株譜

AI 銘柄分析 · 10年

Elite Material Co., Ltd. / 台光電子材料股份有限公司 (台光電)

2383 · TWD · 分析基準日 2026-11-06

先端基板向け材料の成長と大型設備投資を考慮した10年評価

10年期待年率-1.37%
資本コスト11.50%
直近終値3,820.00 TWD2026-11-06

AIによるシナリオ分析です。基準日以降の出来事、株価や為替の変化は個別に確認が必要です。各数値は元の分析の単位と前提に従います。

分析の要約

高性能半導体や電子機器の基板向け材料を手掛けます。需要、製品価格、設備更新・増産投資、運転資本、株式報酬を5ケースで評価します。2026年9月末財務から11月6日までの残高は推計です。2026年10月に承認した投資予算は実支払額ではなく、融資枠の実行も未確認です。将来の利益・投資・配当は仮定で、現地源泉税、ETF経費、為替変動は含みません。出典は会社の2026年第3四半期報告と台湾取引所日報です。

事業

電子基板に用いられる銅張積層板や樹脂材料を製造します。

競争力・事業の質

先端用途の製品性能や顧客認証が強みになり得ますが、需要循環と投資回収に注意します。

業界と環境

半導体、サーバー、電子機器の需要と材料供給能力に左右されます。

財務・資本配分

増産予算、実際の投資支払、承認された融資枠と借入実行を区別します。

評価の前提と確認

会計上の利益だけでなく運転資本と維持・成長投資を差し引いた現金を評価します。

資本コストの前提

資本コスト
11.50%
label

illustrative required equity return for owner NPV (11.5%, unverified forward risk premium)

discount_basis

cashflows years = ACT/365.25 from 2026-11-06, fixed calendar ten-year horizon

事業別データ

事業別の内訳と、収録されている年度別データを確認できます。

事業別データを開く →

10年のシナリオ

シナリオごとの確率、期間内の株主還元・追加負担、終価です。金額は億TWD。株主の範囲や受取時点は各分析の前提を確認してください。

シナリオ確率株主還元・追加負担終価
悲観15.0%431.101,060.91
やや悲観25.0%1,214.733,792.76
中立35.0%3,152.369,454.58
やや強気18.0%5,309.0516,963.32
強気7.0%7,492.4923,704.04

悲観(確率 15.0%)

需要減少と投資負担で収益性と財務余力が低下するケース。

このシナリオの数値・キャッシュフローを開く →

やや悲観(確率 25.0%)

需要の伸びが鈍り、投資回収が遅れるケース。

このシナリオの数値・キャッシュフローを開く →

中立(確率 35.0%)

需要は成長するが、競争と設備投資の負担が続くケース。

このシナリオの数値・キャッシュフローを開く →

やや強気(確率 18.0%)

高性能基板需要の拡大と生産効率が改善するケース。

このシナリオの数値・キャッシュフローを開く →

強気(確率 7.0%)

高付加価値製品の需要と投資効率が大きく改善するケース。

日付別キャッシュフロー

1
内容を開く
想定日

2026-12-08

year
0.087611225
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

future_monthly_revenue_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

Check issuer-exchange November sales; date is assumed.

2
内容を開く
想定日

2026-12-22

year
0.125941136
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

approved_capex_draw_execution_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

Distinguish board budget from signed commitments and actual disbursement.

3
内容を開く
想定日

2026-12-30

year
0.147843943
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

financing_facility_signature_draw_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

NT$350 oku is approval/limit, not assumed drawn debt.

4
内容を開く
想定日

2027-03-19

year
0.364134155
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

annual_financials_and_bank_reconciliation_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

Reconcile disclosed NI, cash, bank debt, SBC, capex and NCI; provisional publication date.

5
内容を開く
想定日

2027-05-20

year
0.533880903
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

predicted_dividend_declaration_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

No declaration is known as of 2026-11-06; confirm actual amount, holders and dates.

6
内容を開く
想定日

2027-06-25

year
0.632443532
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

expansion_capex_commitment_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

Confirm 2026/10/28 NT$986 oku authorization cumulative cash commitments vs actual spend.

7
内容を開く
想定日

2027-08-27

year
0.804928131
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

assumed_ex_dividend_rights_change

date_status

assumed

notes

Ex-date is a weekday adjusted heuristic, NOT announced; must recompute entitlement.

ex_date_assumed

2027-08-27

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

date_ex_date_confirmed
いいえ
ex_date_model_context

2027-08-27

8
内容を開く
想定日

2027-09-24

year
0.881587953
金額
245.001193647
amount_oku
245.001193647
種類

cash_dividend_to_original_shareholder_cohort

date_status

assumed

ex_date

2027-08-27

ex_date_assumed

2027-08-27

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

entitlement_rule

original cohort shares at the assumed ex-date / all dividend eligible shares

company_total_dividend_oku
245.001193647
original_cohort_share_count_at_ex_date
358321114
shares_eligible_for_dividend_at_ex_date
358321114
old_cohort_fraction_at_ex_date
1
notes

Forecast only. Taxes, including EWT ETF-level effective withholding, NOT deducted or asserted.

9
内容を開く
想定日

2027-10-15

year
0.93908282
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

assumed_sbc_share_issuance_non_cash

date_status

assumed

notes

New shares assumed issued to employees; no cash proceeds to original holders. Dilution applied once.

shares_assumed_issued
300000
issuance_proceeds_oku
0
sbc_expense_already_in_ebit_oku
11.9184
10
内容を開く
想定日

2028-03-20

year
1.368925394
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

annual_financials_and_bank_reconciliation_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

Reconcile disclosed NI, cash, bank debt, SBC, capex and NCI; provisional publication date.

11
内容を開く
想定日

2028-05-19

year
1.533196441
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

predicted_dividend_declaration_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

No declaration is known as of 2026-11-06; confirm actual amount, holders and dates.

12
内容を開く
想定日

2028-06-23

year
1.629021218
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

expansion_capex_commitment_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

Confirm 2026/10/28 NT$986 oku authorization cumulative cash commitments vs actual spend.

13
内容を開く
想定日

2028-08-28

year
1.80971937
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

assumed_ex_dividend_rights_change

date_status

assumed

notes

Ex-date is a weekday adjusted heuristic, NOT announced; must recompute entitlement.

ex_date_assumed

2028-08-28

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

date_ex_date_confirmed
いいえ
ex_date_model_context

2028-08-28

14
内容を開く
想定日

2028-09-22

year
1.87816564
金額
484.23000015
amount_oku
484.23000015
種類

cash_dividend_to_original_shareholder_cohort

date_status

assumed

ex_date

2028-08-28

ex_date_assumed

2028-08-28

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

entitlement_rule

original cohort shares at the assumed ex-date / all dividend eligible shares

company_total_dividend_oku
484.635415836
original_cohort_share_count_at_ex_date
358321114
shares_eligible_for_dividend_at_ex_date
358621114
old_cohort_fraction_at_ex_date
0.999163463
notes

Forecast only. Taxes, including EWT ETF-level effective withholding, NOT deducted or asserted.

15
内容を開く
想定日

2028-10-13

year
1.935660507
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

assumed_sbc_share_issuance_non_cash

date_status

assumed

notes

New shares assumed issued to employees; no cash proceeds to original holders. Dilution applied once.

shares_assumed_issued
300000
issuance_proceeds_oku
0
sbc_expense_already_in_ebit_oku
12.395136
16
内容を開く
想定日

2029-03-20

year
2.368240931
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

annual_financials_and_bank_reconciliation_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

Reconcile disclosed NI, cash, bank debt, SBC, capex and NCI; provisional publication date.

17
内容を開く
想定日

2029-05-18

year
2.529774127
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

predicted_dividend_declaration_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

No declaration is known as of 2026-11-06; confirm actual amount, holders and dates.

18
内容を開く
想定日

2029-06-25

year
2.633812457
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

expansion_capex_commitment_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

Confirm 2026/10/28 NT$986 oku authorization cumulative cash commitments vs actual spend.

19
内容を開く
想定日

2029-08-28

year
2.809034908
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

assumed_ex_dividend_rights_change

date_status

assumed

notes

Ex-date is a weekday adjusted heuristic, NOT announced; must recompute entitlement.

ex_date_assumed

2029-08-28

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

date_ex_date_confirmed
いいえ
ex_date_model_context

2029-08-28

20
内容を開く
想定日

2029-09-24

year
2.882956879
金額
570.236220455
amount_oku
570.236220455
種類

cash_dividend_to_original_shareholder_cohort

date_status

assumed

ex_date

2029-08-28

ex_date_assumed

2029-08-28

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

entitlement_rule

original cohort shares at the assumed ex-date / all dividend eligible shares

company_total_dividend_oku
571.191067153
original_cohort_share_count_at_ex_date
358321114
shares_eligible_for_dividend_at_ex_date
358921114
old_cohort_fraction_at_ex_date
0.998328323
notes

Forecast only. Taxes, including EWT ETF-level effective withholding, NOT deducted or asserted.

21
内容を開く
想定日

2029-10-15

year
2.940451745
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

assumed_sbc_share_issuance_non_cash

date_status

assumed

notes

New shares assumed issued to employees; no cash proceeds to original holders. Dilution applied once.

shares_assumed_issued
300000
issuance_proceeds_oku
0
sbc_expense_already_in_ebit_oku
12.89094144
22
内容を開く
想定日

2030-03-20

year
3.367556468
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

annual_financials_and_bank_reconciliation_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

Reconcile disclosed NI, cash, bank debt, SBC, capex and NCI; provisional publication date.

23
内容を開く
想定日

2030-05-20

year
3.534565366
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

predicted_dividend_declaration_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

No declaration is known as of 2026-11-06; confirm actual amount, holders and dates.

24
内容を開く
想定日

2030-06-25

year
3.633127995
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

expansion_capex_commitment_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

Confirm 2026/10/28 NT$986 oku authorization cumulative cash commitments vs actual spend.

25
内容を開く
想定日

2030-08-28

year
3.808350445
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

assumed_ex_dividend_rights_change

date_status

assumed

notes

Ex-date is a weekday adjusted heuristic, NOT announced; must recompute entitlement.

ex_date_assumed

2030-08-28

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

date_ex_date_confirmed
いいえ
ex_date_model_context

2030-08-28

26
内容を開く
想定日

2030-09-24

year
3.882272416
金額
665.836128437
amount_oku
665.836128437
種類

cash_dividend_to_original_shareholder_cohort

date_status

assumed

ex_date

2030-08-28

ex_date_assumed

2030-08-28

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

entitlement_rule

original cohort shares at the assumed ex-date / all dividend eligible shares

company_total_dividend_oku
667.508518068
original_cohort_share_count_at_ex_date
358321114
shares_eligible_for_dividend_at_ex_date
359221114
old_cohort_fraction_at_ex_date
0.997494579
notes

Forecast only. Taxes, including EWT ETF-level effective withholding, NOT deducted or asserted.

27
内容を開く
想定日

2030-10-15

year
3.939767283
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

assumed_sbc_share_issuance_non_cash

date_status

assumed

notes

New shares assumed issued to employees; no cash proceeds to original holders. Dilution applied once.

shares_assumed_issued
300000
issuance_proceeds_oku
0
sbc_expense_already_in_ebit_oku
13.406579098
28
内容を開く
想定日

2031-03-20

year
4.366872005
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

annual_financials_and_bank_reconciliation_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

Reconcile disclosed NI, cash, bank debt, SBC, capex and NCI; provisional publication date.

29
内容を開く
想定日

2031-05-20

year
4.533880903
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

predicted_dividend_declaration_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

No declaration is known as of 2026-11-06; confirm actual amount, holders and dates.

30
内容を開く
想定日

2031-08-28

year
4.807665982
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

assumed_ex_dividend_rights_change

date_status

assumed

notes

Ex-date is a weekday adjusted heuristic, NOT announced; must recompute entitlement.

ex_date_assumed

2031-08-28

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

date_ex_date_confirmed
いいえ
ex_date_model_context

2031-08-28

31
内容を開く
想定日

2031-09-24

year
4.881587953
金額
757.053123527
amount_oku
757.053123527
種類

cash_dividend_to_original_shareholder_cohort

date_status

assumed

ex_date

2031-08-28

ex_date_assumed

2031-08-28

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

entitlement_rule

original cohort shares at the assumed ex-date / all dividend eligible shares

company_total_dividend_oku
759.588457653
original_cohort_share_count_at_ex_date
358321114
shares_eligible_for_dividend_at_ex_date
359521114
old_cohort_fraction_at_ex_date
0.996662227
notes

Forecast only. Taxes, including EWT ETF-level effective withholding, NOT deducted or asserted.

32
内容を開く
想定日

2031-10-15

year
4.93908282
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

assumed_sbc_share_issuance_non_cash

date_status

assumed

notes

New shares assumed issued to employees; no cash proceeds to original holders. Dilution applied once.

shares_assumed_issued
300000
issuance_proceeds_oku
0
sbc_expense_already_in_ebit_oku
13.942842262
33
内容を開く
想定日

2032-03-19

year
5.366187543
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

annual_financials_and_bank_reconciliation_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

Reconcile disclosed NI, cash, bank debt, SBC, capex and NCI; provisional publication date.

34
内容を開く
想定日

2032-05-20

year
5.535934292
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

predicted_dividend_declaration_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

No declaration is known as of 2026-11-06; confirm actual amount, holders and dates.

35
内容を開く
想定日

2032-08-27

year
5.80698152
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

assumed_ex_dividend_rights_change

date_status

assumed

notes

Ex-date is a weekday adjusted heuristic, NOT announced; must recompute entitlement.

ex_date_assumed

2032-08-27

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

date_ex_date_confirmed
いいえ
ex_date_model_context

2032-08-27

36
内容を開く
想定日

2032-09-24

year
5.883641342
金額
839.419789889
amount_oku
839.419789889
種類

cash_dividend_to_original_shareholder_cohort

date_status

assumed

ex_date

2032-08-27

ex_date_assumed

2032-08-27

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

entitlement_rule

original cohort shares at the assumed ex-date / all dividend eligible shares

company_total_dividend_oku
842.93376
original_cohort_share_count_at_ex_date
358321114
shares_eligible_for_dividend_at_ex_date
359821114
old_cohort_fraction_at_ex_date
0.995831262
notes

Forecast only. Taxes, including EWT ETF-level effective withholding, NOT deducted or asserted.

37
内容を開く
想定日

2032-10-15

year
5.941136208
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

assumed_sbc_share_issuance_non_cash

date_status

assumed

notes

New shares assumed issued to employees; no cash proceeds to original holders. Dilution applied once.

shares_assumed_issued
300000
issuance_proceeds_oku
0
sbc_expense_already_in_ebit_oku
14.500555952
38
内容を開く
想定日

2033-03-18

year
6.362765229
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

annual_financials_and_bank_reconciliation_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

Reconcile disclosed NI, cash, bank debt, SBC, capex and NCI; provisional publication date.

39
内容を開く
想定日

2033-05-20

year
6.535249829
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

predicted_dividend_declaration_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

No declaration is known as of 2026-11-06; confirm actual amount, holders and dates.

40
内容を開く
想定日

2033-08-26

year
6.803559206
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

assumed_ex_dividend_rights_change

date_status

assumed

notes

Ex-date is a weekday adjusted heuristic, NOT announced; must recompute entitlement.

ex_date_assumed

2033-08-26

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

date_ex_date_confirmed
いいえ
ex_date_model_context

2033-08-26

41
内容を開く
想定日

2033-09-23

year
6.880219028
金額
899.031938582
amount_oku
899.031938582
種類

cash_dividend_to_original_shareholder_cohort

date_status

assumed

ex_date

2033-08-26

ex_date_assumed

2033-08-26

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

entitlement_rule

original cohort shares at the assumed ex-date / all dividend eligible shares

company_total_dividend_oku
903.54816
original_cohort_share_count_at_ex_date
358321114
shares_eligible_for_dividend_at_ex_date
360121114
old_cohort_fraction_at_ex_date
0.995001682
notes

Forecast only. Taxes, including EWT ETF-level effective withholding, NOT deducted or asserted.

42
内容を開く
想定日

2033-10-14

year
6.937713895
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

assumed_sbc_share_issuance_non_cash

date_status

assumed

notes

New shares assumed issued to employees; no cash proceeds to original holders. Dilution applied once.

shares_assumed_issued
300000
issuance_proceeds_oku
0
sbc_expense_already_in_ebit_oku
15.08057819
43
内容を開く
想定日

2034-03-20

year
7.367556468
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

annual_financials_and_bank_reconciliation_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

Reconcile disclosed NI, cash, bank debt, SBC, capex and NCI; provisional publication date.

44
内容を開く
想定日

2034-05-19

year
7.531827515
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

predicted_dividend_declaration_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

No declaration is known as of 2026-11-06; confirm actual amount, holders and dates.

45
内容を開く
想定日

2034-08-28

year
7.808350445
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

assumed_ex_dividend_rights_change

date_status

assumed

notes

Ex-date is a weekday adjusted heuristic, NOT announced; must recompute entitlement.

ex_date_assumed

2034-08-28

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

date_ex_date_confirmed
いいえ
ex_date_model_context

2034-08-28

46
内容を開く
想定日

2034-09-22

year
7.876796715
金額
964.975163862
amount_oku
964.975163862
種類

cash_dividend_to_original_shareholder_cohort

date_status

assumed

ex_date

2034-08-28

ex_date_assumed

2034-08-28

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

entitlement_rule

original cohort shares at the assumed ex-date / all dividend eligible shares

company_total_dividend_oku
970.63056
original_cohort_share_count_at_ex_date
358321114
shares_eligible_for_dividend_at_ex_date
360421114
old_cohort_fraction_at_ex_date
0.994173482
notes

Forecast only. Taxes, including EWT ETF-level effective withholding, NOT deducted or asserted.

47
内容を開く
想定日

2034-10-13

year
7.934291581
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

assumed_sbc_share_issuance_non_cash

date_status

assumed

notes

New shares assumed issued to employees; no cash proceeds to original holders. Dilution applied once.

shares_assumed_issued
300000
issuance_proceeds_oku
0
sbc_expense_already_in_ebit_oku
15.683801318
48
内容を開く
想定日

2035-03-20

year
8.366872005
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

annual_financials_and_bank_reconciliation_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

Reconcile disclosed NI, cash, bank debt, SBC, capex and NCI; provisional publication date.

49
内容を開く
想定日

2035-05-18

year
8.528405202
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

predicted_dividend_declaration_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

No declaration is known as of 2026-11-06; confirm actual amount, holders and dates.

50
内容を開く
想定日

2035-08-28

year
8.807665982
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

assumed_ex_dividend_rights_change

date_status

assumed

notes

Ex-date is a weekday adjusted heuristic, NOT announced; must recompute entitlement.

ex_date_assumed

2035-08-28

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

date_ex_date_confirmed
いいえ
ex_date_model_context

2035-08-28

51
内容を開く
想定日

2035-09-24

year
8.881587953
金額
1009.23917409
amount_oku
1009.23917409
種類

cash_dividend_to_original_shareholder_cohort

date_status

assumed

ex_date

2035-08-28

ex_date_assumed

2035-08-28

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

entitlement_rule

original cohort shares at the assumed ex-date / all dividend eligible shares

company_total_dividend_oku
1015.99896
original_cohort_share_count_at_ex_date
358321114
shares_eligible_for_dividend_at_ex_date
360721114
old_cohort_fraction_at_ex_date
0.993346661
notes

Forecast only. Taxes, including EWT ETF-level effective withholding, NOT deducted or asserted.

52
内容を開く
想定日

2035-10-15

year
8.93908282
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

assumed_sbc_share_issuance_non_cash

date_status

assumed

notes

New shares assumed issued to employees; no cash proceeds to original holders. Dilution applied once.

shares_assumed_issued
300000
issuance_proceeds_oku
0
sbc_expense_already_in_ebit_oku
16.31115337
53
内容を開く
想定日

2036-03-20

year
9.368925394
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

annual_financials_and_bank_reconciliation_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

Reconcile disclosed NI, cash, bank debt, SBC, capex and NCI; provisional publication date.

54
内容を開く
想定日

2036-05-20

year
9.535934292
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

predicted_dividend_declaration_recheck

date_status

assumed

notes

No declaration is known as of 2026-11-06; confirm actual amount, holders and dates.

55
内容を開く
想定日

2036-08-28

year
9.80971937
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

assumed_ex_dividend_rights_change

date_status

assumed

notes

Ex-date is a weekday adjusted heuristic, NOT announced; must recompute entitlement.

ex_date_assumed

2036-08-28

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

date_ex_date_confirmed
いいえ
ex_date_model_context

2036-08-28

56
内容を開く
想定日

2036-09-24

year
9.883641342
金額
1057.464813871
amount_oku
1057.464813871
種類

cash_dividend_to_original_shareholder_cohort

date_status

assumed

ex_date

2036-08-28

ex_date_assumed

2036-08-28

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

entitlement_rule

original cohort shares at the assumed ex-date / all dividend eligible shares

company_total_dividend_oku
1065.43296
original_cohort_share_count_at_ex_date
358321114
shares_eligible_for_dividend_at_ex_date
361021114
old_cohort_fraction_at_ex_date
0.992521213
notes

Forecast only. Taxes, including EWT ETF-level effective withholding, NOT deducted or asserted.

57
内容を開く
想定日

2036-10-15

year
9.941136208
金額
0
amount_oku
0
種類

assumed_sbc_share_issuance_non_cash

date_status

assumed

notes

New shares assumed issued to employees; no cash proceeds to original holders. Dilution applied once.

shares_assumed_issued
254918
issuance_proceeds_oku
0
sbc_expense_already_in_ebit_oku
14.414422862

その他の数値・前提

キャッシュフローの算出方法

timed_holder_cashflows_v1

basis_ownership

original Nov06 2026 common-share holder cohort, no future hypothetical tender buybacks

forecast_assumptions
内容を開く
stub_sales
580
stub_margin
0.35
annual_sales
内容を開く
1
3850
2
4600
3
5350
4
6100
5
6800
6
7400
7
7950
8
8450
9
9000
10
9500
annual_margin
内容を開く
1
0.345
2
0.34
3
0.34
4
0.337
5
0.335
6
0.33
7
0.33
8
0.325
9
0.32
10
0.32
tax
0.23
maint_sales_rate
0.031
da_sales_rate
0.029
nwc_ratio
0.24
expansion_plan_ratio
1.55
later_growth_capex_ratio
0.047
dividend_prior_ni_ratio
0.48
sbc_shares_annual
300000
sbc_reference_growth
0.04
interest_rate
0.043
terminal_growth
0.035
terminal_margin
0.3
terminal_discount_rate
0.115
terminal_growth_capex_ratio
0.057
minimum_operating_cash_oku
325
periods
内容を開く
1
内容を開く
period_index
0
calendar_year
2026
label

2026_initial_55d

開始日

2026-11-07

終了日

2026-12-31

days
55
days_in_calendar_year
365
fraction_of_calendar_year
0.150684932
source_status

MODEL_ASSUMPTION

売上高
580
annualized_revenue_reference_oku
3849.090909091
営業利益率
35.00%
営業利益(億)
203
bank_interest_expense_oku
2.869364954
min_cash_interest_income_oku
0.375593455
net_finance_income_oku
-2.493771499
profit_before_tax_oku
200.506228501
effective_tax_rate_assumed
0.23
income_tax_expense_oku
46.116432555
consolidated_net_income_oku
154.389795946
nci_net_income_oku
-0.007534247
parent_common_net_income_oku
154.397330192
employee_cash_bonus_expense_in_margin_note

Cash employee bonuses presumed included in operating expenses and NI; not added back.

equity_settled_sbc_expense_in_ebit_oku
0
equity_settled_sbc_cfo_addback_oku
0
depreciation_amortization_oku
16.82
change_in_operating_working_capital_cash_use_oku
47.328
operating_cashflow_estimated_oku
123.881795946
maintenance_capex_cash_oku
17.98
expansion_capex_cash_oku
106.981
capex_total_cash_oku
124.961
lease_principal_cash_oku
0.138630137
fcf_before_dividends_and_financing_oku
-1.217834191
gross_company_dividend_paid_oku
0
original_holder_dividend_received_oku
0
common_buyback_company_spend_oku
0
old_holder_buyback_cash_received_oku
0
new_equity_cash_proceeds_oku
0
bank_borrowing_cash_in_oku
14.645990952
bank_debt_repayment_cash_out_oku
0
opening_cash_oku
311.571843239
ending_cash_oku
325
opening_bank_debt_oku
442.84068
ending_bank_debt_oku
457.486670952
opening_parent_equity_oku
793.574243239
ending_parent_equity_oku
947.971573432
opening_nci_equity_oku
-0.24861
ending_nci_equity_oku
-0.256144247
opening_operating_nwc_oku
628.45434
ending_operating_nwc_oku
675.78234
opening_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
new_lease_liability_oku
0.138630137
ending_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
opening_company_common_shares
358321114
new_employees_sbc_common_shares
0
issuer_buyback_shares
0
ending_company_common_shares
358321114
original_holder_shares_after_transactions
358321114
original_holder_ownership_fraction_end
1
issued_sbc_fair_value_reference_twd
3820
dividend_basis_parent_net_income_previous_calendar_year_oku
0
dividend_rate_on_prior_fiscal_income_assumed
0
dividend_declaration_date_assumed
未確認
dividend_ex_date
未確認
dividend_ex_date_confirmed
未確認
dividend_ex_date_status
未確認
dividend_ex_date_assumed
未確認
dividend_cash_pay_date_assumed
未確認
sources
内容を開く
1

S04

2

S05

3

S06

4

S07

5

S08

6

S09

2
内容を開く
period_index
1
calendar_year
2027
label

2027

開始日

2027-01-01

終了日

2027-12-31

days
365
days_in_calendar_year
365
fraction_of_calendar_year
1
source_status

MODEL_ASSUMPTION

売上高
3850
annualized_revenue_reference_oku
3850
営業利益率
34.50%
営業利益(億)
1328.25
bank_interest_expense_oku
19.671926851
min_cash_interest_income_oku
2.6
net_finance_income_oku
-17.071926851
profit_before_tax_oku
1311.178073149
effective_tax_rate_assumed
0.23
income_tax_expense_oku
301.570956824
consolidated_net_income_oku
1009.607116325
nci_net_income_oku
-0.05
parent_common_net_income_oku
1009.657116325
employee_cash_bonus_expense_in_margin_note

Cash employee bonuses presumed included in operating expenses and NI; not added back.

equity_settled_sbc_expense_in_ebit_oku
11.9184
equity_settled_sbc_cfo_addback_oku
11.9184
depreciation_amortization_oku
111.65
change_in_operating_working_capital_cash_use_oku
376.3205952
operating_cashflow_estimated_oku
756.854921125
maintenance_capex_cash_oku
119.35
expansion_capex_cash_oku
427.924
capex_total_cash_oku
547.274
lease_principal_cash_oku
0.92
fcf_before_dividends_and_financing_oku
208.660921125
gross_company_dividend_paid_oku
245.001193647
original_holder_dividend_received_oku
245.001193647
common_buyback_company_spend_oku
0
old_holder_buyback_cash_received_oku
0
new_equity_cash_proceeds_oku
0
bank_borrowing_cash_in_oku
36.340272522
bank_debt_repayment_cash_out_oku
0
opening_cash_oku
325
ending_cash_oku
325
opening_bank_debt_oku
457.486670952
ending_bank_debt_oku
493.826943474
opening_parent_equity_oku
947.971573432
ending_parent_equity_oku
1724.545896109
opening_nci_equity_oku
-0.256144247
ending_nci_equity_oku
-0.306144247
opening_operating_nwc_oku
675.78234
ending_operating_nwc_oku
1052.1029352
opening_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
new_lease_liability_oku
0.92
ending_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
opening_company_common_shares
358321114
new_employees_sbc_common_shares
300000
issuer_buyback_shares
0
ending_company_common_shares
358621114
original_holder_shares_after_transactions
358321114
original_holder_ownership_fraction_end
0.999163463
issued_sbc_fair_value_reference_twd
3972.8
dividend_basis_parent_net_income_previous_calendar_year_oku
510.419153431
dividend_rate_on_prior_fiscal_income_assumed
0.48
dividend_declaration_date_assumed

2027-05-20

dividend_ex_date

2027-08-27

dividend_ex_date_confirmed
未確認
dividend_ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

dividend_ex_date_assumed

2027-08-27

dividend_cash_pay_date_assumed

2027-09-24

sources
内容を開く
1

S04

2

S05

3

S06

4

S07

5

S08

6

S09

3
内容を開く
period_index
2
calendar_year
2028
label

2028

開始日

2028-01-01

終了日

2028-12-31

days
366
days_in_calendar_year
366
fraction_of_calendar_year
1
source_status

MODEL_ASSUMPTION

売上高
4600
annualized_revenue_reference_oku
4600
営業利益率
34.00%
営業利益(億)
1564
bank_interest_expense_oku
21.234558569
min_cash_interest_income_oku
2.6
net_finance_income_oku
-18.634558569
profit_before_tax_oku
1545.365441431
effective_tax_rate_assumed
0.23
income_tax_expense_oku
355.434051529
consolidated_net_income_oku
1189.931389902
nci_net_income_oku
-0.05
parent_common_net_income_oku
1189.981389902
employee_cash_bonus_expense_in_margin_note

Cash employee bonuses presumed included in operating expenses and NI; not added back.

equity_settled_sbc_expense_in_ebit_oku
12.395136
equity_settled_sbc_cfo_addback_oku
12.395136
depreciation_amortization_oku
133.4
change_in_operating_working_capital_cash_use_oku
180
operating_cashflow_estimated_oku
1155.726525902
maintenance_capex_cash_oku
142.6
expansion_capex_cash_oku
397.358
capex_total_cash_oku
539.958
lease_principal_cash_oku
0.92
fcf_before_dividends_and_financing_oku
614.848525902
gross_company_dividend_paid_oku
484.635415836
original_holder_dividend_received_oku
484.23000015
common_buyback_company_spend_oku
0
old_holder_buyback_cash_received_oku
0
new_equity_cash_proceeds_oku
0
bank_borrowing_cash_in_oku
0
bank_debt_repayment_cash_out_oku
130.213110066
opening_cash_oku
325
ending_cash_oku
325
opening_bank_debt_oku
493.826943474
ending_bank_debt_oku
363.613833409
opening_parent_equity_oku
1724.545896109
ending_parent_equity_oku
2442.287006175
opening_nci_equity_oku
-0.306144247
ending_nci_equity_oku
-0.356144247
opening_operating_nwc_oku
1052.1029352
ending_operating_nwc_oku
1232.1029352
opening_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
new_lease_liability_oku
0.92
ending_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
opening_company_common_shares
358621114
new_employees_sbc_common_shares
300000
issuer_buyback_shares
0
ending_company_common_shares
358921114
original_holder_shares_after_transactions
358321114
original_holder_ownership_fraction_end
0.998328323
issued_sbc_fair_value_reference_twd
4131.712
dividend_basis_parent_net_income_previous_calendar_year_oku
1009.657116325
dividend_rate_on_prior_fiscal_income_assumed
0.48
dividend_declaration_date_assumed

2028-05-19

dividend_ex_date

2028-08-28

dividend_ex_date_confirmed
未確認
dividend_ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

dividend_ex_date_assumed

2028-08-28

dividend_cash_pay_date_assumed

2028-09-22

sources
内容を開く
1

S04

2

S05

3

S06

4

S07

5

S08

6

S09

4
内容を開く
period_index
3
calendar_year
2029
label

2029

開始日

2029-01-01

終了日

2029-12-31

days
365
days_in_calendar_year
365
fraction_of_calendar_year
1
source_status

MODEL_ASSUMPTION

売上高
5350
annualized_revenue_reference_oku
5350
営業利益率
34.00%
営業利益(億)
1819
bank_interest_expense_oku
15.635394837
min_cash_interest_income_oku
2.6
net_finance_income_oku
-13.035394837
profit_before_tax_oku
1805.964605163
effective_tax_rate_assumed
0.23
income_tax_expense_oku
415.371859188
consolidated_net_income_oku
1390.592745976
nci_net_income_oku
-0.05
parent_common_net_income_oku
1390.642745976
employee_cash_bonus_expense_in_margin_note

Cash employee bonuses presumed included in operating expenses and NI; not added back.

equity_settled_sbc_expense_in_ebit_oku
12.89094144
equity_settled_sbc_cfo_addback_oku
12.89094144
depreciation_amortization_oku
155.15
change_in_operating_working_capital_cash_use_oku
180
operating_cashflow_estimated_oku
1378.633687416
maintenance_capex_cash_oku
165.85
expansion_capex_cash_oku
351.509
capex_total_cash_oku
517.359
lease_principal_cash_oku
0.92
fcf_before_dividends_and_financing_oku
860.354687416
gross_company_dividend_paid_oku
571.191067153
original_holder_dividend_received_oku
570.236220455
common_buyback_company_spend_oku
0
old_holder_buyback_cash_received_oku
0
new_equity_cash_proceeds_oku
0
bank_borrowing_cash_in_oku
0
bank_debt_repayment_cash_out_oku
289.163620263
opening_cash_oku
325
ending_cash_oku
325
opening_bank_debt_oku
363.613833409
ending_bank_debt_oku
74.450213146
opening_parent_equity_oku
2442.287006175
ending_parent_equity_oku
3274.629626438
opening_nci_equity_oku
-0.356144247
ending_nci_equity_oku
-0.406144247
opening_operating_nwc_oku
1232.1029352
ending_operating_nwc_oku
1412.1029352
opening_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
new_lease_liability_oku
0.92
ending_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
opening_company_common_shares
358921114
new_employees_sbc_common_shares
300000
issuer_buyback_shares
0
ending_company_common_shares
359221114
original_holder_shares_after_transactions
358321114
original_holder_ownership_fraction_end
0.997494579
issued_sbc_fair_value_reference_twd
4296.98048
dividend_basis_parent_net_income_previous_calendar_year_oku
1189.981389902
dividend_rate_on_prior_fiscal_income_assumed
0.48
dividend_declaration_date_assumed

2029-05-18

dividend_ex_date

2029-08-28

dividend_ex_date_confirmed
未確認
dividend_ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

dividend_ex_date_assumed

2029-08-28

dividend_cash_pay_date_assumed

2029-09-24

sources
内容を開く
1

S04

2

S05

3

S06

4

S07

5

S08

6

S09

5
内容を開く
period_index
4
calendar_year
2030
label

2030

開始日

2030-01-01

終了日

2030-12-31

days
365
days_in_calendar_year
365
fraction_of_calendar_year
1
source_status

MODEL_ASSUMPTION

売上高
6100
annualized_revenue_reference_oku
6100
営業利益率
33.70%
営業利益(億)
2055.7
bank_interest_expense_oku
3.201359165
min_cash_interest_income_oku
2.6
net_finance_income_oku
-0.601359165
profit_before_tax_oku
2055.098640835
effective_tax_rate_assumed
0.23
income_tax_expense_oku
472.672687392
consolidated_net_income_oku
1582.425953443
nci_net_income_oku
-0.05
parent_common_net_income_oku
1582.475953443
employee_cash_bonus_expense_in_margin_note

Cash employee bonuses presumed included in operating expenses and NI; not added back.

equity_settled_sbc_expense_in_ebit_oku
13.406579098
equity_settled_sbc_cfo_addback_oku
13.406579098
depreciation_amortization_oku
176.9
change_in_operating_working_capital_cash_use_oku
180
operating_cashflow_estimated_oku
1592.73253254
maintenance_capex_cash_oku
189.1
expansion_capex_cash_oku
244.528
capex_total_cash_oku
433.628
lease_principal_cash_oku
0.92
fcf_before_dividends_and_financing_oku
1158.18453254
gross_company_dividend_paid_oku
667.508518068
original_holder_dividend_received_oku
665.836128437
common_buyback_company_spend_oku
0
old_holder_buyback_cash_received_oku
0
new_equity_cash_proceeds_oku
0
bank_borrowing_cash_in_oku
0
bank_debt_repayment_cash_out_oku
74.450213146
opening_cash_oku
325
ending_cash_oku
741.225801326
opening_bank_debt_oku
74.450213146
ending_bank_debt_oku
0
opening_parent_equity_oku
3274.629626438
ending_parent_equity_oku
4203.00364091
opening_nci_equity_oku
-0.406144247
ending_nci_equity_oku
-0.456144247
opening_operating_nwc_oku
1412.1029352
ending_operating_nwc_oku
1592.1029352
opening_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
new_lease_liability_oku
0.92
ending_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
opening_company_common_shares
359221114
new_employees_sbc_common_shares
300000
issuer_buyback_shares
0
ending_company_common_shares
359521114
original_holder_shares_after_transactions
358321114
original_holder_ownership_fraction_end
0.996662227
issued_sbc_fair_value_reference_twd
4468.8596992
dividend_basis_parent_net_income_previous_calendar_year_oku
1390.642745976
dividend_rate_on_prior_fiscal_income_assumed
0.48
dividend_declaration_date_assumed

2030-05-20

dividend_ex_date

2030-08-28

dividend_ex_date_confirmed
未確認
dividend_ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

dividend_ex_date_assumed

2030-08-28

dividend_cash_pay_date_assumed

2030-09-24

sources
内容を開く
1

S04

2

S05

3

S06

4

S07

5

S08

6

S09

6
内容を開く
period_index
5
calendar_year
2031
label

2031

開始日

2031-01-01

終了日

2031-12-31

days
365
days_in_calendar_year
365
fraction_of_calendar_year
1
source_status

MODEL_ASSUMPTION

売上高
6800
annualized_revenue_reference_oku
6800
営業利益率
33.50%
営業利益(億)
2278
bank_interest_expense_oku
0
min_cash_interest_income_oku
2.6
net_finance_income_oku
2.6
profit_before_tax_oku
2280.6
effective_tax_rate_assumed
0.23
income_tax_expense_oku
524.538
consolidated_net_income_oku
1756.062
nci_net_income_oku
-0.05
parent_common_net_income_oku
1756.112
employee_cash_bonus_expense_in_margin_note

Cash employee bonuses presumed included in operating expenses and NI; not added back.

equity_settled_sbc_expense_in_ebit_oku
13.942842262
equity_settled_sbc_cfo_addback_oku
13.942842262
depreciation_amortization_oku
197.2
change_in_operating_working_capital_cash_use_oku
168
operating_cashflow_estimated_oku
1799.204842262
maintenance_capex_cash_oku
210.8
expansion_capex_cash_oku
319.6
capex_total_cash_oku
530.4
lease_principal_cash_oku
0.92
fcf_before_dividends_and_financing_oku
1267.884842262
gross_company_dividend_paid_oku
759.588457653
original_holder_dividend_received_oku
757.053123527
common_buyback_company_spend_oku
0
old_holder_buyback_cash_received_oku
0
new_equity_cash_proceeds_oku
0
bank_borrowing_cash_in_oku
0
bank_debt_repayment_cash_out_oku
0
opening_cash_oku
741.225801326
ending_cash_oku
1249.522185935
opening_bank_debt_oku
0
ending_bank_debt_oku
0
opening_parent_equity_oku
4203.00364091
ending_parent_equity_oku
5213.470025519
opening_nci_equity_oku
-0.456144247
ending_nci_equity_oku
-0.506144247
opening_operating_nwc_oku
1592.1029352
ending_operating_nwc_oku
1760.1029352
opening_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
new_lease_liability_oku
0.92
ending_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
opening_company_common_shares
359521114
new_employees_sbc_common_shares
300000
issuer_buyback_shares
0
ending_company_common_shares
359821114
original_holder_shares_after_transactions
358321114
original_holder_ownership_fraction_end
0.995831262
issued_sbc_fair_value_reference_twd
4647.614087168
dividend_basis_parent_net_income_previous_calendar_year_oku
1582.475953443
dividend_rate_on_prior_fiscal_income_assumed
0.48
dividend_declaration_date_assumed

2031-05-20

dividend_ex_date

2031-08-28

dividend_ex_date_confirmed
未確認
dividend_ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

dividend_ex_date_assumed

2031-08-28

dividend_cash_pay_date_assumed

2031-09-24

sources
内容を開く
1

S04

2

S05

3

S06

4

S07

5

S08

6

S09

7
内容を開く
period_index
6
calendar_year
2032
label

2032

開始日

2032-01-01

終了日

2032-12-31

days
366
days_in_calendar_year
366
fraction_of_calendar_year
1
source_status

MODEL_ASSUMPTION

売上高
7400
annualized_revenue_reference_oku
7400
営業利益率
33.00%
営業利益(億)
2442
bank_interest_expense_oku
0
min_cash_interest_income_oku
2.6
net_finance_income_oku
2.6
profit_before_tax_oku
2444.6
effective_tax_rate_assumed
0.23
income_tax_expense_oku
562.258
consolidated_net_income_oku
1882.342
nci_net_income_oku
-0.05
parent_common_net_income_oku
1882.392
employee_cash_bonus_expense_in_margin_note

Cash employee bonuses presumed included in operating expenses and NI; not added back.

equity_settled_sbc_expense_in_ebit_oku
14.500555952
equity_settled_sbc_cfo_addback_oku
14.500555952
depreciation_amortization_oku
214.6
change_in_operating_working_capital_cash_use_oku
144
operating_cashflow_estimated_oku
1967.442555952
maintenance_capex_cash_oku
229.4
expansion_capex_cash_oku
347.8
capex_total_cash_oku
577.2
lease_principal_cash_oku
0.92
fcf_before_dividends_and_financing_oku
1389.322555952
gross_company_dividend_paid_oku
842.93376
original_holder_dividend_received_oku
839.419789889
common_buyback_company_spend_oku
0
old_holder_buyback_cash_received_oku
0
new_equity_cash_proceeds_oku
0
bank_borrowing_cash_in_oku
0
bank_debt_repayment_cash_out_oku
0
opening_cash_oku
1249.522185935
ending_cash_oku
1795.910981887
opening_bank_debt_oku
0
ending_bank_debt_oku
0
opening_parent_equity_oku
5213.470025519
ending_parent_equity_oku
6267.428821471
opening_nci_equity_oku
-0.506144247
ending_nci_equity_oku
-0.556144247
opening_operating_nwc_oku
1760.1029352
ending_operating_nwc_oku
1904.1029352
opening_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
new_lease_liability_oku
0.92
ending_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
opening_company_common_shares
359821114
new_employees_sbc_common_shares
300000
issuer_buyback_shares
0
ending_company_common_shares
360121114
original_holder_shares_after_transactions
358321114
original_holder_ownership_fraction_end
0.995001682
issued_sbc_fair_value_reference_twd
4833.518650655
dividend_basis_parent_net_income_previous_calendar_year_oku
1756.112
dividend_rate_on_prior_fiscal_income_assumed
0.48
dividend_declaration_date_assumed

2032-05-20

dividend_ex_date

2032-08-27

dividend_ex_date_confirmed
未確認
dividend_ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

dividend_ex_date_assumed

2032-08-27

dividend_cash_pay_date_assumed

2032-09-24

sources
内容を開く
1

S04

2

S05

3

S06

4

S07

5

S08

6

S09

8
内容を開く
period_index
7
calendar_year
2033
label

2033

開始日

2033-01-01

終了日

2033-12-31

days
365
days_in_calendar_year
365
fraction_of_calendar_year
1
source_status

MODEL_ASSUMPTION

売上高
7950
annualized_revenue_reference_oku
7950
営業利益率
33.00%
営業利益(億)
2623.5
bank_interest_expense_oku
0
min_cash_interest_income_oku
2.6
net_finance_income_oku
2.6
profit_before_tax_oku
2626.1
effective_tax_rate_assumed
0.23
income_tax_expense_oku
604.003
consolidated_net_income_oku
2022.097
nci_net_income_oku
-0.05
parent_common_net_income_oku
2022.147
employee_cash_bonus_expense_in_margin_note

Cash employee bonuses presumed included in operating expenses and NI; not added back.

equity_settled_sbc_expense_in_ebit_oku
15.08057819
equity_settled_sbc_cfo_addback_oku
15.08057819
depreciation_amortization_oku
230.55
change_in_operating_working_capital_cash_use_oku
132
operating_cashflow_estimated_oku
2135.72757819
maintenance_capex_cash_oku
246.45
expansion_capex_cash_oku
373.65
capex_total_cash_oku
620.1
lease_principal_cash_oku
0.92
fcf_before_dividends_and_financing_oku
1514.70757819
gross_company_dividend_paid_oku
903.54816
original_holder_dividend_received_oku
899.031938582
common_buyback_company_spend_oku
0
old_holder_buyback_cash_received_oku
0
new_equity_cash_proceeds_oku
0
bank_borrowing_cash_in_oku
0
bank_debt_repayment_cash_out_oku
0
opening_cash_oku
1795.910981887
ending_cash_oku
2407.070400077
opening_bank_debt_oku
0
ending_bank_debt_oku
0
opening_parent_equity_oku
6267.428821471
ending_parent_equity_oku
7401.108239661
opening_nci_equity_oku
-0.556144247
ending_nci_equity_oku
-0.606144247
opening_operating_nwc_oku
1904.1029352
ending_operating_nwc_oku
2036.1029352
opening_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
new_lease_liability_oku
0.92
ending_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
opening_company_common_shares
360121114
new_employees_sbc_common_shares
300000
issuer_buyback_shares
0
ending_company_common_shares
360421114
original_holder_shares_after_transactions
358321114
original_holder_ownership_fraction_end
0.994173482
issued_sbc_fair_value_reference_twd
5026.859396681
dividend_basis_parent_net_income_previous_calendar_year_oku
1882.392
dividend_rate_on_prior_fiscal_income_assumed
0.48
dividend_declaration_date_assumed

2033-05-20

dividend_ex_date

2033-08-26

dividend_ex_date_confirmed
未確認
dividend_ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

dividend_ex_date_assumed

2033-08-26

dividend_cash_pay_date_assumed

2033-09-23

sources
内容を開く
1

S04

2

S05

3

S06

4

S07

5

S08

6

S09

9
内容を開く
period_index
8
calendar_year
2034
label

2034

開始日

2034-01-01

終了日

2034-12-31

days
365
days_in_calendar_year
365
fraction_of_calendar_year
1
source_status

MODEL_ASSUMPTION

売上高
8450
annualized_revenue_reference_oku
8450
営業利益率
32.50%
営業利益(億)
2746.25
bank_interest_expense_oku
0
min_cash_interest_income_oku
2.6
net_finance_income_oku
2.6
profit_before_tax_oku
2748.85
effective_tax_rate_assumed
0.23
income_tax_expense_oku
632.2355
consolidated_net_income_oku
2116.6145
nci_net_income_oku
-0.05
parent_common_net_income_oku
2116.6645
employee_cash_bonus_expense_in_margin_note

Cash employee bonuses presumed included in operating expenses and NI; not added back.

equity_settled_sbc_expense_in_ebit_oku
15.683801318
equity_settled_sbc_cfo_addback_oku
15.683801318
depreciation_amortization_oku
245.05
change_in_operating_working_capital_cash_use_oku
120
operating_cashflow_estimated_oku
2257.348301318
maintenance_capex_cash_oku
261.95
expansion_capex_cash_oku
397.15
capex_total_cash_oku
659.1
lease_principal_cash_oku
0.92
fcf_before_dividends_and_financing_oku
1597.328301318
gross_company_dividend_paid_oku
970.63056
original_holder_dividend_received_oku
964.975163862
common_buyback_company_spend_oku
0
old_holder_buyback_cash_received_oku
0
new_equity_cash_proceeds_oku
0
bank_borrowing_cash_in_oku
0
bank_debt_repayment_cash_out_oku
0
opening_cash_oku
2407.070400077
ending_cash_oku
3033.768141395
opening_bank_debt_oku
0
ending_bank_debt_oku
0
opening_parent_equity_oku
7401.108239661
ending_parent_equity_oku
8562.825980979
opening_nci_equity_oku
-0.606144247
ending_nci_equity_oku
-0.656144247
opening_operating_nwc_oku
2036.1029352
ending_operating_nwc_oku
2156.1029352
opening_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
new_lease_liability_oku
0.92
ending_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
opening_company_common_shares
360421114
new_employees_sbc_common_shares
300000
issuer_buyback_shares
0
ending_company_common_shares
360721114
original_holder_shares_after_transactions
358321114
original_holder_ownership_fraction_end
0.993346661
issued_sbc_fair_value_reference_twd
5227.933772548
dividend_basis_parent_net_income_previous_calendar_year_oku
2022.147
dividend_rate_on_prior_fiscal_income_assumed
0.48
dividend_declaration_date_assumed

2034-05-19

dividend_ex_date

2034-08-28

dividend_ex_date_confirmed
未確認
dividend_ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

dividend_ex_date_assumed

2034-08-28

dividend_cash_pay_date_assumed

2034-09-22

sources
内容を開く
1

S04

2

S05

3

S06

4

S07

5

S08

6

S09

10
内容を開く
period_index
9
calendar_year
2035
label

2035

開始日

2035-01-01

終了日

2035-12-31

days
365
days_in_calendar_year
365
fraction_of_calendar_year
1
source_status

MODEL_ASSUMPTION

売上高
9000
annualized_revenue_reference_oku
9000
営業利益率
32.00%
営業利益(億)
2880
bank_interest_expense_oku
0
min_cash_interest_income_oku
2.6
net_finance_income_oku
2.6
profit_before_tax_oku
2882.6
effective_tax_rate_assumed
0.23
income_tax_expense_oku
662.998
consolidated_net_income_oku
2219.602
nci_net_income_oku
-0.05
parent_common_net_income_oku
2219.652
employee_cash_bonus_expense_in_margin_note

Cash employee bonuses presumed included in operating expenses and NI; not added back.

equity_settled_sbc_expense_in_ebit_oku
16.31115337
equity_settled_sbc_cfo_addback_oku
16.31115337
depreciation_amortization_oku
261
change_in_operating_working_capital_cash_use_oku
132
operating_cashflow_estimated_oku
2364.91315337
maintenance_capex_cash_oku
279
expansion_capex_cash_oku
423
capex_total_cash_oku
702
lease_principal_cash_oku
0.92
fcf_before_dividends_and_financing_oku
1661.99315337
gross_company_dividend_paid_oku
1015.99896
original_holder_dividend_received_oku
1009.23917409
common_buyback_company_spend_oku
0
old_holder_buyback_cash_received_oku
0
new_equity_cash_proceeds_oku
0
bank_borrowing_cash_in_oku
0
bank_debt_repayment_cash_out_oku
0
opening_cash_oku
3033.768141395
ending_cash_oku
3679.762334765
opening_bank_debt_oku
0
ending_bank_debt_oku
0
opening_parent_equity_oku
8562.825980979
ending_parent_equity_oku
9782.790174349
opening_nci_equity_oku
-0.656144247
ending_nci_equity_oku
-0.706144247
opening_operating_nwc_oku
2156.1029352
ending_operating_nwc_oku
2288.1029352
opening_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
new_lease_liability_oku
0.92
ending_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
opening_company_common_shares
360721114
new_employees_sbc_common_shares
300000
issuer_buyback_shares
0
ending_company_common_shares
361021114
original_holder_shares_after_transactions
358321114
original_holder_ownership_fraction_end
0.992521213
issued_sbc_fair_value_reference_twd
5437.05112345
dividend_basis_parent_net_income_previous_calendar_year_oku
2116.6645
dividend_rate_on_prior_fiscal_income_assumed
0.48
dividend_declaration_date_assumed

2035-05-18

dividend_ex_date

2035-08-28

dividend_ex_date_confirmed
未確認
dividend_ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

dividend_ex_date_assumed

2035-08-28

dividend_cash_pay_date_assumed

2035-09-24

sources
内容を開く
1

S04

2

S05

3

S06

4

S07

5

S08

6

S09

11
内容を開く
period_index
10
calendar_year
2036
label

2036_final_311d

開始日

2036-01-01

終了日

2036-11-06

days
311
days_in_calendar_year
366
fraction_of_calendar_year
0.849726776
source_status

MODEL_ASSUMPTION

売上高
8072.404371585
annualized_revenue_reference_oku
9500
営業利益率
32.00%
営業利益(億)
2583.169398907
bank_interest_expense_oku
0
min_cash_interest_income_oku
2.209289617
net_finance_income_oku
2.209289617
profit_before_tax_oku
2585.378688525
effective_tax_rate_assumed
0.23
income_tax_expense_oku
594.637098361
consolidated_net_income_oku
1990.741590164
nci_net_income_oku
-0.042486339
parent_common_net_income_oku
1990.784076503
employee_cash_bonus_expense_in_margin_note

Cash employee bonuses presumed included in operating expenses and NI; not added back.

equity_settled_sbc_expense_in_ebit_oku
14.414422862
equity_settled_sbc_cfo_addback_oku
14.414422862
depreciation_amortization_oku
234.099726776
change_in_operating_working_capital_cash_use_oku
101.967213115
operating_cashflow_estimated_oku
2137.288526687
maintenance_capex_cash_oku
250.244535519
expansion_capex_cash_oku
379.403005464
capex_total_cash_oku
629.647540984
lease_principal_cash_oku
0.781748634
fcf_before_dividends_and_financing_oku
1506.85923707
gross_company_dividend_paid_oku
1065.43296
original_holder_dividend_received_oku
1057.464813871
common_buyback_company_spend_oku
0
old_holder_buyback_cash_received_oku
0
new_equity_cash_proceeds_oku
0
bank_borrowing_cash_in_oku
0
bank_debt_repayment_cash_out_oku
0
opening_cash_oku
3679.762334765
ending_cash_oku
4121.188611835
opening_bank_debt_oku
0
ending_bank_debt_oku
0
opening_parent_equity_oku
9782.790174349
ending_parent_equity_oku
10722.555713714
opening_nci_equity_oku
-0.706144247
ending_nci_equity_oku
-0.748630585
opening_operating_nwc_oku
2288.1029352
ending_operating_nwc_oku
2390.070148315
opening_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
new_lease_liability_oku
0.781748634
ending_lease_liability_oku
6.15827
opening_company_common_shares
361021114
new_employees_sbc_common_shares
254918
issuer_buyback_shares
0
ending_company_common_shares
361276032
original_holder_shares_after_transactions
358321114
original_holder_ownership_fraction_end
0.991820886
issued_sbc_fair_value_reference_twd
5654.533168388
dividend_basis_parent_net_income_previous_calendar_year_oku
2219.652
dividend_rate_on_prior_fiscal_income_assumed
0.48
dividend_declaration_date_assumed

2036-05-20

dividend_ex_date

2036-08-28

dividend_ex_date_confirmed
未確認
dividend_ex_date_status

ASSUMED_NOT_ANNOUNCED

dividend_ex_date_assumed

2036-08-28

dividend_cash_pay_date_assumed

2036-09-24

sources
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1

S04

2

S05

3

S06

4

S07

5

S08

6

S09

period_count
11
期間内の親会社利益合計(億)
17314.906112341
期間内株主受取
7492.48754651
終価
23704.039536773
probability_discount_rate
0.115
現在価値(億)
11916.707473801
value_per_initial_share_twd
3325.706191514
scenario_irr
0.097127031
terminal
内容を開く
日付

2036-11-06

valuation_method

2037 sustainable unlevered owner FCFF discounted by terminal return-g, less bank debt, plus excess cash; projected SBC grants neutralized by hypothetical repurchase expense solved algebraically

calendar_2036_revenue_full_year_reference_oku
9500
calendar_2036_fraction_modeled
0.849726776
revenue_2037_annual_oku
9832.5
normalized_operating_profit_2037_oku
2949.75
normalized_operating_margin_2037
0.3
unlevered_operating_cash_tax_2037_oku
678.4425
da_2037_oku
285.1425
maintenance_capex_2037_oku
304.8075
recurring_growth_capex_2037_oku
560.4525
nwc_cash_investment_2037_oku
79.8
lease_service_2037_oku
0.92
sbc_employee_grant_shares_2037
300000
sbc_reference_price_2037_twd
5880.714495124
noncash_sbc_2037_in_ebit_oku
17.642143485
pre_sbc_buyback_owner_fcff_2037_oku
1628.112143485
new_sbc_shares_to_outstanding_ratio
0.00083039
terminal_implied_issuer_buyback_share_price_twd
6615.306385985
annual_cash_cost_to_keep_shares_flat_post_terminal_oku
19.845919158
sustainable_fcff_2037_after_neutralization_oku
1608.266224327
terminal_fcff_discount_rate
0.115
terminal_growth_rate
0.035
terminal_capitalization_spread
0.08
operating_ev_2036_oku
20103.327804093
bank_debt_2036_oku
0
cash_total_2036_oku
4121.188611835
non_distributable_operating_cash_oku
325
excess_cash_2036_oku
3796.188611835
lease_service_normalized_not_double_counted_with_lease_liability

lease service is subtracted from sustainable FCFF; lease balance is NOT separately subtracted from EV

debt_minus_excess_cash_oku
-3796.188611835
issuer_total_terminal_common_equity_oku
23899.516415928
issuer_common_shares_2036
361276032
original_holder_common_shares_2036
358321114
fraction_owned_by_nov2026_original_holders_2036
0.991820886
terminal_old_holder_equity_oku
23704.039536773
terminal_value_per_original_share_twd
6615.306385985
terminal_is_excluded_from_timed_cashflows
はい
terminal_2037_earnings_are_not_additional_2036_period_profit
はい

金額の単位

億TWD (100,000,000 New Taiwan dollars)

事業の詳細

model

Mix epoxy resin/glass cloth/copper foil, fabricate specialty copper clad laminates/prepregs sold to PCB producers for AI server, high-speed networking, automotive and other electronics.

supplier_sources
1

copper foil mainly Taiwan

2

glass fiber cloth Taiwan/Japan

3

epoxy resin Taiwan/Japan

products
1

copper-clad laminate

2

prepreg

3

multilayer press laminate

customer_concentration_2025
内容を開く
anonymous_customer_A_pct
14
anonymous_customer_B_pct
12
customer_identity_verified
いいえ
出典

S05 pdf p79

geographic_exposure

China ~79.11% of sales geography in 2025 annual; geographic location is not equal to end-customer economic exposures.

2025_annual_report_management_market_share_claims
global_ccl_pct
13.3
halogen_free_ccl_pct
34.4
third_party_prismark_original_verified
いいえ
high_speed_risk

Qualifications and chemistry create barriers, but new ultra-low-loss technologies and competing producers can compress margins.

競争力の詳細

understandability

medium-high core product economics; low auditability of final OEM exposure and ASP/mix

economic_moat

qualification and dielectric-performance manufacturing knowhow; not immune to competing process/capacity

management_capital_allocation

2026-10-28 expansion decision for 986 oku and syndication limit 350 oku demand disciplined project return monitoring

cash_conversion_warning

2026 nine-month cash from operations 122.93 oku vs PPE capex cash 168.78 oku (negative pre-intangible FCF)

cyclicality

volume, high-end product mix, raw copper/glass fiber/resin, customer capex cycles, concentration and fab utilization

業界の詳細

competitors
内容を開く
1

Shengyi Technology

2

Kingboard

3

Nan Ya Plastics

4

Panasonic Industry

competition_assessment

High-end technical qualification supports margins, commodity CCL more price competitive.

overinvestment_risk

Approved 986 oku capex is an authorization, not immediate contractual CF nor guaranteed return.

財務・資本配分の詳細

actual_reviewed_sep2026
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現金(億)
296.78813
trade_receivables_oku
827.03857
inventory_oku
270.83831
trade_payables_oku
499.42254
pp_and_e_oku
477.48155
bank_short_term_borrowings_oku
182.5011
bank_current_long_debt_oku
35.86997
bank_long_term_borrowings_oku
224.46961
financial_debt_oku
442.84068
lease_liability_current_oku
0.56071
lease_liability_long_oku
5.59756
親会社持分(億)
734.68253
noncontrolling_interest_oku
-0.24061
total_equity_oku
734.44192
assets_total_oku
1937.4298
liabilities_total_oku
1202.98788
issued_common_shares
358321114
treasury_shares_reported
0
financial_net_debt_oku
146.05255
lease_liability_total_oku
6.15827
net_operating_working_capital_core_oku
598.45434
actual_2026_ytd
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売上高
1412.26994
営業利益(億)
385.48717
pretax_profit_oku
386.82854
income_tax_expense_oku
89.73315
consolidated_net_profit_oku
297.09539
parent_common_net_profit_oku
297.13011
nci_profit_oku
-0.03472
cfo_oku
122.92912
pp_and_e_cash_capex_oku
168.7846
intangible_cash_capex_oku
0.52555
depreciation_oku
18.95322
amortization_oku
0.35059
total_operating_wc_cash_outflow_oku
236.18383
cash_dividends_paid_oku
89.5802785
weighted_average_basic_shares_thousands
358321
weighted_average_diluted_shares_thousands
358577
potential_employee_stock_bonus_dilution_shares_thousands
256
employee_compensation_accrued_oku
9.99651
director_compensation_accrued_oku
0.68393
cash_dividend_2026_ex_date

2026-08-28

cash_dividend_2026_paid_date

2026-09-24

effective_group_tax_rate
0.231971379
actual_2025_and_oct2026
2026
内容を開く
売上高
942.60578
profit_parent_oku
146.48907
profit_consolidated_oku
146.44888
dividend_2026_for_2025_per_share_twd
25
2026_10
売上高
244.72758
source_status

reproduced_market_regulatory_release; direct issuer MOPS primary row not independently confirmed

preferred_shares

none identified in company registration, 2025 annual and current common financing; reconfirm if future rights change

nci

negative reviewed NCI book and slight negative NCI earnings, separately carried; not added to parent terminal equity.

trust_treasury_and_sbc

2026 basic vs diluted share difference includes 256k hypothetically dilutive employee stock bonus; not confirmed actual share grant. Historical employee compensation accrual inside profit. Future grants entirely hypothetical and charged once in EBIT, CFO addback with corresponding dilution, then terminal future neutralizing buyback cash cost.

share_buybacks

no verified outstanding company buyback authorization or executed treasury shares at 2026-11-06; scenarios conservatively set buyback spending zero and do not count fictitious old-holder tender proceeds

dividend_rights
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2026_dividend_per_common_share_twd
25
2026_declared

2026-07-29

2026_ex_date

2026-08-28

2026_record_date

2026-09-05

2026_payment_date

2026-09-24

eligible_to_buy_at_2026_11_06
いいえ
included_in_projected_holder_cf_oku
0
出典

S06

unfunded_credit_limit_mistake_to_avoid

350 oku approved bank facility is separate from 442.84068 oku outstanding bank financial borrowing on Sep30, pending confirmed draw and signature.

intragroup_loans

Do not separately add subsidiaries related-party intercompany loans to consolidated external financing; eliminate in consolidation.

評価根拠の詳細

q3_2026_pretax_margin
0.307195313
nine_month_effective_tax_rate
0.231971379
annualized_2026_9month_parent_net_income_oku
396.17348
price_earnings_on_9month_annualization
34.55018381
2025_parent_ni_oku
146.48907
price_earnings_2025_full_year
93.439507499
reported_2026_ytd_nwc_cash_use_oku
236.18383
reported_2026_ytd_ebit_margin
0.272955728
reported_2026_ytd_cfo_less_ppe_cash_capex_oku
-45.85548

分析基準とデータ

価格・単価
3820
price_currency

TWD/share

株価の出所

台湾証券取引所2026-11-06日報の普通株終値3,820 TWD

株数
358321114
株数の出所

台湾証券取引所2026-11-06投資枠表の発行普通株358,321,114株。基準日の自己株・信託の有無は未確定のため旧株主分母は代理値。

issued_common_shares
358321114
自己株式数
0
treasury_status

no treasury share balance identified through reviewed 2026-09-30; Nov06 status not independently proven

old_holder_cohort_shares
358321114
total_outstanding_shares_proxy
358321114
時価総額(億)
13687.8665548
financial_statement_date_actual

2026-09-30

financial_starting_point_asof_proxy

2026-11-06 estimated 37-day bridge from 2026-09-30 with October reported revenue, otherwise explicitly assumed

initial_cash_proxy_oku
311.571843239
initial_bank_debt_proxy_oku
442.84068
initial_parent_book_equity_proxy_oku
793.574243239
initial_nci_book_equity_proxy_oku
-0.24861
actual_2026_09_30_parent_equity_oku
734.68253
initial_issuer_common_shares
358321114

検証上の留意点

publishability

UNVERIFIED MODEL assumptions; not fit to be presented as audited public valuation or EWT tax analysis.

actual_vs_proxy_vs_forecast
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1

All 2026-09-30 P&L/BS data verified in reviewed company PDF

2

2026-10 revenue from company announcement repost not direct MOPS original

3

37-day 2026-10-01 to 2026-11-06 reconciliation bridge explicitly estimated

4

55+9*12months+311 future periods purely hypothetical; no 2026 post-cutoff existing cash dividend assumed

tax

Reported 2026 9m consolidated effective tax ~23.2%; future case tax rates assumed 23-25% and apply to positive pretax income (no tax credits or NOL modeled). EWT dividend withholding UNKNOWN and intentionally NOT deducted.

maintenance_capex

Company has not disclosed exact maintenance/growth split. Forecast divides PP&E cash capex using estimated 2.6-3.1% sales maintenance and budget-linked growth; project timing unknown.

customer_concentration

Named downstream A/B anonymized; EWT ETF holdings and final OEM mix unknown.

capex_986

All scenarios model conditional post-cutoff expansion spending as a stress assumption, not a verified remaining cash commitment. Oct28-Jan?? already spent or previously planned overlap unknown.

debt_350

Board finance limit not a cash inflow without verified execution, borrowing dynamically modeled as separate assumptions.

dividends

2026 dividend ex and payment before cutoff, excluded. Future ex dates and payment dates are provisional weekday-adjusted assumptions (Taiwan holiday calendar not checked); declarative zero-event markers included.

SBC

Historical diluted stock-bonus potential is NOT actual paid equity issuance; forecast hypothetical grant shares charged in EBIT; post-terminal stock-neutrality cash replacement solved at implied market price; no same shares deducted twice.

cashflow_coverage

Scenario annual CFO assumes accounting tax equals cash tax, no extra derivative/investment/FX cash mismatch, NCI distributions zero and operating working capital tied to sales changes. Corporate actions after cutoff unverified.

terminal_value

2037 recurring FCFF, not market P/E. Terminal share equity appears exclusively in mcap_oku and IRR terminal separately; no nonzero terminal event inside timed_cashflows.

disclosure_gaps
内容を開く
1

TWSE individual security original Nov06 daily-price API row not obtained (issuer price verified)

2

2026-11-06 exact audited cash, debt, book equity and treasury shares unavailable; 9/30 + estimated 37-day bridge only

3

2026-10 released sales direct MOPS record not obtained

4

Current newly signed 350oku credit and funding status unknown

5

986oku capex authorization cash timetable and committed vs cancellable parts unconfirmed

6

Future maintenance capex and long-run PCB material ASP/product mix and final buyers unknowable

7

2027+ dividend exact ex/payment times not announced; modeled dates not Taiwan-trading-holiday adjusted

8

Actual potential stock bonus settlement vs stock grant details and later issuances unconfirmed

9

Any ETF-level local dividend withholding tax rate unresolved

10

No validated official external importer schema beyond inferred aiv-2-eu-pilot key convention

追加データ・検証記録

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分析に使用した資料

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