株譜

AI 銘柄分析 · 10年

The Magnum Ice Cream Company N.V.

MICC · EUR · 分析基準日 2026-11-06

ブランド力と季節性、分離後の資本配分を織り込む10年シナリオ

10年期待年率6.83%
資本コスト9.50%
直近終値17.60 EUR2026-11-06

AIによるシナリオ分析です。基準日以降の出来事、株価や為替の変化は個別に確認が必要です。各数値は元の分析の単位と前提に従います。

分析の要約

2025年にUnileverから分離したアイス事業を5ケースで予測。2027年初回配当の2025年分上乗せは0.20億ユーロの未確定仮定。基準日株数は従業員信託の決済を仮定した代理値で、非売却1株の受取を拡大した合成尺度を用いる。

要約の補足

rating

2025分離後の未確定配当を条件付きで含む時点別保有者評価

price_eur
17.602
valuation_asof

2026-11-06

valuation_end

2036-11-06

holding_days
3653
terminal_year_by_act365_25
10.001368925
holder_convention

old_share_one_non_tendering_non_subscribing_share

initial_old_economic_shares_proxy
606718453
reported_issued_shares
612259739
market_cap_implied_proxy_oku
106.794582097
probability_weighted_holder_terminal_mcap_oku
153.250725897
probability_weighted_holder_cash_payout_oku
39.493391997
probability_weighted_terminal_pv_oku
61.831159898
probability_weighted_timed_payout_pv_oku
24.395887211
probability_weighted_intrinsic_value_oku
86.227047108
probability_weighted_per_share_eur
14.212036354266
price_gap_eur_per_share
-3.389963645734
upside
-0.192589685589
expected_cashflows_IRR
0.068272523442
probability_weighted_scenario_IRR
0.047056476969
IRR_definition

XIRR uses 10 actual one-share cash dividends and ONE terminal sale value on 2036-11-06, terminal not included in timed_cashflows nor payout_oku

scenario_values
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bull
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prob
10.00%
現在価値(億)
165.150453791
intrinsic_per_share_eur
27.220278693
upside
0.546431013
expected_irr
0.151187177601
initial_dividend_2027_oku
3.17
initial_dividend_ratio
0.55
terminal_oku
310.837716981
cash_payout_oku
66.526456655
mild_bull
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prob
22.00%
現在価値(億)
117.782079789
intrinsic_per_share_eur
19.412971405
upside
0.102884411
expected_irr
0.107465898837
initial_dividend_2027_oku
3.008
initial_dividend_ratio
0.52
terminal_oku
213.933567407
cash_payout_oku
51.668812179
base
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prob
40.00%
現在価値(億)
88.078259042
intrinsic_per_share_eur
14.517155133
upside
-0.175255361
expected_irr
0.070700683518
initial_dividend_2027_oku
2.9
initial_dividend_ratio
0.5
terminal_oku
154.106578541
cash_payout_oku
41.807065747
mild_bear
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prob
20.00%
現在価値(億)
39.169720761
intrinsic_per_share_eur
6.455996281
upside
-0.633223709
expected_irr
-0.027074312231
initial_dividend_2027_oku
2.36
initial_dividend_ratio
0.4
terminal_oku
62.391874947
cash_payout_oku
21.414657042
bear
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prob
8.00%
現在価値(億)
9.183705084
intrinsic_per_share_eur
1.513668331
upside
-0.91400589
expected_irr
-0.182126868702
initial_dividend_2027_oku
1.28
initial_dividend_ratio
0.2
terminal_oku
12.257037048
cash_payout_oku
5.848124315
previous_calendar_2027_2036_and_5year_lump_reference
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reference_only
はい
previous_value_oku
85.828046
previous_per_share_eur
14.018241
not_comparable_without_adjusting_for_denominator_and_old_cohort_method
はい
timed_method_required_for_primary_value
はい
dividend_basis_corrected_to_company_policy

prior FY adjusted net income after adjusting items, not prior FY IFRS profit

FY2026_forecast_IFRS_parent_profit_oku
4.12
FY2026_forecast_posttax_adjustments_oku
1.28
FY2026_forecast_adjusted_parent_profit_oku
5.4
2027_initial_dividend_by_scenario_oku
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bull
3.17
mild_bull
3.008
base
2.9
mild_bear
2.36
bear
1.28
previous_timed_holder_v1_reference_only
expected_per_share_eur
13.946528994
expected_PV_oku
84.616164959
old_dividend_policy_inconsistent_and_superseded
はい
FY2025_post_demerger_IFRS_parent_loss_oku_reported
-1.87
FY2025_pre_demerger_parent_profit_oku_reported
4.8
FY2025_parent_annual_IFRS_profit_oku_reported
2.93
FY2025_post_demerger_adjusted_parent_profit_oku_confirmed
未確認
FY2025_post_demerger_extra_dividend_confirmed_oku
未確認
FY2025_post_demerger_extra_dividend_main_conditional_assumption_oku
0.2
FY2025_post_demerger_extra_dividend_not_zero_fact
はい
2027_first_dividend_components
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bull
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regular_2026_adjusted_income_component_oku
2.97
conditional_2025_post_demerger_extra_oku
0.2
total_company_first_dividend_oku
3.17
synthetic_old_share_scaled_cash_oku
3.19684671
real_old_one_share_cash_eur
0.526907776441
mild_bull
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regular_2026_adjusted_income_component_oku
2.808
conditional_2025_post_demerger_extra_oku
0.2
total_company_first_dividend_oku
3.008
synthetic_old_share_scaled_cash_oku
3.033474733
real_old_one_share_cash_eur
0.499980628244
base
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regular_2026_adjusted_income_component_oku
2.7
conditional_2025_post_demerger_extra_oku
0.2
total_company_first_dividend_oku
2.9
synthetic_old_share_scaled_cash_oku
2.924560082
real_old_one_share_cash_eur
0.482029196113
mild_bear
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regular_2026_adjusted_income_component_oku
2.16
conditional_2025_post_demerger_extra_oku
0.2
total_company_first_dividend_oku
2.36
synthetic_old_share_scaled_cash_oku
2.379986825
real_old_one_share_cash_eur
0.392272035457
bear
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regular_2026_adjusted_income_component_oku
1.08
conditional_2025_post_demerger_extra_oku
0.2
total_company_first_dividend_oku
1.28
synthetic_old_share_scaled_cash_oku
1.290840312
real_old_one_share_cash_eur
0.212757714146
sensitivity_2025_post_demerger_conditional_extra
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extra_0_oku
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value_per_share_eur
14.18591332975
weighted_PV_oku
86.068553898
IRR
0.06809683
interpretation

no approved additional stub distribution (NOT a confirmed zero)

extra_0_2_oku_main
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value_per_share_eur
14.212036354266
weighted_PV_oku
86.227047108
IRR
0.068272523
interpretation

illustrative conditional gross dividend from 2025 stub; no reported adjusted stub profit supports a unique amount

extra_0_5_oku_high
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value_per_share_eur
14.251220891005
weighted_PV_oku
86.464786924
IRR
0.068536794
interpretation

upper illustrative case, not company guidance

special_2025_entitlement_not_2026_buyer_reference
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extra_paid_by_company_oku
0.2
buyer_receives_extra
いいえ
value_per_share_eur
14.180365272655
IRR
0.068049976
interpretation

NOT the primary interpretation; no primary evidence for a ring-fenced 2025 shareholder right

synthetic_scale_warning

1 share cash receipts × N0 may exceed annual company distributions because N0 > later eligible shares. This is NOT a real group cash flow aggregate.

事業

説明

Unileverのアイス事業を2025年12月6日に分離し、同8日にAmsterdam/ロンドン/NY上場。Magnum、Ben & Jerry’s、Cornetto、Heartbrand、Yasso等を80市場で展開。営業部門は地域3区分Europe & ANZ、Americas、AMEA。

demerger

2025-12-06分離、Unilever旧株主への80.15%の非現金分配とUnileverによる19.85%継続保有。旧Unileverの持分19.85%はTMICC連結財務諸表の非支配株主持分ではない。

region_segments
1

Europe & ANZ

2

Americas

3

AMEA

revenue_model

revenue_oku = volume_index × price_oku_per_index × rev_factor。volumeは2026年通期推計を1とする地域別事業量代理指数で、販売個数実績ではない。priceは平均価格・構成・通貨換算を含むモデル係数。

organic_vs_inorganic

インドKwality Wall’sとポルトガルULICCの買収は2026年4月から連結。2026年度通期推計基準に当該取得後売上を含め、2027年初年度は未連結3か月分のわずかなcarryoverのみを一度加算。2028年以降同じ買収売上を再加算せず、将来未契約買収増収は0と仮定。

risks
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1

北半球の夏と天候・冬季の季節性

2

乳・ココア・砂糖・エネルギーと冷凍配送費

3

大型小売の棚割・価格競争

4

トルコ競争当局の小型店舗冷凍庫容量30%措置

5

インド/ポルトガル買収統合と為替換算

6

TSAを2027末までに退出するIT/人員移管

7

金利負担と大型債務の満期

8

Ben & Jerry’s等のブランド評判

競争力・事業の質

pricing_power

プレミアム化とブランド認知は強いが、欧州Q3 2026は数量+11.6%に対し価格-2.4%。地域ごとに需要・ミックス差が大きく、全市場で強気の値上げは仮定しない。

consumption

アイスクリームは反復消費だが、天候依存・夏季偏重。H1 2026売上46.91億EUR、2025年通期79.10億EURを安易に2倍年率化しない。

SBC

H1 2026費用18百万EURは報告営業利益587百万EURに既に反映。非現金SBC資本振替18百万EURおよび自己株購入8百万EURを区別。16 June 2026オプション10,952,635個の実際の権利確定数・交付株数は未確定。

M_and_A

KWIL 279百万EUR、Portugal ULICC 152百万EUR、取得時対価総額431百万EUR、取得対象純資産96百万EUR、取得時非支配持分25百万EUR、のれん360百万EUR(96−25+360=431)。買収対価はIFRS利益に一括費用化しない。のれん通常償却せず、減損は発生時に報告利益へ計上。

spinoff_accounting

2025年のcarve-out比較数値と2026年の独立後TSA費用、借入利息、株式報酬を混同しない。

業界と環境

markets

約80市場。2026 Q3の地域別OSG:Europe & ANZ 8.9%、Americas 3.9%、AMEA 17.6%。欧州は好天により四半期成長の2~3%ポイント分押し上げとの会社推計。

2026_H1_organic
total
0.047
数量
0.025
価格・単価
0.022
2026_Q3_organic
total
0.096
数量
0.073
価格・単価
0.022
2026_9m_organic
total
0.064
数量
0.041
価格・単価
0.022
2026_guidance
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organic_sales_growth_approx
0.055
adjusted_EBITDA_margin_uplift_comparable_bps
1
40
2
60
reported_margin_uplift_bps
1
0
2
20
long_run_OSG_target_range
1
0.03
2
0.05
productivity_savings_target_eur_oku_by_2028
5
TSA_exit_expected

2027-12-31

2026_guidance_not_reported_IFRS

会社予想は有機売上・調整後EBITDA。報告IFRS営業利益・普通株利益をそのまま会社目標として転記しない。

財務・資本配分

reported_2025_IFRS
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期間末

2025-12-31

売上高
79.1
営業利益(億)
5.99
consolidated_profit_oku
3.07
parent_attributable_profit_oku
2.93
親会社持分(億)
6.25
非支配持分資本(億)
0.08
net_debt_oku
29.67
separation_adjusting_items_within_operating_profit_oku
3.18
出典

https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/2071668/000110465926029805/micc-20251231x20f.htm

reported_2026_H1_IFRS
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期間末

2026-06-30

unaudited
はい
売上高
46.91
営業利益(億)
5.87
adjusted_EBIT_oku_nonIFRS
7.16
finance_costs_net_oku
-0.72
turkey_hyperinflation_loss_oku
-0.13
profit_before_tax_oku
5.02
income_tax_oku
-1.53
consolidated_profit_oku
3.49
nci_profit_oku
0.07
parent_common_profit_oku
3.42
親会社持分(億)
10.81
非支配持分資本(億)
0.41
total_equity_oku
11.22
net_debt_oku
32.64
gross_financial_liabilities_oku
38.45
cash_equivalents_oku
5.77
goodwill_oku
8.85
intangible_assets_oku
7.64
cash_purchase_acquisitions_oku
4.45
sbc_expense_oku
0.18
sbc_equity_credit_oku
0.18
cash_purchase_shares_for_employee_plan_oku
0.08
employee_plan_movements_equity_oku
-0.1
OCI_parent_oku
0.64
hedges_transferred_to_nonfinancial_assets_equity_oku
0.42
parent_equity_roll

6.25+3.42+0.64-0.10+0.18+0.42=10.81

ordinary_dividends_declared_oku
0
ordinary_buybacks_for_cash_return_oku
0
出典

https://news.magnumicecream.com/2026-half-year-results/

nonIFRS_adjusted_parent_earnings_oku_reported
4.42
reported_posttax_adjusting_items_oku_rounded_difference
1
company_table_posttax_adjustments_oku_as_published
1.01
rounding_reconciliation_note

会社開示のIFRS親会社利益3.42億EURとAdjusted net profit4.42億EURの表示差は1.00億EUR。税引後調整項目テーブルは1.01億EURであり、百万EUR丸めにより一致しない。配当計算は4.42億EURの調整後利益を優先。

adjusted_parent_profit_is_not_ifrs_profit
はい
acquisition_2026_H1
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KWIL_purchase_consideration_oku
2.79
Portugal_purchase_consideration_oku
1.52
total_consideration_oku
4.31
identifiable_net_assets_oku
0.96
acquisition_NCI_oku
0.25
acquisition_goodwill_oku
3.6
cash_flow_acquisitions_net_cash_oku
4.45
consolidation_start

2026-04-01

注記

取得価額4.31は取得資産純額0.96−NCI0.25+のれん3.60。営業利益から取得現金4.31億EURを再控除しない。キャッシュフロー表示4.45との差0.14は厳密な内訳不明。

Philippines_Put_Option_oku
1.33
Philippines_Put_Option_exercisable_after

2028-04

Philippines_put_note

フィリピンRFM合弁の相手方が保有する売付権に対応した金融負債1.33億EUR。負債に既に含まれ、企業価値から再控除しない。行使まで猶予との開示。

SBC_2026_grant_options
10952635
SBC_granted_on

2026-06-16

SBC_vesting

付与後3年と4年の二回、相対TSR・継続在職条件

2026_Q3_trading_update
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期間末

2026-09-30

revenue_9m_oku
72.02
revenue_q3_oku
25.11
reported_net_profit_9m_oku
未確認
reported_equity_2026_09_30_oku
未確認
理由

Q3はTrading Updateであり、9か月のIFRS普通株利益・資本は開示されていない。

2026_FY_model_bridge
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classification

会社のQ3取引更新からQ3 IFRS利益や財務諸表を読み取れないため、Q3・Q4利益とFY2026末資本は分析上の推計。

H1_reported_revenue_oku
46.91
H1_reported_op_oku
5.87
H1_reported_parent_profit_oku
3.42
Q3_reported_revenue_oku
25.11
Q3_estimated_op_oku
1.92
Q3_estimated_finance_oku
-0.33
Q3_estimated_hyperinflation_oku
0.02
Q3_estimated_tax_oku
-0.42
Q3_estimated_NCI_profit_oku
0.04
Q3_estimated_parent_profit_oku
1.15
Q4_estimated_revenue_oku
12.45
Q4_estimated_op_oku
-0.12
Q4_estimated_finance_oku
-0.4
Q4_estimated_hyperinflation_oku
-0.02
Q4_estimated_tax_oku
0.123
Q4_estimated_NCI_profit_oku
0.033
Q4_estimated_parent_profit_oku
-0.45
FY2026_revenue_oku
84.47
FY2026_operating_profit_oku
7.67
FY2026_finance_net_oku
-1.45
FY2026_hyperinflation_oku
-0.13
FY2026_tax_oku
-1.827
FY2026_noncontrolling_profit_oku
0.143
FY2026_parent_profit_oku
4.12
Q3_parent_book_oku_after_partial_settlement_model
11.518761288
2026_11_06_parent_book_oku_after_model_settlement
11.01194628
2026_12_31_parent_book_oku_after_100pct_forward_settlement_plus_0p3_unconfirmed
9.81190322
2026_12_31_net_debt_oku_model
31.82809678
FY2026_book_formula

2026H1報告B10.81+H2推計普通株利益0.70+H2 OCI(-0.15)+H2SBCcredit0.18-8~9月報告LTIP先渡取引についてFY2026末までに全額決済のモデル1.42809678-未確定新規LTIP購入0.30=9.81190322。

no_double_LTIP_stock_counted
はい
注記

旧版のQ3末に8~9月公表全額を決済した仮定は撤回し、2026年11月6日前後の決済不確実性を再配分。

FY2026_after_tax_adjustments_oku_model
1.28
FY2026_adjusted_parent_profit_oku_model
5.4
FY2026_ifrs_parent_profit_oku_model
4.12
H1_reported_IFRS_parent_profit_oku
3.42
H1_reported_adjusted_parent_profit_oku
4.42
H1_posttax_adjustments_oku_source_rounded_bridge
1
H2_estimated_IFRS_parent_profit_oku
0.7
H2_estimated_posttax_adjustments_oku
0.28
H2_estimated_adjusted_parent_profit_oku
0.98
FY2026_dividend_2027_model_formula

FY2026 IFRS親会社利益4.12億 + 会社H1調整差1.00億 + 推計H2調整額0.28億 = FY2026調整後5.40億EUR。2027年初回会社配当はシナリオ別配当性向×5.40億 + 2025分離後期間の条件付き追加配当0.20億(全額未公表、感応度0〜0.50億)。

2025_post_demerger_extra_dividend_oku_in_base_model
0.2
2025_post_demerger_additional_distribution_known
未確認
2025_post_demerger_caveat

Company FAQ expects some 2025 post-demerger component to be included in the first 2027 payment, but the reported post-demerger IFRS parent profit is a loss of 1.87億EUR and adjusted stub profit is not separately reported. Additional amount 0.20億EUR is a conditional illustration, not a declared or otherwise supported estimate. Sensitivities 0 and 0.50億EUR.

future_policy
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company_dividend_policy

会社公式の年間配当目安は「調整項目後の純利益(net income after adjusting items)」の40~60%。IFRS純利益の40~60%とは異なる。初回配当はFY2026に関して2027H1支払予定、額とex dateは基準日時点未確認。2025年分離後の期間分の追加内訳は未確認。

first_dividend_approved_amount_oku
未確認
first_dividend_payment_date
未確認
gross_discretionary_buyback_program_announced_asof
未確認
buyback_confirmation_limit

2026-11-06までの一次資料で確定の将来自社株買いプログラムと金額を確認できない。未来の買戻し額はモデル仮定。

future_SBC

IFRS営業利益のSBC費用を戻さない。既存2026LTIP株式取得8,452,144株は2026-11-06前60%、同日後40%決済と予測。2027以降の株式購入は別報酬サイクルとし年別に株数・EBT残・社員交付を記録。2029/2030に2026 Foundation Planからそれぞれ450万/400万株交付、以後新規サイクルは3年後に90%交付する仮定。取得済み株式の交付を追加購入費用として再計上しない。

future_issuance

base/bull/mild_bullは新規有償発行0、mild_bear 2031 0.7億EUR、bear 2028 1.5億EUR・2032 1.0億EURの新株発行を資本保全シナリオとして仮定。旧株1株は新株を引き受けず、追加支払なし、希薄化を分母で反映。

forecast_dividend_income_definition

adjusted_parent_income_for_dividend_oku = IFRS_parent_net_oku + post_tax_adjusting_items_oku_already_embedded_in_IFRS。IFRS資本rollforwardはIFRS利益のみ。

forecast_dividend_timing

FY t-1調整後親会社利益を基準にFY tの5月20日に配当(全日付が仮定)。後年のFY t IFRS利益から当年配当を計算しない。

special_dividend_2025_stub_unknown
はい
no_duplicate_adjusted_profit_in_equity_or_terminal

調整後利益を普通株資本や終価用利益へ転記しない。調整後利益は配当目安の算定だけに使用し、IFRS費用・SBCはすべて報告ベースの利益に残す。

valuation
内容を開く
方法

timed_holder_cashflows_v1

開始日

2026-11-06

終了日

2036-11-06

holding_period_days
3653
year_day_count

ACT/365.25

year_formula

year=(date_assumed−2026-11-06).days/365.25

discount_formula

PV_case=Σ (dividend per share received by the one initial share × N0/1e8)/(1+k)^year + mcap_oku/(1+k)^terminal_year. mcap and terminal_event_review never in timed_cashflows.

holder_convention

旧株1株を期間中売却しない・一般買戻しに非応札・増資に追加参加せず・2036-11-06に全て売却。旧株1株の円滑な比較のためt0モデル流通株数倍の合成持分億EURとして表示。

payout_oku_definition

Only 10 cash dividends received by ONE original 2026-11-06 share × N0 synthetic index scale. No buybacks and no terminal.

mcap_oku_definition

Only 2036-11-06 original one share terminal intrinsic value × N0 synthetic index scale; terminal value excluded from timed_cashflows.

terminal_firm_equity_formula

E_terminal×[(earnings_coming_12m/E_terminal - g)/(k-g)] = [forward_12m_earnings-g×E_terminal]/(k-g)

terminal_earnings_basis

2036-11-06末尾12か月の利益=2035年11/07-12/31推定利益+2036年1/01-11/06推定利益。次の12か月予想=同末尾12か月×(1+g)。2036年末全期予想を2036-11-06終価に誤用しない。

terminal_share_price_formula

firm_equity_value_2036_11_06/(economic_shares_2036_11_06 + expected_future_treasury_release_shares)

terminal_ltip_post_valuation

2036-11-06時点の社員制度向け保有株の90%が将来交付されると予想して、同日の旧株売却価格の分母に予想交付株数を含める。現金購入費用を二重計上せず、継続して利益に含むSBCと照合。

no_permanent_share_reduction_from_ltip_purchases

LTIP市場取得はEBT保有時に経済流通株を減らし、従業員交付時に増やす。恒久消却の通常自己株買いとは区別。

no_market_PER_or_PBR_regression
はい
common_discount_k
0.095
xirr_formula

0=-17.602 +Σ dividend_EUR_one_share/(1+IRR)^actual_year + ONLY_ONE terminal_sale_one_share/(1+IRR)^10.001369

reference_old_method

旧版2027~2036年暦年利益と終価を5年一括・10年で割引した金額は参考専用。今回の厳密な保有者時点別キャッシュフローとは比較時点・持分希薄化・受領者が異なるため主計算には流用しない。

dividend_policy_basis

forecast adjusted aftertax earnings (company policy), IFRS net retained for accounting and terminal

FY2026_2027_dividend_bridge

2026 FY IFRS profit 4.12 + H1 posttax adjusting 1.00 + H2 estimated posttax adjusting 0.28 = adjusted parent income 5.40. FY2027 ratio ×5.40.

current_version

v3_post2025_demerger_conditional_dividend_terminal_separation_2026_11_08

reported_2026_post_H1_LTIP_share_transactions
内容を開く
source_disclosure_cutoff

2026-09-30

first_tranche
内容を開く
announcement_date

2026-08-18

final_transaction_date

2026-09-09

completion_announced_on

2026-09-10

authorised_up_to_shares
5500000
confirmed_acquired_shares
5401973
confirmed_daily_transaction_amount_eur
91856763.68
confirmed_transaction_amount_oku
0.9185676368
company_says_tranche_complete
はい
second_tranche
内容を開く
announcement_date

2026-09-18

last_transaction_date_confirmed

2026-09-30

announced_up_to_shares
6600000
confirmed_acquired_shares_through_sept30
3050171
confirmed_daily_transaction_amount_eur
50952914.32
confirmed_transaction_amount_oku
0.5095291432
additional_authorised_not_confirmed_as_acquired_shares
3549829
confirmed_total_to_sept30
内容を開く
株数
8452144
gross_transaction_amount_eur
142809678
gross_transaction_amount_oku
1.42809678
purchase_intent

長期インセンティブ制度の既存株による履行であり、通常の株主還元買戻しとは異なる。先渡取引を通じて取得後EBTへ交付予定。

may_not_equal_treasury_shares_on_2026_11_06
はい
2026_10_01_to_2026_11_06_verified_additional_acquisitions
未確認
2026_10_01_to_2026_11_06_unknown_reason

9月30日以降の取得総数、受渡日、会計自己株残高について、確認した基準日前の会社一次資料に一株単位の確定値がない。追加購入0株と断定しない。

H2_cash_settlement_timing_verified
未確認
accounting_assumption

8~9月に確定公表された取引8,452,144株・1.42809678億EURを、実際の先渡決済日未確認のまま期中取得株として計上しない。11/06までに60%(5,071,286株)が現金決済されEBTで保有と仮定、残40%(3,380,858株)を2026-12-15に決済と仮定。さらに2026-12-15新規0.30億EURのLTIP株取得を追加する仮定だが公表済み8,452,144株とは別取引。

Q4_additional_stock_purchase_model_assumption_oku
0.3
Q4_assumption_reason

第2トランシェ最大660万株の未確認残に対し追加取得の可能性があるため、0.30億EURを予測計上。会社公表の確定購入ではない。

sources
1

https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/2071668/000117184326005969/f6k_091026.htm

2

https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/2071668/000117184326006305/f6k_093026.htm

3

https://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2026/09/18/3364532/0/en/share-purchase-long-term-incentive-plans.html

settled_asof_2026_11_06_company_confirmed
未確認
asof_settlement_fraction_model_assumed
0.6
postbase_settlement_date_assumed

2026-12-15

pre_2026_11_06_shares_settled_model
5071286
post_2026_11_06_pre_2026_12_31_reported_trades_settlement_shares_model
3380858
post_2026_11_06_new_unconfirmed_shares_acquired_model
1714286
asof_2026_11_06_model_bridge
内容を開く
状態

未監査Q3損益と先渡決済率の独自推計。正確な基準日IFRS B/Sは未公表。

period_start

2026-06-30

期間末

2026-11-06

h1_parent_common_equity_oku_reported
10.81
h1_nci_equity_oku_reported
0.41
h1_net_debt_oku_reported
32.64
Q3_parent_profit_oku_estimate
1.15
Q3_OCI_parent_oku_estimate
0.05
Q3_sbc_equity_credit_oku_estimate
0.08
Q3_ltip_forward_settlement_oku_assumed
0.571238712
Q4_oct01_nov06_parent_profit_oku_estimate
-0.180978261
Q4_oct01_nov06_OCI_oku_estimate
-0.080434783
Q4_oct01_nov06_sbc_equity_credit_oku_estimate
0.040217391
Q4_oct01_nov06_ltip_settlement_oku_assumed
0.285619356
asof_common_equity_oku_proxy
11.01194628
asof_nci_equity_oku_proxy
0.448271739
asof_consolidated_equity_oku_proxy
11.460218019
asof_net_debt_oku_proxy
31.786858068
asof_issued_shares_proxy
612259739
asof_employee_treasury_shares_proxy
5541286
asof_economic_shares_proxy
606718453
asof_company_equity_attributable_to_1_old_share_eur
1.815001048
h1_ebt_shares_assumed
470000
2026_aug_sept_forward_acquired_shares_observed
8452144
forward_shares_settled_at_base_assumed
5071286
forward_cash_settled_at_base_assumed_oku
0.856858068
asof_denominator_exact_verified
未確認
book_formula

10.81+(1.15+0.05+0.08)-0.40×1.42809678+37/92×(-0.45-0.20+0.10)-0.20×1.42809678

nci_note

NCI資本は親会社普通株資本から除外。Q3/Q4予想NCI利益と分配を単独管理。

post_2026_11_06_to_year_end_bridge
内容を開く
状態

2026-11-07~2026-12-31未発表部分の分析仮定。FY2027期首とは同一視しない。

period_id

2026_remaining_stub

対象年度
2026
period_start

2026-11-07

期間末

2026-12-31

period_start_exclusive_from_base

2026-11-06

days
55
is_full_fiscal_year
いいえ
reported_vs_forecast

推計のみ。2026-11-06時点で以降は全て未実績

売上高
7.442935
営業利益
-0.071739
finance_net_oku
-0.23913
hyperinflation_oku
-0.011957
tax_oku
0.073533
noncontrolling_profit_oku
0.019728
純利益
-0.269022
oci_parent_oku
-0.119565
sbc_expense_oku
0.059783
sbc_equity_credit_oku
0.059783
dividends_oku
0
gross_discretionary_buybacks_oku
0
ltip_pre_valuation_disclosed_trades_settled_post_base_oku
0.571239
ltip_pre_valuation_disclosed_trades_shares_settled_post_base
3380858
ltip_new_unverified_shares_acquired_post_base_oku
0.3
ltip_new_unverified_shares_acquired_post_base
1714286
ltip_total_cash_oku
0.871239
ltip_delivered_shares
0
new_issuance_proceeds_oku
0
new_issue_shares
0
old_holder_cash_payout_oku
0
company_equity_oku
9.811903
noncontrolling_equity_oku
0.468
consolidated_equity_oku
10.279903
net_debt_oku
31.828097
発行済株式数
612259739
employee_treasury_shares
10636430
economic_outstanding_shares
601623309
book_identity

E2026-12-31=E2026-11-06+NI_st+OCI_st+SBCcredit_st-LTIPforward_settlement_st-LTIPnewpurchase_st, no dividends or discretionary buybacks

exact_stale_LTIP_cash_settlement_post_base_oku
0.571238712
prebase_forward_shares_settled_postbase
3380858
new_2026_Q4_LTIP_stock_purchases_unverified_amount_oku
0.3
new_2026_Q4_stock_purchases_unverified_shares
1714286
2026_dec31_profit_after_base_estimate_oku
-0.269021739
2026_dec31_equity_estimate_oku
9.81190322
2026_dec31_no_old_holder_cash_return_assumed
はい
2026_dec31_denominator_estimate_shares
601623309
strict_period_ledger
内容を開く
H1_2026_reported
内容を開く
end

2026-06-30

book_oku
10.81
noncontrolling_equity_oku
0.41
純利益
3.42
sbc_expense_oku
0.18
sbc_credit_oku
0.18
employee_market_purchases_oku
0.08
EBT_shares_count
未確認
2026_07_01_to_2026_09_30_estimated
内容を開く
end

2026-09-30

parent_profit_oku
1.15
OCI_oku
0.05
sbc_credit_oku
0.08
disclosed_ltip_trades_not_identical_to_settlements_oku
1.42809678
assumed_cash_settlement_oku
0.571238712
book_end_oku
11.518761288
reported_Q3_revenue_oku
25.11
Q3_IFRS_net_unreported
未確認
Q3_finance_oku_estimated
-0.33
Q3_tax_oku_estimated
-0.42
Q3_hyperinflation_oku_estimated
0.02
Q3_noncontrolling_profit_oku_estimated
0.04
注記

Q3は売上のみ公表、親会社利益・OCI・SBC・LTIP決済率は全て仮定。

2026_10_01_to_2026_11_06_estimated
内容を開く
end

2026-11-06

days
37
Q4_days
92
売上高
5.007065217
営業利益
-0.04826087
parent_profit_oku
-0.180978261
finance_oku
-0.160869565
hyperinflation_oku
-0.008043478
tax_oku
0.049467391
noncontrolling_profit_oku
0.013271739
OCI_oku
-0.080434783
sbc_credit_oku
0.040217391
assumed_ltip_cash_settlement_oku
0.285619356
book_end_oku
11.01194628
issued_shares_proxy
612259739
treasury_shares_proxy
5541286
economic_shares_proxy
606718453
2026_11_07_to_2026_12_31_stub
内容を開く
period_id

2026_remaining_stub

対象年度
2026
period_start

2026-11-07

期間末

2026-12-31

period_start_exclusive_from_base

2026-11-06

days
55
is_full_fiscal_year
いいえ
reported_vs_forecast

推計のみ。2026-11-06時点で以降は全て未実績

売上高
7.442935
営業利益
-0.071739
finance_net_oku
-0.23913
hyperinflation_oku
-0.011957
tax_oku
0.073533
noncontrolling_profit_oku
0.019728
純利益
-0.269022
oci_parent_oku
-0.119565
sbc_expense_oku
0.059783
sbc_equity_credit_oku
0.059783
dividends_oku
0
gross_discretionary_buybacks_oku
0
ltip_pre_valuation_disclosed_trades_settled_post_base_oku
0.571239
ltip_pre_valuation_disclosed_trades_shares_settled_post_base
3380858
ltip_new_unverified_shares_acquired_post_base_oku
0.3
ltip_new_unverified_shares_acquired_post_base
1714286
ltip_total_cash_oku
0.871239
ltip_delivered_shares
0
new_issuance_proceeds_oku
0
new_issue_shares
0
old_holder_cash_payout_oku
0
company_equity_oku
9.811903
noncontrolling_equity_oku
0.468
consolidated_equity_oku
10.279903
net_debt_oku
31.828097
発行済株式数
612259739
employee_treasury_shares
10636430
economic_outstanding_shares
601623309
book_identity

E2026-12-31=E2026-11-06+NI_st+OCI_st+SBCcredit_st-LTIPforward_settlement_st-LTIPnewpurchase_st, no dividends or discretionary buybacks

2027_through_2035

9暦年の通期損益・配当・LTIP出納・資本ロールを全ケースannualに収録

2036_01_01_to_2036_11_06_stub
内容を開く
days
311
calendar_year_days
366
sales_fraction
0.911886649
finance_day_fraction
0.849726776
excluded_2036_11_07_to_12_31_days
55
2036_FY_pro_forma_not_reported_nor_included_in_pv
はい
total_holding_days
3653
last_cashflow_date

2036-11-06

day_count

ACT/365.25

dividend_adjusted_income_reconciliation_v2
内容を開く
policy_basis

net income after adjusting items (not reported IFRS net income)

primary_source_2025_20F

https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/2071668/000110465926029805/micc-20251231x20f.htm

primary_source_2026_H1_reconciliation

https://news.magnumicecream.com/2026-half-year-results/

financial_2026_H1_reported
内容を開く
ifrs_parent_profit_oku
3.42
after_tax_adjustments_display_difference_oku
1
reported_adjusted_parent_profit_oku
4.42
company_separately_disclosed_adjustment_oku_rounded
1.01
rounding_residual_oku
-0.01
financial_2026_H2_forecast
内容を開く
ifrs_parent_profit_oku
0.7
after_tax_adjustments_oku
0.28
adjusted_parent_profit_oku
0.98
unverified
はい
financial_2026_FY_forecast
内容を開く
ifrs_parent_profit_oku
4.12
after_tax_adjustments_oku
1.28
adjusted_parent_profit_oku
5.4
not_company_FY_guidance
はい
initial_2027_payout_by_case_oku
内容を開く
bull
3.17
mild_bull
3.008
base
2.9
mild_bear
2.36
bear
1.28
year_2027_dividends_include_incremental_2025_stub_oku_model
0.2
year_2025_undeclared_stub_amount_known
未確認
other_adjusting_items_forecast_method

FY2027~2036の税引後調整項目をケース別に独立予測。税金控除後の追加控除ではなく、各年のIFRS営業費用・金融損益等にすでに含まれた特殊費用を非GAAP利益計算のみに再分類する。2036年度末を跨ぐ分は部分年度のみに按分。

share_based_compensation_not_adjusted_out
はい
explicit_exception_bear

bear配当性向20%は財務保全のため公式40~60%目安を一時的に下回る分析仮定。役員会決議済みではない。

reported_2025_after_demerger_split
内容を開く
出典

https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/2071668/000110465926029805/micc-20251231x20f.htm

parent_full_2025_IFRS_profit_oku
2.93
parent_pre_2025_12_06_IFRS_profit_oku
4.8
parent_post_demerger_2025_IFRS_profit_oku
-1.87
parent_post_demerger_2025_IFRS_profit_is_a_loss
はい
reported_2025_full_year_share_based_payment_credit_oku
0.35
reported_2025_pre_demerger_SBC_credit_oku
0.28
reported_2025_post_demerger_SBC_credit_oku
0.07
post_demerger_2025_adjusted_parent_profit_oku
未確認
post_demerger_2025_posttax_adjusting_items_oku
未確認
why_not_calculate_post_demerger_adjusted_from_full_year

Annual group adjusted income, adjusting items and effective taxes span pre and post demerger. No stand-alone post-6-Dec adjusted income reconciliation found in filed report. December ice cream earnings seasonality makes 25/365 of annual profits unreliable.

full_year_2025_adjusted_parent_income_oku_company_table
5.74
full_year_2025_adjusted_income_reconciliation_mismatch_company_table
内容を開く
IFRS_parent_profit_oku
2.93
posttax_adjusting_items_oku_company_disclosed
2.18
sum_oku
5.11
printed_adjusted_parent_profit_oku
5.74
unresolved_difference_oku
0.63
another_annual_report_table_printed_adjusted_profit_oku
5.47
理由

2025 Form 20-F non-GAAP appendix contains inconsistent printed totals; use primary profit and clear H1 2026 bridge, not 2025 annual adjusted profit for the 2025 stub.

2025_dividend_to_Unilever_eur_million
83
2025_dividend_to_Unilever_accounting

€83m pre-demerger retained Unilever owner transaction, not new TMICC 2027 cash entitlement to 2026 buyer

not_rebooked_into_2027_profit_or_2026_opening_book
はい
FY2025_stub_dividend_2027_first_payment_model
内容を開く
FAQ_url

https://corporate.magnumicecream.com/en/investors/faq.html

FAQ_language_summary

dividend on 2025 pre-demerger was Unilever dividend; post-demerger 2025 dividends earned to be paid as part of first H1 2027 payment

asof_2026_11_06_2025_stub_dividend_declared_oku
未確認
2025_stub_adjusted_parent_income_identifiable
未確認
2025_stub_reported_IFRS_parent_income_oku
-1.87
base_conditional_extra_gross_oku
0.2
plausible_zero_or_positive_or_reduced_unapproved
はい
low_extra_oku
0
high_extra_oku
0.5
rights_if_normal_2027_dividend_ex_date

2026-11-06 buyer will generally receive if remains eligible through 2027 ex-date; 2025 historical holding not required

rights_if_company_separately_ring_fences_entitlement

2026 buyer might not receive that separately allocated portion; no evidence of such arrangement as at valuation date

2025_Unilever_dividend_not_received_by_2026_11_06_buyer
はい
2027_first_payment_ex_date_declared
未確認
2027_first_payment_ex_date_model

2027-05-13

2027_first_payment_date_model

2027-05-20

2027_ordinary_dividend_announcement_confirmed
未確認
recognition_policy

no liability assumed at 2026-11-06 or 2026-12-31 before valid declaration; cash and equity reduction are assumed in 2027 only

accounting_warning

2025 post-demerger net loss already in opening capital; do not book this pre-valuation loss again.

評価の前提と確認

市場

Euronext Amsterdam

株価基準日

2026-11-06

price_eur
17.602
issued_shares_reported
612259739
issued_asof_base_confirmed
未確認
asof_h1_employee_treasury_shares_assumed
470000
asof_ltip_forward_settlement_shares_assumed
5071286
asof_treasury_shares_proxy
5541286
asof_economic_shares_proxy
606718453
market_cap_proxy_oku
106.794582097
valuation_cashflow_method

timed_holder_cashflows_v1

time_discount_k
0.095
terminal_calendar_date

2036-11-06

terminal_year_act365_25
10.001368925
weighted_mcap_oku_same_old_share_cohort
153.250725897
weighted_cash_payout_oku_same_old_share_cohort
39.493391997
weighted_terminal_pv_oku
61.831159898
weighted_timed_cash_pv_oku
24.395887211
weighted_equity_value_oku
86.227047108
per_share_eur
14.212036354266
upside
-0.192589685589
old_holder_expected_cashflows_XIRR
0.068272523442
weighted_mean_scenario_IRR_reference
0.047056476969
price_gap_eur_per_share
-3.389963645734
fx_conversion_needed
いいえ
market_per_used
いいえ
market_pbr_used
いいえ
no_issuer_buyback_cash_to_non_tendering_holder
はい
basis_treasury_assumption_sensitivity
内容を開く
zero_2026_aug_sept_settled_assumption_shares
611789739
sixty_percent_settled_assumption_shares
606718453
all_2026_aug_sept_settled_assumption_shares
603337595
状態

株数だけを動かして同じ経済価値を割る機械的参考差。実際は決済が資本・将来Eと株数両方を動かすため評価額の確定上限・下限ではない。

FY2026_2027_dividend_adjusted_income_bridge_oku
IFRS_profit
4.12
post_tax_adjustments
1.28
adjusted_profit
5.4
cashflows_match_2026_11_06_to_2036_11_06
はい
terminal_in_timed_cashflows
いいえ
timed_cashflows_are_only_cash_dividends
はい
conditional_2025_stub_dividend_for_2027_gross_oku
0.2
2025_stub_dividend_confirmed_oku
未確認
synthetic_cohort_is_not_an_actual_group_of_shareholders
はい
N0_exceeds_first_dividend_eligible_shares
はい
can_synthetic_holder_cash_exceed_issuer_total_cash
はい
ex_date_2027_assumed

2027-05-13

ex_date_2027_confirmed
未確認
sensitivity_0_extra_per_share_eur
14.18591333
sensitivity_high_extra_per_share_eur
14.251220891
sensitivity_special_prior_holder_per_share_eur
14.180365273

資本コストの前提

資本コスト
9.50%
事業の質
0.7
事業の質の内訳
内容を開く
ブランドと販路
0.89
需要の安定性
0.73
投資効率と転換実行
0.68
財務負担
0.48
規制・季節性
0.55
事業の質の根拠

品質は0~1の独自評価。Magnum・Ben & Jerry’s・Cornetto・Heartbrandと冷凍陳列網を評価。分離で導入された純負債32.64億EUR、TSA移行、トルコの冷凍庫規制、気候・為替・原料コストを減点。共通名目EUR株主資本コスト9.5%は分析仮定。

事業別データ

事業別の内訳と、収録されている年度別データを確認できます。

事業別データを開く →

10年のシナリオ

シナリオごとの確率、期間内の株主還元・追加負担、終価です。金額は億EUR。株主の範囲や受取時点は各分析の前提を確認してください。

シナリオ確率株主還元・追加負担終価
強気:革新・アジア浸透と利益率大幅改善10.0%66.53310.84
やや強気:基幹ブランドの成長と組織独立費用の逓減22.0%51.67213.93
基本:有機成長、分離費用正常化、投資負担継続40.0%41.81154.11
やや弱気:価格転嫁限界と独立費用長期化20.0%21.4162.39
弱気:継続的需要悪化、地域規制と財務負担8.0%5.8512.26

強気:革新・アジア浸透と利益率大幅改善(確率 10.0%)

プレミアム商品・冷凍設備拡張・印度の販売密度上昇、TSA終了、€5億生産性施策の実現。買収済み印度・ポルトガルの売上は2026基準値へ含め、以降は未契約買収の売上を追加しない。

確率の根拠

持続的なシェア上昇と地域を跨ぐ高利益率化の同時達成が必要なため10%。

このシナリオの数値・キャッシュフローを開く →

やや強気:基幹ブランドの成長と組織独立費用の逓減(確率 22.0%)

中期計画の売上・生産性改善がおおむね達成。米国のYasso・Ben & Jerry’s、欧州Magnum、AMEAの冷凍設備展開が堅調。為替中立ではなく報告EURベースで予測。

確率の根拠

成長投資・生産性改善の成功可能性を認めつつ、地域リスクと原材料を見込んで22%。

このシナリオの数値・キャッシュフローを開く →

基本:有機成長、分離費用正常化、投資負担継続(確率 40.0%)

2026年Q3の好調には天候上振れを含み、そのまま10年間外挿しない。TSA終了・独立企業費用の段階的正常化、通常の冷凍設備投資、金利負担、為替を折り込む。

確率の根拠

ブランド資産の強みと低温物流コスト、季節性を均衡させた中心経路40%。

このシナリオの数値・キャッシュフローを開く →

やや弱気:価格転嫁限界と独立費用長期化(確率 20.0%)

欧州数量停滞・米州市況弱含み、トルコ規制と燃料/乳原料コスト、システム移行費用の継続。配当はストレスを反映して政策目標レンジより一時低くなる。

確率の根拠

気候・コモディティ・規制が複数年重なる可能性を20%。

事業別の前提

1
内容を開く
id

eu

数量
0.875603
価格・単価
39.611458
売上換算係数
1
売上高
34.683904
営業利益
2.705345
2
内容を開く
id

am

数量
0.899647
価格・単価
32.222376
売上換算係数
1
売上高
28.988775
営業利益
2.522023
3
内容を開く
id

amea

数量
1.032036
価格・単価
27.298658
売上換算係数
1
売上高
28.173198
営業利益
3.831555

日付別キャッシュフロー

1
内容を開く
kind

cash_dividend

種類

forecast_common_dividend

想定日

2027-05-20

date_confirmed
未確認
year
0.533880903491
金額
2.379986825
amount_oku
2.379986825
amount_eur_per_initial_share
0.392272035457
company_total_dividend_oku
2.36
company_regular_dividend_oku
2.16
company_2025_post_demerger_conditional_extra_oku
0.2
holder_entitled_to_2025_extra_assumed
はい
shares_dividend_eligible
601623309
old_holder_synthetic_N0_shares
606718453
actual_one_share_not_tendering
はい
synthetic_not_actual_company_aggregate
はい
ex_date_assumed

2027-05-13

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
record_date_confirmed
未確認
prior_fy
2026
prior_fy_ifrs_profit_oku
4.12
prior_fy_posttax_adjusting_items_oku
1.28
prior_fy_adjusted_profit_oku
5.4
assumed_payout_ratio
0.4
source_2025_extra

Company FAQ says 2025 post-demerger accrued dividend to be included in first H1 2027 distribution, but amount and rights date not declared

interpretation

actual one-share dividend multiplied by N0 solely for index scale; not real aggregate holder payout

pv_at_coc_k_oku
2.267420701
pv_at_coc_k_eur_per_old_share
0.373718763634
2
内容を開く
kind

cash_dividend

種類

forecast_common_dividend

想定日

2028-05-20

date_confirmed
未確認
year
1.535934291581
金額
2.031199791
amount_oku
2.031199791
amount_eur_per_initial_share
0.334784574496
company_total_dividend_oku
2.009843679
company_regular_dividend_oku
2.009843679
company_2025_post_demerger_conditional_extra_oku
0
holder_entitled_to_2025_extra_assumed
はい
shares_dividend_eligible
600339392
old_holder_synthetic_N0_shares
606718453
actual_one_share_not_tendering
はい
synthetic_not_actual_company_aggregate
はい
ex_date_assumed

2028-05-11

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
record_date_confirmed
未確認
prior_fy
2027
prior_fy_ifrs_profit_oku
4.040609198
prior_fy_posttax_adjusting_items_oku
0.984
prior_fy_adjusted_profit_oku
5.024609198
assumed_payout_ratio
0.4
source_2025_extra

Company FAQ says 2025 post-demerger accrued dividend to be included in first H1 2027 distribution, but amount and rights date not declared

interpretation

actual one-share dividend multiplied by N0 solely for index scale; not real aggregate holder payout

pv_at_coc_k_oku
1.766912918
pv_at_coc_k_eur_per_old_share
0.291224522632
3
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kind

cash_dividend

種類

forecast_common_dividend

想定日

2029-05-20

date_confirmed
未確認
year
2.535249828884
金額
2.0359957
amount_oku
2.0359957
amount_eur_per_initial_share
0.335575041484
company_total_dividend_oku
2.010047649
company_regular_dividend_oku
2.010047649
company_2025_post_demerger_conditional_extra_oku
0
holder_entitled_to_2025_extra_assumed
はい
shares_dividend_eligible
598986039
old_holder_synthetic_N0_shares
606718453
actual_one_share_not_tendering
はい
synthetic_not_actual_company_aggregate
はい
ex_date_assumed

2029-05-10

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
record_date_confirmed
未確認
prior_fy
2028
prior_fy_ifrs_profit_oku
4.185119122
prior_fy_posttax_adjusting_items_oku
0.84
prior_fy_adjusted_profit_oku
5.025119122
assumed_payout_ratio
0.4
source_2025_extra

Company FAQ says 2025 post-demerger accrued dividend to be included in first H1 2027 distribution, but amount and rights date not declared

interpretation

actual one-share dividend multiplied by N0 solely for index scale; not real aggregate holder payout

pv_at_coc_k_oku
1.617529529
pv_at_coc_k_eur_per_old_share
0.266602988684
4
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kind

cash_dividend

種類

forecast_common_dividend

想定日

2030-05-20

date_confirmed
未確認
year
3.534565366188
金額
2.039217617
amount_oku
2.039217617
amount_eur_per_initial_share
0.336106081381
company_total_dividend_oku
2.022730928
company_regular_dividend_oku
2.022730928
company_2025_post_demerger_conditional_extra_oku
0
holder_entitled_to_2025_extra_assumed
はい
shares_dividend_eligible
601813249
old_holder_synthetic_N0_shares
606718453
actual_one_share_not_tendering
はい
synthetic_not_actual_company_aggregate
はい
ex_date_assumed

2030-05-09

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
record_date_confirmed
未確認
prior_fy
2029
prior_fy_ifrs_profit_oku
4.348827321
prior_fy_posttax_adjusting_items_oku
0.708
prior_fy_adjusted_profit_oku
5.056827321
assumed_payout_ratio
0.4
source_2025_extra

Company FAQ says 2025 post-demerger accrued dividend to be included in first H1 2027 distribution, but amount and rights date not declared

interpretation

actual one-share dividend multiplied by N0 solely for index scale; not real aggregate holder payout

pv_at_coc_k_oku
1.479625454
pv_at_coc_k_eur_per_old_share
0.243873488065
5
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kind

cash_dividend

種類

forecast_common_dividend

想定日

2031-05-20

date_confirmed
未確認
year
4.533880903491
金額
2.046970345
amount_oku
2.046970345
amount_eur_per_initial_share
0.337383894446
company_total_dividend_oku
2.042696012
company_regular_dividend_oku
2.042696012
company_2025_post_demerger_conditional_extra_oku
0
holder_entitled_to_2025_extra_assumed
はい
shares_dividend_eligible
605451548
old_holder_synthetic_N0_shares
606718453
actual_one_share_not_tendering
はい
synthetic_not_actual_company_aggregate
はい
ex_date_assumed

2031-05-08

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
record_date_confirmed
未確認
prior_fy
2030
prior_fy_ifrs_profit_oku
4.518740029
prior_fy_posttax_adjusting_items_oku
0.588
prior_fy_adjusted_profit_oku
5.106740029
assumed_payout_ratio
0.4
source_2025_extra

Company FAQ says 2025 post-demerger accrued dividend to be included in first H1 2027 distribution, but amount and rights date not declared

interpretation

actual one-share dividend multiplied by N0 solely for index scale; not real aggregate holder payout

pv_at_coc_k_oku
1.356477607
pv_at_coc_k_eur_per_old_share
0.223576125011
6
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kind

cash_dividend

種類

forecast_common_dividend

想定日

2032-05-20

date_confirmed
未確認
year
5.535934291581
金額
2.058425659
amount_oku
2.058425659
amount_eur_per_initial_share
0.339271971882
company_total_dividend_oku
2.069840295
company_regular_dividend_oku
2.069840295
company_2025_post_demerger_conditional_extra_oku
0
holder_entitled_to_2025_extra_assumed
はい
shares_dividend_eligible
610082903
old_holder_synthetic_N0_shares
606718453
actual_one_share_not_tendering
はい
synthetic_not_actual_company_aggregate
はい
ex_date_assumed

2032-05-13

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
record_date_confirmed
未確認
prior_fy
2031
prior_fy_ifrs_profit_oku
4.694600738
prior_fy_posttax_adjusting_items_oku
0.48
prior_fy_adjusted_profit_oku
5.174600738
assumed_payout_ratio
0.4
source_2025_extra

Company FAQ says 2025 post-demerger accrued dividend to be included in first H1 2027 distribution, but amount and rights date not declared

interpretation

actual one-share dividend multiplied by N0 solely for index scale; not real aggregate holder payout

pv_at_coc_k_oku
1.245492776
pv_at_coc_k_eur_per_old_share
0.205283483646
7
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kind

cash_dividend

種類

forecast_common_dividend

想定日

2033-05-20

date_confirmed
未確認
year
6.535249828884
金額
2.114020514
amount_oku
2.114020514
amount_eur_per_initial_share
0.348435176683
company_total_dividend_oku
2.12443476
company_regular_dividend_oku
2.12443476
company_2025_post_demerger_conditional_extra_oku
0
holder_entitled_to_2025_extra_assumed
はい
shares_dividend_eligible
609707315
old_holder_synthetic_N0_shares
606718453
actual_one_share_not_tendering
はい
synthetic_not_actual_company_aggregate
はい
ex_date_assumed

2033-05-12

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
record_date_confirmed
未確認
prior_fy
2032
prior_fy_ifrs_profit_oku
4.903086901
prior_fy_posttax_adjusting_items_oku
0.408
prior_fy_adjusted_profit_oku
5.311086901
assumed_payout_ratio
0.4
source_2025_extra

Company FAQ says 2025 post-demerger accrued dividend to be included in first H1 2027 distribution, but amount and rights date not declared

interpretation

actual one-share dividend multiplied by N0 solely for index scale; not real aggregate holder payout

pv_at_coc_k_oku
1.168229266
pv_at_coc_k_eur_per_old_share
0.192548827176
8
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kind

cash_dividend

種類

forecast_common_dividend

想定日

2034-05-20

date_confirmed
未確認
year
7.534565366188
金額
2.171354047
amount_oku
2.171354047
amount_eur_per_initial_share
0.357884952516
company_total_dividend_oku
2.180681707
company_regular_dividend_oku
2.180681707
company_2025_post_demerger_conditional_extra_oku
0
holder_entitled_to_2025_extra_assumed
はい
shares_dividend_eligible
609324782
old_holder_synthetic_N0_shares
606718453
actual_one_share_not_tendering
はい
synthetic_not_actual_company_aggregate
はい
ex_date_assumed

2034-05-11

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
record_date_confirmed
未確認
prior_fy
2033
prior_fy_ifrs_profit_oku
5.091704267
prior_fy_posttax_adjusting_items_oku
0.36
prior_fy_adjusted_profit_oku
5.451704267
assumed_payout_ratio
0.4
source_2025_extra

Company FAQ says 2025 post-demerger accrued dividend to be included in first H1 2027 distribution, but amount and rights date not declared

interpretation

actual one-share dividend multiplied by N0 solely for index scale; not real aggregate holder payout

pv_at_coc_k_oku
1.095878446
pv_at_coc_k_eur_per_old_share
0.180623885888
9
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kind

cash_dividend

種類

forecast_common_dividend

想定日

2035-05-20

date_confirmed
未確認
year
8.533880903491
金額
2.235562472
amount_oku
2.235562472
amount_eur_per_initial_share
0.368467855432
company_total_dividend_oku
2.243730867
company_regular_dividend_oku
2.243730867
company_2025_post_demerger_conditional_extra_oku
0
holder_entitled_to_2025_extra_assumed
はい
shares_dividend_eligible
608935307
old_holder_synthetic_N0_shares
606718453
actual_one_share_not_tendering
はい
synthetic_not_actual_company_aggregate
はい
ex_date_assumed

2035-05-10

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
record_date_confirmed
未確認
prior_fy
2034
prior_fy_ifrs_profit_oku
5.285327167
prior_fy_posttax_adjusting_items_oku
0.324
prior_fy_adjusted_profit_oku
5.609327167
assumed_payout_ratio
0.4
source_2025_extra

Company FAQ says 2025 post-demerger accrued dividend to be included in first H1 2027 distribution, but amount and rights date not declared

interpretation

actual one-share dividend multiplied by N0 solely for index scale; not real aggregate holder payout

pv_at_coc_k_oku
1.030460649
pv_at_coc_k_eur_per_old_share
0.169841652887
10
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kind

cash_dividend

種類

forecast_common_dividend

想定日

2036-05-20

date_confirmed
未確認
year
9.535934291581
金額
2.30192407
amount_oku
2.30192407
amount_eur_per_initial_share
0.379405646673
company_total_dividend_oku
2.308830899
company_regular_dividend_oku
2.308830899
company_2025_post_demerger_conditional_extra_oku
0
holder_entitled_to_2025_extra_assumed
はい
shares_dividend_eligible
608538887
old_holder_synthetic_N0_shares
606718453
actual_one_share_not_tendering
はい
synthetic_not_actual_company_aggregate
はい
ex_date_assumed

2036-05-08

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
record_date_confirmed
未確認
prior_fy
2035
prior_fy_ifrs_profit_oku
5.484077249
prior_fy_posttax_adjusting_items_oku
0.288
prior_fy_adjusted_profit_oku
5.772077249
assumed_payout_ratio
0.4
source_2025_extra

Company FAQ says 2025 post-demerger accrued dividend to be included in first H1 2027 distribution, but amount and rights date not declared

interpretation

actual one-share dividend multiplied by N0 solely for index scale; not real aggregate holder payout

pv_at_coc_k_oku
0.968814307
pv_at_coc_k_eur_per_old_share
0.159681035239

その他の数値・前提

holder_definition

2026-11-06終値で保有し、期間中の裁量的自己株買いに応募せず、増資へ追加参加せず、配当のみ現金受領し、2036-11-06に当該旧株1株を売却

assumptions
内容を開く
annual_volume_growth_2027
eu
-0.003
am
0
amea
0.012
annual_price_growth
eu
0.014
am
0.014
amea
0.022
2027_region_reported_operating_margins
eu
0.087
am
0.089
amea
0.137
2036_region_reported_operating_margins
eu
0.078
am
0.087
amea
0.136
dividend_payout_of_prior_ifrs_parent_profit
未確認
first_dividend_2027_company_cash_oku
2.36
finance_interest_on_opening_net_debt
0.056
effective_tax
0.3
forecast_new_employee_plan_purchases_2027plus_not_repeat_2026
はい
share_buyback_execution_price_2026_eur_start
17.602
share_buyback_execution_price_assumed_annual_drift
0
perpetual_growth
0.009
new_equity_issue_schedule_assumption
2032
現金(億)
0.7
issue_price_eur
14
2026_award_vesting_assumed_2029_shares
4500000
2026_award_vesting_assumed_2030_shares
4000000
future_awards_delivery_from_grant_lots_after_3_years_fraction
0.9
dividend_policy_basis

prior_FY_adjusted_parent_earnings_not_IFRS

dividend_payout_of_prior_adjusted_parent_profit
0.4
forecast_posttax_adjusting_items_full_year_oku_by_fy
内容を開く
2028
0.984
2029
0.84
2030
0.708
2031
0.588
2032
0.48
2033
0.408
2034
0.36
2035
0.324
2036
0.288
2037
0.264
FY2026_common_reported_IFRS_parent_profit_oku_forecast
4.12
FY2026_common_posttax_adjustments_oku_forecast
1.28
FY2026_common_adjusted_parent_profit_oku_forecast
5.4
2025_post_demerger_extra_dividend_oku_model
0.2
prior_FY_accounting_FY_rule

2027分はFY2026、2028分はFY2027、...、2036分はFY2035の調整後親会社利益に基づく。

adjustment_is_not_SBC_addback
はい
2025_post_demerger_extra_dividend_is_conditional
はい
2025_post_demerger_extra_entitlement_asof_buyer_assumed
はい
adjust_oku
-0.364755
売上高
91.845878
営業利益
8.694168
純利益
5.247994146
期間内の親会社利益合計(億)
47.531064137
opening_common_equity_2026_11_06_oku
11.01194628
equity_oku
36.882048341
非支配持分資本(億)
1.440643
cash_dividends_company_sum_oku
21.372836796
gross_discretionary_buybacks_company_sum_oku
0
employee_plan_share_purchases_sum_oku
4.121239
sbc_equity_credit_sum_oku
3.252679
new_issuance_sum_oku
0.7
company_net_distributions_oku
20.672836796
gross_discretionary_buyback_shares_cancelled
0
employee_legacy_stock_deliveries_shares
9000000
employee_post2026_stock_deliveries_shares
10976025
issued_shares_asof_terminal
617259739
employee_treasury_shares_terminal
9124216
economic_outstanding_shares_terminal
608135523
assumed_future_delivery_of_held_ebt_shares_post2036
8211794
terminal_effective_fully_diluted_shares
616347317
old_share_ownership_fraction_at_terminal
1.622462E-9
old_share_book_value_eur_at_terminal
6.064774536
old_share_terminal_sale_eur_per_share
10.283497170495
synthetic_old_share_cohort_terminal_book_value_oku
36.79610624
old_share_ownership_change_vs_asof
-0.015622464
multiple
内容を開く
kind

forward_ROE_growth_reinvestment_cost_of_equity_justified_PB

値
1.718507018
why

2036-11-06 retained 12m IFRS=5.73121457, next 12m IFRS=5.782795501, common equity=36.882048341, g=0.009, k=0.095; justified P/B=(forward ROE−g)/(k−g), no adjusted-profit addback, no market multiple. 2025 post-demerger dividend only paid in 2027 and subsequently alters net debt and finance cost.

forward_ifrs_roe
0.156791604
dividend_policy_adjusted_income_not_used_for_terminal
はい
terminal_2036_11_06_trailing_twelve_month_parent_profit_oku
5.73121457
terminal_forward_12_month_net_oku
5.782795501
terminal_required_book_reinvestment_oku
0.331938435
terminal_forward_fcfe_oku
5.450857066
firm_all_common_shares_terminal_value_oku
63.382058904
終価
62.391874947
期間内株主受取
21.414657042
discount_k_used
0.095
terminal_date_assumed

2036-11-06

terminal_year
10.001368925394
terminal_pv_oku
25.172879108
payout_pv_oku
13.996841653
現在価値(億)
39.169720761
intrinsic_per_old_share_eur
6.455996281
upside
-0.633223709
holder_expected_irr
-0.027074312231
annual
内容を開く
1
内容を開く
対象年度
2027
period_start

2027-01-01

期間末

2027-12-31

period_days_included
365
is_partial_fiscal_year
いいえ
sales_seasonal_fraction_included
1
financial_day_fraction_included
1
売上高
86.506087
営業利益
7.988958
純利益
4.040609198
sbc_expense_in_reported_net_oku
0.27
sbc_equity_credit_oku
0.27
finance_costs_net_oku
-1.782373432
hyperinflation_oku
-0.22
tax_expense_oku
1.79597537
noncontrolling_profit_oku
0.15
dividends_oku
2.36
gross_buybacks_oku
0
employee_plan_share_purchases_oku
0.27
employee_share_delivery_shares
250000
employee_delivery_from_2026_inventory_shares
250000
employee_delivery_from_post2026_lots_shares
0
employee_share_delivery_book_value_oku
0
new_issuance_oku
0
new_issuance_shares
0
net_payout_oku
2.379986825
corporate_cash_net_returns_oku
2.36
old_holder_cash_dividend_oku
2.379986825
equity_begin_oku
9.811903
equity_oku
11.492512198
noncontrolling_equity_begin_oku
0.468
noncontrolling_equity_oku
0.5505
total_consolidated_equity_oku
12.043012198
net_debt_begin_oku
31.828097
net_debt_oku
30.993542802
capex_oku
3.806268
depreciation_oku
3.633256
working_capital_investment_oku
0.605543
nci_cash_dividends_oku
0.0675
fcf_before_discretionary_returns_and_ltip_oku
3.464554198
issued_shares_end
612259739
employee_treasury_shares_end
11920347
economic_outstanding_shares_begin
601623309
economic_outstanding_shares_end
600339392
old_share_fraction_of_company_end
1.666E-9
old_holder_cash_yield_eur_per_share
0.022285651
old_share_book_value_eur_at_yearend_or_cutoff
1.914335849
synthetic_old_share_cohort_book_value_oku
11.614628849
segment_revenue_oku
eu
34.952265
am
28.43256
amea
23.121261
segment_op_oku
eu
3.040847
am
2.530498
amea
3.167613
adjust_oku
-0.75
parent_equity_rollforward_residual_oku
0
出典

model_projection

after_terminal_tail_excluded_note
未確認
fy2036_full_year_if_not_cutoff
未確認
dividend_policy_basis

prior_FY_adjusted_parent_net_income_plus_2025_post_demerger_conditional_one_time_extra_for_FY2027

dividend_payout_ratio_assumed
0.4
prior_fy_ifrs_parent_profit_oku_for_dividend
4.12
prior_fy_posttax_adjusting_items_oku_for_dividend
1.28
prior_fy_adjusted_parent_profit_oku_for_dividend
5.4
prior_fy_ended_on

2026-12-31

reported_vs_projected_dividend

forecast_unapproved

dividend_ex_date_confirmed
未確認
dividend_policy_formula

0.4 × (4.12 + 1.28) + 0.2 (conditional 2025 demerger stub)

income_before_tax_oku
5.986584568
interest_policy_assumption

annual opening net debt × scenario rate × included time fraction; year-of-dividend financing impact starts following FY

net_debt_cash_identity_residual_oku
0
adjusting_items_after_tax_oku_included_in_reported_earnings
0.984
adjusted_parent_profit_oku_non_ifrs_illustration
5.024609198
non_ifrs_adjustment_does_not_change_equity_or_fcf
はい
dividend_current_FY2026_or_prior_FY_adjusted_income_part_oku
2.16
dividend_2025_post_demerger_extra_oku_conditional
0.2
fy2025_stub_extra_entitlement_of_2026_11_06_holder_assumed
はい
old_share_cash_eur_per_share
0.392272035457
company_dividend_eur_per_share_on_eligibles
0.392272035457
shareholder_synthetic_not_company_aggregate
はい
dividend_ex_date_assumed

2027-05-13

dividend_2025_extra_ifrs_base_2025_standalone_profit_oku
-1.87
company_dividend_payment_date_assumed

2027-05-20

old_holder_cash_yield_eur_per_share_note

この値は1株現金配当を基準株価で割った利回り。1株配当額はold_share_cash_eur_per_shareを参照。

2
内容を開く
対象年度
2028
period_start

2028-01-01

期間末

2028-12-31

period_days_included
366
is_partial_fiscal_year
いいえ
sales_seasonal_fraction_included
1
financial_day_fraction_included
1
売上高
88.053006
営業利益
8.15819
純利益
4.185119122
sbc_expense_in_reported_net_oku
0.282222
sbc_equity_credit_oku
0.282222
finance_costs_net_oku
-1.735638397
hyperinflation_oku
-0.22
tax_expense_oku
1.860765481
noncontrolling_profit_oku
0.156667
dividends_oku
2.009843679
gross_buybacks_oku
0
employee_plan_share_purchases_oku
0.282222
employee_share_delivery_shares
250000
employee_delivery_from_2026_inventory_shares
250000
employee_delivery_from_post2026_lots_shares
0
employee_share_delivery_book_value_oku
0
new_issuance_oku
0
new_issuance_shares
0
net_payout_oku
2.031199791
corporate_cash_net_returns_oku
2.009843679
old_holder_cash_dividend_oku
2.031199791
equity_begin_oku
11.492512198
equity_oku
13.667787641
noncontrolling_equity_begin_oku
0.5505
noncontrolling_equity_oku
0.636667
total_consolidated_equity_oku
14.304454641
net_debt_begin_oku
30.993542802
net_debt_oku
29.681244359
capex_oku
3.874332
depreciation_oku
3.698226
working_capital_investment_oku
0.616371
nci_cash_dividends_oku
0.0705
fcf_before_discretionary_returns_and_ltip_oku
3.604364122
issued_shares_end
612259739
employee_treasury_shares_end
13273700
economic_outstanding_shares_begin
600339392
economic_outstanding_shares_end
598986039
old_share_fraction_of_company_end
1.669E-9
old_holder_cash_yield_eur_per_share
0.019019689
old_share_book_value_eur_at_yearend_or_cutoff
2.281820736
synthetic_old_share_cohort_book_value_oku
13.844227467
segment_revenue_oku
eu
35.32464
am
28.821967
amea
23.906399
segment_op_oku
eu
3.037919
am
2.55875
amea
3.27252
adjust_oku
-0.711
parent_equity_rollforward_residual_oku
0
出典

model_projection

after_terminal_tail_excluded_note
未確認
fy2036_full_year_if_not_cutoff
未確認
dividend_policy_basis

prior_FY_adjusted_parent_net_income_plus_2025_post_demerger_conditional_one_time_extra_for_FY2027

dividend_payout_ratio_assumed
0.4
prior_fy_ifrs_parent_profit_oku_for_dividend
4.040609198
prior_fy_posttax_adjusting_items_oku_for_dividend
0.984
prior_fy_adjusted_parent_profit_oku_for_dividend
5.024609198
prior_fy_ended_on

2027-12-31

reported_vs_projected_dividend

forecast_unapproved

dividend_ex_date_confirmed
未確認
dividend_policy_formula

0.4 × (4.040609198 + 0.984) + 0.0 (conditional 2025 demerger stub)

income_before_tax_oku
6.202551603
interest_policy_assumption

annual opening net debt × scenario rate × included time fraction; year-of-dividend financing impact starts following FY

net_debt_cash_identity_residual_oku
0
adjusting_items_after_tax_oku_included_in_reported_earnings
0.84
adjusted_parent_profit_oku_non_ifrs_illustration
5.025119122
non_ifrs_adjustment_does_not_change_equity_or_fcf
はい
dividend_current_FY2026_or_prior_FY_adjusted_income_part_oku
2.009843679
dividend_2025_post_demerger_extra_oku_conditional
0
fy2025_stub_extra_entitlement_of_2026_11_06_holder_assumed
はい
old_share_cash_eur_per_share
0.334784574496
company_dividend_eur_per_share_on_eligibles
0.334784574496
shareholder_synthetic_not_company_aggregate
はい
dividend_ex_date_assumed

2028-05-11

dividend_2025_extra_ifrs_base_2025_standalone_profit_oku
未確認
company_dividend_payment_date_assumed

2028-05-20

old_holder_cash_yield_eur_per_share_note

この値は1株現金配当を基準株価で割った利回り。1株配当額はold_share_cash_eur_per_shareを参照。

3
内容を開く
対象年度
2029
period_start

2029-01-01

期間末

2029-12-31

period_days_included
365
is_partial_fiscal_year
いいえ
sales_seasonal_fraction_included
1
financial_day_fraction_included
1
売上高
89.609043
営業利益
8.328093
純利益
4.348827321
sbc_expense_in_reported_net_oku
0.294444
sbc_equity_credit_oku
0.294444
finance_costs_net_oku
-1.662149684
hyperinflation_oku
-0.22
tax_expense_oku
1.933782995
noncontrolling_profit_oku
0.163333
dividends_oku
2.010047649
gross_buybacks_oku
0
employee_plan_share_purchases_oku
0.294444
employee_share_delivery_shares
4500000
employee_delivery_from_2026_inventory_shares
4500000
employee_delivery_from_post2026_lots_shares
0
employee_share_delivery_book_value_oku
0
new_issuance_oku
0
new_issuance_shares
0
net_payout_oku
2.0359957
corporate_cash_net_returns_oku
2.010047649
old_holder_cash_dividend_oku
2.0359957
equity_begin_oku
13.667787641
equity_oku
16.006567313
noncontrolling_equity_begin_oku
0.636667
noncontrolling_equity_oku
0.7265
total_consolidated_equity_oku
16.733067313
net_debt_begin_oku
29.681244359
net_debt_oku
28.222445687
capex_oku
3.942798
depreciation_oku
3.76358
working_capital_investment_oku
0.627263
nci_cash_dividends_oku
0.0735
fcf_before_discretionary_returns_and_ltip_oku
3.763290321
issued_shares_end
612259739
employee_treasury_shares_end
10446490
economic_outstanding_shares_begin
598986039
economic_outstanding_shares_end
601813249
old_share_fraction_of_company_end
1.662E-9
old_holder_cash_yield_eur_per_share
0.019064597
old_share_book_value_eur_at_yearend_or_cutoff
2.659723318
synthetic_old_share_cohort_book_value_oku
16.137032168
segment_revenue_oku
eu
35.690236
am
29.207939
amea
24.710869
segment_op_oku
eu
3.03367
am
2.586525
amea
3.379898
adjust_oku
-0.672
parent_equity_rollforward_residual_oku
0
出典

model_projection

after_terminal_tail_excluded_note
未確認
fy2036_full_year_if_not_cutoff
未確認
dividend_policy_basis

prior_FY_adjusted_parent_net_income_plus_2025_post_demerger_conditional_one_time_extra_for_FY2027

dividend_payout_ratio_assumed
0.4
prior_fy_ifrs_parent_profit_oku_for_dividend
4.185119122
prior_fy_posttax_adjusting_items_oku_for_dividend
0.84
prior_fy_adjusted_parent_profit_oku_for_dividend
5.025119122
prior_fy_ended_on

2028-12-31

reported_vs_projected_dividend

forecast_unapproved

dividend_ex_date_confirmed
未確認
dividend_policy_formula

0.4 × (4.185119122 + 0.84) + 0.0 (conditional 2025 demerger stub)

income_before_tax_oku
6.445943316
interest_policy_assumption

annual opening net debt × scenario rate × included time fraction; year-of-dividend financing impact starts following FY

net_debt_cash_identity_residual_oku
0
adjusting_items_after_tax_oku_included_in_reported_earnings
0.708
adjusted_parent_profit_oku_non_ifrs_illustration
5.056827321
non_ifrs_adjustment_does_not_change_equity_or_fcf
はい
dividend_current_FY2026_or_prior_FY_adjusted_income_part_oku
2.010047649
dividend_2025_post_demerger_extra_oku_conditional
0
fy2025_stub_extra_entitlement_of_2026_11_06_holder_assumed
はい
old_share_cash_eur_per_share
0.335575041484
company_dividend_eur_per_share_on_eligibles
0.335575041484
shareholder_synthetic_not_company_aggregate
はい
dividend_ex_date_assumed

2029-05-10

dividend_2025_extra_ifrs_base_2025_standalone_profit_oku
未確認
company_dividend_payment_date_assumed

2029-05-20

old_holder_cash_yield_eur_per_share_note

この値は1株現金配当を基準株価で割った利回り。1株配当額はold_share_cash_eur_per_shareを参照。

4
内容を開く
対象年度
2030
period_start

2030-01-01

期間末

2030-12-31

period_days_included
365
is_partial_fiscal_year
いいえ
sales_seasonal_fraction_included
1
financial_day_fraction_included
1
売上高
91.173786
営業利益
8.498657
純利益
4.518740029
sbc_expense_in_reported_net_oku
0.306667
sbc_equity_credit_oku
0.306667
finance_costs_net_oku
-1.580456958
hyperinflation_oku
-0.22
tax_expense_oku
2.009460012
noncontrolling_profit_oku
0.17
dividends_oku
2.022730928
gross_buybacks_oku
0
employee_plan_share_purchases_oku
0.306667
employee_share_delivery_shares
5380525
employee_delivery_from_2026_inventory_shares
4000000
employee_delivery_from_post2026_lots_shares
1380525
employee_share_delivery_book_value_oku
0
new_issuance_oku
0
new_issuance_shares
0
net_payout_oku
2.039217617
corporate_cash_net_returns_oku
2.022730928
old_holder_cash_dividend_oku
2.039217617
equity_begin_oku
16.006567313
equity_oku
18.502576414
noncontrolling_equity_begin_oku
0.7265
noncontrolling_equity_oku
0.82
total_consolidated_equity_oku
19.322576414
net_debt_begin_oku
28.222445687
net_debt_oku
26.623501586
capex_oku
4.011647
depreciation_oku
3.829299
working_capital_investment_oku
0.638217
nci_cash_dividends_oku
0.0765
fcf_before_discretionary_returns_and_ltip_oku
3.928342029
issued_shares_end
612259739
employee_treasury_shares_end
6808191
economic_outstanding_shares_begin
601813249
economic_outstanding_shares_end
605451548
old_share_fraction_of_company_end
1.652E-9
old_holder_cash_yield_eur_per_share
0.019094767
old_share_book_value_eur_at_yearend_or_cutoff
3.055996219
synthetic_old_share_cohort_book_value_oku
18.541292982
segment_revenue_oku
eu
36.048758
am
29.590195
amea
25.534833
segment_op_oku
eu
3.028096
am
2.613801
amea
3.48976
adjust_oku
-0.633
parent_equity_rollforward_residual_oku
0
出典

model_projection

after_terminal_tail_excluded_note
未確認
fy2036_full_year_if_not_cutoff
未確認
dividend_policy_basis

prior_FY_adjusted_parent_net_income_plus_2025_post_demerger_conditional_one_time_extra_for_FY2027

dividend_payout_ratio_assumed
0.4
prior_fy_ifrs_parent_profit_oku_for_dividend
4.348827321
prior_fy_posttax_adjusting_items_oku_for_dividend
0.708
prior_fy_adjusted_parent_profit_oku_for_dividend
5.056827321
prior_fy_ended_on

2029-12-31

reported_vs_projected_dividend

forecast_unapproved

dividend_ex_date_confirmed
未確認
dividend_policy_formula

0.4 × (4.348827321 + 0.708) + 0.0 (conditional 2025 demerger stub)

income_before_tax_oku
6.698200042
interest_policy_assumption

annual opening net debt × scenario rate × included time fraction; year-of-dividend financing impact starts following FY

net_debt_cash_identity_residual_oku
0
adjusting_items_after_tax_oku_included_in_reported_earnings
0.588
adjusted_parent_profit_oku_non_ifrs_illustration
5.106740029
non_ifrs_adjustment_does_not_change_equity_or_fcf
はい
dividend_current_FY2026_or_prior_FY_adjusted_income_part_oku
2.022730928
dividend_2025_post_demerger_extra_oku_conditional
0
fy2025_stub_extra_entitlement_of_2026_11_06_holder_assumed
はい
old_share_cash_eur_per_share
0.336106081381
company_dividend_eur_per_share_on_eligibles
0.336106081381
shareholder_synthetic_not_company_aggregate
はい
dividend_ex_date_assumed

2030-05-09

dividend_2025_extra_ifrs_base_2025_standalone_profit_oku
未確認
company_dividend_payment_date_assumed

2030-05-20

old_holder_cash_yield_eur_per_share_note

この値は1株現金配当を基準株価で割った利回り。1株配当額はold_share_cash_eur_per_shareを参照。

5
内容を開く
対象年度
2031
period_start

2031-01-01

期間末

2031-12-31

period_days_included
365
is_partial_fiscal_year
いいえ
sales_seasonal_fraction_included
1
financial_day_fraction_included
1
売上高
92.746811
営業利益
8.66987
純利益
4.694600738
sbc_expense_in_reported_net_oku
0.318889
sbc_equity_credit_oku
0.318889
finance_costs_net_oku
-1.490916089
hyperinflation_oku
-0.22
tax_expense_oku
2.087686173
noncontrolling_profit_oku
0.176667
dividends_oku
2.042696012
gross_buybacks_oku
0
employee_plan_share_purchases_oku
0.318889
employee_share_delivery_shares
1443018
employee_delivery_from_2026_inventory_shares
0
employee_delivery_from_post2026_lots_shares
1443018
employee_share_delivery_book_value_oku
0
new_issuance_oku
0.7
new_issuance_shares
5000000
net_payout_oku
2.046970345
corporate_cash_net_returns_oku
1.342696012
old_holder_cash_dividend_oku
2.046970345
equity_begin_oku
18.502576414
equity_oku
21.85448114
noncontrolling_equity_begin_oku
0.82
noncontrolling_equity_oku
0.917167
total_consolidated_equity_oku
22.77164814
net_debt_begin_oku
26.623501586
net_debt_oku
24.18581886
capex_oku
4.08086
depreciation_oku
3.895366
working_capital_investment_oku
0.649228
nci_cash_dividends_oku
0.0795
fcf_before_discretionary_returns_and_ltip_oku
4.099267738
issued_shares_end
617259739
employee_treasury_shares_end
7176836
economic_outstanding_shares_begin
605451548
economic_outstanding_shares_end
610082903
old_share_fraction_of_company_end
1.639E-9
old_holder_cash_yield_eur_per_share
0.019167361
old_share_book_value_eur_at_yearend_or_cutoff
3.58221498
synthetic_old_share_cohort_book_value_oku
21.733959308
segment_revenue_oku
eu
36.399917
am
29.968452
amea
26.378442
segment_op_oku
eu
3.021193
am
2.640554
amea
3.602123
adjust_oku
-0.594
parent_equity_rollforward_residual_oku
0
出典

model_projection

after_terminal_tail_excluded_note
未確認
fy2036_full_year_if_not_cutoff
未確認
dividend_policy_basis

prior_FY_adjusted_parent_net_income_plus_2025_post_demerger_conditional_one_time_extra_for_FY2027

dividend_payout_ratio_assumed
0.4
prior_fy_ifrs_parent_profit_oku_for_dividend
4.518740029
prior_fy_posttax_adjusting_items_oku_for_dividend
0.588
prior_fy_adjusted_parent_profit_oku_for_dividend
5.106740029
prior_fy_ended_on

2030-12-31

reported_vs_projected_dividend

forecast_unapproved

dividend_ex_date_confirmed
未確認
dividend_policy_formula

0.4 × (4.518740029 + 0.588) + 0.0 (conditional 2025 demerger stub)

income_before_tax_oku
6.958953911
interest_policy_assumption

annual opening net debt × scenario rate × included time fraction; year-of-dividend financing impact starts following FY

net_debt_cash_identity_residual_oku
0
adjusting_items_after_tax_oku_included_in_reported_earnings
0.48
adjusted_parent_profit_oku_non_ifrs_illustration
5.174600738
non_ifrs_adjustment_does_not_change_equity_or_fcf
はい
dividend_current_FY2026_or_prior_FY_adjusted_income_part_oku
2.042696012
dividend_2025_post_demerger_extra_oku_conditional
0
fy2025_stub_extra_entitlement_of_2026_11_06_holder_assumed
はい
old_share_cash_eur_per_share
0.337383894446
company_dividend_eur_per_share_on_eligibles
0.337383894446
shareholder_synthetic_not_company_aggregate
はい
dividend_ex_date_assumed

2031-05-08

dividend_2025_extra_ifrs_base_2025_standalone_profit_oku
未確認
company_dividend_payment_date_assumed

2031-05-20

old_holder_cash_yield_eur_per_share_note

この値は1株現金配当を基準株価で割った利回り。1株配当額はold_share_cash_eur_per_shareを参照。

6
内容を開く
対象年度
2032
period_start

2032-01-01

期間末

2032-12-31

period_days_included
366
is_partial_fiscal_year
いいえ
sales_seasonal_fraction_included
1
financial_day_fraction_included
1
売上高
94.327686
営業利益
8.84072
純利益
4.903086901
sbc_expense_in_reported_net_oku
0.331111
sbc_equity_credit_oku
0.331111
finance_costs_net_oku
-1.354405856
hyperinflation_oku
-0.22
tax_expense_oku
2.179894243
noncontrolling_profit_oku
0.183333
dividends_oku
2.069840295
gross_buybacks_oku
0
employee_plan_share_purchases_oku
0.331111
employee_share_delivery_shares
1505511
employee_delivery_from_2026_inventory_shares
0
employee_delivery_from_post2026_lots_shares
1505511
employee_share_delivery_book_value_oku
0
new_issuance_oku
0
new_issuance_shares
0
net_payout_oku
2.058425659
corporate_cash_net_returns_oku
2.069840295
old_holder_cash_dividend_oku
2.058425659
equity_begin_oku
21.85448114
equity_oku
24.687727745
noncontrolling_equity_begin_oku
0.917167
noncontrolling_equity_oku
1.018
total_consolidated_equity_oku
25.705727745
net_debt_begin_oku
24.18581886
net_debt_oku
22.284021255
capex_oku
4.150418
depreciation_oku
3.961763
working_capital_investment_oku
0.660294
nci_cash_dividends_oku
0.0825
fcf_before_discretionary_returns_and_ltip_oku
4.302748901
issued_shares_end
617259739
employee_treasury_shares_end
7552424
economic_outstanding_shares_begin
610082903
economic_outstanding_shares_end
609707315
old_share_fraction_of_company_end
1.64E-9
old_holder_cash_yield_eur_per_share
0.019274626
old_share_book_value_eur_at_yearend_or_cutoff
4.049111293
synthetic_old_share_cohort_book_value_oku
24.566705397
segment_revenue_oku
eu
36.743423
am
30.342429
amea
27.241835
segment_op_oku
eu
3.012961
am
2.666762
amea
3.716997
adjust_oku
-0.556
parent_equity_rollforward_residual_oku
0
出典

model_projection

after_terminal_tail_excluded_note
未確認
fy2036_full_year_if_not_cutoff
未確認
dividend_policy_basis

prior_FY_adjusted_parent_net_income_plus_2025_post_demerger_conditional_one_time_extra_for_FY2027

dividend_payout_ratio_assumed
0.4
prior_fy_ifrs_parent_profit_oku_for_dividend
4.694600738
prior_fy_posttax_adjusting_items_oku_for_dividend
0.48
prior_fy_adjusted_parent_profit_oku_for_dividend
5.174600738
prior_fy_ended_on

2031-12-31

reported_vs_projected_dividend

forecast_unapproved

dividend_ex_date_confirmed
未確認
dividend_policy_formula

0.4 × (4.694600738 + 0.48) + 0.0 (conditional 2025 demerger stub)

income_before_tax_oku
7.266314144
interest_policy_assumption

annual opening net debt × scenario rate × included time fraction; year-of-dividend financing impact starts following FY

net_debt_cash_identity_residual_oku
0
adjusting_items_after_tax_oku_included_in_reported_earnings
0.408
adjusted_parent_profit_oku_non_ifrs_illustration
5.311086901
non_ifrs_adjustment_does_not_change_equity_or_fcf
はい
dividend_current_FY2026_or_prior_FY_adjusted_income_part_oku
2.069840295
dividend_2025_post_demerger_extra_oku_conditional
0
fy2025_stub_extra_entitlement_of_2026_11_06_holder_assumed
はい
old_share_cash_eur_per_share
0.339271971882
company_dividend_eur_per_share_on_eligibles
0.339271971882
shareholder_synthetic_not_company_aggregate
はい
dividend_ex_date_assumed

2032-05-13

dividend_2025_extra_ifrs_base_2025_standalone_profit_oku
未確認
company_dividend_payment_date_assumed

2032-05-20

old_holder_cash_yield_eur_per_share_note

この値は1株現金配当を基準株価で割った利回り。1株配当額はold_share_cash_eur_per_shareを参照。

7
内容を開く
対象年度
2033
period_start

2033-01-01

期間末

2033-12-31

period_days_included
365
is_partial_fiscal_year
いいえ
sales_seasonal_fraction_included
1
financial_day_fraction_included
1
売上高
95.91597
営業利益
9.013197
純利益
5.091704267
sbc_expense_in_reported_net_oku
0.343333
sbc_equity_credit_oku
0.343333
finance_costs_net_oku
-1.24790519
hyperinflation_oku
-0.22
tax_expense_oku
2.263587543
noncontrolling_profit_oku
0.19
dividends_oku
2.12443476
gross_buybacks_oku
0
employee_plan_share_purchases_oku
0.343333
employee_share_delivery_shares
1568003
employee_delivery_from_2026_inventory_shares
0
employee_delivery_from_post2026_lots_shares
1568003
employee_share_delivery_book_value_oku
0
new_issuance_oku
0
new_issuance_shares
0
net_payout_oku
2.114020514
corporate_cash_net_returns_oku
2.12443476
old_holder_cash_dividend_oku
2.114020514
equity_begin_oku
24.687727745
equity_oku
27.654997252
noncontrolling_equity_begin_oku
1.018
noncontrolling_equity_oku
1.1225
total_consolidated_equity_oku
28.777497252
net_debt_begin_oku
22.284021255
net_debt_oku
20.265495748
capex_oku
4.220303
depreciation_oku
4.028471
working_capital_investment_oku
0.671412
nci_cash_dividends_oku
0.0855
fcf_before_discretionary_returns_and_ltip_oku
4.486293267
issued_shares_end
617259739
employee_treasury_shares_end
7934957
economic_outstanding_shares_begin
609707315
economic_outstanding_shares_end
609324782
old_share_fraction_of_company_end
1.641E-9
old_holder_cash_yield_eur_per_share
0.019795204
old_share_book_value_eur_at_yearend_or_cutoff
4.538629983
synthetic_old_share_cohort_book_value_oku
27.536705622
segment_revenue_oku
eu
37.078993
am
30.711842
amea
28.125135
segment_op_oku
eu
3.003398
am
2.692405
amea
3.834393
adjust_oku
-0.517
parent_equity_rollforward_residual_oku
0
出典

model_projection

after_terminal_tail_excluded_note
未確認
fy2036_full_year_if_not_cutoff
未確認
dividend_policy_basis

prior_FY_adjusted_parent_net_income_plus_2025_post_demerger_conditional_one_time_extra_for_FY2027

dividend_payout_ratio_assumed
0.4
prior_fy_ifrs_parent_profit_oku_for_dividend
4.903086901
prior_fy_posttax_adjusting_items_oku_for_dividend
0.408
prior_fy_adjusted_parent_profit_oku_for_dividend
5.311086901
prior_fy_ended_on

2032-12-31

reported_vs_projected_dividend

forecast_unapproved

dividend_ex_date_confirmed
未確認
dividend_policy_formula

0.4 × (4.903086901 + 0.408) + 0.0 (conditional 2025 demerger stub)

income_before_tax_oku
7.54529181
interest_policy_assumption

annual opening net debt × scenario rate × included time fraction; year-of-dividend financing impact starts following FY

net_debt_cash_identity_residual_oku
0
adjusting_items_after_tax_oku_included_in_reported_earnings
0.36
adjusted_parent_profit_oku_non_ifrs_illustration
5.451704267
non_ifrs_adjustment_does_not_change_equity_or_fcf
はい
dividend_current_FY2026_or_prior_FY_adjusted_income_part_oku
2.12443476
dividend_2025_post_demerger_extra_oku_conditional
0
fy2025_stub_extra_entitlement_of_2026_11_06_holder_assumed
はい
old_share_cash_eur_per_share
0.348435176683
company_dividend_eur_per_share_on_eligibles
0.348435176683
shareholder_synthetic_not_company_aggregate
はい
dividend_ex_date_assumed

2033-05-12

dividend_2025_extra_ifrs_base_2025_standalone_profit_oku
未確認
company_dividend_payment_date_assumed

2033-05-20

old_holder_cash_yield_eur_per_share_note

この値は1株現金配当を基準株価で割った利回り。1株配当額はold_share_cash_eur_per_shareを参照。

8
内容を開く
対象年度
2034
period_start

2034-01-01

期間末

2034-12-31

period_days_included
365
is_partial_fiscal_year
いいえ
sales_seasonal_fraction_included
1
financial_day_fraction_included
1
売上高
97.511211
営業利益
9.186288
純利益
5.285327167
sbc_expense_in_reported_net_oku
0.355556
sbc_equity_credit_oku
0.355556
finance_costs_net_oku
-1.134867762
hyperinflation_oku
-0.22
tax_expense_oku
2.349426071
noncontrolling_profit_oku
0.196667
dividends_oku
2.180681707
gross_buybacks_oku
0
employee_plan_share_purchases_oku
0.355556
employee_share_delivery_shares
1630497
employee_delivery_from_2026_inventory_shares
0
employee_delivery_from_post2026_lots_shares
1630497
employee_share_delivery_book_value_oku
0
new_issuance_oku
0
new_issuance_shares
0
net_payout_oku
2.171354047
corporate_cash_net_returns_oku
2.180681707
old_holder_cash_dividend_oku
2.171354047
equity_begin_oku
27.654997252
equity_oku
30.759642712
noncontrolling_equity_begin_oku
1.1225
noncontrolling_equity_oku
1.230667
total_consolidated_equity_oku
31.990309712
net_debt_begin_oku
20.265495748
net_debt_oku
18.126950288
capex_oku
4.290493
depreciation_oku
4.095471
working_capital_investment_oku
0.682578
nci_cash_dividends_oku
0.0885
fcf_before_discretionary_returns_and_ltip_oku
4.674783167
issued_shares_end
617259739
employee_treasury_shares_end
8324432
economic_outstanding_shares_begin
609324782
economic_outstanding_shares_end
608935307
old_share_fraction_of_company_end
1.642E-9
old_holder_cash_yield_eur_per_share
0.020332062
old_share_book_value_eur_at_yearend_or_cutoff
5.051381051
synthetic_old_share_cohort_book_value_oku
30.647660969
segment_revenue_oku
eu
37.406349
am
31.07641
amea
29.028453
segment_op_oku
eu
2.992508
am
2.717459
amea
3.95432
adjust_oku
-0.478
parent_equity_rollforward_residual_oku
0
出典

model_projection

after_terminal_tail_excluded_note
未確認
fy2036_full_year_if_not_cutoff
未確認
dividend_policy_basis

prior_FY_adjusted_parent_net_income_plus_2025_post_demerger_conditional_one_time_extra_for_FY2027

dividend_payout_ratio_assumed
0.4
prior_fy_ifrs_parent_profit_oku_for_dividend
5.091704267
prior_fy_posttax_adjusting_items_oku_for_dividend
0.36
prior_fy_adjusted_parent_profit_oku_for_dividend
5.451704267
prior_fy_ended_on

2033-12-31

reported_vs_projected_dividend

forecast_unapproved

dividend_ex_date_confirmed
未確認
dividend_policy_formula

0.4 × (5.091704267 + 0.36) + 0.0 (conditional 2025 demerger stub)

income_before_tax_oku
7.831420238
interest_policy_assumption

annual opening net debt × scenario rate × included time fraction; year-of-dividend financing impact starts following FY

net_debt_cash_identity_residual_oku
0
adjusting_items_after_tax_oku_included_in_reported_earnings
0.324
adjusted_parent_profit_oku_non_ifrs_illustration
5.609327167
non_ifrs_adjustment_does_not_change_equity_or_fcf
はい
dividend_current_FY2026_or_prior_FY_adjusted_income_part_oku
2.180681707
dividend_2025_post_demerger_extra_oku_conditional
0
fy2025_stub_extra_entitlement_of_2026_11_06_holder_assumed
はい
old_share_cash_eur_per_share
0.357884952516
company_dividend_eur_per_share_on_eligibles
0.357884952516
shareholder_synthetic_not_company_aggregate
はい
dividend_ex_date_assumed

2034-05-11

dividend_2025_extra_ifrs_base_2025_standalone_profit_oku
未確認
company_dividend_payment_date_assumed

2034-05-20

old_holder_cash_yield_eur_per_share_note

この値は1株現金配当を基準株価で割った利回り。1株配当額はold_share_cash_eur_per_shareを参照。

9
内容を開く
対象年度
2035
period_start

2035-01-01

期間末

2035-12-31

period_days_included
365
is_partial_fiscal_year
いいえ
sales_seasonal_fraction_included
1
financial_day_fraction_included
1
売上高
99.11295
営業利益
9.359981
純利益
5.484077249
sbc_expense_in_reported_net_oku
0.367778
sbc_equity_credit_oku
0.367778
finance_costs_net_oku
-1.015109216
hyperinflation_oku
-0.22
tax_expense_oku
2.437461535
noncontrolling_profit_oku
0.203333
dividends_oku
2.243730867
gross_buybacks_oku
0
employee_plan_share_purchases_oku
0.367778
employee_share_delivery_shares
1692989
employee_delivery_from_2026_inventory_shares
0
employee_delivery_from_post2026_lots_shares
1692989
employee_share_delivery_book_value_oku
0
new_issuance_oku
0
new_issuance_shares
0
net_payout_oku
2.235562472
corporate_cash_net_returns_oku
2.243730867
old_holder_cash_dividend_oku
2.235562472
equity_begin_oku
30.759642712
equity_oku
33.999989094
noncontrolling_equity_begin_oku
1.230667
noncontrolling_equity_oku
1.3425
total_consolidated_equity_oku
35.342489094
net_debt_begin_oku
18.126950288
net_debt_oku
15.870120906
capex_oku
4.36097
depreciation_oku
4.162744
working_capital_investment_oku
0.693791
nci_cash_dividends_oku
0.0915
fcf_before_discretionary_returns_and_ltip_oku
4.868338249
issued_shares_end
617259739
employee_treasury_shares_end
8720852
economic_outstanding_shares_begin
608935307
economic_outstanding_shares_end
608538887
old_share_fraction_of_company_end
1.643E-9
old_holder_cash_yield_eur_per_share
0.020933295
old_share_book_value_eur_at_yearend_or_cutoff
5.587151425
synthetic_old_share_cohort_book_value_oku
33.89827869
segment_revenue_oku
eu
37.725215
am
31.435852
amea
29.951883
segment_op_oku
eu
2.980292
am
2.741905
amea
4.076784
adjust_oku
-0.439
parent_equity_rollforward_residual_oku
0
出典

model_projection

after_terminal_tail_excluded_note
未確認
fy2036_full_year_if_not_cutoff
未確認
dividend_policy_basis

prior_FY_adjusted_parent_net_income_plus_2025_post_demerger_conditional_one_time_extra_for_FY2027

dividend_payout_ratio_assumed
0.4
prior_fy_ifrs_parent_profit_oku_for_dividend
5.285327167
prior_fy_posttax_adjusting_items_oku_for_dividend
0.324
prior_fy_adjusted_parent_profit_oku_for_dividend
5.609327167
prior_fy_ended_on

2034-12-31

reported_vs_projected_dividend

forecast_unapproved

dividend_ex_date_confirmed
未確認
dividend_policy_formula

0.4 × (5.285327167 + 0.324) + 0.0 (conditional 2025 demerger stub)

income_before_tax_oku
8.124871784
interest_policy_assumption

annual opening net debt × scenario rate × included time fraction; year-of-dividend financing impact starts following FY

net_debt_cash_identity_residual_oku
0
adjusting_items_after_tax_oku_included_in_reported_earnings
0.288
adjusted_parent_profit_oku_non_ifrs_illustration
5.772077249
non_ifrs_adjustment_does_not_change_equity_or_fcf
はい
dividend_current_FY2026_or_prior_FY_adjusted_income_part_oku
2.243730867
dividend_2025_post_demerger_extra_oku_conditional
0
fy2025_stub_extra_entitlement_of_2026_11_06_holder_assumed
はい
old_share_cash_eur_per_share
0.368467855432
company_dividend_eur_per_share_on_eligibles
0.368467855432
shareholder_synthetic_not_company_aggregate
はい
dividend_ex_date_assumed

2035-05-10

dividend_2025_extra_ifrs_base_2025_standalone_profit_oku
未確認
company_dividend_payment_date_assumed

2035-05-20

old_holder_cash_yield_eur_per_share_note

この値は1株現金配当を基準株価で割った利回り。1株配当額はold_share_cash_eur_per_shareを参照。

10
内容を開く
対象年度
2036
period_start

2036-01-01

期間末

2036-11-06

period_days_included
311
is_partial_fiscal_year
はい
sales_seasonal_fraction_included
0.911886649
financial_day_fraction_included
0.849726776
売上高
91.845878
営業利益
8.694168
純利益
5.247994146
sbc_expense_in_reported_net_oku
0.322896
sbc_equity_credit_oku
0.322896
finance_costs_net_oku
-0.755174934
hyperinflation_oku
-0.18694
tax_expense_oku
2.32561592
noncontrolling_profit_oku
0.178443
dividends_oku
2.308830899
gross_buybacks_oku
0
employee_plan_share_purchases_oku
0.38
employee_share_delivery_shares
1755482
employee_delivery_from_2026_inventory_shares
0
employee_delivery_from_post2026_lots_shares
1755482
employee_share_delivery_book_value_oku
0
new_issuance_oku
0
new_issuance_shares
0
net_payout_oku
2.30192407
corporate_cash_net_returns_oku
2.308830899
old_holder_cash_dividend_oku
2.30192407
equity_begin_oku
33.999989094
equity_oku
36.882048341
noncontrolling_equity_begin_oku
1.3425
noncontrolling_equity_oku
1.440643
total_consolidated_equity_oku
38.322691341
net_debt_begin_oku
15.870120906
net_debt_oku
13.894973659
capex_oku
4.041219
depreciation_oku
3.857527
working_capital_investment_oku
0.642921
nci_cash_dividends_oku
0.080299
fcf_before_discretionary_returns_and_ltip_oku
4.663978146
issued_shares_end
617259739
employee_treasury_shares_end
9124216
economic_outstanding_shares_begin
608538887
economic_outstanding_shares_end
608135523
old_share_fraction_of_company_end
1.644E-9
old_holder_cash_yield_eur_per_share
0.02155469
old_share_book_value_eur_at_yearend_or_cutoff
6.064774536
synthetic_old_share_cohort_book_value_oku
36.79610624
segment_revenue_oku
eu
34.683904
am
28.988775
amea
28.173198
segment_op_oku
eu
2.705345
am
2.522023
amea
3.831555
adjust_oku
-0.364755
parent_equity_rollforward_residual_oku
0
出典

model_projection

after_terminal_tail_excluded_note

2036-11-07以降の2036年度末収益・還元・資本は含めない

fy2036_full_year_if_not_cutoff
内容を開く
売上高
100.720718
営業利益
9.534264
純利益
5.697488838
adjusting_items_after_tax_oku_forecast
0.264
adjusted_parent_profit_oku_forecast
5.961488838
dividend_policy_basis

prior_FY_adjusted_parent_net_income_plus_2025_post_demerger_conditional_one_time_extra_for_FY2027

dividend_payout_ratio_assumed
0.4
prior_fy_ifrs_parent_profit_oku_for_dividend
5.484077249
prior_fy_posttax_adjusting_items_oku_for_dividend
0.288
prior_fy_adjusted_parent_profit_oku_for_dividend
5.772077249
prior_fy_ended_on

2035-12-31

reported_vs_projected_dividend

forecast_unapproved

dividend_ex_date_confirmed
未確認
dividend_policy_formula

0.4 × (5.484077249 + 0.288) + 0.0 (conditional 2025 demerger stub)

income_before_tax_oku
7.752053066
interest_policy_assumption

annual opening net debt × scenario rate × included time fraction; year-of-dividend financing impact starts following FY

net_debt_cash_identity_residual_oku
0
adjusting_items_after_tax_oku_included_in_reported_earnings
0.224327869
adjusted_parent_profit_oku_non_ifrs_illustration
5.472322015
non_ifrs_adjustment_does_not_change_equity_or_fcf
はい
after_2036_11_06_NI_not_in_10y_oku
0.441326003
dividend_current_FY2026_or_prior_FY_adjusted_income_part_oku
2.308830899
dividend_2025_post_demerger_extra_oku_conditional
0
fy2025_stub_extra_entitlement_of_2026_11_06_holder_assumed
はい
old_share_cash_eur_per_share
0.379405646673
company_dividend_eur_per_share_on_eligibles
0.379405646673
shareholder_synthetic_not_company_aggregate
はい
dividend_ex_date_assumed

2036-05-08

dividend_2025_extra_ifrs_base_2025_standalone_profit_oku
未確認
company_dividend_payment_date_assumed

2036-05-20

old_holder_cash_yield_eur_per_share_note

この値は1株現金配当を基準株価で割った利回り。1株配当額はold_share_cash_eur_per_shareを参照。

company_share_events
内容を開く
1
内容を開く
想定日

2027-05-20

event

ordinary_dividend

company_cash_oku
2.36
old_holder_cash_oku
2.379986825
発行済株式数
612259739
自己株式数
10636430
shares_eligible
601623309
total_adjusted_parent_income_prior_fy_oku
5.4
assumed_payout_ratio
0.4
confirmed_declared_dividend
いいえ
company_2026_or_prior_FY_regular_dividend_cash_oku
2.16
conditional_2025_post_demerger_extra_company_cash_oku
0.2
old_holder_one_share_cash_eur
0.392272035457
forecast_ex_date_assumed

2027-05-13

confirmed_ex_date
未確認
rights_condition

holding before forecast ex-date; not a right accruing to 2025 Unilever shareholder in person; confirmation pending

eligible_cohort_model

2026-11-06 one share held through ex-date

2
内容を開く
想定日

2027-06-16

event

employee_treasury_share_delivery

legacy_award_delivery_shares
250000
future_award_delivery_shares
0
employee_delivery_shares
250000
company_cash_oku
0
old_holder_cash_oku
0
shares_before
601623309
shares_after
601873309
注記

信託が既に保有する株式を社員へ移転する。取得額を再計上しない。自己資本総額の追加増減は0。

3
内容を開く
想定日

2027-10-15

event

future_employee_share_plan_market_purchase

company_cash_oku
0.27
new_ltip_treasury_shares
1533917
execution_price_model_eur_per_share
17.602
old_holder_cash_oku
0
future_award_cycle_start
2027
注記

2026年の既取得8,452,144株とは別の、FY2027以降の追加報酬サイクル向け仮定。

4
内容を開く
想定日

2028-05-20

event

ordinary_dividend

company_cash_oku
2.009843679
old_holder_cash_oku
2.031199791
発行済株式数
612259739
自己株式数
11920347
shares_eligible
600339392
total_adjusted_parent_income_prior_fy_oku
5.024609198
assumed_payout_ratio
0.4
confirmed_declared_dividend
いいえ
company_2026_or_prior_FY_regular_dividend_cash_oku
2.009843679
conditional_2025_post_demerger_extra_company_cash_oku
0
old_holder_one_share_cash_eur
0.334784574496
forecast_ex_date_assumed

2028-05-11

confirmed_ex_date
未確認
rights_condition

holding before forecast ex-date; not a right accruing to 2025 Unilever shareholder in person; confirmation pending

eligible_cohort_model

2026-11-06 one share held through ex-date

5
内容を開く
想定日

2028-06-16

event

employee_treasury_share_delivery

legacy_award_delivery_shares
250000
future_award_delivery_shares
0
employee_delivery_shares
250000
company_cash_oku
0
old_holder_cash_oku
0
shares_before
600339392
shares_after
600589392
注記

信託が既に保有する株式を社員へ移転する。取得額を再計上しない。自己資本総額の追加増減は0。

6
内容を開く
想定日

2028-10-15

event

future_employee_share_plan_market_purchase

company_cash_oku
0.282222222
new_ltip_treasury_shares
1603353
execution_price_model_eur_per_share
17.602
old_holder_cash_oku
0
future_award_cycle_start
2028
注記

2026年の既取得8,452,144株とは別の、FY2027以降の追加報酬サイクル向け仮定。

7
内容を開く
想定日

2029-05-20

event

ordinary_dividend

company_cash_oku
2.010047649
old_holder_cash_oku
2.0359957
発行済株式数
612259739
自己株式数
13273700
shares_eligible
598986039
total_adjusted_parent_income_prior_fy_oku
5.025119122
assumed_payout_ratio
0.4
confirmed_declared_dividend
いいえ
company_2026_or_prior_FY_regular_dividend_cash_oku
2.010047649
conditional_2025_post_demerger_extra_company_cash_oku
0
old_holder_one_share_cash_eur
0.335575041484
forecast_ex_date_assumed

2029-05-10

confirmed_ex_date
未確認
rights_condition

holding before forecast ex-date; not a right accruing to 2025 Unilever shareholder in person; confirmation pending

eligible_cohort_model

2026-11-06 one share held through ex-date

8
内容を開く
想定日

2029-06-16

event

employee_treasury_share_delivery

legacy_award_delivery_shares
4500000
future_award_delivery_shares
0
employee_delivery_shares
4500000
company_cash_oku
0
old_holder_cash_oku
0
shares_before
598986039
shares_after
603486039
注記

信託が既に保有する株式を社員へ移転する。取得額を再計上しない。自己資本総額の追加増減は0。

9
内容を開く
想定日

2029-10-15

event

future_employee_share_plan_market_purchase

company_cash_oku
0.294444444
new_ltip_treasury_shares
1672790
execution_price_model_eur_per_share
17.602
old_holder_cash_oku
0
future_award_cycle_start
2029
注記

2026年の既取得8,452,144株とは別の、FY2027以降の追加報酬サイクル向け仮定。

10
内容を開く
想定日

2030-05-20

event

ordinary_dividend

company_cash_oku
2.022730928
old_holder_cash_oku
2.039217617
発行済株式数
612259739
自己株式数
10446490
shares_eligible
601813249
total_adjusted_parent_income_prior_fy_oku
5.056827321
assumed_payout_ratio
0.4
confirmed_declared_dividend
いいえ
company_2026_or_prior_FY_regular_dividend_cash_oku
2.022730928
conditional_2025_post_demerger_extra_company_cash_oku
0
old_holder_one_share_cash_eur
0.336106081381
forecast_ex_date_assumed

2030-05-09

confirmed_ex_date
未確認
rights_condition

holding before forecast ex-date; not a right accruing to 2025 Unilever shareholder in person; confirmation pending

eligible_cohort_model

2026-11-06 one share held through ex-date

11
内容を開く
想定日

2030-06-16

event

employee_treasury_share_delivery

legacy_award_delivery_shares
4000000
future_award_delivery_shares
1380525
employee_delivery_shares
5380525
company_cash_oku
0
old_holder_cash_oku
0
shares_before
601813249
shares_after
607193774
注記

信託が既に保有する株式を社員へ移転する。取得額を再計上しない。自己資本総額の追加増減は0。

12
内容を開く
想定日

2030-10-15

event

future_employee_share_plan_market_purchase

company_cash_oku
0.306666667
new_ltip_treasury_shares
1742226
execution_price_model_eur_per_share
17.602
old_holder_cash_oku
0
future_award_cycle_start
2030
注記

2026年の既取得8,452,144株とは別の、FY2027以降の追加報酬サイクル向け仮定。

13
内容を開く
想定日

2031-05-20

event

ordinary_dividend

company_cash_oku
2.042696012
old_holder_cash_oku
2.046970345
発行済株式数
612259739
自己株式数
6808191
shares_eligible
605451548
total_adjusted_parent_income_prior_fy_oku
5.106740029
assumed_payout_ratio
0.4
confirmed_declared_dividend
いいえ
company_2026_or_prior_FY_regular_dividend_cash_oku
2.042696012
conditional_2025_post_demerger_extra_company_cash_oku
0
old_holder_one_share_cash_eur
0.337383894446
forecast_ex_date_assumed

2031-05-08

confirmed_ex_date
未確認
rights_condition

holding before forecast ex-date; not a right accruing to 2025 Unilever shareholder in person; confirmation pending

eligible_cohort_model

2026-11-06 one share held through ex-date

14
内容を開く
想定日

2031-06-16

event

employee_treasury_share_delivery

legacy_award_delivery_shares
0
future_award_delivery_shares
1443018
employee_delivery_shares
1443018
company_cash_oku
0
old_holder_cash_oku
0
shares_before
605451548
shares_after
606894566
注記

信託が既に保有する株式を社員へ移転する。取得額を再計上しない。自己資本総額の追加増減は0。

15
内容を開く
想定日

2031-07-01

event

nonparticipating_new_share_issue

company_cash_received_oku
0.7
new_shares
5000000
offer_price_model_eur
14
old_holder_cash_oku
0
rights_cash_value_assumed
0
注記

増資への追加払い込みも権利売却益も持たない旧株1株の非参加基準。引受条件は未確認の仮定。

16
内容を開く
想定日

2031-10-15

event

future_employee_share_plan_market_purchase

company_cash_oku
0.318888889
new_ltip_treasury_shares
1811663
execution_price_model_eur_per_share
17.602
old_holder_cash_oku
0
future_award_cycle_start
2031
注記

2026年の既取得8,452,144株とは別の、FY2027以降の追加報酬サイクル向け仮定。

17
内容を開く
想定日

2032-05-20

event

ordinary_dividend

company_cash_oku
2.069840295
old_holder_cash_oku
2.058425659
発行済株式数
617259739
自己株式数
7176836
shares_eligible
610082903
total_adjusted_parent_income_prior_fy_oku
5.174600738
assumed_payout_ratio
0.4
confirmed_declared_dividend
いいえ
company_2026_or_prior_FY_regular_dividend_cash_oku
2.069840295
conditional_2025_post_demerger_extra_company_cash_oku
0
old_holder_one_share_cash_eur
0.339271971882
forecast_ex_date_assumed

2032-05-13

confirmed_ex_date
未確認
rights_condition

holding before forecast ex-date; not a right accruing to 2025 Unilever shareholder in person; confirmation pending

eligible_cohort_model

2026-11-06 one share held through ex-date

18
内容を開く
想定日

2032-06-16

event

employee_treasury_share_delivery

legacy_award_delivery_shares
0
future_award_delivery_shares
1505511
employee_delivery_shares
1505511
company_cash_oku
0
old_holder_cash_oku
0
shares_before
610082903
shares_after
611588414
注記

信託が既に保有する株式を社員へ移転する。取得額を再計上しない。自己資本総額の追加増減は0。

19
内容を開く
想定日

2032-10-15

event

future_employee_share_plan_market_purchase

company_cash_oku
0.331111111
new_ltip_treasury_shares
1881099
execution_price_model_eur_per_share
17.602
old_holder_cash_oku
0
future_award_cycle_start
2032
注記

2026年の既取得8,452,144株とは別の、FY2027以降の追加報酬サイクル向け仮定。

20
内容を開く
想定日

2033-05-20

event

ordinary_dividend

company_cash_oku
2.12443476
old_holder_cash_oku
2.114020514
発行済株式数
617259739
自己株式数
7552424
shares_eligible
609707315
total_adjusted_parent_income_prior_fy_oku
5.311086901
assumed_payout_ratio
0.4
confirmed_declared_dividend
いいえ
company_2026_or_prior_FY_regular_dividend_cash_oku
2.12443476
conditional_2025_post_demerger_extra_company_cash_oku
0
old_holder_one_share_cash_eur
0.348435176683
forecast_ex_date_assumed

2033-05-12

confirmed_ex_date
未確認
rights_condition

holding before forecast ex-date; not a right accruing to 2025 Unilever shareholder in person; confirmation pending

eligible_cohort_model

2026-11-06 one share held through ex-date

21
内容を開く
想定日

2033-06-16

event

employee_treasury_share_delivery

legacy_award_delivery_shares
0
future_award_delivery_shares
1568003
employee_delivery_shares
1568003
company_cash_oku
0
old_holder_cash_oku
0
shares_before
609707315
shares_after
611275318
注記

信託が既に保有する株式を社員へ移転する。取得額を再計上しない。自己資本総額の追加増減は0。

22
内容を開く
想定日

2033-10-15

event

future_employee_share_plan_market_purchase

company_cash_oku
0.343333333
new_ltip_treasury_shares
1950536
execution_price_model_eur_per_share
17.602
old_holder_cash_oku
0
future_award_cycle_start
2033
注記

2026年の既取得8,452,144株とは別の、FY2027以降の追加報酬サイクル向け仮定。

23
内容を開く
想定日

2034-05-20

event

ordinary_dividend

company_cash_oku
2.180681707
old_holder_cash_oku
2.171354047
発行済株式数
617259739
自己株式数
7934957
shares_eligible
609324782
total_adjusted_parent_income_prior_fy_oku
5.451704267
assumed_payout_ratio
0.4
confirmed_declared_dividend
いいえ
company_2026_or_prior_FY_regular_dividend_cash_oku
2.180681707
conditional_2025_post_demerger_extra_company_cash_oku
0
old_holder_one_share_cash_eur
0.357884952516
forecast_ex_date_assumed

2034-05-11

confirmed_ex_date
未確認
rights_condition

holding before forecast ex-date; not a right accruing to 2025 Unilever shareholder in person; confirmation pending

eligible_cohort_model

2026-11-06 one share held through ex-date

24
内容を開く
想定日

2034-06-16

event

employee_treasury_share_delivery

legacy_award_delivery_shares
0
future_award_delivery_shares
1630497
employee_delivery_shares
1630497
company_cash_oku
0
old_holder_cash_oku
0
shares_before
609324782
shares_after
610955279
注記

信託が既に保有する株式を社員へ移転する。取得額を再計上しない。自己資本総額の追加増減は0。

25
内容を開く
想定日

2034-10-15

event

future_employee_share_plan_market_purchase

company_cash_oku
0.355555556
new_ltip_treasury_shares
2019972
execution_price_model_eur_per_share
17.602
old_holder_cash_oku
0
future_award_cycle_start
2034
注記

2026年の既取得8,452,144株とは別の、FY2027以降の追加報酬サイクル向け仮定。

26
内容を開く
想定日

2035-05-20

event

ordinary_dividend

company_cash_oku
2.243730867
old_holder_cash_oku
2.235562472
発行済株式数
617259739
自己株式数
8324432
shares_eligible
608935307
total_adjusted_parent_income_prior_fy_oku
5.609327167
assumed_payout_ratio
0.4
confirmed_declared_dividend
いいえ
company_2026_or_prior_FY_regular_dividend_cash_oku
2.243730867
conditional_2025_post_demerger_extra_company_cash_oku
0
old_holder_one_share_cash_eur
0.368467855432
forecast_ex_date_assumed

2035-05-10

confirmed_ex_date
未確認
rights_condition

holding before forecast ex-date; not a right accruing to 2025 Unilever shareholder in person; confirmation pending

eligible_cohort_model

2026-11-06 one share held through ex-date

27
内容を開く
想定日

2035-06-16

event

employee_treasury_share_delivery

legacy_award_delivery_shares
0
future_award_delivery_shares
1692989
employee_delivery_shares
1692989
company_cash_oku
0
old_holder_cash_oku
0
shares_before
608935307
shares_after
610628296
注記

信託が既に保有する株式を社員へ移転する。取得額を再計上しない。自己資本総額の追加増減は0。

28
内容を開く
想定日

2035-10-15

event

future_employee_share_plan_market_purchase

company_cash_oku
0.367777778
new_ltip_treasury_shares
2089409
execution_price_model_eur_per_share
17.602
old_holder_cash_oku
0
future_award_cycle_start
2035
注記

2026年の既取得8,452,144株とは別の、FY2027以降の追加報酬サイクル向け仮定。

29
内容を開く
想定日

2036-05-20

event

ordinary_dividend

company_cash_oku
2.308830899
old_holder_cash_oku
2.30192407
発行済株式数
617259739
自己株式数
8720852
shares_eligible
608538887
total_adjusted_parent_income_prior_fy_oku
5.772077249
assumed_payout_ratio
0.4
confirmed_declared_dividend
いいえ
company_2026_or_prior_FY_regular_dividend_cash_oku
2.308830899
conditional_2025_post_demerger_extra_company_cash_oku
0
old_holder_one_share_cash_eur
0.379405646673
forecast_ex_date_assumed

2036-05-08

confirmed_ex_date
未確認
rights_condition

holding before forecast ex-date; not a right accruing to 2025 Unilever shareholder in person; confirmation pending

eligible_cohort_model

2026-11-06 one share held through ex-date

30
内容を開く
想定日

2036-06-16

event

employee_treasury_share_delivery

legacy_award_delivery_shares
0
future_award_delivery_shares
1755482
employee_delivery_shares
1755482
company_cash_oku
0
old_holder_cash_oku
0
shares_before
608538887
shares_after
610294369
注記

信託が既に保有する株式を社員へ移転する。取得額を再計上しない。自己資本総額の追加増減は0。

31
内容を開く
想定日

2036-10-15

event

future_employee_share_plan_market_purchase

company_cash_oku
0.38
new_ltip_treasury_shares
2158846
execution_price_model_eur_per_share
17.602
old_holder_cash_oku
0
future_award_cycle_start
2036
注記

2026年の既取得8,452,144株とは別の、FY2027以降の追加報酬サイクル向け仮定。

periods
内容を開く
2026_stub
内容を開く
period_id

2026_remaining_stub

対象年度
2026
period_start

2026-11-07

期間末

2026-12-31

period_start_exclusive_from_base

2026-11-06

days
55
is_full_fiscal_year
いいえ
reported_vs_forecast

推計のみ。2026-11-06時点で以降は全て未実績

売上高
7.442935
営業利益
-0.071739
finance_net_oku
-0.23913
hyperinflation_oku
-0.011957
tax_oku
0.073533
noncontrolling_profit_oku
0.019728
純利益
-0.269022
oci_parent_oku
-0.119565
sbc_expense_oku
0.059783
sbc_equity_credit_oku
0.059783
dividends_oku
0
gross_discretionary_buybacks_oku
0
ltip_pre_valuation_disclosed_trades_settled_post_base_oku
0.571239
ltip_pre_valuation_disclosed_trades_shares_settled_post_base
3380858
ltip_new_unverified_shares_acquired_post_base_oku
0.3
ltip_new_unverified_shares_acquired_post_base
1714286
ltip_total_cash_oku
0.871239
ltip_delivered_shares
0
new_issuance_proceeds_oku
0
new_issue_shares
0
old_holder_cash_payout_oku
0
company_equity_oku
9.811903
noncontrolling_equity_oku
0.468
consolidated_equity_oku
10.279903
net_debt_oku
31.828097
発行済株式数
612259739
employee_treasury_shares
10636430
economic_outstanding_shares
601623309
book_identity

E2026-12-31=E2026-11-06+NI_st+OCI_st+SBCcredit_st-LTIPforward_settlement_st-LTIPnewpurchase_st, no dividends or discretionary buybacks

2027_2035_full_year_count
9
2036_partial_cutoff
内容を開く
period_start

2036-01-01

期間末

2036-11-06

calendar_days
311
days_in_year
366
sales_fraction
0.911886649
earnings_finance_day_fraction
0.849726776
full_2036_revenue_excluded_after_cutoff_oku
8.874839965
full_2036_profit_excluded_after_cutoff_oku
0.441326003
注記

FY2036年末2036-12-31の会社資本・利益・配当・自己株買いを终点として混ぜない。

forecast_part_2036_IFRS_parent_profit_oku
5.247994146
excluded_2036_post_cutoff_dividends_oku
0
after_tax_adjusting_items_2036_partial_oku
0.224327869
full_2036_profit_without_financing_feedback_if_not_cutoff_oku
5.697488838
after_cutoff_profits_not_included
はい
full_2036_post_valuation_tail_not_modeled
はい
economic_book_rollforward
内容を開く
begin_equity_oku
11.01194628
forecast_parent_net_sum_oku
47.531064137
forecast_OCI_sum_oku
-0.119565
forecast_SBC_equity_credit_sum_oku
3.252679
forecast_post_base_ltip_cash_purchases_oku
4.121239
forecast_regular_dividends_oku
21.172836796
forecast_conditional_2025_post_demerger_extra_oku
0.2
forecast_total_dividends_oku
21.372836796
forecast_discretionary_buybacks_oku
0
forecast_new_cash_equity_issuance_oku
0.7
end_equity_oku
36.882048341
identity_residual_oku
-2.8E-7
model_description

Includes 2026-11-07 to Dec31 stub, FY2027-35, partial FY2036. 2025 pre-2026 profit already in opening equity and never booked twice.

dividend_income_base_year_ledger
内容を開く
1
内容を開く
payment_fy
2027
basis_fy
2026
IFRS_parent_profit_oku
4.12
posttax_adjustment_oku
1.28
adjusted_parent_profit_oku
5.4
payout_ratio
0.4
regular_dividend_oku
2.16
2025_post_demerger_conditional_extra_oku
0.2
corporate_dividend_oku
2.36
formula_residual_oku
-0
source_of_amount

all predicted; FAQ basis, 2025 extra amount explicitly assumed and unapproved

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_assumed

2027-05-13

2
内容を開く
payment_fy
2028
basis_fy
2027
IFRS_parent_profit_oku
4.040609198
posttax_adjustment_oku
0.984
adjusted_parent_profit_oku
5.024609198
payout_ratio
0.4
regular_dividend_oku
2.009843679
2025_post_demerger_conditional_extra_oku
0
corporate_dividend_oku
2.009843679
formula_residual_oku
-0
source_of_amount

all predicted; FAQ basis, 2025 extra amount explicitly assumed and unapproved

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_assumed

2028-05-11

3
内容を開く
payment_fy
2029
basis_fy
2028
IFRS_parent_profit_oku
4.185119122
posttax_adjustment_oku
0.84
adjusted_parent_profit_oku
5.025119122
payout_ratio
0.4
regular_dividend_oku
2.010047649
2025_post_demerger_conditional_extra_oku
0
corporate_dividend_oku
2.010047649
formula_residual_oku
0
source_of_amount

all predicted; FAQ basis, 2025 extra amount explicitly assumed and unapproved

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_assumed

2029-05-10

4
内容を開く
payment_fy
2030
basis_fy
2029
IFRS_parent_profit_oku
4.348827321
posttax_adjustment_oku
0.708
adjusted_parent_profit_oku
5.056827321
payout_ratio
0.4
regular_dividend_oku
2.022730928
2025_post_demerger_conditional_extra_oku
0
corporate_dividend_oku
2.022730928
formula_residual_oku
-0
source_of_amount

all predicted; FAQ basis, 2025 extra amount explicitly assumed and unapproved

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_assumed

2030-05-09

5
内容を開く
payment_fy
2031
basis_fy
2030
IFRS_parent_profit_oku
4.518740029
posttax_adjustment_oku
0.588
adjusted_parent_profit_oku
5.106740029
payout_ratio
0.4
regular_dividend_oku
2.042696012
2025_post_demerger_conditional_extra_oku
0
corporate_dividend_oku
2.042696012
formula_residual_oku
0
source_of_amount

all predicted; FAQ basis, 2025 extra amount explicitly assumed and unapproved

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_assumed

2031-05-08

6
内容を開く
payment_fy
2032
basis_fy
2031
IFRS_parent_profit_oku
4.694600738
posttax_adjustment_oku
0.48
adjusted_parent_profit_oku
5.174600738
payout_ratio
0.4
regular_dividend_oku
2.069840295
2025_post_demerger_conditional_extra_oku
0
corporate_dividend_oku
2.069840295
formula_residual_oku
-0
source_of_amount

all predicted; FAQ basis, 2025 extra amount explicitly assumed and unapproved

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_assumed

2032-05-13

7
内容を開く
payment_fy
2033
basis_fy
2032
IFRS_parent_profit_oku
4.903086901
posttax_adjustment_oku
0.408
adjusted_parent_profit_oku
5.311086901
payout_ratio
0.4
regular_dividend_oku
2.12443476
2025_post_demerger_conditional_extra_oku
0
corporate_dividend_oku
2.12443476
formula_residual_oku
-0
source_of_amount

all predicted; FAQ basis, 2025 extra amount explicitly assumed and unapproved

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_assumed

2033-05-12

8
内容を開く
payment_fy
2034
basis_fy
2033
IFRS_parent_profit_oku
5.091704267
posttax_adjustment_oku
0.36
adjusted_parent_profit_oku
5.451704267
payout_ratio
0.4
regular_dividend_oku
2.180681707
2025_post_demerger_conditional_extra_oku
0
corporate_dividend_oku
2.180681707
formula_residual_oku
0
source_of_amount

all predicted; FAQ basis, 2025 extra amount explicitly assumed and unapproved

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_assumed

2034-05-11

9
内容を開く
payment_fy
2035
basis_fy
2034
IFRS_parent_profit_oku
5.285327167
posttax_adjustment_oku
0.324
adjusted_parent_profit_oku
5.609327167
payout_ratio
0.4
regular_dividend_oku
2.243730867
2025_post_demerger_conditional_extra_oku
0
corporate_dividend_oku
2.243730867
formula_residual_oku
0
source_of_amount

all predicted; FAQ basis, 2025 extra amount explicitly assumed and unapproved

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_assumed

2035-05-10

10
内容を開く
payment_fy
2036
basis_fy
2035
IFRS_parent_profit_oku
5.484077249
posttax_adjustment_oku
0.288
adjusted_parent_profit_oku
5.772077249
payout_ratio
0.4
regular_dividend_oku
2.308830899
2025_post_demerger_conditional_extra_oku
0
corporate_dividend_oku
2.308830899
formula_residual_oku
-1.0E-9
source_of_amount

all predicted; FAQ basis, 2025 extra amount explicitly assumed and unapproved

ex_date_confirmed
未確認
ex_date_assumed

2036-05-08

company_net_debt_end_oku
13.894973659
interest_cost_and_payout_convention

配当年の財務費用は期首純負債から概算。配当増減による期末純負債の変動は次年度利息に反映。年内追加借入の期中利息は省略。

cash_dividends_regular_company_sum_oku
21.172836796
cash_dividends_2025_post_demerger_conditional_company_sum_oku
0.2
company_dividend_plus_2025_extra_not_holder_synthetic_oku
21.372836796
dividend_2027_2025_stub_extra_conditional_oku
0.2
2025_post_demerger_extra_declared_exact_oku
未確認
2025_post_demerger_IFRS_parent_profit_oku_reported
-1.87
2025_post_demerger_adjusted_parent_profit_oku_reported
未確認
terminal_event_review
内容を開く
event_type

terminal_unrealized_value_not_cashflow

想定日

2036-11-06

date_confirmed
未確認
year
10.001368925394
value_eur_per_old_share
10.283497170495
synthetic_value_oku
62.391874947
issuer_all_common_terminal_value_oku
63.382058904
terminal_economic_outstanding_shares
608135523
terminal_effective_diluted_shares
616347317
prospective_employee_awards_to_be_delivered_shares
8211794
terminal_common_equity_oku
36.882048341
trailing_parent_IFRS_12m_oku
5.73121457
forward_IFRS_12m_oku
5.782795501
required_reinvestment_oku
0.331938435
forward_FCFE_oku
5.450857066
market_PER_or_PBR_used
いいえ
included_in_timed_cashflows
いいえ
only_add_once_for_PV_IRR
はい
synthetic_not_real_aggregate

N0×1 share value, not a physically existing holder cohort or whole-company market cap

timed_cashflows_include_terminal
いいえ
timed_cashflows_number_of_cash_dividends
10
terminal_valued_separately
はい
non_tendering_holder_cashflows_exclude_discretionary_buyback
はい

弱気:継続的需要悪化、地域規制と財務負担(確率 8.0%)

欧米数量減少と原材料価格の逆行、トルコ規制、TSA/IT移管費用、レバレッジを同時に悪化させる。2027の初回配当は未承認であり、縮小を仮定する。

確率の根拠

深刻な複合ショックは起こりにくいが無視できないため8%。

このシナリオの数値・キャッシュフローを開く →

事業の詳細

説明

Unileverのアイス事業を2025年12月6日に分離し、同8日にAmsterdam/ロンドン/NY上場。Magnum、Ben & Jerry’s、Cornetto、Heartbrand、Yasso等を80市場で展開。営業部門は地域3区分Europe & ANZ、Americas、AMEA。

demerger

2025-12-06分離、Unilever旧株主への80.15%の非現金分配とUnileverによる19.85%継続保有。旧Unileverの持分19.85%はTMICC連結財務諸表の非支配株主持分ではない。

region_segments
1

Europe & ANZ

2

Americas

3

AMEA

revenue_model

revenue_oku = volume_index × price_oku_per_index × rev_factor。volumeは2026年通期推計を1とする地域別事業量代理指数で、販売個数実績ではない。priceは平均価格・構成・通貨換算を含むモデル係数。

organic_vs_inorganic

インドKwality Wall’sとポルトガルULICCの買収は2026年4月から連結。2026年度通期推計基準に当該取得後売上を含め、2027年初年度は未連結3か月分のわずかなcarryoverのみを一度加算。2028年以降同じ買収売上を再加算せず、将来未契約買収増収は0と仮定。

risks
内容を開く
1

北半球の夏と天候・冬季の季節性

2

乳・ココア・砂糖・エネルギーと冷凍配送費

3

大型小売の棚割・価格競争

4

トルコ競争当局の小型店舗冷凍庫容量30%措置

5

インド/ポルトガル買収統合と為替換算

6

TSAを2027末までに退出するIT/人員移管

7

金利負担と大型債務の満期

8

Ben & Jerry’s等のブランド評判

競争力の詳細

pricing_power

プレミアム化とブランド認知は強いが、欧州Q3 2026は数量+11.6%に対し価格-2.4%。地域ごとに需要・ミックス差が大きく、全市場で強気の値上げは仮定しない。

consumption

アイスクリームは反復消費だが、天候依存・夏季偏重。H1 2026売上46.91億EUR、2025年通期79.10億EURを安易に2倍年率化しない。

SBC

H1 2026費用18百万EURは報告営業利益587百万EURに既に反映。非現金SBC資本振替18百万EURおよび自己株購入8百万EURを区別。16 June 2026オプション10,952,635個の実際の権利確定数・交付株数は未確定。

M_and_A

KWIL 279百万EUR、Portugal ULICC 152百万EUR、取得時対価総額431百万EUR、取得対象純資産96百万EUR、取得時非支配持分25百万EUR、のれん360百万EUR(96−25+360=431)。買収対価はIFRS利益に一括費用化しない。のれん通常償却せず、減損は発生時に報告利益へ計上。

spinoff_accounting

2025年のcarve-out比較数値と2026年の独立後TSA費用、借入利息、株式報酬を混同しない。

業界の詳細

markets

約80市場。2026 Q3の地域別OSG:Europe & ANZ 8.9%、Americas 3.9%、AMEA 17.6%。欧州は好天により四半期成長の2~3%ポイント分押し上げとの会社推計。

2026_H1_organic
total
0.047
数量
0.025
価格・単価
0.022
2026_Q3_organic
total
0.096
数量
0.073
価格・単価
0.022
2026_9m_organic
total
0.064
数量
0.041
価格・単価
0.022
2026_guidance
内容を開く
organic_sales_growth_approx
0.055
adjusted_EBITDA_margin_uplift_comparable_bps
1
40
2
60
reported_margin_uplift_bps
1
0
2
20
long_run_OSG_target_range
1
0.03
2
0.05
productivity_savings_target_eur_oku_by_2028
5
TSA_exit_expected

2027-12-31

2026_guidance_not_reported_IFRS

会社予想は有機売上・調整後EBITDA。報告IFRS営業利益・普通株利益をそのまま会社目標として転記しない。

財務・資本配分の詳細

reported_2025_IFRS
内容を開く
期間末

2025-12-31

売上高
79.1
営業利益(億)
5.99
consolidated_profit_oku
3.07
parent_attributable_profit_oku
2.93
親会社持分(億)
6.25
非支配持分資本(億)
0.08
net_debt_oku
29.67
separation_adjusting_items_within_operating_profit_oku
3.18
出典

https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/2071668/000110465926029805/micc-20251231x20f.htm

reported_2026_H1_IFRS
内容を開く
期間末

2026-06-30

unaudited
はい
売上高
46.91
営業利益(億)
5.87
adjusted_EBIT_oku_nonIFRS
7.16
finance_costs_net_oku
-0.72
turkey_hyperinflation_loss_oku
-0.13
profit_before_tax_oku
5.02
income_tax_oku
-1.53
consolidated_profit_oku
3.49
nci_profit_oku
0.07
parent_common_profit_oku
3.42
親会社持分(億)
10.81
非支配持分資本(億)
0.41
total_equity_oku
11.22
net_debt_oku
32.64
gross_financial_liabilities_oku
38.45
cash_equivalents_oku
5.77
goodwill_oku
8.85
intangible_assets_oku
7.64
cash_purchase_acquisitions_oku
4.45
sbc_expense_oku
0.18
sbc_equity_credit_oku
0.18
cash_purchase_shares_for_employee_plan_oku
0.08
employee_plan_movements_equity_oku
-0.1
OCI_parent_oku
0.64
hedges_transferred_to_nonfinancial_assets_equity_oku
0.42
parent_equity_roll

6.25+3.42+0.64-0.10+0.18+0.42=10.81

ordinary_dividends_declared_oku
0
ordinary_buybacks_for_cash_return_oku
0
出典

https://news.magnumicecream.com/2026-half-year-results/

nonIFRS_adjusted_parent_earnings_oku_reported
4.42
reported_posttax_adjusting_items_oku_rounded_difference
1
company_table_posttax_adjustments_oku_as_published
1.01
rounding_reconciliation_note

会社開示のIFRS親会社利益3.42億EURとAdjusted net profit4.42億EURの表示差は1.00億EUR。税引後調整項目テーブルは1.01億EURであり、百万EUR丸めにより一致しない。配当計算は4.42億EURの調整後利益を優先。

adjusted_parent_profit_is_not_ifrs_profit
はい
acquisition_2026_H1
内容を開く
KWIL_purchase_consideration_oku
2.79
Portugal_purchase_consideration_oku
1.52
total_consideration_oku
4.31
identifiable_net_assets_oku
0.96
acquisition_NCI_oku
0.25
acquisition_goodwill_oku
3.6
cash_flow_acquisitions_net_cash_oku
4.45
consolidation_start

2026-04-01

注記

取得価額4.31は取得資産純額0.96−NCI0.25+のれん3.60。営業利益から取得現金4.31億EURを再控除しない。キャッシュフロー表示4.45との差0.14は厳密な内訳不明。

Philippines_Put_Option_oku
1.33
Philippines_Put_Option_exercisable_after

2028-04

Philippines_put_note

フィリピンRFM合弁の相手方が保有する売付権に対応した金融負債1.33億EUR。負債に既に含まれ、企業価値から再控除しない。行使まで猶予との開示。

SBC_2026_grant_options
10952635
SBC_granted_on

2026-06-16

SBC_vesting

付与後3年と4年の二回、相対TSR・継続在職条件

2026_Q3_trading_update
内容を開く
期間末

2026-09-30

revenue_9m_oku
72.02
revenue_q3_oku
25.11
reported_net_profit_9m_oku
未確認
reported_equity_2026_09_30_oku
未確認
理由

Q3はTrading Updateであり、9か月のIFRS普通株利益・資本は開示されていない。

2026_FY_model_bridge
内容を開く
classification

会社のQ3取引更新からQ3 IFRS利益や財務諸表を読み取れないため、Q3・Q4利益とFY2026末資本は分析上の推計。

H1_reported_revenue_oku
46.91
H1_reported_op_oku
5.87
H1_reported_parent_profit_oku
3.42
Q3_reported_revenue_oku
25.11
Q3_estimated_op_oku
1.92
Q3_estimated_finance_oku
-0.33
Q3_estimated_hyperinflation_oku
0.02
Q3_estimated_tax_oku
-0.42
Q3_estimated_NCI_profit_oku
0.04
Q3_estimated_parent_profit_oku
1.15
Q4_estimated_revenue_oku
12.45
Q4_estimated_op_oku
-0.12
Q4_estimated_finance_oku
-0.4
Q4_estimated_hyperinflation_oku
-0.02
Q4_estimated_tax_oku
0.123
Q4_estimated_NCI_profit_oku
0.033
Q4_estimated_parent_profit_oku
-0.45
FY2026_revenue_oku
84.47
FY2026_operating_profit_oku
7.67
FY2026_finance_net_oku
-1.45
FY2026_hyperinflation_oku
-0.13
FY2026_tax_oku
-1.827
FY2026_noncontrolling_profit_oku
0.143
FY2026_parent_profit_oku
4.12
Q3_parent_book_oku_after_partial_settlement_model
11.518761288
2026_11_06_parent_book_oku_after_model_settlement
11.01194628
2026_12_31_parent_book_oku_after_100pct_forward_settlement_plus_0p3_unconfirmed
9.81190322
2026_12_31_net_debt_oku_model
31.82809678
FY2026_book_formula

2026H1報告B10.81+H2推計普通株利益0.70+H2 OCI(-0.15)+H2SBCcredit0.18-8~9月報告LTIP先渡取引についてFY2026末までに全額決済のモデル1.42809678-未確定新規LTIP購入0.30=9.81190322。

no_double_LTIP_stock_counted
はい
注記

旧版のQ3末に8~9月公表全額を決済した仮定は撤回し、2026年11月6日前後の決済不確実性を再配分。

FY2026_after_tax_adjustments_oku_model
1.28
FY2026_adjusted_parent_profit_oku_model
5.4
FY2026_ifrs_parent_profit_oku_model
4.12
H1_reported_IFRS_parent_profit_oku
3.42
H1_reported_adjusted_parent_profit_oku
4.42
H1_posttax_adjustments_oku_source_rounded_bridge
1
H2_estimated_IFRS_parent_profit_oku
0.7
H2_estimated_posttax_adjustments_oku
0.28
H2_estimated_adjusted_parent_profit_oku
0.98
FY2026_dividend_2027_model_formula

FY2026 IFRS親会社利益4.12億 + 会社H1調整差1.00億 + 推計H2調整額0.28億 = FY2026調整後5.40億EUR。2027年初回会社配当はシナリオ別配当性向×5.40億 + 2025分離後期間の条件付き追加配当0.20億(全額未公表、感応度0〜0.50億)。

2025_post_demerger_extra_dividend_oku_in_base_model
0.2
2025_post_demerger_additional_distribution_known
未確認
2025_post_demerger_caveat

Company FAQ expects some 2025 post-demerger component to be included in the first 2027 payment, but the reported post-demerger IFRS parent profit is a loss of 1.87億EUR and adjusted stub profit is not separately reported. Additional amount 0.20億EUR is a conditional illustration, not a declared or otherwise supported estimate. Sensitivities 0 and 0.50億EUR.

future_policy
内容を開く
company_dividend_policy

会社公式の年間配当目安は「調整項目後の純利益(net income after adjusting items)」の40~60%。IFRS純利益の40~60%とは異なる。初回配当はFY2026に関して2027H1支払予定、額とex dateは基準日時点未確認。2025年分離後の期間分の追加内訳は未確認。

first_dividend_approved_amount_oku
未確認
first_dividend_payment_date
未確認
gross_discretionary_buyback_program_announced_asof
未確認
buyback_confirmation_limit

2026-11-06までの一次資料で確定の将来自社株買いプログラムと金額を確認できない。未来の買戻し額はモデル仮定。

future_SBC

IFRS営業利益のSBC費用を戻さない。既存2026LTIP株式取得8,452,144株は2026-11-06前60%、同日後40%決済と予測。2027以降の株式購入は別報酬サイクルとし年別に株数・EBT残・社員交付を記録。2029/2030に2026 Foundation Planからそれぞれ450万/400万株交付、以後新規サイクルは3年後に90%交付する仮定。取得済み株式の交付を追加購入費用として再計上しない。

future_issuance

base/bull/mild_bullは新規有償発行0、mild_bear 2031 0.7億EUR、bear 2028 1.5億EUR・2032 1.0億EURの新株発行を資本保全シナリオとして仮定。旧株1株は新株を引き受けず、追加支払なし、希薄化を分母で反映。

forecast_dividend_income_definition

adjusted_parent_income_for_dividend_oku = IFRS_parent_net_oku + post_tax_adjusting_items_oku_already_embedded_in_IFRS。IFRS資本rollforwardはIFRS利益のみ。

forecast_dividend_timing

FY t-1調整後親会社利益を基準にFY tの5月20日に配当(全日付が仮定)。後年のFY t IFRS利益から当年配当を計算しない。

special_dividend_2025_stub_unknown
はい
no_duplicate_adjusted_profit_in_equity_or_terminal

調整後利益を普通株資本や終価用利益へ転記しない。調整後利益は配当目安の算定だけに使用し、IFRS費用・SBCはすべて報告ベースの利益に残す。

valuation
内容を開く
方法

timed_holder_cashflows_v1

開始日

2026-11-06

終了日

2036-11-06

holding_period_days
3653
year_day_count

ACT/365.25

year_formula

year=(date_assumed−2026-11-06).days/365.25

discount_formula

PV_case=Σ (dividend per share received by the one initial share × N0/1e8)/(1+k)^year + mcap_oku/(1+k)^terminal_year. mcap and terminal_event_review never in timed_cashflows.

holder_convention

旧株1株を期間中売却しない・一般買戻しに非応札・増資に追加参加せず・2036-11-06に全て売却。旧株1株の円滑な比較のためt0モデル流通株数倍の合成持分億EURとして表示。

payout_oku_definition

Only 10 cash dividends received by ONE original 2026-11-06 share × N0 synthetic index scale. No buybacks and no terminal.

mcap_oku_definition

Only 2036-11-06 original one share terminal intrinsic value × N0 synthetic index scale; terminal value excluded from timed_cashflows.

terminal_firm_equity_formula

E_terminal×[(earnings_coming_12m/E_terminal - g)/(k-g)] = [forward_12m_earnings-g×E_terminal]/(k-g)

terminal_earnings_basis

2036-11-06末尾12か月の利益=2035年11/07-12/31推定利益+2036年1/01-11/06推定利益。次の12か月予想=同末尾12か月×(1+g)。2036年末全期予想を2036-11-06終価に誤用しない。

terminal_share_price_formula

firm_equity_value_2036_11_06/(economic_shares_2036_11_06 + expected_future_treasury_release_shares)

terminal_ltip_post_valuation

2036-11-06時点の社員制度向け保有株の90%が将来交付されると予想して、同日の旧株売却価格の分母に予想交付株数を含める。現金購入費用を二重計上せず、継続して利益に含むSBCと照合。

no_permanent_share_reduction_from_ltip_purchases

LTIP市場取得はEBT保有時に経済流通株を減らし、従業員交付時に増やす。恒久消却の通常自己株買いとは区別。

no_market_PER_or_PBR_regression
はい
common_discount_k
0.095
xirr_formula

0=-17.602 +Σ dividend_EUR_one_share/(1+IRR)^actual_year + ONLY_ONE terminal_sale_one_share/(1+IRR)^10.001369

reference_old_method

旧版2027~2036年暦年利益と終価を5年一括・10年で割引した金額は参考専用。今回の厳密な保有者時点別キャッシュフローとは比較時点・持分希薄化・受領者が異なるため主計算には流用しない。

dividend_policy_basis

forecast adjusted aftertax earnings (company policy), IFRS net retained for accounting and terminal

FY2026_2027_dividend_bridge

2026 FY IFRS profit 4.12 + H1 posttax adjusting 1.00 + H2 estimated posttax adjusting 0.28 = adjusted parent income 5.40. FY2027 ratio ×5.40.

current_version

v3_post2025_demerger_conditional_dividend_terminal_separation_2026_11_08

reported_2026_post_H1_LTIP_share_transactions
内容を開く
source_disclosure_cutoff

2026-09-30

first_tranche
内容を開く
announcement_date

2026-08-18

final_transaction_date

2026-09-09

completion_announced_on

2026-09-10

authorised_up_to_shares
5500000
confirmed_acquired_shares
5401973
confirmed_daily_transaction_amount_eur
91856763.68
confirmed_transaction_amount_oku
0.9185676368
company_says_tranche_complete
はい
second_tranche
内容を開く
announcement_date

2026-09-18

last_transaction_date_confirmed

2026-09-30

announced_up_to_shares
6600000
confirmed_acquired_shares_through_sept30
3050171
confirmed_daily_transaction_amount_eur
50952914.32
confirmed_transaction_amount_oku
0.5095291432
additional_authorised_not_confirmed_as_acquired_shares
3549829
confirmed_total_to_sept30
内容を開く
株数
8452144
gross_transaction_amount_eur
142809678
gross_transaction_amount_oku
1.42809678
purchase_intent

長期インセンティブ制度の既存株による履行であり、通常の株主還元買戻しとは異なる。先渡取引を通じて取得後EBTへ交付予定。

may_not_equal_treasury_shares_on_2026_11_06
はい
2026_10_01_to_2026_11_06_verified_additional_acquisitions
未確認
2026_10_01_to_2026_11_06_unknown_reason

9月30日以降の取得総数、受渡日、会計自己株残高について、確認した基準日前の会社一次資料に一株単位の確定値がない。追加購入0株と断定しない。

H2_cash_settlement_timing_verified
未確認
accounting_assumption

8~9月に確定公表された取引8,452,144株・1.42809678億EURを、実際の先渡決済日未確認のまま期中取得株として計上しない。11/06までに60%(5,071,286株)が現金決済されEBTで保有と仮定、残40%(3,380,858株)を2026-12-15に決済と仮定。さらに2026-12-15新規0.30億EURのLTIP株取得を追加する仮定だが公表済み8,452,144株とは別取引。

Q4_additional_stock_purchase_model_assumption_oku
0.3
Q4_assumption_reason

第2トランシェ最大660万株の未確認残に対し追加取得の可能性があるため、0.30億EURを予測計上。会社公表の確定購入ではない。

sources
1

https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/2071668/000117184326005969/f6k_091026.htm

2

https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/2071668/000117184326006305/f6k_093026.htm

3

https://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2026/09/18/3364532/0/en/share-purchase-long-term-incentive-plans.html

settled_asof_2026_11_06_company_confirmed
未確認
asof_settlement_fraction_model_assumed
0.6
postbase_settlement_date_assumed

2026-12-15

pre_2026_11_06_shares_settled_model
5071286
post_2026_11_06_pre_2026_12_31_reported_trades_settlement_shares_model
3380858
post_2026_11_06_new_unconfirmed_shares_acquired_model
1714286
asof_2026_11_06_model_bridge
内容を開く
状態

未監査Q3損益と先渡決済率の独自推計。正確な基準日IFRS B/Sは未公表。

period_start

2026-06-30

期間末

2026-11-06

h1_parent_common_equity_oku_reported
10.81
h1_nci_equity_oku_reported
0.41
h1_net_debt_oku_reported
32.64
Q3_parent_profit_oku_estimate
1.15
Q3_OCI_parent_oku_estimate
0.05
Q3_sbc_equity_credit_oku_estimate
0.08
Q3_ltip_forward_settlement_oku_assumed
0.571238712
Q4_oct01_nov06_parent_profit_oku_estimate
-0.180978261
Q4_oct01_nov06_OCI_oku_estimate
-0.080434783
Q4_oct01_nov06_sbc_equity_credit_oku_estimate
0.040217391
Q4_oct01_nov06_ltip_settlement_oku_assumed
0.285619356
asof_common_equity_oku_proxy
11.01194628
asof_nci_equity_oku_proxy
0.448271739
asof_consolidated_equity_oku_proxy
11.460218019
asof_net_debt_oku_proxy
31.786858068
asof_issued_shares_proxy
612259739
asof_employee_treasury_shares_proxy
5541286
asof_economic_shares_proxy
606718453
asof_company_equity_attributable_to_1_old_share_eur
1.815001048
h1_ebt_shares_assumed
470000
2026_aug_sept_forward_acquired_shares_observed
8452144
forward_shares_settled_at_base_assumed
5071286
forward_cash_settled_at_base_assumed_oku
0.856858068
asof_denominator_exact_verified
未確認
book_formula

10.81+(1.15+0.05+0.08)-0.40×1.42809678+37/92×(-0.45-0.20+0.10)-0.20×1.42809678

nci_note

NCI資本は親会社普通株資本から除外。Q3/Q4予想NCI利益と分配を単独管理。

post_2026_11_06_to_year_end_bridge
内容を開く
状態

2026-11-07~2026-12-31未発表部分の分析仮定。FY2027期首とは同一視しない。

period_id

2026_remaining_stub

対象年度
2026
period_start

2026-11-07

期間末

2026-12-31

period_start_exclusive_from_base

2026-11-06

days
55
is_full_fiscal_year
いいえ
reported_vs_forecast

推計のみ。2026-11-06時点で以降は全て未実績

売上高
7.442935
営業利益
-0.071739
finance_net_oku
-0.23913
hyperinflation_oku
-0.011957
tax_oku
0.073533
noncontrolling_profit_oku
0.019728
純利益
-0.269022
oci_parent_oku
-0.119565
sbc_expense_oku
0.059783
sbc_equity_credit_oku
0.059783
dividends_oku
0
gross_discretionary_buybacks_oku
0
ltip_pre_valuation_disclosed_trades_settled_post_base_oku
0.571239
ltip_pre_valuation_disclosed_trades_shares_settled_post_base
3380858
ltip_new_unverified_shares_acquired_post_base_oku
0.3
ltip_new_unverified_shares_acquired_post_base
1714286
ltip_total_cash_oku
0.871239
ltip_delivered_shares
0
new_issuance_proceeds_oku
0
new_issue_shares
0
old_holder_cash_payout_oku
0
company_equity_oku
9.811903
noncontrolling_equity_oku
0.468
consolidated_equity_oku
10.279903
net_debt_oku
31.828097
発行済株式数
612259739
employee_treasury_shares
10636430
economic_outstanding_shares
601623309
book_identity

E2026-12-31=E2026-11-06+NI_st+OCI_st+SBCcredit_st-LTIPforward_settlement_st-LTIPnewpurchase_st, no dividends or discretionary buybacks

exact_stale_LTIP_cash_settlement_post_base_oku
0.571238712
prebase_forward_shares_settled_postbase
3380858
new_2026_Q4_LTIP_stock_purchases_unverified_amount_oku
0.3
new_2026_Q4_stock_purchases_unverified_shares
1714286
2026_dec31_profit_after_base_estimate_oku
-0.269021739
2026_dec31_equity_estimate_oku
9.81190322
2026_dec31_no_old_holder_cash_return_assumed
はい
2026_dec31_denominator_estimate_shares
601623309
strict_period_ledger
内容を開く
H1_2026_reported
内容を開く
end

2026-06-30

book_oku
10.81
noncontrolling_equity_oku
0.41
純利益
3.42
sbc_expense_oku
0.18
sbc_credit_oku
0.18
employee_market_purchases_oku
0.08
EBT_shares_count
未確認
2026_07_01_to_2026_09_30_estimated
内容を開く
end

2026-09-30

parent_profit_oku
1.15
OCI_oku
0.05
sbc_credit_oku
0.08
disclosed_ltip_trades_not_identical_to_settlements_oku
1.42809678
assumed_cash_settlement_oku
0.571238712
book_end_oku
11.518761288
reported_Q3_revenue_oku
25.11
Q3_IFRS_net_unreported
未確認
Q3_finance_oku_estimated
-0.33
Q3_tax_oku_estimated
-0.42
Q3_hyperinflation_oku_estimated
0.02
Q3_noncontrolling_profit_oku_estimated
0.04
注記

Q3は売上のみ公表、親会社利益・OCI・SBC・LTIP決済率は全て仮定。

2026_10_01_to_2026_11_06_estimated
内容を開く
end

2026-11-06

days
37
Q4_days
92
売上高
5.007065217
営業利益
-0.04826087
parent_profit_oku
-0.180978261
finance_oku
-0.160869565
hyperinflation_oku
-0.008043478
tax_oku
0.049467391
noncontrolling_profit_oku
0.013271739
OCI_oku
-0.080434783
sbc_credit_oku
0.040217391
assumed_ltip_cash_settlement_oku
0.285619356
book_end_oku
11.01194628
issued_shares_proxy
612259739
treasury_shares_proxy
5541286
economic_shares_proxy
606718453
2026_11_07_to_2026_12_31_stub
内容を開く
period_id

2026_remaining_stub

対象年度
2026
period_start

2026-11-07

期間末

2026-12-31

period_start_exclusive_from_base

2026-11-06

days
55
is_full_fiscal_year
いいえ
reported_vs_forecast

推計のみ。2026-11-06時点で以降は全て未実績

売上高
7.442935
営業利益
-0.071739
finance_net_oku
-0.23913
hyperinflation_oku
-0.011957
tax_oku
0.073533
noncontrolling_profit_oku
0.019728
純利益
-0.269022
oci_parent_oku
-0.119565
sbc_expense_oku
0.059783
sbc_equity_credit_oku
0.059783
dividends_oku
0
gross_discretionary_buybacks_oku
0
ltip_pre_valuation_disclosed_trades_settled_post_base_oku
0.571239
ltip_pre_valuation_disclosed_trades_shares_settled_post_base
3380858
ltip_new_unverified_shares_acquired_post_base_oku
0.3
ltip_new_unverified_shares_acquired_post_base
1714286
ltip_total_cash_oku
0.871239
ltip_delivered_shares
0
new_issuance_proceeds_oku
0
new_issue_shares
0
old_holder_cash_payout_oku
0
company_equity_oku
9.811903
noncontrolling_equity_oku
0.468
consolidated_equity_oku
10.279903
net_debt_oku
31.828097
発行済株式数
612259739
employee_treasury_shares
10636430
economic_outstanding_shares
601623309
book_identity

E2026-12-31=E2026-11-06+NI_st+OCI_st+SBCcredit_st-LTIPforward_settlement_st-LTIPnewpurchase_st, no dividends or discretionary buybacks

2027_through_2035

9暦年の通期損益・配当・LTIP出納・資本ロールを全ケースannualに収録

2036_01_01_to_2036_11_06_stub
内容を開く
days
311
calendar_year_days
366
sales_fraction
0.911886649
finance_day_fraction
0.849726776
excluded_2036_11_07_to_12_31_days
55
2036_FY_pro_forma_not_reported_nor_included_in_pv
はい
total_holding_days
3653
last_cashflow_date

2036-11-06

day_count

ACT/365.25

dividend_adjusted_income_reconciliation_v2
内容を開く
policy_basis

net income after adjusting items (not reported IFRS net income)

primary_source_2025_20F

https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/2071668/000110465926029805/micc-20251231x20f.htm

primary_source_2026_H1_reconciliation

https://news.magnumicecream.com/2026-half-year-results/

financial_2026_H1_reported
内容を開く
ifrs_parent_profit_oku
3.42
after_tax_adjustments_display_difference_oku
1
reported_adjusted_parent_profit_oku
4.42
company_separately_disclosed_adjustment_oku_rounded
1.01
rounding_residual_oku
-0.01
financial_2026_H2_forecast
内容を開く
ifrs_parent_profit_oku
0.7
after_tax_adjustments_oku
0.28
adjusted_parent_profit_oku
0.98
unverified
はい
financial_2026_FY_forecast
内容を開く
ifrs_parent_profit_oku
4.12
after_tax_adjustments_oku
1.28
adjusted_parent_profit_oku
5.4
not_company_FY_guidance
はい
initial_2027_payout_by_case_oku
内容を開く
bull
3.17
mild_bull
3.008
base
2.9
mild_bear
2.36
bear
1.28
year_2027_dividends_include_incremental_2025_stub_oku_model
0.2
year_2025_undeclared_stub_amount_known
未確認
other_adjusting_items_forecast_method

FY2027~2036の税引後調整項目をケース別に独立予測。税金控除後の追加控除ではなく、各年のIFRS営業費用・金融損益等にすでに含まれた特殊費用を非GAAP利益計算のみに再分類する。2036年度末を跨ぐ分は部分年度のみに按分。

share_based_compensation_not_adjusted_out
はい
explicit_exception_bear

bear配当性向20%は財務保全のため公式40~60%目安を一時的に下回る分析仮定。役員会決議済みではない。

reported_2025_after_demerger_split
内容を開く
出典

https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/2071668/000110465926029805/micc-20251231x20f.htm

parent_full_2025_IFRS_profit_oku
2.93
parent_pre_2025_12_06_IFRS_profit_oku
4.8
parent_post_demerger_2025_IFRS_profit_oku
-1.87
parent_post_demerger_2025_IFRS_profit_is_a_loss
はい
reported_2025_full_year_share_based_payment_credit_oku
0.35
reported_2025_pre_demerger_SBC_credit_oku
0.28
reported_2025_post_demerger_SBC_credit_oku
0.07
post_demerger_2025_adjusted_parent_profit_oku
未確認
post_demerger_2025_posttax_adjusting_items_oku
未確認
why_not_calculate_post_demerger_adjusted_from_full_year

Annual group adjusted income, adjusting items and effective taxes span pre and post demerger. No stand-alone post-6-Dec adjusted income reconciliation found in filed report. December ice cream earnings seasonality makes 25/365 of annual profits unreliable.

full_year_2025_adjusted_parent_income_oku_company_table
5.74
full_year_2025_adjusted_income_reconciliation_mismatch_company_table
内容を開く
IFRS_parent_profit_oku
2.93
posttax_adjusting_items_oku_company_disclosed
2.18
sum_oku
5.11
printed_adjusted_parent_profit_oku
5.74
unresolved_difference_oku
0.63
another_annual_report_table_printed_adjusted_profit_oku
5.47
理由

2025 Form 20-F non-GAAP appendix contains inconsistent printed totals; use primary profit and clear H1 2026 bridge, not 2025 annual adjusted profit for the 2025 stub.

2025_dividend_to_Unilever_eur_million
83
2025_dividend_to_Unilever_accounting

€83m pre-demerger retained Unilever owner transaction, not new TMICC 2027 cash entitlement to 2026 buyer

not_rebooked_into_2027_profit_or_2026_opening_book
はい
FY2025_stub_dividend_2027_first_payment_model
内容を開く
FAQ_url

https://corporate.magnumicecream.com/en/investors/faq.html

FAQ_language_summary

dividend on 2025 pre-demerger was Unilever dividend; post-demerger 2025 dividends earned to be paid as part of first H1 2027 payment

asof_2026_11_06_2025_stub_dividend_declared_oku
未確認
2025_stub_adjusted_parent_income_identifiable
未確認
2025_stub_reported_IFRS_parent_income_oku
-1.87
base_conditional_extra_gross_oku
0.2
plausible_zero_or_positive_or_reduced_unapproved
はい
low_extra_oku
0
high_extra_oku
0.5
rights_if_normal_2027_dividend_ex_date

2026-11-06 buyer will generally receive if remains eligible through 2027 ex-date; 2025 historical holding not required

rights_if_company_separately_ring_fences_entitlement

2026 buyer might not receive that separately allocated portion; no evidence of such arrangement as at valuation date

2025_Unilever_dividend_not_received_by_2026_11_06_buyer
はい
2027_first_payment_ex_date_declared
未確認
2027_first_payment_ex_date_model

2027-05-13

2027_first_payment_date_model

2027-05-20

2027_ordinary_dividend_announcement_confirmed
未確認
recognition_policy

no liability assumed at 2026-11-06 or 2026-12-31 before valid declaration; cash and equity reduction are assumed in 2027 only

accounting_warning

2025 post-demerger net loss already in opening capital; do not book this pre-valuation loss again.

評価根拠の詳細

市場

Euronext Amsterdam

株価基準日

2026-11-06

price_eur
17.602
issued_shares_reported
612259739
issued_asof_base_confirmed
未確認
asof_h1_employee_treasury_shares_assumed
470000
asof_ltip_forward_settlement_shares_assumed
5071286
asof_treasury_shares_proxy
5541286
asof_economic_shares_proxy
606718453
market_cap_proxy_oku
106.794582097
valuation_cashflow_method

timed_holder_cashflows_v1

time_discount_k
0.095
terminal_calendar_date

2036-11-06

terminal_year_act365_25
10.001368925
weighted_mcap_oku_same_old_share_cohort
153.250725897
weighted_cash_payout_oku_same_old_share_cohort
39.493391997
weighted_terminal_pv_oku
61.831159898
weighted_timed_cash_pv_oku
24.395887211
weighted_equity_value_oku
86.227047108
per_share_eur
14.212036354266
upside
-0.192589685589
old_holder_expected_cashflows_XIRR
0.068272523442
weighted_mean_scenario_IRR_reference
0.047056476969
price_gap_eur_per_share
-3.389963645734
fx_conversion_needed
いいえ
market_per_used
いいえ
market_pbr_used
いいえ
no_issuer_buyback_cash_to_non_tendering_holder
はい
basis_treasury_assumption_sensitivity
内容を開く
zero_2026_aug_sept_settled_assumption_shares
611789739
sixty_percent_settled_assumption_shares
606718453
all_2026_aug_sept_settled_assumption_shares
603337595
状態

株数だけを動かして同じ経済価値を割る機械的参考差。実際は決済が資本・将来Eと株数両方を動かすため評価額の確定上限・下限ではない。

FY2026_2027_dividend_adjusted_income_bridge_oku
IFRS_profit
4.12
post_tax_adjustments
1.28
adjusted_profit
5.4
cashflows_match_2026_11_06_to_2036_11_06
はい
terminal_in_timed_cashflows
いいえ
timed_cashflows_are_only_cash_dividends
はい
conditional_2025_stub_dividend_for_2027_gross_oku
0.2
2025_stub_dividend_confirmed_oku
未確認
synthetic_cohort_is_not_an_actual_group_of_shareholders
はい
N0_exceeds_first_dividend_eligible_shares
はい
can_synthetic_holder_cash_exceed_issuer_total_cash
はい
ex_date_2027_assumed

2027-05-13

ex_date_2027_confirmed
未確認
sensitivity_0_extra_per_share_eur
14.18591333
sensitivity_high_extra_per_share_eur
14.251220891
sensitivity_special_prior_holder_per_share_eur
14.180365273

分析基準とデータ

価格・単価
17.602
株数
606718453
price_as_of

2026-11-06

shares_as_of

2026-11-06 (独自代理モデル)

株価の出所
url

https://live.euronext.com/pt/markets/amsterdam/equities/list

出典

Euronext Amsterdam公式銘柄一覧 MAGNUM NL0015002MS2 MICC、06 Nov 2026 17:35 CET 表示 EUR 17.602。小数第2位表示の二次データでは17.60。

株数の出所
内容を開く
url

https://corporate.magnumicecream.com/en/investors/shareholder-centre.html

reported_issued_shares
612259739
reported_issued_shares_latest_independent_date

2026-06-30

valuation_old_share_denominator_model
606718453
方法

reported issued shares minus estimated H1 EBT holdings and 60% post-H1 LTIP forward acquisitions assumed settled by the close of 2026-11-06

limitation

発行済612,259,739株は一次資料値だが、2026-11-06現在EBT保有・直接自己株数・先渡決済の一株単位残高は未確認。代理分母606,718,453株は会社公表値ではない。

issued_shares_2025_12_31
612259739
issued_shares_2026_06_30
612259739
issuer_treasury_shares_2026_06_30
未確認
employee_plan_treasury_shares_2026_06_30
未確認
issued_shares_2026_11_06
未確認
treasury_excluded_shares_2026_11_06
未確認
shares_used_are_proxy_issued_not_exact_ex_treasury
はい
shares_proxy_limitation

2026-06-30発行済612,259,739株からH1 EBT470,000株、8~9月LTIP取得8,452,144株のうち2026-11-06までに60%決済した5,071,286株を控除する分析代理値。決済率・H1 EBT保有株数は非公表かつ推定。従って厳密な当日流通株数はnull。

multiple_listings

Amsterdam/ロンドン/NYSEは同じISINの一普通株を取引し、発行済数は一度だけ計上。NYSE価格USDは使わない。

2026_08_to_09_announced_employee_incentive_plan_shares_acquired
8452144
not_strict_treasury_classification

会社公表の先渡取得株数は、EBTの同日保有残高、会社自己株残高、従業員へ交付済の純残高と同義ではない。

hypothetical_proxy_if_all_8452144_shares_held_as_treasury
603337595
hypothetical_proxy_not_adopted
はい
2026_11_06_old_share_cohort_one_non_tendering_share
はい
2026_11_06_proxy_treasury_shares
5541286
2026_11_06_proxy_issued_shares
612259739
2026_11_06_proxy_economic_shares
606718453
pre_valuation_employee_shares_held_h1_estimate
470000
pre_valuation_forward_shares_assumed_cash_settled_and_in_ebt
5071286
pre_valuation_forward_settlement_ratio_assumed
0.6
forward_trades_disclosed_2026_09_30_shares
8452144
forward_trades_disclosed_2026_09_30_amount_oku
1.42809678
settled_pre_base_amount_assumed_oku
0.856858068
settlement_date_and_status_verified
未確認
unresolved_issued_shares_after_2026_06_30
未確認
holder_unit

one original 2026-11-06 acquired share, no tender, no capital subscription; held through ex dates

N0_for_synthetic_scaling_only
606718453
synthetic_N0_is_not_real_cohort
はい
company_real_2027_eligible_shares_example
601623309
synthetic_N0_greater_than_2027_eligible_shares
はい
legal_2025_unilever_distribution_entitlement_after_2026_purchase
いいえ
conditional_TMici_2027_2025_stub_component_entitlement_for_2026_buyer_assumed
はい
TMICC_2027_ex_date_confirmed
未確認
TMICC_2027_ex_date_assumed

2027-05-13

検証上の留意点

key_changes_from_prior
内容を開く
1

v1の「2027は前期IFRS利益55%なのに2.92億EUR、base 50%なのに2.70億EUR」という不一致を修正。会社一次資料の配当方針はIFRSでなく調整項目後の純利益の40~60%。

2

FY2026 IFRS利益予測4.12億EURにH1一次資料調整差額1.00億とH2税後調整推定0.28億を加え、調整後利益5.40億EURに統一。2027の5ケース初回配当は性向×5.40で再計算。

3

2028~2036は直前年度のIFRS親会社利益+税引後調整項目のモデル仮定に性向を適用。配当基礎をSBC費用加算戻し後の利益に置き換えない。

4

予想配当修正→期末純負債→翌期の金融費用→IFRS利益・税金→翌期配当へ連鎖させて再計算。

5

各期間の資本増減・NCI・EBT保有・社員交付・通常消却・増資を更新。旧株は買戻しに応募しないため市場買戻し代金は旧株主個人CFに含めない。

6

最終終価は2036-11-06時点の残高と直近12か月IFRS利益から導出。2036-12-31の残余期間は含めない。

単位

億EUR、株数は株、価格はEUR/株、率は小数。amountは旧株1株をt0 N0株で正規化した億EUR。

2026_11_06_baseline_validation
内容を開く
reported_H1_parent_equity_oku
10.81
modeled_asof_parent_equity_oku
11.01194628
reported_2026_09_30_forward_transaction_shares
8452144
reported_2026_09_30_forward_transaction_amount_oku
1.42809678
modeled_pre_asof_settled_fraction
0.6
modeled_pre_asof_settled_shares
5071286
unsettled_assumed_post_asof_shares
3380858
h1_ebt_shares_unverified
未確認
h1_ebt_shares_assumed
470000
asof_total_treasury_shares_proxy
5541286
asof_old_economic_shares_proxy
606718453
asof_book_profit_vs_forward_warning

Q3親会社利益、期中決済率、EBT残高は会社の2026-11-06時点の確定値ではない。

strict_horizon

2026-11-06の翌日から2036-11-06までの実日数3653日、ACT/365.25により10.001368925年。2026年stub55日、2027~2035全9年、2036年1月1日~11月6日の部分期間を含む。

payment_definition

旧株1株は期間中非売却・非応募・新株引受なし。配当日(予測5月20日)に会社配当総額/配当適格株数で1株受領し、N0倍をamount(億EUR)とする。会社の通常買戻し・社員EBT購入・増資は旧株CFの受領/支払に入れず株式数・資本にのみ反映。

capital_valuation_separation

会社の資本Eは普通株利益+OCI+SBC資本振替−現金配当−通常自社株買戻し−EBT購入+新株発行で更新。一方旧株主cashflowは配当のみ。社員へ既存EBT株を交付する際は会社の資本を再控除しないが、流通株数は増える。

terminal_valuation_formula

firm_terminal_value=(LTM_ordinary_profit_2036Nov06×(1+g)−g×book_equity_at_2036Nov06)/(coc.k−g)、全株式価値。 old_share_terminal_per_share=firm_terminal_value×1e8/(N_economic+expected_postend_EBT_release)。市場PER/PBR未使用。

timing_formula

PV_i=Σ_cashdividend_i / (1+coc.k)^[(payment_date−2026-11-06).days/365.25] + mcap_i / (1+coc.k)^[(2036-11-06−2026-11-06).days/365.25]

prob_sum
1
expected_pv_oku
86.227047108
per_old_share_eur
14.212036354266
price_gap_ratio
-0.192589685589
weighted_cashflows_irr
0.068272523442
expected_irr_vs_expected_case_irr
0.047056476969
cases
内容を開く
bull
内容を開く
fy_annual_rows
10
dated_dividend_events
10
time_cashflow_events
10
time_pv_oku
165.150453791
期間内株主受取
66.526456655
terminal_holder_oku
310.837716981
terminal_never_in_timed_cashflows
はい
rollforward_residual_oku
-2.8E-7
FY2027_first_cash_dividend_oku
3.17
FY2025_stub_conditional_extra_oku
0.2
terminal_net_debt_oku
0.774194359
holder_irr
0.151187177601
mild_bull
内容を開く
fy_annual_rows
10
dated_dividend_events
10
time_cashflow_events
10
time_pv_oku
117.782079789
期間内株主受取
51.668812179
terminal_holder_oku
213.933567407
terminal_never_in_timed_cashflows
はい
rollforward_residual_oku
-2.8E-7
FY2027_first_cash_dividend_oku
3.008
FY2025_stub_conditional_extra_oku
0.2
terminal_net_debt_oku
3.139630857
holder_irr
0.107465898837
base
内容を開く
fy_annual_rows
10
dated_dividend_events
10
time_cashflow_events
10
time_pv_oku
88.078259042
期間内株主受取
41.807065747
terminal_holder_oku
154.106578541
terminal_never_in_timed_cashflows
はい
rollforward_residual_oku
-2.8E-7
FY2027_first_cash_dividend_oku
2.9
FY2025_stub_conditional_extra_oku
0.2
terminal_net_debt_oku
6.159777674
holder_irr
0.070700683518
mild_bear
内容を開く
fy_annual_rows
10
dated_dividend_events
10
time_cashflow_events
10
time_pv_oku
39.169720761
期間内株主受取
21.414657042
terminal_holder_oku
62.391874947
terminal_never_in_timed_cashflows
はい
rollforward_residual_oku
-2.8E-7
FY2027_first_cash_dividend_oku
2.36
FY2025_stub_conditional_extra_oku
0.2
terminal_net_debt_oku
13.894973659
holder_irr
-0.027074312231
bear
内容を開く
fy_annual_rows
10
dated_dividend_events
10
time_cashflow_events
10
time_pv_oku
9.183705084
期間内株主受取
5.848124315
terminal_holder_oku
12.257037048
terminal_never_in_timed_cashflows
はい
rollforward_residual_oku
-2.8E-7
FY2027_first_cash_dividend_oku
1.28
FY2025_stub_conditional_extra_oku
0.2
terminal_net_debt_oku
26.548250236
holder_irr
-0.182126868702
original_h1_numbers_unchanged
はい
regulatory_and_ltip_cautions
内容を開く
1

2026/08-09先渡取得済み株数、先渡契約締結日、決済日、EBT実際の保有残高、将来交付株数は異なる。

2

2026-11-06の自己株残高・実際の売却可能株数は未確認。モデルの606,718,453株は代理値。

3

2026年8~9月の取得済み8,452,144株を2027以降の新規買付金額に再計上しない。

4

旧株保有者が売却しないため通常買戻し代金をpayout_okuには含めず、会社の株数縮小と普通株資本減少で一度だけ反映。

5

将来株式発行の非参加を仮定。現実の株主には増資の権利価値・取得や売却の選択肢があり、仮定次第でIRRは変わる。

6

terminal effective shares includes 90% of yet-to-be-delivered EBT inventory as expected forward dilution, not immediate cancellation or double paid employee award expense.

7

会社の公式配当性向は調整項目後純利益ベース。修正モデルではFY2026のIFRS4.12+税引後調整1.28=調整後5.40を初回配当基礎とし、以後も前年のIFRS利益+税引後調整項目を基礎に各ケース性向を適用。2027初回・将来配当の金額と権利落ち日・支払日は未宣言・推定。

unverified_items
内容を開く
1
item

2026-11-06確定EBT株数・先渡取得決済株数・当日自己株控除後株数

値
未確認
理由

H1は百万株単位EPS平均と8百万EUR EBT取得額のみ。9月の先渡取得開示は実際の受渡日・EBT残高を確定しない。

2
item

2026-Q3 IFRS親会社普通株利益・資本・SBC・NCI

値
未確認
理由

Q3更新は売上高・有機成長中心の取引更新でIAS34の9か月PL/BSは未公表。

3
item

2027初回配当確定日・額

値
未確認
理由

FY2026発表時に決定しH1 2027支払予定、2026-11-06時点未確定。

4
item

2026年9月30日以降の第2トランシェ追加買付・取得済み8,452,144株の現金決済日

値
未確認
理由

2026-11-06までに確認した一次資料では決済日とEBT信託受渡の確定数量を照合できない。0.30億EUR新規仮定は会社確定取引ではない。

5
item

2027-2036買戻し・発行・配当・社員交付・将来株価

値
未確認
理由

将来は全て独自のケース別仮定。実現株価・株式交付・権利確定条件・時点は未知。

6
item

2036-11-06実際の株数・普通株資本・IRR

値
未確認
理由

全て当該時点のモデル出力であり会社確定データではない。

validation_passed
はい
rounding

Full computations in Python float; JSON monetary stocks, totals and 1-share values stored to 9 decimals where appropriate, all monetary amounts are hundred-million EUR unless stated. Annual source segment estimates may carry 6-decimal rounding. Residual tolerances <=1e-5 hundred-million EUR.

source_confirmed_dividend_policy

40%-60% of income after adjusting items; H1 2027 first payment plus FAQ 2025 post-dem component. 2025 special element cash amount and eligible record date unconfirmed.

forecast_adjusting_items_source_status

FY2026 H2およびFY2027以降の税引後調整項目は独自モデル仮定。2026年11月6日時点で会社が確定公表した年間調整後利益・配当は存在しない。

2026_FY_dividend_income_bridge_oku
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H1_IFRS
3.42
H1_adjusted_reported
4.42
H1_aftertax_difference
1
H2_IFRS_model
0.7
H2_aftertax_adjustments_model
0.28
FY_IFRS_model
4.12
FY_adjusted_model
5.4
2027_initial_dividend_identity_oku
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bull
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regular_from_2026_adjusted_oku
2.97
2025_extra_conditional_oku
0.2
company_dividend_2027_oku
3.17
old_one_share_eur
0.526907776441
synthetic_N0_scaled_oku
3.19684671
mild_bull
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regular_from_2026_adjusted_oku
2.808
2025_extra_conditional_oku
0.2
company_dividend_2027_oku
3.008
old_one_share_eur
0.499980628244
synthetic_N0_scaled_oku
3.033474733
base
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regular_from_2026_adjusted_oku
2.7
2025_extra_conditional_oku
0.2
company_dividend_2027_oku
2.9
old_one_share_eur
0.482029196113
synthetic_N0_scaled_oku
2.924560082
mild_bear
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regular_from_2026_adjusted_oku
2.16
2025_extra_conditional_oku
0.2
company_dividend_2027_oku
2.36
old_one_share_eur
0.392272035457
synthetic_N0_scaled_oku
2.379986825
bear
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regular_from_2026_adjusted_oku
1.08
2025_extra_conditional_oku
0.2
company_dividend_2027_oku
1.28
old_one_share_eur
0.212757714146
synthetic_N0_scaled_oku
1.290840312
2027_and_later_adjustment_scope

各年のIFRS利益には特殊費用・SBCを費用として残す。税引後調整額はIFRS純利益から非GAAP Adjusted Net Incomeを示すための加算であり、現金/負債/資本に重ねて加算しない。

2025_first_dividend_extra_stublimit

2025 consolidated post-demerger IFRS loss -1.87億 EUR is confirmed but NOT the 2025 post-demerger adjusted income. 0.20億 dividend extra is a conditional scenario only; no fixed zero or confirmed positive value.

financial_interest_feedback

各年末純負債を再計算し、翌年度財務費用をケース別金利×期首純負債×期間係数として再計算。当年配当の期中追加利息は省略した年次近似。

v1_dividend_inconsistency_resolved_by

explicit forecast bridge to company-reported adjusted net income policy; no unsubstantiated unlabelled first-year override

model_revision_id

v3_post_2025_dividend_entitlement_terminal_outside_timed_cashflows

time_cashflows_2027_2036_count_each
10
time_cashflows_has_terminal_in_any_scenario
いいえ
expected_cashflows_list_includes_terminal
いいえ
real_company_vs_synthetic_checks
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bull
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company_2027_cash_dividend_oku
3.17
N0_scaled_2027_one_share_cash_oku
3.19684671
eligible_real_company_shares
601623309
model_N0
606718453
scaler_ratio
1.008468993677
one_share_dividend_eur
0.526907776441
no_claim_this_is_actual_old_share_cohort_total
はい
mild_bull
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company_2027_cash_dividend_oku
3.008
N0_scaled_2027_one_share_cash_oku
3.033474733
eligible_real_company_shares
601623309
model_N0
606718453
scaler_ratio
1.008468993677
one_share_dividend_eur
0.499980628244
no_claim_this_is_actual_old_share_cohort_total
はい
base
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company_2027_cash_dividend_oku
2.9
N0_scaled_2027_one_share_cash_oku
2.924560082
eligible_real_company_shares
601623309
model_N0
606718453
scaler_ratio
1.008468993677
one_share_dividend_eur
0.482029196113
no_claim_this_is_actual_old_share_cohort_total
はい
mild_bear
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company_2027_cash_dividend_oku
2.36
N0_scaled_2027_one_share_cash_oku
2.379986825
eligible_real_company_shares
601623309
model_N0
606718453
scaler_ratio
1.008468993677
one_share_dividend_eur
0.392272035457
no_claim_this_is_actual_old_share_cohort_total
はい
bear
内容を開く
company_2027_cash_dividend_oku
1.28
N0_scaled_2027_one_share_cash_oku
1.290840312
eligible_real_company_shares
601623309
model_N0
606718453
scaler_ratio
1.008468993677
one_share_dividend_eur
0.212757714146
no_claim_this_is_actual_old_share_cohort_total
はい
sensitivity_2025_stub_extras
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low_0_oku
weighted_PV_oku
86.068553898
one_share_eur
14.18591333
IRR
0.06809683
main_conditional_0_2_oku
weighted_PV_oku
86.227047108
one_share_eur
14.212036354
IRR
0.068272523
high_0_5_oku
weighted_PV_oku
86.464786924
one_share_eur
14.251220891
IRR
0.068536794
special_ring_fenced_entitlement_2026_buyer_not_recipient
weighted_PV_oku
86.034892812
one_share_eur
14.180365273
IRR
0.068049976
not_a_probability_distribution
はい
each_sensitivity_recomputes_following_year_net_debt_interest_IFRS_profit_and_payout
はい
validation_engine

independent recomputation from annual raw operating profit, opening net debt and effective tax rates, subsequent dividend-driven debt interest feedback, equity/cash ledgers, dated cash per share and terminal only-once XIRR

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分析に使用した資料

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