株譜

AI 銘柄分析 · 10年

SK hynix Inc.

000660 · KRW · 分析基準日 2026-11-06

SK hynix普通株:半導体サイクルと株主還元を織り込む10年分析

10年期待年率要確認参考 19.72%(2026-11-06・1,132,000.00 KRW基準、集計外)
資本コスト12.00%
直近終値1,132,000.00 KRW2026-11-06

AIによるシナリオ分析です。基準日以降の出来事、株価や為替の変化は個別に確認が必要です。各数値は元の分析の単位と前提に従います。

分析の要約

2026年11月6日の韓国普通株を起点に、HBM・汎用DRAM・NANDの需給、設備投資と株式報酬を5ケースで予測します。2026年第3四半期決算は監査前の速報で、キオクシア関連の一時利益と特別配当を継続利益と区別しています。7月のADS発行は発行費用を差し引いた推定純手取を基準日資本に反映し、第2四半期配当は11月の新規購入者の受取に含めません。10月28日決議の買戻しのうち、基準日までの取得数は未確認のため100万株と仮定し、未取得・300万株取得とした感応度では、分析基準日の期待年率の差は約0.01ポイント未満です。非売却の普通株1株を基準に現金配当と残存価値を評価し、会社の買戻しによる株数変化と従業員向け株式交付を区別します。韓国でETFが実際に負担する配当源泉税は未確定で、この試算には反映していません。将来の配当・株価・利益・買戻しとシナリオ確率は予測であり、会社の確約ではありません。

要点

1

FY2025 company-reported sales 97.1467T KRW vs provisional Q3 2026 quarterly sales 104.6155T KRW: extremely elevated price/cycle environment is unsuitable for perpetual 80% EBIT margin extrapolation.

2

Q3 consolidated NI 39.775593T differs from parent NI 39.534392T; 2026 H1 63.178974T financial-mark valuation gains and 13.979567T financial dividend income are non-operating/partly Kioxia-related and excluded from future sustainable earnings.

3

Jul 2026 new ADS issuance proceeds 39.89053479T add real cash/equity and dilute existing shares (already incorporated into baseline), not a future 2027 event.

4

Completed 40.0043390635T Aug-Oct 2026 buybacks occur BEFORE this initial purchase date and contribute ZERO to new holder future CF. New employee share repurchases do not count as old shareholder cash returns.

5

One actual old ordinary share never tenders; company purchases affect shares outstanding. Its own dividend and terminal claim are multiplied by the 705,173,324-share basis proxy purely for aiv import normalization; this is NOT a real aggregate cohort.

6

Annual plus stub-year 2026 / 2036 yields eleven disclosed rows per scenario. All unannounced ex dates are guesses with zero-cash recheck gates.

7

Company earnings estimates and all capital market issuance, future trading prices, quantity/ASP and 2037 perpetual forecasts are assumptions rather than issuer guidance.

結論の補足

company_description

AIサーバー向けHBMと汎用DRAM/NANDを持つ半導体メモリー企業

horizon_years_calendar
10
終価の基準日

2036-11-06

probability_weighted_gross_korea_withholding_before_irr
0.1971423561
tax_after_actual_EWY_IRR
未確認
probability_weighted_old_holder_payout_oku
3419632.531809
probability_weighted_old_holder_terminal_mcap_oku
39001819.546546
old_holder_initial_market_cap_oku
7982562.02768
ewy_2026_11_05_holding_weight_reference
0.2247
ewy_2026_11_09_reconstitution_weight
未確認
ewy_weight_note

22.47% is the user-supplied 2026-11-05 reference, NOT a verified or estimated Nov9 post-index-change exposure

事業

AI向けHBM、一般DRAM、NAND/eSSDを製造販売。K-IFRSの報告対象事業セグメントは半導体1本。HBMはDRAMの内数であり別売上と足し合わせない。Kioxia投資損益と特別配当は恒常営業利益から除外。

競争力・事業の質

HBM4量産・長期契約は強みだが受注先集中と価格変動に脆い。2026Q3の80%営業利益率と、Kioxiaを含む金融評価益は恒久的と扱わない。将来の大型設備投資、SBC及び資本調達が必要。

業界と環境

DRAM/HBM寡占とNAND激しい競争。HBM実装・歩留まり、設備投資、DDR5/NAND価格とビット出荷量、AIアクセラレータ投資、サイクル、為替、輸出規制を独立要因として5ケースで変化。

財務・資本配分

6/30 reviewed parent equity 262.38061T KRW; Q3 parent NI preliminary 39.534392T; July17.79m ADS issuance estimated NET 39.47365449T (gross39.89053479T less prospectus fees); Q2 375KRW dividend Aug7 declared AFTER June30 (Sep payment total not verified, 0.27186230175T model proxy), old program completed 40.004339T August20-October21, Q3 20kKRW dividend Oct28 declared and counted once; Oct29-Nov6 new buyback unknown scenarios 0/1m/3m. Q3 end liquidity embeds ADS and Q2 payment. Equity and liquidity are MODEL proxies, not K-IFRS November6 observed.

評価の前提と確認

株価PERを終価に使用しない。2037年のSBC控除済NOPAT+非現金償却+SBC加算-維持成長投資-増分運転資本-時価株式補充をWACC−gで資本化し、留保資金・有利子負債・NCIから普通株帰属価値へ接続。予測の割高/割安は時点別旧株主CFで再計算。

資本コストの前提

資本コスト
12.00%
k_unit

per year, nominal KRW

main_case

base

方法

analyst judgment nominal equity cost with country, memory cyclicality, HBM concentration and earnings volatility; not back-solved market PER

case_specific_k
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stress
0.155
bear
0.14
base
0.12
bull
0.11
upside
0.105
case_specific_terminal_wacc
内容を開く
stress
0.14
bear
0.122
base
0.106
bull
0.098
upside
0.095

事業別データ

事業別の内訳と、収録されている年度別データを確認できます。

事業別データを開く →

10年のシナリオ

シナリオごとの確率、期間内の株主還元・追加負担、終価です。金額は億KRW。株主の範囲や受取時点は各分析の前提を確認してください。

シナリオ確率株主還元・追加負担終価
先端HBMプレミアム長期維持5.0%13,907,168.58247,066,208.00
HBM寡占維持・AI投資拡大20.0%6,633,702.7375,147,612.89
AI普及・循環的な平準化40.0%2,701,963.6122,835,912.69
HBM競争・価格正常化25.0%1,090,932.489,124,847.66
AI設備過剰・メモリー大不況10.0%440,149.922,034,095.77

先端HBMプレミアム長期維持(確率 5.0%)

高付加価値HBMの技術プレミアムと成長が長く続くが市場シェア・容量は仮定

確率の根拠

5%: 技術面の独占的プレミアム長期持続は例外的

このシナリオの数値・キャッシュフローを開く →

HBM寡占維持・AI投資拡大(確率 20.0%)

AIメモリー需要が増え先端HBM ASPが比較的維持される一方投資費用が必要

確率の根拠

20%: AI投資継続・HBM供給制約はあり得る

このシナリオの数値・キャッシュフローを開く →

AI普及・循環的な平準化(確率 40.0%)

HBM数量は増えるが2026Q3の異常なASPと高い採算は漸減し半導体循環を経験

確率の根拠

40%: 成長しつつメモリー循環正常化という中心仮定

このシナリオの数値・キャッシュフローを開く →

HBM競争・価格正常化(確率 25.0%)

HBM価格競争と汎用DRAM/NAND ASP下落で持続利益が縮小

確率の根拠

25%: メモリー設備過剰と先端競争の過去の性質を反映

このシナリオの数値・キャッシュフローを開く →

AI設備過剰・メモリー大不況(確率 10.0%)

供給過剰と価格急落、高額設備投資で外部資金を要する

確率の根拠

10%: HBM供給競争・AI設備投資停止のテールリスク

このシナリオの数値・キャッシュフローを開く →

金額の単位

億KRW

事業の詳細

segments_accounting

K-IFRS reports one semiconductor operating segment. Revenue disaggregation HBM/commodity DRAM/NAND in 2027-36 is an analyst forecast, not a verified financial reportable-segment split.

products
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1

HBM high-bandwidth DRAM for AI GPU accelerators, subset of total DRAM

2

Conventional DRAM: DDR5/server/mobile/PC

3

NAND flash: eSSD / enterprise SSD (including Solidigm)

4

Other memory packaging and services

2026_q3_market_context

2026Q3 provisional revenue and price-driven margin unusually elevated. Company LTA cover more than 50% of planned 2027-28 capacity with price adjustment mechanisms; not guaranteed ASP or margin.

kioxia

Gains, derivative movements and related 2026 special shareholder distributions are non-recurring. In model: 2026 special 10k KRW in confirmed quarterly dividend + a separate hypothetical FY26 residual cash distribution in 2027. Neither gains nor special dividends are added to future sustainable EBIT or an independently valued terminal Kioxia asset.

競争力の詳細

HBM_technology_strength

issuer reports HBM4 production ramp and demand under long-term agreements; HBM volumes/market shares not uncritically equated to entire consolidated reportable-segment share

weaknesses
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1

customer concentration in AI accelerators

2

memory supply/price cyclicality

3

large fabs/cleanrooms, EUV/packaging and capex commitments

4

technology yield, competition and export controls

5

financial-asset valuation gains distorting group NI

6

rapid equity issuance / employee stock incentives and capital-market funding

strengths
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1

advanced HBM supply position

2

strong 2026 spot market pricing and operating cash generation

3

Solidigm enterprise SSD exposure

4

long-term contract coverage

5

debt partly offset by large liquid financial assets

scoring
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technology
8
balance_sheet
7
recurring_earnings_visibility
4
capital_discipline
5
cycle_stability
2
scores_subjective
はい

業界の詳細

structure

oligopolistic DRAM/HBM and competitive NAND, high fixed costs, inventory cycles, fab lags

analysis_aspects
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1

AI accelerator HBM demand volume

2

HBM4 yield and premium ASP

3

DDR5 and conventional DRAM bit shipments and ASP

4

NAND/eSSD bit volumes and ASP

5

capex vs depreciation and wafer throughput

6

tax and working capital requirements

7

incremental equity issuance

8

export control, FX and semiconductor cycle

2026_q3_proxy_revenue_basket_oku
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hbm
1100000
conventional_dram
2050000
nand
950000
other
84619.32
disclosure_status

HBM share within DRAM not separately confirmed at 2026 Q3; synthetic baskets allocate Q3 total only for scenario construction and MUST NOT appear as actual segment financials

volume_asp_mechanics

Each forecast segment annual revenue = Q3 2026 synthetic annualized base × cumulative volume index × cumulative relative ASP index. HBM excludes any overlap with conventional DRAM. Annual margin derived from total revenue and scenario profitability assumptions.

財務・資本配分の詳細

reviewed_balance_sheet_2026_06
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日付

2026-06-30

状態

K-IFRS interim consolidated financial statements with auditors review, unaudited

h1_revenue_oku
1318950.33
h1_operating_profit_oku
981528.91
h1_parent_profit_oku
1341504.12
h1_consolidated_profit_oku
1342685.02
親会社持分(億)
2623806.1
非支配持分資本(億)
3126.18
strict_cash_equivalents_oku
268359.86
short_term_financial_instruments_oku
223975.59
short_term_investment_assets_oku
387243.78
broad_liquidity_three_components_oku
879579.23
interest_bearing_borrowings_oku
185866.34
current_tax_liability_oku
319580.25
h1_ppe_acquisitions_oku
183288.36
h1_intangible_acquisitions_oku
6651.8
h1_depreciation_oku
73408.67
h1_amortization_oku
4184.22
h1_share_based_payment_cashflow_addback_oku
746.39
h1_stock_comp_note_recognized_expense_oku
1486.63
h1_financial_instruments_valuation_gain_oku
631789.74
h1_dividend_income_oku
139795.67
発行済株式数
712702365
自己株式数
1626865
effective_outstanding_shares
711075500
source_id

h1_6k_reviewed

latest_preliminary_and_events
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2025_year_end
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日付

2025-12-31

状態

company reported K-IFRS FY2025, not used as 2026 future cashflow

売上高
971467
営業利益(億)
472063
consolidated_net_income_oku
429479
parent_net_income_oku
未確認
source_id

2025_company

2026_07_nasdaq_ads
内容を開く
日付

2026-07-29

asof_date_status

July 10 ADS listing; July 29 newly issued ordinary shares listed on KRX

new_common_shares
17790000
ads_new
177900000
common_shares_per_ads
0.1
gross_issuance_proceeds_oku
398905.3479
issue_price_per_common_krw
2242301
source_id

h1_6k_reviewed

underwriting_discount_oku
3875.807196
other_issuance_expenses_estimated_oku
292.995843
net_issuance_proceeds_estimated_oku
394736.544861
actual_net_cash_proceeds_oku
未確認
new_source_ids
1

ads_prospectus_424b4

2

ads_krx_issuance_report

2026_10_28_q3_prelim
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日付

2026-10-28

期間末

2026-09-30

状態

reported provisional Q3 results (NOT confirmed reviewed financials)

q3_revenue_oku
1046154.83
q3_operating_profit_oku
833338.18
q3_pre_tax_profit_oku
507085
q3_parent_profit_oku
395343.92
q3_nci_profit_oku
2412.01
q3_consolidated_profit_oku
397755.93
ytd_parent_profit_oku
1736848.04
broad_liquidity_oku
1145000
borrowings_oku
158000
source_id

q3_6k_preliminary

2026_10_26_buyback_terminated
内容を開く
日付

2026-10-21

reported

2026-10-26

状態

cash paid, buys completed before 2026-11-06; cashflow on this investment horizon = 0

株数
23693272
cash_outflow_oku
400043.390635
estimated_cancel_date

2026-11-05

cancel_confirmed_asof
いいえ
source_id

buyback_execution_6k

2026_10_28_dividend_declared
内容を開く
日付

2026-10-28

payment_date_confirmed
未確認
record_date_confirmed

2026-11-30

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_assumed

2026-11-27

per_share_krw
20000
ordinary_component_krw
10000
kioxia_special_component_krw
10000
total_declared_oku
141034.6648
implied_eligible_shares
705173324
eligible_shares_can_change_before_record_date
はい
source_id

dividend_q3_6k

2026_10_28_buyback_new_plan
内容を開く
日付

2026-10-28

状態

board planned; execution conditional, October 29 start is before purchase baseline

planned_ordinary_buyback_shares
14920000
estimated_cash_oku_not_spending_cap
200077.2
estimated_price_krw
1341000
planned_start

2026-10-29

planned_end

2027-01-28

approx_cancellation_budget_oku
100000
approx_employee_budget_oku
100000
actual_share_count_can_change_with_price
はい
planned_model_target_shares_without_new_filing
14920000
assumed_purchased_2026_10_29_to_11_06_shares
1000000
assumed_purchased_2026_10_29_to_11_06_cash_oku
11320
model_unexecuted_share_balance_after_cutoff
13920000
source_id

buyback_policy_6k

2026_08_07_q2_dividend
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board_decision_date

2026-08-07

状態

issued decision, aggregate at decision; FINAL TOTAL NOT VERIFIED

record_date_confirmed

2026-08-31

per_common_krw
375
board_estimate_oku
2733.248018
implied_eligible_on_resolution
728866138
estimated_settled_old_program_treasury_by_record
3900000
estimated_eligible_shares_at_record
724966138
model_actual_payment_proxy_oku
2718.623018
actual_paid_oku
未確認
payment_date_declared
未確認
payment_date_assumed

2026-09-30

payment_pre_asof
はい
cash_embedded_in_2026_09_30_ir_liquidity
はい
accounting_recognition

Not a June30 liability; recognized in equity and dividend payable when declared Aug7, paid by September30 assumption; payable was extinguished, cash already inside Sep30 balance

excluded_from_holder_timed_cashflows
はい
出典番号
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1

q2_div_6k

2

h1_6k_reviewed

3

buyback_execution_6k

4

krx_t2_settlement

asof_parent_equity_proxy_oku
2858769.886408
sbc_policy

All SBC is expensed in operating costs, lowering ordinary parent NI. Equity-settled compensation is added back once to operating cash, matched to a real cost of treasury acquisition or new shareholder dilution; 2037 cash-neutral continuation explicitly adds back noncash expense and subtracts market share replenishment once. The stock trust transfer itself is 0 holder cash. Employee-purpose Oct28-plan treasury stock is reserved (not cancelled) and grants first consume reserved treasury stock; the entire 2036 employee reserve is used up in all five scenario projections. Market repurchase matching 2037 grants affects terminal FCFF once.

excluded_pre_asof_investor_cashflows_oku
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2026_aug_oct_stock_repurchase_oku
400043.390635
2026_H1_dividends_oku
15943.65
2026_Q2_dividend_estimate_oku
2718.623018
2026_Q2_dividend_actual_paid_oku
未確認
future_announced_but_partial_unknown
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assumed_whole_unspent_asof_Nov6
いいえ
plan_execution_from_Oct29_to_Nov6_unknown
はい
preasof_assumed_count_shares
1000000
preasof_assumed_cash_oku
11320
approved_target_not_actual_binding_share_cap
14920000
postasof_plan_purchase_shares
13920000
other_2027_new_program_from_this_approval_oku_assumed
0
compensation_repurchase_and_cancellation_not_dividends
はい
board_estimated_cash_NOT_fixed_oku
200077.2
announced_quarterly_dividend_cash_paid_after_asof

Board approved 20,000 KRW on Oct28, Nov30 record; future payment day not yet announced. Company liabilities/proxy equity deduct the declaration at asof; Dec24 assumed cash settlement no second equity debit.

option_exercise_forecasts

Synthetic 75,000 shares per full year in 2028-2032 at 65% assumed market reference. It is separately financed (paid issuance), not an assumed cash payment by old holders; no exercise after 2032 / 2037 terminal.

legacy_tax_payable_untouched_profit

Proxy 31T KRW historical accrued tax liability estimated from K-IFRS June tax payable 31.958T; payments 20T in 2027 and remainder in 2028 reduce liquid assets but not current profit/equity again; uncertainty high.

oct28_plan_one_resolution_bridge
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source_id

buyback_policy_6k

source_url

https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/2120882/000119312526435019/d165312d6k.htm

状態

BOARD DECISION PLANNED only, NOT concluded purchases

date_of_resolution

2026-10-28

planned_start

2026-10-29

planned_end

2027-01-28

planned_shares
14920000
board_estimated_purchase_cash_oku_NOT_implementation_cost
200077.2
formula_for_board_estimate

14,920,000 shares * KRW1,341,000 per share / 100,000,000 KRW per oku

board_price_assumption_krw
1341000
actual_share_count_can_change_with_market_price
はい
maximum_daily_share_purchase_order
1492000
before_2026_11_06_executions_actual_shares_verified
未確認
assumed_preasof_execution_shares
1000000
assumed_preasof_average_execution_price_krw
1132000
assumed_preasof_purchase_cash_oku
11320
assumed_preasof_shareholder_cancel_purpose_shares
500000
assumed_preasof_employee_compensation_purpose_shares
500000
forecast_after_asof_number_shares
13920000
planned_after_asof_2026_shares
6960000
planned_after_asof_2027_shares
6960000
assumed_2026_dates
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1

2026-12-10

2

2026-12-11

3

2026-12-14

4

2026-12-15

5

2026-12-16

assumed_2027_dates
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1

2027-01-20

2

2027-01-21

3

2027-01-22

4

2027-01-25

5

2027-01-26

shares_daily_postasof
1392000
fraction_shares_for_shareholder_cancellation_ASSUMED
0.5
fraction_shares_for_employee_equity_awards_ASSUMED
0.5
issuer_announced_approx_cash_allocation_shareholder_oku
100000
issuer_announced_approx_cash_allocation_employee_oku
100000
actual_allocation_final_confirmed
いいえ
future_cancellation_date_assumed

2027-05-14

future_cancellation_legal_approval_confirmed
いいえ
cancellation_after_treasury_purchase_causes_additional_cash_out_oku
0
assumed_full_plan_by_2027_01_26_shares
14920000
model_share_limit_is_analytical_not_legally_fixed
はい
all_values_scenario_forecasts_subject_to_future_disclosure
はい
scenario_costs_by_assumed_execution_price_oku
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upside
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2027
share_count
6960000
company_cash_oku
85968.703198
implied_averaged_purchase_price_krw
1235182.52
2028
share_count
6960000
company_cash_oku
84240.588184
implied_averaged_purchase_price_krw
1210353.28
future_from_asof_cash_oku
170209.29138
whole_10_28_program_cash_including_assumed_prelude_oku
181529.29138
board_estimate_less_hypothetical_execution_oku
18547.90862
future_from_asof_purpose_breakdown
cancellation
株数
6960000
現金(億)
85104.64569
employee
株数
6960000
現金(億)
85104.64569
preasof_cash_already_in_opening_capital_oku
11320
number_of_subsequent_acquisition_business_days
10
bull
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2027
share_count
6960000
company_cash_oku
82767.645848
implied_averaged_purchase_price_krw
1189190.31
2028
share_count
6960000
company_cash_oku
76824.175004
implied_averaged_purchase_price_krw
1103795.62
future_from_asof_cash_oku
159591.82085
whole_10_28_program_cash_including_assumed_prelude_oku
170911.82085
board_estimate_less_hypothetical_execution_oku
29165.37915
future_from_asof_purpose_breakdown
cancellation
株数
6960000
現金(億)
79795.910425
employee
株数
6960000
現金(億)
79795.910425
preasof_cash_already_in_opening_capital_oku
11320
number_of_subsequent_acquisition_business_days
10
base
内容を開く
2027
share_count
6960000
company_cash_oku
78787.2
implied_averaged_purchase_price_krw
1132000
2028
share_count
6960000
company_cash_oku
62710.030787
implied_averaged_purchase_price_krw
901006.19
future_from_asof_cash_oku
141497.23079
whole_10_28_program_cash_including_assumed_prelude_oku
152817.23079
board_estimate_less_hypothetical_execution_oku
47259.96921
future_from_asof_purpose_breakdown
cancellation
株数
6960000
現金(億)
70748.615395
employee
株数
6960000
現金(億)
70748.615395
preasof_cash_already_in_opening_capital_oku
11320
number_of_subsequent_acquisition_business_days
10
bear
内容を開く
2027
share_count
6960000
company_cash_oku
72486.338031
implied_averaged_purchase_price_krw
1041470.37
2028
share_count
6960000
company_cash_oku
52580.471767
implied_averaged_purchase_price_krw
755466.55
future_from_asof_cash_oku
125066.8098
whole_10_28_program_cash_including_assumed_prelude_oku
136386.8098
board_estimate_less_hypothetical_execution_oku
63690.3902
future_from_asof_purpose_breakdown
cancellation
株数
6960000
現金(億)
62533.4049
employee
株数
6960000
現金(億)
62533.4049
preasof_cash_already_in_opening_capital_oku
11320
number_of_subsequent_acquisition_business_days
10
stress
内容を開く
2027
share_count
6960000
company_cash_oku
64911.786711
implied_averaged_purchase_price_krw
932640.61
2028
share_count
6960000
company_cash_oku
37017.058782
implied_averaged_purchase_price_krw
531854.29
future_from_asof_cash_oku
101928.84549
whole_10_28_program_cash_including_assumed_prelude_oku
113248.84549
board_estimate_less_hypothetical_execution_oku
86828.35451
future_from_asof_purpose_breakdown
cancellation
株数
6960000
現金(億)
50964.422745
employee
株数
6960000
現金(億)
50964.422745
preasof_cash_already_in_opening_capital_oku
11320
number_of_subsequent_acquisition_business_days
10
modelled_preasof_zero_three_m_sensitivity_available_in_package
はい
unresolved_confirmations_v3
内容を開く
1

2026-08-31 real Q2 dividend paid eligible-share count, cash total and primary payment confirmation

2

2026 Q3 finalized K-IFRS equity, other comprehensive income, equity-settled SBC capital credit

3

2026 July ADS true net proceeds versus July9 prospectus estimated other offering expenses

4

Actual executed Oct29-Nov6 buyback shares and prices versus assumed 0/1m/3m

5

Nov05 old treasury cancellation actual registration and Oct-Nov unrelated share movements

6

Oct1-Nov6 operating cashflows, paid taxes, investments, debt changes and OCI

7

EWY actual Korea dividend WHT effective rate/refunds and tax residence qualification

8

Forecast ex-dates, payment dates, employee deliveries, board approval for conditional future buyback

評価根拠の詳細

valuation_uses_share_price_as_terminal_multiple
いいえ
terminal_market_per
未確認
growth_from_actual_q3_not_used_as_perpetual_80pct_margin
はい
perpetuity_discount_formula

FCFF_2037/(WACC-g) + cash_2036 - required_operating_cash - debt - NCI; correct initial holders fractional claim

monetary_unit

all monetary figures 億KRW except KRW/share and unit-labeled raw amounts

not_real_data_fields
内容を開く
1

2036 price

2

future share buyback execution market price

3

all forecast HBM volume/ASP indices

4

2026 Nov6 total equity and cash

5

fund tax rate

6

all unannounced dividends and corporate dates

分析基準とデータ

価格・単価
1132000
株数
705173324
price_times_effective_market_cap_oku
7982562.02768
old_holder_block_shares
1
synthetic_display_multiplier_from_basis_shares
705173324
initial_old_holder_block_mcap_oku
7982562.02768
old_holder_block_fraction_at_baseline
1.4201E-9
ADS
内容を開く
ticker

SKHY

nasdaq_listing_2026_07_10
はい
ads_per_ordinary
10
ordinary_per_ads
0.1
ads_isin

US78392B2060

gdr_exchange

Luxembourg

gdr_isin

US78392B1070

new_ads_issued_at_ipo
177900000
underlying_new_common_shares
17790000
出典番号
1

issuer_isin_adr

2

h1_6k_reviewed

liquidity
内容を開く
broad_cash_liquidity_q3_2026_company_IR_oku
1145000
Q3_label_warning

Company IR cash and cash equivalents apparently includes short-term financial investments; NOT directly comparable to strict June K-IFRS cash-equivalents

verified_June_30_strict_cash_oku
268359.86
verified_June_30_cash_plus_short_term_oku
879579.23
verified_June_30_total_borrowings_oku
185866.34
Q3_borrowings_oku
158000
completed_Oct_1_to_21_buybacks_oku
90309.961925
base_liquidity_2026_11_06_proxy_oku
1043370.038075
conditional_preasof_oct28_buyback_deduction_oku
11320
base_liquidity_proxy_provenance

2026-09-30 issuer IR 114.5T broad liquidity (embeds Q2 dividend and July ADS cash, no further deduction of either) - issuer verified October 1-21 old-program buys - analyst assumed Oct29-Nov6 newly approved buys + zero proxy for October operations; not an observed K-IFRS Nov6 balance.

estimated_residual_legacy_tax_payable_oku
310000
Q2_verified_current_income_tax_payable_oku
319580.25
q3_reconciliation_bridge_subtracts_q2_again
いいえ
q3_reconciliation_bridge_subtracts_ipo_fees_again
いいえ
legacy_old_plan_buybacks_aug20_sep30_oku
309733.42871
legacy_old_plan_buybacks_oct01_oct21_oku
90309.961925
q3_unobserved_operating_investing_valuation_fx_bridge_residual_oku
183136.276867
parent_equity
内容を開く
reviewed_2026_06_30_oku
2623806.1
Q3_parent_NI_prelim_oku
395343.92
July_ADS_issuance_oku
394736.544861
aug_oct_completed_buyback_oku
400043.390635
already_declared_2026_Q3_dividend_payable_oku
141034.6648
asof_parent_equity_proxy_oku
2858769.886408
assumed_oct29_nov6_buyback_equity_deduction_oku
11320
計算式

Reviewed 2026-06-30 parent equity + provisional Q3 parent NI + July ADS estimated net proceeds (gross less underwriting and estimated fees) + unconfirmed Q3 parent OCI (ZERO proxy) + unconfirmed Q3 equity-settled SBC capital credit (ZERO proxy) - Aug31 Q2 dividend assumed final amount (NOT included at Jun30) - Aug20..Oct21 executed old buybacks - Oct28 Q3 dividend declaration - Oct29..Nov6 new-plan pre-asof shares PRICE*QUANTITY assumption + unobserved Oct-Nov profit (ZERO proxy) + other book changes (ZERO proxy). Cash at Q3 Sep30 already includes Q2 dividend and ADS.

date_asof_proxy_only
はい
actual_2026_11_06_kifrs_equity_oku
未確認
July_ADS_gross_issuance_oku
398905.3479
July_ADS_underwriting_commissions_oku
3875.807196
July_ADS_other_estimated_fees_oku
292.995843
July_ADS_net_estimated_oku
394736.544861
q2_2026_dividend_declared_estimate_oku
2733.248018
q2_2026_dividend_proxy_record_date_oku
2718.623018
q2_2026_actual_cash_dividend_oku
未確認
q2_2026_dividend_deducted_from_june30_equity_once
はい
q2_dividend_excluded_from_new_investor_CF
はい
Q3_parent_OCI_actual_oku
未確認
Q3_parent_OCI_zero_proxy_oku
0
Q3_equity_SBC_credit_actual_oku
未確認
Q3_equity_SBC_credit_zero_proxy_oku
0
Oct_01_Nov_06_parent_profit_actual_oku
未確認
Oct_01_Nov_06_parent_profit_zero_proxy_oku
0
estimate_not_actual_asof
はい
price_detail
内容を開く
値
1132000
単位

KRW per ordinary

as_of

2026-11-06

session

KRX closing price

状態

market observed via independent secondary source, KRX official quote not confirmed

source_id

krx_price_secondary

shares_detail
内容を開く
effective_common
705173324
issued_after_scheduled_2026_11_05_cancellation
706799093
treasury_held_pre_new_program
1625769
assumed_new_program_preasof_repurchase_shares
1000000
assumed_2026_11_06_issued_shares_after_scheduled_cancellation
706799093
assumed_2026_11_06_treasury_shares
2625769
assumed_2026_11_06_effective_shares_for_cashflows
704173324
last_directly_reconcilable_eligibility_date

2026-10-28

effective_date_exactly_2026_11_06_confirmed
いいえ
derivation

basis.shares=705,173,324 represents Oct28 board Q3 dividend eligible-share proxy, NOT November6 outstanding. Issuer 706,799,093 common issued minus old 1,625,769 treasury after scheduled old-program Nov5 cancellation (unverified execution) equals 705,173,324 before the new program. Oct29-Nov6 actual purchases unknown; THIS variant assumes 1,000,000 at KRW 1,132,000, producing 704,173,324 issuer effective shares. Invariant basis.shares remains only a SYNTHETIC conversion scale for a non-tendering old one-share investor.

出典番号
内容を開く
1

h1_6k_reviewed

2

buyback_execution_6k

3

buyback_cancel_6ka

4

dividend_q3_6k

effective_common_label

proxy inferred from Oct28 declared dividends, NOT actual Nov6 verified outstanding

actual_2026_11_06_effective_common_shares
未確認
model_opening_effective_common_shares_assumed
704173324
株価の出所

2026-11-06 KRX close 1,132,000 KRW; independent market source: https://stockanalysis.com/quote/krx/000660/history/; KRX official API quote not verified

株数の出所

2026-10-28 BOD dividend eligible 705,173,324 proxy; Nov6 count not confirmed; 1,000,000 pre-asof assumption => 704,173,324 company-ledger effective shares. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/2120882/000119312526435015/d236994d6k.htm

share_count_contract

705,173,324 is 2026-10-28 declared-dividend share proxy, NOT actual Nov6; assumed new-plan shares acquired by Nov6 are 1,000,000; synthetic 1 old share x 705,173,324 is used for payout_oku and mcap_oku, not a real group.

asof_model_effective_common_shares_unverified
704173324

検証上の留意点

初期1株×代理株数の合成の非売却持分に対し55の期間台帳と各権利日の分母を再接続。実績値と未確認・予測を厳格区別し、韓国源泉税後は実効率未確認のためnull。basis.price / sharesは数値、case key順は標準仕様に準拠。

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分析に使用した資料

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