株譜

AI 銘柄分析 · 10年

The Magnum Ice Cream Company N.V.

MICC · EUR · 分析基準日 2026-11-06

ブランド力と季節性、分離後の資本配分を織り込む10年シナリオ

10年期待年率6.83%
資本コスト9.50%
直近終値17.60 EUR2026-11-06

AIによるシナリオ分析です。基準日以降の出来事、株価や為替の変化は個別に確認が必要です。各数値は元の分析の単位と前提に従います。

分析の要約

2025年にUnileverから分離したアイス事業を5ケースで予測。2027年初回配当の2025年分上乗せは0.20億ユーロの未確定仮定。基準日株数は従業員信託の決済を仮定した代理値で、非売却1株の受取を拡大した合成尺度を用いる。

要約の補足

rating

2025分離後の未確定配当を条件付きで含む時点別保有者評価

price_eur
17.602
valuation_asof

2026-11-06

valuation_end

2036-11-06

holding_days
3653
terminal_year_by_act365_25
10.001368925
holder_convention

old_share_one_non_tendering_non_subscribing_share

initial_old_economic_shares_proxy
606718453
reported_issued_shares
612259739
market_cap_implied_proxy_oku
106.794582097
probability_weighted_holder_terminal_mcap_oku
153.250725897
probability_weighted_holder_cash_payout_oku
39.493391997
probability_weighted_terminal_pv_oku
61.831159898
probability_weighted_timed_payout_pv_oku
24.395887211
probability_weighted_intrinsic_value_oku
86.227047108
probability_weighted_per_share_eur
14.212036354266
price_gap_eur_per_share
-3.389963645734
upside
-0.192589685589
expected_cashflows_IRR
0.068272523442
probability_weighted_scenario_IRR
0.047056476969
IRR_definition

XIRR uses 10 actual one-share cash dividends and ONE terminal sale value on 2036-11-06, terminal not included in timed_cashflows nor payout_oku

scenario_values
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bull
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prob
10.00%
現在価値(億)
165.150453791
intrinsic_per_share_eur
27.220278693
upside
0.546431013
expected_irr
0.151187177601
initial_dividend_2027_oku
3.17
initial_dividend_ratio
0.55
terminal_oku
310.837716981
cash_payout_oku
66.526456655
mild_bull
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prob
22.00%
現在価値(億)
117.782079789
intrinsic_per_share_eur
19.412971405
upside
0.102884411
expected_irr
0.107465898837
initial_dividend_2027_oku
3.008
initial_dividend_ratio
0.52
terminal_oku
213.933567407
cash_payout_oku
51.668812179
base
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prob
40.00%
現在価値(億)
88.078259042
intrinsic_per_share_eur
14.517155133
upside
-0.175255361
expected_irr
0.070700683518
initial_dividend_2027_oku
2.9
initial_dividend_ratio
0.5
terminal_oku
154.106578541
cash_payout_oku
41.807065747
mild_bear
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prob
20.00%
現在価値(億)
39.169720761
intrinsic_per_share_eur
6.455996281
upside
-0.633223709
expected_irr
-0.027074312231
initial_dividend_2027_oku
2.36
initial_dividend_ratio
0.4
terminal_oku
62.391874947
cash_payout_oku
21.414657042
bear
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prob
8.00%
現在価値(億)
9.183705084
intrinsic_per_share_eur
1.513668331
upside
-0.91400589
expected_irr
-0.182126868702
initial_dividend_2027_oku
1.28
initial_dividend_ratio
0.2
terminal_oku
12.257037048
cash_payout_oku
5.848124315
previous_calendar_2027_2036_and_5year_lump_reference
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reference_only
はい
previous_value_oku
85.828046
previous_per_share_eur
14.018241
not_comparable_without_adjusting_for_denominator_and_old_cohort_method
はい
timed_method_required_for_primary_value
はい
dividend_basis_corrected_to_company_policy

prior FY adjusted net income after adjusting items, not prior FY IFRS profit

FY2026_forecast_IFRS_parent_profit_oku
4.12
FY2026_forecast_posttax_adjustments_oku
1.28
FY2026_forecast_adjusted_parent_profit_oku
5.4
2027_initial_dividend_by_scenario_oku
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bull
3.17
mild_bull
3.008
base
2.9
mild_bear
2.36
bear
1.28
previous_timed_holder_v1_reference_only
expected_per_share_eur
13.946528994
expected_PV_oku
84.616164959
old_dividend_policy_inconsistent_and_superseded
はい
FY2025_post_demerger_IFRS_parent_loss_oku_reported
-1.87
FY2025_pre_demerger_parent_profit_oku_reported
4.8
FY2025_parent_annual_IFRS_profit_oku_reported
2.93
FY2025_post_demerger_adjusted_parent_profit_oku_confirmed
未確認
FY2025_post_demerger_extra_dividend_confirmed_oku
未確認
FY2025_post_demerger_extra_dividend_main_conditional_assumption_oku
0.2
FY2025_post_demerger_extra_dividend_not_zero_fact
はい
2027_first_dividend_components
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bull
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regular_2026_adjusted_income_component_oku
2.97
conditional_2025_post_demerger_extra_oku
0.2
total_company_first_dividend_oku
3.17
synthetic_old_share_scaled_cash_oku
3.19684671
real_old_one_share_cash_eur
0.526907776441
mild_bull
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regular_2026_adjusted_income_component_oku
2.808
conditional_2025_post_demerger_extra_oku
0.2
total_company_first_dividend_oku
3.008
synthetic_old_share_scaled_cash_oku
3.033474733
real_old_one_share_cash_eur
0.499980628244
base
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regular_2026_adjusted_income_component_oku
2.7
conditional_2025_post_demerger_extra_oku
0.2
total_company_first_dividend_oku
2.9
synthetic_old_share_scaled_cash_oku
2.924560082
real_old_one_share_cash_eur
0.482029196113
mild_bear
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regular_2026_adjusted_income_component_oku
2.16
conditional_2025_post_demerger_extra_oku
0.2
total_company_first_dividend_oku
2.36
synthetic_old_share_scaled_cash_oku
2.379986825
real_old_one_share_cash_eur
0.392272035457
bear
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regular_2026_adjusted_income_component_oku
1.08
conditional_2025_post_demerger_extra_oku
0.2
total_company_first_dividend_oku
1.28
synthetic_old_share_scaled_cash_oku
1.290840312
real_old_one_share_cash_eur
0.212757714146
sensitivity_2025_post_demerger_conditional_extra
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extra_0_oku
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value_per_share_eur
14.18591332975
weighted_PV_oku
86.068553898
IRR
0.06809683
interpretation

no approved additional stub distribution (NOT a confirmed zero)

extra_0_2_oku_main
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value_per_share_eur
14.212036354266
weighted_PV_oku
86.227047108
IRR
0.068272523
interpretation

illustrative conditional gross dividend from 2025 stub; no reported adjusted stub profit supports a unique amount

extra_0_5_oku_high
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value_per_share_eur
14.251220891005
weighted_PV_oku
86.464786924
IRR
0.068536794
interpretation

upper illustrative case, not company guidance

special_2025_entitlement_not_2026_buyer_reference
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extra_paid_by_company_oku
0.2
buyer_receives_extra
いいえ
value_per_share_eur
14.180365272655
IRR
0.068049976
interpretation

NOT the primary interpretation; no primary evidence for a ring-fenced 2025 shareholder right

synthetic_scale_warning

1 share cash receipts × N0 may exceed annual company distributions because N0 > later eligible shares. This is NOT a real group cash flow aggregate.

事業

説明

Unileverのアイス事業を2025年12月6日に分離し、同8日にAmsterdam/ロンドン/NY上場。Magnum、Ben & Jerry’s、Cornetto、Heartbrand、Yasso等を80市場で展開。営業部門は地域3区分Europe & ANZ、Americas、AMEA。

demerger

2025-12-06分離、Unilever旧株主への80.15%の非現金分配とUnileverによる19.85%継続保有。旧Unileverの持分19.85%はTMICC連結財務諸表の非支配株主持分ではない。

region_segments
1

Europe & ANZ

2

Americas

3

AMEA

revenue_model

revenue_oku = volume_index × price_oku_per_index × rev_factor。volumeは2026年通期推計を1とする地域別事業量代理指数で、販売個数実績ではない。priceは平均価格・構成・通貨換算を含むモデル係数。

organic_vs_inorganic

インドKwality Wall’sとポルトガルULICCの買収は2026年4月から連結。2026年度通期推計基準に当該取得後売上を含め、2027年初年度は未連結3か月分のわずかなcarryoverのみを一度加算。2028年以降同じ買収売上を再加算せず、将来未契約買収増収は0と仮定。

risks
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1

北半球の夏と天候・冬季の季節性

2

乳・ココア・砂糖・エネルギーと冷凍配送費

3

大型小売の棚割・価格競争

4

トルコ競争当局の小型店舗冷凍庫容量30%措置

5

インド/ポルトガル買収統合と為替換算

6

TSAを2027末までに退出するIT/人員移管

7

金利負担と大型債務の満期

8

Ben & Jerry’s等のブランド評判

競争力・事業の質

pricing_power

プレミアム化とブランド認知は強いが、欧州Q3 2026は数量+11.6%に対し価格-2.4%。地域ごとに需要・ミックス差が大きく、全市場で強気の値上げは仮定しない。

consumption

アイスクリームは反復消費だが、天候依存・夏季偏重。H1 2026売上46.91億EUR、2025年通期79.10億EURを安易に2倍年率化しない。

SBC

H1 2026費用18百万EURは報告営業利益587百万EURに既に反映。非現金SBC資本振替18百万EURおよび自己株購入8百万EURを区別。16 June 2026オプション10,952,635個の実際の権利確定数・交付株数は未確定。

M_and_A

KWIL 279百万EUR、Portugal ULICC 152百万EUR、取得時対価総額431百万EUR、取得対象純資産96百万EUR、取得時非支配持分25百万EUR、のれん360百万EUR(96−25+360=431)。買収対価はIFRS利益に一括費用化しない。のれん通常償却せず、減損は発生時に報告利益へ計上。

spinoff_accounting

2025年のcarve-out比較数値と2026年の独立後TSA費用、借入利息、株式報酬を混同しない。

業界と環境

markets

約80市場。2026 Q3の地域別OSG:Europe & ANZ 8.9%、Americas 3.9%、AMEA 17.6%。欧州は好天により四半期成長の2~3%ポイント分押し上げとの会社推計。

2026_H1_organic
total
0.047
数量
0.025
価格・単価
0.022
2026_Q3_organic
total
0.096
数量
0.073
価格・単価
0.022
2026_9m_organic
total
0.064
数量
0.041
価格・単価
0.022
2026_guidance
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organic_sales_growth_approx
0.055
adjusted_EBITDA_margin_uplift_comparable_bps
1
40
2
60
reported_margin_uplift_bps
1
0
2
20
long_run_OSG_target_range
1
0.03
2
0.05
productivity_savings_target_eur_oku_by_2028
5
TSA_exit_expected

2027-12-31

2026_guidance_not_reported_IFRS

会社予想は有機売上・調整後EBITDA。報告IFRS営業利益・普通株利益をそのまま会社目標として転記しない。

財務・資本配分

reported_2025_IFRS
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期間末

2025-12-31

売上高
79.1
営業利益(億)
5.99
consolidated_profit_oku
3.07
parent_attributable_profit_oku
2.93
親会社持分(億)
6.25
非支配持分資本(億)
0.08
net_debt_oku
29.67
separation_adjusting_items_within_operating_profit_oku
3.18
出典

https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/2071668/000110465926029805/micc-20251231x20f.htm

reported_2026_H1_IFRS
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期間末

2026-06-30

unaudited
はい
売上高
46.91
営業利益(億)
5.87
adjusted_EBIT_oku_nonIFRS
7.16
finance_costs_net_oku
-0.72
turkey_hyperinflation_loss_oku
-0.13
profit_before_tax_oku
5.02
income_tax_oku
-1.53
consolidated_profit_oku
3.49
nci_profit_oku
0.07
parent_common_profit_oku
3.42
親会社持分(億)
10.81
非支配持分資本(億)
0.41
total_equity_oku
11.22
net_debt_oku
32.64
gross_financial_liabilities_oku
38.45
cash_equivalents_oku
5.77
goodwill_oku
8.85
intangible_assets_oku
7.64
cash_purchase_acquisitions_oku
4.45
sbc_expense_oku
0.18
sbc_equity_credit_oku
0.18
cash_purchase_shares_for_employee_plan_oku
0.08
employee_plan_movements_equity_oku
-0.1
OCI_parent_oku
0.64
hedges_transferred_to_nonfinancial_assets_equity_oku
0.42
parent_equity_roll

6.25+3.42+0.64-0.10+0.18+0.42=10.81

ordinary_dividends_declared_oku
0
ordinary_buybacks_for_cash_return_oku
0
出典

https://news.magnumicecream.com/2026-half-year-results/

nonIFRS_adjusted_parent_earnings_oku_reported
4.42
reported_posttax_adjusting_items_oku_rounded_difference
1
company_table_posttax_adjustments_oku_as_published
1.01
rounding_reconciliation_note

会社開示のIFRS親会社利益3.42億EURとAdjusted net profit4.42億EURの表示差は1.00億EUR。税引後調整項目テーブルは1.01億EURであり、百万EUR丸めにより一致しない。配当計算は4.42億EURの調整後利益を優先。

adjusted_parent_profit_is_not_ifrs_profit
はい
acquisition_2026_H1
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KWIL_purchase_consideration_oku
2.79
Portugal_purchase_consideration_oku
1.52
total_consideration_oku
4.31
identifiable_net_assets_oku
0.96
acquisition_NCI_oku
0.25
acquisition_goodwill_oku
3.6
cash_flow_acquisitions_net_cash_oku
4.45
consolidation_start

2026-04-01

注記

取得価額4.31は取得資産純額0.96−NCI0.25+のれん3.60。営業利益から取得現金4.31億EURを再控除しない。キャッシュフロー表示4.45との差0.14は厳密な内訳不明。

Philippines_Put_Option_oku
1.33
Philippines_Put_Option_exercisable_after

2028-04

Philippines_put_note

フィリピンRFM合弁の相手方が保有する売付権に対応した金融負債1.33億EUR。負債に既に含まれ、企業価値から再控除しない。行使まで猶予との開示。

SBC_2026_grant_options
10952635
SBC_granted_on

2026-06-16

SBC_vesting

付与後3年と4年の二回、相対TSR・継続在職条件

2026_Q3_trading_update
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期間末

2026-09-30

revenue_9m_oku
72.02
revenue_q3_oku
25.11
reported_net_profit_9m_oku
未確認
reported_equity_2026_09_30_oku
未確認
理由

Q3はTrading Updateであり、9か月のIFRS普通株利益・資本は開示されていない。

2026_FY_model_bridge
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classification

会社のQ3取引更新からQ3 IFRS利益や財務諸表を読み取れないため、Q3・Q4利益とFY2026末資本は分析上の推計。

H1_reported_revenue_oku
46.91
H1_reported_op_oku
5.87
H1_reported_parent_profit_oku
3.42
Q3_reported_revenue_oku
25.11
Q3_estimated_op_oku
1.92
Q3_estimated_finance_oku
-0.33
Q3_estimated_hyperinflation_oku
0.02
Q3_estimated_tax_oku
-0.42
Q3_estimated_NCI_profit_oku
0.04
Q3_estimated_parent_profit_oku
1.15
Q4_estimated_revenue_oku
12.45
Q4_estimated_op_oku
-0.12
Q4_estimated_finance_oku
-0.4
Q4_estimated_hyperinflation_oku
-0.02
Q4_estimated_tax_oku
0.123
Q4_estimated_NCI_profit_oku
0.033
Q4_estimated_parent_profit_oku
-0.45
FY2026_revenue_oku
84.47
FY2026_operating_profit_oku
7.67
FY2026_finance_net_oku
-1.45
FY2026_hyperinflation_oku
-0.13
FY2026_tax_oku
-1.827
FY2026_noncontrolling_profit_oku
0.143
FY2026_parent_profit_oku
4.12
Q3_parent_book_oku_after_partial_settlement_model
11.518761288
2026_11_06_parent_book_oku_after_model_settlement
11.01194628
2026_12_31_parent_book_oku_after_100pct_forward_settlement_plus_0p3_unconfirmed
9.81190322
2026_12_31_net_debt_oku_model
31.82809678
FY2026_book_formula

2026H1報告B10.81+H2推計普通株利益0.70+H2 OCI(-0.15)+H2SBCcredit0.18-8~9月報告LTIP先渡取引についてFY2026末までに全額決済のモデル1.42809678-未確定新規LTIP購入0.30=9.81190322。

no_double_LTIP_stock_counted
はい
注記

旧版のQ3末に8~9月公表全額を決済した仮定は撤回し、2026年11月6日前後の決済不確実性を再配分。

FY2026_after_tax_adjustments_oku_model
1.28
FY2026_adjusted_parent_profit_oku_model
5.4
FY2026_ifrs_parent_profit_oku_model
4.12
H1_reported_IFRS_parent_profit_oku
3.42
H1_reported_adjusted_parent_profit_oku
4.42
H1_posttax_adjustments_oku_source_rounded_bridge
1
H2_estimated_IFRS_parent_profit_oku
0.7
H2_estimated_posttax_adjustments_oku
0.28
H2_estimated_adjusted_parent_profit_oku
0.98
FY2026_dividend_2027_model_formula

FY2026 IFRS親会社利益4.12億 + 会社H1調整差1.00億 + 推計H2調整額0.28億 = FY2026調整後5.40億EUR。2027年初回会社配当はシナリオ別配当性向×5.40億 + 2025分離後期間の条件付き追加配当0.20億(全額未公表、感応度0〜0.50億)。

2025_post_demerger_extra_dividend_oku_in_base_model
0.2
2025_post_demerger_additional_distribution_known
未確認
2025_post_demerger_caveat

Company FAQ expects some 2025 post-demerger component to be included in the first 2027 payment, but the reported post-demerger IFRS parent profit is a loss of 1.87億EUR and adjusted stub profit is not separately reported. Additional amount 0.20億EUR is a conditional illustration, not a declared or otherwise supported estimate. Sensitivities 0 and 0.50億EUR.

future_policy
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company_dividend_policy

会社公式の年間配当目安は「調整項目後の純利益(net income after adjusting items)」の40~60%。IFRS純利益の40~60%とは異なる。初回配当はFY2026に関して2027H1支払予定、額とex dateは基準日時点未確認。2025年分離後の期間分の追加内訳は未確認。

first_dividend_approved_amount_oku
未確認
first_dividend_payment_date
未確認
gross_discretionary_buyback_program_announced_asof
未確認
buyback_confirmation_limit

2026-11-06までの一次資料で確定の将来自社株買いプログラムと金額を確認できない。未来の買戻し額はモデル仮定。

future_SBC

IFRS営業利益のSBC費用を戻さない。既存2026LTIP株式取得8,452,144株は2026-11-06前60%、同日後40%決済と予測。2027以降の株式購入は別報酬サイクルとし年別に株数・EBT残・社員交付を記録。2029/2030に2026 Foundation Planからそれぞれ450万/400万株交付、以後新規サイクルは3年後に90%交付する仮定。取得済み株式の交付を追加購入費用として再計上しない。

future_issuance

base/bull/mild_bullは新規有償発行0、mild_bear 2031 0.7億EUR、bear 2028 1.5億EUR・2032 1.0億EURの新株発行を資本保全シナリオとして仮定。旧株1株は新株を引き受けず、追加支払なし、希薄化を分母で反映。

forecast_dividend_income_definition

adjusted_parent_income_for_dividend_oku = IFRS_parent_net_oku + post_tax_adjusting_items_oku_already_embedded_in_IFRS。IFRS資本rollforwardはIFRS利益のみ。

forecast_dividend_timing

FY t-1調整後親会社利益を基準にFY tの5月20日に配当(全日付が仮定)。後年のFY t IFRS利益から当年配当を計算しない。

special_dividend_2025_stub_unknown
はい
no_duplicate_adjusted_profit_in_equity_or_terminal

調整後利益を普通株資本や終価用利益へ転記しない。調整後利益は配当目安の算定だけに使用し、IFRS費用・SBCはすべて報告ベースの利益に残す。

valuation
内容を開く
方法

timed_holder_cashflows_v1

開始日

2026-11-06

終了日

2036-11-06

holding_period_days
3653
year_day_count

ACT/365.25

year_formula

year=(date_assumed−2026-11-06).days/365.25

discount_formula

PV_case=Σ (dividend per share received by the one initial share × N0/1e8)/(1+k)^year + mcap_oku/(1+k)^terminal_year. mcap and terminal_event_review never in timed_cashflows.

holder_convention

旧株1株を期間中売却しない・一般買戻しに非応札・増資に追加参加せず・2036-11-06に全て売却。旧株1株の円滑な比較のためt0モデル流通株数倍の合成持分億EURとして表示。

payout_oku_definition

Only 10 cash dividends received by ONE original 2026-11-06 share × N0 synthetic index scale. No buybacks and no terminal.

mcap_oku_definition

Only 2036-11-06 original one share terminal intrinsic value × N0 synthetic index scale; terminal value excluded from timed_cashflows.

terminal_firm_equity_formula

E_terminal×[(earnings_coming_12m/E_terminal - g)/(k-g)] = [forward_12m_earnings-g×E_terminal]/(k-g)

terminal_earnings_basis

2036-11-06末尾12か月の利益=2035年11/07-12/31推定利益+2036年1/01-11/06推定利益。次の12か月予想=同末尾12か月×(1+g)。2036年末全期予想を2036-11-06終価に誤用しない。

terminal_share_price_formula

firm_equity_value_2036_11_06/(economic_shares_2036_11_06 + expected_future_treasury_release_shares)

terminal_ltip_post_valuation

2036-11-06時点の社員制度向け保有株の90%が将来交付されると予想して、同日の旧株売却価格の分母に予想交付株数を含める。現金購入費用を二重計上せず、継続して利益に含むSBCと照合。

no_permanent_share_reduction_from_ltip_purchases

LTIP市場取得はEBT保有時に経済流通株を減らし、従業員交付時に増やす。恒久消却の通常自己株買いとは区別。

no_market_PER_or_PBR_regression
はい
common_discount_k
0.095
xirr_formula

0=-17.602 +Σ dividend_EUR_one_share/(1+IRR)^actual_year + ONLY_ONE terminal_sale_one_share/(1+IRR)^10.001369

reference_old_method

旧版2027~2036年暦年利益と終価を5年一括・10年で割引した金額は参考専用。今回の厳密な保有者時点別キャッシュフローとは比較時点・持分希薄化・受領者が異なるため主計算には流用しない。

dividend_policy_basis

forecast adjusted aftertax earnings (company policy), IFRS net retained for accounting and terminal

FY2026_2027_dividend_bridge

2026 FY IFRS profit 4.12 + H1 posttax adjusting 1.00 + H2 estimated posttax adjusting 0.28 = adjusted parent income 5.40. FY2027 ratio ×5.40.

current_version

v3_post2025_demerger_conditional_dividend_terminal_separation_2026_11_08

reported_2026_post_H1_LTIP_share_transactions
内容を開く
source_disclosure_cutoff

2026-09-30

first_tranche
内容を開く
announcement_date

2026-08-18

final_transaction_date

2026-09-09

completion_announced_on

2026-09-10

authorised_up_to_shares
5500000
confirmed_acquired_shares
5401973
confirmed_daily_transaction_amount_eur
91856763.68
confirmed_transaction_amount_oku
0.9185676368
company_says_tranche_complete
はい
second_tranche
内容を開く
announcement_date

2026-09-18

last_transaction_date_confirmed

2026-09-30

announced_up_to_shares
6600000
confirmed_acquired_shares_through_sept30
3050171
confirmed_daily_transaction_amount_eur
50952914.32
confirmed_transaction_amount_oku
0.5095291432
additional_authorised_not_confirmed_as_acquired_shares
3549829
confirmed_total_to_sept30
内容を開く
株数
8452144
gross_transaction_amount_eur
142809678
gross_transaction_amount_oku
1.42809678
purchase_intent

長期インセンティブ制度の既存株による履行であり、通常の株主還元買戻しとは異なる。先渡取引を通じて取得後EBTへ交付予定。

may_not_equal_treasury_shares_on_2026_11_06
はい
2026_10_01_to_2026_11_06_verified_additional_acquisitions
未確認
2026_10_01_to_2026_11_06_unknown_reason

9月30日以降の取得総数、受渡日、会計自己株残高について、確認した基準日前の会社一次資料に一株単位の確定値がない。追加購入0株と断定しない。

H2_cash_settlement_timing_verified
未確認
accounting_assumption

8~9月に確定公表された取引8,452,144株・1.42809678億EURを、実際の先渡決済日未確認のまま期中取得株として計上しない。11/06までに60%(5,071,286株)が現金決済されEBTで保有と仮定、残40%(3,380,858株)を2026-12-15に決済と仮定。さらに2026-12-15新規0.30億EURのLTIP株取得を追加する仮定だが公表済み8,452,144株とは別取引。

Q4_additional_stock_purchase_model_assumption_oku
0.3
Q4_assumption_reason

第2トランシェ最大660万株の未確認残に対し追加取得の可能性があるため、0.30億EURを予測計上。会社公表の確定購入ではない。

sources
1

https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/2071668/000117184326005969/f6k_091026.htm

2

https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/2071668/000117184326006305/f6k_093026.htm

3

https://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2026/09/18/3364532/0/en/share-purchase-long-term-incentive-plans.html

settled_asof_2026_11_06_company_confirmed
未確認
asof_settlement_fraction_model_assumed
0.6
postbase_settlement_date_assumed

2026-12-15

pre_2026_11_06_shares_settled_model
5071286
post_2026_11_06_pre_2026_12_31_reported_trades_settlement_shares_model
3380858
post_2026_11_06_new_unconfirmed_shares_acquired_model
1714286
asof_2026_11_06_model_bridge
内容を開く
状態

未監査Q3損益と先渡決済率の独自推計。正確な基準日IFRS B/Sは未公表。

period_start

2026-06-30

期間末

2026-11-06

h1_parent_common_equity_oku_reported
10.81
h1_nci_equity_oku_reported
0.41
h1_net_debt_oku_reported
32.64
Q3_parent_profit_oku_estimate
1.15
Q3_OCI_parent_oku_estimate
0.05
Q3_sbc_equity_credit_oku_estimate
0.08
Q3_ltip_forward_settlement_oku_assumed
0.571238712
Q4_oct01_nov06_parent_profit_oku_estimate
-0.180978261
Q4_oct01_nov06_OCI_oku_estimate
-0.080434783
Q4_oct01_nov06_sbc_equity_credit_oku_estimate
0.040217391
Q4_oct01_nov06_ltip_settlement_oku_assumed
0.285619356
asof_common_equity_oku_proxy
11.01194628
asof_nci_equity_oku_proxy
0.448271739
asof_consolidated_equity_oku_proxy
11.460218019
asof_net_debt_oku_proxy
31.786858068
asof_issued_shares_proxy
612259739
asof_employee_treasury_shares_proxy
5541286
asof_economic_shares_proxy
606718453
asof_company_equity_attributable_to_1_old_share_eur
1.815001048
h1_ebt_shares_assumed
470000
2026_aug_sept_forward_acquired_shares_observed
8452144
forward_shares_settled_at_base_assumed
5071286
forward_cash_settled_at_base_assumed_oku
0.856858068
asof_denominator_exact_verified
未確認
book_formula

10.81+(1.15+0.05+0.08)-0.40×1.42809678+37/92×(-0.45-0.20+0.10)-0.20×1.42809678

nci_note

NCI資本は親会社普通株資本から除外。Q3/Q4予想NCI利益と分配を単独管理。

post_2026_11_06_to_year_end_bridge
内容を開く
状態

2026-11-07~2026-12-31未発表部分の分析仮定。FY2027期首とは同一視しない。

period_id

2026_remaining_stub

対象年度
2026
period_start

2026-11-07

期間末

2026-12-31

period_start_exclusive_from_base

2026-11-06

days
55
is_full_fiscal_year
いいえ
reported_vs_forecast

推計のみ。2026-11-06時点で以降は全て未実績

売上高
7.442935
営業利益
-0.071739
finance_net_oku
-0.23913
hyperinflation_oku
-0.011957
tax_oku
0.073533
noncontrolling_profit_oku
0.019728
純利益
-0.269022
oci_parent_oku
-0.119565
sbc_expense_oku
0.059783
sbc_equity_credit_oku
0.059783
dividends_oku
0
gross_discretionary_buybacks_oku
0
ltip_pre_valuation_disclosed_trades_settled_post_base_oku
0.571239
ltip_pre_valuation_disclosed_trades_shares_settled_post_base
3380858
ltip_new_unverified_shares_acquired_post_base_oku
0.3
ltip_new_unverified_shares_acquired_post_base
1714286
ltip_total_cash_oku
0.871239
ltip_delivered_shares
0
new_issuance_proceeds_oku
0
new_issue_shares
0
old_holder_cash_payout_oku
0
company_equity_oku
9.811903
noncontrolling_equity_oku
0.468
consolidated_equity_oku
10.279903
net_debt_oku
31.828097
発行済株式数
612259739
employee_treasury_shares
10636430
economic_outstanding_shares
601623309
book_identity

E2026-12-31=E2026-11-06+NI_st+OCI_st+SBCcredit_st-LTIPforward_settlement_st-LTIPnewpurchase_st, no dividends or discretionary buybacks

exact_stale_LTIP_cash_settlement_post_base_oku
0.571238712
prebase_forward_shares_settled_postbase
3380858
new_2026_Q4_LTIP_stock_purchases_unverified_amount_oku
0.3
new_2026_Q4_stock_purchases_unverified_shares
1714286
2026_dec31_profit_after_base_estimate_oku
-0.269021739
2026_dec31_equity_estimate_oku
9.81190322
2026_dec31_no_old_holder_cash_return_assumed
はい
2026_dec31_denominator_estimate_shares
601623309
strict_period_ledger
内容を開く
H1_2026_reported
内容を開く
end

2026-06-30

book_oku
10.81
noncontrolling_equity_oku
0.41
純利益
3.42
sbc_expense_oku
0.18
sbc_credit_oku
0.18
employee_market_purchases_oku
0.08
EBT_shares_count
未確認
2026_07_01_to_2026_09_30_estimated
内容を開く
end

2026-09-30

parent_profit_oku
1.15
OCI_oku
0.05
sbc_credit_oku
0.08
disclosed_ltip_trades_not_identical_to_settlements_oku
1.42809678
assumed_cash_settlement_oku
0.571238712
book_end_oku
11.518761288
reported_Q3_revenue_oku
25.11
Q3_IFRS_net_unreported
未確認
Q3_finance_oku_estimated
-0.33
Q3_tax_oku_estimated
-0.42
Q3_hyperinflation_oku_estimated
0.02
Q3_noncontrolling_profit_oku_estimated
0.04
注記

Q3は売上のみ公表、親会社利益・OCI・SBC・LTIP決済率は全て仮定。

2026_10_01_to_2026_11_06_estimated
内容を開く
end

2026-11-06

days
37
Q4_days
92
売上高
5.007065217
営業利益
-0.04826087
parent_profit_oku
-0.180978261
finance_oku
-0.160869565
hyperinflation_oku
-0.008043478
tax_oku
0.049467391
noncontrolling_profit_oku
0.013271739
OCI_oku
-0.080434783
sbc_credit_oku
0.040217391
assumed_ltip_cash_settlement_oku
0.285619356
book_end_oku
11.01194628
issued_shares_proxy
612259739
treasury_shares_proxy
5541286
economic_shares_proxy
606718453
2026_11_07_to_2026_12_31_stub
内容を開く
period_id

2026_remaining_stub

対象年度
2026
period_start

2026-11-07

期間末

2026-12-31

period_start_exclusive_from_base

2026-11-06

days
55
is_full_fiscal_year
いいえ
reported_vs_forecast

推計のみ。2026-11-06時点で以降は全て未実績

売上高
7.442935
営業利益
-0.071739
finance_net_oku
-0.23913
hyperinflation_oku
-0.011957
tax_oku
0.073533
noncontrolling_profit_oku
0.019728
純利益
-0.269022
oci_parent_oku
-0.119565
sbc_expense_oku
0.059783
sbc_equity_credit_oku
0.059783
dividends_oku
0
gross_discretionary_buybacks_oku
0
ltip_pre_valuation_disclosed_trades_settled_post_base_oku
0.571239
ltip_pre_valuation_disclosed_trades_shares_settled_post_base
3380858
ltip_new_unverified_shares_acquired_post_base_oku
0.3
ltip_new_unverified_shares_acquired_post_base
1714286
ltip_total_cash_oku
0.871239
ltip_delivered_shares
0
new_issuance_proceeds_oku
0
new_issue_shares
0
old_holder_cash_payout_oku
0
company_equity_oku
9.811903
noncontrolling_equity_oku
0.468
consolidated_equity_oku
10.279903
net_debt_oku
31.828097
発行済株式数
612259739
employee_treasury_shares
10636430
economic_outstanding_shares
601623309
book_identity

E2026-12-31=E2026-11-06+NI_st+OCI_st+SBCcredit_st-LTIPforward_settlement_st-LTIPnewpurchase_st, no dividends or discretionary buybacks

2027_through_2035

9暦年の通期損益・配当・LTIP出納・資本ロールを全ケースannualに収録

2036_01_01_to_2036_11_06_stub
内容を開く
days
311
calendar_year_days
366
sales_fraction
0.911886649
finance_day_fraction
0.849726776
excluded_2036_11_07_to_12_31_days
55
2036_FY_pro_forma_not_reported_nor_included_in_pv
はい
total_holding_days
3653
last_cashflow_date

2036-11-06

day_count

ACT/365.25

dividend_adjusted_income_reconciliation_v2
内容を開く
policy_basis

net income after adjusting items (not reported IFRS net income)

primary_source_2025_20F

https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/2071668/000110465926029805/micc-20251231x20f.htm

primary_source_2026_H1_reconciliation

https://news.magnumicecream.com/2026-half-year-results/

financial_2026_H1_reported
内容を開く
ifrs_parent_profit_oku
3.42
after_tax_adjustments_display_difference_oku
1
reported_adjusted_parent_profit_oku
4.42
company_separately_disclosed_adjustment_oku_rounded
1.01
rounding_residual_oku
-0.01
financial_2026_H2_forecast
内容を開く
ifrs_parent_profit_oku
0.7
after_tax_adjustments_oku
0.28
adjusted_parent_profit_oku
0.98
unverified
はい
financial_2026_FY_forecast
内容を開く
ifrs_parent_profit_oku
4.12
after_tax_adjustments_oku
1.28
adjusted_parent_profit_oku
5.4
not_company_FY_guidance
はい
initial_2027_payout_by_case_oku
内容を開く
bull
3.17
mild_bull
3.008
base
2.9
mild_bear
2.36
bear
1.28
year_2027_dividends_include_incremental_2025_stub_oku_model
0.2
year_2025_undeclared_stub_amount_known
未確認
other_adjusting_items_forecast_method

FY2027~2036の税引後調整項目をケース別に独立予測。税金控除後の追加控除ではなく、各年のIFRS営業費用・金融損益等にすでに含まれた特殊費用を非GAAP利益計算のみに再分類する。2036年度末を跨ぐ分は部分年度のみに按分。

share_based_compensation_not_adjusted_out
はい
explicit_exception_bear

bear配当性向20%は財務保全のため公式40~60%目安を一時的に下回る分析仮定。役員会決議済みではない。

reported_2025_after_demerger_split
内容を開く
出典

https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/2071668/000110465926029805/micc-20251231x20f.htm

parent_full_2025_IFRS_profit_oku
2.93
parent_pre_2025_12_06_IFRS_profit_oku
4.8
parent_post_demerger_2025_IFRS_profit_oku
-1.87
parent_post_demerger_2025_IFRS_profit_is_a_loss
はい
reported_2025_full_year_share_based_payment_credit_oku
0.35
reported_2025_pre_demerger_SBC_credit_oku
0.28
reported_2025_post_demerger_SBC_credit_oku
0.07
post_demerger_2025_adjusted_parent_profit_oku
未確認
post_demerger_2025_posttax_adjusting_items_oku
未確認
why_not_calculate_post_demerger_adjusted_from_full_year

Annual group adjusted income, adjusting items and effective taxes span pre and post demerger. No stand-alone post-6-Dec adjusted income reconciliation found in filed report. December ice cream earnings seasonality makes 25/365 of annual profits unreliable.

full_year_2025_adjusted_parent_income_oku_company_table
5.74
full_year_2025_adjusted_income_reconciliation_mismatch_company_table
内容を開く
IFRS_parent_profit_oku
2.93
posttax_adjusting_items_oku_company_disclosed
2.18
sum_oku
5.11
printed_adjusted_parent_profit_oku
5.74
unresolved_difference_oku
0.63
another_annual_report_table_printed_adjusted_profit_oku
5.47
理由

2025 Form 20-F non-GAAP appendix contains inconsistent printed totals; use primary profit and clear H1 2026 bridge, not 2025 annual adjusted profit for the 2025 stub.

2025_dividend_to_Unilever_eur_million
83
2025_dividend_to_Unilever_accounting

€83m pre-demerger retained Unilever owner transaction, not new TMICC 2027 cash entitlement to 2026 buyer

not_rebooked_into_2027_profit_or_2026_opening_book
はい
FY2025_stub_dividend_2027_first_payment_model
内容を開く
FAQ_url

https://corporate.magnumicecream.com/en/investors/faq.html

FAQ_language_summary

dividend on 2025 pre-demerger was Unilever dividend; post-demerger 2025 dividends earned to be paid as part of first H1 2027 payment

asof_2026_11_06_2025_stub_dividend_declared_oku
未確認
2025_stub_adjusted_parent_income_identifiable
未確認
2025_stub_reported_IFRS_parent_income_oku
-1.87
base_conditional_extra_gross_oku
0.2
plausible_zero_or_positive_or_reduced_unapproved
はい
low_extra_oku
0
high_extra_oku
0.5
rights_if_normal_2027_dividend_ex_date

2026-11-06 buyer will generally receive if remains eligible through 2027 ex-date; 2025 historical holding not required

rights_if_company_separately_ring_fences_entitlement

2026 buyer might not receive that separately allocated portion; no evidence of such arrangement as at valuation date

2025_Unilever_dividend_not_received_by_2026_11_06_buyer
はい
2027_first_payment_ex_date_declared
未確認
2027_first_payment_ex_date_model

2027-05-13

2027_first_payment_date_model

2027-05-20

2027_ordinary_dividend_announcement_confirmed
未確認
recognition_policy

no liability assumed at 2026-11-06 or 2026-12-31 before valid declaration; cash and equity reduction are assumed in 2027 only

accounting_warning

2025 post-demerger net loss already in opening capital; do not book this pre-valuation loss again.

評価の前提と確認

市場

Euronext Amsterdam

株価基準日

2026-11-06

price_eur
17.602
issued_shares_reported
612259739
issued_asof_base_confirmed
未確認
asof_h1_employee_treasury_shares_assumed
470000
asof_ltip_forward_settlement_shares_assumed
5071286
asof_treasury_shares_proxy
5541286
asof_economic_shares_proxy
606718453
market_cap_proxy_oku
106.794582097
valuation_cashflow_method

timed_holder_cashflows_v1

time_discount_k
0.095
terminal_calendar_date

2036-11-06

terminal_year_act365_25
10.001368925
weighted_mcap_oku_same_old_share_cohort
153.250725897
weighted_cash_payout_oku_same_old_share_cohort
39.493391997
weighted_terminal_pv_oku
61.831159898
weighted_timed_cash_pv_oku
24.395887211
weighted_equity_value_oku
86.227047108
per_share_eur
14.212036354266
upside
-0.192589685589
old_holder_expected_cashflows_XIRR
0.068272523442
weighted_mean_scenario_IRR_reference
0.047056476969
price_gap_eur_per_share
-3.389963645734
fx_conversion_needed
いいえ
market_per_used
いいえ
market_pbr_used
いいえ
no_issuer_buyback_cash_to_non_tendering_holder
はい
basis_treasury_assumption_sensitivity
内容を開く
zero_2026_aug_sept_settled_assumption_shares
611789739
sixty_percent_settled_assumption_shares
606718453
all_2026_aug_sept_settled_assumption_shares
603337595
状態

株数だけを動かして同じ経済価値を割る機械的参考差。実際は決済が資本・将来Eと株数両方を動かすため評価額の確定上限・下限ではない。

FY2026_2027_dividend_adjusted_income_bridge_oku
IFRS_profit
4.12
post_tax_adjustments
1.28
adjusted_profit
5.4
cashflows_match_2026_11_06_to_2036_11_06
はい
terminal_in_timed_cashflows
いいえ
timed_cashflows_are_only_cash_dividends
はい
conditional_2025_stub_dividend_for_2027_gross_oku
0.2
2025_stub_dividend_confirmed_oku
未確認
synthetic_cohort_is_not_an_actual_group_of_shareholders
はい
N0_exceeds_first_dividend_eligible_shares
はい
can_synthetic_holder_cash_exceed_issuer_total_cash
はい
ex_date_2027_assumed

2027-05-13

ex_date_2027_confirmed
未確認
sensitivity_0_extra_per_share_eur
14.18591333
sensitivity_high_extra_per_share_eur
14.251220891
sensitivity_special_prior_holder_per_share_eur
14.180365273

資本コストの前提

資本コスト
9.50%
事業の質
0.7
事業の質の内訳
内容を開く
ブランドと販路
0.89
需要の安定性
0.73
投資効率と転換実行
0.68
財務負担
0.48
規制・季節性
0.55
事業の質の根拠

品質は0~1の独自評価。Magnum・Ben & Jerry’s・Cornetto・Heartbrandと冷凍陳列網を評価。分離で導入された純負債32.64億EUR、TSA移行、トルコの冷凍庫規制、気候・為替・原料コストを減点。共通名目EUR株主資本コスト9.5%は分析仮定。

事業別データ

事業別の内訳と、収録されている年度別データを確認できます。

事業別データを開く →

10年のシナリオ

シナリオごとの確率、期間内の株主還元・追加負担、終価です。金額は億EUR。株主の範囲や受取時点は各分析の前提を確認してください。

シナリオ確率株主還元・追加負担終価
強気:革新・アジア浸透と利益率大幅改善10.0%66.53310.84
やや強気:基幹ブランドの成長と組織独立費用の逓減22.0%51.67213.93
基本:有機成長、分離費用正常化、投資負担継続40.0%41.81154.11
やや弱気:価格転嫁限界と独立費用長期化20.0%21.4162.39
弱気:継続的需要悪化、地域規制と財務負担8.0%5.8512.26

強気:革新・アジア浸透と利益率大幅改善(確率 10.0%)

プレミアム商品・冷凍設備拡張・印度の販売密度上昇、TSA終了、€5億生産性施策の実現。買収済み印度・ポルトガルの売上は2026基準値へ含め、以降は未契約買収の売上を追加しない。

確率の根拠

持続的なシェア上昇と地域を跨ぐ高利益率化の同時達成が必要なため10%。

このシナリオの数値・キャッシュフローを開く →

やや強気:基幹ブランドの成長と組織独立費用の逓減(確率 22.0%)

中期計画の売上・生産性改善がおおむね達成。米国のYasso・Ben & Jerry’s、欧州Magnum、AMEAの冷凍設備展開が堅調。為替中立ではなく報告EURベースで予測。

確率の根拠

成長投資・生産性改善の成功可能性を認めつつ、地域リスクと原材料を見込んで22%。

事業別の前提

1
内容を開く
id

eu

数量
1.133083
価格・単価
43.271069
売上換算係数
1
売上高
49.029703
営業利益
6.471921
2
内容を開く
id

am

数量
1.152005
価格・単価
36.245293
売上換算係数
1
売上高
41.754746
営業利益
6.096193
3
内容を開く
id

amea

数量
1.382719
価格・単価
30.090493
売上換算係数
1
売上高
41.606707
営業利益
7.405994

日付別キャッシュフロー

1
内容を開く
kind

cash_dividend

種類

forecast_common_dividend

想定日

2027-05-20

date_confirmed
未確認
year
0.533880903491
金額
3.033474733
amount_oku
3.033474733
amount_eur_per_initial_share
0.499980628244
company_total_dividend_oku
3.008
company_regular_dividend_oku
2.808
company_2025_post_demerger_conditional_extra_oku
0.2
holder_entitled_to_2025_extra_assumed
はい
shares_dividend_eligible
601623309
old_holder_synthetic_N0_shares
606718453
actual_one_share_not_tendering
はい
synthetic_not_actual_company_aggregate
はい
ex_date_assumed

2027-05-13

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
record_date_confirmed
未確認
prior_fy
2026
prior_fy_ifrs_profit_oku
4.12
prior_fy_posttax_adjusting_items_oku
1.28
prior_fy_adjusted_profit_oku
5.4
assumed_payout_ratio
0.52
source_2025_extra

Company FAQ says 2025 post-demerger accrued dividend to be included in first H1 2027 distribution, but amount and rights date not declared

interpretation

actual one-share dividend multiplied by N0 solely for index scale; not real aggregate holder payout

pv_at_coc_k_oku
2.890000623
pv_at_coc_k_eur_per_old_share
0.476333068225
2
内容を開く
kind

cash_dividend

種類

forecast_common_dividend

想定日

2028-05-20

date_confirmed
未確認
year
1.535934291581
金額
3.631595582
amount_oku
3.631595582
amount_eur_per_initial_share
0.598563561763
company_total_dividend_oku
3.593157404
company_regular_dividend_oku
3.593157404
company_2025_post_demerger_conditional_extra_oku
0
holder_entitled_to_2025_extra_assumed
はい
shares_dividend_eligible
600296716
old_holder_synthetic_N0_shares
606718453
actual_one_share_not_tendering
はい
synthetic_not_actual_company_aggregate
はい
ex_date_assumed

2028-05-11

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
record_date_confirmed
未確認
prior_fy
2027
prior_fy_ifrs_profit_oku
6.130918085
prior_fy_posttax_adjusting_items_oku
0.779
prior_fy_adjusted_profit_oku
6.909918085
assumed_payout_ratio
0.52
source_2025_extra

Company FAQ says 2025 post-demerger accrued dividend to be included in first H1 2027 distribution, but amount and rights date not declared

interpretation

actual one-share dividend multiplied by N0 solely for index scale; not real aggregate holder payout

pv_at_coc_k_oku
3.159075329
pv_at_coc_k_eur_per_old_share
0.52068225605
3
内容を開く
kind

cash_dividend

種類

forecast_common_dividend

想定日

2029-05-20

date_confirmed
未確認
year
2.535249828884
金額
3.980931347
amount_oku
3.980931347
amount_eur_per_initial_share
0.656141465144
company_total_dividend_oku
3.930043738
company_regular_dividend_oku
3.930043738
company_2025_post_demerger_conditional_extra_oku
0
holder_entitled_to_2025_extra_assumed
はい
shares_dividend_eligible
598962868
old_holder_synthetic_N0_shares
606718453
actual_one_share_not_tendering
はい
synthetic_not_actual_company_aggregate
はい
ex_date_assumed

2029-05-10

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
record_date_confirmed
未確認
prior_fy
2028
prior_fy_ifrs_profit_oku
6.892776419
prior_fy_posttax_adjusting_items_oku
0.665
prior_fy_adjusted_profit_oku
7.557776419
assumed_payout_ratio
0.52
source_2025_extra

Company FAQ says 2025 post-demerger accrued dividend to be included in first H1 2027 distribution, but amount and rights date not declared

interpretation

actual one-share dividend multiplied by N0 solely for index scale; not real aggregate holder payout

pv_at_coc_k_oku
3.162714933
pv_at_coc_k_eur_per_old_share
0.521282139557
4
内容を開く
kind

cash_dividend

種類

forecast_common_dividend

想定日

2030-05-20

date_confirmed
未確認
year
3.534565366188
金額
4.334504315
amount_oku
4.334504315
amount_eur_per_initial_share
0.714417748971
company_total_dividend_oku
4.29990407
company_regular_dividend_oku
4.29990407
company_2025_post_demerger_conditional_extra_oku
0
holder_entitled_to_2025_extra_assumed
はい
shares_dividend_eligible
601875314
old_holder_synthetic_N0_shares
606718453
actual_one_share_not_tendering
はい
synthetic_not_actual_company_aggregate
はい
ex_date_assumed

2030-05-09

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
record_date_confirmed
未確認
prior_fy
2029
prior_fy_ifrs_profit_oku
7.708546288
prior_fy_posttax_adjusting_items_oku
0.5605
prior_fy_adjusted_profit_oku
8.269046288
assumed_payout_ratio
0.52
source_2025_extra

Company FAQ says 2025 post-demerger accrued dividend to be included in first H1 2027 distribution, but amount and rights date not declared

interpretation

actual one-share dividend multiplied by N0 solely for index scale; not real aggregate holder payout

pv_at_coc_k_oku
3.145050759
pv_at_coc_k_eur_per_old_share
0.518370710999
5
内容を開く
kind

cash_dividend

種類

forecast_common_dividend

想定日

2031-05-20

date_confirmed
未確認
year
4.533880903491
金額
4.733789326
amount_oku
4.733789326
amount_eur_per_initial_share
0.780228341943
company_total_dividend_oku
4.70916521
company_regular_dividend_oku
4.70916521
company_2025_post_demerger_conditional_extra_oku
0
holder_entitled_to_2025_extra_assumed
はい
shares_dividend_eligible
603562439
old_holder_synthetic_N0_shares
606718453
actual_one_share_not_tendering
はい
synthetic_not_actual_company_aggregate
はい
ex_date_assumed

2031-05-08

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
record_date_confirmed
未確認
prior_fy
2030
prior_fy_ifrs_profit_oku
8.590586943
prior_fy_posttax_adjusting_items_oku
0.4655
prior_fy_adjusted_profit_oku
9.056086943
assumed_payout_ratio
0.52
source_2025_extra

Company FAQ says 2025 post-demerger accrued dividend to be included in first H1 2027 distribution, but amount and rights date not declared

interpretation

actual one-share dividend multiplied by N0 solely for index scale; not real aggregate holder payout

pv_at_coc_k_oku
3.136967388
pv_at_coc_k_eur_per_old_share
0.517038401024
6
内容を開く
kind

cash_dividend

種類

forecast_common_dividend

想定日

2032-05-20

date_confirmed
未確認
year
5.535934291581
金額
5.204677791
amount_oku
5.204677791
amount_eur_per_initial_share
0.857840694505
company_total_dividend_oku
5.153158015
company_regular_dividend_oku
5.153158015
company_2025_post_demerger_conditional_extra_oku
0
holder_entitled_to_2025_extra_assumed
はい
shares_dividend_eligible
600712702
old_holder_synthetic_N0_shares
606718453
actual_one_share_not_tendering
はい
synthetic_not_actual_company_aggregate
はい
ex_date_assumed

2032-05-13

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
record_date_confirmed
未確認
prior_fy
2031
prior_fy_ifrs_profit_oku
9.529919259
prior_fy_posttax_adjusting_items_oku
0.38
prior_fy_adjusted_profit_oku
9.909919259
assumed_payout_ratio
0.52
source_2025_extra

Company FAQ says 2025 post-demerger accrued dividend to be included in first H1 2027 distribution, but amount and rights date not declared

interpretation

actual one-share dividend multiplied by N0 solely for index scale; not real aggregate holder payout

pv_at_coc_k_oku
3.149197331
pv_at_coc_k_eur_per_old_share
0.519054153528
7
内容を開く
kind

cash_dividend

種類

forecast_common_dividend

想定日

2033-05-20

date_confirmed
未確認
year
6.535249828884
金額
5.737157974
amount_oku
5.737157974
amount_eur_per_initial_share
0.945604661528
company_total_dividend_oku
5.648821251
company_regular_dividend_oku
5.648821251
company_2025_post_demerger_conditional_extra_oku
0
holder_entitled_to_2025_extra_assumed
はい
shares_dividend_eligible
597376629
old_holder_synthetic_N0_shares
606718453
actual_one_share_not_tendering
はい
synthetic_not_actual_company_aggregate
はい
ex_date_assumed

2033-05-12

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
record_date_confirmed
未確認
prior_fy
2032
prior_fy_ifrs_profit_oku
10.54011779
prior_fy_posttax_adjusting_items_oku
0.323
prior_fy_adjusted_profit_oku
10.86311779
assumed_payout_ratio
0.52
source_2025_extra

Company FAQ says 2025 post-demerger accrued dividend to be included in first H1 2027 distribution, but amount and rights date not declared

interpretation

actual one-share dividend multiplied by N0 solely for index scale; not real aggregate holder payout

pv_at_coc_k_oku
3.170411925
pv_at_coc_k_eur_per_old_share
0.522550766206
8
内容を開く
kind

cash_dividend

種類

forecast_common_dividend

想定日

2034-05-20

date_confirmed
未確認
year
7.534565366188
金額
6.330617143
amount_oku
6.330617143
amount_eur_per_initial_share
1.043419251907
company_total_dividend_oku
6.193751172
company_regular_dividend_oku
6.193751172
company_2025_post_demerger_conditional_extra_oku
0
holder_entitled_to_2025_extra_assumed
はい
shares_dividend_eligible
593601389
old_holder_synthetic_N0_shares
606718453
actual_one_share_not_tendering
はい
synthetic_not_actual_company_aggregate
はい
ex_date_assumed

2034-05-11

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
record_date_confirmed
未確認
prior_fy
2033
prior_fy_ifrs_profit_oku
11.626059947
prior_fy_posttax_adjusting_items_oku
0.285
prior_fy_adjusted_profit_oku
11.911059947
assumed_payout_ratio
0.52
source_2025_extra

Company FAQ says 2025 post-demerger accrued dividend to be included in first H1 2027 distribution, but amount and rights date not declared

interpretation

actual one-share dividend multiplied by N0 solely for index scale; not real aggregate holder payout

pv_at_coc_k_oku
3.195050981
pv_at_coc_k_eur_per_old_share
0.526611802381
9
内容を開く
kind

cash_dividend

種類

forecast_common_dividend

想定日

2035-05-20

date_confirmed
未確認
year
8.533880903491
金額
6.984066077
amount_oku
6.984066077
amount_eur_per_initial_share
1.151121420969
company_total_dividend_oku
6.785066411
company_regular_dividend_oku
6.785066411
company_2025_post_demerger_conditional_extra_oku
0
holder_entitled_to_2025_extra_assumed
はい
shares_dividend_eligible
589430992
old_holder_synthetic_N0_shares
606718453
actual_one_share_not_tendering
はい
synthetic_not_actual_company_aggregate
はい
ex_date_assumed

2035-05-10

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
record_date_confirmed
未確認
prior_fy
2034
prior_fy_ifrs_profit_oku
12.791704636
prior_fy_posttax_adjusting_items_oku
0.2565
prior_fy_adjusted_profit_oku
13.048204636
assumed_payout_ratio
0.52
source_2025_extra

Company FAQ says 2025 post-demerger accrued dividend to be included in first H1 2027 distribution, but amount and rights date not declared

interpretation

actual one-share dividend multiplied by N0 solely for index scale; not real aggregate holder payout

pv_at_coc_k_oku
3.219236927
pv_at_coc_k_eur_per_old_share
0.53059815647
10
内容を開く
kind

cash_dividend

種類

forecast_common_dividend

想定日

2036-05-20

date_confirmed
未確認
year
9.535934291581
金額
7.697997891
amount_oku
7.697997891
amount_eur_per_initial_share
1.268792444507
company_total_dividend_oku
7.421249111
company_regular_dividend_oku
7.421249111
company_2025_post_demerger_conditional_extra_oku
0
holder_entitled_to_2025_extra_assumed
はい
shares_dividend_eligible
584906471
old_holder_synthetic_N0_shares
606718453
actual_one_share_not_tendering
はい
synthetic_not_actual_company_aggregate
はい
ex_date_assumed

2036-05-08

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
record_date_confirmed
未確認
prior_fy
2035
prior_fy_ifrs_profit_oku
14.043632907
prior_fy_posttax_adjusting_items_oku
0.228
prior_fy_adjusted_profit_oku
14.271632907
assumed_payout_ratio
0.52
source_2025_extra

Company FAQ says 2025 post-demerger accrued dividend to be included in first H1 2027 distribution, but amount and rights date not declared

interpretation

actual one-share dividend multiplied by N0 solely for index scale; not real aggregate holder payout

pv_at_coc_k_oku
3.239868155
pv_at_coc_k_eur_per_old_share
0.533998618152

その他の数値・前提

holder_definition

2026-11-06終値で保有し、期間中の裁量的自己株買いに応募せず、増資へ追加参加せず、配当のみ現金受領し、2036-11-06に当該旧株1株を売却

assumptions
内容を開く
annual_volume_growth_2027
eu
0.023
am
0.025
amea
0.042
annual_price_growth
eu
0.023
am
0.026
amea
0.032
2027_region_reported_operating_margins
eu
0.102
am
0.108
amea
0.154
2036_region_reported_operating_margins
eu
0.132
am
0.146
amea
0.178
dividend_payout_of_prior_ifrs_parent_profit
未確認
first_dividend_2027_company_cash_oku
3.008
finance_interest_on_opening_net_debt
0.045
effective_tax
0.267
forecast_new_employee_plan_purchases_2027plus_not_repeat_2026
はい
share_buyback_execution_price_2026_eur_start
17.602
share_buyback_execution_price_assumed_annual_drift
0.045
perpetual_growth
0.026
new_equity_issue_schedule_assumption
記載なし
2026_award_vesting_assumed_2029_shares
4500000
2026_award_vesting_assumed_2030_shares
4000000
future_awards_delivery_from_grant_lots_after_3_years_fraction
0.9
dividend_policy_basis

prior_FY_adjusted_parent_earnings_not_IFRS

dividend_payout_of_prior_adjusted_parent_profit
0.52
forecast_posttax_adjusting_items_full_year_oku_by_fy
内容を開く
2028
0.779
2029
0.665
2030
0.5605
2031
0.4655
2032
0.38
2033
0.323
2034
0.285
2035
0.2565
2036
0.228
2037
0.209
FY2026_common_reported_IFRS_parent_profit_oku_forecast
4.12
FY2026_common_posttax_adjustments_oku_forecast
1.28
FY2026_common_adjusted_parent_profit_oku_forecast
5.4
2025_post_demerger_extra_dividend_oku_model
0.2
prior_FY_accounting_FY_rule

2027分はFY2026、2028分はFY2027、...、2036分はFY2035の調整後親会社利益に基づく。

adjustment_is_not_SBC_addback
はい
2025_post_demerger_extra_dividend_is_conditional
はい
2025_post_demerger_extra_entitlement_asof_buyer_assumed
はい
adjust_oku
-0.145902
売上高
132.391155
営業利益
19.828206
純利益
14.065287252
期間内の親会社利益合計(億)
101.650527526
opening_common_equity_2026_11_06_oku
11.01194628
equity_oku
54.836021143
非支配持分資本(億)
1.573184
cash_dividends_company_sum_oku
50.742316383
gross_discretionary_buybacks_company_sum_oku
6.09
employee_plan_share_purchases_sum_oku
4.421239
sbc_equity_credit_sum_oku
3.546668
new_issuance_sum_oku
0
company_net_distributions_oku
56.832316383
gross_discretionary_buyback_shares_cancelled
24800517
employee_legacy_stock_deliveries_shares
9000000
employee_post2026_stock_deliveries_shares
9966734
issued_shares_asof_terminal
587459222
employee_treasury_shares_terminal
7393164
economic_outstanding_shares_terminal
580066058
assumed_future_delivery_of_held_ebt_shares_post2036
6653848
terminal_effective_fully_diluted_shares
586719906
old_share_ownership_fraction_at_terminal
1.704391E-9
old_share_book_value_eur_at_terminal
9.453409726
old_share_terminal_sale_eur_per_share
35.260764914866
synthetic_old_share_cohort_terminal_book_value_oku
57.355581244
old_share_ownership_change_vs_asof
0.034085339
multiple
内容を開く
kind

forward_ROE_growth_reinvestment_cost_of_equity_justified_PB

値
3.772737745
why

2036-11-06 retained 12m IFRS=15.302718807, next 12m IFRS=15.700589496, common equity=54.836021143, g=0.026, k=0.095; justified P/B=(forward ROE−g)/(k−g), no adjusted-profit addback, no market multiple. 2025 post-demerger dividend only paid in 2027 and subsequently alters net debt and finance cost.

forward_ifrs_roe
0.286318904
dividend_policy_adjusted_income_not_used_for_terminal
はい
terminal_2036_11_06_trailing_twelve_month_parent_profit_oku
15.302718807
terminal_forward_12_month_net_oku
15.700589496
terminal_required_book_reinvestment_oku
1.42573655
terminal_forward_fcfe_oku
14.274852947
firm_all_common_shares_terminal_value_oku
206.881926763
終価
213.933567407
期間内株主受取
51.668812179
discount_k_used
0.095
terminal_date_assumed

2036-11-06

terminal_year
10.001368925394
terminal_pv_oku
86.314505438
payout_pv_oku
31.467574351
現在価値(億)
117.782079789
intrinsic_per_old_share_eur
19.412971405
upside
0.102884411
holder_expected_irr
0.107465898837
annual
内容を開く
1
内容を開く
対象年度
2027
period_start

2027-01-01

期間末

2027-12-31

period_days_included
365
is_partial_fiscal_year
いいえ
sales_seasonal_fraction_included
1
financial_day_fraction_included
1
売上高
89.709958
営業利益
10.077405
純利益
6.130918085
sbc_expense_in_reported_net_oku
0.29
sbc_equity_credit_oku
0.29
finance_costs_net_oku
-1.432264365
hyperinflation_oku
-0.09
tax_expense_oku
2.28422255
noncontrolling_profit_oku
0.14
dividends_oku
3.008
gross_buybacks_oku
0
employee_plan_share_purchases_oku
0.29
employee_share_delivery_shares
250000
employee_delivery_from_2026_inventory_shares
250000
employee_delivery_from_post2026_lots_shares
0
employee_share_delivery_book_value_oku
0
new_issuance_oku
0
new_issuance_shares
0
net_payout_oku
3.033474733
corporate_cash_net_returns_oku
3.008
old_holder_cash_dividend_oku
3.033474733
equity_begin_oku
9.811903
equity_oku
12.934821085
noncontrolling_equity_begin_oku
0.468
noncontrolling_equity_oku
0.545
total_consolidated_equity_oku
13.479821085
net_debt_begin_oku
31.828097
net_debt_oku
29.979263915
capex_oku
4.575208
depreciation_oku
3.767818
working_capital_investment_oku
0.403695
nci_cash_dividends_oku
0.063
fcf_before_discretionary_returns_and_ltip_oku
5.146833085
issued_shares_end
612259739
employee_treasury_shares_end
11963023
economic_outstanding_shares_begin
601623309
economic_outstanding_shares_end
600296716
old_share_fraction_of_company_end
1.666E-9
old_holder_cash_yield_eur_per_share
0.028404762
old_share_book_value_eur_at_yearend_or_cutoff
2.154737939
synthetic_old_share_cohort_book_value_oku
13.073192689
segment_revenue_oku
eu
36.182076
am
29.488266
amea
24.039616
segment_op_oku
eu
3.690572
am
3.184733
amea
3.702101
adjust_oku
-0.5
parent_equity_rollforward_residual_oku
0
出典

model_projection

after_terminal_tail_excluded_note
未確認
fy2036_full_year_if_not_cutoff
未確認
dividend_policy_basis

prior_FY_adjusted_parent_net_income_plus_2025_post_demerger_conditional_one_time_extra_for_FY2027

dividend_payout_ratio_assumed
0.52
prior_fy_ifrs_parent_profit_oku_for_dividend
4.12
prior_fy_posttax_adjusting_items_oku_for_dividend
1.28
prior_fy_adjusted_parent_profit_oku_for_dividend
5.4
prior_fy_ended_on

2026-12-31

reported_vs_projected_dividend

forecast_unapproved

dividend_ex_date_confirmed
未確認
dividend_policy_formula

0.52 × (4.12 + 1.28) + 0.2 (conditional 2025 demerger stub)

income_before_tax_oku
8.555140635
interest_policy_assumption

annual opening net debt × scenario rate × included time fraction; year-of-dividend financing impact starts following FY

net_debt_cash_identity_residual_oku
0
adjusting_items_after_tax_oku_included_in_reported_earnings
0.779
adjusted_parent_profit_oku_non_ifrs_illustration
6.909918085
non_ifrs_adjustment_does_not_change_equity_or_fcf
はい
dividend_current_FY2026_or_prior_FY_adjusted_income_part_oku
2.808
dividend_2025_post_demerger_extra_oku_conditional
0.2
fy2025_stub_extra_entitlement_of_2026_11_06_holder_assumed
はい
old_share_cash_eur_per_share
0.499980628244
company_dividend_eur_per_share_on_eligibles
0.499980628244
shareholder_synthetic_not_company_aggregate
はい
dividend_ex_date_assumed

2027-05-13

dividend_2025_extra_ifrs_base_2025_standalone_profit_oku
-1.87
company_dividend_payment_date_assumed

2027-05-20

old_holder_cash_yield_eur_per_share_note

この値は1株現金配当を基準株価で割った利回り。1株配当額はold_share_cash_eur_per_shareを参照。

2
内容を開く
対象年度
2028
period_start

2028-01-01

期間末

2028-12-31

period_days_included
366
is_partial_fiscal_year
いいえ
sales_seasonal_fraction_included
1
financial_day_fraction_included
1
売上高
94.700161
営業利益
11.053283
純利益
6.892776419
sbc_expense_in_reported_net_oku
0.304444
sbc_equity_credit_oku
0.304444
finance_costs_net_oku
-1.349066876
hyperinflation_oku
-0.09
tax_expense_oku
2.566995705
noncontrolling_profit_oku
0.154444
dividends_oku
3.593157404
gross_buybacks_oku
0
employee_plan_share_purchases_oku
0.304444
employee_share_delivery_shares
250000
employee_delivery_from_2026_inventory_shares
250000
employee_delivery_from_post2026_lots_shares
0
employee_share_delivery_book_value_oku
0
new_issuance_oku
0
new_issuance_shares
0
net_payout_oku
3.631595582
corporate_cash_net_returns_oku
3.593157404
old_holder_cash_dividend_oku
3.631595582
equity_begin_oku
12.934821085
equity_oku
16.2344401
noncontrolling_equity_begin_oku
0.545
noncontrolling_equity_oku
0.629944
total_consolidated_equity_oku
16.8643841
net_debt_begin_oku
29.979263915
net_debt_oku
28.0275969
capex_oku
4.829708
depreciation_oku
3.977407
working_capital_investment_oku
0.426151
nci_cash_dividends_oku
0.0695
fcf_before_discretionary_returns_and_ltip_oku
5.849268419
issued_shares_end
612259739
employee_treasury_shares_end
13296871
economic_outstanding_shares_begin
600296716
economic_outstanding_shares_end
598962868
old_share_fraction_of_company_end
1.67E-9
old_holder_cash_yield_eur_per_share
0.034005429
old_share_book_value_eur_at_yearend_or_cutoff
2.710425131
synthetic_old_share_cohort_book_value_oku
16.444649425
segment_revenue_oku
eu
37.854488
am
31.002258
amea
25.843414
segment_op_oku
eu
3.987339
am
3.479142
amea
4.048802
adjust_oku
-0.462
parent_equity_rollforward_residual_oku
0
出典

model_projection

after_terminal_tail_excluded_note
未確認
fy2036_full_year_if_not_cutoff
未確認
dividend_policy_basis

prior_FY_adjusted_parent_net_income_plus_2025_post_demerger_conditional_one_time_extra_for_FY2027

dividend_payout_ratio_assumed
0.52
prior_fy_ifrs_parent_profit_oku_for_dividend
6.130918085
prior_fy_posttax_adjusting_items_oku_for_dividend
0.779
prior_fy_adjusted_parent_profit_oku_for_dividend
6.909918085
prior_fy_ended_on

2027-12-31

reported_vs_projected_dividend

forecast_unapproved

dividend_ex_date_confirmed
未確認
dividend_policy_formula

0.52 × (6.130918085 + 0.779) + 0.0 (conditional 2025 demerger stub)

income_before_tax_oku
9.614216124
interest_policy_assumption

annual opening net debt × scenario rate × included time fraction; year-of-dividend financing impact starts following FY

net_debt_cash_identity_residual_oku
0
adjusting_items_after_tax_oku_included_in_reported_earnings
0.665
adjusted_parent_profit_oku_non_ifrs_illustration
7.557776419
non_ifrs_adjustment_does_not_change_equity_or_fcf
はい
dividend_current_FY2026_or_prior_FY_adjusted_income_part_oku
3.593157404
dividend_2025_post_demerger_extra_oku_conditional
0
fy2025_stub_extra_entitlement_of_2026_11_06_holder_assumed
はい
old_share_cash_eur_per_share
0.598563561763
company_dividend_eur_per_share_on_eligibles
0.598563561763
shareholder_synthetic_not_company_aggregate
はい
dividend_ex_date_assumed

2028-05-11

dividend_2025_extra_ifrs_base_2025_standalone_profit_oku
未確認
company_dividend_payment_date_assumed

2028-05-20

old_holder_cash_yield_eur_per_share_note

この値は1株現金配当を基準株価で割った利回り。1株配当額はold_share_cash_eur_per_shareを参照。

3
内容を開く
対象年度
2029
period_start

2029-01-01

期間末

2029-12-31

period_days_included
365
is_partial_fiscal_year
いいえ
sales_seasonal_fraction_included
1
financial_day_fraction_included
1
売上高
99.951583
営業利益
12.098084
純利益
7.708546288
sbc_expense_in_reported_net_oku
0.318889
sbc_equity_credit_oku
0.318889
finance_costs_net_oku
-1.261241861
hyperinflation_oku
-0.09
tax_expense_oku
2.869406851
noncontrolling_profit_oku
0.168889
dividends_oku
3.930043738
gross_buybacks_oku
0
employee_plan_share_purchases_oku
0.318889
employee_share_delivery_shares
4500000
employee_delivery_from_2026_inventory_shares
4500000
employee_delivery_from_post2026_lots_shares
0
employee_share_delivery_book_value_oku
0
new_issuance_oku
0
new_issuance_shares
0
net_payout_oku
3.980931347
corporate_cash_net_returns_oku
3.930043738
old_holder_cash_dividend_oku
3.980931347
equity_begin_oku
16.2344401
equity_oku
20.01294265
noncontrolling_equity_begin_oku
0.629944
noncontrolling_equity_oku
0.722833
total_consolidated_equity_oku
20.73577565
net_debt_begin_oku
28.0275969
net_debt_oku
25.67444135
capex_oku
5.097531
depreciation_oku
4.197966
working_capital_investment_oku
0.449782
nci_cash_dividends_oku
0.076
fcf_before_discretionary_returns_and_ltip_oku
6.602088288
issued_shares_end
612259739
employee_treasury_shares_end
10384425
economic_outstanding_shares_begin
598962868
economic_outstanding_shares_end
601875314
old_share_fraction_of_company_end
1.661E-9
old_holder_cash_yield_eur_per_share
0.037276529
old_share_book_value_eur_at_yearend_or_cutoff
3.325097771
synthetic_old_share_cohort_book_value_oku
20.173981757
segment_revenue_oku
eu
39.592584
am
32.58444
amea
27.774558
segment_op_oku
eu
4.302394
am
3.794277
amea
4.425413
adjust_oku
-0.424
parent_equity_rollforward_residual_oku
0
出典

model_projection

after_terminal_tail_excluded_note
未確認
fy2036_full_year_if_not_cutoff
未確認
dividend_policy_basis

prior_FY_adjusted_parent_net_income_plus_2025_post_demerger_conditional_one_time_extra_for_FY2027

dividend_payout_ratio_assumed
0.52
prior_fy_ifrs_parent_profit_oku_for_dividend
6.892776419
prior_fy_posttax_adjusting_items_oku_for_dividend
0.665
prior_fy_adjusted_parent_profit_oku_for_dividend
7.557776419
prior_fy_ended_on

2028-12-31

reported_vs_projected_dividend

forecast_unapproved

dividend_ex_date_confirmed
未確認
dividend_policy_formula

0.52 × (6.892776419 + 0.665) + 0.0 (conditional 2025 demerger stub)

income_before_tax_oku
10.746842139
interest_policy_assumption

annual opening net debt × scenario rate × included time fraction; year-of-dividend financing impact starts following FY

net_debt_cash_identity_residual_oku
0
adjusting_items_after_tax_oku_included_in_reported_earnings
0.5605
adjusted_parent_profit_oku_non_ifrs_illustration
8.269046288
non_ifrs_adjustment_does_not_change_equity_or_fcf
はい
dividend_current_FY2026_or_prior_FY_adjusted_income_part_oku
3.930043738
dividend_2025_post_demerger_extra_oku_conditional
0
fy2025_stub_extra_entitlement_of_2026_11_06_holder_assumed
はい
old_share_cash_eur_per_share
0.656141465144
company_dividend_eur_per_share_on_eligibles
0.656141465144
shareholder_synthetic_not_company_aggregate
はい
dividend_ex_date_assumed

2029-05-10

dividend_2025_extra_ifrs_base_2025_standalone_profit_oku
未確認
company_dividend_payment_date_assumed

2029-05-20

old_holder_cash_yield_eur_per_share_note

この値は1株現金配当を基準株価で割った利回り。1株配当額はold_share_cash_eur_per_shareを参照。

4
内容を開く
対象年度
2030
period_start

2030-01-01

期間末

2030-12-31

period_days_included
365
is_partial_fiscal_year
いいえ
sales_seasonal_fraction_included
1
financial_day_fraction_included
1
売上高
105.47708
営業利益
13.215227
純利益
8.590586943
sbc_expense_in_reported_net_oku
0.333333
sbc_equity_credit_oku
0.333333
finance_costs_net_oku
-1.155349861
hyperinflation_oku
-0.09
tax_expense_oku
3.195957196
noncontrolling_profit_oku
0.183333
dividends_oku
4.29990407
gross_buybacks_oku
0.45
employee_plan_share_purchases_oku
0.333333
employee_share_delivery_shares
5418934
employee_delivery_from_2026_inventory_shares
4000000
employee_delivery_from_post2026_lots_shares
1418934
employee_share_delivery_book_value_oku
0
new_issuance_oku
0
new_issuance_shares
0
net_payout_oku
4.334504315
corporate_cash_net_returns_oku
4.74990407
old_holder_cash_dividend_oku
4.334504315
equity_begin_oku
20.01294265
equity_oku
23.853625523
noncontrolling_equity_begin_oku
0.722833
noncontrolling_equity_oku
0.823667
total_consolidated_equity_oku
24.677292523
net_debt_begin_oku
25.67444135
net_debt_oku
23.340199477
capex_oku
5.379331
depreciation_oku
4.430037
working_capital_investment_oku
0.474647
nci_cash_dividends_oku
0.0825
fcf_before_discretionary_returns_and_ltip_oku
7.417478943
issued_shares_end
610115934
employee_treasury_shares_end
6553495
economic_outstanding_shares_begin
601875314
economic_outstanding_shares_end
603562439
old_share_fraction_of_company_end
1.657E-9
old_holder_cash_yield_eur_per_share
0.040587305
old_share_book_value_eur_at_yearend_or_cutoff
3.952138831
synthetic_old_share_cohort_book_value_oku
23.978355578
segment_revenue_oku
eu
41.398335
am
34.237338
amea
29.841408
segment_op_oku
eu
4.636613
am
4.131305
amea
4.834308
adjust_oku
-0.387
parent_equity_rollforward_residual_oku
0
出典

model_projection

after_terminal_tail_excluded_note
未確認
fy2036_full_year_if_not_cutoff
未確認
dividend_policy_basis

prior_FY_adjusted_parent_net_income_plus_2025_post_demerger_conditional_one_time_extra_for_FY2027

dividend_payout_ratio_assumed
0.52
prior_fy_ifrs_parent_profit_oku_for_dividend
7.708546288
prior_fy_posttax_adjusting_items_oku_for_dividend
0.5605
prior_fy_adjusted_parent_profit_oku_for_dividend
8.269046288
prior_fy_ended_on

2029-12-31

reported_vs_projected_dividend

forecast_unapproved

dividend_ex_date_confirmed
未確認
dividend_policy_formula

0.52 × (7.708546288 + 0.5605) + 0.0 (conditional 2025 demerger stub)

income_before_tax_oku
11.969877139
interest_policy_assumption

annual opening net debt × scenario rate × included time fraction; year-of-dividend financing impact starts following FY

net_debt_cash_identity_residual_oku
0
adjusting_items_after_tax_oku_included_in_reported_earnings
0.4655
adjusted_parent_profit_oku_non_ifrs_illustration
9.056086943
non_ifrs_adjustment_does_not_change_equity_or_fcf
はい
dividend_current_FY2026_or_prior_FY_adjusted_income_part_oku
4.29990407
dividend_2025_post_demerger_extra_oku_conditional
0
fy2025_stub_extra_entitlement_of_2026_11_06_holder_assumed
はい
old_share_cash_eur_per_share
0.714417748971
company_dividend_eur_per_share_on_eligibles
0.714417748971
shareholder_synthetic_not_company_aggregate
はい
dividend_ex_date_assumed

2030-05-09

dividend_2025_extra_ifrs_base_2025_standalone_profit_oku
未確認
company_dividend_payment_date_assumed

2030-05-20

old_holder_cash_yield_eur_per_share_note

この値は1株現金配当を基準株価で割った利回り。1株配当額はold_share_cash_eur_per_shareを参照。

5
内容を開く
対象年度
2031
period_start

2031-01-01

期間末

2031-12-31

period_days_included
365
is_partial_fiscal_year
いいえ
sales_seasonal_fraction_included
1
financial_day_fraction_included
1
売上高
111.290104
営業利益
14.411383
純利益
9.529919259
sbc_expense_in_reported_net_oku
0.347778
sbc_equity_credit_oku
0.347778
finance_costs_net_oku
-1.050308976
hyperinflation_oku
-0.09
tax_expense_oku
3.543376764
noncontrolling_profit_oku
0.197778
dividends_oku
4.70916521
gross_buybacks_oku
0.59
employee_plan_share_purchases_oku
0.347778
employee_share_delivery_shares
1425463
employee_delivery_from_2026_inventory_shares
0
employee_delivery_from_post2026_lots_shares
1425463
employee_share_delivery_book_value_oku
0
new_issuance_oku
0
new_issuance_shares
0
net_payout_oku
4.733789326
corporate_cash_net_returns_oku
5.29916521
old_holder_cash_dividend_oku
4.733789326
equity_begin_oku
23.853625523
equity_oku
28.084379572
noncontrolling_equity_begin_oku
0.823667
noncontrolling_equity_oku
0.932444
total_consolidated_equity_oku
29.016823572
net_debt_begin_oku
23.340199477
net_debt_oku
20.700861428
capex_oku
5.675795
depreciation_oku
4.674184
working_capital_investment_oku
0.500805
nci_cash_dividends_oku
0.089
fcf_before_discretionary_returns_and_ltip_oku
8.286281259
issued_shares_end
607426205
employee_treasury_shares_end
6713503
economic_outstanding_shares_begin
603562439
economic_outstanding_shares_end
600712702
old_share_fraction_of_company_end
1.665E-9
old_holder_cash_yield_eur_per_share
0.044326119
old_share_book_value_eur_at_yearend_or_cutoff
4.675176583
synthetic_old_share_cohort_book_value_oku
28.365159037
segment_revenue_oku
eu
43.273737
am
35.963543
amea
32.052823
segment_op_oku
eu
4.990904
am
4.491447
amea
5.278032
adjust_oku
-0.349
parent_equity_rollforward_residual_oku
0
出典

model_projection

after_terminal_tail_excluded_note
未確認
fy2036_full_year_if_not_cutoff
未確認
dividend_policy_basis

prior_FY_adjusted_parent_net_income_plus_2025_post_demerger_conditional_one_time_extra_for_FY2027

dividend_payout_ratio_assumed
0.52
prior_fy_ifrs_parent_profit_oku_for_dividend
8.590586943
prior_fy_posttax_adjusting_items_oku_for_dividend
0.4655
prior_fy_adjusted_parent_profit_oku_for_dividend
9.056086943
prior_fy_ended_on

2030-12-31

reported_vs_projected_dividend

forecast_unapproved

dividend_ex_date_confirmed
未確認
dividend_policy_formula

0.52 × (8.590586943 + 0.4655) + 0.0 (conditional 2025 demerger stub)

income_before_tax_oku
13.271074024
interest_policy_assumption

annual opening net debt × scenario rate × included time fraction; year-of-dividend financing impact starts following FY

net_debt_cash_identity_residual_oku
0
adjusting_items_after_tax_oku_included_in_reported_earnings
0.38
adjusted_parent_profit_oku_non_ifrs_illustration
9.909919259
non_ifrs_adjustment_does_not_change_equity_or_fcf
はい
dividend_current_FY2026_or_prior_FY_adjusted_income_part_oku
4.70916521
dividend_2025_post_demerger_extra_oku_conditional
0
fy2025_stub_extra_entitlement_of_2026_11_06_holder_assumed
はい
old_share_cash_eur_per_share
0.780228341943
company_dividend_eur_per_share_on_eligibles
0.780228341943
shareholder_synthetic_not_company_aggregate
はい
dividend_ex_date_assumed

2031-05-08

dividend_2025_extra_ifrs_base_2025_standalone_profit_oku
未確認
company_dividend_payment_date_assumed

2031-05-20

old_holder_cash_yield_eur_per_share_note

この値は1株現金配当を基準株価で割った利回り。1株配当額はold_share_cash_eur_per_shareを参照。

6
内容を開く
対象年度
2032
period_start

2032-01-01

期間末

2032-12-31

period_days_included
366
is_partial_fiscal_year
いいえ
sales_seasonal_fraction_included
1
financial_day_fraction_included
1
売上高
117.404723
営業利益
15.690488
純利益
10.54011779
sbc_expense_in_reported_net_oku
0.362222
sbc_equity_credit_oku
0.362222
finance_costs_net_oku
-0.931538764
hyperinflation_oku
-0.09
tax_expense_oku
3.916609446
noncontrolling_profit_oku
0.212222
dividends_oku
5.153158015
gross_buybacks_oku
0.73
employee_plan_share_purchases_oku
0.362222
employee_share_delivery_shares
1428799
employee_delivery_from_2026_inventory_shares
0
employee_delivery_from_post2026_lots_shares
1428799
employee_share_delivery_book_value_oku
0
new_issuance_oku
0
new_issuance_shares
0
net_payout_oku
5.204677791
corporate_cash_net_returns_oku
5.883158015
old_holder_cash_dividend_oku
5.204677791
equity_begin_oku
28.084379572
equity_oku
32.741339347
noncontrolling_equity_begin_oku
0.932444
noncontrolling_equity_oku
1.049167
total_consolidated_equity_oku
33.790506347
net_debt_begin_oku
20.700861428
net_debt_oku
17.724365653
capex_oku
5.987641
depreciation_oku
4.930998
working_capital_investment_oku
0.528321
nci_cash_dividends_oku
0.0955
fcf_before_discretionary_returns_and_ltip_oku
9.22187579
issued_shares_end
604241545
employee_treasury_shares_end
6864916
economic_outstanding_shares_begin
600712702
economic_outstanding_shares_end
597376629
old_share_fraction_of_company_end
1.674E-9
old_holder_cash_yield_eur_per_share
0.04873541
old_share_book_value_eur_at_yearend_or_cutoff
5.480853746
synthetic_old_share_cohort_book_value_oku
33.253351058
segment_revenue_oku
eu
45.220817
am
37.765713
amea
34.418193
segment_op_oku
eu
5.366204
am
4.875973
amea
5.759311
adjust_oku
-0.311
parent_equity_rollforward_residual_oku
0
出典

model_projection

after_terminal_tail_excluded_note
未確認
fy2036_full_year_if_not_cutoff
未確認
dividend_policy_basis

prior_FY_adjusted_parent_net_income_plus_2025_post_demerger_conditional_one_time_extra_for_FY2027

dividend_payout_ratio_assumed
0.52
prior_fy_ifrs_parent_profit_oku_for_dividend
9.529919259
prior_fy_posttax_adjusting_items_oku_for_dividend
0.38
prior_fy_adjusted_parent_profit_oku_for_dividend
9.909919259
prior_fy_ended_on

2031-12-31

reported_vs_projected_dividend

forecast_unapproved

dividend_ex_date_confirmed
未確認
dividend_policy_formula

0.52 × (9.529919259 + 0.38) + 0.0 (conditional 2025 demerger stub)

income_before_tax_oku
14.668949236
interest_policy_assumption

annual opening net debt × scenario rate × included time fraction; year-of-dividend financing impact starts following FY

net_debt_cash_identity_residual_oku
0
adjusting_items_after_tax_oku_included_in_reported_earnings
0.323
adjusted_parent_profit_oku_non_ifrs_illustration
10.86311779
non_ifrs_adjustment_does_not_change_equity_or_fcf
はい
dividend_current_FY2026_or_prior_FY_adjusted_income_part_oku
5.153158015
dividend_2025_post_demerger_extra_oku_conditional
0
fy2025_stub_extra_entitlement_of_2026_11_06_holder_assumed
はい
old_share_cash_eur_per_share
0.857840694505
company_dividend_eur_per_share_on_eligibles
0.857840694505
shareholder_synthetic_not_company_aggregate
はい
dividend_ex_date_assumed

2032-05-13

dividend_2025_extra_ifrs_base_2025_standalone_profit_oku
未確認
company_dividend_payment_date_assumed

2032-05-20

old_holder_cash_yield_eur_per_share_note

この値は1株現金配当を基準株価で割った利回り。1株配当額はold_share_cash_eur_per_shareを参照。

7
内容を開く
対象年度
2033
period_start

2033-01-01

期間末

2033-12-31

period_days_included
365
is_partial_fiscal_year
いいえ
sales_seasonal_fraction_included
1
financial_day_fraction_included
1
売上高
123.835655
営業利益
17.057756
純利益
11.626059947
sbc_expense_in_reported_net_oku
0.376667
sbc_equity_credit_oku
0.376667
finance_costs_net_oku
-0.797596454
hyperinflation_oku
-0.09
tax_expense_oku
4.317432599
noncontrolling_profit_oku
0.226667
dividends_oku
5.648821251
gross_buybacks_oku
0.87
employee_plan_share_purchases_oku
0.376667
employee_share_delivery_shares
1429204
employee_delivery_from_2026_inventory_shares
0
employee_delivery_from_post2026_lots_shares
1429204
employee_share_delivery_book_value_oku
0
new_issuance_oku
0
new_issuance_shares
0
net_payout_oku
5.737157974
corporate_cash_net_returns_oku
6.518821251
old_holder_cash_dividend_oku
5.737157974
equity_begin_oku
32.741339347
equity_oku
37.848578044
noncontrolling_equity_begin_oku
1.049167
noncontrolling_equity_oku
1.173833
total_consolidated_equity_oku
39.022411044
net_debt_begin_oku
17.724365653
net_debt_oku
14.390906956
capex_oku
6.315618
depreciation_oku
5.201098
working_capital_investment_oku
0.55726
nci_cash_dividends_oku
0.102
fcf_before_discretionary_returns_and_ltip_oku
10.228946947
issued_shares_end
600609567
employee_treasury_shares_end
7008178
economic_outstanding_shares_begin
597376629
economic_outstanding_shares_end
593601389
old_share_fraction_of_company_end
1.685E-9
old_holder_cash_yield_eur_per_share
0.053721433
old_share_book_value_eur_at_yearend_or_cutoff
6.376093241
synthetic_old_share_cohort_book_value_oku
38.684934275
segment_revenue_oku
eu
47.241627
am
39.646566
amea
36.947462
segment_op_oku
eu
5.763478
am
5.286209
amea
6.281069
adjust_oku
-0.273
parent_equity_rollforward_residual_oku
0
出典

model_projection

after_terminal_tail_excluded_note
未確認
fy2036_full_year_if_not_cutoff
未確認
dividend_policy_basis

prior_FY_adjusted_parent_net_income_plus_2025_post_demerger_conditional_one_time_extra_for_FY2027

dividend_payout_ratio_assumed
0.52
prior_fy_ifrs_parent_profit_oku_for_dividend
10.54011779
prior_fy_posttax_adjusting_items_oku_for_dividend
0.323
prior_fy_adjusted_parent_profit_oku_for_dividend
10.86311779
prior_fy_ended_on

2032-12-31

reported_vs_projected_dividend

forecast_unapproved

dividend_ex_date_confirmed
未確認
dividend_policy_formula

0.52 × (10.54011779 + 0.323) + 0.0 (conditional 2025 demerger stub)

income_before_tax_oku
16.170159546
interest_policy_assumption

annual opening net debt × scenario rate × included time fraction; year-of-dividend financing impact starts following FY

net_debt_cash_identity_residual_oku
0
adjusting_items_after_tax_oku_included_in_reported_earnings
0.285
adjusted_parent_profit_oku_non_ifrs_illustration
11.911059947
non_ifrs_adjustment_does_not_change_equity_or_fcf
はい
dividend_current_FY2026_or_prior_FY_adjusted_income_part_oku
5.648821251
dividend_2025_post_demerger_extra_oku_conditional
0
fy2025_stub_extra_entitlement_of_2026_11_06_holder_assumed
はい
old_share_cash_eur_per_share
0.945604661528
company_dividend_eur_per_share_on_eligibles
0.945604661528
shareholder_synthetic_not_company_aggregate
はい
dividend_ex_date_assumed

2033-05-12

dividend_2025_extra_ifrs_base_2025_standalone_profit_oku
未確認
company_dividend_payment_date_assumed

2033-05-20

old_holder_cash_yield_eur_per_share_note

この値は1株現金配当を基準株価で割った利回り。1株配当額はold_share_cash_eur_per_shareを参照。

8
内容を開く
対象年度
2034
period_start

2034-01-01

期間末

2034-12-31

period_days_included
365
is_partial_fiscal_year
いいえ
sales_seasonal_fraction_included
1
financial_day_fraction_included
1
売上高
130.598291
営業利益
18.517694
純利益
12.791704636
sbc_expense_in_reported_net_oku
0.391111
sbc_equity_credit_oku
0.391111
finance_costs_net_oku
-0.647590813
hyperinflation_oku
-0.09
tax_expense_oku
4.747287551
noncontrolling_profit_oku
0.241111
dividends_oku
6.193751172
gross_buybacks_oku
1.01
employee_plan_share_purchases_oku
0.391111
employee_share_delivery_shares
1426924
employee_delivery_from_2026_inventory_shares
0
employee_delivery_from_post2026_lots_shares
1426924
employee_share_delivery_book_value_oku
0
new_issuance_oku
0
new_issuance_shares
0
net_payout_oku
6.330617143
corporate_cash_net_returns_oku
7.203751172
old_holder_cash_dividend_oku
6.330617143
equity_begin_oku
37.848578044
equity_oku
43.436531507
noncontrolling_equity_begin_oku
1.173833
noncontrolling_equity_oku
1.306444
total_consolidated_equity_oku
44.742975507
net_debt_begin_oku
14.390906956
net_debt_oku
10.674530493
capex_oku
6.660513
depreciation_oku
5.485128
working_capital_investment_oku
0.587692
nci_cash_dividends_oku
0.1085
fcf_before_discretionary_returns_and_ltip_oku
11.311238636
issued_shares_end
596574702
employee_treasury_shares_end
7143710
economic_outstanding_shares_begin
593601389
economic_outstanding_shares_end
589430992
old_share_fraction_of_company_end
1.697E-9
old_holder_cash_yield_eur_per_share
0.059278449
old_share_book_value_eur_at_yearend_or_cutoff
7.369231021
synthetic_old_share_cohort_book_value_oku
44.710484446
segment_revenue_oku
eu
49.338244
am
41.608889
amea
39.651159
segment_op_oku
eu
6.183727
am
5.723534
amea
6.846434
adjust_oku
-0.236
parent_equity_rollforward_residual_oku
0
出典

model_projection

after_terminal_tail_excluded_note
未確認
fy2036_full_year_if_not_cutoff
未確認
dividend_policy_basis

prior_FY_adjusted_parent_net_income_plus_2025_post_demerger_conditional_one_time_extra_for_FY2027

dividend_payout_ratio_assumed
0.52
prior_fy_ifrs_parent_profit_oku_for_dividend
11.626059947
prior_fy_posttax_adjusting_items_oku_for_dividend
0.285
prior_fy_adjusted_parent_profit_oku_for_dividend
11.911059947
prior_fy_ended_on

2033-12-31

reported_vs_projected_dividend

forecast_unapproved

dividend_ex_date_confirmed
未確認
dividend_policy_formula

0.52 × (11.626059947 + 0.285) + 0.0 (conditional 2025 demerger stub)

income_before_tax_oku
17.780103187
interest_policy_assumption

annual opening net debt × scenario rate × included time fraction; year-of-dividend financing impact starts following FY

net_debt_cash_identity_residual_oku
0
adjusting_items_after_tax_oku_included_in_reported_earnings
0.2565
adjusted_parent_profit_oku_non_ifrs_illustration
13.048204636
non_ifrs_adjustment_does_not_change_equity_or_fcf
はい
dividend_current_FY2026_or_prior_FY_adjusted_income_part_oku
6.193751172
dividend_2025_post_demerger_extra_oku_conditional
0
fy2025_stub_extra_entitlement_of_2026_11_06_holder_assumed
はい
old_share_cash_eur_per_share
1.043419251907
company_dividend_eur_per_share_on_eligibles
1.043419251907
shareholder_synthetic_not_company_aggregate
はい
dividend_ex_date_assumed

2034-05-11

dividend_2025_extra_ifrs_base_2025_standalone_profit_oku
未確認
company_dividend_payment_date_assumed

2034-05-20

old_holder_cash_yield_eur_per_share_note

この値は1株現金配当を基準株価で割った利回り。1株配当額はold_share_cash_eur_per_shareを参照。

9
内容を開く
対象年度
2035
period_start

2035-01-01

期間末

2035-12-31

period_days_included
365
is_partial_fiscal_year
いいえ
sales_seasonal_fraction_included
1
financial_day_fraction_included
1
売上高
137.708726
営業利益
20.078115
純利益
14.043632907
sbc_expense_in_reported_net_oku
0.405556
sbc_equity_credit_oku
0.405556
finance_costs_net_oku
-0.480353872
hyperinflation_oku
-0.09
tax_expense_oku
5.208572221
noncontrolling_profit_oku
0.255556
dividends_oku
6.785066411
gross_buybacks_oku
1.15
employee_plan_share_purchases_oku
0.405556
employee_share_delivery_shares
1422191
employee_delivery_from_2026_inventory_shares
0
employee_delivery_from_post2026_lots_shares
1422191
employee_share_delivery_book_value_oku
0
new_issuance_oku
0
new_issuance_shares
0
net_payout_oku
6.984066077
corporate_cash_net_returns_oku
7.935066411
old_holder_cash_dividend_oku
6.984066077
equity_begin_oku
43.436531507
equity_oku
49.545098003
noncontrolling_equity_begin_oku
1.306444
noncontrolling_equity_oku
1.447
total_consolidated_equity_oku
50.992098003
net_debt_begin_oku
10.674530493
net_debt_oku
6.540031997
capex_oku
7.023145
depreciation_oku
5.783766
working_capital_investment_oku
0.619689
nci_cash_dividends_oku
0.115
fcf_before_discretionary_returns_and_ltip_oku
12.475120907
issued_shares_end
592178383
employee_treasury_shares_end
7271912
economic_outstanding_shares_begin
589430992
economic_outstanding_shares_end
584906471
old_share_fraction_of_company_end
1.71E-9
old_holder_cash_yield_eur_per_share
0.065397195
old_share_book_value_eur_at_yearend_or_cutoff
8.47060179
synthetic_old_share_cohort_book_value_oku
51.392704141
segment_revenue_oku
eu
51.512767
am
43.65553
amea
42.540428
segment_op_oku
eu
6.627976
am
6.189384
amea
7.458755
adjust_oku
-0.198
parent_equity_rollforward_residual_oku
0
出典

model_projection

after_terminal_tail_excluded_note
未確認
fy2036_full_year_if_not_cutoff
未確認
dividend_policy_basis

prior_FY_adjusted_parent_net_income_plus_2025_post_demerger_conditional_one_time_extra_for_FY2027

dividend_payout_ratio_assumed
0.52
prior_fy_ifrs_parent_profit_oku_for_dividend
12.791704636
prior_fy_posttax_adjusting_items_oku_for_dividend
0.2565
prior_fy_adjusted_parent_profit_oku_for_dividend
13.048204636
prior_fy_ended_on

2034-12-31

reported_vs_projected_dividend

forecast_unapproved

dividend_ex_date_confirmed
未確認
dividend_policy_formula

0.52 × (12.791704636 + 0.2565) + 0.0 (conditional 2025 demerger stub)

income_before_tax_oku
19.507761128
interest_policy_assumption

annual opening net debt × scenario rate × included time fraction; year-of-dividend financing impact starts following FY

net_debt_cash_identity_residual_oku
0
adjusting_items_after_tax_oku_included_in_reported_earnings
0.228
adjusted_parent_profit_oku_non_ifrs_illustration
14.271632907
non_ifrs_adjustment_does_not_change_equity_or_fcf
はい
dividend_current_FY2026_or_prior_FY_adjusted_income_part_oku
6.785066411
dividend_2025_post_demerger_extra_oku_conditional
0
fy2025_stub_extra_entitlement_of_2026_11_06_holder_assumed
はい
old_share_cash_eur_per_share
1.151121420969
company_dividend_eur_per_share_on_eligibles
1.151121420969
shareholder_synthetic_not_company_aggregate
はい
dividend_ex_date_assumed

2035-05-10

dividend_2025_extra_ifrs_base_2025_standalone_profit_oku
未確認
company_dividend_payment_date_assumed

2035-05-20

old_holder_cash_yield_eur_per_share_note

この値は1株現金配当を基準株価で割った利回り。1株配当額はold_share_cash_eur_per_shareを参照。

10
内容を開く
対象年度
2036
period_start

2036-01-01

期間末

2036-11-06

period_days_included
311
is_partial_fiscal_year
はい
sales_seasonal_fraction_included
0.911886649
financial_day_fraction_included
0.849726776
売上高
132.391155
営業利益
19.828206
純利益
14.065287252
sbc_expense_in_reported_net_oku
0.356885
sbc_equity_credit_oku
0.356885
finance_costs_net_oku
-0.250075814
hyperinflation_oku
-0.076475
tax_expense_oku
5.206941935
noncontrolling_profit_oku
0.229426
dividends_oku
7.421249111
gross_buybacks_oku
1.29
employee_plan_share_purchases_oku
0.42
employee_share_delivery_shares
1415219
employee_delivery_from_2026_inventory_shares
0
employee_delivery_from_post2026_lots_shares
1415219
employee_share_delivery_book_value_oku
0
new_issuance_oku
0
new_issuance_shares
0
net_payout_oku
7.697997891
corporate_cash_net_returns_oku
8.711249111
old_holder_cash_dividend_oku
7.697997891
equity_begin_oku
49.545098003
equity_oku
54.836021143
noncontrolling_equity_begin_oku
1.447
noncontrolling_equity_oku
1.573184
total_consolidated_equity_oku
56.409205143
net_debt_begin_oku
6.540031997
net_debt_oku
3.139630857
capex_oku
6.751949
depreciation_oku
5.560429
working_capital_investment_oku
0.59576
nci_cash_dividends_oku
0.103242
fcf_before_discretionary_returns_and_ltip_oku
12.531650252
issued_shares_end
587459222
employee_treasury_shares_end
7393164
economic_outstanding_shares_begin
584906471
economic_outstanding_shares_end
580066058
old_share_fraction_of_company_end
1.724E-9
old_holder_cash_yield_eur_per_share
0.072082289
old_share_book_value_eur_at_yearend_or_cutoff
9.453409726
synthetic_old_share_cohort_book_value_oku
57.355581244
segment_revenue_oku
eu
49.029703
am
41.754746
amea
41.606707
segment_op_oku
eu
6.471921
am
6.096193
amea
7.405994
adjust_oku
-0.145902
parent_equity_rollforward_residual_oku
0
出典

model_projection

after_terminal_tail_excluded_note

2036-11-07以降の2036年度末収益・還元・資本は含めない

fy2036_full_year_if_not_cutoff
内容を開く
売上高
145.183785
営業利益
21.744156
純利益
15.394397078
adjusting_items_after_tax_oku_forecast
0.209
adjusted_parent_profit_oku_forecast
15.603397078
dividend_policy_basis

prior_FY_adjusted_parent_net_income_plus_2025_post_demerger_conditional_one_time_extra_for_FY2027

dividend_payout_ratio_assumed
0.52
prior_fy_ifrs_parent_profit_oku_for_dividend
14.043632907
prior_fy_posttax_adjusting_items_oku_for_dividend
0.228
prior_fy_adjusted_parent_profit_oku_for_dividend
14.271632907
prior_fy_ended_on

2035-12-31

reported_vs_projected_dividend

forecast_unapproved

dividend_ex_date_confirmed
未確認
dividend_policy_formula

0.52 × (14.043632907 + 0.228) + 0.0 (conditional 2025 demerger stub)

income_before_tax_oku
19.501655186
interest_policy_assumption

annual opening net debt × scenario rate × included time fraction; year-of-dividend financing impact starts following FY

net_debt_cash_identity_residual_oku
0
adjusting_items_after_tax_oku_included_in_reported_earnings
0.177592896
adjusted_parent_profit_oku_non_ifrs_illustration
14.242880148
non_ifrs_adjustment_does_not_change_equity_or_fcf
はい
after_2036_11_06_NI_not_in_10y_oku
1.322632307
dividend_current_FY2026_or_prior_FY_adjusted_income_part_oku
7.421249111
dividend_2025_post_demerger_extra_oku_conditional
0
fy2025_stub_extra_entitlement_of_2026_11_06_holder_assumed
はい
old_share_cash_eur_per_share
1.268792444507
company_dividend_eur_per_share_on_eligibles
1.268792444507
shareholder_synthetic_not_company_aggregate
はい
dividend_ex_date_assumed

2036-05-08

dividend_2025_extra_ifrs_base_2025_standalone_profit_oku
未確認
company_dividend_payment_date_assumed

2036-05-20

old_holder_cash_yield_eur_per_share_note

この値は1株現金配当を基準株価で割った利回り。1株配当額はold_share_cash_eur_per_shareを参照。

company_share_events
内容を開く
1
内容を開く
想定日

2027-05-20

event

ordinary_dividend

company_cash_oku
3.008
old_holder_cash_oku
3.033474733
発行済株式数
612259739
自己株式数
10636430
shares_eligible
601623309
total_adjusted_parent_income_prior_fy_oku
5.4
assumed_payout_ratio
0.52
confirmed_declared_dividend
いいえ
company_2026_or_prior_FY_regular_dividend_cash_oku
2.808
conditional_2025_post_demerger_extra_company_cash_oku
0.2
old_holder_one_share_cash_eur
0.499980628244
forecast_ex_date_assumed

2027-05-13

confirmed_ex_date
未確認
rights_condition

holding before forecast ex-date; not a right accruing to 2025 Unilever shareholder in person; confirmation pending

eligible_cohort_model

2026-11-06 one share held through ex-date

2
内容を開く
想定日

2027-06-16

event

employee_treasury_share_delivery

legacy_award_delivery_shares
250000
future_award_delivery_shares
0
employee_delivery_shares
250000
company_cash_oku
0
old_holder_cash_oku
0
shares_before
601623309
shares_after
601873309
注記

信託が既に保有する株式を社員へ移転する。取得額を再計上しない。自己資本総額の追加増減は0。

3
内容を開く
想定日

2027-10-15

event

future_employee_share_plan_market_purchase

company_cash_oku
0.29
new_ltip_treasury_shares
1576593
execution_price_model_eur_per_share
18.39409
old_holder_cash_oku
0
future_award_cycle_start
2027
注記

2026年の既取得8,452,144株とは別の、FY2027以降の追加報酬サイクル向け仮定。

4
内容を開く
想定日

2028-05-20

event

ordinary_dividend

company_cash_oku
3.593157404
old_holder_cash_oku
3.631595582
発行済株式数
612259739
自己株式数
11963023
shares_eligible
600296716
total_adjusted_parent_income_prior_fy_oku
6.909918085
assumed_payout_ratio
0.52
confirmed_declared_dividend
いいえ
company_2026_or_prior_FY_regular_dividend_cash_oku
3.593157404
conditional_2025_post_demerger_extra_company_cash_oku
0
old_holder_one_share_cash_eur
0.598563561763
forecast_ex_date_assumed

2028-05-11

confirmed_ex_date
未確認
rights_condition

holding before forecast ex-date; not a right accruing to 2025 Unilever shareholder in person; confirmation pending

eligible_cohort_model

2026-11-06 one share held through ex-date

5
内容を開く
想定日

2028-06-16

event

employee_treasury_share_delivery

legacy_award_delivery_shares
250000
future_award_delivery_shares
0
employee_delivery_shares
250000
company_cash_oku
0
old_holder_cash_oku
0
shares_before
600296716
shares_after
600546716
注記

信託が既に保有する株式を社員へ移転する。取得額を再計上しない。自己資本総額の追加増減は0。

6
内容を開く
想定日

2028-10-15

event

future_employee_share_plan_market_purchase

company_cash_oku
0.304444444
new_ltip_treasury_shares
1583848
execution_price_model_eur_per_share
19.221824
old_holder_cash_oku
0
future_award_cycle_start
2028
注記

2026年の既取得8,452,144株とは別の、FY2027以降の追加報酬サイクル向け仮定。

7
内容を開く
想定日

2029-05-20

event

ordinary_dividend

company_cash_oku
3.930043738
old_holder_cash_oku
3.980931347
発行済株式数
612259739
自己株式数
13296871
shares_eligible
598962868
total_adjusted_parent_income_prior_fy_oku
7.557776419
assumed_payout_ratio
0.52
confirmed_declared_dividend
いいえ
company_2026_or_prior_FY_regular_dividend_cash_oku
3.930043738
conditional_2025_post_demerger_extra_company_cash_oku
0
old_holder_one_share_cash_eur
0.656141465144
forecast_ex_date_assumed

2029-05-10

confirmed_ex_date
未確認
rights_condition

holding before forecast ex-date; not a right accruing to 2025 Unilever shareholder in person; confirmation pending

eligible_cohort_model

2026-11-06 one share held through ex-date

8
内容を開く
想定日

2029-06-16

event

employee_treasury_share_delivery

legacy_award_delivery_shares
4500000
future_award_delivery_shares
0
employee_delivery_shares
4500000
company_cash_oku
0
old_holder_cash_oku
0
shares_before
598962868
shares_after
603462868
注記

信託が既に保有する株式を社員へ移転する。取得額を再計上しない。自己資本総額の追加増減は0。

9
内容を開く
想定日

2029-10-15

event

future_employee_share_plan_market_purchase

company_cash_oku
0.318888889
new_ltip_treasury_shares
1587554
execution_price_model_eur_per_share
20.086806
old_holder_cash_oku
0
future_award_cycle_start
2029
注記

2026年の既取得8,452,144株とは別の、FY2027以降の追加報酬サイクル向け仮定。

10
内容を開く
想定日

2030-05-20

event

ordinary_dividend

company_cash_oku
4.29990407
old_holder_cash_oku
4.334504315
発行済株式数
612259739
自己株式数
10384425
shares_eligible
601875314
total_adjusted_parent_income_prior_fy_oku
8.269046288
assumed_payout_ratio
0.52
confirmed_declared_dividend
いいえ
company_2026_or_prior_FY_regular_dividend_cash_oku
4.29990407
conditional_2025_post_demerger_extra_company_cash_oku
0
old_holder_one_share_cash_eur
0.714417748971
forecast_ex_date_assumed

2030-05-09

confirmed_ex_date
未確認
rights_condition

holding before forecast ex-date; not a right accruing to 2025 Unilever shareholder in person; confirmation pending

eligible_cohort_model

2026-11-06 one share held through ex-date

11
内容を開く
想定日

2030-06-16

event

employee_treasury_share_delivery

legacy_award_delivery_shares
4000000
future_award_delivery_shares
1418934
employee_delivery_shares
5418934
company_cash_oku
0
old_holder_cash_oku
0
shares_before
601875314
shares_after
607294248
注記

信託が既に保有する株式を社員へ移転する。取得額を再計上しない。自己資本総額の追加増減は0。

12
内容を開く
想定日

2030-06-30

event

discretionary_buyback_and_cancellation

company_cash_oku
0.45
shares_cancelled
2143805
execution_price_model_eur_per_share
20.990712
old_holder_cash_oku
0
economic_shares_after
605150443
13
内容を開く
想定日

2030-10-15

event

future_employee_share_plan_market_purchase

company_cash_oku
0.333333333
new_ltip_treasury_shares
1588004
execution_price_model_eur_per_share
20.990712
old_holder_cash_oku
0
future_award_cycle_start
2030
注記

2026年の既取得8,452,144株とは別の、FY2027以降の追加報酬サイクル向け仮定。

14
内容を開く
想定日

2031-05-20

event

ordinary_dividend

company_cash_oku
4.70916521
old_holder_cash_oku
4.733789326
発行済株式数
610115934
自己株式数
6553495
shares_eligible
603562439
total_adjusted_parent_income_prior_fy_oku
9.056086943
assumed_payout_ratio
0.52
confirmed_declared_dividend
いいえ
company_2026_or_prior_FY_regular_dividend_cash_oku
4.70916521
conditional_2025_post_demerger_extra_company_cash_oku
0
old_holder_one_share_cash_eur
0.780228341943
forecast_ex_date_assumed

2031-05-08

confirmed_ex_date
未確認
rights_condition

holding before forecast ex-date; not a right accruing to 2025 Unilever shareholder in person; confirmation pending

eligible_cohort_model

2026-11-06 one share held through ex-date

15
内容を開く
想定日

2031-06-16

event

employee_treasury_share_delivery

legacy_award_delivery_shares
0
future_award_delivery_shares
1425463
employee_delivery_shares
1425463
company_cash_oku
0
old_holder_cash_oku
0
shares_before
603562439
shares_after
604987902
注記

信託が既に保有する株式を社員へ移転する。取得額を再計上しない。自己資本総額の追加増減は0。

16
内容を開く
想定日

2031-06-30

event

discretionary_buyback_and_cancellation

company_cash_oku
0.59
shares_cancelled
2689729
execution_price_model_eur_per_share
21.935294
old_holder_cash_oku
0
economic_shares_after
602298173
17
内容を開く
想定日

2031-10-15

event

future_employee_share_plan_market_purchase

company_cash_oku
0.347777778
new_ltip_treasury_shares
1585471
execution_price_model_eur_per_share
21.935294
old_holder_cash_oku
0
future_award_cycle_start
2031
注記

2026年の既取得8,452,144株とは別の、FY2027以降の追加報酬サイクル向け仮定。

18
内容を開く
想定日

2032-05-20

event

ordinary_dividend

company_cash_oku
5.153158015
old_holder_cash_oku
5.204677791
発行済株式数
607426205
自己株式数
6713503
shares_eligible
600712702
total_adjusted_parent_income_prior_fy_oku
9.909919259
assumed_payout_ratio
0.52
confirmed_declared_dividend
いいえ
company_2026_or_prior_FY_regular_dividend_cash_oku
5.153158015
conditional_2025_post_demerger_extra_company_cash_oku
0
old_holder_one_share_cash_eur
0.857840694505
forecast_ex_date_assumed

2032-05-13

confirmed_ex_date
未確認
rights_condition

holding before forecast ex-date; not a right accruing to 2025 Unilever shareholder in person; confirmation pending

eligible_cohort_model

2026-11-06 one share held through ex-date

19
内容を開く
想定日

2032-06-16

event

employee_treasury_share_delivery

legacy_award_delivery_shares
0
future_award_delivery_shares
1428799
employee_delivery_shares
1428799
company_cash_oku
0
old_holder_cash_oku
0
shares_before
600712702
shares_after
602141501
注記

信託が既に保有する株式を社員へ移転する。取得額を再計上しない。自己資本総額の追加増減は0。

20
内容を開く
想定日

2032-06-30

event

discretionary_buyback_and_cancellation

company_cash_oku
0.73
shares_cancelled
3184660
execution_price_model_eur_per_share
22.922383
old_holder_cash_oku
0
economic_shares_after
598956841
21
内容を開く
想定日

2032-10-15

event

future_employee_share_plan_market_purchase

company_cash_oku
0.362222222
new_ltip_treasury_shares
1580212
execution_price_model_eur_per_share
22.922383
old_holder_cash_oku
0
future_award_cycle_start
2032
注記

2026年の既取得8,452,144株とは別の、FY2027以降の追加報酬サイクル向け仮定。

22
内容を開く
想定日

2033-05-20

event

ordinary_dividend

company_cash_oku
5.648821251
old_holder_cash_oku
5.737157974
発行済株式数
604241545
自己株式数
6864916
shares_eligible
597376629
total_adjusted_parent_income_prior_fy_oku
10.86311779
assumed_payout_ratio
0.52
confirmed_declared_dividend
いいえ
company_2026_or_prior_FY_regular_dividend_cash_oku
5.648821251
conditional_2025_post_demerger_extra_company_cash_oku
0
old_holder_one_share_cash_eur
0.945604661528
forecast_ex_date_assumed

2033-05-12

confirmed_ex_date
未確認
rights_condition

holding before forecast ex-date; not a right accruing to 2025 Unilever shareholder in person; confirmation pending

eligible_cohort_model

2026-11-06 one share held through ex-date

23
内容を開く
想定日

2033-06-16

event

employee_treasury_share_delivery

legacy_award_delivery_shares
0
future_award_delivery_shares
1429204
employee_delivery_shares
1429204
company_cash_oku
0
old_holder_cash_oku
0
shares_before
597376629
shares_after
598805833
注記

信託が既に保有する株式を社員へ移転する。取得額を再計上しない。自己資本総額の追加増減は0。

24
内容を開く
想定日

2033-06-30

event

discretionary_buyback_and_cancellation

company_cash_oku
0.87
shares_cancelled
3631978
execution_price_model_eur_per_share
23.95389
old_holder_cash_oku
0
economic_shares_after
595173855
25
内容を開く
想定日

2033-10-15

event

future_employee_share_plan_market_purchase

company_cash_oku
0.376666667
new_ltip_treasury_shares
1572466
execution_price_model_eur_per_share
23.95389
old_holder_cash_oku
0
future_award_cycle_start
2033
注記

2026年の既取得8,452,144株とは別の、FY2027以降の追加報酬サイクル向け仮定。

26
内容を開く
想定日

2034-05-20

event

ordinary_dividend

company_cash_oku
6.193751172
old_holder_cash_oku
6.330617143
発行済株式数
600609567
自己株式数
7008178
shares_eligible
593601389
total_adjusted_parent_income_prior_fy_oku
11.911059947
assumed_payout_ratio
0.52
confirmed_declared_dividend
いいえ
company_2026_or_prior_FY_regular_dividend_cash_oku
6.193751172
conditional_2025_post_demerger_extra_company_cash_oku
0
old_holder_one_share_cash_eur
1.043419251907
forecast_ex_date_assumed

2034-05-11

confirmed_ex_date
未確認
rights_condition

holding before forecast ex-date; not a right accruing to 2025 Unilever shareholder in person; confirmation pending

eligible_cohort_model

2026-11-06 one share held through ex-date

27
内容を開く
想定日

2034-06-16

event

employee_treasury_share_delivery

legacy_award_delivery_shares
0
future_award_delivery_shares
1426924
employee_delivery_shares
1426924
company_cash_oku
0
old_holder_cash_oku
0
shares_before
593601389
shares_after
595028313
注記

信託が既に保有する株式を社員へ移転する。取得額を再計上しない。自己資本総額の追加増減は0。

28
内容を開く
想定日

2034-06-30

event

discretionary_buyback_and_cancellation

company_cash_oku
1.01
shares_cancelled
4034865
execution_price_model_eur_per_share
25.031815
old_holder_cash_oku
0
economic_shares_after
590993448
29
内容を開く
想定日

2034-10-15

event

future_employee_share_plan_market_purchase

company_cash_oku
0.391111111
new_ltip_treasury_shares
1562456
execution_price_model_eur_per_share
25.031815
old_holder_cash_oku
0
future_award_cycle_start
2034
注記

2026年の既取得8,452,144株とは別の、FY2027以降の追加報酬サイクル向け仮定。

30
内容を開く
想定日

2035-05-20

event

ordinary_dividend

company_cash_oku
6.785066411
old_holder_cash_oku
6.984066077
発行済株式数
596574702
自己株式数
7143710
shares_eligible
589430992
total_adjusted_parent_income_prior_fy_oku
13.048204636
assumed_payout_ratio
0.52
confirmed_declared_dividend
いいえ
company_2026_or_prior_FY_regular_dividend_cash_oku
6.785066411
conditional_2025_post_demerger_extra_company_cash_oku
0
old_holder_one_share_cash_eur
1.151121420969
forecast_ex_date_assumed

2035-05-10

confirmed_ex_date
未確認
rights_condition

holding before forecast ex-date; not a right accruing to 2025 Unilever shareholder in person; confirmation pending

eligible_cohort_model

2026-11-06 one share held through ex-date

31
内容を開く
想定日

2035-06-16

event

employee_treasury_share_delivery

legacy_award_delivery_shares
0
future_award_delivery_shares
1422191
employee_delivery_shares
1422191
company_cash_oku
0
old_holder_cash_oku
0
shares_before
589430992
shares_after
590853183
注記

信託が既に保有する株式を社員へ移転する。取得額を再計上しない。自己資本総額の追加増減は0。

32
内容を開く
想定日

2035-06-30

event

discretionary_buyback_and_cancellation

company_cash_oku
1.15
shares_cancelled
4396319
execution_price_model_eur_per_share
26.158247
old_holder_cash_oku
0
economic_shares_after
586456864
33
内容を開く
想定日

2035-10-15

event

future_employee_share_plan_market_purchase

company_cash_oku
0.405555556
new_ltip_treasury_shares
1550393
execution_price_model_eur_per_share
26.158247
old_holder_cash_oku
0
future_award_cycle_start
2035
注記

2026年の既取得8,452,144株とは別の、FY2027以降の追加報酬サイクル向け仮定。

34
内容を開く
想定日

2036-05-20

event

ordinary_dividend

company_cash_oku
7.421249111
old_holder_cash_oku
7.697997891
発行済株式数
592178383
自己株式数
7271912
shares_eligible
584906471
total_adjusted_parent_income_prior_fy_oku
14.271632907
assumed_payout_ratio
0.52
confirmed_declared_dividend
いいえ
company_2026_or_prior_FY_regular_dividend_cash_oku
7.421249111
conditional_2025_post_demerger_extra_company_cash_oku
0
old_holder_one_share_cash_eur
1.268792444507
forecast_ex_date_assumed

2036-05-08

confirmed_ex_date
未確認
rights_condition

holding before forecast ex-date; not a right accruing to 2025 Unilever shareholder in person; confirmation pending

eligible_cohort_model

2026-11-06 one share held through ex-date

35
内容を開く
想定日

2036-06-16

event

employee_treasury_share_delivery

legacy_award_delivery_shares
0
future_award_delivery_shares
1415219
employee_delivery_shares
1415219
company_cash_oku
0
old_holder_cash_oku
0
shares_before
584906471
shares_after
586321690
注記

信託が既に保有する株式を社員へ移転する。取得額を再計上しない。自己資本総額の追加増減は0。

36
内容を開く
想定日

2036-06-30

event

discretionary_buyback_and_cancellation

company_cash_oku
1.29
shares_cancelled
4719161
execution_price_model_eur_per_share
27.335368
old_holder_cash_oku
0
economic_shares_after
581602529
37
内容を開く
想定日

2036-10-15

event

future_employee_share_plan_market_purchase

company_cash_oku
0.42
new_ltip_treasury_shares
1536471
execution_price_model_eur_per_share
27.335368
old_holder_cash_oku
0
future_award_cycle_start
2036
注記

2026年の既取得8,452,144株とは別の、FY2027以降の追加報酬サイクル向け仮定。

periods
内容を開く
2026_stub
内容を開く
period_id

2026_remaining_stub

対象年度
2026
period_start

2026-11-07

期間末

2026-12-31

period_start_exclusive_from_base

2026-11-06

days
55
is_full_fiscal_year
いいえ
reported_vs_forecast

推計のみ。2026-11-06時点で以降は全て未実績

売上高
7.442935
営業利益
-0.071739
finance_net_oku
-0.23913
hyperinflation_oku
-0.011957
tax_oku
0.073533
noncontrolling_profit_oku
0.019728
純利益
-0.269022
oci_parent_oku
-0.119565
sbc_expense_oku
0.059783
sbc_equity_credit_oku
0.059783
dividends_oku
0
gross_discretionary_buybacks_oku
0
ltip_pre_valuation_disclosed_trades_settled_post_base_oku
0.571239
ltip_pre_valuation_disclosed_trades_shares_settled_post_base
3380858
ltip_new_unverified_shares_acquired_post_base_oku
0.3
ltip_new_unverified_shares_acquired_post_base
1714286
ltip_total_cash_oku
0.871239
ltip_delivered_shares
0
new_issuance_proceeds_oku
0
new_issue_shares
0
old_holder_cash_payout_oku
0
company_equity_oku
9.811903
noncontrolling_equity_oku
0.468
consolidated_equity_oku
10.279903
net_debt_oku
31.828097
発行済株式数
612259739
employee_treasury_shares
10636430
economic_outstanding_shares
601623309
book_identity

E2026-12-31=E2026-11-06+NI_st+OCI_st+SBCcredit_st-LTIPforward_settlement_st-LTIPnewpurchase_st, no dividends or discretionary buybacks

2027_2035_full_year_count
9
2036_partial_cutoff
内容を開く
period_start

2036-01-01

期間末

2036-11-06

calendar_days
311
days_in_year
366
sales_fraction
0.911886649
earnings_finance_day_fraction
0.849726776
full_2036_revenue_excluded_after_cutoff_oku
12.792629831
full_2036_profit_excluded_after_cutoff_oku
1.322632307
注記

FY2036年末2036-12-31の会社資本・利益・配当・自己株買いを终点として混ぜない。

forecast_part_2036_IFRS_parent_profit_oku
14.065287252
excluded_2036_post_cutoff_dividends_oku
0
after_tax_adjusting_items_2036_partial_oku
0.177592896
full_2036_profit_without_financing_feedback_if_not_cutoff_oku
15.394397078
after_cutoff_profits_not_included
はい
full_2036_post_valuation_tail_not_modeled
はい
economic_book_rollforward
内容を開く
begin_equity_oku
11.01194628
forecast_parent_net_sum_oku
101.650527526
forecast_OCI_sum_oku
-0.119565
forecast_SBC_equity_credit_sum_oku
3.546668
forecast_post_base_ltip_cash_purchases_oku
4.421239
forecast_regular_dividends_oku
50.542316383
forecast_conditional_2025_post_demerger_extra_oku
0.2
forecast_total_dividends_oku
50.742316383
forecast_discretionary_buybacks_oku
6.09
forecast_new_cash_equity_issuance_oku
0
end_equity_oku
54.836021143
identity_residual_oku
-2.8E-7
model_description

Includes 2026-11-07 to Dec31 stub, FY2027-35, partial FY2036. 2025 pre-2026 profit already in opening equity and never booked twice.

dividend_income_base_year_ledger
内容を開く
1
内容を開く
payment_fy
2027
basis_fy
2026
IFRS_parent_profit_oku
4.12
posttax_adjustment_oku
1.28
adjusted_parent_profit_oku
5.4
payout_ratio
0.52
regular_dividend_oku
2.808
2025_post_demerger_conditional_extra_oku
0.2
corporate_dividend_oku
3.008
formula_residual_oku
-0
source_of_amount

all predicted; FAQ basis, 2025 extra amount explicitly assumed and unapproved

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_assumed

2027-05-13

2
内容を開く
payment_fy
2028
basis_fy
2027
IFRS_parent_profit_oku
6.130918085
posttax_adjustment_oku
0.779
adjusted_parent_profit_oku
6.909918085
payout_ratio
0.52
regular_dividend_oku
3.593157404
2025_post_demerger_conditional_extra_oku
0
corporate_dividend_oku
3.593157404
formula_residual_oku
-0
source_of_amount

all predicted; FAQ basis, 2025 extra amount explicitly assumed and unapproved

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_assumed

2028-05-11

3
内容を開く
payment_fy
2029
basis_fy
2028
IFRS_parent_profit_oku
6.892776419
posttax_adjustment_oku
0.665
adjusted_parent_profit_oku
7.557776419
payout_ratio
0.52
regular_dividend_oku
3.930043738
2025_post_demerger_conditional_extra_oku
0
corporate_dividend_oku
3.930043738
formula_residual_oku
0
source_of_amount

all predicted; FAQ basis, 2025 extra amount explicitly assumed and unapproved

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_assumed

2029-05-10

4
内容を開く
payment_fy
2030
basis_fy
2029
IFRS_parent_profit_oku
7.708546288
posttax_adjustment_oku
0.5605
adjusted_parent_profit_oku
8.269046288
payout_ratio
0.52
regular_dividend_oku
4.29990407
2025_post_demerger_conditional_extra_oku
0
corporate_dividend_oku
4.29990407
formula_residual_oku
0
source_of_amount

all predicted; FAQ basis, 2025 extra amount explicitly assumed and unapproved

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_assumed

2030-05-09

5
内容を開く
payment_fy
2031
basis_fy
2030
IFRS_parent_profit_oku
8.590586943
posttax_adjustment_oku
0.4655
adjusted_parent_profit_oku
9.056086943
payout_ratio
0.52
regular_dividend_oku
4.70916521
2025_post_demerger_conditional_extra_oku
0
corporate_dividend_oku
4.70916521
formula_residual_oku
-0
source_of_amount

all predicted; FAQ basis, 2025 extra amount explicitly assumed and unapproved

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_assumed

2031-05-08

6
内容を開く
payment_fy
2032
basis_fy
2031
IFRS_parent_profit_oku
9.529919259
posttax_adjustment_oku
0.38
adjusted_parent_profit_oku
9.909919259
payout_ratio
0.52
regular_dividend_oku
5.153158015
2025_post_demerger_conditional_extra_oku
0
corporate_dividend_oku
5.153158015
formula_residual_oku
0
source_of_amount

all predicted; FAQ basis, 2025 extra amount explicitly assumed and unapproved

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_assumed

2032-05-13

7
内容を開く
payment_fy
2033
basis_fy
2032
IFRS_parent_profit_oku
10.54011779
posttax_adjustment_oku
0.323
adjusted_parent_profit_oku
10.86311779
payout_ratio
0.52
regular_dividend_oku
5.648821251
2025_post_demerger_conditional_extra_oku
0
corporate_dividend_oku
5.648821251
formula_residual_oku
0
source_of_amount

all predicted; FAQ basis, 2025 extra amount explicitly assumed and unapproved

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_assumed

2033-05-12

8
内容を開く
payment_fy
2034
basis_fy
2033
IFRS_parent_profit_oku
11.626059947
posttax_adjustment_oku
0.285
adjusted_parent_profit_oku
11.911059947
payout_ratio
0.52
regular_dividend_oku
6.193751172
2025_post_demerger_conditional_extra_oku
0
corporate_dividend_oku
6.193751172
formula_residual_oku
-0
source_of_amount

all predicted; FAQ basis, 2025 extra amount explicitly assumed and unapproved

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_assumed

2034-05-11

9
内容を開く
payment_fy
2035
basis_fy
2034
IFRS_parent_profit_oku
12.791704636
posttax_adjustment_oku
0.2565
adjusted_parent_profit_oku
13.048204636
payout_ratio
0.52
regular_dividend_oku
6.785066411
2025_post_demerger_conditional_extra_oku
0
corporate_dividend_oku
6.785066411
formula_residual_oku
0
source_of_amount

all predicted; FAQ basis, 2025 extra amount explicitly assumed and unapproved

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_assumed

2035-05-10

10
内容を開く
payment_fy
2036
basis_fy
2035
IFRS_parent_profit_oku
14.043632907
posttax_adjustment_oku
0.228
adjusted_parent_profit_oku
14.271632907
payout_ratio
0.52
regular_dividend_oku
7.421249111
2025_post_demerger_conditional_extra_oku
0
corporate_dividend_oku
7.421249111
formula_residual_oku
-1.0E-9
source_of_amount

all predicted; FAQ basis, 2025 extra amount explicitly assumed and unapproved

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_assumed

2036-05-08

company_net_debt_end_oku
3.139630857
interest_cost_and_payout_convention

配当年の財務費用は期首純負債から概算。配当増減による期末純負債の変動は次年度利息に反映。年内追加借入の期中利息は省略。

cash_dividends_regular_company_sum_oku
50.542316383
cash_dividends_2025_post_demerger_conditional_company_sum_oku
0.2
company_dividend_plus_2025_extra_not_holder_synthetic_oku
50.742316383
dividend_2027_2025_stub_extra_conditional_oku
0.2
2025_post_demerger_extra_declared_exact_oku
未確認
2025_post_demerger_IFRS_parent_profit_oku_reported
-1.87
2025_post_demerger_adjusted_parent_profit_oku_reported
未確認
terminal_event_review
内容を開く
event_type

terminal_unrealized_value_not_cashflow

想定日

2036-11-06

date_confirmed
未確認
year
10.001368925394
value_eur_per_old_share
35.260764914866
synthetic_value_oku
213.933567407
issuer_all_common_terminal_value_oku
206.881926763
terminal_economic_outstanding_shares
580066058
terminal_effective_diluted_shares
586719906
prospective_employee_awards_to_be_delivered_shares
6653848
terminal_common_equity_oku
54.836021143
trailing_parent_IFRS_12m_oku
15.302718807
forward_IFRS_12m_oku
15.700589496
required_reinvestment_oku
1.42573655
forward_FCFE_oku
14.274852947
market_PER_or_PBR_used
いいえ
included_in_timed_cashflows
いいえ
only_add_once_for_PV_IRR
はい
synthetic_not_real_aggregate

N0×1 share value, not a physically existing holder cohort or whole-company market cap

timed_cashflows_include_terminal
いいえ
timed_cashflows_number_of_cash_dividends
10
terminal_valued_separately
はい
non_tendering_holder_cashflows_exclude_discretionary_buyback
はい

基本:有機成長、分離費用正常化、投資負担継続(確率 40.0%)

2026年Q3の好調には天候上振れを含み、そのまま10年間外挿しない。TSA終了・独立企業費用の段階的正常化、通常の冷凍設備投資、金利負担、為替を折り込む。

確率の根拠

ブランド資産の強みと低温物流コスト、季節性を均衡させた中心経路40%。

このシナリオの数値・キャッシュフローを開く →

やや弱気:価格転嫁限界と独立費用長期化(確率 20.0%)

欧州数量停滞・米州市況弱含み、トルコ規制と燃料/乳原料コスト、システム移行費用の継続。配当はストレスを反映して政策目標レンジより一時低くなる。

確率の根拠

気候・コモディティ・規制が複数年重なる可能性を20%。

このシナリオの数値・キャッシュフローを開く →

弱気:継続的需要悪化、地域規制と財務負担(確率 8.0%)

欧米数量減少と原材料価格の逆行、トルコ規制、TSA/IT移管費用、レバレッジを同時に悪化させる。2027の初回配当は未承認であり、縮小を仮定する。

確率の根拠

深刻な複合ショックは起こりにくいが無視できないため8%。

このシナリオの数値・キャッシュフローを開く →

事業の詳細

説明

Unileverのアイス事業を2025年12月6日に分離し、同8日にAmsterdam/ロンドン/NY上場。Magnum、Ben & Jerry’s、Cornetto、Heartbrand、Yasso等を80市場で展開。営業部門は地域3区分Europe & ANZ、Americas、AMEA。

demerger

2025-12-06分離、Unilever旧株主への80.15%の非現金分配とUnileverによる19.85%継続保有。旧Unileverの持分19.85%はTMICC連結財務諸表の非支配株主持分ではない。

region_segments
1

Europe & ANZ

2

Americas

3

AMEA

revenue_model

revenue_oku = volume_index × price_oku_per_index × rev_factor。volumeは2026年通期推計を1とする地域別事業量代理指数で、販売個数実績ではない。priceは平均価格・構成・通貨換算を含むモデル係数。

organic_vs_inorganic

インドKwality Wall’sとポルトガルULICCの買収は2026年4月から連結。2026年度通期推計基準に当該取得後売上を含め、2027年初年度は未連結3か月分のわずかなcarryoverのみを一度加算。2028年以降同じ買収売上を再加算せず、将来未契約買収増収は0と仮定。

risks
内容を開く
1

北半球の夏と天候・冬季の季節性

2

乳・ココア・砂糖・エネルギーと冷凍配送費

3

大型小売の棚割・価格競争

4

トルコ競争当局の小型店舗冷凍庫容量30%措置

5

インド/ポルトガル買収統合と為替換算

6

TSAを2027末までに退出するIT/人員移管

7

金利負担と大型債務の満期

8

Ben & Jerry’s等のブランド評判

競争力の詳細

pricing_power

プレミアム化とブランド認知は強いが、欧州Q3 2026は数量+11.6%に対し価格-2.4%。地域ごとに需要・ミックス差が大きく、全市場で強気の値上げは仮定しない。

consumption

アイスクリームは反復消費だが、天候依存・夏季偏重。H1 2026売上46.91億EUR、2025年通期79.10億EURを安易に2倍年率化しない。

SBC

H1 2026費用18百万EURは報告営業利益587百万EURに既に反映。非現金SBC資本振替18百万EURおよび自己株購入8百万EURを区別。16 June 2026オプション10,952,635個の実際の権利確定数・交付株数は未確定。

M_and_A

KWIL 279百万EUR、Portugal ULICC 152百万EUR、取得時対価総額431百万EUR、取得対象純資産96百万EUR、取得時非支配持分25百万EUR、のれん360百万EUR(96−25+360=431)。買収対価はIFRS利益に一括費用化しない。のれん通常償却せず、減損は発生時に報告利益へ計上。

spinoff_accounting

2025年のcarve-out比較数値と2026年の独立後TSA費用、借入利息、株式報酬を混同しない。

業界の詳細

markets

約80市場。2026 Q3の地域別OSG:Europe & ANZ 8.9%、Americas 3.9%、AMEA 17.6%。欧州は好天により四半期成長の2~3%ポイント分押し上げとの会社推計。

2026_H1_organic
total
0.047
数量
0.025
価格・単価
0.022
2026_Q3_organic
total
0.096
数量
0.073
価格・単価
0.022
2026_9m_organic
total
0.064
数量
0.041
価格・単価
0.022
2026_guidance
内容を開く
organic_sales_growth_approx
0.055
adjusted_EBITDA_margin_uplift_comparable_bps
1
40
2
60
reported_margin_uplift_bps
1
0
2
20
long_run_OSG_target_range
1
0.03
2
0.05
productivity_savings_target_eur_oku_by_2028
5
TSA_exit_expected

2027-12-31

2026_guidance_not_reported_IFRS

会社予想は有機売上・調整後EBITDA。報告IFRS営業利益・普通株利益をそのまま会社目標として転記しない。

財務・資本配分の詳細

reported_2025_IFRS
内容を開く
期間末

2025-12-31

売上高
79.1
営業利益(億)
5.99
consolidated_profit_oku
3.07
parent_attributable_profit_oku
2.93
親会社持分(億)
6.25
非支配持分資本(億)
0.08
net_debt_oku
29.67
separation_adjusting_items_within_operating_profit_oku
3.18
出典

https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/2071668/000110465926029805/micc-20251231x20f.htm

reported_2026_H1_IFRS
内容を開く
期間末

2026-06-30

unaudited
はい
売上高
46.91
営業利益(億)
5.87
adjusted_EBIT_oku_nonIFRS
7.16
finance_costs_net_oku
-0.72
turkey_hyperinflation_loss_oku
-0.13
profit_before_tax_oku
5.02
income_tax_oku
-1.53
consolidated_profit_oku
3.49
nci_profit_oku
0.07
parent_common_profit_oku
3.42
親会社持分(億)
10.81
非支配持分資本(億)
0.41
total_equity_oku
11.22
net_debt_oku
32.64
gross_financial_liabilities_oku
38.45
cash_equivalents_oku
5.77
goodwill_oku
8.85
intangible_assets_oku
7.64
cash_purchase_acquisitions_oku
4.45
sbc_expense_oku
0.18
sbc_equity_credit_oku
0.18
cash_purchase_shares_for_employee_plan_oku
0.08
employee_plan_movements_equity_oku
-0.1
OCI_parent_oku
0.64
hedges_transferred_to_nonfinancial_assets_equity_oku
0.42
parent_equity_roll

6.25+3.42+0.64-0.10+0.18+0.42=10.81

ordinary_dividends_declared_oku
0
ordinary_buybacks_for_cash_return_oku
0
出典

https://news.magnumicecream.com/2026-half-year-results/

nonIFRS_adjusted_parent_earnings_oku_reported
4.42
reported_posttax_adjusting_items_oku_rounded_difference
1
company_table_posttax_adjustments_oku_as_published
1.01
rounding_reconciliation_note

会社開示のIFRS親会社利益3.42億EURとAdjusted net profit4.42億EURの表示差は1.00億EUR。税引後調整項目テーブルは1.01億EURであり、百万EUR丸めにより一致しない。配当計算は4.42億EURの調整後利益を優先。

adjusted_parent_profit_is_not_ifrs_profit
はい
acquisition_2026_H1
内容を開く
KWIL_purchase_consideration_oku
2.79
Portugal_purchase_consideration_oku
1.52
total_consideration_oku
4.31
identifiable_net_assets_oku
0.96
acquisition_NCI_oku
0.25
acquisition_goodwill_oku
3.6
cash_flow_acquisitions_net_cash_oku
4.45
consolidation_start

2026-04-01

注記

取得価額4.31は取得資産純額0.96−NCI0.25+のれん3.60。営業利益から取得現金4.31億EURを再控除しない。キャッシュフロー表示4.45との差0.14は厳密な内訳不明。

Philippines_Put_Option_oku
1.33
Philippines_Put_Option_exercisable_after

2028-04

Philippines_put_note

フィリピンRFM合弁の相手方が保有する売付権に対応した金融負債1.33億EUR。負債に既に含まれ、企業価値から再控除しない。行使まで猶予との開示。

SBC_2026_grant_options
10952635
SBC_granted_on

2026-06-16

SBC_vesting

付与後3年と4年の二回、相対TSR・継続在職条件

2026_Q3_trading_update
内容を開く
期間末

2026-09-30

revenue_9m_oku
72.02
revenue_q3_oku
25.11
reported_net_profit_9m_oku
未確認
reported_equity_2026_09_30_oku
未確認
理由

Q3はTrading Updateであり、9か月のIFRS普通株利益・資本は開示されていない。

2026_FY_model_bridge
内容を開く
classification

会社のQ3取引更新からQ3 IFRS利益や財務諸表を読み取れないため、Q3・Q4利益とFY2026末資本は分析上の推計。

H1_reported_revenue_oku
46.91
H1_reported_op_oku
5.87
H1_reported_parent_profit_oku
3.42
Q3_reported_revenue_oku
25.11
Q3_estimated_op_oku
1.92
Q3_estimated_finance_oku
-0.33
Q3_estimated_hyperinflation_oku
0.02
Q3_estimated_tax_oku
-0.42
Q3_estimated_NCI_profit_oku
0.04
Q3_estimated_parent_profit_oku
1.15
Q4_estimated_revenue_oku
12.45
Q4_estimated_op_oku
-0.12
Q4_estimated_finance_oku
-0.4
Q4_estimated_hyperinflation_oku
-0.02
Q4_estimated_tax_oku
0.123
Q4_estimated_NCI_profit_oku
0.033
Q4_estimated_parent_profit_oku
-0.45
FY2026_revenue_oku
84.47
FY2026_operating_profit_oku
7.67
FY2026_finance_net_oku
-1.45
FY2026_hyperinflation_oku
-0.13
FY2026_tax_oku
-1.827
FY2026_noncontrolling_profit_oku
0.143
FY2026_parent_profit_oku
4.12
Q3_parent_book_oku_after_partial_settlement_model
11.518761288
2026_11_06_parent_book_oku_after_model_settlement
11.01194628
2026_12_31_parent_book_oku_after_100pct_forward_settlement_plus_0p3_unconfirmed
9.81190322
2026_12_31_net_debt_oku_model
31.82809678
FY2026_book_formula

2026H1報告B10.81+H2推計普通株利益0.70+H2 OCI(-0.15)+H2SBCcredit0.18-8~9月報告LTIP先渡取引についてFY2026末までに全額決済のモデル1.42809678-未確定新規LTIP購入0.30=9.81190322。

no_double_LTIP_stock_counted
はい
注記

旧版のQ3末に8~9月公表全額を決済した仮定は撤回し、2026年11月6日前後の決済不確実性を再配分。

FY2026_after_tax_adjustments_oku_model
1.28
FY2026_adjusted_parent_profit_oku_model
5.4
FY2026_ifrs_parent_profit_oku_model
4.12
H1_reported_IFRS_parent_profit_oku
3.42
H1_reported_adjusted_parent_profit_oku
4.42
H1_posttax_adjustments_oku_source_rounded_bridge
1
H2_estimated_IFRS_parent_profit_oku
0.7
H2_estimated_posttax_adjustments_oku
0.28
H2_estimated_adjusted_parent_profit_oku
0.98
FY2026_dividend_2027_model_formula

FY2026 IFRS親会社利益4.12億 + 会社H1調整差1.00億 + 推計H2調整額0.28億 = FY2026調整後5.40億EUR。2027年初回会社配当はシナリオ別配当性向×5.40億 + 2025分離後期間の条件付き追加配当0.20億(全額未公表、感応度0〜0.50億)。

2025_post_demerger_extra_dividend_oku_in_base_model
0.2
2025_post_demerger_additional_distribution_known
未確認
2025_post_demerger_caveat

Company FAQ expects some 2025 post-demerger component to be included in the first 2027 payment, but the reported post-demerger IFRS parent profit is a loss of 1.87億EUR and adjusted stub profit is not separately reported. Additional amount 0.20億EUR is a conditional illustration, not a declared or otherwise supported estimate. Sensitivities 0 and 0.50億EUR.

future_policy
内容を開く
company_dividend_policy

会社公式の年間配当目安は「調整項目後の純利益(net income after adjusting items)」の40~60%。IFRS純利益の40~60%とは異なる。初回配当はFY2026に関して2027H1支払予定、額とex dateは基準日時点未確認。2025年分離後の期間分の追加内訳は未確認。

first_dividend_approved_amount_oku
未確認
first_dividend_payment_date
未確認
gross_discretionary_buyback_program_announced_asof
未確認
buyback_confirmation_limit

2026-11-06までの一次資料で確定の将来自社株買いプログラムと金額を確認できない。未来の買戻し額はモデル仮定。

future_SBC

IFRS営業利益のSBC費用を戻さない。既存2026LTIP株式取得8,452,144株は2026-11-06前60%、同日後40%決済と予測。2027以降の株式購入は別報酬サイクルとし年別に株数・EBT残・社員交付を記録。2029/2030に2026 Foundation Planからそれぞれ450万/400万株交付、以後新規サイクルは3年後に90%交付する仮定。取得済み株式の交付を追加購入費用として再計上しない。

future_issuance

base/bull/mild_bullは新規有償発行0、mild_bear 2031 0.7億EUR、bear 2028 1.5億EUR・2032 1.0億EURの新株発行を資本保全シナリオとして仮定。旧株1株は新株を引き受けず、追加支払なし、希薄化を分母で反映。

forecast_dividend_income_definition

adjusted_parent_income_for_dividend_oku = IFRS_parent_net_oku + post_tax_adjusting_items_oku_already_embedded_in_IFRS。IFRS資本rollforwardはIFRS利益のみ。

forecast_dividend_timing

FY t-1調整後親会社利益を基準にFY tの5月20日に配当(全日付が仮定)。後年のFY t IFRS利益から当年配当を計算しない。

special_dividend_2025_stub_unknown
はい
no_duplicate_adjusted_profit_in_equity_or_terminal

調整後利益を普通株資本や終価用利益へ転記しない。調整後利益は配当目安の算定だけに使用し、IFRS費用・SBCはすべて報告ベースの利益に残す。

valuation
内容を開く
方法

timed_holder_cashflows_v1

開始日

2026-11-06

終了日

2036-11-06

holding_period_days
3653
year_day_count

ACT/365.25

year_formula

year=(date_assumed−2026-11-06).days/365.25

discount_formula

PV_case=Σ (dividend per share received by the one initial share × N0/1e8)/(1+k)^year + mcap_oku/(1+k)^terminal_year. mcap and terminal_event_review never in timed_cashflows.

holder_convention

旧株1株を期間中売却しない・一般買戻しに非応札・増資に追加参加せず・2036-11-06に全て売却。旧株1株の円滑な比較のためt0モデル流通株数倍の合成持分億EURとして表示。

payout_oku_definition

Only 10 cash dividends received by ONE original 2026-11-06 share × N0 synthetic index scale. No buybacks and no terminal.

mcap_oku_definition

Only 2036-11-06 original one share terminal intrinsic value × N0 synthetic index scale; terminal value excluded from timed_cashflows.

terminal_firm_equity_formula

E_terminal×[(earnings_coming_12m/E_terminal - g)/(k-g)] = [forward_12m_earnings-g×E_terminal]/(k-g)

terminal_earnings_basis

2036-11-06末尾12か月の利益=2035年11/07-12/31推定利益+2036年1/01-11/06推定利益。次の12か月予想=同末尾12か月×(1+g)。2036年末全期予想を2036-11-06終価に誤用しない。

terminal_share_price_formula

firm_equity_value_2036_11_06/(economic_shares_2036_11_06 + expected_future_treasury_release_shares)

terminal_ltip_post_valuation

2036-11-06時点の社員制度向け保有株の90%が将来交付されると予想して、同日の旧株売却価格の分母に予想交付株数を含める。現金購入費用を二重計上せず、継続して利益に含むSBCと照合。

no_permanent_share_reduction_from_ltip_purchases

LTIP市場取得はEBT保有時に経済流通株を減らし、従業員交付時に増やす。恒久消却の通常自己株買いとは区別。

no_market_PER_or_PBR_regression
はい
common_discount_k
0.095
xirr_formula

0=-17.602 +Σ dividend_EUR_one_share/(1+IRR)^actual_year + ONLY_ONE terminal_sale_one_share/(1+IRR)^10.001369

reference_old_method

旧版2027~2036年暦年利益と終価を5年一括・10年で割引した金額は参考専用。今回の厳密な保有者時点別キャッシュフローとは比較時点・持分希薄化・受領者が異なるため主計算には流用しない。

dividend_policy_basis

forecast adjusted aftertax earnings (company policy), IFRS net retained for accounting and terminal

FY2026_2027_dividend_bridge

2026 FY IFRS profit 4.12 + H1 posttax adjusting 1.00 + H2 estimated posttax adjusting 0.28 = adjusted parent income 5.40. FY2027 ratio ×5.40.

current_version

v3_post2025_demerger_conditional_dividend_terminal_separation_2026_11_08

reported_2026_post_H1_LTIP_share_transactions
内容を開く
source_disclosure_cutoff

2026-09-30

first_tranche
内容を開く
announcement_date

2026-08-18

final_transaction_date

2026-09-09

completion_announced_on

2026-09-10

authorised_up_to_shares
5500000
confirmed_acquired_shares
5401973
confirmed_daily_transaction_amount_eur
91856763.68
confirmed_transaction_amount_oku
0.9185676368
company_says_tranche_complete
はい
second_tranche
内容を開く
announcement_date

2026-09-18

last_transaction_date_confirmed

2026-09-30

announced_up_to_shares
6600000
confirmed_acquired_shares_through_sept30
3050171
confirmed_daily_transaction_amount_eur
50952914.32
confirmed_transaction_amount_oku
0.5095291432
additional_authorised_not_confirmed_as_acquired_shares
3549829
confirmed_total_to_sept30
内容を開く
株数
8452144
gross_transaction_amount_eur
142809678
gross_transaction_amount_oku
1.42809678
purchase_intent

長期インセンティブ制度の既存株による履行であり、通常の株主還元買戻しとは異なる。先渡取引を通じて取得後EBTへ交付予定。

may_not_equal_treasury_shares_on_2026_11_06
はい
2026_10_01_to_2026_11_06_verified_additional_acquisitions
未確認
2026_10_01_to_2026_11_06_unknown_reason

9月30日以降の取得総数、受渡日、会計自己株残高について、確認した基準日前の会社一次資料に一株単位の確定値がない。追加購入0株と断定しない。

H2_cash_settlement_timing_verified
未確認
accounting_assumption

8~9月に確定公表された取引8,452,144株・1.42809678億EURを、実際の先渡決済日未確認のまま期中取得株として計上しない。11/06までに60%(5,071,286株)が現金決済されEBTで保有と仮定、残40%(3,380,858株)を2026-12-15に決済と仮定。さらに2026-12-15新規0.30億EURのLTIP株取得を追加する仮定だが公表済み8,452,144株とは別取引。

Q4_additional_stock_purchase_model_assumption_oku
0.3
Q4_assumption_reason

第2トランシェ最大660万株の未確認残に対し追加取得の可能性があるため、0.30億EURを予測計上。会社公表の確定購入ではない。

sources
1

https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/2071668/000117184326005969/f6k_091026.htm

2

https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/2071668/000117184326006305/f6k_093026.htm

3

https://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2026/09/18/3364532/0/en/share-purchase-long-term-incentive-plans.html

settled_asof_2026_11_06_company_confirmed
未確認
asof_settlement_fraction_model_assumed
0.6
postbase_settlement_date_assumed

2026-12-15

pre_2026_11_06_shares_settled_model
5071286
post_2026_11_06_pre_2026_12_31_reported_trades_settlement_shares_model
3380858
post_2026_11_06_new_unconfirmed_shares_acquired_model
1714286
asof_2026_11_06_model_bridge
内容を開く
状態

未監査Q3損益と先渡決済率の独自推計。正確な基準日IFRS B/Sは未公表。

period_start

2026-06-30

期間末

2026-11-06

h1_parent_common_equity_oku_reported
10.81
h1_nci_equity_oku_reported
0.41
h1_net_debt_oku_reported
32.64
Q3_parent_profit_oku_estimate
1.15
Q3_OCI_parent_oku_estimate
0.05
Q3_sbc_equity_credit_oku_estimate
0.08
Q3_ltip_forward_settlement_oku_assumed
0.571238712
Q4_oct01_nov06_parent_profit_oku_estimate
-0.180978261
Q4_oct01_nov06_OCI_oku_estimate
-0.080434783
Q4_oct01_nov06_sbc_equity_credit_oku_estimate
0.040217391
Q4_oct01_nov06_ltip_settlement_oku_assumed
0.285619356
asof_common_equity_oku_proxy
11.01194628
asof_nci_equity_oku_proxy
0.448271739
asof_consolidated_equity_oku_proxy
11.460218019
asof_net_debt_oku_proxy
31.786858068
asof_issued_shares_proxy
612259739
asof_employee_treasury_shares_proxy
5541286
asof_economic_shares_proxy
606718453
asof_company_equity_attributable_to_1_old_share_eur
1.815001048
h1_ebt_shares_assumed
470000
2026_aug_sept_forward_acquired_shares_observed
8452144
forward_shares_settled_at_base_assumed
5071286
forward_cash_settled_at_base_assumed_oku
0.856858068
asof_denominator_exact_verified
未確認
book_formula

10.81+(1.15+0.05+0.08)-0.40×1.42809678+37/92×(-0.45-0.20+0.10)-0.20×1.42809678

nci_note

NCI資本は親会社普通株資本から除外。Q3/Q4予想NCI利益と分配を単独管理。

post_2026_11_06_to_year_end_bridge
内容を開く
状態

2026-11-07~2026-12-31未発表部分の分析仮定。FY2027期首とは同一視しない。

period_id

2026_remaining_stub

対象年度
2026
period_start

2026-11-07

期間末

2026-12-31

period_start_exclusive_from_base

2026-11-06

days
55
is_full_fiscal_year
いいえ
reported_vs_forecast

推計のみ。2026-11-06時点で以降は全て未実績

売上高
7.442935
営業利益
-0.071739
finance_net_oku
-0.23913
hyperinflation_oku
-0.011957
tax_oku
0.073533
noncontrolling_profit_oku
0.019728
純利益
-0.269022
oci_parent_oku
-0.119565
sbc_expense_oku
0.059783
sbc_equity_credit_oku
0.059783
dividends_oku
0
gross_discretionary_buybacks_oku
0
ltip_pre_valuation_disclosed_trades_settled_post_base_oku
0.571239
ltip_pre_valuation_disclosed_trades_shares_settled_post_base
3380858
ltip_new_unverified_shares_acquired_post_base_oku
0.3
ltip_new_unverified_shares_acquired_post_base
1714286
ltip_total_cash_oku
0.871239
ltip_delivered_shares
0
new_issuance_proceeds_oku
0
new_issue_shares
0
old_holder_cash_payout_oku
0
company_equity_oku
9.811903
noncontrolling_equity_oku
0.468
consolidated_equity_oku
10.279903
net_debt_oku
31.828097
発行済株式数
612259739
employee_treasury_shares
10636430
economic_outstanding_shares
601623309
book_identity

E2026-12-31=E2026-11-06+NI_st+OCI_st+SBCcredit_st-LTIPforward_settlement_st-LTIPnewpurchase_st, no dividends or discretionary buybacks

exact_stale_LTIP_cash_settlement_post_base_oku
0.571238712
prebase_forward_shares_settled_postbase
3380858
new_2026_Q4_LTIP_stock_purchases_unverified_amount_oku
0.3
new_2026_Q4_stock_purchases_unverified_shares
1714286
2026_dec31_profit_after_base_estimate_oku
-0.269021739
2026_dec31_equity_estimate_oku
9.81190322
2026_dec31_no_old_holder_cash_return_assumed
はい
2026_dec31_denominator_estimate_shares
601623309
strict_period_ledger
内容を開く
H1_2026_reported
内容を開く
end

2026-06-30

book_oku
10.81
noncontrolling_equity_oku
0.41
純利益
3.42
sbc_expense_oku
0.18
sbc_credit_oku
0.18
employee_market_purchases_oku
0.08
EBT_shares_count
未確認
2026_07_01_to_2026_09_30_estimated
内容を開く
end

2026-09-30

parent_profit_oku
1.15
OCI_oku
0.05
sbc_credit_oku
0.08
disclosed_ltip_trades_not_identical_to_settlements_oku
1.42809678
assumed_cash_settlement_oku
0.571238712
book_end_oku
11.518761288
reported_Q3_revenue_oku
25.11
Q3_IFRS_net_unreported
未確認
Q3_finance_oku_estimated
-0.33
Q3_tax_oku_estimated
-0.42
Q3_hyperinflation_oku_estimated
0.02
Q3_noncontrolling_profit_oku_estimated
0.04
注記

Q3は売上のみ公表、親会社利益・OCI・SBC・LTIP決済率は全て仮定。

2026_10_01_to_2026_11_06_estimated
内容を開く
end

2026-11-06

days
37
Q4_days
92
売上高
5.007065217
営業利益
-0.04826087
parent_profit_oku
-0.180978261
finance_oku
-0.160869565
hyperinflation_oku
-0.008043478
tax_oku
0.049467391
noncontrolling_profit_oku
0.013271739
OCI_oku
-0.080434783
sbc_credit_oku
0.040217391
assumed_ltip_cash_settlement_oku
0.285619356
book_end_oku
11.01194628
issued_shares_proxy
612259739
treasury_shares_proxy
5541286
economic_shares_proxy
606718453
2026_11_07_to_2026_12_31_stub
内容を開く
period_id

2026_remaining_stub

対象年度
2026
period_start

2026-11-07

期間末

2026-12-31

period_start_exclusive_from_base

2026-11-06

days
55
is_full_fiscal_year
いいえ
reported_vs_forecast

推計のみ。2026-11-06時点で以降は全て未実績

売上高
7.442935
営業利益
-0.071739
finance_net_oku
-0.23913
hyperinflation_oku
-0.011957
tax_oku
0.073533
noncontrolling_profit_oku
0.019728
純利益
-0.269022
oci_parent_oku
-0.119565
sbc_expense_oku
0.059783
sbc_equity_credit_oku
0.059783
dividends_oku
0
gross_discretionary_buybacks_oku
0
ltip_pre_valuation_disclosed_trades_settled_post_base_oku
0.571239
ltip_pre_valuation_disclosed_trades_shares_settled_post_base
3380858
ltip_new_unverified_shares_acquired_post_base_oku
0.3
ltip_new_unverified_shares_acquired_post_base
1714286
ltip_total_cash_oku
0.871239
ltip_delivered_shares
0
new_issuance_proceeds_oku
0
new_issue_shares
0
old_holder_cash_payout_oku
0
company_equity_oku
9.811903
noncontrolling_equity_oku
0.468
consolidated_equity_oku
10.279903
net_debt_oku
31.828097
発行済株式数
612259739
employee_treasury_shares
10636430
economic_outstanding_shares
601623309
book_identity

E2026-12-31=E2026-11-06+NI_st+OCI_st+SBCcredit_st-LTIPforward_settlement_st-LTIPnewpurchase_st, no dividends or discretionary buybacks

2027_through_2035

9暦年の通期損益・配当・LTIP出納・資本ロールを全ケースannualに収録

2036_01_01_to_2036_11_06_stub
内容を開く
days
311
calendar_year_days
366
sales_fraction
0.911886649
finance_day_fraction
0.849726776
excluded_2036_11_07_to_12_31_days
55
2036_FY_pro_forma_not_reported_nor_included_in_pv
はい
total_holding_days
3653
last_cashflow_date

2036-11-06

day_count

ACT/365.25

dividend_adjusted_income_reconciliation_v2
内容を開く
policy_basis

net income after adjusting items (not reported IFRS net income)

primary_source_2025_20F

https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/2071668/000110465926029805/micc-20251231x20f.htm

primary_source_2026_H1_reconciliation

https://news.magnumicecream.com/2026-half-year-results/

financial_2026_H1_reported
内容を開く
ifrs_parent_profit_oku
3.42
after_tax_adjustments_display_difference_oku
1
reported_adjusted_parent_profit_oku
4.42
company_separately_disclosed_adjustment_oku_rounded
1.01
rounding_residual_oku
-0.01
financial_2026_H2_forecast
内容を開く
ifrs_parent_profit_oku
0.7
after_tax_adjustments_oku
0.28
adjusted_parent_profit_oku
0.98
unverified
はい
financial_2026_FY_forecast
内容を開く
ifrs_parent_profit_oku
4.12
after_tax_adjustments_oku
1.28
adjusted_parent_profit_oku
5.4
not_company_FY_guidance
はい
initial_2027_payout_by_case_oku
内容を開く
bull
3.17
mild_bull
3.008
base
2.9
mild_bear
2.36
bear
1.28
year_2027_dividends_include_incremental_2025_stub_oku_model
0.2
year_2025_undeclared_stub_amount_known
未確認
other_adjusting_items_forecast_method

FY2027~2036の税引後調整項目をケース別に独立予測。税金控除後の追加控除ではなく、各年のIFRS営業費用・金融損益等にすでに含まれた特殊費用を非GAAP利益計算のみに再分類する。2036年度末を跨ぐ分は部分年度のみに按分。

share_based_compensation_not_adjusted_out
はい
explicit_exception_bear

bear配当性向20%は財務保全のため公式40~60%目安を一時的に下回る分析仮定。役員会決議済みではない。

reported_2025_after_demerger_split
内容を開く
出典

https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/2071668/000110465926029805/micc-20251231x20f.htm

parent_full_2025_IFRS_profit_oku
2.93
parent_pre_2025_12_06_IFRS_profit_oku
4.8
parent_post_demerger_2025_IFRS_profit_oku
-1.87
parent_post_demerger_2025_IFRS_profit_is_a_loss
はい
reported_2025_full_year_share_based_payment_credit_oku
0.35
reported_2025_pre_demerger_SBC_credit_oku
0.28
reported_2025_post_demerger_SBC_credit_oku
0.07
post_demerger_2025_adjusted_parent_profit_oku
未確認
post_demerger_2025_posttax_adjusting_items_oku
未確認
why_not_calculate_post_demerger_adjusted_from_full_year

Annual group adjusted income, adjusting items and effective taxes span pre and post demerger. No stand-alone post-6-Dec adjusted income reconciliation found in filed report. December ice cream earnings seasonality makes 25/365 of annual profits unreliable.

full_year_2025_adjusted_parent_income_oku_company_table
5.74
full_year_2025_adjusted_income_reconciliation_mismatch_company_table
内容を開く
IFRS_parent_profit_oku
2.93
posttax_adjusting_items_oku_company_disclosed
2.18
sum_oku
5.11
printed_adjusted_parent_profit_oku
5.74
unresolved_difference_oku
0.63
another_annual_report_table_printed_adjusted_profit_oku
5.47
理由

2025 Form 20-F non-GAAP appendix contains inconsistent printed totals; use primary profit and clear H1 2026 bridge, not 2025 annual adjusted profit for the 2025 stub.

2025_dividend_to_Unilever_eur_million
83
2025_dividend_to_Unilever_accounting

€83m pre-demerger retained Unilever owner transaction, not new TMICC 2027 cash entitlement to 2026 buyer

not_rebooked_into_2027_profit_or_2026_opening_book
はい
FY2025_stub_dividend_2027_first_payment_model
内容を開く
FAQ_url

https://corporate.magnumicecream.com/en/investors/faq.html

FAQ_language_summary

dividend on 2025 pre-demerger was Unilever dividend; post-demerger 2025 dividends earned to be paid as part of first H1 2027 payment

asof_2026_11_06_2025_stub_dividend_declared_oku
未確認
2025_stub_adjusted_parent_income_identifiable
未確認
2025_stub_reported_IFRS_parent_income_oku
-1.87
base_conditional_extra_gross_oku
0.2
plausible_zero_or_positive_or_reduced_unapproved
はい
low_extra_oku
0
high_extra_oku
0.5
rights_if_normal_2027_dividend_ex_date

2026-11-06 buyer will generally receive if remains eligible through 2027 ex-date; 2025 historical holding not required

rights_if_company_separately_ring_fences_entitlement

2026 buyer might not receive that separately allocated portion; no evidence of such arrangement as at valuation date

2025_Unilever_dividend_not_received_by_2026_11_06_buyer
はい
2027_first_payment_ex_date_declared
未確認
2027_first_payment_ex_date_model

2027-05-13

2027_first_payment_date_model

2027-05-20

2027_ordinary_dividend_announcement_confirmed
未確認
recognition_policy

no liability assumed at 2026-11-06 or 2026-12-31 before valid declaration; cash and equity reduction are assumed in 2027 only

accounting_warning

2025 post-demerger net loss already in opening capital; do not book this pre-valuation loss again.

評価根拠の詳細

市場

Euronext Amsterdam

株価基準日

2026-11-06

price_eur
17.602
issued_shares_reported
612259739
issued_asof_base_confirmed
未確認
asof_h1_employee_treasury_shares_assumed
470000
asof_ltip_forward_settlement_shares_assumed
5071286
asof_treasury_shares_proxy
5541286
asof_economic_shares_proxy
606718453
market_cap_proxy_oku
106.794582097
valuation_cashflow_method

timed_holder_cashflows_v1

time_discount_k
0.095
terminal_calendar_date

2036-11-06

terminal_year_act365_25
10.001368925
weighted_mcap_oku_same_old_share_cohort
153.250725897
weighted_cash_payout_oku_same_old_share_cohort
39.493391997
weighted_terminal_pv_oku
61.831159898
weighted_timed_cash_pv_oku
24.395887211
weighted_equity_value_oku
86.227047108
per_share_eur
14.212036354266
upside
-0.192589685589
old_holder_expected_cashflows_XIRR
0.068272523442
weighted_mean_scenario_IRR_reference
0.047056476969
price_gap_eur_per_share
-3.389963645734
fx_conversion_needed
いいえ
market_per_used
いいえ
market_pbr_used
いいえ
no_issuer_buyback_cash_to_non_tendering_holder
はい
basis_treasury_assumption_sensitivity
内容を開く
zero_2026_aug_sept_settled_assumption_shares
611789739
sixty_percent_settled_assumption_shares
606718453
all_2026_aug_sept_settled_assumption_shares
603337595
状態

株数だけを動かして同じ経済価値を割る機械的参考差。実際は決済が資本・将来Eと株数両方を動かすため評価額の確定上限・下限ではない。

FY2026_2027_dividend_adjusted_income_bridge_oku
IFRS_profit
4.12
post_tax_adjustments
1.28
adjusted_profit
5.4
cashflows_match_2026_11_06_to_2036_11_06
はい
terminal_in_timed_cashflows
いいえ
timed_cashflows_are_only_cash_dividends
はい
conditional_2025_stub_dividend_for_2027_gross_oku
0.2
2025_stub_dividend_confirmed_oku
未確認
synthetic_cohort_is_not_an_actual_group_of_shareholders
はい
N0_exceeds_first_dividend_eligible_shares
はい
can_synthetic_holder_cash_exceed_issuer_total_cash
はい
ex_date_2027_assumed

2027-05-13

ex_date_2027_confirmed
未確認
sensitivity_0_extra_per_share_eur
14.18591333
sensitivity_high_extra_per_share_eur
14.251220891
sensitivity_special_prior_holder_per_share_eur
14.180365273

分析基準とデータ

価格・単価
17.602
株数
606718453
price_as_of

2026-11-06

shares_as_of

2026-11-06 (独自代理モデル)

株価の出所
url

https://live.euronext.com/pt/markets/amsterdam/equities/list

出典

Euronext Amsterdam公式銘柄一覧 MAGNUM NL0015002MS2 MICC、06 Nov 2026 17:35 CET 表示 EUR 17.602。小数第2位表示の二次データでは17.60。

株数の出所
内容を開く
url

https://corporate.magnumicecream.com/en/investors/shareholder-centre.html

reported_issued_shares
612259739
reported_issued_shares_latest_independent_date

2026-06-30

valuation_old_share_denominator_model
606718453
方法

reported issued shares minus estimated H1 EBT holdings and 60% post-H1 LTIP forward acquisitions assumed settled by the close of 2026-11-06

limitation

発行済612,259,739株は一次資料値だが、2026-11-06現在EBT保有・直接自己株数・先渡決済の一株単位残高は未確認。代理分母606,718,453株は会社公表値ではない。

issued_shares_2025_12_31
612259739
issued_shares_2026_06_30
612259739
issuer_treasury_shares_2026_06_30
未確認
employee_plan_treasury_shares_2026_06_30
未確認
issued_shares_2026_11_06
未確認
treasury_excluded_shares_2026_11_06
未確認
shares_used_are_proxy_issued_not_exact_ex_treasury
はい
shares_proxy_limitation

2026-06-30発行済612,259,739株からH1 EBT470,000株、8~9月LTIP取得8,452,144株のうち2026-11-06までに60%決済した5,071,286株を控除する分析代理値。決済率・H1 EBT保有株数は非公表かつ推定。従って厳密な当日流通株数はnull。

multiple_listings

Amsterdam/ロンドン/NYSEは同じISINの一普通株を取引し、発行済数は一度だけ計上。NYSE価格USDは使わない。

2026_08_to_09_announced_employee_incentive_plan_shares_acquired
8452144
not_strict_treasury_classification

会社公表の先渡取得株数は、EBTの同日保有残高、会社自己株残高、従業員へ交付済の純残高と同義ではない。

hypothetical_proxy_if_all_8452144_shares_held_as_treasury
603337595
hypothetical_proxy_not_adopted
はい
2026_11_06_old_share_cohort_one_non_tendering_share
はい
2026_11_06_proxy_treasury_shares
5541286
2026_11_06_proxy_issued_shares
612259739
2026_11_06_proxy_economic_shares
606718453
pre_valuation_employee_shares_held_h1_estimate
470000
pre_valuation_forward_shares_assumed_cash_settled_and_in_ebt
5071286
pre_valuation_forward_settlement_ratio_assumed
0.6
forward_trades_disclosed_2026_09_30_shares
8452144
forward_trades_disclosed_2026_09_30_amount_oku
1.42809678
settled_pre_base_amount_assumed_oku
0.856858068
settlement_date_and_status_verified
未確認
unresolved_issued_shares_after_2026_06_30
未確認
holder_unit

one original 2026-11-06 acquired share, no tender, no capital subscription; held through ex dates

N0_for_synthetic_scaling_only
606718453
synthetic_N0_is_not_real_cohort
はい
company_real_2027_eligible_shares_example
601623309
synthetic_N0_greater_than_2027_eligible_shares
はい
legal_2025_unilever_distribution_entitlement_after_2026_purchase
いいえ
conditional_TMici_2027_2025_stub_component_entitlement_for_2026_buyer_assumed
はい
TMICC_2027_ex_date_confirmed
未確認
TMICC_2027_ex_date_assumed

2027-05-13

検証上の留意点

key_changes_from_prior
内容を開く
1

v1の「2027は前期IFRS利益55%なのに2.92億EUR、base 50%なのに2.70億EUR」という不一致を修正。会社一次資料の配当方針はIFRSでなく調整項目後の純利益の40~60%。

2

FY2026 IFRS利益予測4.12億EURにH1一次資料調整差額1.00億とH2税後調整推定0.28億を加え、調整後利益5.40億EURに統一。2027の5ケース初回配当は性向×5.40で再計算。

3

2028~2036は直前年度のIFRS親会社利益+税引後調整項目のモデル仮定に性向を適用。配当基礎をSBC費用加算戻し後の利益に置き換えない。

4

予想配当修正→期末純負債→翌期の金融費用→IFRS利益・税金→翌期配当へ連鎖させて再計算。

5

各期間の資本増減・NCI・EBT保有・社員交付・通常消却・増資を更新。旧株は買戻しに応募しないため市場買戻し代金は旧株主個人CFに含めない。

6

最終終価は2036-11-06時点の残高と直近12か月IFRS利益から導出。2036-12-31の残余期間は含めない。

単位

億EUR、株数は株、価格はEUR/株、率は小数。amountは旧株1株をt0 N0株で正規化した億EUR。

2026_11_06_baseline_validation
内容を開く
reported_H1_parent_equity_oku
10.81
modeled_asof_parent_equity_oku
11.01194628
reported_2026_09_30_forward_transaction_shares
8452144
reported_2026_09_30_forward_transaction_amount_oku
1.42809678
modeled_pre_asof_settled_fraction
0.6
modeled_pre_asof_settled_shares
5071286
unsettled_assumed_post_asof_shares
3380858
h1_ebt_shares_unverified
未確認
h1_ebt_shares_assumed
470000
asof_total_treasury_shares_proxy
5541286
asof_old_economic_shares_proxy
606718453
asof_book_profit_vs_forward_warning

Q3親会社利益、期中決済率、EBT残高は会社の2026-11-06時点の確定値ではない。

strict_horizon

2026-11-06の翌日から2036-11-06までの実日数3653日、ACT/365.25により10.001368925年。2026年stub55日、2027~2035全9年、2036年1月1日~11月6日の部分期間を含む。

payment_definition

旧株1株は期間中非売却・非応募・新株引受なし。配当日(予測5月20日)に会社配当総額/配当適格株数で1株受領し、N0倍をamount(億EUR)とする。会社の通常買戻し・社員EBT購入・増資は旧株CFの受領/支払に入れず株式数・資本にのみ反映。

capital_valuation_separation

会社の資本Eは普通株利益+OCI+SBC資本振替−現金配当−通常自社株買戻し−EBT購入+新株発行で更新。一方旧株主cashflowは配当のみ。社員へ既存EBT株を交付する際は会社の資本を再控除しないが、流通株数は増える。

terminal_valuation_formula

firm_terminal_value=(LTM_ordinary_profit_2036Nov06×(1+g)−g×book_equity_at_2036Nov06)/(coc.k−g)、全株式価値。 old_share_terminal_per_share=firm_terminal_value×1e8/(N_economic+expected_postend_EBT_release)。市場PER/PBR未使用。

timing_formula

PV_i=Σ_cashdividend_i / (1+coc.k)^[(payment_date−2026-11-06).days/365.25] + mcap_i / (1+coc.k)^[(2036-11-06−2026-11-06).days/365.25]

prob_sum
1
expected_pv_oku
86.227047108
per_old_share_eur
14.212036354266
price_gap_ratio
-0.192589685589
weighted_cashflows_irr
0.068272523442
expected_irr_vs_expected_case_irr
0.047056476969
cases
内容を開く
bull
内容を開く
fy_annual_rows
10
dated_dividend_events
10
time_cashflow_events
10
time_pv_oku
165.150453791
期間内株主受取
66.526456655
terminal_holder_oku
310.837716981
terminal_never_in_timed_cashflows
はい
rollforward_residual_oku
-2.8E-7
FY2027_first_cash_dividend_oku
3.17
FY2025_stub_conditional_extra_oku
0.2
terminal_net_debt_oku
0.774194359
holder_irr
0.151187177601
mild_bull
内容を開く
fy_annual_rows
10
dated_dividend_events
10
time_cashflow_events
10
time_pv_oku
117.782079789
期間内株主受取
51.668812179
terminal_holder_oku
213.933567407
terminal_never_in_timed_cashflows
はい
rollforward_residual_oku
-2.8E-7
FY2027_first_cash_dividend_oku
3.008
FY2025_stub_conditional_extra_oku
0.2
terminal_net_debt_oku
3.139630857
holder_irr
0.107465898837
base
内容を開く
fy_annual_rows
10
dated_dividend_events
10
time_cashflow_events
10
time_pv_oku
88.078259042
期間内株主受取
41.807065747
terminal_holder_oku
154.106578541
terminal_never_in_timed_cashflows
はい
rollforward_residual_oku
-2.8E-7
FY2027_first_cash_dividend_oku
2.9
FY2025_stub_conditional_extra_oku
0.2
terminal_net_debt_oku
6.159777674
holder_irr
0.070700683518
mild_bear
内容を開く
fy_annual_rows
10
dated_dividend_events
10
time_cashflow_events
10
time_pv_oku
39.169720761
期間内株主受取
21.414657042
terminal_holder_oku
62.391874947
terminal_never_in_timed_cashflows
はい
rollforward_residual_oku
-2.8E-7
FY2027_first_cash_dividend_oku
2.36
FY2025_stub_conditional_extra_oku
0.2
terminal_net_debt_oku
13.894973659
holder_irr
-0.027074312231
bear
内容を開く
fy_annual_rows
10
dated_dividend_events
10
time_cashflow_events
10
time_pv_oku
9.183705084
期間内株主受取
5.848124315
terminal_holder_oku
12.257037048
terminal_never_in_timed_cashflows
はい
rollforward_residual_oku
-2.8E-7
FY2027_first_cash_dividend_oku
1.28
FY2025_stub_conditional_extra_oku
0.2
terminal_net_debt_oku
26.548250236
holder_irr
-0.182126868702
original_h1_numbers_unchanged
はい
regulatory_and_ltip_cautions
内容を開く
1

2026/08-09先渡取得済み株数、先渡契約締結日、決済日、EBT実際の保有残高、将来交付株数は異なる。

2

2026-11-06の自己株残高・実際の売却可能株数は未確認。モデルの606,718,453株は代理値。

3

2026年8~9月の取得済み8,452,144株を2027以降の新規買付金額に再計上しない。

4

旧株保有者が売却しないため通常買戻し代金をpayout_okuには含めず、会社の株数縮小と普通株資本減少で一度だけ反映。

5

将来株式発行の非参加を仮定。現実の株主には増資の権利価値・取得や売却の選択肢があり、仮定次第でIRRは変わる。

6

terminal effective shares includes 90% of yet-to-be-delivered EBT inventory as expected forward dilution, not immediate cancellation or double paid employee award expense.

7

会社の公式配当性向は調整項目後純利益ベース。修正モデルではFY2026のIFRS4.12+税引後調整1.28=調整後5.40を初回配当基礎とし、以後も前年のIFRS利益+税引後調整項目を基礎に各ケース性向を適用。2027初回・将来配当の金額と権利落ち日・支払日は未宣言・推定。

unverified_items
内容を開く
1
item

2026-11-06確定EBT株数・先渡取得決済株数・当日自己株控除後株数

値
未確認
理由

H1は百万株単位EPS平均と8百万EUR EBT取得額のみ。9月の先渡取得開示は実際の受渡日・EBT残高を確定しない。

2
item

2026-Q3 IFRS親会社普通株利益・資本・SBC・NCI

値
未確認
理由

Q3更新は売上高・有機成長中心の取引更新でIAS34の9か月PL/BSは未公表。

3
item

2027初回配当確定日・額

値
未確認
理由

FY2026発表時に決定しH1 2027支払予定、2026-11-06時点未確定。

4
item

2026年9月30日以降の第2トランシェ追加買付・取得済み8,452,144株の現金決済日

値
未確認
理由

2026-11-06までに確認した一次資料では決済日とEBT信託受渡の確定数量を照合できない。0.30億EUR新規仮定は会社確定取引ではない。

5
item

2027-2036買戻し・発行・配当・社員交付・将来株価

値
未確認
理由

将来は全て独自のケース別仮定。実現株価・株式交付・権利確定条件・時点は未知。

6
item

2036-11-06実際の株数・普通株資本・IRR

値
未確認
理由

全て当該時点のモデル出力であり会社確定データではない。

validation_passed
はい
rounding

Full computations in Python float; JSON monetary stocks, totals and 1-share values stored to 9 decimals where appropriate, all monetary amounts are hundred-million EUR unless stated. Annual source segment estimates may carry 6-decimal rounding. Residual tolerances <=1e-5 hundred-million EUR.

source_confirmed_dividend_policy

40%-60% of income after adjusting items; H1 2027 first payment plus FAQ 2025 post-dem component. 2025 special element cash amount and eligible record date unconfirmed.

forecast_adjusting_items_source_status

FY2026 H2およびFY2027以降の税引後調整項目は独自モデル仮定。2026年11月6日時点で会社が確定公表した年間調整後利益・配当は存在しない。

2026_FY_dividend_income_bridge_oku
内容を開く
H1_IFRS
3.42
H1_adjusted_reported
4.42
H1_aftertax_difference
1
H2_IFRS_model
0.7
H2_aftertax_adjustments_model
0.28
FY_IFRS_model
4.12
FY_adjusted_model
5.4
2027_initial_dividend_identity_oku
内容を開く
bull
内容を開く
regular_from_2026_adjusted_oku
2.97
2025_extra_conditional_oku
0.2
company_dividend_2027_oku
3.17
old_one_share_eur
0.526907776441
synthetic_N0_scaled_oku
3.19684671
mild_bull
内容を開く
regular_from_2026_adjusted_oku
2.808
2025_extra_conditional_oku
0.2
company_dividend_2027_oku
3.008
old_one_share_eur
0.499980628244
synthetic_N0_scaled_oku
3.033474733
base
内容を開く
regular_from_2026_adjusted_oku
2.7
2025_extra_conditional_oku
0.2
company_dividend_2027_oku
2.9
old_one_share_eur
0.482029196113
synthetic_N0_scaled_oku
2.924560082
mild_bear
内容を開く
regular_from_2026_adjusted_oku
2.16
2025_extra_conditional_oku
0.2
company_dividend_2027_oku
2.36
old_one_share_eur
0.392272035457
synthetic_N0_scaled_oku
2.379986825
bear
内容を開く
regular_from_2026_adjusted_oku
1.08
2025_extra_conditional_oku
0.2
company_dividend_2027_oku
1.28
old_one_share_eur
0.212757714146
synthetic_N0_scaled_oku
1.290840312
2027_and_later_adjustment_scope

各年のIFRS利益には特殊費用・SBCを費用として残す。税引後調整額はIFRS純利益から非GAAP Adjusted Net Incomeを示すための加算であり、現金/負債/資本に重ねて加算しない。

2025_first_dividend_extra_stublimit

2025 consolidated post-demerger IFRS loss -1.87億 EUR is confirmed but NOT the 2025 post-demerger adjusted income. 0.20億 dividend extra is a conditional scenario only; no fixed zero or confirmed positive value.

financial_interest_feedback

各年末純負債を再計算し、翌年度財務費用をケース別金利×期首純負債×期間係数として再計算。当年配当の期中追加利息は省略した年次近似。

v1_dividend_inconsistency_resolved_by

explicit forecast bridge to company-reported adjusted net income policy; no unsubstantiated unlabelled first-year override

model_revision_id

v3_post_2025_dividend_entitlement_terminal_outside_timed_cashflows

time_cashflows_2027_2036_count_each
10
time_cashflows_has_terminal_in_any_scenario
いいえ
expected_cashflows_list_includes_terminal
いいえ
real_company_vs_synthetic_checks
内容を開く
bull
内容を開く
company_2027_cash_dividend_oku
3.17
N0_scaled_2027_one_share_cash_oku
3.19684671
eligible_real_company_shares
601623309
model_N0
606718453
scaler_ratio
1.008468993677
one_share_dividend_eur
0.526907776441
no_claim_this_is_actual_old_share_cohort_total
はい
mild_bull
内容を開く
company_2027_cash_dividend_oku
3.008
N0_scaled_2027_one_share_cash_oku
3.033474733
eligible_real_company_shares
601623309
model_N0
606718453
scaler_ratio
1.008468993677
one_share_dividend_eur
0.499980628244
no_claim_this_is_actual_old_share_cohort_total
はい
base
内容を開く
company_2027_cash_dividend_oku
2.9
N0_scaled_2027_one_share_cash_oku
2.924560082
eligible_real_company_shares
601623309
model_N0
606718453
scaler_ratio
1.008468993677
one_share_dividend_eur
0.482029196113
no_claim_this_is_actual_old_share_cohort_total
はい
mild_bear
内容を開く
company_2027_cash_dividend_oku
2.36
N0_scaled_2027_one_share_cash_oku
2.379986825
eligible_real_company_shares
601623309
model_N0
606718453
scaler_ratio
1.008468993677
one_share_dividend_eur
0.392272035457
no_claim_this_is_actual_old_share_cohort_total
はい
bear
内容を開く
company_2027_cash_dividend_oku
1.28
N0_scaled_2027_one_share_cash_oku
1.290840312
eligible_real_company_shares
601623309
model_N0
606718453
scaler_ratio
1.008468993677
one_share_dividend_eur
0.212757714146
no_claim_this_is_actual_old_share_cohort_total
はい
sensitivity_2025_stub_extras
内容を開く
low_0_oku
weighted_PV_oku
86.068553898
one_share_eur
14.18591333
IRR
0.06809683
main_conditional_0_2_oku
weighted_PV_oku
86.227047108
one_share_eur
14.212036354
IRR
0.068272523
high_0_5_oku
weighted_PV_oku
86.464786924
one_share_eur
14.251220891
IRR
0.068536794
special_ring_fenced_entitlement_2026_buyer_not_recipient
weighted_PV_oku
86.034892812
one_share_eur
14.180365273
IRR
0.068049976
not_a_probability_distribution
はい
each_sensitivity_recomputes_following_year_net_debt_interest_IFRS_profit_and_payout
はい
validation_engine

independent recomputation from annual raw operating profit, opening net debt and effective tax rates, subsequent dividend-driven debt interest feedback, equity/cash ledgers, dated cash per share and terminal only-once XIRR

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分析に使用した資料

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