558
nci_net_income_oku
-0.05
parent_common_net_income_oku
900.608
employee_cash_bonus_expense_in_margin_note

Cash employee bonuses presumed included in operating expenses and NI; not added back.

equity_settled_sbc_expense_in_ebit_oku
8.210303591
equity_settled_sbc_cfo_addback_oku
8.210303591
depreciation_amortization_oku
112.8
change_in_operating_working_capital_cash_use_oku
81
operating_cashflow_estimated_oku
940.568303591
maintenance_capex_cash_oku
122.2
expansion_capex_cash_oku
126.9
capex_total_cash_oku
249.1
lease_principal_cash_oku
0.92
fcf_before_dividends_and_financing_oku
690.548303591
gross_company_dividend_paid_oku
343.3374446
original_holder_dividend_received_oku
342.477239874
common_buyback_company_spend_oku
0
old_holder_buyback_cash_received_oku
0
new_equity_cash_proceeds_oku
0
bank_borrowing_cash_in_oku
0
bank_debt_repayment_cash_out_oku
0
opening_cash_oku
549.368229038
ending_cash_oku
896.579088029
opening_bank_debt_oku
0
ending_bank_debt_oku
0
opening_parent_equity_oku
3267.616143022
ending_parent_equity_oku
3833.097002013
opening_nci_equity_oku
-0.506144247
ending_nci_equity_oku
-0.556144247
opening_operating_nwc_oku
1274.9430096
ending_operating_nwc_oku
1355.9430096
opening_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
new_lease_liability_oku
0.92
ending_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
opening_company_common_shares
359221114
new_employees_sbc_common_shares
180000
issuer_buyback_shares
0
ending_company_common_shares
359401114
original_holder_shares_after_transactions
358321114
original_holder_ownership_fraction_end
0.996995001
issued_sbc_fair_value_reference_twd
4561.279772741
dividend_basis_parent_net_income_previous_calendar_year_oku
858.343611501
dividend_rate_on_prior_fiscal_income_assumed
0.4
dividend_declaration_date_assumed

2032-05-20

dividend_ex_date

2032-08-27

dividend_ex_date_confirmed
未確認
dividend_ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

dividend_ex_date_assumed

2032-08-27

dividend_cash_pay_date_assumed

2032-09-24

sources
内容を開く
1

S04

2

S05

3

S06

4

S07

5

S08

6

S09

8
内容を開く
period_index
7
calendar_year
2033
label

2033

開始日

2033-01-01

終了日

2033-12-31

days
365
days_in_calendar_year
365
fraction_of_calendar_year
1
source_status

MODEL_ASSUMPTION

売上高
4950
annualized_revenue_reference_oku
4950
営業利益率
24.80%
営業利益(億)
1227.6
bank_interest_expense_oku
0
min_cash_interest_income_oku
2.2
net_finance_income_oku
2.2
profit_before_tax_oku
1229.8
effective_tax_rate_assumed
0.235
income_tax_expense_oku
289.003
consolidated_net_income_oku
940.797
nci_net_income_oku
-0.05
parent_common_net_income_oku
940.847
employee_cash_bonus_expense_in_margin_note

Cash employee bonuses presumed included in operating expenses and NI; not added back.

equity_settled_sbc_expense_in_ebit_oku
8.456612699
equity_settled_sbc_cfo_addback_oku
8.456612699
depreciation_amortization_oku
118.8
change_in_operating_working_capital_cash_use_oku
67.5
operating_cashflow_estimated_oku
1000.553612699
maintenance_capex_cash_oku
128.7
expansion_capex_cash_oku
133.65
capex_total_cash_oku
262.35
lease_principal_cash_oku
0.92
fcf_before_dividends_and_financing_oku
737.283612699
gross_company_dividend_paid_oku
360.2432
original_holder_dividend_received_oku
359.160669532
common_buyback_company_spend_oku
0
old_holder_buyback_cash_received_oku
0
new_equity_cash_proceeds_oku
0
bank_borrowing_cash_in_oku
0
bank_debt_repayment_cash_out_oku
0
opening_cash_oku
896.579088029
ending_cash_oku
1273.619500728
opening_bank_debt_oku
0
ending_bank_debt_oku
0
opening_parent_equity_oku
3833.097002013
ending_parent_equity_oku
4422.157414711
opening_nci_equity_oku
-0.556144247
ending_nci_equity_oku
-0.606144247
opening_operating_nwc_oku
1355.9430096
ending_operating_nwc_oku
1423.4430096
opening_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
new_lease_liability_oku
0.92
ending_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
opening_company_common_shares
359401114
new_employees_sbc_common_shares
180000
issuer_buyback_shares
0
ending_company_common_shares
359581114
original_holder_shares_after_transactions
358321114
original_holder_ownership_fraction_end
0.996495923
issued_sbc_fair_value_reference_twd
4698.118165923
dividend_basis_parent_net_income_previous_calendar_year_oku
900.608
dividend_rate_on_prior_fiscal_income_assumed
0.4
dividend_declaration_date_assumed

2033-05-20

dividend_ex_date

2033-08-26

dividend_ex_date_confirmed
未確認
dividend_ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

dividend_ex_date_assumed

2033-08-26

dividend_cash_pay_date_assumed

2033-09-23

sources
内容を開く
1

S04

2

S05

3

S06

4

S07

5

S08

6

S09

9
内容を開く
period_index
8
calendar_year
2034
label

2034

開始日

2034-01-01

終了日

2034-12-31

days
365
days_in_calendar_year
365
fraction_of_calendar_year
1
source_status

MODEL_ASSUMPTION

売上高
5200
annualized_revenue_reference_oku
5200
営業利益率
24.50%
営業利益(億)
1274
bank_interest_expense_oku
0
min_cash_interest_income_oku
2.2
net_finance_income_oku
2.2
profit_before_tax_oku
1276.2
effective_tax_rate_assumed
0.235
income_tax_expense_oku
299.907
consolidated_net_income_oku
976.293
nci_net_income_oku
-0.05
parent_common_net_income_oku
976.343
employee_cash_bonus_expense_in_margin_note

Cash employee bonuses presumed included in operating expenses and NI; not added back.

equity_settled_sbc_expense_in_ebit_oku
8.71031108
equity_settled_sbc_cfo_addback_oku
8.71031108
depreciation_amortization_oku
124.8
change_in_operating_working_capital_cash_use_oku
67.5
operating_cashflow_estimated_oku
1042.30331108
maintenance_capex_cash_oku
135.2
expansion_capex_cash_oku
140.4
capex_total_cash_oku
275.6
lease_principal_cash_oku
0.92
fcf_before_dividends_and_financing_oku
765.78331108
gross_company_dividend_paid_oku
376.3388
original_holder_dividend_received_oku
375.020079774
common_buyback_company_spend_oku
0
old_holder_buyback_cash_received_oku
0
new_equity_cash_proceeds_oku
0
bank_borrowing_cash_in_oku
0
bank_debt_repayment_cash_out_oku
0
opening_cash_oku
1273.619500728
ending_cash_oku
1663.064011807
opening_bank_debt_oku
0
ending_bank_debt_oku
0
opening_parent_equity_oku
4422.157414711
ending_parent_equity_oku
5030.871925791
opening_nci_equity_oku
-0.606144247
ending_nci_equity_oku
-0.656144247
opening_operating_nwc_oku
1423.4430096
ending_operating_nwc_oku
1490.9430096
opening_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
new_lease_liability_oku
0.92
ending_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
opening_company_common_shares
359581114
new_employees_sbc_common_shares
180000
issuer_buyback_shares
0
ending_company_common_shares
359761114
original_holder_shares_after_transactions
358321114
original_holder_ownership_fraction_end
0.995997344
issued_sbc_fair_value_reference_twd
4839.061710901
dividend_basis_parent_net_income_previous_calendar_year_oku
940.847
dividend_rate_on_prior_fiscal_income_assumed
0.4
dividend_declaration_date_assumed

2034-05-19

dividend_ex_date

2034-08-28

dividend_ex_date_confirmed
未確認
dividend_ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

dividend_ex_date_assumed

2034-08-28

dividend_cash_pay_date_assumed

2034-09-22

sources
内容を開く
1

S04

2

S05

3

S06

4

S07

5

S08

6

S09

10
内容を開く
period_index
9
calendar_year
2035
label

2035

開始日

2035-01-01

終了日

2035-12-31

days
365
days_in_calendar_year
365
fraction_of_calendar_year
1
source_status

MODEL_ASSUMPTION

売上高
5400
annualized_revenue_reference_oku
5400
営業利益率
24.20%
営業利益(億)
1306.8
bank_interest_expense_oku
0
min_cash_interest_income_oku
2.2
net_finance_income_oku
2.2
profit_before_tax_oku
1309
effective_tax_rate_assumed
0.235
income_tax_expense_oku
307.615
consolidated_net_income_oku
1001.385
nci_net_income_oku
-0.05
parent_common_net_income_oku
1001.435
employee_cash_bonus_expense_in_margin_note

Cash employee bonuses presumed included in operating expenses and NI; not added back.

equity_settled_sbc_expense_in_ebit_oku
8.971620412
equity_settled_sbc_cfo_addback_oku
8.971620412
depreciation_amortization_oku
129.6
change_in_operating_working_capital_cash_use_oku
54
operating_cashflow_estimated_oku
1085.956620412
maintenance_capex_cash_oku
140.4
expansion_capex_cash_oku
145.8
capex_total_cash_oku
286.2
lease_principal_cash_oku
0.92
fcf_before_dividends_and_financing_oku
798.836620412
gross_company_dividend_paid_oku
390.5372
original_holder_dividend_received_oku
388.974013913
common_buyback_company_spend_oku
0
old_holder_buyback_cash_received_oku
0
new_equity_cash_proceeds_oku
0
bank_borrowing_cash_in_oku
0
bank_debt_repayment_cash_out_oku
0
opening_cash_oku
1663.064011807
ending_cash_oku
2071.363432219
opening_bank_debt_oku
0
ending_bank_debt_oku
0
opening_parent_equity_oku
5030.871925791
ending_parent_equity_oku
5650.741346203
opening_nci_equity_oku
-0.656144247
ending_nci_equity_oku
-0.706144247
opening_operating_nwc_oku
1490.9430096
ending_operating_nwc_oku
1544.9430096
opening_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
new_lease_liability_oku
0.92
ending_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
opening_company_common_shares
359761114
new_employees_sbc_common_shares
180000
issuer_buyback_shares
0
ending_company_common_shares
359941114
original_holder_shares_after_transactions
358321114
original_holder_ownership_fraction_end
0.995499264
issued_sbc_fair_value_reference_twd
4984.233562228
dividend_basis_parent_net_income_previous_calendar_year_oku
976.343
dividend_rate_on_prior_fiscal_income_assumed
0.4
dividend_declaration_date_assumed

2035-05-18

dividend_ex_date

2035-08-28

dividend_ex_date_confirmed
未確認
dividend_ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

dividend_ex_date_assumed

2035-08-28

dividend_cash_pay_date_assumed

2035-09-24

sources
内容を開く
1

S04

2

S05

3

S06

4

S07

5

S08

6

S09

11
内容を開く
period_index
10
calendar_year
2036
label

2036_final_311d

開始日

2036-01-01

終了日

2036-11-06

days
311
days_in_calendar_year
366
fraction_of_calendar_year
0.849726776
source_status

MODEL_ASSUMPTION

売上高
4758.469945355
annualized_revenue_reference_oku
5600
営業利益率
24.00%
営業利益(億)
1142.032786885
bank_interest_expense_oku
0
min_cash_interest_income_oku
1.869398907
net_finance_income_oku
1.869398907
profit_before_tax_oku
1143.902185792
effective_tax_rate_assumed
0.235
income_tax_expense_oku
268.817013661
consolidated_net_income_oku
875.085172131
nci_net_income_oku
-0.042486339
parent_common_net_income_oku
875.12765847
employee_cash_bonus_expense_in_margin_note

Cash employee bonuses presumed included in operating expenses and NI; not added back.

equity_settled_sbc_expense_in_ebit_oku
7.852138128
equity_settled_sbc_cfo_addback_oku
7.852138128
depreciation_amortization_oku
114.203278689
change_in_operating_working_capital_cash_use_oku
45.885245902
operating_cashflow_estimated_oku
951.255343046
maintenance_capex_cash_oku
123.720218579
expansion_capex_cash_oku
128.478688525
capex_total_cash_oku
252.198907104
lease_principal_cash_oku
0.781748634
fcf_before_dividends_and_financing_oku
698.274687308
gross_company_dividend_paid_oku
400.574
original_holder_dividend_received_oku
398.771122099
common_buyback_company_spend_oku
0
old_holder_buyback_cash_received_oku
0
new_equity_cash_proceeds_oku
0
bank_borrowing_cash_in_oku
0
bank_debt_repayment_cash_out_oku
0
opening_cash_oku
2071.363432219
ending_cash_oku
2369.064119528
opening_bank_debt_oku
0
ending_bank_debt_oku
0
opening_parent_equity_oku
5650.741346203
ending_parent_equity_oku
6133.147142801
opening_nci_equity_oku
-0.706144247
ending_nci_equity_oku
-0.748630585
opening_operating_nwc_oku
1544.9430096
ending_operating_nwc_oku
1590.828255502
opening_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
new_lease_liability_oku
0.781748634
ending_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
opening_company_common_shares
359941114
new_employees_sbc_common_shares
152951
issuer_buyback_shares
0
ending_company_common_shares
360094065
original_holder_shares_after_transactions
358321114
original_holder_ownership_fraction_end
0.995076423
issued_sbc_fair_value_reference_twd
5133.760569095
dividend_basis_parent_net_income_previous_calendar_year_oku
1001.435
dividend_rate_on_prior_fiscal_income_assumed
0.4
dividend_declaration_date_assumed

2036-05-20

dividend_ex_date

2036-08-28

dividend_ex_date_confirmed
未確認
dividend_ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

dividend_ex_date_assumed

2036-08-28

dividend_cash_pay_date_assumed

2036-09-24

sources
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1

S04

2

S05

3

S06

4

S07

5

S08

6

S09

period_count
11
期間内の親会社利益合計(億)
8420.214655328
期間内株主受取
3152.355962631
終価
9454.584913224
probability_discount_rate
0.115
現在価値(億)
4901.982237539
value_per_initial_share_twd
1368.041693892
scenario_irr
-0.009078522
terminal
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日付

2036-11-06

valuation_method

2037 sustainable unlevered owner FCFF discounted by terminal return-g, less bank debt, plus excess cash; projected SBC grants neutralized by hypothetical repurchase expense solved algebraically

calendar_2036_revenue_full_year_reference_oku
5600
calendar_2036_fraction_modeled
0.849726776
revenue_2037_annual_oku
5712
normalized_operating_profit_2037_oku
1256.64
normalized_operating_margin_2037
0.22
unlevered_operating_cash_tax_2037_oku
295.3104
da_2037_oku
137.088
maintenance_capex_2037_oku
148.512
recurring_growth_capex_2037_oku
182.784
nwc_cash_investment_2037_oku
30.24
lease_service_2037_oku
0.92
sbc_employee_grant_shares_2037
180000
sbc_reference_price_2037_twd
5287.773386167
noncash_sbc_2037_in_ebit_oku
9.517992095
pre_sbc_buyback_owner_fcff_2037_oku
745.479592095
new_sbc_shares_to_outstanding_ratio
0.000499869
terminal_implied_issuer_buyback_share_price_twd
2638.578789757
annual_cash_cost_to_keep_shares_flat_post_terminal_oku
4.749441822
sustainable_fcff_2037_after_neutralization_oku
740.730150274
terminal_fcff_discount_rate
0.12
terminal_growth_rate
0.02
terminal_capitalization_spread
0.1
operating_ev_2036_oku
7407.301502735
bank_debt_2036_oku
0
cash_total_2036_oku
2369.064119528
non_distributable_operating_cash_oku
275
excess_cash_2036_oku
2094.064119528
lease_service_normalized_not_double_counted_with_lease_liability

lease service is subtracted from sustainable FCFF; lease balance is NOT separately subtracted from EV

debt_minus_excess_cash_oku
-2094.064119528
issuer_total_terminal_common_equity_oku
9501.365622263
issuer_common_shares_2036
360094065
original_holder_common_shares_2036
358321114
fraction_owned_by_nov2026_original_holders_2036
0.995076423
terminal_old_holder_equity_oku
9454.584913224
terminal_value_per_original_share_twd
2638.578789757
terminal_is_excluded_from_timed_cashflows
はい
terminal_2037_earnings_are_not_additional_2036_period_profit
はい

やや強気(確率 18.0%)

高性能基板需要の拡大と生産効率が改善するケース。

このシナリオの数値・キャッシュフローを開く →

強気(確率 7.0%)

高付加価値製品の需要と投資効率が大きく改善するケース。

このシナリオの数値・キャッシュフローを開く →

金額の単位

億TWD (100,000,000 New Taiwan dollars)

事業の詳細

model

Mix epoxy resin/glass cloth/copper foil, fabricate specialty copper clad laminates/prepregs sold to PCB producers for AI server, high-speed networking, automotive and other electronics.

supplier_sources
1

copper foil mainly Taiwan

2

glass fiber cloth Taiwan/Japan

3

epoxy resin Taiwan/Japan

products
1

copper-clad laminate

2

prepreg

3

multilayer press laminate

customer_concentration_2025
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anonymous_customer_A_pct
14
anonymous_customer_B_pct
12
customer_identity_verified
いいえ
出典

S05 pdf p79

geographic_exposure

China ~79.11% of sales geography in 2025 annual; geographic location is not equal to end-customer economic exposures.

2025_annual_report_management_market_share_claims
global_ccl_pct
13.3
halogen_free_ccl_pct
34.4
third_party_prismark_original_verified
いいえ
high_speed_risk

Qualifications and chemistry create barriers, but new ultra-low-loss technologies and competing producers can compress margins.

競争力の詳細

understandability

medium-high core product economics; low auditability of final OEM exposure and ASP/mix

economic_moat

qualification and dielectric-performance manufacturing knowhow; not immune to competing process/capacity

management_capital_allocation

2026-10-28 expansion decision for 986 oku and syndication limit 350 oku demand disciplined project return monitoring

cash_conversion_warning

2026 nine-month cash from operations 122.93 oku vs PPE capex cash 168.78 oku (negative pre-intangible FCF)

cyclicality

volume, high-end product mix, raw copper/glass fiber/resin, customer capex cycles, concentration and fab utilization

業界の詳細

competitors
内容を開く
1

Shengyi Technology

2

Kingboard

3

Nan Ya Plastics

4

Panasonic Industry

competition_assessment

High-end technical qualification supports margins, commodity CCL more price competitive.

overinvestment_risk

Approved 986 oku capex is an authorization, not immediate contractual CF nor guaranteed return.

財務・資本配分の詳細

actual_reviewed_sep2026
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現金(億)
296.78813
trade_receivables_oku
827.03857
inventory_oku
270.83831
trade_payables_oku
499.42254
pp_and_e_oku
477.48155
bank_short_term_borrowings_oku
182.5011
bank_current_long_debt_oku
35.86997
bank_long_term_borrowings_oku
224.46961
financial_debt_oku
442.84068
lease_liability_current_oku
0.56071
lease_liability_long_oku
5.59756
親会社持分(億)
734.68253
noncontrolling_interest_oku
-0.24061
total_equity_oku
734.44192
assets_total_oku
1937.4298
liabilities_total_oku
1202.98788
issued_common_shares
358321114
treasury_shares_reported
0
financial_net_debt_oku
146.05255
lease_liability_total_oku
6.15827
net_operating_working_capital_core_oku
598.45434
actual_2026_ytd
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売上高
1412.26994
営業利益(億)
385.48717
pretax_profit_oku
386.82854
income_tax_expense_oku
89.73315
consolidated_net_profit_oku
297.09539
parent_common_net_profit_oku
297.13011
nci_profit_oku
-0.03472
cfo_oku
122.92912
pp_and_e_cash_capex_oku
168.7846
intangible_cash_capex_oku
0.52555
depreciation_oku
18.95322
amortization_oku
0.35059
total_operating_wc_cash_outflow_oku
236.18383
cash_dividends_paid_oku
89.5802785
weighted_average_basic_shares_thousands
358321
weighted_average_diluted_shares_thousands
358577
potential_employee_stock_bonus_dilution_shares_thousands
256
employee_compensation_accrued_oku
9.99651
director_compensation_accrued_oku
0.68393
cash_dividend_2026_ex_date

2026-08-28

cash_dividend_2026_paid_date

2026-09-24

effective_group_tax_rate
0.231971379
actual_2025_and_oct2026
2026
内容を開く
売上高
942.60578
profit_parent_oku
146.48907
profit_consolidated_oku
146.44888
dividend_2026_for_2025_per_share_twd
25
2026_10
売上高
244.72758
source_status

reproduced_market_regulatory_release; direct issuer MOPS primary row not independently confirmed

preferred_shares

none identified in company registration, 2025 annual and current common financing; reconfirm if future rights change

nci

negative reviewed NCI book and slight negative NCI earnings, separately carried; not added to parent terminal equity.

trust_treasury_and_sbc

2026 basic vs diluted share difference includes 256k hypothetically dilutive employee stock bonus; not confirmed actual share grant. Historical employee compensation accrual inside profit. Future grants entirely hypothetical and charged once in EBIT, CFO addback with corresponding dilution, then terminal future neutralizing buyback cash cost.

share_buybacks

no verified outstanding company buyback authorization or executed treasury shares at 2026-11-06; scenarios conservatively set buyback spending zero and do not count fictitious old-holder tender proceeds

dividend_rights
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2026_dividend_per_common_share_twd
25
2026_declared

2026-07-29

2026_ex_date

2026-08-28

2026_record_date

2026-09-05

2026_payment_date

2026-09-24

eligible_to_buy_at_2026_11_06
いいえ
included_in_projected_holder_cf_oku
0
出典

S06

unfunded_credit_limit_mistake_to_avoid

350 oku approved bank facility is separate from 442.84068 oku outstanding bank financial borrowing on Sep30, pending confirmed draw and signature.

intragroup_loans

Do not separately add subsidiaries related-party intercompany loans to consolidated external financing; eliminate in consolidation.

評価根拠の詳細

q3_2026_pretax_margin
0.307195313
nine_month_effective_tax_rate
0.231971379
annualized_2026_9month_parent_net_income_oku
396.17348
price_earnings_on_9month_annualization
34.55018381
2025_parent_ni_oku
146.48907
price_earnings_2025_full_year
93.439507499
reported_2026_ytd_nwc_cash_use_oku
236.18383
reported_2026_ytd_ebit_margin
0.272955728
reported_2026_ytd_cfo_less_ppe_cash_capex_oku
-45.85548

分析基準とデータ

価格・単価
3820
price_currency

TWD/share

株価の出所

台湾証券取引所2026-11-06日報の普通株終値3,820 TWD

株数
358321114
株数の出所

台湾証券取引所2026-11-06投資枠表の発行普通株358,321,114株。基準日の自己株・信託の有無は未確定のため旧株主分母は代理値。

issued_common_shares
358321114
自己株式数
0
treasury_status

no treasury share balance identified through reviewed 2026-09-30; Nov06 status not independently proven

old_holder_cohort_shares
358321114
total_outstanding_shares_proxy
358321114
時価総額(億)
13687.8665548
financial_statement_date_actual

2026-09-30

financial_starting_point_asof_proxy

2026-11-06 estimated 37-day bridge from 2026-09-30 with October reported revenue, otherwise explicitly assumed

initial_cash_proxy_oku
311.571843239
initial_bank_debt_proxy_oku
442.84068
initial_parent_book_equity_proxy_oku
793.574243239
initial_nci_book_equity_proxy_oku
-0.24861
actual_2026_09_30_parent_equity_oku
734.68253
initial_issuer_common_shares
358321114

検証上の留意点

publishability

UNVERIFIED MODEL assumptions; not fit to be presented as audited public valuation or EWT tax analysis.

actual_vs_proxy_vs_forecast
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1

All 2026-09-30 P&L/BS data verified in reviewed company PDF

2

2026-10 revenue from company announcement repost not direct MOPS original

3

37-day 2026-10-01 to 2026-11-06 reconciliation bridge explicitly estimated

4

55+9*12months+311 future periods purely hypothetical; no 2026 post-cutoff existing cash dividend assumed

tax

Reported 2026 9m consolidated effective tax ~23.2%; future case tax rates assumed 23-25% and apply to positive pretax income (no tax credits or NOL modeled). EWT dividend withholding UNKNOWN and intentionally NOT deducted.

maintenance_capex

Company has not disclosed exact maintenance/growth split. Forecast divides PP&E cash capex using estimated 2.6-3.1% sales maintenance and budget-linked growth; project timing unknown.

customer_concentration

Named downstream A/B anonymized; EWT ETF holdings and final OEM mix unknown.

capex_986

All scenarios model conditional post-cutoff expansion spending as a stress assumption, not a verified remaining cash commitment. Oct28-Jan?? already spent or previously planned overlap unknown.

debt_350

Board finance limit not a cash inflow without verified execution, borrowing dynamically modeled as separate assumptions.

dividends

2026 dividend ex and payment before cutoff, excluded. Future ex dates and payment dates are provisional weekday-adjusted assumptions (Taiwan holiday calendar not checked); declarative zero-event markers included.

SBC

Historical diluted stock-bonus potential is NOT actual paid equity issuance; forecast hypothetical grant shares charged in EBIT; post-terminal stock-neutrality cash replacement solved at implied market price; no same shares deducted twice.

cashflow_coverage

Scenario annual CFO assumes accounting tax equals cash tax, no extra derivative/investment/FX cash mismatch, NCI distributions zero and operating working capital tied to sales changes. Corporate actions after cutoff unverified.

terminal_value

2037 recurring FCFF, not market P/E. Terminal share equity appears exclusively in mcap_oku and IRR terminal separately; no nonzero terminal event inside timed_cashflows.

disclosure_gaps
内容を開く
1

TWSE individual security original Nov06 daily-price API row not obtained (issuer price verified)

2

2026-11-06 exact audited cash, debt, book equity and treasury shares unavailable; 9/30 + estimated 37-day bridge only

3

2026-10 released sales direct MOPS record not obtained

4

Current newly signed 350oku credit and funding status unknown

5

986oku capex authorization cash timetable and committed vs cancellable parts unconfirmed

6

Future maintenance capex and long-run PCB material ASP/product mix and final buyers unknowable

7

2027+ dividend exact ex/payment times not announced; modeled dates not Taiwan-trading-holiday adjusted

8

Actual potential stock bonus settlement vs stock grant details and later issuances unconfirmed

9

Any ETF-level local dividend withholding tax rate unresolved

10

No validated official external importer schema beyond inferred aiv-2-eu-pilot key convention

追加データ・検証記録

分析ごとに収録された追加の前提、年度別データ、検証上の注意を確認できます。

追加データを開く →

分析に使用した資料

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