株譜

AI 銘柄分析 · 10年

United Utilities Group PLC

UU. · GBP · 分析基準日 2026-11-06

{ "title": "規制RCVは現金ではない。AMP8の料金・設備更新の成果と高投資負担を旧株主持分に反映", "rating": "valuation_derived_not_price_target", "quoted_price_gbp": 15.43, "scenario_expected_present_value_oku": 83.013637241, "scenario_expected_value_per_initial_share_gbp": 11.174809132, "expected_value_to_market_price": 0.724226127, "expected_10y_money_weighted_IRR": 0.044169078, "as_of_book_equity_status": "proxy", "core_uncertainty": "規制リオープナー最終決定と今後のPR29料金、更新・成長投資の回収、インフレリンク債、2026-11-06信託株数" }

10年期待年率4.42%
資本コスト8.50%
直近終値15.43 GBP2026-11-06

AIによるシナリオ分析です。基準日以降の出来事、株価や為替の変化は個別に確認が必要です。各数値は元の分析の単位と前提に従います。

分析の要約

株価15.43 GBP・2026-11-06基準。2026年5月発行済普通株742,864,028株を代理値に使用し、基準日の従業員信託残高は未確認。将来配当・増資は予測で、想定イベント日以降は再分析が必要。サイトの終価割引は10年固定(実日数3653/365.25の約10.00137年との差は近似)。
分析基準日2026-11-06。株数は2026年5月5日の増資後の発行株数を代理値として使用し、当日の従業員信託保有株数は未確認。未宣言の配当額と権利落ち日は予測。予測イベント到来後は再分析が必要。
{
"investment_thesis": "北西イングランドで規制された水道・下水サービスを提供する必需事業。PR24により投資・料金回収の可視性は上がったが、支出超過、ODI、環境義務、資本希薄化が普通株の真の価値を左右する。",
"financing": "2026-05-05調達のネット£788mは基準日前の既実施資本流入。以後の調達はシナリオ仮定。",
"income_quality": "FY2026連結親会社利益はIFRS £586.8m。SBC £4.5mは費用のまま。FY2026 underlying EPSは会計見積変更・インフラ更新の資産計上による押上げがあるため永久利益に無修正で乗じない。",
"dividend_timing": "2026-08-03支払最終配当は基準日前に全額消化済み。2027-02-01次回予定は配当額未確定のためシナリオ予測。2026-12-17除権予定は配当宣言確認済みのex_dateとは区別。",
"regulatory_vs_ifrs": "RCVは規制料金・減価償却・許容リターン計算に用いる資産価値で株主現金でない。IFRS equity, net financial debt, regulatory gearing, RCVを同一金額として換算しない。",
"highest_priority_checks": [
"2026年11月6日実効普通株数(従業員信託残高・5月以降の新株)",
"2026年9月末未公表中間財務の実際の純負債・IFRS親会社資本",
"2026年12月Ofwatリオープナー最終結論",
"環境罰金・係争/投資義務・IFRSの引当計上時点",
"2030年以降PR29の新料金収益認定"
]
}

事業

geography

England North West

customer_base

約800万人/人口ベースの生活基盤

core

United Utilities Water Ltdの水道・下水卸売と家計小売

revenue_sources
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1

水道卸売の規制料金

2

下水卸売の規制料金

3

家庭向けリテール料金

4

その他接続・工事関連収入

economic_characteristics

安定した顧客需要、長寿命資産、投資/料金はOfwat規制、環境処理性能を満たさないとODI減額・違反制裁。料金請求権はRCVが換金できることを意味しない。

regulatory_periods
1

AMP8 2025-04-01 to 2030-03-31

2

AMP9 2030-04-01 to 2035-03-31: future PR29 price control terms assumed not yet confirmed

3

AMP10 2035-04-01 onward: entirely forecast

allowed_revenue_mechanics

PR24を起点にallowed returns on nominalized RCV, RCV run-off, totex allowances, inflation, regulatory adjustments and ODIs; not all spending becomes RCV automatically.

inflation_linked_debt

FY26管理上RPI-linked債務エクスポージャ約£3.2bn、CPI/CPIH約£1.4bn。債務元本のインデクセーションは現金利払いと区別。FY26 EIR推計法変更が実績会計に影響。

competitive_position

地域独占型の管路インフラ、ネットワーク規模と水処理専門性。ただし顧客移転による競争ではなく、競争的調達、Ofwat効率比較、債券投資家の審査が規律する。

競争力・事業の質

sector_stability_score_0_to_5
4.1
regulatory_visibility_score_0_to_5
3.4
financial_flexibility_score_0_to_5
2.7
governance_and_environment_score_0_to_5
2.2
return_on_equity_caution

IFRS book equity is small relative to large long-lived RCV / debt financing. IFRS PAT/book equity is not a valid uncontested sustainable economic return or terminal market P/B anchor.

environmental_performance

FY26 storm spills declined 23% YoY, internal sewer flooding 42% down, but Ofwat estimate FY26 net ODI penalty ~£35m; future improvement targets binding.

enforcement_asof
verified_2026_09_08_fine_oku
0.009
fine_legal_surcharge_total_oku
0.00964225
further_ofwat_environment_investigation

未確定の追加罰金額は特定不能。モデルではシナリオ期待負担として費用計上;実際の確定負債ではない。

accounting_quality

FY2026 IRE capitalisation and debt EIR methodology change affected underlying comparability; forecast IFRS profit explicitly contains employee SBC expense and noncash bond indexation.

業界と環境

regulator

Ofwat (UK water England/Wales)

price_review

PR24 final December 2024, 2025-30

allowed_appointee_WACC_CPIH_real
0.0403
regulatory_notional_debt_fraction
0.55
ofwat_pr24_total_TOTEX_allowance_oku
130
company_new_AMP8_capital_investment_guidance_oku
115
FY2027_company_capital_investment_guidance_oku
20
2026_cost_change_DRAFT_in_2022_23_prices_oku
9.58
2026_company_cost_change_response_in_2022_23_prices_oku
10.26
management_incremental_reopener_AMP8_capex_oku
25
cost_change_final_decision_due

2026-12 (after valuation cutoff; not assumed approved)

environmental_PR24_targets
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storm_overflows_spill_reduction
0.33
pollution_incidents_reduction
0.3
leakage_reduction
0.13
internal_sewer_flooding_reduction
0.4
water_quality_contacts_reduction
0.34
risk_drivers
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1

PR29再設定と利回り低下

2

RPI/CPIHと規制料金回収ラグ

3

設備建設コストとサプライチェーン

4

過剰流出や河川環境規制/罰金

5

資本増資と配当制限

6

定率維持投資と資産劣化

7

Water Plus事業持分損失・保証

財務・資本配分

latest_financials_source

fy26_preliminary

latest_audited_report_disclosed

2026-06-24 FY26 full report; exact detailed re-audit of preliminary table uncompleted

fy2026_as_reported
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fiscal_year_end

2026-03-31

売上高
26.163
cash_operating_expense_including_sbc_oku
9.783
infrastructure_renewal_expense_oku
0.381
depreciation_and_amortization_oku
5.005
営業利益(億)
10.994
net_finance_expense_oku
3.158
equity_accounted_jv_loss_oku
0.046
profit_before_tax_oku
7.79
tax_expense_oku
1.922
attributable_profit_oku
5.868
親会社持分(億)
22.414
total_equity_oku
22.414
noncontrolling_interest_oku
0
cash_and_equivalents_oku
17.943
current_borrowings_oku
1.649
non_current_borrowings_oku
113.257
gross_borrowings_oku
114.906
regulatory_net_debt_oku
99.43
ifrs_net_debt_reported_oku
96.58
adjusted_rcv_oku
165.27
capital_investment_regulatory_oku
15.251
ppe_cash_purchases_oku
14.921
reported_cfo_oku
13.819
equity_settled_sbc_charge_oku
0.045
employee_share_purchases_for_options_oku
0.058
paid_dividends_oku
3.576
dividends_per_share_pence
53.66
interim_paid_pence
17.88
final_paid_pence
35.78
historical_revenue_by_service_oku
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wholesale_clean_water
10.739
wholesale_wastewater
13.626
household_retail
1.36
other
0.438
FY2026_equity_changes_oku
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opening_2025_03_31
19.999
attributable_pat_after_sbc
5.868
other_comprehensive_income
0.132
dividends_paid
-3.576
sbc_equity_settled_credit
0.045
shares_bought_for_options_market
-0.058
share_forfeiture_receipts
0.004
ending_2026_03_31
22.414
check_residual
0
reported_2026_March_balance_sheet
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ifrs_book_equity_oku
22.414
noncontrolling_interest_oku
0
gross_borrowings_oku
114.906
cash_and_equivalents_oku
17.943
simple_gross_borrowings_minus_cash_oku
96.963
reported_IFRS_net_debt_oku
96.58
management_rcv_gearing_debt_oku
99.43
adjusted_rcv_oku
165.27
regulatory_gearing
0.601621589
reported_income_statement_tax_oku
1.922
loan_and_hedge_fair_value_reconciliation_not_fully_traceable
はい
warning

IFRS net debt, debt less cash, and regulatory net debt follow different definitions. No automatic substitution.

ordinary_and_deferred_share_structure
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ordinary_as_of_2026_05_05
742864028
deferred_share_class_count
273956180
deferred_share_class_not_valued_as_ordinary
はい
shares_in_employee_trust_at_2026_11_06
未確認
company_treasury_as_of_2026_05_05
0
dividend_history_and_cutoff
1
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period

FY2025/26 interim

per_share_pence
17.88
ex_date

2025-12-18

payment_date

2026-02-02

after_valuation_cutoff
いいえ
included_forecast_CF
いいえ
2
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period

FY2025/26 final

per_share_pence
35.78
ex_date

2026-06-25

payment_date

2026-08-03

after_valuation_cutoff
いいえ
included_forecast_CF
いいえ
3
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period

FY2026/27 interim

per_share_pence
未確認
ex_date
未確認
scheduled_ex_date

2026-12-17

scheduled_payment_date

2027-02-01

after_valuation_cutoff
はい
included_forecast_CF

amount estimated in all five cases

buyback_policy_and_sbc

No ordinary corporate share repurchase forecast. Employee benefit trust historically buys issued shares on market to satisfy equity awards. Share purchase is company cash outflow and transfer can dilute original holders without company share cancellation. IFRS2 expense remains in profit and noncash equity credit reverses expense in statement of changes in equity.

2026_11_06_opening_proxy_bridge
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period

2026-04-01 to 2026-11-06

days
220
状態

推計・代理値。2026年9月末中間決算は11月12日発表予定のため2026-11-06時点で利用不可

from_2026_03_31
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親会社持分(億)
22.414
regulatory_net_debt_oku
99.43
adjusted_rcv_oku
165.27
ordinary_shares
681888418
verified_event_2026_05_05
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new_ordinary_shares
60975610
price_gbp
13.12
gross_proceeds_oku
8
net_proceeds_oku
7.88
post_issue_ordinary_shares
742864028
company_treasury_shares
0
last_verified_count_date

2026-07-17

verified_final_dividend_paid_2026_08_03
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cash_outflow_oku
2.657967492
per_share_gbp
0.3578
ex_date

2026-06-25

from_march_equity_dividend_liability

2026-03-31未認識。会社決算注記9に従い承認後に控除

assumed_profit_before_september_court_fine_oku
3.495890411
recognized_september_2026_court_fine_assumed_paid_oku
0.00964225
assumed_profit_after_court_fine_oku
3.486248161
court_fine_cash_settlement_unverified
はい
assumed_equity_sbc_credit_oku
0.027123288
assumed_employee_share_market_purchases_oku
0.034958904
assumed_OCI_oku
0
assumed_capex_cash_oku
12.054794521
assumed_depreciation_oku
3.315068493
assumed_indexation_oku
0.560547945
assumed_deferred_tax_noncash_oku
0.693150685
assumed_working_capital_cash_deduction_oku
0.120547945
assumed_cfo_oku
7.971232877
estimated_as_of_parent_equity_oku
31.114445052
estimated_as_of_regulatory_style_net_debt_oku
98.896678235
estimated_as_of_adjusted_rcv_oku
173.242046575
estimated_as_of_issued_ordinary_shares
742864028
estimated_as_of_treasury_shares
0
employee_trust_ordinary_shares_as_of
未確認
old_cohort_model_initial_shares
742864028
audit_equity_residual_oku
0
audit_debt_residual_oku
0
warning

FY2027途中の実績ではない。投資CFと資本の整合はモデル仮定内に限る。2026-09-08確定罰金の支払日は不明のため基準日までに現金決済したと仮定。社員信託の正確な基準日保有株数は未確認。

model_principal_indexation_vs_cash_interest

Each modeled period accounts IFRS finance expense as cash interest + noncash inflation-linked principal indexation, adds noncash finance to CFO, and separately increases debt principal. Forecast nominalized cash cost not directly pegged to Ofwat CPIH-real allowance.

future_primary_issuance_policy

If regulatory-style debt/RCV ratio exceeds 65%, hypothetical outside funding moves to 62-63% target as set by scenario, issued on November 1 of each anniversary year. Proceeds recognized in company equity and lower net debt, shares issued to non-cohort investors; zero cash payment by old cohort.

評価の前提と確認

quoted_P_E_not_used
はい
quoted_P_B_not_used
はい
RCV_minus_debt_not_equated_to_equity_share_value
はい
terminal_method

Discount future share-cohort dividends and proportional employee-trust tender proceeds; whole-company terminal FCFE derived from post-SBC sustainable PAT, retention for economic growth, uncovered maintenance capex, k and g; multiply by original cohort surviving shares / future ordinary issued; discount terminal at exact anniversary day count.

terminal_valuation_equations
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1

PAT_t = gross_regulatory_revenue - ODI - cash_opex - IRE - depreciation - SBC - environmental_fines - (cash_interest+noncash_indexation) - JVloss - IFRS_tax

2

FCFE_sustainable = max(0, PAT_normalized*(1 - g/normalized_economic_equity_ROE) - max(0, maintenance_capex - depreciation - maintenance_funding_recovery))

3

V_whole_2036_11_06 = FCFE_sustainable*(1+g)/(k-g)

4

V_old_2036_11_06 = V_whole_2036_11_06 * (remaining_original_cohort_shares / issued_ordinary_shares)

5

PV_old = sum(event.amount/(1+k)^((date-2026-11-06)/365.25)) + V_old/(1+k)^((2036-11-06 - 2026-11-06)/365.25)

6

IRR = root PV_old(IRR) - initial_cohort_purchase_cost_oku = 0

no_cash_added_for_non_cash_sbc
はい
historical_aug_2026_final_not_in_future_receipts
はい
all_5_scenarios_use_same_nominal_k
0.085
valuation_horizon_days
3653
year_count

actual days / 365.25; 2036-11-06 corresponds to 3653/365.25 years, not 10 exactly under convention

reinvestment_and_maintenance_policy

Terminal profit is AFTER routine operating costs, depreciation, SBC and financing. Deduct additional maintenance cash capex not supported by depreciation or explicit maintenance recovery separately; retain equity for terminal growth to avoid assuming growth without funds.

price_sensitivity_base_case
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1
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資本コスト
7.50%
g
0.02
old_holder_PV_oku
102.356585657
per_initial_share_gbp
13.778643439
2
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資本コスト
7.50%
g
0.025
old_holder_PV_oku
106.532515484
per_initial_share_gbp
14.340782629
3
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資本コスト
7.50%
g
0.03
old_holder_PV_oku
111.602777665
per_initial_share_gbp
15.023311597
4
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資本コスト
8.50%
g
0.02
old_holder_PV_oku
85.149822611
per_initial_share_gbp
11.462369882
5
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資本コスト
8.50%
g
0.025
old_holder_PV_oku
87.514681672
per_initial_share_gbp
11.780713344
6
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資本コスト
8.50%
g
0.03
old_holder_PV_oku
90.284416874
per_initial_share_gbp
12.153558857
7
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資本コスト
9.50%
g
0.02
old_holder_PV_oku
72.680717698
per_initial_share_gbp
9.783852086
8
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資本コスト
9.50%
g
0.025
old_holder_PV_oku
74.067074135
per_initial_share_gbp
9.970475261
9
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資本コスト
9.50%
g
0.03
old_holder_PV_oku
75.647341111
per_initial_share_gbp
10.183201536
limitations
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1

annual trust share movements not disclosed as of 2026-11-06

2

severe scenario could trigger dividends restrictions not contractually modeled

3

no access to full audited FY26 annual report pages for reconciliation beyond preliminary report

4

10-year regulatory and capital expenditures highly forecast-dependent

5

not a guarantee of Ofwat reopeners or permitted shareholder distributions

資本コストの前提

資本コスト
8.50%
basis

nominal GBP shareholder equity hurdle, fixed across five scenarios; Ofwat CPIH-real WACC 4.03% is a regulated asset allowance, not equity discount rate

k_policy

Based on 5.1% CPIH-real regulatory allowed CoE compounded with 3.0% CPIH => 8.253%, plus approximate 0.25pp company funding / environment / governance buffer rounded to 8.5%. Neither a quoted market PER nor implied PBR.

allowed_regulated_cost_of_equity_CPIH_real
0.051
regulated_appointee_allowed_WACC_CPIH_real
0.0403
notional_gearing_ofwat
0.55
inflation_for_k_bridge
0.03
cpi_nominalized_roe_reference
0.08253
additional_company_specific_risk_premium
0.00247

事業別データ

事業別の内訳と、収録されている年度別データを確認できます。

事業別データを開く →

10年のシナリオ

シナリオごとの確率、期間内の株主還元・追加負担、終価です。金額は億GBP。株主の範囲や受取時点は各分析の前提を確認してください。

シナリオ確率株主還元・追加負担終価
非常に強気10.0%49.85331.05
強気20.0%48.94223.68
標準40.0%47.81125.83
弱気20.0%24.120.00
深刻な下方10.0%2.270.00

非常に強気(確率 10.0%)

追加投資が効率的に規制収益化され、損失・ODIが小さい。

確率の根拠

将来の規制・設備投資・資金調達を考慮した分析上の仮定。

このシナリオの数値・キャッシュフローを開く →

強気(確率 20.0%)

料金・支出効率が良好でODI負担が縮小。

確率の根拠

将来の規制・設備投資・資金調達を考慮した分析上の仮定。

このシナリオの数値・キャッシュフローを開く →

標準(確率 40.0%)

AMP8の大部分が進捗、許容利益の回収と効率改善が進むが維持投資負担が残る。

確率の根拠

将来の規制・設備投資・資金調達を考慮した分析上の仮定。

このシナリオの数値・キャッシュフローを開く →

弱気(確率 20.0%)

料金回収の遅れ、環境ODI損失と資金調達コスト増。

確率の根拠

将来の規制・設備投資・資金調達を考慮した分析上の仮定。

事業別の前提

1
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id

regulated_water

数量
1
価格・単価
38.798015859
売上換算係数
1
売上高
38.798015859
営業利益
10.320680335
注記

連結事業。年次モデルの最終1年値。

日付別キャッシュフロー

1
内容を開く
year
0.11225188227242
想定日

2026-12-17

金額
0
種類

forecast_review_gate

注記

予測権利落ち日または希薄化イベント。実施と金額を確認し再分析する。

2
year
0.238193018
想定日

2027-02-01

金額
1.238106713
3
year
0.479123888
想定日

2027-04-30

金額
0.058
4
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year
0.63244353182752
想定日

2027-06-25

金額
0
種類

forecast_review_gate

注記

予測権利落ち日または希薄化イベント。実施と金額を確認し再分析する。

5
year
0.739219713
想定日

2027-08-03

金額
2.474945238
6
内容を開く
year
1.1115674195756
想定日

2027-12-17

金額
0
種類

forecast_review_gate

注記

予測権利落ち日または希薄化イベント。実施と金額を確認し再分析する。

7
year
1.237508556
想定日

2028-02-01

金額
1.173296935
8
year
1.475701574
想定日

2028-04-28

金額
0.059709404
9
内容を開く
year
1.6290212183436
想定日

2028-06-23

金額
0
種類

forecast_review_gate

注記

予測権利落ち日または希薄化イベント。実施と金額を確認し再分析する。

10
year
1.741273101
想定日

2028-08-03

金額
2.345340978
11
内容を開く
year
1.9876796714579
想定日

2028-11-01

金額
0
種類

forecast_review_gate

注記

予測権利落ち日または希薄化イベント。実施と金額を確認し再分析する。

12
内容を開く
year
2.1081451060917
想定日

2028-12-15

金額
0
種類

forecast_review_gate

注記

予測権利落ち日または希薄化イベント。実施と金額を確認し再分析する。

13
year
2.239561944
想定日

2029-02-01

金額
1.060525115
14
year
2.480492813
想定日

2029-04-30

金額
0.056049936
15
内容を開く
year
2.6338124572211
想定日

2029-06-25

金額
0
種類

forecast_review_gate

注記

予測権利落ち日または希薄化イベント。実施と金額を確認し再分析する。

16
year
2.740588638
想定日

2029-08-03

金額
2.119973679
17
内容を開く
year
2.9869952087611
想定日

2029-11-01

金額
0
種類

forecast_review_gate

注記

予測権利落ち日または希薄化イベント。実施と金額を確認し再分析する。

18
内容を開く
year
3.1129363449692
想定日

2029-12-17

金額
0
種類

forecast_review_gate

注記

予測権利落ち日または希薄化イベント。実施と金額を確認し再分析する。

19
year
3.238877481
想定日

2030-02-01

金額
0.980911906
20
year
3.47980835
想定日

2030-04-30

金額
0.052859694
21
内容を開く
year
3.6331279945243
想定日

2030-06-25

金額
0
種類

forecast_review_gate

注記

予測権利落ち日または希薄化イベント。実施と金額を確認し再分析する。

22
year
3.745379877
想定日

2030-08-05

金額
1.960872864
23
内容を開く
year
3.9863107460643
想定日

2030-11-01

金額
0
種類

forecast_review_gate

注記

予測権利落ち日または希薄化イベント。実施と金額を確認し再分析する。

24
内容を開く
year
4.1122518822724
想定日

2030-12-17

金額
0
種類

forecast_review_gate

注記

予測権利落ち日または希薄化イベント。実施と金額を確認し再分析する。

25
year
4.24366872
想定日

2031-02-03

金額
0.881178222
26
year
4.479123888
想定日

2031-04-30

金額
0.051225756
27
内容を開く
year
4.6324435318275
想定日

2031-06-25

金額
0
種類

forecast_review_gate

注記

予測権利落ち日または希薄化イベント。実施と金額を確認し再分析する。

28
year
4.741957563
想定日

2031-08-04

金額
1.761518128
29
内容を開く
year
5.1115674195756
想定日

2031-12-17

金額
0
種類

forecast_review_gate

注記

予測権利落ち日または希薄化イベント。実施と金額を確認し再分析する。

30
year
5.240246407
想定日

2032-02-02

金額
0.739823854
31
year
5.481177276
想定日

2032-04-30

金額
0.05273743
32
内容を開く
year
5.6344969199179
想定日

2032-06-25

金額
0
種類

forecast_review_gate

注記

予測権利落ち日または希薄化イベント。実施と金額を確認し再分析する。

33
year
5.741273101
想定日

2032-08-03

金額
1.478913951
34
内容を開く
year
5.9876796714579
想定日

2032-11-01

金額
0
種類

forecast_review_gate

注記

予測権利落ち日または希薄化イベント。実施と金額を確認し再分析する。

35
内容を開く
year
6.113620807666
想定日

2032-12-17

金額
0
種類

forecast_review_gate

注記

予測権利落ち日または希薄化イベント。実施と金額を確認し再分析する。

36
year
6.239561944
想定日

2033-02-01

金額
0.635922287
37
year
6.477754962
想定日

2033-04-29

金額
0.05035171
38
内容を開く
year
6.6310746064339
想定日

2033-06-24

金額
0
種類

forecast_review_gate

注記

予測権利落ち日または希薄化イベント。実施と金額を確認し再分析する。

39
year
6.740588638
想定日

2033-08-03

金額
1.271234781
40
内容を開く
year
7.1101984941821
想定日

2033-12-16

金額
0
種類

forecast_review_gate

注記

予測権利落ち日または希薄化イベント。実施と金額を確認し再分析する。

41
year
7.238877481
想定日

2034-02-01

金額
0.497272684
42
year
7.474332649
想定日

2034-04-28

金額
0.051837396
43
内容を開く
year
7.62765229295
想定日

2034-06-23

金額
0
種類

forecast_review_gate

注記

予測権利落ち日または希薄化イベント。実施と金額を確認し再分析する。

44
year
7.739904175
想定日

2034-08-03

金額
0.994048258
45
内容を開く
year
7.9863107460643
想定日

2034-11-01

金額
0
種類

forecast_review_gate

注記

予測権利落ち日または希薄化イベント。実施と金額を確認し再分析する。

46
内容を開く
year
8.1067761806982
想定日

2034-12-15

金額
0
種類

forecast_review_gate

注記

予測権利落ち日または希薄化イベント。実施と金額を確認し再分析する。

47
year
8.238193018
想定日

2035-02-01

金額
0.399015403
48
year
8.479123888
想定日

2035-04-30

金額
0.050060576
49
内容を開く
year
8.6324435318275
想定日

2035-06-25

金額
0
種類

forecast_review_gate

注記

予測権利落ち日または希薄化イベント。実施と金額を確認し再分析する。

50
year
8.739219713
想定日

2035-08-03

金額
0.79764072
51
内容を開く
year
9.1115674195756
想定日

2035-12-17

金額
0
種類

forecast_review_gate

注記

予測権利落ち日または希薄化イベント。実施と金額を確認し再分析する。

52
year
9.237508556
想定日

2036-02-01

金額
0.256903514
53
year
9.481177276
想定日

2036-04-30

金額
0.051537189
54
内容を開く
year
9.6344969199179
想定日

2036-06-25

金額
0
種類

forecast_review_gate

注記

予測権利落ち日または希薄化イベント。実施と金額を確認し再分析する。

55
year
9.744010951
想定日

2036-08-04

金額
0.513545197

その他の数値・前提

thesis

料金回収の遅れ、環境ODI損失と資金調達コスト増。

forecast_assumptions
内容を開く
状態

model_assumptions_not_company_guidance

initial_gross_revenue_oku
28.1
revenue_growth_early
0.052
revenue_growth_late
0.03
operating_cost_first_year_oku
11.3
operating_cost_growth_early
0.053
operating_cost_growth_late
0.042
inflation_assumption_CPIH
0.038
cash_financing_rate_on_opening_net_debt
0.033
index_linked_share_of_debt_proxy_at_start
0.46
index_linked_share_of_debt_target_from_anniversary_5
0.33
capex_multiplier_vs_common_schedule
1.08
rcv_eligible_capex_fraction
0.54
annual_rcv_runoff_assumed
0.032
regulatory_max_gearing_trigger
0.65
post_issue_target_gearing
0.625
environmental_fine_first_year_oku
0.095
revenue_odi_penalty_first_year_oku
0.38
first_anniversary_year_dps_target_gbp
0.5
later_dividend_target_growth
0.022
dividend_cap_as_multiple_of_same_period_positive_profit
1
future_employee_trust_share_purchase_market_price_growth_assumed
-0.012
model_employee_trust_purchase_and_delivery_same_period
はい
corporate_share_buybacks_assumed
0
book_OCI_assumed
0
annual_ledger
内容を開く
1
内容を開く
anniversary_year
1
period_start

2026-11-06

期間末

2027-11-06

period_days
365
data_status

scenario_forecast

income_oku
内容を開く
regulatory_gross_revenue_before_odi
28.1
negative_odi_revenue_adjustment
-0.38
revenue
27.72
cash_operating_cost_excluding_sbc_and_ire
11.3
infrastructure_renewal_expense
0.42
sbc_expense_included_in_pat
0.05
depreciation_and_amortization
5.85
environmental_legal_compliance_fines_expense
0.095
operating_profit
10.005
cash_finance_interest_expense
3.263590382
assumed_index_linked_fraction_of_debt
0.434
noncash_indexation_finance_expense
1.631004017
total_finance_expense
4.894594399
share_of_jv_loss
0.045
profit_before_tax
5.065405601
income_tax_expense
1.2663514
parent_attributable_ifrs_profit_after_sbc
3.799054201
noncontrolling_profit
0
total_profit_after_tax
3.799054201
regulatory_rcv_and_investment_oku
内容を開く
rcv_begin_adjusted
173.242046575
cpi_indexation_net_of_regulatory_runoff
1.039452279
cash_capex
23.76
maintenance_replacement_capex_assumed
13.5432
growth_and_compliance_capex_assumed
10.2168
qualified_rcv_capex_addition_proxy
12.8304
rcv_end_adjusted
187.111898855
RCV_is_unavailable_to_shareholders_as_cash
はい
cash_flow_and_debt_oku
内容を開く
company_cash_from_operations
11.96117717
noncash_financing_indexation_in_CFO_reconciliation
1.631004017
deferred_tax_non_cash_added_back
0.861118952
working_capital_cash_deduction
0.23
regulatory_style_net_debt_begin
98.896678235
cash_capex
23.76
dividends_paid_company_wide
3.71432014
employee_trust_market_purchase_cash
0.058
third_party_primary_issue_net_proceeds
0
noncash_debt_principal_indexation
1.631004017
regulatory_style_net_debt_end
116.098825223
gearing_end_net_debt_over_adjusted_rcv
0.620478045
ordinary_parent_equity_oku
内容を開く
begin
31.114445052
parent_profit_after_sbc
3.799054201
ifrs2_non_cash_sbc_equity_credit
0.05
primary_equity_issue_proceeds
0
company_dividend_cash_reduction
3.71432014
employee_trust_purchase_equity_reduction
0.058
assumed_other_comprehensive_income
0
end
31.191179113
share_and_holder_cohort_ledger
内容を開く
issued_ordinary_begin
742864028
issued_from_third_party_equity_funding
0
issued_ordinary_end
742864028
company_treasury_begin
0
company_treasury_end
0
trust_purchased_and_delivered_same_period
380456.60039725
trust_end_balance_model_only
0
sbc_new_primary_shares
0
old_cohort_owned_begin
742864028
old_cohort_sold_to_employee_trust
380456.60039725
old_cohort_owned_end
742483571.3996
old_cohort_fraction_begin
1
old_cohort_fraction_end
0.999487852
employee_market_purchase_unit_price_gbp
15.24484
third_party_issue_price_gbp
未確認
third_party_issue_proceeds_oku
0
holder_cash_returns_oku
内容を開く
interim_dividend
1.238106713
final_dividend
2.474945238
pro_rata_tender_to_employee_trust
0.058
ordinary_company_buybacks_pro_rata
0
total_old_holder_cash_receipts
3.771051951
company_cash_returns_oku
内容を開く
interim_dividend
1.238106713
final_dividend
2.476213427
target_dps_gbp_before_profit_restriction
0.5
actual_scenario_dps_gbp_after_profit_restriction
0.5
employee_trust_market_purchases_not_corporate_buybacks
0.058
corporate_buybacks
0
ordinary_primary_issue_receipts_not_shareholder_return
0
audit_residuals
内容を開く
income_statement_oku
0
親会社持分(億)
0
rcv_oku
0
debt_oku
0
発行済株式数
0
cohort_shares
0
holder_cashflow_oku
0
company_dividends_oku
0
2
内容を開く
anniversary_year
2
period_start

2027-11-06

期間末

2028-11-06

period_days
366
data_status

scenario_forecast

income_oku
内容を開く
regulatory_gross_revenue_before_odi
29.5612
negative_odi_revenue_adjustment
-0.38
revenue
29.1812
cash_operating_cost_excluding_sbc_and_ire
11.8989
infrastructure_renewal_expense
0.4284
sbc_expense_included_in_pat
0.0515
depreciation_and_amortization
6.33555
environmental_legal_compliance_fines_expense
0.095
operating_profit
10.37185
cash_finance_interest_expense
3.831261232
assumed_index_linked_fraction_of_debt
0.408
noncash_indexation_finance_expense
1.799996186
total_finance_expense
5.631257419
share_of_jv_loss
0.045
profit_before_tax
4.695592581
income_tax_expense
1.173898145
parent_attributable_ifrs_profit_after_sbc
3.521694436
noncontrolling_profit
0
total_profit_after_tax
3.521694436
regulatory_rcv_and_investment_oku
内容を開く
rcv_begin_adjusted
187.111898855
cpi_indexation_net_of_regulatory_runoff
1.122671393
cash_capex
28.08
maintenance_replacement_capex_assumed
16.0056
growth_and_compliance_capex_assumed
12.0744
qualified_rcv_capex_addition_proxy
15.1632
rcv_end_adjusted
203.397770248
RCV_is_unavailable_to_shareholders_as_cash
はい
cash_flow_and_debt_oku
内容を開く
company_cash_from_operations
12.270091361
noncash_financing_indexation_in_CFO_reconciliation
1.799996186
deferred_tax_non_cash_added_back
0.798250739
working_capital_cash_deduction
0.2369
regulatory_style_net_debt_begin
116.098825223
cash_capex
28.08
dividends_paid_company_wide
3.521694436
employee_trust_market_purchase_cash
0.05974
third_party_primary_issue_net_proceeds
10.166558079
noncash_debt_principal_indexation
1.799996186
regulatory_style_net_debt_end
127.123606405
gearing_end_net_debt_over_adjusted_rcv
0.625
ordinary_parent_equity_oku
内容を開く
begin
31.191179113
parent_profit_after_sbc
3.521694436
ifrs2_non_cash_sbc_equity_credit
0.0515
primary_equity_issue_proceeds
10.166558079
company_dividend_cash_reduction
3.521694436
employee_trust_purchase_equity_reduction
0.05974
assumed_other_comprehensive_income
0
end
41.349497192
share_and_holder_cohort_ledger
内容を開く
issued_ordinary_begin
742864028
issued_from_third_party_equity_funding
71806916.386452
issued_ordinary_end
814670944.38645
company_treasury_begin
0
company_treasury_end
0
trust_purchased_and_delivered_same_period
396629.85668944
trust_end_balance_model_only
0
sbc_new_primary_shares
0
old_cohort_owned_begin
742483571.3996
old_cohort_sold_to_employee_trust
396426.7233552
old_cohort_owned_end
742087144.67625
old_cohort_fraction_begin
0.999487852
old_cohort_fraction_end
0.910904151
employee_market_purchase_unit_price_gbp
15.06190192
third_party_issue_price_gbp
14.158187805
third_party_issue_proceeds_oku
10.166558079
holder_cash_returns_oku
内容を開く
interim_dividend
1.173296935
final_dividend
2.345340978
pro_rata_tender_to_employee_trust
0.059709404
ordinary_company_buybacks_pro_rata
0
total_old_holder_cash_receipts
3.578347317
company_cash_returns_oku
内容を開く
interim_dividend
1.173898145
final_dividend
2.347796291
target_dps_gbp_before_profit_restriction
0.511
actual_scenario_dps_gbp_after_profit_restriction
0.474069857
employee_trust_market_purchases_not_corporate_buybacks
0.05974
corporate_buybacks
0
ordinary_primary_issue_receipts_not_shareholder_return
10.166558079
audit_residuals
内容を開く
income_statement_oku
0
親会社持分(億)
0
rcv_oku
0
debt_oku
0
発行済株式数
0
cohort_shares
0
holder_cashflow_oku
0
company_dividends_oku
0
3
内容を開く
anniversary_year
3
period_start

2028-11-06

期間末

2029-11-06

period_days
365
data_status

scenario_forecast

income_oku
内容を開く
regulatory_gross_revenue_before_odi
31.0983824
negative_odi_revenue_adjustment
-0.38
revenue
30.7183824
cash_operating_cost_excluding_sbc_and_ire
12.5295417
infrastructure_renewal_expense
0.436968
sbc_expense_included_in_pat
0.053045
depreciation_and_amortization
6.86140065
environmental_legal_compliance_fines_expense
0.095
operating_profit
10.74242705
cash_finance_interest_expense
4.195079011
assumed_index_linked_fraction_of_debt
0.382
noncash_indexation_finance_expense
1.845326271
total_finance_expense
6.040405282
share_of_jv_loss
0.045
profit_before_tax
4.657021768
income_tax_expense
1.164255442
parent_attributable_ifrs_profit_after_sbc
3.492766326
noncontrolling_profit
0
total_profit_after_tax
3.492766326
regulatory_rcv_and_investment_oku
内容を開く
rcv_begin_adjusted
203.397770248
cpi_indexation_net_of_regulatory_runoff
1.220386621
cash_capex
28.08
maintenance_replacement_capex_assumed
16.0056
growth_and_compliance_capex_assumed
12.0744
qualified_rcv_capex_addition_proxy
15.1632
rcv_end_adjusted
219.781356869
RCV_is_unavailable_to_shareholders_as_cash
はい
cash_flow_and_debt_oku
内容を開く
company_cash_from_operations
12.800224947
noncash_financing_indexation_in_CFO_reconciliation
1.845326271
deferred_tax_non_cash_added_back
0.791693701
working_capital_cash_deduction
0.244007
regulatory_style_net_debt_begin
127.123606405
cash_capex
28.08
dividends_paid_company_wide
3.492766326
employee_trust_market_purchase_cash
0.0615322
third_party_primary_issue_net_proceeds
10.439658211
noncash_debt_principal_indexation
1.845326271
regulatory_style_net_debt_end
137.363348043
gearing_end_net_debt_over_adjusted_rcv
0.625
ordinary_parent_equity_oku
内容を開く
begin
41.349497192
parent_profit_after_sbc
3.492766326
ifrs2_non_cash_sbc_equity_credit
0.053045
primary_equity_issue_proceeds
10.439658211
company_dividend_cash_reduction
3.492766326
employee_trust_purchase_equity_reduction
0.0615322
assumed_other_comprehensive_income
0
end
51.780668203
share_and_holder_cohort_ledger
内容を開く
issued_ordinary_begin
814670944.38645
issued_from_third_party_equity_funding
74631413.460748
issued_ordinary_end
889302357.8472
company_treasury_begin
0
company_treasury_end
0
trust_purchased_and_delivered_same_period
413490.64007098
trust_end_balance_model_only
0
sbc_new_primary_shares
0
old_cohort_owned_begin
742087144.67625
old_cohort_sold_to_employee_trust
376650.34030607
old_cohort_owned_end
741710494.33594
old_cohort_fraction_begin
0.910904151
old_cohort_fraction_end
0.834036352
employee_market_purchase_unit_price_gbp
14.881159097
third_party_issue_price_gbp
13.988289551
third_party_issue_proceeds_oku
10.439658211
holder_cash_returns_oku
内容を開く
interim_dividend
1.060525115
final_dividend
2.119973679
pro_rata_tender_to_employee_trust
0.056049936
ordinary_company_buybacks_pro_rata
0
total_old_holder_cash_receipts
3.23654873
company_cash_returns_oku
内容を開く
interim_dividend
1.164255442
final_dividend
2.328510884
target_dps_gbp_before_profit_restriction
0.522242
actual_scenario_dps_gbp_after_profit_restriction
0.428733386
employee_trust_market_purchases_not_corporate_buybacks
0.0615322
corporate_buybacks
0
ordinary_primary_issue_receipts_not_shareholder_return
10.439658211
audit_residuals
内容を開く
income_statement_oku
-0
親会社持分(億)
0
rcv_oku
0
debt_oku
0
発行済株式数
0
cohort_shares
0
holder_cashflow_oku
0
company_dividends_oku
0
4
内容を開く
anniversary_year
4
period_start

2029-11-06

期間末

2030-11-06

period_days
365
data_status

scenario_forecast

income_oku
内容を開く
regulatory_gross_revenue_before_odi
32.715498285
negative_odi_revenue_adjustment
-0.38
revenue
32.335498285
cash_operating_cost_excluding_sbc_and_ire
13.19360741
infrastructure_renewal_expense
0.44570736
sbc_expense_included_in_pat
0.05463635
depreciation_and_amortization
7.430896904
environmental_legal_compliance_fines_expense
0.095
operating_profit
11.115650261
cash_finance_interest_expense
4.532990485
assumed_index_linked_fraction_of_debt
0.356
noncash_indexation_finance_expense
1.858251372
total_finance_expense
6.391241858
share_of_jv_loss
0.02
profit_before_tax
4.704408403
income_tax_expense
1.176102101
parent_attributable_ifrs_profit_after_sbc
3.528306302
noncontrolling_profit
0
total_profit_after_tax
3.528306302
regulatory_rcv_and_investment_oku
内容を開く
rcv_begin_adjusted
219.781356869
cpi_indexation_net_of_regulatory_runoff
1.318688141
cash_capex
24.84
maintenance_replacement_capex_assumed
14.1588
growth_and_compliance_capex_assumed
10.6812
qualified_rcv_capex_addition_proxy
13.4136
rcv_end_adjusted
234.513645011
RCV_is_unavailable_to_shareholders_as_cash
はい
cash_flow_and_debt_oku
内容を開く
company_cash_from_operations
13.420513147
noncash_financing_indexation_in_CFO_reconciliation
1.858251372
deferred_tax_non_cash_added_back
0.799749429
working_capital_cash_deduction
0.25132721
regulatory_style_net_debt_begin
137.363348043
cash_capex
24.84
dividends_paid_company_wide
3.528306302
employee_trust_market_purchase_cash
0.063378166
third_party_primary_issue_net_proceeds
7.661742605
noncash_debt_principal_indexation
1.858251372
regulatory_style_net_debt_end
146.571028132
gearing_end_net_debt_over_adjusted_rcv
0.625
ordinary_parent_equity_oku
内容を開く
begin
51.780668203
parent_profit_after_sbc
3.528306302
ifrs2_non_cash_sbc_equity_credit
0.05463635
primary_equity_issue_proceeds
7.661742605
company_dividend_cash_reduction
3.528306302
employee_trust_purchase_equity_reduction
0.063378166
assumed_other_comprehensive_income
0
end
59.433668992
share_and_holder_cohort_ledger
内容を開く
issued_ordinary_begin
889302357.8472
issued_from_third_party_equity_funding
55437801.594133
issued_ordinary_end
944740159.44133
company_treasury_begin
0
company_treasury_end
0
trust_purchased_and_delivered_same_period
431068.17740193
trust_end_balance_model_only
0
sbc_new_primary_shares
0
old_cohort_owned_begin
741710494.33594
old_cohort_sold_to_employee_trust
359526.53013005
old_cohort_owned_end
741350967.80581
old_cohort_fraction_begin
0.834036352
old_cohort_fraction_end
0.784714146
employee_market_purchase_unit_price_gbp
14.702585188
third_party_issue_price_gbp
13.820430077
third_party_issue_proceeds_oku
7.661742605
holder_cash_returns_oku
内容を開く
interim_dividend
0.980911906
final_dividend
1.960872864
pro_rata_tender_to_employee_trust
0.052859694
ordinary_company_buybacks_pro_rata
0
total_old_holder_cash_receipts
2.994644464
company_cash_returns_oku
内容を開く
interim_dividend
1.176102101
final_dividend
2.352204201
target_dps_gbp_before_profit_restriction
0.533731324
actual_scenario_dps_gbp_after_profit_restriction
0.39674991
employee_trust_market_purchases_not_corporate_buybacks
0.063378166
corporate_buybacks
0
ordinary_primary_issue_receipts_not_shareholder_return
7.661742605
audit_residuals
内容を開く
income_statement_oku
0
親会社持分(億)
0
rcv_oku
0
debt_oku
0
発行済株式数
0
cohort_shares
0
holder_cashflow_oku
0
company_dividends_oku
0
5
内容を開く
anniversary_year
5
period_start

2030-11-06

期間末

2031-11-06

period_days
365
data_status

scenario_forecast

income_oku
内容を開く
regulatory_gross_revenue_before_odi
33.696963233
negative_odi_revenue_adjustment
-0.266
revenue
33.430963233
cash_operating_cost_excluding_sbc_and_ire
13.747738921
infrastructure_renewal_expense
0.454621507
sbc_expense_included_in_pat
0.056275441
depreciation_and_amortization
7.928766997
environmental_legal_compliance_fines_expense
0.057
operating_profit
11.186560368
cash_finance_interest_expense
4.836843928
assumed_index_linked_fraction_of_debt
0.33
noncash_indexation_finance_expense
1.838000693
total_finance_expense
6.674844621
share_of_jv_loss
0.02
profit_before_tax
4.491715747
income_tax_expense
1.122928937
parent_attributable_ifrs_profit_after_sbc
3.36878681
noncontrolling_profit
0
total_profit_after_tax
3.36878681
regulatory_rcv_and_investment_oku
内容を開く
rcv_begin_adjusted
234.513645011
cpi_indexation_net_of_regulatory_runoff
1.40708187
cash_capex
21.6
maintenance_replacement_capex_assumed
12.312
growth_and_compliance_capex_assumed
9.288
qualified_rcv_capex_addition_proxy
11.664
rcv_end_adjusted
247.584726881
RCV_is_unavailable_to_shareholders_as_cash
はい
cash_flow_and_debt_oku
内容を開く
company_cash_from_operations
13.471968803
noncash_financing_indexation_in_CFO_reconciliation
1.838000693
deferred_tax_non_cash_added_back
0.53900589
working_capital_cash_deduction
0.258867026
regulatory_style_net_debt_begin
146.571028132
cash_capex
21.6
dividends_paid_company_wide
3.36878681
employee_trust_market_purchase_cash
0.065279511
third_party_primary_issue_net_proceeds
0
noncash_debt_principal_indexation
1.838000693
regulatory_style_net_debt_end
159.971126342
gearing_end_net_debt_over_adjusted_rcv
0.646126796
ordinary_parent_equity_oku
内容を開く
begin
59.433668992
parent_profit_after_sbc
3.36878681
ifrs2_non_cash_sbc_equity_credit
0.056275441
primary_equity_issue_proceeds
0
company_dividend_cash_reduction
3.36878681
employee_trust_purchase_equity_reduction
0.065279511
assumed_other_comprehensive_income
0
end
59.424664922
share_and_holder_cohort_ledger
内容を開く
issued_ordinary_begin
944740159.44133
issued_from_third_party_equity_funding
0
issued_ordinary_end
944740159.44133
company_treasury_begin
0
company_treasury_end
0
trust_purchased_and_delivered_same_period
449392.93797974
trust_end_balance_model_only
0
sbc_new_primary_shares
0
old_cohort_owned_begin
741350967.80581
old_cohort_sold_to_employee_trust
352644.99573448
old_cohort_owned_end
740998322.81008
old_cohort_fraction_begin
0.784714146
old_cohort_fraction_end
0.784340874
employee_market_purchase_unit_price_gbp
14.526154166
third_party_issue_price_gbp
未確認
third_party_issue_proceeds_oku
0
holder_cash_returns_oku
内容を開く
interim_dividend
0.881178222
final_dividend
1.761518128
pro_rata_tender_to_employee_trust
0.051225756
ordinary_company_buybacks_pro_rata
0
total_old_holder_cash_receipts
2.693922106
company_cash_returns_oku
内容を開く
interim_dividend
1.122928937
final_dividend
2.245857873
target_dps_gbp_before_profit_restriction
0.545473413
actual_scenario_dps_gbp_after_profit_restriction
0.356583424
employee_trust_market_purchases_not_corporate_buybacks
0.065279511
corporate_buybacks
0
ordinary_primary_issue_receipts_not_shareholder_return
0
audit_residuals
内容を開く
income_statement_oku
0
親会社持分(億)
0
rcv_oku
0
debt_oku
0
発行済株式数
0
cohort_shares
0
holder_cashflow_oku
0
company_dividends_oku
0
6
内容を開く
anniversary_year
6
period_start

2031-11-06

期間末

2032-11-06

period_days
366
data_status

scenario_forecast

income_oku
内容を開く
regulatory_gross_revenue_before_odi
34.70787213
negative_odi_revenue_adjustment
-0.266
revenue
34.44187213
cash_operating_cost_excluding_sbc_and_ire
14.325143956
infrastructure_renewal_expense
0.463713937
sbc_expense_included_in_pat
0.057963704
depreciation_and_amortization
8.459994385
environmental_legal_compliance_fines_expense
0.057
operating_profit
11.078056148
cash_finance_interest_expense
5.279047169
assumed_index_linked_fraction_of_debt
0.33
noncash_indexation_finance_expense
2.006037924
total_finance_expense
7.285085094
share_of_jv_loss
0.02
profit_before_tax
3.772971054
income_tax_expense
0.943242764
parent_attributable_ifrs_profit_after_sbc
2.829728291
noncontrolling_profit
0
total_profit_after_tax
2.829728291
regulatory_rcv_and_investment_oku
内容を開く
rcv_begin_adjusted
247.584726881
cpi_indexation_net_of_regulatory_runoff
1.485508361
cash_capex
21.6
maintenance_replacement_capex_assumed
12.312
growth_and_compliance_capex_assumed
9.288
qualified_rcv_capex_addition_proxy
11.664
rcv_end_adjusted
260.734235242
RCV_is_unavailable_to_shareholders_as_cash
はい
cash_flow_and_debt_oku
内容を開く
company_cash_from_operations
13.539847794
noncash_financing_indexation_in_CFO_reconciliation
2.006037924
deferred_tax_non_cash_added_back
0.452756527
working_capital_cash_deduction
0.266633037
regulatory_style_net_debt_begin
159.971126342
cash_capex
21.6
dividends_paid_company_wide
2.829728291
employee_trust_market_purchase_cash
0.067237896
third_party_primary_issue_net_proceeds
9.975385634
noncash_debt_principal_indexation
2.006037924
regulatory_style_net_debt_end
162.958897026
gearing_end_net_debt_over_adjusted_rcv
0.625
ordinary_parent_equity_oku
内容を開く
begin
59.424664922
parent_profit_after_sbc
2.829728291
ifrs2_non_cash_sbc_equity_credit
0.057963704
primary_equity_issue_proceeds
9.975385634
company_dividend_cash_reduction
2.829728291
employee_trust_purchase_equity_reduction
0.067237896
assumed_other_comprehensive_income
0
end
69.390776363
share_and_holder_cohort_ledger
内容を開く
issued_ordinary_begin
944740159.44133
issued_from_third_party_equity_funding
73942519.866524
issued_ordinary_end
1018682679.3079
company_treasury_begin
0
company_treasury_end
0
trust_purchased_and_delivered_same_period
468496.6863554
trust_end_balance_model_only
0
sbc_new_primary_shares
0
old_cohort_owned_begin
740998322.81008
old_cohort_sold_to_employee_trust
367461.10066573
old_cohort_owned_end
740630861.70941
old_cohort_fraction_begin
0.784340874
old_cohort_fraction_end
0.727047663
employee_market_purchase_unit_price_gbp
14.351840316
third_party_issue_price_gbp
13.490729897
third_party_issue_proceeds_oku
9.975385634
holder_cash_returns_oku
内容を開く
interim_dividend
0.739823854
final_dividend
1.478913951
pro_rata_tender_to_employee_trust
0.05273743
ordinary_company_buybacks_pro_rata
0
total_old_holder_cash_receipts
2.271475235
company_cash_returns_oku
内容を開く
interim_dividend
0.943242764
final_dividend
1.886485527
target_dps_gbp_before_profit_restriction
0.557473828
actual_scenario_dps_gbp_after_profit_restriction
0.299524505
employee_trust_market_purchases_not_corporate_buybacks
0.067237896
corporate_buybacks
0
ordinary_primary_issue_receipts_not_shareholder_return
9.975385634
audit_residuals
内容を開く
income_statement_oku
0
親会社持分(億)
0
rcv_oku
0
debt_oku
0
発行済株式数
0
cohort_shares
0
holder_cashflow_oku
0
company_dividends_oku
0
7
内容を開く
anniversary_year
7
period_start

2032-11-06

期間末

2033-11-06

period_days
365
data_status

scenario_forecast

income_oku
内容を開く
regulatory_gross_revenue_before_odi
35.749108294
negative_odi_revenue_adjustment
-0.266
revenue
35.483108294
cash_operating_cost_excluding_sbc_and_ire
14.926800002
infrastructure_renewal_expense
0.472988216
sbc_expense_included_in_pat
0.059702615
depreciation_and_amortization
9.026814009
environmental_legal_compliance_fines_expense
0.057
operating_profit
10.939803452
cash_finance_interest_expense
5.377643602
assumed_index_linked_fraction_of_debt
0.33
noncash_indexation_finance_expense
2.043504569
total_finance_expense
7.421148171
share_of_jv_loss
0.02
profit_before_tax
3.498655281
income_tax_expense
0.87466382
parent_attributable_ifrs_profit_after_sbc
2.623991461
noncontrolling_profit
0
total_profit_after_tax
2.623991461
regulatory_rcv_and_investment_oku
内容を開く
rcv_begin_adjusted
260.734235242
cpi_indexation_net_of_regulatory_runoff
1.564405411
cash_capex
22.14
maintenance_replacement_capex_assumed
12.6198
growth_and_compliance_capex_assumed
9.5202
qualified_rcv_capex_addition_proxy
11.9556
rcv_end_adjusted
274.254240653
RCV_is_unavailable_to_shareholders_as_cash
はい
cash_flow_and_debt_oku
内容を開く
company_cash_from_operations
13.899219259
noncash_financing_indexation_in_CFO_reconciliation
2.043504569
deferred_tax_non_cash_added_back
0.419838634
working_capital_cash_deduction
0.274632028
regulatory_style_net_debt_begin
162.958897026
cash_capex
22.14
dividends_paid_company_wide
2.623991461
employee_trust_market_purchase_cash
0.069255033
third_party_primary_issue_net_proceeds
0
noncash_debt_principal_indexation
2.043504569
regulatory_style_net_debt_end
175.93642883
gearing_end_net_debt_over_adjusted_rcv
0.641508508
ordinary_parent_equity_oku
内容を開く
begin
69.390776363
parent_profit_after_sbc
2.623991461
ifrs2_non_cash_sbc_equity_credit
0.059702615
primary_equity_issue_proceeds
0
company_dividend_cash_reduction
2.623991461
employee_trust_purchase_equity_reduction
0.069255033
assumed_other_comprehensive_income
0
end
69.381223945
share_and_holder_cohort_ledger
内容を開く
issued_ordinary_begin
1018682679.3079
issued_from_third_party_equity_funding
0
issued_ordinary_end
1018682679.3079
company_treasury_begin
0
company_treasury_end
0
trust_purchased_and_delivered_same_period
488412.5373948
trust_end_balance_model_only
0
sbc_new_primary_shares
0
old_cohort_owned_begin
740630861.70941
old_cohort_sold_to_employee_trust
355099.19407501
old_cohort_owned_end
740275762.51534
old_cohort_fraction_begin
0.727047663
old_cohort_fraction_end
0.726699077
employee_market_purchase_unit_price_gbp
14.179618232
third_party_issue_price_gbp
未確認
third_party_issue_proceeds_oku
0
holder_cash_returns_oku
内容を開く
interim_dividend
0.635922287
final_dividend
1.271234781
pro_rata_tender_to_employee_trust
0.05035171
ordinary_company_buybacks_pro_rata
0
total_old_holder_cash_receipts
1.957508778
company_cash_returns_oku
内容を開く
interim_dividend
0.87466382
final_dividend
1.749327641
target_dps_gbp_before_profit_restriction
0.569738252
actual_scenario_dps_gbp_after_profit_restriction
0.257586736
employee_trust_market_purchases_not_corporate_buybacks
0.069255033
corporate_buybacks
0
ordinary_primary_issue_receipts_not_shareholder_return
0
audit_residuals
内容を開く
income_statement_oku
0
親会社持分(億)
0
rcv_oku
0
debt_oku
0
発行済株式数
0
cohort_shares
0
holder_cashflow_oku
0
company_dividends_oku
0
8
内容を開く
anniversary_year
8
period_start

2033-11-06

期間末

2034-11-06

period_days
365
data_status

scenario_forecast

income_oku
内容を開く
regulatory_gross_revenue_before_odi
36.821581543
negative_odi_revenue_adjustment
-0.266
revenue
36.555581543
cash_operating_cost_excluding_sbc_and_ire
15.553725602
infrastructure_renewal_expense
0.48244798
sbc_expense_included_in_pat
0.061493693
depreciation_and_amortization
9.631610548
environmental_legal_compliance_fines_expense
0.057
operating_profit
10.769303719
cash_finance_interest_expense
5.805902151
assumed_index_linked_fraction_of_debt
0.33
noncash_indexation_finance_expense
2.206242818
total_finance_expense
8.012144969
share_of_jv_loss
0.02
profit_before_tax
2.737158751
income_tax_expense
0.684289688
parent_attributable_ifrs_profit_after_sbc
2.052869063
noncontrolling_profit
0
total_profit_after_tax
2.052869063
regulatory_rcv_and_investment_oku
内容を開く
rcv_begin_adjusted
274.254240653
cpi_indexation_net_of_regulatory_runoff
1.645525444
cash_capex
22.68
maintenance_replacement_capex_assumed
12.9276
growth_and_compliance_capex_assumed
9.7524
qualified_rcv_capex_addition_proxy
12.2472
rcv_end_adjusted
288.146966097
RCV_is_unavailable_to_shareholders_as_cash
はい
cash_flow_and_debt_oku
内容を開く
company_cash_from_operations
13.997804182
noncash_financing_indexation_in_CFO_reconciliation
2.206242818
deferred_tax_non_cash_added_back
0.32845905
working_capital_cash_deduction
0.282870989
regulatory_style_net_debt_begin
175.93642883
cash_capex
22.68
dividends_paid_company_wide
2.052869063
employee_trust_market_purchase_cash
0.071332684
third_party_primary_issue_net_proceeds
8.857215401
noncash_debt_principal_indexation
2.206242818
regulatory_style_net_debt_end
180.091853811
gearing_end_net_debt_over_adjusted_rcv
0.625
ordinary_parent_equity_oku
内容を開く
begin
69.381223945
parent_profit_after_sbc
2.052869063
ifrs2_non_cash_sbc_equity_credit
0.061493693
primary_equity_issue_proceeds
8.857215401
company_dividend_cash_reduction
2.052869063
employee_trust_purchase_equity_reduction
0.071332684
assumed_other_comprehensive_income
0
end
78.228600355
share_and_holder_cohort_ledger
内容を開く
issued_ordinary_begin
1018682679.3079
issued_from_third_party_equity_funding
67258607.283012
issued_ordinary_end
1085941286.5909
company_treasury_begin
0
company_treasury_end
0
trust_purchased_and_delivered_same_period
509175.01368081
trust_end_balance_model_only
0
sbc_new_primary_shares
0
old_cohort_owned_begin
740275762.51534
old_cohort_sold_to_employee_trust
370017.01232657
old_cohort_owned_end
739905745.50301
old_cohort_fraction_begin
0.726699077
old_cohort_fraction_end
0.681349678
employee_market_purchase_unit_price_gbp
14.009462813
third_party_issue_price_gbp
13.168895044
third_party_issue_proceeds_oku
8.857215401
holder_cash_returns_oku
内容を開く
interim_dividend
0.497272684
final_dividend
0.994048258
pro_rata_tender_to_employee_trust
0.051837396
ordinary_company_buybacks_pro_rata
0
total_old_holder_cash_receipts
1.543158338
company_cash_returns_oku
内容を開く
interim_dividend
0.684289688
final_dividend
1.368579375
target_dps_gbp_before_profit_restriction
0.582272494
actual_scenario_dps_gbp_after_profit_restriction
0.201521937
employee_trust_market_purchases_not_corporate_buybacks
0.071332684
corporate_buybacks
0
ordinary_primary_issue_receipts_not_shareholder_return
8.857215401
audit_residuals
内容を開く
income_statement_oku
0
親会社持分(億)
0
rcv_oku
0
debt_oku
0
発行済株式数
0
cohort_shares
0
holder_cashflow_oku
0
company_dividends_oku
0
9
内容を開く
anniversary_year
9
period_start

2034-11-06

期間末

2035-11-06

period_days
365
data_status

scenario_forecast

income_oku
内容を開く
regulatory_gross_revenue_before_odi
37.926228989
negative_odi_revenue_adjustment
-0.266
revenue
37.660228989
cash_operating_cost_excluding_sbc_and_ire
16.206982078
infrastructure_renewal_expense
0.49209694
sbc_expense_included_in_pat
0.063338504
depreciation_and_amortization
10.276928454
environmental_legal_compliance_fines_expense
0.057
operating_profit
10.563883013
cash_finance_interest_expense
5.943031176
assumed_index_linked_fraction_of_debt
0.33
noncash_indexation_finance_expense
2.258351847
total_finance_expense
8.201383023
share_of_jv_loss
0.02
profit_before_tax
2.342499991
income_tax_expense
0.585624998
parent_attributable_ifrs_profit_after_sbc
1.756874993
noncontrolling_profit
0
total_profit_after_tax
1.756874993
regulatory_rcv_and_investment_oku
内容を開く
rcv_begin_adjusted
288.146966097
cpi_indexation_net_of_regulatory_runoff
1.728881797
cash_capex
23.22
maintenance_replacement_capex_assumed
13.2354
growth_and_compliance_capex_assumed
9.9846
qualified_rcv_capex_addition_proxy
12.5388
rcv_end_adjusted
302.414647894
RCV_is_unavailable_to_shareholders_as_cash
はい
cash_flow_and_debt_oku
内容を開く
company_cash_from_operations
14.345236679
noncash_financing_indexation_in_CFO_reconciliation
2.258351847
deferred_tax_non_cash_added_back
0.281099999
working_capital_cash_deduction
0.291357119
regulatory_style_net_debt_begin
180.091853811
cash_capex
23.22
dividends_paid_company_wide
1.756874993
employee_trust_market_purchase_cash
0.073472665
third_party_primary_issue_net_proceeds
0
noncash_debt_principal_indexation
2.258351847
regulatory_style_net_debt_end
193.055316637
gearing_end_net_debt_over_adjusted_rcv
0.638379516
ordinary_parent_equity_oku
内容を開く
begin
78.228600355
parent_profit_after_sbc
1.756874993
ifrs2_non_cash_sbc_equity_credit
0.063338504
primary_equity_issue_proceeds
0
company_dividend_cash_reduction
1.756874993
employee_trust_purchase_equity_reduction
0.073472665
assumed_other_comprehensive_income
0
end
78.218466194
share_and_holder_cohort_ledger
内容を開く
issued_ordinary_begin
1085941286.5909
issued_from_third_party_equity_funding
0
issued_ordinary_end
1085941286.5909
company_treasury_begin
0
company_treasury_end
0
trust_purchased_and_delivered_same_period
530820.1053555
trust_end_balance_model_only
0
sbc_new_primary_shares
0
old_cohort_owned_begin
739905745.50301
old_cohort_sold_to_employee_trust
361674.10764356
old_cohort_owned_end
739544071.39537
old_cohort_fraction_begin
0.681349678
old_cohort_fraction_end
0.681016626
employee_market_purchase_unit_price_gbp
13.841349259
third_party_issue_price_gbp
未確認
third_party_issue_proceeds_oku
0
holder_cash_returns_oku
内容を開く
interim_dividend
0.399015403
final_dividend
0.79764072
pro_rata_tender_to_employee_trust
0.050060576
ordinary_company_buybacks_pro_rata
0
total_old_holder_cash_receipts
1.2467167
company_cash_returns_oku
内容を開く
interim_dividend
0.585624998
final_dividend
1.171249995
target_dps_gbp_before_profit_restriction
0.595082489
actual_scenario_dps_gbp_after_profit_restriction
0.161783608
employee_trust_market_purchases_not_corporate_buybacks
0.073472665
corporate_buybacks
0
ordinary_primary_issue_receipts_not_shareholder_return
0
audit_residuals
内容を開く
income_statement_oku
0
親会社持分(億)
0
rcv_oku
0
debt_oku
0
発行済株式数
0
cohort_shares
0
holder_cashflow_oku
0
company_dividends_oku
0
10
内容を開く
anniversary_year
10
period_start

2035-11-06

期間末

2036-11-06

period_days
366
data_status

scenario_forecast

income_oku
内容を開く
regulatory_gross_revenue_before_odi
39.064015859
negative_odi_revenue_adjustment
-0.266
revenue
38.798015859
cash_operating_cost_excluding_sbc_and_ire
16.887675325
infrastructure_renewal_expense
0.501938879
sbc_expense_included_in_pat
0.065238659
depreciation_and_amortization
10.965482661
environmental_legal_compliance_fines_expense
0.057
operating_profit
10.320680335
cash_finance_interest_expense
6.370825449
assumed_index_linked_fraction_of_debt
0.33
noncash_indexation_finance_expense
2.420913671
total_finance_expense
8.79173912
share_of_jv_loss
0.02
profit_before_tax
1.508941216
income_tax_expense
0.377235304
parent_attributable_ifrs_profit_after_sbc
1.131705912
noncontrolling_profit
0
total_profit_after_tax
1.131705912
regulatory_rcv_and_investment_oku
内容を開く
rcv_begin_adjusted
302.414647894
cpi_indexation_net_of_regulatory_runoff
1.814487887
cash_capex
23.76
maintenance_replacement_capex_assumed
13.5432
growth_and_compliance_capex_assumed
10.2168
qualified_rcv_capex_addition_proxy
12.8304
rcv_end_adjusted
317.059535781
RCV_is_unavailable_to_shareholders_as_cash
はい
cash_flow_and_debt_oku
内容を開く
company_cash_from_operations
14.464316016
noncash_financing_indexation_in_CFO_reconciliation
2.420913671
deferred_tax_non_cash_added_back
0.181072946
working_capital_cash_deduction
0.300097832
regulatory_style_net_debt_begin
193.055316637
cash_capex
23.76
dividends_paid_company_wide
1.131705912
employee_trust_market_purchase_cash
0.075676845
third_party_primary_issue_net_proceeds
0
noncash_debt_principal_indexation
2.420913671
regulatory_style_net_debt_end
205.979297048
gearing_end_net_debt_over_adjusted_rcv
0.649654951
ordinary_parent_equity_oku
内容を開く
begin
78.218466194
parent_profit_after_sbc
1.131705912
ifrs2_non_cash_sbc_equity_credit
0.065238659
primary_equity_issue_proceeds
0
company_dividend_cash_reduction
1.131705912
employee_trust_purchase_equity_reduction
0.075676845
assumed_other_comprehensive_income
0
end
78.208028009
share_and_holder_cohort_ledger
内容を開く
issued_ordinary_begin
1085941286.5909
issued_from_third_party_equity_funding
0
issued_ordinary_end
1085941286.5909
company_treasury_begin
0
company_treasury_end
0
trust_purchased_and_delivered_same_period
553385.33250624
trust_end_balance_model_only
0
sbc_new_primary_shares
0
old_cohort_owned_begin
739544071.39537
old_cohort_sold_to_employee_trust
376864.61220839
old_cohort_owned_end
739167206.78316
old_cohort_fraction_begin
0.681016626
old_cohort_fraction_end
0.680669587
employee_market_purchase_unit_price_gbp
13.675253068
third_party_issue_price_gbp
未確認
third_party_issue_proceeds_oku
0
holder_cash_returns_oku
内容を開く
interim_dividend
0.256903514
final_dividend
0.513545197
pro_rata_tender_to_employee_trust
0.051537189
ordinary_company_buybacks_pro_rata
0
total_old_holder_cash_receipts
0.8219859
company_cash_returns_oku
内容を開く
interim_dividend
0.377235304
final_dividend
0.754470608
target_dps_gbp_before_profit_restriction
0.608174304
actual_scenario_dps_gbp_after_profit_restriction
0.104214282
employee_trust_market_purchases_not_corporate_buybacks
0.075676845
corporate_buybacks
0
ordinary_primary_issue_receipts_not_shareholder_return
0
audit_residuals
内容を開く
income_statement_oku
0
親会社持分(億)
0
rcv_oku
0
debt_oku
0
発行済株式数
0
cohort_shares
0
holder_cashflow_oku
0
company_dividends_oku
0
complete_timed_corporate_and_cohort_events
内容を開く
1
内容を開く
種類

ordinary_dividend

想定日

2027-02-01

金額
1.238106713
company_total_oku
1.238106713
per_share_gbp
0.166666667
holder_shares_at_record_date_proxy
742864028
evidence

2027-02-01 date scheduled by company; cash amount forecast

ex_date
未確認
scheduled_ex_date

2026-12-17

year
0.238193018
2
内容を開く
種類

employee_trust_market_purchase_proportional_tender

想定日

2027-04-30

金額
0.058
company_total_oku
0.058
tender_price_gbp_assumed
15.24484
employee_trust_market_purchased_shares
380456.60039725
old_cohort_shares_tendered
380456.60039725
basis

市場から旧株主・新株主が比例応札、翌営業日以内の即時従業員交付を仮定。新株発行でない。

year
0.479123888
3
内容を開く
種類

ordinary_dividend

想定日

2027-08-03

金額
2.474945238
company_total_oku
2.476213427
per_share_gbp
0.333333333
holder_shares_at_record_date_proxy
742483571.3996
evidence

date & amount model assumption

ex_date
未確認
assumed_ex_date

2027-06-25

year
0.739219713
4
内容を開く
種類

ordinary_dividend

想定日

2028-02-01

金額
1.173296935
company_total_oku
1.173898145
per_share_gbp
0.158023286
holder_shares_at_record_date_proxy
742483571.3996
evidence

date & amount model assumption

ex_date
未確認
scheduled_ex_date

2027-12-17

year
1.237508556
5
内容を開く
種類

employee_trust_market_purchase_proportional_tender

想定日

2028-04-28

金額
0.059709404
company_total_oku
0.05974
tender_price_gbp_assumed
15.06190192
employee_trust_market_purchased_shares
396629.85668944
old_cohort_shares_tendered
396426.7233552
basis

市場から旧株主・新株主が比例応札、翌営業日以内の即時従業員交付を仮定。新株発行でない。

year
1.475701574
6
内容を開く
種類

ordinary_dividend

想定日

2028-08-03

金額
2.345340978
company_total_oku
2.347796291
per_share_gbp
0.316046571
holder_shares_at_record_date_proxy
742087144.67625
evidence

date & amount model assumption

ex_date
未確認
assumed_ex_date

2028-06-23

year
1.741273101
7
内容を開く
種類

primary_share_issue_to_third_party

想定日

2028-11-01

金額
0
company_inflow_oku
10.166558079
issue_price_gbp_assumed
14.158187805
new_shares
71806916.386452
old_holder_cashflow_oku
0
注記

第三者新株引受。旧株主は出資せず、会社の負債減少・普通株希薄化に反映する。旧株主支出CFなし。

year
1.987679671
8
内容を開く
種類

ordinary_dividend

想定日

2029-02-01

金額
1.060525115
company_total_oku
1.164255442
per_share_gbp
0.142911129
holder_shares_at_record_date_proxy
742087144.67625
evidence

date & amount model assumption

ex_date
未確認
scheduled_ex_date

2028-12-15

year
2.239561944
9
内容を開く
種類

employee_trust_market_purchase_proportional_tender

想定日

2029-04-30

金額
0.056049936
company_total_oku
0.0615322
tender_price_gbp_assumed
14.881159097
employee_trust_market_purchased_shares
413490.64007098
old_cohort_shares_tendered
376650.34030607
basis

市場から旧株主・新株主が比例応札、翌営業日以内の即時従業員交付を仮定。新株発行でない。

year
2.480492813
10
内容を開く
種類

ordinary_dividend

想定日

2029-08-03

金額
2.119973679
company_total_oku
2.328510884
per_share_gbp
0.285822257
holder_shares_at_record_date_proxy
741710494.33594
evidence

date & amount model assumption

ex_date
未確認
assumed_ex_date

2029-06-25

year
2.740588638
11
内容を開く
種類

primary_share_issue_to_third_party

想定日

2029-11-01

金額
0
company_inflow_oku
10.439658211
issue_price_gbp_assumed
13.988289551
new_shares
74631413.460748
old_holder_cashflow_oku
0
注記

第三者新株引受。旧株主は出資せず、会社の負債減少・普通株希薄化に反映する。旧株主支出CFなし。

year
2.986995209
12
内容を開く
種類

ordinary_dividend

想定日

2030-02-01

金額
0.980911906
company_total_oku
1.176102101
per_share_gbp
0.13224997
holder_shares_at_record_date_proxy
741710494.33594
evidence

date & amount model assumption

ex_date
未確認
scheduled_ex_date

2029-12-17

year
3.238877481
13
内容を開く
種類

employee_trust_market_purchase_proportional_tender

想定日

2030-04-30

金額
0.052859694
company_total_oku
0.063378166
tender_price_gbp_assumed
14.702585188
employee_trust_market_purchased_shares
431068.17740193
old_cohort_shares_tendered
359526.53013005
basis

市場から旧株主・新株主が比例応札、翌営業日以内の即時従業員交付を仮定。新株発行でない。

year
3.47980835
14
内容を開く
種類

ordinary_dividend

想定日

2030-08-05

金額
1.960872864
company_total_oku
2.352204201
per_share_gbp
0.26449994
holder_shares_at_record_date_proxy
741350967.80581
evidence

date & amount model assumption

ex_date
未確認
assumed_ex_date

2030-06-25

year
3.745379877
15
内容を開く
種類

primary_share_issue_to_third_party

想定日

2030-11-01

金額
0
company_inflow_oku
7.661742605
issue_price_gbp_assumed
13.820430077
new_shares
55437801.594133
old_holder_cashflow_oku
0
注記

第三者新株引受。旧株主は出資せず、会社の負債減少・普通株希薄化に反映する。旧株主支出CFなし。

year
3.986310746
16
内容を開く
種類

ordinary_dividend

想定日

2031-02-03

金額
0.881178222
company_total_oku
1.122928937
per_share_gbp
0.118861141
holder_shares_at_record_date_proxy
741350967.80581
evidence

date & amount model assumption

ex_date
未確認
scheduled_ex_date

2030-12-17

year
4.24366872
17
内容を開く
種類

employee_trust_market_purchase_proportional_tender

想定日

2031-04-30

金額
0.051225756
company_total_oku
0.065279511
tender_price_gbp_assumed
14.526154166
employee_trust_market_purchased_shares
449392.93797974
old_cohort_shares_tendered
352644.99573448
basis

市場から旧株主・新株主が比例応札、翌営業日以内の即時従業員交付を仮定。新株発行でない。

year
4.479123888
18
内容を開く
種類

ordinary_dividend

想定日

2031-08-04

金額
1.761518128
company_total_oku
2.245857873
per_share_gbp
0.237722283
holder_shares_at_record_date_proxy
740998322.81008
evidence

date & amount model assumption

ex_date
未確認
assumed_ex_date

2031-06-25

year
4.741957563
19
内容を開く
種類

ordinary_dividend

想定日

2032-02-02

金額
0.739823854
company_total_oku
0.943242764
per_share_gbp
0.099841502
holder_shares_at_record_date_proxy
740998322.81008
evidence

date & amount model assumption

ex_date
未確認
scheduled_ex_date

2031-12-17

year
5.240246407
20
内容を開く
種類

employee_trust_market_purchase_proportional_tender

想定日

2032-04-30

金額
0.05273743
company_total_oku
0.067237896
tender_price_gbp_assumed
14.351840316
employee_trust_market_purchased_shares
468496.6863554
old_cohort_shares_tendered
367461.10066573
basis

市場から旧株主・新株主が比例応札、翌営業日以内の即時従業員交付を仮定。新株発行でない。

year
5.481177276
21
内容を開く
種類

ordinary_dividend

想定日

2032-08-03

金額
1.478913951
company_total_oku
1.886485527
per_share_gbp
0.199683004
holder_shares_at_record_date_proxy
740630861.70941
evidence

date & amount model assumption

ex_date
未確認
assumed_ex_date

2032-06-25

year
5.741273101
22
内容を開く
種類

primary_share_issue_to_third_party

想定日

2032-11-01

金額
0
company_inflow_oku
9.975385634
issue_price_gbp_assumed
13.490729897
new_shares
73942519.866524
old_holder_cashflow_oku
0
注記

第三者新株引受。旧株主は出資せず、会社の負債減少・普通株希薄化に反映する。旧株主支出CFなし。

year
5.987679671
23
内容を開く
種類

ordinary_dividend

想定日

2033-02-01

金額
0.635922287
company_total_oku
0.87466382
per_share_gbp
0.085862245
holder_shares_at_record_date_proxy
740630861.70941
evidence

date & amount model assumption

ex_date
未確認
scheduled_ex_date

2032-12-17

year
6.239561944
24
内容を開く
種類

employee_trust_market_purchase_proportional_tender

想定日

2033-04-29

金額
0.05035171
company_total_oku
0.069255033
tender_price_gbp_assumed
14.179618232
employee_trust_market_purchased_shares
488412.5373948
old_cohort_shares_tendered
355099.19407501
basis

市場から旧株主・新株主が比例応札、翌営業日以内の即時従業員交付を仮定。新株発行でない。

year
6.477754962
25
内容を開く
種類

ordinary_dividend

想定日

2033-08-03

金額
1.271234781
company_total_oku
1.749327641
per_share_gbp
0.17172449
holder_shares_at_record_date_proxy
740275762.51534
evidence

date & amount model assumption

ex_date
未確認
assumed_ex_date

2033-06-24

year
6.740588638
26
内容を開く
種類

ordinary_dividend

想定日

2034-02-01

金額
0.497272684
company_total_oku
0.684289688
per_share_gbp
0.067173979
holder_shares_at_record_date_proxy
740275762.51534
evidence

date & amount model assumption

ex_date
未確認
scheduled_ex_date

2033-12-16

year
7.238877481
27
内容を開く
種類

employee_trust_market_purchase_proportional_tender

想定日

2034-04-28

金額
0.051837396
company_total_oku
0.071332684
tender_price_gbp_assumed
14.009462813
employee_trust_market_purchased_shares
509175.01368081
old_cohort_shares_tendered
370017.01232657
basis

市場から旧株主・新株主が比例応札、翌営業日以内の即時従業員交付を仮定。新株発行でない。

year
7.474332649
28
内容を開く
種類

ordinary_dividend

想定日

2034-08-03

金額
0.994048258
company_total_oku
1.368579375
per_share_gbp
0.134347958
holder_shares_at_record_date_proxy
739905745.50301
evidence

date & amount model assumption

ex_date
未確認
assumed_ex_date

2034-06-23

year
7.739904175
29
内容を開く
種類

primary_share_issue_to_third_party

想定日

2034-11-01

金額
0
company_inflow_oku
8.857215401
issue_price_gbp_assumed
13.168895044
new_shares
67258607.283012
old_holder_cashflow_oku
0
注記

第三者新株引受。旧株主は出資せず、会社の負債減少・普通株希薄化に反映する。旧株主支出CFなし。

year
7.986310746
30
内容を開く
種類

ordinary_dividend

想定日

2035-02-01

金額
0.399015403
company_total_oku
0.585624998
per_share_gbp
0.053927869
holder_shares_at_record_date_proxy
739905745.50301
evidence

date & amount model assumption

ex_date
未確認
scheduled_ex_date

2034-12-15

year
8.238193018
31
内容を開く
種類

employee_trust_market_purchase_proportional_tender

想定日

2035-04-30

金額
0.050060576
company_total_oku
0.073472665
tender_price_gbp_assumed
13.841349259
employee_trust_market_purchased_shares
530820.1053555
old_cohort_shares_tendered
361674.10764356
basis

市場から旧株主・新株主が比例応札、翌営業日以内の即時従業員交付を仮定。新株発行でない。

year
8.479123888
32
内容を開く
種類

ordinary_dividend

想定日

2035-08-03

金額
0.79764072
company_total_oku
1.171249995
per_share_gbp
0.107855739
holder_shares_at_record_date_proxy
739544071.39537
evidence

date & amount model assumption

ex_date
未確認
assumed_ex_date

2035-06-25

year
8.739219713
33
内容を開く
種類

ordinary_dividend

想定日

2036-02-01

金額
0.256903514
company_total_oku
0.377235304
per_share_gbp
0.034738094
holder_shares_at_record_date_proxy
739544071.39537
evidence

date & amount model assumption

ex_date
未確認
scheduled_ex_date

2035-12-17

year
9.237508556
34
内容を開く
種類

employee_trust_market_purchase_proportional_tender

想定日

2036-04-30

金額
0.051537189
company_total_oku
0.075676845
tender_price_gbp_assumed
13.675253068
employee_trust_market_purchased_shares
553385.33250624
old_cohort_shares_tendered
376864.61220839
basis

市場から旧株主・新株主が比例応札、翌営業日以内の即時従業員交付を仮定。新株発行でない。

year
9.481177276
35
内容を開く
種類

ordinary_dividend

想定日

2036-08-04

金額
0.513545197
company_total_oku
0.754470608
per_share_gbp
0.069476188
holder_shares_at_record_date_proxy
739167206.78316
evidence

date & amount model assumption

ex_date
未確認
assumed_ex_date

2036-06-25

year
9.744010951
期間内株主受取
24.11535952
終価
0
old_holder_economics
内容を開く
initial_purchased_ordinary_shares
742864028
purchased_shares_as_of_date

2026-11-06

initial_cost_oku
114.62391952
holder_policy

proportional_tender_for_all_employer_trust_market_purchase_events; no subscription to future primary issues; zero corporate repurchases assumed

initial_ownership_share_of_public_ordinary
1
terminal_old_cohort_shares
739167206.78316
terminal_issued_ordinary_shares
1085941286.5909
terminal_share_fraction
0.680669587
terminal_entire_company_equity_value_oku
0
terminal_old_cohort_mcap_oku
0
terminal_share_price_gbp_derived_not_market_multiple
0
net_primary_share_funding_oku
47.10055993
terminal_PV_oku
0
holder_cash_PV_oku
17.882026646
total_holder_PV_oku
17.882026646
scenario_irr
-0.265509181
terminal_valuation
内容を開く
方法

FCFE_gordon_from_normalized_post_SBC_earnings_less_growth_retention_and_uncovered_maintenance_capex

common_nominal_cost_of_equity
0.085
terminal_growth
0.018
normalized_sustainable_ROE_on_economic_reinvested_equity_assumption
0.133
year10_reported_parent_profit_after_sbc_oku
1.131705912
terminal_normalization_factor
0.94
post_SBC_sustainable_parent_profit_oku
1.063803557
equity_earnings_retained_for_growth_oku
0.143973414
incremental_maintenance_capex_above_depreciation_net_recovery_oku
2.527717339
year11_sustainable_distributable_cash_oku
0
terminal_whole_company_value_oku
0
terminal_original_cohort_value_oku
0
treatment

2036-11-06残存旧株主持分。最終年の配当やEBT買付は同日以前のもののみ。2036-11-06後1年間の配当を期間内CFへ前倒ししない。

discounted_at_k
内容を開く
cashflow_pv_oku
17.882026646
terminal_pv_oku
0
現在価値(億)
17.882026646
price_paid_oku
114.62391952
npv_oku
-96.741892875
pv_to_price
0.156006065
checks
内容を開く
rows
10
cashflow_events_count
30
all_anniversary_start_end_connect
はい
payout_minus_events_oku
2.0E-9
terminal_all_times_within_horizon
はい
share_ledger_balances
はい
company_to_old_valuation_residual_oku
0
scenario_irr_NPV_residual_oku
0
calendar_year_bridge_views
内容を開く
1
内容を開く
calendar_year
2026
start_inclusive

2026-11-06

end_exclusive

2027-01-01

days
56
view

overlap_allocated_calendar_view_not_extra_valuation_years

uniform_daily_operating_accrual_assumption
はい
売上高
4.252931507
operating_cash_cost_before_ire_sbc_oku
1.73369863
depreciation_oku
0.897534247
finance_expense_oku
0.750951469
parent_profit_after_sbc_oku
0.58286859
noncash_sbc_equity_credit_oku
0.007671233
cash_capex_oku
3.645369863
cfo_oku
1.835139511
indexation_principal_oku
0.250236233
dividends_all_shareholders_event_dated_oku
0
employee_trust_share_purchase_event_dated_oku
0
new_primary_equity_net_proceeds_event_dated_oku
0
old_cohort_cash_receipts_event_dated_oku
0
change_parent_equity_oku
0.590539823
change_regulatory_style_net_debt_oku
2.060466585
change_adjusted_rcv_oku
2.127977336
calendar_event_dates
記載なし
注記

2026は2026-11-06以後、2036は2036-11-06までの一部期間。年次50明細の二重計上禁止。

2
内容を開く
calendar_year
2027
start_inclusive

2027-01-01

end_exclusive

2028-01-01

days
365
view

overlap_allocated_calendar_view_not_extra_valuation_years

uniform_daily_operating_accrual_assumption
はい
売上高
27.931951553
operating_cash_cost_before_ire_sbc_oku
11.386898091
depreciation_oku
5.921839524
finance_expense_oku
5.005256087
parent_profit_after_sbc_oku
3.755024104
noncash_sbc_equity_credit_oku
0.050208549
cash_capex_oku
24.41102358
cfo_oku
12.003428687
indexation_principal_oku
1.656177037
dividends_all_shareholders_event_dated_oku
3.71432014
employee_trust_share_purchase_event_dated_oku
0.058
new_primary_equity_net_proceeds_event_dated_oku
0
old_cohort_cash_receipts_event_dated_oku
3.771051951
change_parent_equity_oku
0.032912513
change_regulatory_style_net_debt_oku
17.836092069
change_adjusted_rcv_oku
14.233702261
calendar_event_dates
1

2027-02-01

2

2027-04-30

3

2027-08-03

注記

2026は2026-11-06以後、2036は2036-11-06までの一部期間。年次50明細の二重計上禁止。

3
内容を開く
calendar_year
2028
start_inclusive

2028-01-01

end_exclusive

2029-01-01

days
366
view

overlap_allocated_calendar_view_not_extra_valuation_years

uniform_daily_operating_accrual_assumption
はい
売上高
29.42927424
operating_cash_cost_before_ire_sbc_oku
12.000643923
depreciation_oku
6.418884274
finance_expense_oku
5.696391374
parent_profit_after_sbc_oku
3.51873242
noncash_sbc_equity_credit_oku
0.05175863
cash_capex_oku
28.091770941
cfo_oku
12.356570462
indexation_principal_oku
1.807705485
dividends_all_shareholders_event_dated_oku
3.521694436
employee_trust_share_purchase_event_dated_oku
0.05974
new_primary_equity_net_proceeds_event_dated_oku
10.166558079
old_cohort_cash_receipts_event_dated_oku
3.578347317
change_parent_equity_oku
10.155614693
change_regulatory_style_net_debt_oku
10.957782321
change_adjusted_rcv_oku
16.307690243
calendar_event_dates
内容を開く
1

2028-02-01

2

2028-04-28

3

2028-08-03

4

2028-11-01

注記

2026は2026-11-06以後、2036は2036-11-06までの一部期間。年次50明細の二重計上禁止。

4
内容を開く
calendar_year
2029
start_inclusive

2029-01-01

end_exclusive

2030-01-01

days
365
view

overlap_allocated_calendar_view_not_extra_valuation_years

uniform_daily_operating_accrual_assumption
はい
売上高
30.966487851
operating_cash_cost_before_ire_sbc_oku
12.631425754
depreciation_oku
6.948775418
finance_expense_oku
6.094232264
parent_profit_after_sbc_oku
3.498219035
noncash_sbc_equity_credit_oku
0.053289152
cash_capex_oku
27.58290411
cfo_oku
12.895392452
indexation_principal_oku
1.8473093
dividends_all_shareholders_event_dated_oku
3.492766326
employee_trust_share_purchase_event_dated_oku
0.0615322
new_primary_equity_net_proceeds_event_dated_oku
10.439658211
old_cohort_cash_receipts_event_dated_oku
3.23654873
change_parent_equity_oku
10.436867872
change_regulatory_style_net_debt_oku
9.649461273
change_adjusted_rcv_oku
16.130236717
calendar_event_dates
内容を開く
1

2029-02-01

2

2029-04-30

3

2029-08-03

4

2029-11-01

注記

2026は2026-11-06以後、2036は2036-11-06までの一部期間。年次50明細の二重計上禁止。

5
内容を開く
calendar_year
2030
start_inclusive

2030-01-01

end_exclusive

2031-01-01

days
365
view

overlap_allocated_calendar_view_not_extra_valuation_years

uniform_daily_operating_accrual_assumption
はい
売上高
32.503569619
operating_cash_cost_before_ire_sbc_oku
13.278624847
depreciation_oku
7.507282453
finance_expense_oku
6.434753515
parent_profit_after_sbc_oku
3.503832079
noncash_sbc_equity_credit_oku
0.054887827
cash_capex_oku
24.34290411
cfo_oku
13.428407713
indexation_principal_oku
1.855144419
dividends_all_shareholders_event_dated_oku
3.528306302
employee_trust_share_purchase_event_dated_oku
0.063378166
new_primary_equity_net_proceeds_event_dated_oku
7.661742605
old_cohort_cash_receipts_event_dated_oku
2.994644464
change_parent_equity_oku
7.628778043
change_regulatory_style_net_debt_oku
8.699582678
change_adjusted_rcv_oku
14.477418139
calendar_event_dates
内容を開く
1

2030-02-01

2

2030-04-30

3

2030-08-05

4

2030-11-01

注記

2026は2026-11-06以後、2036は2036-11-06までの一部期間。年次50明細の二重計上禁止。

6
内容を開く
calendar_year
2031
start_inclusive

2031-01-01

end_exclusive

2032-01-01

days
365
view

overlap_allocated_calendar_view_not_extra_valuation_years

uniform_daily_operating_accrual_assumption
はい
売上高
33.571623791
operating_cash_cost_before_ire_sbc_oku
13.83032209
depreciation_oku
8.006724006
finance_expense_oku
6.7654167
parent_profit_after_sbc_oku
3.284895739
noncash_sbc_equity_credit_oku
0.056510164
cash_capex_oku
21.59094543
cfo_oku
13.476707304
indexation_principal_oku
1.86294083
dividends_all_shareholders_event_dated_oku
3.36878681
employee_trust_share_purchase_event_dated_oku
0.065279511
new_primary_equity_net_proceeds_event_dated_oku
0
old_cohort_cash_receipts_event_dated_oku
2.693922106
change_parent_equity_oku
-0.092660418
change_regulatory_style_net_debt_oku
13.411245278
change_adjusted_rcv_oku
13.077602245
calendar_event_dates
1

2031-02-03

2

2031-04-30

3

2031-08-04

注記

2026は2026-11-06以後、2036は2036-11-06までの一部期間。年次50明細の二重計上禁止。

7
内容を開く
calendar_year
2032
start_inclusive

2032-01-01

end_exclusive

2033-01-01

days
366
view

overlap_allocated_calendar_view_not_extra_valuation_years

uniform_daily_operating_accrual_assumption
はい
売上高
34.616061225
operating_cash_cost_before_ire_sbc_oku
14.42345783
depreciation_oku
8.550504863
finance_expense_oku
7.309014382
parent_profit_after_sbc_oku
2.799349391
noncash_sbc_equity_credit_oku
0.058254794
cash_capex_oku
21.691903885
cfo_oku
13.600660048
indexation_principal_oku
2.012627148
dividends_all_shareholders_event_dated_oku
2.829728291
employee_trust_share_purchase_event_dated_oku
0.067237896
new_primary_equity_net_proceeds_event_dated_oku
9.975385634
old_cohort_cash_receipts_event_dated_oku
2.271475235
change_parent_equity_oku
9.936023632
change_regulatory_style_net_debt_oku
3.025451538
change_adjusted_rcv_oku
13.211863927
calendar_event_dates
内容を開く
1

2032-02-02

2

2032-04-30

3

2032-08-03

4

2032-11-01

注記

2026は2026-11-06以後、2036は2036-11-06までの一部期間。年次50明細の二重計上禁止。

8
内容を開く
calendar_year
2033
start_inclusive

2033-01-01

end_exclusive

2034-01-01

days
365
view

overlap_allocated_calendar_view_not_extra_valuation_years

uniform_daily_operating_accrual_assumption
はい
売上高
35.647652135
operating_cash_cost_before_ire_sbc_oku
15.022985847
depreciation_oku
9.119604711
finance_expense_oku
7.511821652
parent_profit_after_sbc_oku
2.536367203
noncash_sbc_equity_credit_oku
0.059977411
cash_capex_oku
22.222849315
cfo_oku
13.914344617
indexation_principal_oku
2.068472629
dividends_all_shareholders_event_dated_oku
2.623991461
employee_trust_share_purchase_event_dated_oku
0.069255033
new_primary_equity_net_proceeds_event_dated_oku
0
old_cohort_cash_receipts_event_dated_oku
1.957508778
change_parent_equity_oku
-0.096901881
change_regulatory_style_net_debt_oku
13.070223821
change_adjusted_rcv_oku
13.577189854
calendar_event_dates
1

2033-02-01

2

2033-04-29

3

2033-08-03

注記

2026は2026-11-06以後、2036は2036-11-06までの一部期間。年次50明細の二重計上禁止。

9
内容を開く
calendar_year
2034
start_inclusive

2034-01-01

end_exclusive

2035-01-01

days
365
view

overlap_allocated_calendar_view_not_extra_valuation_years

uniform_daily_operating_accrual_assumption
はい
売上高
36.725061699
operating_cash_cost_before_ire_sbc_oku
15.653951253
depreciation_oku
9.730618227
finance_expense_oku
8.041178753
parent_profit_after_sbc_oku
2.007456274
noncash_sbc_equity_credit_oku
0.061776732
cash_capex_oku
22.762849315
cfo_oku
14.051108894
indexation_principal_oku
2.214237628
dividends_all_shareholders_event_dated_oku
2.052869063
employee_trust_share_purchase_event_dated_oku
0.071332684
new_primary_equity_net_proceeds_event_dated_oku
8.857215401
old_cohort_cash_receipts_event_dated_oku
1.543158338
change_parent_equity_oku
8.802246661
change_regulatory_style_net_debt_oku
4.192964395
change_adjusted_rcv_oku
13.950252994
calendar_event_dates
内容を開く
1

2034-02-01

2

2034-04-28

3

2034-08-03

4

2034-11-01

注記

2026は2026-11-06以後、2036は2036-11-06までの一部期間。年次50明細の二重計上禁止。

10
内容を開く
calendar_year
2035
start_inclusive

2035-01-01

end_exclusive

2036-01-01

days
365
view

overlap_allocated_calendar_view_not_extra_valuation_years

uniform_daily_operating_accrual_assumption
はい
売上高
37.818529691
operating_cash_cost_before_ire_sbc_oku
16.30433801
depreciation_oku
10.377972993
finance_expense_oku
8.288272769
parent_profit_after_sbc_oku
1.660484238
noncash_sbc_equity_credit_oku
0.063602687
cash_capex_oku
23.292889288
cfo_oku
14.357443045
indexation_principal_oku
2.282278009
dividends_all_shareholders_event_dated_oku
1.756874993
employee_trust_share_purchase_event_dated_oku
0.073472665
new_primary_equity_net_proceeds_event_dated_oku
0
old_cohort_cash_receipts_event_dated_oku
1.246716699
change_parent_equity_oku
-0.106260733
change_regulatory_style_net_debt_oku
13.04807191
change_adjusted_rcv_oku
14.319415477
calendar_event_dates
1

2035-02-01

2

2035-04-30

3

2035-08-03

注記

2026は2026-11-06以後、2036は2036-11-06までの一部期間。年次50明細の二重計上禁止。

11
内容を開く
calendar_year
2036
start_inclusive

2036-01-01

end_exclusive

2036-11-06

days
310
view

overlap_allocated_calendar_view_not_extra_valuation_years

uniform_daily_operating_accrual_assumption
はい
売上高
32.861707422
operating_cash_cost_before_ire_sbc_oku
14.303768718
depreciation_oku
9.287703893
finance_expense_oku
7.446554992
parent_profit_after_sbc_oku
0.958548723
noncash_sbc_equity_credit_oku
0.055256788
cash_capex_oku
20.124590164
cfo_oku
12.251196626
indexation_principal_oku
2.05050065
dividends_all_shareholders_event_dated_oku
1.131705912
employee_trust_share_purchase_event_dated_oku
0.075676845
new_primary_equity_net_proceeds_event_dated_oku
0
old_cohort_cash_receipts_event_dated_oku
0.8219859
change_parent_equity_oku
-0.193577246
change_regulatory_style_net_debt_oku
11.131276946
change_adjusted_rcv_oku
12.404140014
calendar_event_dates
1

2036-02-01

2

2036-04-30

3

2036-08-04

注記

2026は2026-11-06以後、2036は2036-11-06までの一部期間。年次50明細の二重計上禁止。

売上高
38.798015859
営業利益
10.320680335
純利益
1.131705912
equity_oku
78.208028009
期間内の親会社利益合計(億)
28.105777795
multiple
kind

fcfe_model

why

持続利益、成長のための留保と追加維持投資から導出。

detail
内容を開く
方法

FCFE_gordon_from_normalized_post_SBC_earnings_less_growth_retention_and_uncovered_maintenance_capex

common_nominal_cost_of_equity
0.085
terminal_growth
0.018
normalized_sustainable_ROE_on_economic_reinvested_equity_assumption
0.133
year10_reported_parent_profit_after_sbc_oku
1.131705912
terminal_normalization_factor
0.94
post_SBC_sustainable_parent_profit_oku
1.063803557
equity_earnings_retained_for_growth_oku
0.143973414
incremental_maintenance_capex_above_depreciation_net_recovery_oku
2.527717339
year11_sustainable_distributable_cash_oku
0
terminal_whole_company_value_oku
0
terminal_original_cohort_value_oku
0
treatment

2036-11-06残存旧株主持分。最終年の配当やEBT買付は同日以前のもののみ。2036-11-06後1年間の配当を期間内CFへ前倒ししない。

深刻な下方(確率 10.0%)

規制不達・環境制裁と建設超過。資金不足を増資で補填。

確率の根拠

将来の規制・設備投資・資金調達を考慮した分析上の仮定。

このシナリオの数値・キャッシュフローを開く →

単位の説明

monetary_company_and_cohort

億GBP(100 million GBP)

ordinary_share_price

GBP/share

stock_exchange_price

GBX (pence); price_gbp=price_gbx/100

株数

number of ordinary shares

probability_and_rates

fraction, 0.085=8.5%

cashflow_time

actual_days_since_2026-11-06/365.25

分析基準とデータ

価格・単価
15.43
株価基準日

2026-11-06

株数
742864028
株価の出所

https://www.londonstockexchange.com/en/quote/equity/UU~/united-utilities-group-plc

株数の出所

https://www.unitedutilities.com/globalassets/z_corporate-site/financial-news-2026/orchid---notification-of-admission-of-further-securities-to-trading-prm-1.6.4r593923535.2.pdf

detail
内容を開く
価格・単価
内容を開く
price_gbp
15.43
price_gbx
1543
株価基準日

2026-11-06

time

16:35 GMT London closing auction

source_id

lse_close

状態

confirmed_close

株数
内容を開く
ordinary_issued
742864028
ordinary_issued_asof_source

2026-05-05; re-verified AGM 2026-07-17

company_treasury_shares_last_confirmed
0
treasury_confirmed_asof_date

2026-05-05

employee_trust_shares_held_on_2026-11-06
未確認
employee_trust_share_balance_known
いいえ
estimated_effective_ordinary_shares_for_valuation
742864028
valuation_denominator_status

dated_proxy; not proven exact as of 2026-11-06; sensitivity to EBT holding and later issue exists

non_economic_deferred_shares_excluded
273956180
pre_issue_ordinary_shares
681888418
added_ordinary_shares_2026_05_05
60975610
sbc_creates_new_issued_shares_in_base_model
いいえ
price_times_effective_shares_oku
114.62391952
issuer_equity_offering_net_proceeds_oku
7.88
source_id

placing

時価総額(億)
114.62391952
market_cap_price_times_share_count_source

direct calculation, not LSE displayed market cap

last_verified_ifrs_financial_reporting_date

2026-03-31

balance_sheet_2026_11_06_status

estimated proxy from audited FY26 + known May placement + August dividend + unreported bridge profits/cash movements

fy26_reported_ifrs
内容を開く
fiscal_year_end

2026-03-31

売上高
26.163
cash_operating_expense_including_sbc_oku
9.783
infrastructure_renewal_expense_oku
0.381
depreciation_and_amortization_oku
5.005
営業利益(億)
10.994
net_finance_expense_oku
3.158
equity_accounted_jv_loss_oku
0.046
profit_before_tax_oku
7.79
tax_expense_oku
1.922
attributable_profit_oku
5.868
親会社持分(億)
22.414
total_equity_oku
22.414
noncontrolling_interest_oku
0
cash_and_equivalents_oku
17.943
current_borrowings_oku
1.649
non_current_borrowings_oku
113.257
gross_borrowings_oku
114.906
regulatory_net_debt_oku
99.43
ifrs_net_debt_reported_oku
96.58
adjusted_rcv_oku
165.27
capital_investment_regulatory_oku
15.251
ppe_cash_purchases_oku
14.921
reported_cfo_oku
13.819
equity_settled_sbc_charge_oku
0.045
employee_share_purchases_for_options_oku
0.058
paid_dividends_oku
3.576
dividends_per_share_pence
53.66
interim_paid_pence
17.88
final_paid_pence
35.78
historical_revenue_by_service_oku
内容を開く
wholesale_clean_water
10.739
wholesale_wastewater
13.626
household_retail
1.36
other
0.438
asof_2026_11_06_estimates
内容を開く
ordinary_parent_equity_oku
31.114445052
net_debt_regulatory_style_oku
98.896678235
adjusted_rcv_oku
173.242046575
net_debt_over_rcv
0.570858404
状態

model_proxy_not_disclosed_balance_sheet; Sep 2026 court fine assumed recognized and cash-paid

bridge_from_fy2026_year_end
内容を開く
period

2026-04-01 to 2026-11-06

days
220
状態

推計・代理値。2026年9月末中間決算は11月12日発表予定のため2026-11-06時点で利用不可

from_2026_03_31
内容を開く
親会社持分(億)
22.414
regulatory_net_debt_oku
99.43
adjusted_rcv_oku
165.27
ordinary_shares
681888418
verified_event_2026_05_05
内容を開く
new_ordinary_shares
60975610
price_gbp
13.12
gross_proceeds_oku
8
net_proceeds_oku
7.88
post_issue_ordinary_shares
742864028
company_treasury_shares
0
last_verified_count_date

2026-07-17

verified_final_dividend_paid_2026_08_03
内容を開く
cash_outflow_oku
2.657967492
per_share_gbp
0.3578
ex_date

2026-06-25

from_march_equity_dividend_liability

2026-03-31未認識。会社決算注記9に従い承認後に控除

assumed_profit_before_september_court_fine_oku
3.495890411
recognized_september_2026_court_fine_assumed_paid_oku
0.00964225
assumed_profit_after_court_fine_oku
3.486248161
court_fine_cash_settlement_unverified
はい
assumed_equity_sbc_credit_oku
0.027123288
assumed_employee_share_market_purchases_oku
0.034958904
assumed_OCI_oku
0
assumed_capex_cash_oku
12.054794521
assumed_depreciation_oku
3.315068493
assumed_indexation_oku
0.560547945
assumed_deferred_tax_noncash_oku
0.693150685
assumed_working_capital_cash_deduction_oku
0.120547945
assumed_cfo_oku
7.971232877
estimated_as_of_parent_equity_oku
31.114445052
estimated_as_of_regulatory_style_net_debt_oku
98.896678235
estimated_as_of_adjusted_rcv_oku
173.242046575
estimated_as_of_issued_ordinary_shares
742864028
estimated_as_of_treasury_shares
0
employee_trust_ordinary_shares_as_of
未確認
old_cohort_model_initial_shares
742864028
audit_equity_residual_oku
0
audit_debt_residual_oku
0
warning

FY2027途中の実績ではない。投資CFと資本の整合はモデル仮定内に限る。2026-09-08確定罰金の支払日は不明のため基準日までに現金決済したと仮定。社員信託の正確な基準日保有株数は未確認。

share_count_sensitivity
内容を開く
employee_trust_held_shares_unverified
未確認
illustrative_unverified_employee_trust_shares
1000000
illustrative_outstanding_if_1m_treasury_equivalent_were_excluded
741864028
market_cap_difference_oku_for_1m_share_denominator_change
0.1543
注記

EBTを会社自己株と同じ会計・株式市場フリーフロート控除扱いにできるかは信託保有時点・連結構成に依存。1m株は事実ではなく感応度。

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分析に使用した資料

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