株譜

AI 銘柄分析 · 10年

Elite Material Co., Ltd. / 台光電子材料股份有限公司 (台光電)

2383 · TWD · 分析基準日 2026-11-06

先端基板向け材料の成長と大型設備投資を考慮した10年評価

10年期待年率-1.37%
資本コスト11.50%
直近終値3,820.00 TWD2026-11-06

AIによるシナリオ分析です。基準日以降の出来事、株価や為替の変化は個別に確認が必要です。各数値は元の分析の単位と前提に従います。

分析の要約

高性能半導体や電子機器の基板向け材料を手掛けます。需要、製品価格、設備更新・増産投資、運転資本、株式報酬を5ケースで評価します。2026年9月末財務から11月6日までの残高は推計です。2026年10月に承認した投資予算は実支払額ではなく、融資枠の実行も未確認です。将来の利益・投資・配当は仮定で、現地源泉税、ETF経費、為替変動は含みません。出典は会社の2026年第3四半期報告と台湾取引所日報です。

事業

電子基板に用いられる銅張積層板や樹脂材料を製造します。

競争力・事業の質

先端用途の製品性能や顧客認証が強みになり得ますが、需要循環と投資回収に注意します。

業界と環境

半導体、サーバー、電子機器の需要と材料供給能力に左右されます。

財務・資本配分

増産予算、実際の投資支払、承認された融資枠と借入実行を区別します。

評価の前提と確認

会計上の利益だけでなく運転資本と維持・成長投資を差し引いた現金を評価します。

資本コストの前提

資本コスト
11.50%
label

illustrative required equity return for owner NPV (11.5%, unverified forward risk premium)

discount_basis

cashflows years = ACT/365.25 from 2026-11-06, fixed calendar ten-year horizon

事業別データ

事業別の内訳と、収録されている年度別データを確認できます。

事業別データを開く →

10年のシナリオ

シナリオごとの確率、期間内の株主還元・追加負担、終価です。金額は億TWD。株主の範囲や受取時点は各分析の前提を確認してください。

シナリオ確率株主還元・追加負担終価
悲観15.0%431.101,060.91
やや悲観25.0%1,214.733,792.76
中立35.0%3,152.369,454.58
やや強気18.0%5,309.0516,963.32
強気7.0%7,492.4923,704.04

悲観(確率 15.0%)

需要減少と投資負担で収益性と財務余力が低下するケース。

このシナリオの数値・キャッシュフローを開く →

やや悲観(確率 25.0%)

需要の伸びが鈍り、投資回収が遅れるケース。

このシナリオの数値・キャッシュフローを開く →

中立(確率 35.0%)

需要は成長するが、競争と設備投資の負担が続くケース。

このシナリオの数値・キャッシュフローを開く →

やや強気(確率 18.0%)

高性能基板需要の拡大と生産効率が改善するケース。

日付別キャッシュフロー

1
内容を開く
想定日

2026-12-08

year
0.087611225
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

future_monthly_revenue_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

Check issuer-exchange November sales; date is assumed.

2
内容を開く
想定日

2026-12-22

year
0.125941136
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

approved_capex_draw_execution_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

Distinguish board budget from signed commitments and actual disbursement.

3
内容を開く
想定日

2026-12-30

year
0.147843943
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

financing_facility_signature_draw_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

NT$350 oku is approval/limit, not assumed drawn debt.

4
内容を開く
想定日

2027-03-19

year
0.364134155
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

annual_financials_and_bank_reconciliation_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

Reconcile disclosed NI, cash, bank debt, SBC, capex and NCI; provisional publication date.

5
内容を開く
想定日

2027-05-20

year
0.533880903
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

predicted_dividend_declaration_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

No declaration is known as of 2026-11-06; confirm actual amount, holders and dates.

6
内容を開く
想定日

2027-06-25

year
0.632443532
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

expansion_capex_commitment_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

Confirm 2026/10/28 NT$986 oku authorization cumulative cash commitments vs actual spend.

7
内容を開く
想定日

2027-08-27

year
0.804928131
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

assumed_ex_dividend_rights_change

date_status

assumed

notes

Ex-date is a weekday adjusted heuristic, NOT announced; must recompute entitlement.

ex_date_assumed

2027-08-27

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

date_ex_date_confirmed
いいえ
ex_date_model_context

2027-08-27

8
内容を開く
想定日

2027-09-24

year
0.881587953
金額
217.001885501
amount_oku
217.001885501
種類

cash_dividend_to_original_shareholder_cohort

date_status

assumed

ex_date

2027-08-27

ex_date_assumed

2027-08-27

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

entitlement_rule

original cohort shares at the assumed ex-date / all dividend eligible shares

company_total_dividend_oku
217.001885501
original_cohort_share_count_at_ex_date
358321114
shares_eligible_for_dividend_at_ex_date
358321114
old_cohort_fraction_at_ex_date
1
notes

Forecast only. Taxes, including EWT ETF-level effective withholding, NOT deducted or asserted.

9
内容を開く
想定日

2027-10-15

year
0.93908282
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

assumed_sbc_share_issuance_non_cash

date_status

assumed

notes

New shares assumed issued to employees; no cash proceeds to original holders. Dilution applied once.

shares_assumed_issued
240000
issuance_proceeds_oku
0
sbc_expense_already_in_ebit_oku
9.48888
10
内容を開く
想定日

2028-03-20

year
1.368925394
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

annual_financials_and_bank_reconciliation_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

Reconcile disclosed NI, cash, bank debt, SBC, capex and NCI; provisional publication date.

11
内容を開く
想定日

2028-05-19

year
1.533196441
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

predicted_dividend_declaration_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

No declaration is known as of 2026-11-06; confirm actual amount, holders and dates.

12
内容を開く
想定日

2028-06-23

year
1.629021218
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

expansion_capex_commitment_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

Confirm 2026/10/28 NT$986 oku authorization cumulative cash commitments vs actual spend.

13
内容を開く
想定日

2028-08-28

year
1.80971937
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

assumed_ex_dividend_rights_change

date_status

assumed

notes

Ex-date is a weekday adjusted heuristic, NOT announced; must recompute entitlement.

ex_date_assumed

2028-08-28

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

date_ex_date_confirmed
いいえ
ex_date_model_context

2028-08-28

14
内容を開く
想定日

2028-09-22

year
1.87816564
金額
360.061362295
amount_oku
360.061362295
種類

cash_dividend_to_original_shareholder_cohort

date_status

assumed

ex_date

2028-08-28

ex_date_assumed

2028-08-28

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

entitlement_rule

original cohort shares at the assumed ex-date / all dividend eligible shares

company_total_dividend_oku
360.302527896
original_cohort_share_count_at_ex_date
358321114
shares_eligible_for_dividend_at_ex_date
358561114
old_cohort_fraction_at_ex_date
0.999330658
notes

Forecast only. Taxes, including EWT ETF-level effective withholding, NOT deducted or asserted.

15
内容を開く
想定日

2028-10-13

year
1.935660507
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

assumed_sbc_share_issuance_non_cash

date_status

assumed

notes

New shares assumed issued to employees; no cash proceeds to original holders. Dilution applied once.

shares_assumed_issued
240000
issuance_proceeds_oku
0
sbc_expense_already_in_ebit_oku
9.8209908
16
内容を開く
想定日

2029-03-20

year
2.368240931
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

annual_financials_and_bank_reconciliation_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

Reconcile disclosed NI, cash, bank debt, SBC, capex and NCI; provisional publication date.

17
内容を開く
想定日

2029-05-18

year
2.529774127
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

predicted_dividend_declaration_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

No declaration is known as of 2026-11-06; confirm actual amount, holders and dates.

18
内容を開く
想定日

2029-06-25

year
2.633812457
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

expansion_capex_commitment_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

Confirm 2026/10/28 NT$986 oku authorization cumulative cash commitments vs actual spend.

19
内容を開く
想定日

2029-08-28

year
2.809034908
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

assumed_ex_dividend_rights_change

date_status

assumed

notes

Ex-date is a weekday adjusted heuristic, NOT announced; must recompute entitlement.

ex_date_assumed

2029-08-28

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

date_ex_date_confirmed
いいえ
ex_date_model_context

2029-08-28

20
内容を開く
想定日

2029-09-24

year
2.882956879
金額
426.033240266
amount_oku
426.033240266
種類

cash_dividend_to_original_shareholder_cohort

date_status

assumed

ex_date

2029-08-28

ex_date_assumed

2029-08-28

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

entitlement_rule

original cohort shares at the assumed ex-date / all dividend eligible shares

company_total_dividend_oku
426.603946115
original_cohort_share_count_at_ex_date
358321114
shares_eligible_for_dividend_at_ex_date
358801114
old_cohort_fraction_at_ex_date
0.998662212
notes

Forecast only. Taxes, including EWT ETF-level effective withholding, NOT deducted or asserted.

21
内容を開く
想定日

2029-10-15

year
2.940451745
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

assumed_sbc_share_issuance_non_cash

date_status

assumed

notes

New shares assumed issued to employees; no cash proceeds to original holders. Dilution applied once.

shares_assumed_issued
240000
issuance_proceeds_oku
0
sbc_expense_already_in_ebit_oku
10.164725478
22
内容を開く
想定日

2030-03-20

year
3.367556468
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

annual_financials_and_bank_reconciliation_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

Reconcile disclosed NI, cash, bank debt, SBC, capex and NCI; provisional publication date.

23
内容を開く
想定日

2030-05-20

year
3.534565366
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

predicted_dividend_declaration_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

No declaration is known as of 2026-11-06; confirm actual amount, holders and dates.

24
内容を開く
想定日

2030-06-25

year
3.633127995
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

expansion_capex_commitment_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

Confirm 2026/10/28 NT$986 oku authorization cumulative cash commitments vs actual spend.

25
内容を開く
想定日

2030-08-28

year
3.808350445
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

assumed_ex_dividend_rights_change

date_status

assumed

notes

Ex-date is a weekday adjusted heuristic, NOT announced; must recompute entitlement.

ex_date_assumed

2030-08-28

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

date_ex_date_confirmed
いいえ
ex_date_model_context

2030-08-28

26
内容を開く
想定日

2030-09-24

year
3.882272416
金額
480.865783823
amount_oku
480.865783823
種類

cash_dividend_to_original_shareholder_cohort

date_status

assumed

ex_date

2030-08-28

ex_date_assumed

2030-08-28

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

entitlement_rule

original cohort shares at the assumed ex-date / all dividend eligible shares

company_total_dividend_oku
481.832021509
original_cohort_share_count_at_ex_date
358321114
shares_eligible_for_dividend_at_ex_date
359041114
old_cohort_fraction_at_ex_date
0.997994659
notes

Forecast only. Taxes, including EWT ETF-level effective withholding, NOT deducted or asserted.

27
内容を開く
想定日

2030-10-15

year
3.939767283
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

assumed_sbc_share_issuance_non_cash

date_status

assumed

notes

New shares assumed issued to employees; no cash proceeds to original holders. Dilution applied once.

shares_assumed_issued
240000
issuance_proceeds_oku
0
sbc_expense_already_in_ebit_oku
10.52049087
28
内容を開く
想定日

2031-03-20

year
4.366872005
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

annual_financials_and_bank_reconciliation_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

Reconcile disclosed NI, cash, bank debt, SBC, capex and NCI; provisional publication date.

29
内容を開く
想定日

2031-05-20

year
4.533880903
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

predicted_dividend_declaration_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

No declaration is known as of 2026-11-06; confirm actual amount, holders and dates.

30
内容を開く
想定日

2031-08-28

year
4.807665982
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

assumed_ex_dividend_rights_change

date_status

assumed

notes

Ex-date is a weekday adjusted heuristic, NOT announced; must recompute entitlement.

ex_date_assumed

2031-08-28

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

date_ex_date_confirmed
いいえ
ex_date_model_context

2031-08-28

31
内容を開く
想定日

2031-09-24

year
4.881587953
金額
540.621277415
amount_oku
540.621277415
種類

cash_dividend_to_original_shareholder_cohort

date_status

assumed

ex_date

2031-08-28

ex_date_assumed

2031-08-28

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

entitlement_rule

original cohort shares at the assumed ex-date / all dividend eligible shares

company_total_dividend_oku
542.069688927
original_cohort_share_count_at_ex_date
358321114
shares_eligible_for_dividend_at_ex_date
359281114
old_cohort_fraction_at_ex_date
0.997327998
notes

Forecast only. Taxes, including EWT ETF-level effective withholding, NOT deducted or asserted.

32
内容を開く
想定日

2031-10-15

year
4.93908282
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

assumed_sbc_share_issuance_non_cash

date_status

assumed

notes

New shares assumed issued to employees; no cash proceeds to original holders. Dilution applied once.

shares_assumed_issued
240000
issuance_proceeds_oku
0
sbc_expense_already_in_ebit_oku
10.88870805
33
内容を開く
想定日

2032-03-19

year
5.366187543
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

annual_financials_and_bank_reconciliation_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

Reconcile disclosed NI, cash, bank debt, SBC, capex and NCI; provisional publication date.

34
内容を開く
想定日

2032-05-20

year
5.535934292
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

predicted_dividend_declaration_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

No declaration is known as of 2026-11-06; confirm actual amount, holders and dates.

35
内容を開く
想定日

2032-08-27

year
5.80698152
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

assumed_ex_dividend_rights_change

date_status

assumed

notes

Ex-date is a weekday adjusted heuristic, NOT announced; must recompute entitlement.

ex_date_assumed

2032-08-27

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

date_ex_date_confirmed
いいえ
ex_date_model_context

2032-08-27

36
内容を開く
想定日

2032-09-24

year
5.883641342
金額
585.431393709
amount_oku
585.431393709
種類

cash_dividend_to_original_shareholder_cohort

date_status

assumed

ex_date

2032-08-27

ex_date_assumed

2032-08-27

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

entitlement_rule

original cohort shares at the assumed ex-date / all dividend eligible shares

company_total_dividend_oku
587.391975
original_cohort_share_count_at_ex_date
358321114
shares_eligible_for_dividend_at_ex_date
359521114
old_cohort_fraction_at_ex_date
0.996662227
notes

Forecast only. Taxes, including EWT ETF-level effective withholding, NOT deducted or asserted.

37
内容を開く
想定日

2032-10-15

year
5.941136208
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

assumed_sbc_share_issuance_non_cash

date_status

assumed

notes

New shares assumed issued to employees; no cash proceeds to original holders. Dilution applied once.

shares_assumed_issued
240000
issuance_proceeds_oku
0
sbc_expense_already_in_ebit_oku
11.269812832
38
内容を開く
想定日

2033-03-18

year
6.362765229
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

annual_financials_and_bank_reconciliation_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

Reconcile disclosed NI, cash, bank debt, SBC, capex and NCI; provisional publication date.

39
内容を開く
想定日

2033-05-20

year
6.535249829
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

predicted_dividend_declaration_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

No declaration is known as of 2026-11-06; confirm actual amount, holders and dates.

40
内容を開く
想定日

2033-08-26

year
6.803559206
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

assumed_ex_dividend_rights_change

date_status

assumed

notes

Ex-date is a weekday adjusted heuristic, NOT announced; must recompute entitlement.

ex_date_assumed

2033-08-26

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

date_ex_date_confirmed
いいえ
ex_date_model_context

2033-08-26

41
内容を開く
想定日

2033-09-23

year
6.880219028
金額
622.054224752
amount_oku
622.054224752
種類

cash_dividend_to_original_shareholder_cohort

date_status

assumed

ex_date

2033-08-26

ex_date_assumed

2033-08-26

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

entitlement_rule

original cohort shares at the assumed ex-date / all dividend eligible shares

company_total_dividend_oku
624.5541
original_cohort_share_count_at_ex_date
358321114
shares_eligible_for_dividend_at_ex_date
359761114
old_cohort_fraction_at_ex_date
0.995997344
notes

Forecast only. Taxes, including EWT ETF-level effective withholding, NOT deducted or asserted.

42
内容を開く
想定日

2033-10-14

year
6.937713895
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

assumed_sbc_share_issuance_non_cash

date_status

assumed

notes

New shares assumed issued to employees; no cash proceeds to original holders. Dilution applied once.

shares_assumed_issued
240000
issuance_proceeds_oku
0
sbc_expense_already_in_ebit_oku
11.664256281
43
内容を開く
想定日

2034-03-20

year
7.367556468
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

annual_financials_and_bank_reconciliation_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

Reconcile disclosed NI, cash, bank debt, SBC, capex and NCI; provisional publication date.

44
内容を開く
想定日

2034-05-19

year
7.531827515
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

predicted_dividend_declaration_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

No declaration is known as of 2026-11-06; confirm actual amount, holders and dates.

45
内容を開く
想定日

2034-08-28

year
7.808350445
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

assumed_ex_dividend_rights_change

date_status

assumed

notes

Ex-date is a weekday adjusted heuristic, NOT announced; must recompute entitlement.

ex_date_assumed

2034-08-28

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

date_ex_date_confirmed
いいえ
ex_date_model_context

2034-08-28

46
内容を開く
想定日

2034-09-22

year
7.876796715
金額
663.025483819
amount_oku
663.025483819
種類

cash_dividend_to_original_shareholder_cohort

date_status

assumed

ex_date

2034-08-28

ex_date_assumed

2034-08-28

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

entitlement_rule

original cohort shares at the assumed ex-date / all dividend eligible shares

company_total_dividend_oku
666.1341
original_cohort_share_count_at_ex_date
358321114
shares_eligible_for_dividend_at_ex_date
360001114
old_cohort_fraction_at_ex_date
0.995333348
notes

Forecast only. Taxes, including EWT ETF-level effective withholding, NOT deducted or asserted.

47
内容を開く
想定日

2034-10-13

year
7.934291581
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

assumed_sbc_share_issuance_non_cash

date_status

assumed

notes

New shares assumed issued to employees; no cash proceeds to original holders. Dilution applied once.

shares_assumed_issued
240000
issuance_proceeds_oku
0
sbc_expense_already_in_ebit_oku
12.072505251
48
内容を開く
想定日

2035-03-20

year
8.366872005
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

annual_financials_and_bank_reconciliation_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

Reconcile disclosed NI, cash, bank debt, SBC, capex and NCI; provisional publication date.

49
内容を開く
想定日

2035-05-18

year
8.528405202
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

predicted_dividend_declaration_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

No declaration is known as of 2026-11-06; confirm actual amount, holders and dates.

50
内容を開く
想定日

2035-08-28

year
8.807665982
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

assumed_ex_dividend_rights_change

date_status

assumed

notes

Ex-date is a weekday adjusted heuristic, NOT announced; must recompute entitlement.

ex_date_assumed

2035-08-28

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

date_ex_date_confirmed
いいえ
ex_date_model_context

2035-08-28

51
内容を開く
想定日

2035-09-24

year
8.881587953
金額
703.942151105
amount_oku
703.942151105
種類

cash_dividend_to_original_shareholder_cohort

date_status

assumed

ex_date

2035-08-28

ex_date_assumed

2035-08-28

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

entitlement_rule

original cohort shares at the assumed ex-date / all dividend eligible shares

company_total_dividend_oku
707.7141
original_cohort_share_count_at_ex_date
358321114
shares_eligible_for_dividend_at_ex_date
360241114
old_cohort_fraction_at_ex_date
0.994670236
notes

Forecast only. Taxes, including EWT ETF-level effective withholding, NOT deducted or asserted.

52
内容を開く
想定日

2035-10-15

year
8.93908282
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

assumed_sbc_share_issuance_non_cash

date_status

assumed

notes

New shares assumed issued to employees; no cash proceeds to original holders. Dilution applied once.

shares_assumed_issued
240000
issuance_proceeds_oku
0
sbc_expense_already_in_ebit_oku
12.495042935
53
内容を開く
想定日

2036-03-20

year
9.368925394
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

annual_financials_and_bank_reconciliation_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

Reconcile disclosed NI, cash, bank debt, SBC, capex and NCI; provisional publication date.

54
内容を開く
想定日

2036-05-20

year
9.535934292
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

predicted_dividend_declaration_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

No declaration is known as of 2026-11-06; confirm actual amount, holders and dates.

55
内容を開く
想定日

2036-08-28

year
9.80971937
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

assumed_ex_dividend_rights_change

date_status

assumed

notes

Ex-date is a weekday adjusted heuristic, NOT announced; must recompute entitlement.

ex_date_assumed

2036-08-28

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

date_ex_date_confirmed
いいえ
ex_date_model_context

2036-08-28

56
内容を開く
想定日

2036-09-24

year
9.883641342
金額
710.017534399
amount_oku
710.017534399
種類

cash_dividend_to_original_shareholder_cohort

date_status

assumed

ex_date

2036-08-28

ex_date_assumed

2036-08-28

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

entitlement_rule

original cohort shares at the assumed ex-date / all dividend eligible shares

company_total_dividend_oku
714.2976
original_cohort_share_count_at_ex_date
358321114
shares_eligible_for_dividend_at_ex_date
360481114
old_cohort_fraction_at_ex_date
0.994008008
notes

Forecast only. Taxes, including EWT ETF-level effective withholding, NOT deducted or asserted.

57
内容を開く
想定日

2036-10-15

year
9.941136208
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

assumed_sbc_share_issuance_non_cash

date_status

assumed

notes

New shares assumed issued to employees; no cash proceeds to original holders. Dilution applied once.

shares_assumed_issued
203934
issuance_proceeds_oku
0
sbc_expense_already_in_ebit_oku
10.98895762

その他の数値・前提

キャッシュフローの算出方法

timed_holder_cashflows_v1

basis_ownership

original Nov06 2026 common-share holder cohort, no future hypothetical tender buybacks

forecast_assumptions
内容を開く
stub_sales
520
stub_margin
0.32
annual_sales
内容を開く
1
3300
2
3900
3
4450
4
5050
5
5550
6
6000
7
6400
8
6800
9
7100
10
7400
annual_margin
内容を開く
1
0.32
2
0.32
3
0.315
4
0.31
5
0.305
6
0.3
7
0.3
8
0.3
9
0.29
10
0.29
tax
0.23
maint_sales_rate
0.028
da_sales_rate
0.026
nwc_ratio
0.25
expansion_plan_ratio
1.2
later_growth_capex_ratio
0.037
dividend_prior_ni_ratio
0.45
sbc_shares_annual
240000
sbc_reference_growth
0.035
interest_rate
0.043
terminal_growth
0.03
terminal_margin
0.27
terminal_discount_rate
0.115
terminal_growth_capex_ratio
0.044
minimum_operating_cash_oku
300
periods
内容を開く
1
内容を開く
period_index
0
calendar_year
2026
label

2026_initial_55d

開始日

2026-11-07

終了日

2026-12-31

days
55
days_in_calendar_year
365
fraction_of_calendar_year
0.150684932
source_status

MODEL_ASSUMPTION

売上高
520
annualized_revenue_reference_oku
3450.909090909
営業利益率
32.00%
営業利益(億)
166.4
bank_interest_expense_oku
2.869364954
min_cash_interest_income_oku
0.361643836
net_finance_income_oku
-2.507721118
profit_before_tax_oku
163.892278882
effective_tax_rate_assumed
0.23
income_tax_expense_oku
37.695224143
consolidated_net_income_oku
126.197054739
nci_net_income_oku
-0.007534247
parent_common_net_income_oku
126.204588985
employee_cash_bonus_expense_in_margin_note

Cash employee bonuses presumed included in operating expenses and NI; not added back.

equity_settled_sbc_expense_in_ebit_oku
0
equity_settled_sbc_cfo_addback_oku
0
depreciation_amortization_oku
13.52
change_in_operating_working_capital_cash_use_oku
44.2
operating_cashflow_estimated_oku
95.517054739
maintenance_capex_cash_oku
14.56
expansion_capex_cash_oku
82.824
capex_total_cash_oku
97.384
lease_principal_cash_oku
0.138630137
fcf_before_dividends_and_financing_oku
-2.005575398
gross_company_dividend_paid_oku
0
original_holder_dividend_received_oku
0
common_buyback_company_spend_oku
0
old_holder_buyback_cash_received_oku
0
new_equity_cash_proceeds_oku
0
bank_borrowing_cash_in_oku
0
bank_debt_repayment_cash_out_oku
9.566267841
opening_cash_oku
311.571843239
ending_cash_oku
300
opening_bank_debt_oku
442.84068
ending_bank_debt_oku
433.274412159
opening_parent_equity_oku
793.574243239
ending_parent_equity_oku
919.778832225
opening_nci_equity_oku
-0.24861
ending_nci_equity_oku
-0.256144247
opening_operating_nwc_oku
628.45434
ending_operating_nwc_oku
672.65434
opening_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
new_lease_liability_oku
0.138630137
ending_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
opening_company_common_shares
358321114
new_employees_sbc_common_shares
0
issuer_buyback_shares
0
ending_company_common_shares
358321114
original_holder_shares_after_transactions
358321114
original_holder_ownership_fraction_end
1
issued_sbc_fair_value_reference_twd
3820
dividend_basis_parent_net_income_previous_calendar_year_oku
0
dividend_rate_on_prior_fiscal_income_assumed
0
dividend_declaration_date_assumed
未確認
dividend_ex_date
未確認
dividend_ex_date_confirmed
未確認
dividend_ex_date_status
未確認
dividend_ex_date_assumed
未確認
dividend_cash_pay_date_assumed
未確認
sources
内容を開く
1

S04

2

S05

3

S06

4

S07

5

S08

6

S09

2
内容を開く
period_index
1
calendar_year
2027
label

2027

開始日

2027-01-01

終了日

2027-12-31

days
365
days_in_calendar_year
365
fraction_of_calendar_year
1
source_status

MODEL_ASSUMPTION

売上高
3300
annualized_revenue_reference_oku
3300
営業利益率
32.00%
営業利益(億)
1056
bank_interest_expense_oku
18.630799723
min_cash_interest_income_oku
2.4
net_finance_income_oku
-16.230799723
profit_before_tax_oku
1039.769200277
effective_tax_rate_assumed
0.23
income_tax_expense_oku
239.146916064
consolidated_net_income_oku
800.622284213
nci_net_income_oku
-0.05
parent_common_net_income_oku
800.672284213
employee_cash_bonus_expense_in_margin_note

Cash employee bonuses presumed included in operating expenses and NI; not added back.

equity_settled_sbc_expense_in_ebit_oku
9.48888
equity_settled_sbc_cfo_addback_oku
9.48888
depreciation_amortization_oku
85.8
change_in_operating_working_capital_cash_use_oku
269.50062
operating_cashflow_estimated_oku
626.410544213
maintenance_capex_cash_oku
92.4
expansion_capex_cash_oku
331.296
capex_total_cash_oku
423.696
lease_principal_cash_oku
0.92
fcf_before_dividends_and_financing_oku
201.794544213
gross_company_dividend_paid_oku
217.001885501
original_holder_dividend_received_oku
217.001885501
common_buyback_company_spend_oku
0
old_holder_buyback_cash_received_oku
0
new_equity_cash_proceeds_oku
0
bank_borrowing_cash_in_oku
15.207341288
bank_debt_repayment_cash_out_oku
0
opening_cash_oku
300
ending_cash_oku
300
opening_bank_debt_oku
433.274412159
ending_bank_debt_oku
448.481753446
opening_parent_equity_oku
919.778832225
ending_parent_equity_oku
1512.938110937
opening_nci_equity_oku
-0.256144247
ending_nci_equity_oku
-0.306144247
opening_operating_nwc_oku
672.65434
ending_operating_nwc_oku
942.15496
opening_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
new_lease_liability_oku
0.92
ending_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
opening_company_common_shares
358321114
new_employees_sbc_common_shares
240000
issuer_buyback_shares
0
ending_company_common_shares
358561114
original_holder_shares_after_transactions
358321114
original_holder_ownership_fraction_end
0.999330658
issued_sbc_fair_value_reference_twd
3953.7
dividend_basis_parent_net_income_previous_calendar_year_oku
482.226412224
dividend_rate_on_prior_fiscal_income_assumed
0.45
dividend_declaration_date_assumed

2027-05-20

dividend_ex_date

2027-08-27

dividend_ex_date_confirmed
未確認
dividend_ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

dividend_ex_date_assumed

2027-08-27

dividend_cash_pay_date_assumed

2027-09-24

sources
内容を開く
1

S04

2

S05

3

S06

4

S07

5

S08

6

S09

3
内容を開く
period_index
2
calendar_year
2028
label

2028

開始日

2028-01-01

終了日

2028-12-31

days
366
days_in_calendar_year
366
fraction_of_calendar_year
1
source_status

MODEL_ASSUMPTION

売上高
3900
annualized_revenue_reference_oku
3900
営業利益率
32.00%
営業利益(億)
1248
bank_interest_expense_oku
19.284715398
min_cash_interest_income_oku
2.4
net_finance_income_oku
-16.884715398
profit_before_tax_oku
1231.115284602
effective_tax_rate_assumed
0.23
income_tax_expense_oku
283.156515458
consolidated_net_income_oku
947.958769143
nci_net_income_oku
-0.05
parent_common_net_income_oku
948.008769143
employee_cash_bonus_expense_in_margin_note

Cash employee bonuses presumed included in operating expenses and NI; not added back.

equity_settled_sbc_expense_in_ebit_oku
9.8209908
equity_settled_sbc_cfo_addback_oku
9.8209908
depreciation_amortization_oku
101.4
change_in_operating_working_capital_cash_use_oku
150
operating_cashflow_estimated_oku
909.179759943
maintenance_capex_cash_oku
109.2
expansion_capex_cash_oku
307.632
capex_total_cash_oku
416.832
lease_principal_cash_oku
0.92
fcf_before_dividends_and_financing_oku
491.427759943
gross_company_dividend_paid_oku
360.302527896
original_holder_dividend_received_oku
360.061362295
common_buyback_company_spend_oku
0
old_holder_buyback_cash_received_oku
0
new_equity_cash_proceeds_oku
0
bank_borrowing_cash_in_oku
0
bank_debt_repayment_cash_out_oku
131.125232047
opening_cash_oku
300
ending_cash_oku
300
opening_bank_debt_oku
448.481753446
ending_bank_debt_oku
317.356521399
opening_parent_equity_oku
1512.938110937
ending_parent_equity_oku
2110.465342984
opening_nci_equity_oku
-0.306144247
ending_nci_equity_oku
-0.356144247
opening_operating_nwc_oku
942.15496
ending_operating_nwc_oku
1092.15496
opening_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
new_lease_liability_oku
0.92
ending_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
opening_company_common_shares
358561114
new_employees_sbc_common_shares
240000
issuer_buyback_shares
0
ending_company_common_shares
358801114
original_holder_shares_after_transactions
358321114
original_holder_ownership_fraction_end
0.998662212
issued_sbc_fair_value_reference_twd
4092.0795
dividend_basis_parent_net_income_previous_calendar_year_oku
800.672284213
dividend_rate_on_prior_fiscal_income_assumed
0.45
dividend_declaration_date_assumed

2028-05-19

dividend_ex_date

2028-08-28

dividend_ex_date_confirmed
未確認
dividend_ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

dividend_ex_date_assumed

2028-08-28

dividend_cash_pay_date_assumed

2028-09-22

sources
内容を開く
1

S04

2

S05

3

S06

4

S07

5

S08

6

S09

4
内容を開く
period_index
3
calendar_year
2029
label

2029

開始日

2029-01-01

終了日

2029-12-31

days
365
days_in_calendar_year
365
fraction_of_calendar_year
1
source_status

MODEL_ASSUMPTION

売上高
4450
annualized_revenue_reference_oku
4450
営業利益率
31.50%
営業利益(億)
1401.75
bank_interest_expense_oku
13.64633042
min_cash_interest_income_oku
2.4
net_finance_income_oku
-11.24633042
profit_before_tax_oku
1390.50366958
effective_tax_rate_assumed
0.23
income_tax_expense_oku
319.815844003
consolidated_net_income_oku
1070.687825576
nci_net_income_oku
-0.05
parent_common_net_income_oku
1070.737825576
employee_cash_bonus_expense_in_margin_note

Cash employee bonuses presumed included in operating expenses and NI; not added back.

equity_settled_sbc_expense_in_ebit_oku
10.164725478
equity_settled_sbc_cfo_addback_oku
10.164725478
depreciation_amortization_oku
115.7
change_in_operating_working_capital_cash_use_oku
137.5
operating_cashflow_estimated_oku
1059.052551054
maintenance_capex_cash_oku
124.6
expansion_capex_cash_oku
272.136
capex_total_cash_oku
396.736
lease_principal_cash_oku
0.92
fcf_before_dividends_and_financing_oku
661.396551054
gross_company_dividend_paid_oku
426.603946115
original_holder_dividend_received_oku
426.033240266
common_buyback_company_spend_oku
0
old_holder_buyback_cash_received_oku
0
new_equity_cash_proceeds_oku
0
bank_borrowing_cash_in_oku
0
bank_debt_repayment_cash_out_oku
234.79260494
opening_cash_oku
300
ending_cash_oku
300
opening_bank_debt_oku
317.356521399
ending_bank_debt_oku
82.563916459
opening_parent_equity_oku
2110.465342984
ending_parent_equity_oku
2764.763947924
opening_nci_equity_oku
-0.356144247
ending_nci_equity_oku
-0.406144247
opening_operating_nwc_oku
1092.15496
ending_operating_nwc_oku
1229.65496
opening_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
new_lease_liability_oku
0.92
ending_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
opening_company_common_shares
358801114
new_employees_sbc_common_shares
240000
issuer_buyback_shares
0
ending_company_common_shares
359041114
original_holder_shares_after_transactions
358321114
original_holder_ownership_fraction_end
0.997994659
issued_sbc_fair_value_reference_twd
4235.3022825
dividend_basis_parent_net_income_previous_calendar_year_oku
948.008769143
dividend_rate_on_prior_fiscal_income_assumed
0.45
dividend_declaration_date_assumed

2029-05-18

dividend_ex_date

2029-08-28

dividend_ex_date_confirmed
未確認
dividend_ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

dividend_ex_date_assumed

2029-08-28

dividend_cash_pay_date_assumed

2029-09-24

sources
内容を開く
1

S04

2

S05

3

S06

4

S07

5

S08

6

S09

5
内容を開く
period_index
4
calendar_year
2030
label

2030

開始日

2030-01-01

終了日

2030-12-31

days
365
days_in_calendar_year
365
fraction_of_calendar_year
1
source_status

MODEL_ASSUMPTION

売上高
5050
annualized_revenue_reference_oku
5050
営業利益率
31.00%
営業利益(億)
1565.5
bank_interest_expense_oku
3.550248408
min_cash_interest_income_oku
2.4
net_finance_income_oku
-1.150248408
profit_before_tax_oku
1564.349751592
effective_tax_rate_assumed
0.23
income_tax_expense_oku
359.800442866
consolidated_net_income_oku
1204.549308726
nci_net_income_oku
-0.05
parent_common_net_income_oku
1204.599308726
employee_cash_bonus_expense_in_margin_note

Cash employee bonuses presumed included in operating expenses and NI; not added back.

equity_settled_sbc_expense_in_ebit_oku
10.52049087
equity_settled_sbc_cfo_addback_oku
10.52049087
depreciation_amortization_oku
131.3
change_in_operating_working_capital_cash_use_oku
150
operating_cashflow_estimated_oku
1196.369799596
maintenance_capex_cash_oku
141.4
expansion_capex_cash_oku
189.312
capex_total_cash_oku
330.712
lease_principal_cash_oku
0.92
fcf_before_dividends_and_financing_oku
864.737799596
gross_company_dividend_paid_oku
481.832021509
original_holder_dividend_received_oku
480.865783823
common_buyback_company_spend_oku
0
old_holder_buyback_cash_received_oku
0
new_equity_cash_proceeds_oku
0
bank_borrowing_cash_in_oku
0
bank_debt_repayment_cash_out_oku
82.563916459
opening_cash_oku
300
ending_cash_oku
600.341861627
opening_bank_debt_oku
82.563916459
ending_bank_debt_oku
0
opening_parent_equity_oku
2764.763947924
ending_parent_equity_oku
3498.051726011
opening_nci_equity_oku
-0.406144247
ending_nci_equity_oku
-0.456144247
opening_operating_nwc_oku
1229.65496
ending_operating_nwc_oku
1379.65496
opening_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
new_lease_liability_oku
0.92
ending_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
opening_company_common_shares
359041114
new_employees_sbc_common_shares
240000
issuer_buyback_shares
0
ending_company_common_shares
359281114
original_holder_shares_after_transactions
358321114
original_holder_ownership_fraction_end
0.997327998
issued_sbc_fair_value_reference_twd
4383.537862387
dividend_basis_parent_net_income_previous_calendar_year_oku
1070.737825576
dividend_rate_on_prior_fiscal_income_assumed
0.45
dividend_declaration_date_assumed

2030-05-20

dividend_ex_date

2030-08-28

dividend_ex_date_confirmed
未確認
dividend_ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

dividend_ex_date_assumed

2030-08-28

dividend_cash_pay_date_assumed

2030-09-24

sources
内容を開く
1

S04

2

S05

3

S06

4

S07

5

S08

6

S09

6
内容を開く
period_index
5
calendar_year
2031
label

2031

開始日

2031-01-01

終了日

2031-12-31

days
365
days_in_calendar_year
365
fraction_of_calendar_year
1
source_status

MODEL_ASSUMPTION

売上高
5550
annualized_revenue_reference_oku
5550
営業利益率
30.50%
営業利益(億)
1692.75
bank_interest_expense_oku
0
min_cash_interest_income_oku
2.4
net_finance_income_oku
2.4
profit_before_tax_oku
1695.15
effective_tax_rate_assumed
0.23
income_tax_expense_oku
389.8845
consolidated_net_income_oku
1305.2655
nci_net_income_oku
-0.05
parent_common_net_income_oku
1305.3155
employee_cash_bonus_expense_in_margin_note

Cash employee bonuses presumed included in operating expenses and NI; not added back.

equity_settled_sbc_expense_in_ebit_oku
10.88870805
equity_settled_sbc_cfo_addback_oku
10.88870805
depreciation_amortization_oku
144.3
change_in_operating_working_capital_cash_use_oku
125
operating_cashflow_estimated_oku
1335.45420805
maintenance_capex_cash_oku
155.4
expansion_capex_cash_oku
205.35
capex_total_cash_oku
360.75
lease_principal_cash_oku
0.92
fcf_before_dividends_and_financing_oku
973.78420805
gross_company_dividend_paid_oku
542.069688927
original_holder_dividend_received_oku
540.621277415
common_buyback_company_spend_oku
0
old_holder_buyback_cash_received_oku
0
new_equity_cash_proceeds_oku
0
bank_borrowing_cash_in_oku
0
bank_debt_repayment_cash_out_oku
0
opening_cash_oku
600.341861627
ending_cash_oku
1032.056380751
opening_bank_debt_oku
0
ending_bank_debt_oku
0
opening_parent_equity_oku
3498.051726011
ending_parent_equity_oku
4272.186245134
opening_nci_equity_oku
-0.456144247
ending_nci_equity_oku
-0.506144247
opening_operating_nwc_oku
1379.65496
ending_operating_nwc_oku
1504.65496
opening_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
new_lease_liability_oku
0.92
ending_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
opening_company_common_shares
359281114
new_employees_sbc_common_shares
240000
issuer_buyback_shares
0
ending_company_common_shares
359521114
original_holder_shares_after_transactions
358321114
original_holder_ownership_fraction_end
0.996662227
issued_sbc_fair_value_reference_twd
4536.961687571
dividend_basis_parent_net_income_previous_calendar_year_oku
1204.599308726
dividend_rate_on_prior_fiscal_income_assumed
0.45
dividend_declaration_date_assumed

2031-05-20

dividend_ex_date

2031-08-28

dividend_ex_date_confirmed
未確認
dividend_ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

dividend_ex_date_assumed

2031-08-28

dividend_cash_pay_date_assumed

2031-09-24

sources
内容を開く
1

S04

2

S05

3

S06

4

S07

5

S08

6

S09

7
内容を開く
period_index
6
calendar_year
2032
label

2032

開始日

2032-01-01

終了日

2032-12-31

days
366
days_in_calendar_year
366
fraction_of_calendar_year
1
source_status

MODEL_ASSUMPTION

売上高
6000
annualized_revenue_reference_oku
6000
営業利益率
30.00%
営業利益(億)
1800
bank_interest_expense_oku
0
min_cash_interest_income_oku
2.4
net_finance_income_oku
2.4
profit_before_tax_oku
1802.4
effective_tax_rate_assumed
0.23
income_tax_expense_oku
414.552
consolidated_net_income_oku
1387.848
nci_net_income_oku
-0.05
parent_common_net_income_oku
1387.898
employee_cash_bonus_expense_in_margin_note

Cash employee bonuses presumed included in operating expenses and NI; not added back.

equity_settled_sbc_expense_in_ebit_oku
11.269812832
equity_settled_sbc_cfo_addback_oku
11.269812832
depreciation_amortization_oku
156
change_in_operating_working_capital_cash_use_oku
112.5
operating_cashflow_estimated_oku
1442.617812832
maintenance_capex_cash_oku
168
expansion_capex_cash_oku
222
capex_total_cash_oku
390
lease_principal_cash_oku
0.92
fcf_before_dividends_and_financing_oku
1051.697812832
gross_company_dividend_paid_oku
587.391975
original_holder_dividend_received_oku
585.431393709
common_buyback_company_spend_oku
0
old_holder_buyback_cash_received_oku
0
new_equity_cash_proceeds_oku
0
bank_borrowing_cash_in_oku
0
bank_debt_repayment_cash_out_oku
0
opening_cash_oku
1032.056380751
ending_cash_oku
1496.362218583
opening_bank_debt_oku
0
ending_bank_debt_oku
0
opening_parent_equity_oku
4272.186245134
ending_parent_equity_oku
5083.962082966
opening_nci_equity_oku
-0.506144247
ending_nci_equity_oku
-0.556144247
opening_operating_nwc_oku
1504.65496
ending_operating_nwc_oku
1617.15496
opening_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
new_lease_liability_oku
0.92
ending_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
opening_company_common_shares
359521114
new_employees_sbc_common_shares
240000
issuer_buyback_shares
0
ending_company_common_shares
359761114
original_holder_shares_after_transactions
358321114
original_holder_ownership_fraction_end
0.995997344
issued_sbc_fair_value_reference_twd
4695.755346636
dividend_basis_parent_net_income_previous_calendar_year_oku
1305.3155
dividend_rate_on_prior_fiscal_income_assumed
0.45
dividend_declaration_date_assumed

2032-05-20

dividend_ex_date

2032-08-27

dividend_ex_date_confirmed
未確認
dividend_ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

dividend_ex_date_assumed

2032-08-27

dividend_cash_pay_date_assumed

2032-09-24

sources
内容を開く
1

S04

2

S05

3

S06

4

S07

5

S08

6

S09

8
内容を開く
period_index
7
calendar_year
2033
label

2033

開始日

2033-01-01

終了日

2033-12-31

days
365
days_in_calendar_year
365
fraction_of_calendar_year
1
source_status

MODEL_ASSUMPTION

売上高
6400
annualized_revenue_reference_oku
6400
営業利益率
30.00%
営業利益(億)
1920
bank_interest_expense_oku
0
min_cash_interest_income_oku
2.4
net_finance_income_oku
2.4
profit_before_tax_oku
1922.4
effective_tax_rate_assumed
0.23
income_tax_expense_oku
442.152
consolidated_net_income_oku
1480.248
nci_net_income_oku
-0.05
parent_common_net_income_oku
1480.298
employee_cash_bonus_expense_in_margin_note

Cash employee bonuses presumed included in operating expenses and NI; not added back.

equity_settled_sbc_expense_in_ebit_oku
11.664256281
equity_settled_sbc_cfo_addback_oku
11.664256281
depreciation_amortization_oku
166.4
change_in_operating_working_capital_cash_use_oku
100
operating_cashflow_estimated_oku
1558.312256281
maintenance_capex_cash_oku
179.2
expansion_capex_cash_oku
236.8
capex_total_cash_oku
416
lease_principal_cash_oku
0.92
fcf_before_dividends_and_financing_oku
1141.392256281
gross_company_dividend_paid_oku
624.5541
original_holder_dividend_received_oku
622.054224752
common_buyback_company_spend_oku
0
old_holder_buyback_cash_received_oku
0
new_equity_cash_proceeds_oku
0
bank_borrowing_cash_in_oku
0
bank_debt_repayment_cash_out_oku
0
opening_cash_oku
1496.362218583
ending_cash_oku
2013.200374864
opening_bank_debt_oku
0
ending_bank_debt_oku
0
opening_parent_equity_oku
5083.962082966
ending_parent_equity_oku
5951.370239247
opening_nci_equity_oku
-0.556144247
ending_nci_equity_oku
-0.606144247
opening_operating_nwc_oku
1617.15496
ending_operating_nwc_oku
1717.15496
opening_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
new_lease_liability_oku
0.92
ending_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
opening_company_common_shares
359761114
new_employees_sbc_common_shares
240000
issuer_buyback_shares
0
ending_company_common_shares
360001114
original_holder_shares_after_transactions
358321114
original_holder_ownership_fraction_end
0.995333348
issued_sbc_fair_value_reference_twd
4860.106783768
dividend_basis_parent_net_income_previous_calendar_year_oku
1387.898
dividend_rate_on_prior_fiscal_income_assumed
0.45
dividend_declaration_date_assumed

2033-05-20

dividend_ex_date

2033-08-26

dividend_ex_date_confirmed
未確認
dividend_ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

dividend_ex_date_assumed

2033-08-26

dividend_cash_pay_date_assumed

2033-09-23

sources
内容を開く
1

S04

2

S05

3

S06

4

S07

5

S08

6

S09

9
内容を開く
period_index
8
calendar_year
2034
label

2034

開始日

2034-01-01

終了日

2034-12-31

days
365
days_in_calendar_year
365
fraction_of_calendar_year
1
source_status

MODEL_ASSUMPTION

売上高
6800
annualized_revenue_reference_oku
6800
営業利益率
30.00%
営業利益(億)
2040
bank_interest_expense_oku
0
min_cash_interest_income_oku
2.4
net_finance_income_oku
2.4
profit_before_tax_oku
2042.4
effective_tax_rate_assumed
0.23
income_tax_expense_oku
469.752
consolidated_net_income_oku
1572.648
nci_net_income_oku
-0.05
parent_common_net_income_oku
1572.698
employee_cash_bonus_expense_in_margin_note

Cash employee bonuses presumed included in operating expenses and NI; not added back.

equity_settled_sbc_expense_in_ebit_oku
12.072505251
equity_settled_sbc_cfo_addback_oku
12.072505251
depreciation_amortization_oku
176.8
change_in_operating_working_capital_cash_use_oku
100
operating_cashflow_estimated_oku
1661.520505251
maintenance_capex_cash_oku
190.4
expansion_capex_cash_oku
251.6
capex_total_cash_oku
442
lease_principal_cash_oku
0.92
fcf_before_dividends_and_financing_oku
1218.600505251
gross_company_dividend_paid_oku
666.1341
original_holder_dividend_received_oku
663.025483819
common_buyback_company_spend_oku
0
old_holder_buyback_cash_received_oku
0
new_equity_cash_proceeds_oku
0
bank_borrowing_cash_in_oku
0
bank_debt_repayment_cash_out_oku
0
opening_cash_oku
2013.200374864
ending_cash_oku
2565.666780115
opening_bank_debt_oku
0
ending_bank_debt_oku
0
opening_parent_equity_oku
5951.370239247
ending_parent_equity_oku
6870.006644498
opening_nci_equity_oku
-0.606144247
ending_nci_equity_oku
-0.656144247
opening_operating_nwc_oku
1717.15496
ending_operating_nwc_oku
1817.15496
opening_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
new_lease_liability_oku
0.92
ending_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
opening_company_common_shares
360001114
new_employees_sbc_common_shares
240000
issuer_buyback_shares
0
ending_company_common_shares
360241114
original_holder_shares_after_transactions
358321114
original_holder_ownership_fraction_end
0.994670236
issued_sbc_fair_value_reference_twd
5030.2105212
dividend_basis_parent_net_income_previous_calendar_year_oku
1480.298
dividend_rate_on_prior_fiscal_income_assumed
0.45
dividend_declaration_date_assumed

2034-05-19

dividend_ex_date

2034-08-28

dividend_ex_date_confirmed
未確認
dividend_ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

dividend_ex_date_assumed

2034-08-28

dividend_cash_pay_date_assumed

2034-09-22

sources
内容を開く
1

S04

2

S05

3

S06

4

S07

5

S08

6

S09

10
内容を開く
period_index
9
calendar_year
2035
label

2035

開始日

2035-01-01

終了日

2035-12-31

days
365
days_in_calendar_year
365
fraction_of_calendar_year
1
source_status

MODEL_ASSUMPTION

売上高
7100
annualized_revenue_reference_oku
7100
営業利益率
29.00%
営業利益(億)
2059
bank_interest_expense_oku
0
min_cash_interest_income_oku
2.4
net_finance_income_oku
2.4
profit_before_tax_oku
2061.4
effective_tax_rate_assumed
0.23
income_tax_expense_oku
474.122
consolidated_net_income_oku
1587.278
nci_net_income_oku
-0.05
parent_common_net_income_oku
1587.328
employee_cash_bonus_expense_in_margin_note

Cash employee bonuses presumed included in operating expenses and NI; not added back.

equity_settled_sbc_expense_in_ebit_oku
12.495042935
equity_settled_sbc_cfo_addback_oku
12.495042935
depreciation_amortization_oku
184.6
change_in_operating_working_capital_cash_use_oku
75
operating_cashflow_estimated_oku
1709.373042935
maintenance_capex_cash_oku
198.8
expansion_capex_cash_oku
262.7
capex_total_cash_oku
461.5
lease_principal_cash_oku
0.92
fcf_before_dividends_and_financing_oku
1246.953042935
gross_company_dividend_paid_oku
707.7141
original_holder_dividend_received_oku
703.942151105
common_buyback_company_spend_oku
0
old_holder_buyback_cash_received_oku
0
new_equity_cash_proceeds_oku
0
bank_borrowing_cash_in_oku
0
bank_debt_repayment_cash_out_oku
0
opening_cash_oku
2565.666780115
ending_cash_oku
3104.905723049
opening_bank_debt_oku
0
ending_bank_debt_oku
0
opening_parent_equity_oku
6870.006644498
ending_parent_equity_oku
7762.115587433
opening_nci_equity_oku
-0.656144247
ending_nci_equity_oku
-0.706144247
opening_operating_nwc_oku
1817.15496
ending_operating_nwc_oku
1892.15496
opening_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
new_lease_liability_oku
0.92
ending_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
opening_company_common_shares
360241114
new_employees_sbc_common_shares
240000
issuer_buyback_shares
0
ending_company_common_shares
360481114
original_holder_shares_after_transactions
358321114
original_holder_ownership_fraction_end
0.994008008
issued_sbc_fair_value_reference_twd
5206.267889442
dividend_basis_parent_net_income_previous_calendar_year_oku
1572.698
dividend_rate_on_prior_fiscal_income_assumed
0.45
dividend_declaration_date_assumed

2035-05-18

dividend_ex_date

2035-08-28

dividend_ex_date_confirmed
未確認
dividend_ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

dividend_ex_date_assumed

2035-08-28

dividend_cash_pay_date_assumed

2035-09-24

sources
内容を開く
1

S04

2

S05

3

S06

4

S07

5

S08

6

S09

11
内容を開く
period_index
10
calendar_year
2036
label

2036_final_311d

開始日

2036-01-01

終了日

2036-11-06

days
311
days_in_calendar_year
366
fraction_of_calendar_year
0.849726776
source_status

MODEL_ASSUMPTION

売上高
6287.978142077
annualized_revenue_reference_oku
7400
営業利益率
29.00%
営業利益(億)
1823.513661202
bank_interest_expense_oku
0
min_cash_interest_income_oku
2.039344262
net_finance_income_oku
2.039344262
profit_before_tax_oku
1825.553005464
effective_tax_rate_assumed
0.23
income_tax_expense_oku
419.877191257
consolidated_net_income_oku
1405.675814208
nci_net_income_oku
-0.042486339
parent_common_net_income_oku
1405.718300546
employee_cash_bonus_expense_in_margin_note

Cash employee bonuses presumed included in operating expenses and NI; not added back.

equity_settled_sbc_expense_in_ebit_oku
10.98895762
equity_settled_sbc_cfo_addback_oku
10.98895762
depreciation_amortization_oku
163.487431694
change_in_operating_working_capital_cash_use_oku
63.729508197
operating_cashflow_estimated_oku
1516.422695325
maintenance_capex_cash_oku
176.063387978
expansion_capex_cash_oku
232.655191257
capex_total_cash_oku
408.718579235
lease_principal_cash_oku
0.781748634
fcf_before_dividends_and_financing_oku
1106.922367456
gross_company_dividend_paid_oku
714.2976
original_holder_dividend_received_oku
710.017534399
common_buyback_company_spend_oku
0
old_holder_buyback_cash_received_oku
0
new_equity_cash_proceeds_oku
0
bank_borrowing_cash_in_oku
0
bank_debt_repayment_cash_out_oku
0
opening_cash_oku
3104.905723049
ending_cash_oku
3497.530490505
opening_bank_debt_oku
0
ending_bank_debt_oku
0
opening_parent_equity_oku
7762.115587433
ending_parent_equity_oku
8464.525245599
opening_nci_equity_oku
-0.706144247
ending_nci_equity_oku
-0.748630585
opening_operating_nwc_oku
1892.15496
ending_operating_nwc_oku
1955.884468197
opening_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
new_lease_liability_oku
0.781748634
ending_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
opening_company_common_shares
360481114
new_employees_sbc_common_shares
203934
issuer_buyback_shares
0
ending_company_common_shares
360685048
original_holder_shares_after_transactions
358321114
original_holder_ownership_fraction_end
0.993445988
issued_sbc_fair_value_reference_twd
5388.487265573
dividend_basis_parent_net_income_previous_calendar_year_oku
1587.328
dividend_rate_on_prior_fiscal_income_assumed
0.45
dividend_declaration_date_assumed

2036-05-20

dividend_ex_date

2036-08-28

dividend_ex_date_confirmed
未確認
dividend_ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

dividend_ex_date_assumed

2036-08-28

dividend_cash_pay_date_assumed

2036-09-24

sources
内容を開く
1

S04

2

S05

3

S06

4

S07

5

S08

6

S09

period_count
11
期間内の親会社利益合計(億)
12889.478577189
期間内株主受取
5309.054337084
終価
16963.324287419
probability_discount_rate
0.115
現在価値(億)
8539.436109915
value_per_initial_share_twd
2383.179716815
scenario_irr
0.055828783
terminal
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日付

2036-11-06

valuation_method

2037 sustainable unlevered owner FCFF discounted by terminal return-g, less bank debt, plus excess cash; projected SBC grants neutralized by hypothetical repurchase expense solved algebraically

calendar_2036_revenue_full_year_reference_oku
7400
calendar_2036_fraction_modeled
0.849726776
revenue_2037_annual_oku
7622
normalized_operating_profit_2037_oku
2057.94
normalized_operating_margin_2037
0.27
unlevered_operating_cash_tax_2037_oku
473.3262
da_2037_oku
198.172
maintenance_capex_2037_oku
213.416
recurring_growth_capex_2037_oku
335.368
nwc_cash_investment_2037_oku
55.5
lease_service_2037_oku
0.92
sbc_employee_grant_shares_2037
240000
sbc_reference_price_2037_twd
5577.084319868
noncash_sbc_2037_in_ebit_oku
13.385002368
pre_sbc_buyback_owner_fcff_2037_oku
1190.966802368
new_sbc_shares_to_outstanding_ratio
0.0006654
terminal_implied_issuer_buyback_share_price_twd
4734.112399366
annual_cash_cost_to_keep_shares_flat_post_terminal_oku
11.361869758
sustainable_fcff_2037_after_neutralization_oku
1179.604932609
terminal_fcff_discount_rate
0.115
terminal_growth_rate
0.03
terminal_capitalization_spread
0.085
operating_ev_2036_oku
13877.70508952
bank_debt_2036_oku
0
cash_total_2036_oku
3497.530490505
non_distributable_operating_cash_oku
300
excess_cash_2036_oku
3197.530490505
lease_service_normalized_not_double_counted_with_lease_liability

lease service is subtracted from sustainable FCFF; lease balance is NOT separately subtracted from EV

debt_minus_excess_cash_oku
-3197.530490505
issuer_total_terminal_common_equity_oku
17075.235580025
issuer_common_shares_2036
360685048
original_holder_common_shares_2036
358321114
fraction_owned_by_nov2026_original_holders_2036
0.993445988
terminal_old_holder_equity_oku
16963.324287419
terminal_value_per_original_share_twd
4734.112399366
terminal_is_excluded_from_timed_cashflows
はい
terminal_2037_earnings_are_not_additional_2036_period_profit
はい

強気(確率 7.0%)

高付加価値製品の需要と投資効率が大きく改善するケース。

このシナリオの数値・キャッシュフローを開く →

金額の単位

億TWD (100,000,000 New Taiwan dollars)

事業の詳細

model

Mix epoxy resin/glass cloth/copper foil, fabricate specialty copper clad laminates/prepregs sold to PCB producers for AI server, high-speed networking, automotive and other electronics.

supplier_sources
1

copper foil mainly Taiwan

2

glass fiber cloth Taiwan/Japan

3

epoxy resin Taiwan/Japan

products
1

copper-clad laminate

2

prepreg

3

multilayer press laminate

customer_concentration_2025
内容を開く
anonymous_customer_A_pct
14
anonymous_customer_B_pct
12
customer_identity_verified
いいえ
出典

S05 pdf p79

geographic_exposure

China ~79.11% of sales geography in 2025 annual; geographic location is not equal to end-customer economic exposures.

2025_annual_report_management_market_share_claims
global_ccl_pct
13.3
halogen_free_ccl_pct
34.4
third_party_prismark_original_verified
いいえ
high_speed_risk

Qualifications and chemistry create barriers, but new ultra-low-loss technologies and competing producers can compress margins.

競争力の詳細

understandability

medium-high core product economics; low auditability of final OEM exposure and ASP/mix

economic_moat

qualification and dielectric-performance manufacturing knowhow; not immune to competing process/capacity

management_capital_allocation

2026-10-28 expansion decision for 986 oku and syndication limit 350 oku demand disciplined project return monitoring

cash_conversion_warning

2026 nine-month cash from operations 122.93 oku vs PPE capex cash 168.78 oku (negative pre-intangible FCF)

cyclicality

volume, high-end product mix, raw copper/glass fiber/resin, customer capex cycles, concentration and fab utilization

業界の詳細

competitors
内容を開く
1

Shengyi Technology

2

Kingboard

3

Nan Ya Plastics

4

Panasonic Industry

competition_assessment

High-end technical qualification supports margins, commodity CCL more price competitive.

overinvestment_risk

Approved 986 oku capex is an authorization, not immediate contractual CF nor guaranteed return.

財務・資本配分の詳細

actual_reviewed_sep2026
内容を開く
現金(億)
296.78813
trade_receivables_oku
827.03857
inventory_oku
270.83831
trade_payables_oku
499.42254
pp_and_e_oku
477.48155
bank_short_term_borrowings_oku
182.5011
bank_current_long_debt_oku
35.86997
bank_long_term_borrowings_oku
224.46961
financial_debt_oku
442.84068
lease_liability_current_oku
0.56071
lease_liability_long_oku
5.59756
親会社持分(億)
734.68253
noncontrolling_interest_oku
-0.24061
total_equity_oku
734.44192
assets_total_oku
1937.4298
liabilities_total_oku
1202.98788
issued_common_shares
358321114
treasury_shares_reported
0
financial_net_debt_oku
146.05255
lease_liability_total_oku
6.15827
net_operating_working_capital_core_oku
598.45434
actual_2026_ytd
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売上高
1412.26994
営業利益(億)
385.48717
pretax_profit_oku
386.82854
income_tax_expense_oku
89.73315
consolidated_net_profit_oku
297.09539
parent_common_net_profit_oku
297.13011
nci_profit_oku
-0.03472
cfo_oku
122.92912
pp_and_e_cash_capex_oku
168.7846
intangible_cash_capex_oku
0.52555
depreciation_oku
18.95322
amortization_oku
0.35059
total_operating_wc_cash_outflow_oku
236.18383
cash_dividends_paid_oku
89.5802785
weighted_average_basic_shares_thousands
358321
weighted_average_diluted_shares_thousands
358577
potential_employee_stock_bonus_dilution_shares_thousands
256
employee_compensation_accrued_oku
9.99651
director_compensation_accrued_oku
0.68393
cash_dividend_2026_ex_date

2026-08-28

cash_dividend_2026_paid_date

2026-09-24

effective_group_tax_rate
0.231971379
actual_2025_and_oct2026
2026
内容を開く
売上高
942.60578
profit_parent_oku
146.48907
profit_consolidated_oku
146.44888
dividend_2026_for_2025_per_share_twd
25
2026_10
売上高
244.72758
source_status

reproduced_market_regulatory_release; direct issuer MOPS primary row not independently confirmed

preferred_shares

none identified in company registration, 2025 annual and current common financing; reconfirm if future rights change

nci

negative reviewed NCI book and slight negative NCI earnings, separately carried; not added to parent terminal equity.

trust_treasury_and_sbc

2026 basic vs diluted share difference includes 256k hypothetically dilutive employee stock bonus; not confirmed actual share grant. Historical employee compensation accrual inside profit. Future grants entirely hypothetical and charged once in EBIT, CFO addback with corresponding dilution, then terminal future neutralizing buyback cash cost.

share_buybacks

no verified outstanding company buyback authorization or executed treasury shares at 2026-11-06; scenarios conservatively set buyback spending zero and do not count fictitious old-holder tender proceeds

dividend_rights
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2026_dividend_per_common_share_twd
25
2026_declared

2026-07-29

2026_ex_date

2026-08-28

2026_record_date

2026-09-05

2026_payment_date

2026-09-24

eligible_to_buy_at_2026_11_06
いいえ
included_in_projected_holder_cf_oku
0
出典

S06

unfunded_credit_limit_mistake_to_avoid

350 oku approved bank facility is separate from 442.84068 oku outstanding bank financial borrowing on Sep30, pending confirmed draw and signature.

intragroup_loans

Do not separately add subsidiaries related-party intercompany loans to consolidated external financing; eliminate in consolidation.

評価根拠の詳細

q3_2026_pretax_margin
0.307195313
nine_month_effective_tax_rate
0.231971379
annualized_2026_9month_parent_net_income_oku
396.17348
price_earnings_on_9month_annualization
34.55018381
2025_parent_ni_oku
146.48907
price_earnings_2025_full_year
93.439507499
reported_2026_ytd_nwc_cash_use_oku
236.18383
reported_2026_ytd_ebit_margin
0.272955728
reported_2026_ytd_cfo_less_ppe_cash_capex_oku
-45.85548

分析基準とデータ

価格・単価
3820
price_currency

TWD/share

株価の出所

台湾証券取引所2026-11-06日報の普通株終値3,820 TWD

株数
358321114
株数の出所

台湾証券取引所2026-11-06投資枠表の発行普通株358,321,114株。基準日の自己株・信託の有無は未確定のため旧株主分母は代理値。

issued_common_shares
358321114
自己株式数
0
treasury_status

no treasury share balance identified through reviewed 2026-09-30; Nov06 status not independently proven

old_holder_cohort_shares
358321114
total_outstanding_shares_proxy
358321114
時価総額(億)
13687.8665548
financial_statement_date_actual

2026-09-30

financial_starting_point_asof_proxy

2026-11-06 estimated 37-day bridge from 2026-09-30 with October reported revenue, otherwise explicitly assumed

initial_cash_proxy_oku
311.571843239
initial_bank_debt_proxy_oku
442.84068
initial_parent_book_equity_proxy_oku
793.574243239
initial_nci_book_equity_proxy_oku
-0.24861
actual_2026_09_30_parent_equity_oku
734.68253
initial_issuer_common_shares
358321114

検証上の留意点

publishability

UNVERIFIED MODEL assumptions; not fit to be presented as audited public valuation or EWT tax analysis.

actual_vs_proxy_vs_forecast
内容を開く
1

All 2026-09-30 P&L/BS data verified in reviewed company PDF

2

2026-10 revenue from company announcement repost not direct MOPS original

3

37-day 2026-10-01 to 2026-11-06 reconciliation bridge explicitly estimated

4

55+9*12months+311 future periods purely hypothetical; no 2026 post-cutoff existing cash dividend assumed

tax

Reported 2026 9m consolidated effective tax ~23.2%; future case tax rates assumed 23-25% and apply to positive pretax income (no tax credits or NOL modeled). EWT dividend withholding UNKNOWN and intentionally NOT deducted.

maintenance_capex

Company has not disclosed exact maintenance/growth split. Forecast divides PP&E cash capex using estimated 2.6-3.1% sales maintenance and budget-linked growth; project timing unknown.

customer_concentration

Named downstream A/B anonymized; EWT ETF holdings and final OEM mix unknown.

capex_986

All scenarios model conditional post-cutoff expansion spending as a stress assumption, not a verified remaining cash commitment. Oct28-Jan?? already spent or previously planned overlap unknown.

debt_350

Board finance limit not a cash inflow without verified execution, borrowing dynamically modeled as separate assumptions.

dividends

2026 dividend ex and payment before cutoff, excluded. Future ex dates and payment dates are provisional weekday-adjusted assumptions (Taiwan holiday calendar not checked); declarative zero-event markers included.

SBC

Historical diluted stock-bonus potential is NOT actual paid equity issuance; forecast hypothetical grant shares charged in EBIT; post-terminal stock-neutrality cash replacement solved at implied market price; no same shares deducted twice.

cashflow_coverage

Scenario annual CFO assumes accounting tax equals cash tax, no extra derivative/investment/FX cash mismatch, NCI distributions zero and operating working capital tied to sales changes. Corporate actions after cutoff unverified.

terminal_value

2037 recurring FCFF, not market P/E. Terminal share equity appears exclusively in mcap_oku and IRR terminal separately; no nonzero terminal event inside timed_cashflows.

disclosure_gaps
内容を開く
1

TWSE individual security original Nov06 daily-price API row not obtained (issuer price verified)

2

2026-11-06 exact audited cash, debt, book equity and treasury shares unavailable; 9/30 + estimated 37-day bridge only

3

2026-10 released sales direct MOPS record not obtained

4

Current newly signed 350oku credit and funding status unknown

5

986oku capex authorization cash timetable and committed vs cancellable parts unconfirmed

6

Future maintenance capex and long-run PCB material ASP/product mix and final buyers unknowable

7

2027+ dividend exact ex/payment times not announced; modeled dates not Taiwan-trading-holiday adjusted

8

Actual potential stock bonus settlement vs stock grant details and later issuances unconfirmed

9

Any ETF-level local dividend withholding tax rate unresolved

10

No validated official external importer schema beyond inferred aiv-2-eu-pilot key convention

追加データ・検証記録

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分析に使用した資料

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