株譜

AI 銘柄分析 · 10年

Admiral Group plc

ADM · GBP · 分析基準日 2026-11-06

{ "period": "2026-11-06 to 2036-11-06", "horizon_calendar_years": 10, "ACT365_25_year_fraction": 10.001368925, "market_value_original_holder_cohort_oku": 118.727581042, "probability_weighted_pv_oku": 110.36575056135304, "probability_weighted_oldholder_cash_oku": 79.78763056700001, "probability_weighted_oldholder_terminal_oku": 144.55250880372813, "upside_ratio": -0.07042871089649294, "expected_holder_IRR_from_expected_cashflow_path": 0.07998698861789466, "discount_rate": 0.09, "sensitivity_probability_weighted_pv_by_k": { "0.075": { "weighted_PV_oku": 142.28393821996764, "premium_or_discount_to_start": 0.1984067810632355, "valuation_model": "fundamental_SBC_fair_purchase_price_self_consistent_recomputed_at_each_k" }, "0.09": { "weighted_PV_oku": 110.36575056135304, "premium_or_discount_to_start": -0.07042871089649294, "valuation_model": "fundamental_SBC_fair_purchase_price_self_consistent_recomputed_at_each_k" }, "0.105": { "weighted_PV_oku": 89.82883062297996, "premium_or_discount_to_start": -0.24340385077665372, "valuation_model": "fundamental_SBC_fair_purchase_price_self_consistent_recomputed_at_each_k" } }, "conclusion": "算定値は原価・損害率・再保険・資本必要量の明示仮定に基づくシナリオ推計。市場PER・PBRから終価を逆算していない。", "hard_data_completeness": "Nov6 EBT残高、厳密な消却効力日、2026下期実績と最新SCRの一次未確認につき仮定を明示", "SBC_and_EBT_terminal_cost_revaluation_v3": true, "previous_version_probability_weighted_PV_oku": 111.675645542, "previous_version_expected_CF_IRR": 0.081617312 }

10年期待年率8.00%
資本コスト9.00%
直近終値39.34 GBP2026-11-06

AIによるシナリオ分析です。基準日以降の出来事、株価や為替の変化は個別に確認が必要です。各数値は元の分析の単位と前提に従います。

分析の要約

{
"investment_view": "低廉な市場PER回帰ではなく継続保険利益・損害率・規制資本・従業員信託現金支出に対する価値を評価。英国自動車の価格サイクルと過年度引当戻入の反転が最大変数。 2037以降の従業員信託株の定常買付を内在価値ベースで資本から控除するため、旧版終価を修正した。",
"strengths": [
"UK motor 5.77m risks, UK personal-lines multi-brand distribution",
"40% Munich Re coinsurance +38% UK motor quota share limits retained underwriting exposure, but changes profit-sharing economics",
"ROE high and explicit cash distribution framework with solvency buffer",
"Europe policy count and Money loans provide diversification"
],
"weaknesses": [
"Loss ratio on current underwriting year 77.6%, above headline 55.9% after reserve releases; reserve releases may not repeat",
"2026 EU insurance £13.1m one-off in H1 PBT",
"Admiral Money H1 included £7.3m loan book sale earnings and ECL exposed to macro",
"Flock £76.4m purchase incl large goodwill affects prudential ratio",
"High volatility of reinsurance QS cost and profit commissions; complex reporting"
],
"accounting_red_flags": [
"2026 H1 premium written £2.8132bn != IFRS17 insurance revenue £2.4365bn; company turnover £3.1084bn is APM",
"insurance investment asset £5.2541bn is inside £9.3429bn assets and already netted against IFRS liabilities in group book",
"Gross shares vs dividends-eligible shares vs EBT unvested must be separated",
"Cash scheme trust purchases and equity credit are capital transactions, not dividends nor a reason to ignore IFRS SBC charges",
"H1 management solvency190% vs fixed add-on regulatory173% differ, not fungible cash",
"v3 correction: 2036 terminal parent NI after SBC alone is insufficient to reconcile continuing EBT market repurchases and IFRS2 equity credits; normalized distributable earnings after share-neutral replenishment are now used."
]
}

2026年11月4日公表の消却後発行株数と従業員信託330万株の仮定を使用。11月6日の厳密な信託残高と消却効力日は未確認。予測配当・買戻し・信託取得・交付日を過ぎたら、実績確認まで期待リターンの表示を停止する。保険のIFRS17損益と規制資本はモデル仮定であり会社予想ではない。

事業

products
内容を開く
1

UK Motor and van

2

UK Household

3

UK Travel & Pet

4

Admiral Money loans, including secured homeowner loans

5

EU motor Spain Italy France

6

Other/Flock commercial fleet insurance

2026_H1_actual
内容を開く
period

2026-01-01/2026-06-30

状態

company_reported_unaudited

出典

https://www.admiralgroup.co.uk/news-releases/news-release-details/half-year-financial-report

ifrs17_insurance_revenue_oku
24.365
insurance_service_expenses_oku
-19.407
net_reinsurance_result_oku
-1.525
insurance_service_result_oku
3.433
investment_return_oku
1.122
net_insurance_finance_oku
-0.587
net_insurance_and_investment_oku
3.968
loan_interest_income_oku
0.903
loan_interest_expense_oku
-0.39
other_revenue_profit_commission_oku
1.27
other_op_expenses_oku
-1.764
co_insurer_op_recovery_oku
0.655
ecl_writeoffs_oku
-0.234
net_finance_costs_oku
-0.116
PBT_continuing_oku
4.292
tax_expense_oku
-1.003
PAT_group_oku
3.289
PAT_parent_attributable_oku
3.29
PAT_NCI_oku
-0.001
ifrs_reported_revenue_and_loan_other_oku
26.538
sbc_cashflow_non_cash_addback_oku
0.442
weighted_avg_basic_shares
301861871
weighted_avg_diluted_shares
305604323
parent_equity_2026_06_30_oku
14.983
noncontrolling_equity_oku
0.002
total_equity_oku
14.985
ifrs_total_assets_oku
93.429
ifrs_total_liabilities_oku
78.444
financial_investments_oku
52.541
現金(億)
3.149
insurance_contract_liabilities_oku
54.81
reinsurance_contract_assets_oku
10.953
admiral_money_gross_loans_oku
18.778
admiral_money_ECL_reserve_oku
1.141
group_total_loans_net_carrying_oku
18.348
total_subordinated_and_other_financial_liabilities_oku
20.131
subordinated_notes_oku
2.589
securitised_loan_funding_oku
15.223
other_borrowings_oku
2.293
company_APM_turnover_oku
31.084
total_premiums_written_all_oku
28.132
total_company_normalised_insurance_premium_revenue_oku
23.091
gross_scheme_expenses_cfs_memo_oku
0.442
ebt_share_purchases_cash_oku
0.506
parent_dividends_paid_in_H1_oku
2.742
parent_equity_at_2025_12_31_oku
14.433
OCI_parent_H1_oku
0.003
sbc_equity_credit_oku
0.442
ebt_cash_equity_charge_oku
-0.506
deferred_tax_share_credit_oku
0.063
group_risks_m
12.03
group_reported_combined_ratio
0.785
company_reported_own_funds_POST_dividend_oku
18.4
SCR_dynamic_addon_oku
9.7
own_funds_surplus_oku
8.7
solvency_dynamic
1.9
solvency_regulatory_estimate
1.73
source_of_regulatory_vs_dynamic_difference

PRA approved £24m fixed add-on, versus management dynamic unapproved add-on; own funds for dynamic also recognize earnings through interim dividend announcement.

2025_reported_FY
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IFRS_continuing_insurance_revenue_oku
49.793
PBT_continuing_oku
9.579
group_PAT_continuing_oku
7.453
reported_parent_pat_combined_continued_discontinued_oku
7.426
親会社持分(億)
14.433
group_solvency_dynamic
1.93
状態

company_reported_FY2025

revenue_classification
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IFRS17_insurance_revenue_2026H1_oku
24.365
IFRS17_insurance_premium_revenue_only_oku
23.091
total_premiums_written_APM_oku
28.132
turnover_company_APM_oku
31.084
difference

Total premiums written counts external co-insurer exposure; IFRS17 premiums are earned and recognised based on coverage; turnover adds non-insurance interest and revenues; none interchangeable.

pricing_volume_model

UK motor policies x average annual premium written is separately forecast, with insurer book-in-force denominator as proxy not exact average policy-years; statutory IFRS17 insurance revenue grown on own revenue baseline rather than assumed equal to premium written.

motor_2026_H1
内容を開く
vehicle_policies_m
5.77
total_premiums_written_oku
19.917
insurance_premium_revenue_oku
15.593
other_insurance_revenue_oku
0.895
IFRS17_insurance_revenue_oku
16.488
reported_loss_ratio
0.559
reported_expense_ratio
0.183
reported_combined_ratio
0.742
core_current_loss_ratio_before_prior_year_releases
0.776
core_claims_releases_ratio
-0.173
core_loss_ratio_after_releases
0.603
core_expense_ratio
0.185
core_combined_ratio
0.788
current_claims_cost_inflation_estimate_range
1
0.05
2
0.07
motor_co_insurer_profit_commission_oku
0.448
motor_quota_share_reinsurance_cost_oku
-0.799
reinsurance
内容を開く
UK_motor_MunichRe_coinsurer_share
0.4
UK_motor_other_quota_share_share
0.38
UK_motor_direct_residual_underwriting_share_approx
0.22
UK_motor_coinsurer_arrangement_confirmed_until

at_least_2026_end

other_UK_motor_quota_share_confirmed_until

at_least_2027

UK_household_retained_share
0.3
Europe_motor_group_retained_result_share_approx
0.45
contract_commutation_typical_months
1
24
2
36
caution

22% direct UK motor proportion is an approximate share of initial risk, not exact consolidated capital exposure; reinsurer margins/commutation/recoveries can be adverse and later change retained risks.

lending
内容を開く
admiral_money_gross_on_balance_loans_oku
18.778
admiral_money_provision_oku
1.141
admiral_money_net_loans_oku
17.637
group_total_net_loans_oku
18.348
H1_segment_pre_tax_profit_oku
0.133
H1_nonrecurring_back_book_profit_oku
0.073
ECL_IFRS_group_H1_expense_oku
0.234
interest_income_group_H1_oku
0.903
interest_expense_group_H1_oku
0.39
secured_loan_component_oku
6.797
risks

Loan forward flow, securitisation-backed funding and credit defaults are distinct from insurance claims reserving.

競争力・事業の質

scale_and_franchise

High recurring insurance renewals, UK comparison channel competition; underwriting disciplined but competitive price cycle.

sustainability

Moderate because past year claims reserve releases and quota-share profit commission may not recur; excess capital and trust funding constrain payout.

capital_intensity

Insurance solvency and loan receivables require capital despite high accounting ROE; UK motor significant cessions lower relative retention but create counterparty/profit commission risk.

accounting_quality

IFRS17 receivables and premium earning, CoC profit commissions and trust consolidation distinguish; we use statutory after-SBC profit.

credit_quality

UK unsecured + homeowner secured loan exposure, rising macro ECL possible; securitised financing not equivalent to net insurance liabilities.

management_and_governance

Distributes ~65% post-tax profits as normal dividends subject to capital and excess through special dividend or cancellation buyback; 2026 H1 uses £45m completed buyback.

quantified_2026_H1
内容を開く
UK_Motor_current_year_before_releases_ratio
0.776
UK_motor_core_combined_ratio
0.788
Europe_reported_PBT_oku
0.172
Europe_H1_oneoff_oku
0.131
Europe_ex_oneoff_PBT_oku
0.041
Admiral_Money_H1_PBT_oku
0.133
Money_backbook_sale_oku
0.073
tax_effective_rate
0.234

業界と環境

sector

UK non-life / European motor and consumer finance

market_drivers
内容を開く
1

UK motor repair costs and parts/wages inflation

2

Competition in car premiums and aggregate policies sold

3

Price comparison websites and potential AI-search disintermediation

4

FCA Consumer Duty and claims regulation

5

PRA Solvency UK model approval and add-on

6

Euro FX for France, Italy, Spain

7

Rate yields on bonds and loan funding, credit spreads

8

Counterparty exposure to quota-share reinsurers

9

Climate/weather travel and household claims

scenarios_reference

UK Motor reported 55.9% claims ratio is after reserve releases; a 5% UK motor claims ratio increase stresses group solvency by ~20 percentage points per company sensitivity. The scenario underwriting shock is applied on motor IFRS revenue as a proxy, not company forecast.

財務・資本配分

historical_parent_equity_bridge_H1_2026_oku
内容を開く
opening_2025_12_31
14.433
profit_parent
3.29
OCI_parent
0.003
dividends_paid
-2.742
SBC_credit_non_cash
0.442
EBT_cash_purchase
-0.506
deferred_tax_on_schemes
0.063
closing_2026_06_30
14.983
出典

https://www.admiralgroup.co.uk/news-releases/news-release-details/half-year-financial-report

halfyear_reported_solvency_2026_06_30
内容を開く
own_funds_post_foreseeable_distributions_oku
18.4
SCR_dynamic_oku
9.7
solvency_surplus_oku
8.7
solvency_ratio
1.9
regulatory_estimated_ratio
1.73
capital_addon_fixed_PRA_approved_oku
0.24
tier2_in_own_funds_approx_oku
2.5
tier2_IFRS_liability_oku
2.589
basis_difference

Different capital add-on and earnings recognized to dividend announcement date.

debt_financing_at_2026_06_30
内容を開く
subordinated_notes_oku
2.589
securitization_borrowings_oku
15.223
other_borrowings_oku
2.293
total_subordinated_other_financial_liabilities_oku
20.131
asset_liability_matching_note

Debt relates partly to customer loan-backed securities; not nettable against insurer investments by treating all investment assets as surplus cash.

acquisition_Flock_2026_05_29
内容を開く
cash_paid_oku
0.764
book_goodwill_recognised_oku
0.596
capital_ratio_effect_estimated_pp
-8
状態

in 2026 H1 IFRS data already, do not subtract again

2026_capital_to_cutoff_bridge_oku
内容を開く
parent_equity_2026_06_30_reported
14.983
profit_assumed_2026_07_01_to_11_06
2.313586957
sbc_equity_credit_assumed_2026_07_01_to_11_06
0.31548913
October_2026_paid_interim_dividend_estimate
-2.138
corporate_buyback_completed_before_cutoff
-0.45
opening_parent_equity_2026_11_06_model
15.024076087
unverified_OCI_other_share_movements
未確認
注記

The last published IFRS equity date is 30 Jun; assumed linear H2 and zero further OCI/EBT purchase; £45m cancelled share buyback and £0.705 H1 dividend are already reflected in start equity, never in post-valuation holder cash.

2026_H2_profit_assumption_oku
3.3
2026_H2_share_credit_assumption_oku
0.45
model_eligible_ownfunds_at_cutoff_oku
18.4
model_SCR_at_cutoff_oku
9.7
assumed_fixed_ownfund_to_parent_equity_bridge_oku
3.375923913
prudential_forecast_limitation

Unapproved own-funds/date and the Solvency II adjustments cannot be recovered from IFRS balance; fixed bridge is a simplifying scenario calibration, not a reported official reconciliation. No 11/6 ownfunds or SCR announcement identified.

2026_actual_dividend
内容を開く
amount_per_share_gbp
0.705
ex_date

2026-09-03

record_date

2026-09-04

pay_date

2026-10-02

payment_before_base_date
はい
included_in_future_cashflows
いいえ
ex_date_status

issuer_confirmed_historical

ex_date_assumed
未確認
actual_ex_date_source_url

https://www.admiralgroup.co.uk/news-releases/news-release-details/half-year-financial-report

shareholder_cash_flow_for_2026_11_06_cohort

excluded_paid_before_cutoff

2026_45m_buyback
内容を開く
announcement_date

2026-08-06

execution_ended

2026-11-03

cash_paid_oku
0.45
shares_repurchase_cancellation_intent
1206046
included_in_2026_11_06_shares
はい
included_in_future_oldholder_cashflow
いいえ

評価の前提と確認

market_multiples_not_used_to_set_terminal
はい
market_price_gbp_input_only_initial_market_mcap_and_assumed_future_transaction_prices
39.34
terminal_model

v3: parent book + RI for after-SBC NI plus equity-scheme credit minus market-funded employee scheme award replacement, with endogenously solved 2037 share purchase cost and stable eligible outside shares

no_double_count_of_investments
はい
SBC_after_tax_profit_stays_expensed
はい
EBT_purchases_in_share_ledger_and_cash_once
はい
company_dividend_and_buyback_oldcohort_only_in_cashflows
はい
surplus_special_dividends_assumed_not_announced
はい
stock_awards_and_issues_only_ownership_and_balance_sheet
はい
pre_cutoff_dividend_and_buyback_not_future_payout
はい
valuation_discounting_method

ACT actual days/365.25 including 3653d anniversary and every dated positive shareholder receipt

reported_vs_scenario

2025FY/2026H1 company reported; 2026Nov bridge, 2027-36 annual and 2037 terminal forecasts all independent modeled guesses

2036_onward_employee_trust_cost_reflected_in_terminal
はい
terminal_formula

V=(NI_normalized_after_SBC +SBC_equity_credit -g*BV)/(k-g+(award_shares/eligible_shares)*(1+g))

return_cash_to_original_cohort_after_horizon_already_reflected_in_intrinsic_terminal
はい
no_future_EBT_buybacks_simultaneously_treated_as_dilution_and_expense_twice
はい
repeated_2036_cash_EBT_outflow_at_terminal
いいえ
sustainable_distribution_after_share_replenishment

D=NI_norm_after_SBC+SBC_equity_credit-market_trust_cash_cost-g*BV; no double counting of prior year trust repurchases

trust_shares_deducted_from_equity_and_outstanding_dividend_shares
はい
future_cash_and_CoE_are_scenario_assumptions_not_issuer_forecast
はい

資本コストの前提

資本コスト
9.00%
kind

nominal_GBP_equity_required_return

basis

UK non-life insurer: risk-free-plus-equity-risk and cyclicality, prudential and underwriting/reinsurance risk, not a market multiple

nominal_currency

GBP

not_company_WACC

Assumption, no real-time yield curve estimated

growth_guardrail

terminal_g < k for all cases

sensitivity_probability_weighted_pv_by_k
0.075
weighted_PV_oku
142.28393821997
premium_or_discount_to_start
0.19840678106324
valuation_model

fundamental_SBC_fair_purchase_price_self_consistent_recomputed_at_each_k

0.09
weighted_PV_oku
110.36575056135
premium_or_discount_to_start
-0.070428710896493
valuation_model

fundamental_SBC_fair_purchase_price_self_consistent_recomputed_at_each_k

0.105
weighted_PV_oku
89.82883062298
premium_or_discount_to_start
-0.24340385077665
valuation_model

fundamental_SBC_fair_purchase_price_self_consistent_recomputed_at_each_k

事業別データ

事業別の内訳と、収録されている年度別データを確認できます。

事業別データを開く →

10年のシナリオ

シナリオごとの確率、期間内の株主還元・追加負担、終価です。金額は億GBP。株主の範囲や受取時点は各分析の前提を確認してください。

シナリオ確率株主還元・追加負担終価
極強気10.0%136.18347.96
強気20.0%111.72233.31
基本40.0%85.16132.74
弱気20.0%45.1949.99
危機10.0%7.270.00

極強気(確率 10.0%)

m_vol
0.025
m_price
0.035
uk_other_vol
0.06
uk_other_price
0.045
eu_vol
0.075
eu_price
0.055
other_growth
0.095
loan_growth
0.12
claim_pp
内容を開く
1
-0.018
2
-0.022
3
-0.025
4
-0.025
5
-0.024
6
-0.022
7
-0.02
8
-0.02
9
-0.018
10
-0.018
11
-0.018
efficiency
0.011
reins_cost_mult
0.9
commission_haircut
-0.04
loan_income_mult
1.05
loan_fund_cost_mult
0.95
ecl_mult
0.8
invest_yield_mult
1.04
div_policy
0.65
buyback_fraction
0.18
ebt_cash
0.98
award_shares
2050000
price_trend
0.075
solv_risk_factor
1.06
terminal_g
0.035
terminal_norm
0.88
probability_basis

競争優位拡大と低損害率継続の上振れ

確率の根拠

保険損害率、再保険、信用損失と規制資本に関する分析上の確率仮定。

このシナリオの数値・キャッシュフローを開く →

強気(確率 20.0%)

m_vol
0.019
m_price
0.026
uk_other_vol
0.045
uk_other_price
0.035
eu_vol
0.06
eu_price
0.04
other_growth
0.075
loan_growth
0.095
claim_pp
内容を開く
1
-0.006
2
-0.01
3
-0.012
4
-0.014
5
-0.014
6
-0.012
7
-0.012
8
-0.01
9
-0.01
10
-0.01
11
-0.01
efficiency
0.008
reins_cost_mult
0.93
commission_haircut
0
loan_income_mult
1.03
loan_fund_cost_mult
0.96
ecl_mult
0.9
invest_yield_mult
1.02
div_policy
0.65
buyback_fraction
0.16
ebt_cash
0.88
award_shares
1900000
price_trend
0.055
solv_risk_factor
1.03
terminal_g
0.03
terminal_norm
0.87
probability_basis

良好な価格規律と海外・貸付の収益拡大

確率の根拠

保険損害率、再保険、信用損失と規制資本に関する分析上の確率仮定。

このシナリオの数値・キャッシュフローを開く →

基本(確率 40.0%)

m_vol
0.006
m_price
0.019
uk_other_vol
0.035
uk_other_price
0.025
eu_vol
0.04
eu_price
0.03
other_growth
0.05
loan_growth
0.065
claim_pp
内容を開く
1
0.012
2
0.006
3
0.003
4
0
5
-0.003
6
-0.003
7
0
8
0
9
0
10
0
11
0
efficiency
0.004
reins_cost_mult
1
commission_haircut
0.05
loan_income_mult
1
loan_fund_cost_mult
1
ecl_mult
1.12
invest_yield_mult
1
div_policy
0.65
buyback_fraction
0.1
ebt_cash
0.78
award_shares
1800000
price_trend
0.03
solv_risk_factor
1
terminal_g
0.023
terminal_norm
0.83
probability_basis

加入件数・保険料の緩やかな伸びと損害率の正常化

確率の根拠

保険損害率、再保険、信用損失と規制資本に関する分析上の確率仮定。

このシナリオの数値・キャッシュフローを開く →

弱気(確率 20.0%)

m_vol
0
m_price
0.005
uk_other_vol
0.025
uk_other_price
0.01
eu_vol
0.035
eu_price
0.015
other_growth
0.03
loan_growth
0.035
claim_pp
内容を開く
1
0.045
2
0.06
3
0.055
4
0.05
5
0.045
6
0.04
7
0.035
8
0.03
9
0.025
10
0.025
11
0.025
efficiency
-0.003
reins_cost_mult
1.13
commission_haircut
0.18
loan_income_mult
1
loan_fund_cost_mult
1.1
ecl_mult
1.75
invest_yield_mult
0.95
div_policy
0.5
buyback_fraction
0.035
ebt_cash
0.68
award_shares
1800000
price_trend
0.003
solv_risk_factor
1.08
terminal_g
0.012
terminal_norm
0.78
probability_basis

競争激化、引当戻入減と信用損失の長期化

確率の根拠

保険損害率、再保険、信用損失と規制資本に関する分析上の確率仮定。

このシナリオの数値・キャッシュフローを開く →

危機(確率 10.0%)

m_vol
-0.03
m_price
-0.01
uk_other_vol
0.01
uk_other_price
0
eu_vol
0.025
eu_price
-0.005
other_growth
0.015
loan_growth
0.015
claim_pp
内容を開く
1
0.09
2
0.14
3
0.19
4
0.17
5
0.14
6
0.11
7
0.09
8
0.08
9
0.07
10
0.065
11
0.065
efficiency
-0.012
reins_cost_mult
1.4
commission_haircut
0.48
loan_income_mult
0.93
loan_fund_cost_mult
1.3
ecl_mult
3.1
invest_yield_mult
0.85
div_policy
0.2
buyback_fraction
0
ebt_cash
0.48
award_shares
1600000
price_trend
-0.055
solv_risk_factor
1.22
terminal_g
0.005
terminal_norm
0.66
probability_basis

深い修理費インフレ・保険引受悪化・規制資本希薄化

確率の根拠

保険損害率、再保険、信用損失と規制資本に関する分析上の確率仮定。

事業別の前提

1
内容を開く
id

consolidated

数量
1
価格・単価
43.866697492
営業利益
-2.391363522
注記

2036暦年連結のIFRS17と貸付・その他収益の分析的合計、営業利益は保険会社開示に準拠した予測。内訳は年次台帳。

日付別キャッシュフロー

1
内容を開く
想定日

2027-05-06

year
0.49555099247091
金額
0
event_type

forecast_revalidation

event_id

crisis-2027-01

注記

未確定の予測日。会社発表・実施を確認し株数・権利・評価を再検証。

2
内容を開く
想定日

2027-05-07

year
0.49828884325804
金額
0
event_type

forecast_revalidation

event_id

crisis-2027-01

注記

未確定の予測日。会社発表・実施を確認し株数・権利・評価を再検証。

3
year
0.525667351
想定日

2027-05-17

金額
2.145
4
内容を開く
想定日

2027-05-17

year
0.52566735112936
金額
0
event_type

forecast_revalidation

event_id

crisis-2027-01

注記

未確定の予測日。会社発表・実施を確認し株数・権利・評価を再検証。

5
内容を開く
想定日

2027-06-15

year
0.60506502395619
金額
0
event_type

forecast_revalidation

event_id

crisis-2027-02

注記

未確定の予測日。会社発表・実施を確認し株数・権利・評価を再検証。

6
year
0.605065024
想定日

2027-06-15

金額
0.48
7
内容を開く
想定日

2027-08-16

year
0.77481177275838
金額
0
event_type

forecast_revalidation

event_id

crisis-2027-03

注記

未確定の予測日。会社発表・実施を確認し株数・権利・評価を再検証。

8
内容を開く
想定日

2027-09-02

year
0.82135523613963
金額
0
event_type

forecast_revalidation

event_id

crisis-2027-05

注記

未確定の予測日。会社発表・実施を確認し株数・権利・評価を再検証。

9
内容を開く
想定日

2027-09-03

year
0.82409308692676
金額
0
event_type

forecast_revalidation

event_id

crisis-2027-05

注記

未確定の予測日。会社発表・実施を確認し株数・権利・評価を再検証。

10
内容を開く
想定日

2027-09-15

year
0.85694729637235
金額
0
event_type

forecast_revalidation

event_id

crisis-2027-04

注記

未確定の予測日。会社発表・実施を確認し株数・権利・評価を再検証。

11
year
0.908966461
想定日

2027-10-04

金額
0.098781634
12
内容を開く
想定日

2027-10-04

year
0.90896646132786
金額
0
event_type

forecast_revalidation

event_id

crisis-2027-05

注記

未確定の予測日。会社発表・実施を確認し株数・権利・評価を再検証。

13
内容を開く
想定日

2028-05-04

year
1.492128678987
金額
0
event_type

forecast_revalidation

event_id

crisis-2028-01

注記

未確定の予測日。会社発表・実施を確認し株数・権利・評価を再検証。

14
内容を開く
想定日

2028-05-05

year
1.4948665297741
金額
0
event_type

forecast_revalidation

event_id

crisis-2028-01

注記

未確定の予測日。会社発表・実施を確認し株数・権利・評価を再検証。

15
内容を開く
想定日

2028-05-15

year
1.5222450376454
金額
0
event_type

forecast_revalidation

event_id

crisis-2028-01

注記

未確定の予測日。会社発表・実施を確認し株数・権利・評価を再検証。

16
year
1.522245038
想定日

2028-05-15

金額
0.097206037
17
year
1.607118412
想定日

2028-06-15

金額
0.482997845
18
内容を開く
想定日

2028-06-15

year
1.6071184120465
金額
0
event_type

forecast_revalidation

event_id

crisis-2028-02

注記

未確定の予測日。会社発表・実施を確認し株数・権利・評価を再検証。

19
内容を開く
想定日

2028-08-15

year
1.7741273100616
金額
0
event_type

forecast_revalidation

event_id

crisis-2028-03

注記

未確定の予測日。会社発表・実施を確認し株数・権利・評価を再検証。

20
year
2.606433949
想定日

2029-06-15

金額
0.493904863
21
内容を開く
想定日

2029-06-15

year
2.6064339493498
金額
0
event_type

forecast_revalidation

event_id

crisis-2029-01

注記

未確定の予測日。会社発表・実施を確認し株数・権利・評価を再検証。

22
内容を開く
想定日

2029-08-15

year
2.7734428473648
金額
0
event_type

forecast_revalidation

event_id

crisis-2029-02

注記

未確定の予測日。会社発表・実施を確認し株数・権利・評価を再検証。

23
内容を開く
想定日

2029-09-17

year
2.8637919233402
金額
0
event_type

forecast_revalidation

event_id

crisis-2029-03

注記

未確定の予測日。会社発表・実施を確認し株数・権利・評価を再検証。

24
year
3.611225188
想定日

2030-06-17

金額
0.495463257
25
内容を開く
想定日

2030-06-17

year
3.6112251882272
金額
0
event_type

forecast_revalidation

event_id

crisis-2030-01

注記

未確定の予測日。会社発表・実施を確認し株数・権利・評価を再検証。

26
内容を開く
想定日

2030-08-15

year
3.772758384668
金額
0
event_type

forecast_revalidation

event_id

crisis-2030-02

注記

未確定の予測日。会社発表・実施を確認し株数・権利・評価を再検証。

27
内容を開く
想定日

2030-09-16

year
3.8603696098563
金額
0
event_type

forecast_revalidation

event_id

crisis-2030-03

注記

未確定の予測日。会社発表・実施を確認し株数・権利・評価を再検証。

28
内容を開く
想定日

2031-06-16

year
4.6078028747433
金額
0
event_type

forecast_revalidation

event_id

crisis-2031-01

注記

未確定の予測日。会社発表・実施を確認し株数・権利・評価を再検証。

29
year
4.607802875
想定日

2031-06-16

金額
0.493422205
30
内容を開く
想定日

2031-08-15

year
4.7720739219713
金額
0
event_type

forecast_revalidation

event_id

crisis-2031-02

注記

未確定の予測日。会社発表・実施を確認し株数・権利・評価を再検証。

31
内容を開く
想定日

2031-09-15

year
4.8569472963723
金額
0
event_type

forecast_revalidation

event_id

crisis-2031-03

注記

未確定の予測日。会社発表・実施を確認し株数・権利・評価を再検証。

32
year
5.607118412
想定日

2032-06-15

金額
0.49311819
33
内容を開く
想定日

2032-06-15

year
5.6071184120465
金額
0
event_type

forecast_revalidation

event_id

crisis-2032-01

注記

未確定の予測日。会社発表・実施を確認し株数・権利・評価を再検証。

34
内容を開く
想定日

2032-08-16

year
5.7768651608487
金額
0
event_type

forecast_revalidation

event_id

crisis-2032-02

注記

未確定の予測日。会社発表・実施を確認し株数・権利・評価を再検証。

35
内容を開く
想定日

2032-09-15

year
5.8590006844627
金額
0
event_type

forecast_revalidation

event_id

crisis-2032-03

注記

未確定の予測日。会社発表・実施を確認し株数・権利・評価を再検証。

36
year
6.606433949
想定日

2033-06-15

金額
0.494799926
37
内容を開く
想定日

2033-06-15

year
6.6064339493498
金額
0
event_type

forecast_revalidation

event_id

crisis-2033-01

注記

未確定の予測日。会社発表・実施を確認し株数・権利・評価を再検証。

38
内容を開く
想定日

2033-08-15

year
6.7734428473648
金額
0
event_type

forecast_revalidation

event_id

crisis-2033-02

注記

未確定の予測日。会社発表・実施を確認し株数・権利・評価を再検証。

39
内容を開く
想定日

2033-09-15

year
6.8583162217659
金額
0
event_type

forecast_revalidation

event_id

crisis-2033-03

注記

未確定の予測日。会社発表・実施を確認し株数・権利・評価を再検証。

40
内容を開く
想定日

2034-06-15

year
7.605749486653
金額
0
event_type

forecast_revalidation

event_id

crisis-2034-01

注記

未確定の予測日。会社発表・実施を確認し株数・権利・評価を再検証。

41
year
7.605749487
想定日

2034-06-15

金額
0.497028241
42
内容を開く
想定日

2034-08-15

year
7.772758384668
金額
0
event_type

forecast_revalidation

event_id

crisis-2034-02

注記

未確定の予測日。会社発表・実施を確認し株数・権利・評価を再検証。

43
内容を開く
想定日

2034-09-15

year
7.8576317590691
金額
0
event_type

forecast_revalidation

event_id

crisis-2034-03

注記

未確定の予測日。会社発表・実施を確認し株数・権利・評価を再検証。

44
内容を開く
想定日

2035-06-15

year
8.6050650239562
金額
0
event_type

forecast_revalidation

event_id

crisis-2035-01

注記

未確定の予測日。会社発表・実施を確認し株数・権利・評価を再検証。

45
year
8.605065024
想定日

2035-06-15

金額
0.49778636
46
内容を開く
想定日

2035-08-15

year
8.7720739219713
金額
0
event_type

forecast_revalidation

event_id

crisis-2035-02

注記

未確定の予測日。会社発表・実施を確認し株数・権利・評価を再検証。

47
内容を開く
想定日

2035-09-17

year
8.8624229979466
金額
0
event_type

forecast_revalidation

event_id

crisis-2035-03

注記

未確定の予測日。会社発表・実施を確認し株数・権利・評価を再検証。

48
内容を開く
想定日

2036-06-16

year
9.6098562628337
金額
0
event_type

forecast_revalidation

event_id

crisis-2036-01

注記

未確定の予測日。会社発表・実施を確認し株数・権利・評価を再検証。

49
year
9.609856263
想定日

2036-06-16

金額
0.496306335
50
内容を開く
想定日

2036-08-15

year
9.7741273100616
金額
0
event_type

forecast_revalidation

event_id

crisis-2036-02

注記

未確定の予測日。会社発表・実施を確認し株数・権利・評価を再検証。

51
内容を開く
想定日

2036-09-15

year
9.8590006844627
金額
0
event_type

forecast_revalidation

event_id

crisis-2036-03

注記

未確定の予測日。会社発表・実施を確認し株数・権利・評価を再検証。

その他の数値・前提

business_driver_assumptions
内容を開く
m_vol
-0.03
m_price
-0.01
uk_other_vol
0.01
uk_other_price
0
eu_vol
0.025
eu_price
-0.005
other_growth
0.015
loan_growth
0.015
claim_pp
内容を開く
1
0.09
2
0.14
3
0.19
4
0.17
5
0.14
6
0.11
7
0.09
8
0.08
9
0.07
10
0.065
11
0.065
efficiency
-0.012
reins_cost_mult
1.4
commission_haircut
0.48
loan_income_mult
0.93
loan_fund_cost_mult
1.3
ecl_mult
3.1
invest_yield_mult
0.85
div_policy
0.2
buyback_fraction
0
ebt_cash
0.48
award_shares
1600000
price_trend
-0.055
solv_risk_factor
1.22
terminal_g
0.005
terminal_norm
0.66
probability_basis

深い修理費インフレ・保険引受悪化・規制資本希薄化

initial_partial_2026
内容を開く
period

2026-11-06_close_to_2026-12-31_close

開始日

2026-11-06

終了日

2026-12-31

elapsed_days
55
H2_total_days
184
profit_accrual_oku
0.986413043
sbc_pnl_included_in_profit_in_H2_oku
0.13451087
sbc_credit_equity_oku
0.13451087
dividends_oku
0
share_buyback_cancel_oku
0
ebt_cash_purchase_oku
0
equity_after_oku
16.145
shares_after
内容を開く
発行済株式数
305098630
自己株式数
0
ebt_unvested_shares_estimate
3300000
outside_trust_dividend_eligible_shares
301798630
old_cohort_remaining_shares
301798630
old_cohort_outside_share_fraction
1
親会社持分(億)
16.145
eligible_own_funds_proxy_oku
19.520923913
solvency_capital_requirement_proxy_oku
9.7
scr_surplus_oku
9.820923913
prudential_ratio_proxy
2.012466383
状態

analyst_assumption

annualization_note

Partial income/expenses are daily proration of an explicitly assumed Jul-Dec 2026 forecast, not published 2026 2H results.

2026_H2_full_IFRS17_components_forecast_oku
内容を開く
ifrs17_insurance_revenue_oku
24.05
net_reinsurance_oku
-1.525
investment_return_oku
1.12
net_insurance_finance_oku
-0.58
loan_interest_income_oku
0.94
loan_interest_expense_oku
-0.39
other_revenue_profit_commission_oku
1.27
other_operating_expenses_oku
-1.77
co_insurer_recovered_operating_expenses_oku
0.655
ECL_oku
-0.234
finance_costs_oku
-0.116
insurance_service_expenses_including_sbc_oku
-19.080526316
ifrs17_insurance_revenue_oku
7.188858696
income_and_interest_operating_revenue_oku
7.849456522
net_expenses_after_investment_and_reinsurance_oku
6.552331236
PBT_oku
1.297125286
tax_oku
-0.311310069
revenue_and_expense_components_oku
内容を開く
ifrs17_insurance_revenue_oku
7.188858696
net_reinsurance_oku
-0.455842391
investment_return_oku
0.334782609
net_insurance_finance_oku
-0.173369565
loan_interest_income_oku
0.280978261
loan_interest_expense_oku
-0.116576087
other_revenue_profit_commission_oku
0.379619565
other_operating_expenses_oku
-0.529076087
co_insurer_recovered_operating_expenses_oku
0.195788043
ECL_oku
-0.069945652
finance_costs_oku
-0.034673913
insurance_service_expenses_including_sbc_oku
-5.703418192
pre_cutoff_Jul01_Nov06
内容を開く
days
129
IFRS17_insurance_revenue_oku
16.861141304
income_and_interest_operating_revenue_oku
18.410543478
net_expenses_after_investment_and_reinsurance_oku
15.36819508
PBT_oku
3.042348398
parent_profit_oku
2.313586957
SBC_equity_credit_oku
0.31548913
interim_dividend_paid_oku
2.138
company_buyback_completed_oku
0.45
already_in_base_equity_not_future_CF
はい
net_finance_costs_oku
-0.081326087
operating_profit_analogue_oku
3.123674485
net_finance_costs_oku
-0.034673913
operating_profit_analogue_initial_partial_oku
1.331799199
annual
内容を開く
1
内容を開く
year
2027
状態

analyst_assumption_2027_to_2036_not_company_forecast

segments_ifrs17_revenue_oku
内容を開く
UK_motor
31.6668528
UK_other_insurance
7.5548
European_insurance
7.0289785
Other_insurance
1.40273
ifrs17_insurance_revenue_oku
47.6533613
insurance_services_expenses_including_sbc_oku
-41.276923628
net_reinsurance_service_result_oku
-4.175658788
investment_return_oku
1.877900586
insurance_finance_result_oku
-1.154546268
financial_services_interest_income_oku
1.7047737
financial_services_interest_expense_oku
-1.02921
other_revenue_and_profit_commission_oku
2.05380134
other_operating_expenses_including_sbc_oku
-3.512146049
other_operating_expenses_recoverable_from_co_insurers_oku
1.281056912
expected_credit_loss_and_writeoffs_oku
-1.472562
finance_cost_net_oku
-0.2378
normalized_nonrecurring_adjustment_oku
-0.408
operating_revenue_analytical_oku
51.41193634
net_expenses_after_investment_and_reinsurance_oku
50.107889235
pbt_parent_continuing_proxy_oku
1.304047105
income_tax_oku
-0.312971305
profit_after_tax_parent_sbc_deducted_oku
0.9930758
non_controlling_profit_estimate_oku
-0.002
sbc_pnl_included_in_costs_oku
0.91052
sbc_equity_credit_oku
0.91052
uk_motor_reported_loss_ratio_reference
0.649
uk_motor_core_combined_ratio_reference
0.878
uk_motor_vehicle_policies_m
5.5969
uk_motor_annualized_written_premium_per_current_policy_gbp
683.460311958
uk_motor_total_premiums_written_oku
38.2525902
admiral_money_gross_loan_balance_oku
19.05967
loan_ecl_cost_assumption_multiple
3.1
reinsurance_cost_assumption_multiple
1.4
detail_adjustments
内容を開く
uk_motor_claim_impact_oku
-2.850016752
reinsurance_net_oku
-4.175658788
credit_cost_oku
-1.472562
normalization_ex_2026_one_off_oku
-0.408
date_start

2027-01-01

date_end_projection

2027-12-31

period_days_in_year
365
cutoff_capital_date

2027-12-31

forecast_after_horizon_not_realised_in_capital_oku
0
as_of_event_start
内容を開く
発行済株式数
305098630
自己株式数
0
ebt_unvested_shares_estimate
3300000
outside_trust_dividend_eligible_shares
301798630
old_cohort_remaining_shares
301798630
old_cohort_outside_share_fraction
1
親会社持分(億)
16.145
eligible_own_funds_proxy_oku
19.520923913
solvency_capital_requirement_proxy_oku
9.7
scr_surplus_oku
9.820923913
prudential_ratio_proxy
2.012466383
as_of_year_end_or_horizon
内容を開く
発行済株式数
309995441
自己株式数
0
ebt_unvested_shares_estimate
2991145.165
outside_trust_dividend_eligible_shares
307004295.799
old_cohort_remaining_shares
300507484.835
old_cohort_outside_share_fraction
0.978838045
親会社持分(億)
16.744241665
eligible_own_funds_proxy_oku
20.120165578
solvency_capital_requirement_proxy_oku
11.773313021
scr_surplus_oku
8.346852557
prudential_ratio_proxy
1.708963785
subperiod_realization_factor
1
realized_parent_profit_oku
0.9930758
realized_sbc_equity_credit_oku
0.91052
sbc_pnl_allocated_to_insurance_expenses_oku
0.3824184
sbc_pnl_allocated_to_other_operating_expenses_oku
0.5281016
cash_capital_transfers
内容を開く
dividends_oku
2.24430758
ordinary_dividends_oku
2.24430758
special_dividend_oku
0
buyback_oku
0
ebt_acquisition_oku
0.48
new_outside_equity_raised_oku
1.419953445
old_holder_actual_cash_events_year_sum_oku
2.723781634
company_noncash_vested_shares
1600000
company_net_issued_share_change
4896810.9642436
company_treasury_share_change
0
employee_trust_share_change
-308854.83493516
old_holder_equity_share_remaining
0.978838045
equity_reconciliation
内容を開く
opening_oku
16.145
profit_oku
0.9930758
share_scheme_credit_non_cash_oku
0.91052
dividends_oku
-2.24430758
company_buyback_oku
-0
EBT_cash_acquisition_oku
-0.48
new_paid_in_capital_oku
1.419953445
closing_oku
16.744241665
share_reconciliation
内容を開く
issued_open
305098630
cancelled
-0
third_party_new
4896810.9642436
issued_close
309995441
trust_open
3300000
trust_purchased
1291145.1650648
trust_vested
-1600000
trust_close
2991145.165
old_open
301798630
old_pro_rata_sold
1291145.165
old_close
300507484.835
solvency_valuation
内容を開く
eligible_ownfund_oku
20.120165578
scr_oku
11.773313021
surplus_over_scr_oku
8.346852557
headroom_to_160pct_scr_oku
1.282864744
ratio
1.708963785
event_details
内容を開く
1
内容を開く
想定日

2027-05-17

year
0.525667351
event_type

dividend_final_prior_fiscal_year

company_cash_oku
2.145
old_holder_cash_received_oku
2.145
old_holder_shares_after
301798630
eligible_shares_after
301798630
company_equity_after_oku
14.714500341
capital_surplus_after_oku
8.390424254
basis

analyst_assumption

ex_date
未確認
record_date_assumed

2027-05-07

payable_amount_oku
2.145
dps_gbp
0.710738813
old_shares_entitled_at_ex
301798630
eligible_shares_at_ex
301798630
event_id

crisis-2027-01

event_date_status

analyst_estimated_not_issuer_announced_as_of_2026_11_06

issuer_confirmation_status

unconfirmed_future_scenario_event

requires_display_revalidation_on_real_world_occurrence
はい
revalidate_immediately_on_issuer_announcement_even_before_assumed_date
はい
model_assumption_payment_or_execution_date

2027-05-17

event_assumption_as_of_date

2026-11-06

verification_instructions

Confirm official declaration, ex-date, record date, pay date, GBP/share, distributable capital, share count at ex-date, old cohort entitlement and payment; recompute holder CF PV/IRR and balance sheet/SCR on change.

ex_date_assumed

2027-05-06

ex_date_assumed_previous_unadjusted

2027-05-03

ex_date_status

forecast_only_unannounced_not_confirmed

record_date_assumed_prior_model

2027-05-04

record_date_confirmed
未確認
payment_date_assumed

2027-05-17

payment_date_confirmed
未確認
dividend_per_share_gbp_status

analyst_assumption_not_declared

ex_date_weekday_utc_calendar

Thursday

uk_bank_holiday_clearance_verified
いいえ
issuer_confirmed_ex_date
未確認
revalidation_due_dates_assumed
1

2027-05-06

2

2027-05-07

3

2027-05-17

first_revalidation_date_assumed

2027-05-06

display_review_required_when_event_executed_or_announced
はい
2
内容を開く
想定日

2027-06-15

year
0.605065024
event_type

employee_trust_open_market_purchase

company_cash_oku
0.48
old_holder_cash_received_oku
0.48
old_holder_shares_after
300507484.83494
eligible_shares_after
300507484.83494
company_equity_after_oku
14.385744939
capital_surplus_after_oku
8.061668852
basis

analyst_assumption

price_per_share_gbp_assumed
37.1763
shares_acquired_by_trust
1291145.1650648
old_cohort_pro_rata_shares_sold
1291145.1650648
non_cash_sbc_excluded
はい
event_id

crisis-2027-02

event_date_status

analyst_estimated_not_issuer_announced_as_of_2026_11_06

issuer_confirmation_status

unconfirmed_future_scenario_event

requires_display_revalidation_on_real_world_occurrence
はい
revalidate_immediately_on_issuer_announcement_even_before_assumed_date
はい
model_assumption_payment_or_execution_date

2027-06-15

event_assumption_as_of_date

2026-11-06

verification_instructions

Verify EBT purchase confirmations, execution dates, volume, price, number of employee-held shares, resulting old-holder market sale assumptions, cash and eligible own funds.

trust_purchase_execution_date_assumed

2027-06-15

settlement_date_confirmed
未確認
revalidation_due_dates_assumed
1

2027-06-15

first_revalidation_date_assumed

2027-06-15

display_review_required_when_event_executed_or_announced
はい
3
内容を開く
想定日

2027-08-16

year
0.774811773
event_type

noncash_ebt_shares_vested_to_staff

company_cash_oku
0
old_holder_cash_received_oku
0
old_holder_shares_after
300507484.83494
eligible_shares_after
302107484.83494
company_equity_after_oku
14.709095459
capital_surplus_after_oku
8.385019372
basis

analyst_assumption

vested_shares
1600000
issued_change
0
old_cohort_shares_change
0
noncash_event_not_in_timed_cashflows
はい
event_id

crisis-2027-03

event_date_status

analyst_estimated_not_issuer_announced_as_of_2026_11_06

issuer_confirmation_status

unconfirmed_future_scenario_event

requires_display_revalidation_on_real_world_occurrence
はい
revalidate_immediately_on_issuer_announcement_even_before_assumed_date
はい
model_assumption_payment_or_execution_date

2027-08-16

event_assumption_as_of_date

2026-11-06

verification_instructions

Verify vest/settlement date, actual allocated shares, EBT transfer versus new issuance, trust holdings, eligible dividend shares and old-holder ownership; do NOT create a cash flow from SBC alone.

award_vesting_and_share_delivery_date_assumed

2027-08-16

stock_delivery_date_confirmed
未確認
not_old_holder_cashflow
はい
revalidation_due_dates_assumed
1

2027-08-16

first_revalidation_date_assumed

2027-08-16

display_review_required_when_event_executed_or_announced
はい
4
内容を開く
想定日

2027-09-15

year
0.856947296
event_type

external_equity_financing_not_holder_cash

company_cash_oku
-1.419953445
old_holder_cash_received_oku
0
old_holder_shares_after
300507484.83494
eligible_shares_after
307004295.79918
company_equity_after_oku
16.285508832
capital_surplus_after_oku
7.888119724
basis

analyst_assumption

new_shares_issued
4896810.9642436
issue_price_gbp_assumed
28.997514
outside_investors_pay_company_not_old_cohort
はい
event_id

crisis-2027-04

event_date_status

analyst_estimated_not_issuer_announced_as_of_2026_11_06

issuer_confirmation_status

unconfirmed_future_scenario_event

requires_display_revalidation_on_real_world_occurrence
はい
revalidate_immediately_on_issuer_announcement_even_before_assumed_date
はい
model_assumption_payment_or_execution_date

2027-09-15

event_assumption_as_of_date

2026-11-06

verification_instructions

Verify paid-in proceeds, actual issue date/price/count, dilution of existing holders and impact on parent capital and solvency; do not treat new investor payment as old-holder cash.

external_share_issue_date_assumed

2027-09-15

new_share_issue_date_confirmed
未確認
revalidation_due_dates_assumed
1

2027-09-15

first_revalidation_date_assumed

2027-09-15

display_review_required_when_event_executed_or_announced
はい
5
内容を開く
想定日

2027-10-04

year
0.908966461
event_type

dividend_interim_current_fiscal_year

company_cash_oku
0.09930758
old_holder_cash_received_oku
0.098781634
old_holder_shares_after
300507484.83494
eligible_shares_after
307004295.79918
company_equity_after_oku
16.28529254
capital_surplus_after_oku
7.887903432
basis

analyst_assumption

ex_date
未確認
record_date_assumed

2027-09-03

payable_amount_oku
0.09930758
dps_gbp
0.032871605
old_shares_entitled_at_ex
300507484.83494
eligible_shares_at_ex
302107484.83494
event_id

crisis-2027-05

event_date_status

analyst_estimated_not_issuer_announced_as_of_2026_11_06

issuer_confirmation_status

unconfirmed_future_scenario_event

requires_display_revalidation_on_real_world_occurrence
はい
revalidate_immediately_on_issuer_announcement_even_before_assumed_date
はい
model_assumption_payment_or_execution_date

2027-10-04

event_assumption_as_of_date

2026-11-06

verification_instructions

Confirm official declaration, ex-date, record date, pay date, GBP/share, distributable capital, share count at ex-date, old cohort entitlement and payment; recompute holder CF PV/IRR and balance sheet/SCR on change.

ex_date_assumed

2027-09-02

ex_date_assumed_previous_unadjusted

2027-09-03

ex_date_status

forecast_only_unannounced_not_confirmed

record_date_assumed_prior_model

2027-09-06

record_date_confirmed
未確認
payment_date_assumed

2027-10-04

payment_date_confirmed
未確認
dividend_per_share_gbp_status

analyst_assumption_not_declared

ex_date_weekday_utc_calendar

Thursday

uk_bank_holiday_clearance_verified
いいえ
issuer_confirmed_ex_date
未確認
revalidation_due_dates_assumed
1

2027-09-02

2

2027-09-03

3

2027-10-04

first_revalidation_date_assumed

2027-09-02

display_review_required_when_event_executed_or_announced
はい
insurance_service_result_oku
2.200778884
net_insurance_and_investment_result_oku
2.924133202
financial_services_net_interest_oku
0.6755637
net_other_income_and_expenses_with_model_adjustment_oku
-2.057849797
営業利益(億)
1.541847105
operating_profit_status

analyst_forecast_issuer_IFRS_operating_profit_presentation_analogue

operating_profit_display_label_ja

営業利益(IFRS連結損益計算書Operating profit準拠の予測)

operating_profit_is_PBT
いいえ
operating_profit_bridge_oku
内容を開く
ifrs17_insurance_revenue
47.6533613
insurance_service_expenses_including_sbc
-41.276923628
net_reinsurance_service_result
-4.175658788
insurance_service_result
2.200778884
investment_return
1.877900586
net_insurance_finance_result
-1.154546268
net_insurance_and_investment_result
2.924133202
financial_services_interest_income
1.7047737
financial_services_interest_expense
-1.02921
net_financial_services_interest
0.6755637
other_revenue_and_profit_commission
2.05380134
other_operating_expenses_including_sbc
-3.512146049
other_operating_expenses_recovered_from_co_insurers
1.281056912
expected_credit_losses_and_writeoffs
-1.472562
other_operating_before_model_adjustment
-1.649849797
unallocated_model_operating_adjustment_not_issuer_disclosure
-0.408
total_other_operating_income_and_expenses_after_adjustment
-2.057849797
operating_profit
1.541847105
net_finance_costs_below_operating_profit
-0.2378
PBT_continuing_group_proxy
1.304047105
reconciliation_error_oku
0
SBC_annual_expense_already_included_in_op_costs
0.91052
categorisation_note

Additional normalisation is assigned to other operating expenses for the purpose of matching original PBT. It is not a reported future statutory line.

2
内容を開く
year
2028
状態

analyst_assumption_2027_to_2036_not_company_forecast

segments_ifrs17_revenue_oku
内容を開く
UK_motor
30.409678744
UK_other_insurance
7.630348
European_insurance
7.168679448
Other_insurance
1.42377095
ifrs17_insurance_revenue_oku
46.632477142
insurance_services_expenses_including_sbc_oku
-42.327455903
net_reinsurance_service_result_oku
-4.086203107
investment_return_oku
1.849928821
insurance_finance_result_oku
-1.136099961
financial_services_interest_income_oku
1.730345305
financial_services_interest_expense_oku
-1.04464815
other_revenue_and_profit_commission_oku
2.000588827
other_operating_expenses_including_sbc_oku
-3.499102927
other_operating_expenses_recoverable_from_co_insurers_oku
1.253612663
expected_credit_loss_and_writeoffs_oku
-1.49465043
finance_cost_net_oku
-0.243745
normalized_nonrecurring_adjustment_oku
-0.408
operating_revenue_analytical_oku
50.363411274
net_expenses_after_investment_and_reinsurance_oku
51.136363995
pbt_parent_continuing_proxy_oku
-0.772952721
income_tax_oku
-0
profit_after_tax_parent_sbc_deducted_oku
-0.770952721
non_controlling_profit_estimate_oku
-0.002
sbc_pnl_included_in_costs_oku
0.9378356
sbc_equity_credit_oku
0.9378356
uk_motor_reported_loss_ratio_reference
0.699
uk_motor_core_combined_ratio_reference
0.928
uk_motor_vehicle_policies_m
5.428993
uk_motor_annualized_written_premium_per_current_policy_gbp
676.625708839
uk_motor_total_premiums_written_oku
36.733962369
admiral_money_gross_loan_balance_oku
19.34556505
loan_ecl_cost_assumption_multiple
3.1
reinsurance_cost_assumption_multiple
1.4
detail_adjustments
内容を開く
uk_motor_claim_impact_oku
-4.257355024
reinsurance_net_oku
-4.086203107
credit_cost_oku
-1.49465043
normalization_ex_2026_one_off_oku
-0.408
date_start

2028-01-01

date_end_projection

2028-12-31

period_days_in_year
366
cutoff_capital_date

2028-12-31

forecast_after_horizon_not_realised_in_capital_oku
-0
as_of_event_start
内容を開く
発行済株式数
309995441
自己株式数
0
ebt_unvested_shares_estimate
2991145.165
outside_trust_dividend_eligible_shares
307004295.799
old_cohort_remaining_shares
300507484.835
old_cohort_outside_share_fraction
0.978838045
親会社持分(億)
16.744241665
eligible_own_funds_proxy_oku
20.120165578
solvency_capital_requirement_proxy_oku
11.773313021
scr_surplus_oku
8.346852557
prudential_ratio_proxy
1.708963785
as_of_year_end_or_horizon
内容を開く
発行済株式数
309995441
自己株式数
0
ebt_unvested_shares_estimate
2776492.498
outside_trust_dividend_eligible_shares
307218948.466
old_cohort_remaining_shares
299132660.469
old_cohort_outside_share_fraction
0.973679071
親会社持分(億)
16.318376964
eligible_own_funds_proxy_oku
19.694300877
solvency_capital_requirement_proxy_oku
11.716954277
scr_surplus_oku
7.9773466
prudential_ratio_proxy
1.680837905
subperiod_realization_factor
1
realized_parent_profit_oku
-0.770952721
realized_sbc_equity_credit_oku
0.9378356
sbc_pnl_allocated_to_insurance_expenses_oku
0.393890952
sbc_pnl_allocated_to_other_operating_expenses_oku
0.543944648
cash_capital_transfers
内容を開く
dividends_oku
0.09930758
ordinary_dividends_oku
0.09930758
special_dividend_oku
0
buyback_oku
0
ebt_acquisition_oku
0.49344
new_outside_equity_raised_oku
0
old_holder_actual_cash_events_year_sum_oku
0.580203883
company_noncash_vested_shares
1619200
company_net_issued_share_change
0
company_treasury_share_change
0
employee_trust_share_change
-214652.66699825
old_holder_equity_share_remaining
0.973679071
equity_reconciliation
内容を開く
opening_oku
16.744241665
profit_oku
-0.770952721
share_scheme_credit_non_cash_oku
0.9378356
dividends_oku
-0.09930758
company_buyback_oku
-0
EBT_cash_acquisition_oku
-0.49344
new_paid_in_capital_oku
0
closing_oku
16.318376964
share_reconciliation
内容を開く
issued_open
309995441
cancelled
-0
third_party_new
0
issued_close
309995441
trust_open
2991145.165
trust_purchased
1404547.3330018
trust_vested
-1619200
trust_close
2776492.498
old_open
300507484.835
old_pro_rata_sold
1374824.366
old_close
299132660.469
solvency_valuation
内容を開く
eligible_ownfund_oku
19.694300877
scr_oku
11.716954277
surplus_over_scr_oku
7.9773466
headroom_to_160pct_scr_oku
0.947174034
ratio
1.680837905
event_details
1
内容を開く
想定日

2028-05-15

year
1.522245038
event_type

dividend_final_prior_fiscal_year

company_cash_oku
0.09930758
old_holder_cash_received_oku
0.097206037
old_holder_shares_after
300507484.83494
eligible_shares_after
307004295.79918
company_equity_after_oku
16.706945209
capital_surplus_after_oku
8.309556101
basis

analyst_assumption

ex_date
未確認
record_date_assumed

2028-05-05

payable_amount_oku
0.09930758
dps_gbp
0.032347293
old_shares_entitled_at_ex
300507484.83494
eligible_shares_at_ex
307004295.79918
event_id

crisis-2028-01

event_date_status

analyst_estimated_not_issuer_announced_as_of_2026_11_06

issuer_confirmation_status

unconfirmed_future_scenario_event

requires_display_revalidation_on_real_world_occurrence
はい
revalidate_immediately_on_issuer_announcement_even_before_assumed_date
はい
model_assumption_payment_or_execution_date

2028-05-15

event_assumption_as_of_date

2026-11-06

verification_instructions

Confirm official declaration, ex-date, record date, pay date, GBP/share, distributable capital, share count at ex-date, old cohort entitlement and payment; recompute holder CF PV/IRR and balance sheet/SCR on change.

ex_date_assumed

2028-05-04

ex_date_assumed_previous_unadjusted

2028-05-01

ex_date_status

forecast_only_unannounced_not_confirmed

record_date_assumed_prior_model

2028-05-02

record_date_confirmed
未確認
payment_date_assumed

2028-05-15

payment_date_confirmed
未確認
dividend_per_share_gbp_status

analyst_assumption_not_declared

ex_date_weekday_utc_calendar

Thursday

uk_bank_holiday_clearance_verified
いいえ
issuer_confirmed_ex_date
未確認
revalidation_due_dates_assumed
1

2028-05-04

2

2028-05-05

3

2028-05-15

first_revalidation_date_assumed

2028-05-04

display_review_required_when_event_executed_or_announced
はい
2
内容を開く
想定日

2028-06-15

year
1.607118412
event_type

employee_trust_open_market_purchase

company_cash_oku
0.49344
old_holder_cash_received_oku
0.482997845
old_holder_shares_after
299132660.4688
eligible_shares_after
305599748.46618
company_equity_after_oku
16.227640098
capital_surplus_after_oku
7.83025099
basis

analyst_assumption

price_per_share_gbp_assumed
35.1316035
shares_acquired_by_trust
1404547.3330018
old_cohort_pro_rata_shares_sold
1374824.3661322
non_cash_sbc_excluded
はい
event_id

crisis-2028-02

event_date_status

analyst_estimated_not_issuer_announced_as_of_2026_11_06

issuer_confirmation_status

unconfirmed_future_scenario_event

requires_display_revalidation_on_real_world_occurrence
はい
revalidate_immediately_on_issuer_announcement_even_before_assumed_date
はい
model_assumption_payment_or_execution_date

2028-06-15

event_assumption_as_of_date

2026-11-06

verification_instructions

Verify EBT purchase confirmations, execution dates, volume, price, number of employee-held shares, resulting old-holder market sale assumptions, cash and eligible own funds.

trust_purchase_execution_date_assumed

2028-06-15

settlement_date_confirmed
未確認
revalidation_due_dates_assumed
1

2028-06-15

first_revalidation_date_assumed

2028-06-15

display_review_required_when_event_executed_or_announced
はい
3
内容を開く
想定日

2028-08-15

year
1.77412731
event_type

noncash_ebt_shares_vested_to_staff

company_cash_oku
0
old_holder_cash_received_oku
0
old_holder_shares_after
299132660.4688
eligible_shares_after
307218948.46618
company_equity_after_oku
16.255453911
capital_surplus_after_oku
7.858064803
basis

analyst_assumption

vested_shares
1619200
issued_change
0
old_cohort_shares_change
0
noncash_event_not_in_timed_cashflows
はい
event_id

crisis-2028-03

event_date_status

analyst_estimated_not_issuer_announced_as_of_2026_11_06

issuer_confirmation_status

unconfirmed_future_scenario_event

requires_display_revalidation_on_real_world_occurrence
はい
revalidate_immediately_on_issuer_announcement_even_before_assumed_date
はい
model_assumption_payment_or_execution_date

2028-08-15

event_assumption_as_of_date

2026-11-06

verification_instructions

Verify vest/settlement date, actual allocated shares, EBT transfer versus new issuance, trust holdings, eligible dividend shares and old-holder ownership; do NOT create a cash flow from SBC alone.

award_vesting_and_share_delivery_date_assumed

2028-08-15

stock_delivery_date_confirmed
未確認
not_old_holder_cashflow
はい
revalidation_due_dates_assumed
1

2028-08-15

first_revalidation_date_assumed

2028-08-15

display_review_required_when_event_executed_or_announced
はい
insurance_service_result_oku
0.218818132
net_insurance_and_investment_result_oku
0.932646992
financial_services_net_interest_oku
0.685697155
net_other_income_and_expenses_with_model_adjustment_oku
-2.147551867
営業利益(億)
-0.52920772
operating_profit_status

analyst_forecast_issuer_IFRS_operating_profit_presentation_analogue

operating_profit_display_label_ja

営業利益(IFRS連結損益計算書Operating profit準拠の予測)

operating_profit_is_PBT
いいえ
operating_profit_bridge_oku
内容を開く
ifrs17_insurance_revenue
46.632477142
insurance_service_expenses_including_sbc
-42.327455903
net_reinsurance_service_result
-4.086203107
insurance_service_result
0.218818132
investment_return
1.849928821
net_insurance_finance_result
-1.136099961
net_insurance_and_investment_result
0.932646992
financial_services_interest_income
1.730345305
financial_services_interest_expense
-1.04464815
net_financial_services_interest
0.685697155
other_revenue_and_profit_commission
2.000588827
other_operating_expenses_including_sbc
-3.499102927
other_operating_expenses_recovered_from_co_insurers
1.253612663
expected_credit_losses_and_writeoffs
-1.49465043
other_operating_before_model_adjustment
-1.739551867
unallocated_model_operating_adjustment_not_issuer_disclosure
-0.408
total_other_operating_income_and_expenses_after_adjustment
-2.147551867
operating_profit
-0.52920772
net_finance_costs_below_operating_profit
-0.243745
PBT_continuing_group_proxy
-0.772952721
reconciliation_error_oku
1.0E-9
SBC_annual_expense_already_included_in_op_costs
0.9378356
categorisation_note

Additional normalisation is assigned to other operating expenses for the purpose of matching original PBT. It is not a reported future statutory line.

3
内容を開く
year
2029
状態

analyst_assumption_2027_to_2036_not_company_forecast

segments_ifrs17_revenue_oku
内容を開く
UK_motor
29.202414498
UK_other_insurance
7.70665148
European_insurance
7.311156952
Other_insurance
1.445127514
ifrs17_insurance_revenue_oku
45.665350444
insurance_services_expenses_including_sbc_oku
-43.291734679
net_reinsurance_service_result_oku
-4.00145796
investment_return_oku
1.823429986
insurance_finance_result_oku
-1.118624996
financial_services_interest_income_oku
1.756300485
financial_services_interest_expense_oku
-1.060317872
other_revenue_and_profit_commission_oku
1.950178365
other_operating_expenses_including_sbc_oku
-3.488859683
other_operating_expenses_recoverable_from_co_insurers_oku
1.227613566
expected_credit_loss_and_writeoffs_oku
-1.517070186
finance_cost_net_oku
-0.249838625
normalized_nonrecurring_adjustment_oku
-0.408
operating_revenue_analytical_oku
49.371829294
net_expenses_after_investment_and_reinsurance_oku
52.084860451
pbt_parent_continuing_proxy_oku
-2.713031157
income_tax_oku
-0
profit_after_tax_parent_sbc_deducted_oku
-2.711031157
non_controlling_profit_estimate_oku
-0.002
sbc_pnl_included_in_costs_oku
0.965970668
sbc_equity_credit_oku
0.965970668
uk_motor_reported_loss_ratio_reference
0.749
uk_motor_core_combined_ratio_reference
0.978
uk_motor_vehicle_policies_m
5.26612321
uk_motor_annualized_written_premium_per_current_policy_gbp
669.85945175
uk_motor_total_premiums_written_oku
35.275624063
admiral_money_gross_loan_balance_oku
19.635748526
loan_ecl_cost_assumption_multiple
3.1
reinsurance_cost_assumption_multiple
1.4
detail_adjustments
内容を開く
uk_motor_claim_impact_oku
-5.548458755
reinsurance_net_oku
-4.00145796
credit_cost_oku
-1.517070186
normalization_ex_2026_one_off_oku
-0.408
date_start

2029-01-01

date_end_projection

2029-12-31

period_days_in_year
365
cutoff_capital_date

2029-12-31

forecast_after_horizon_not_realised_in_capital_oku
-0
as_of_event_start
内容を開く
発行済株式数
309995441
自己株式数
0
ebt_unvested_shares_estimate
2776492.498
outside_trust_dividend_eligible_shares
307218948.466
old_cohort_remaining_shares
299132660.469
old_cohort_outside_share_fraction
0.973679071
親会社持分(億)
16.318376964
eligible_own_funds_proxy_oku
19.694300877
solvency_capital_requirement_proxy_oku
11.716954277
scr_surplus_oku
7.9773466
prudential_ratio_proxy
1.680837905
as_of_year_end_or_horizon
内容を開く
発行済株式数
315927739
自己株式数
0
ebt_unvested_shares_estimate
2665771.789
outside_trust_dividend_eligible_shares
313261967.522
old_cohort_remaining_shares
297644966.779
old_cohort_outside_share_fraction
0.950147154
親会社持分(億)
15.602258766
eligible_own_funds_proxy_oku
18.978182679
solvency_capital_requirement_proxy_oku
11.664782264
scr_surplus_oku
7.313400415
prudential_ratio_proxy
1.62696416
subperiod_realization_factor
1
realized_parent_profit_oku
-2.711031157
realized_sbc_equity_credit_oku
0.965970668
sbc_pnl_allocated_to_insurance_expenses_oku
0.405707681
sbc_pnl_allocated_to_other_operating_expenses_oku
0.560262987
cash_capital_transfers
内容を開く
dividends_oku
0
ordinary_dividends_oku
0
special_dividend_oku
0
buyback_oku
0
ebt_acquisition_oku
0.50725632
new_outside_equity_raised_oku
1.536198611
old_holder_actual_cash_events_year_sum_oku
0.493904863
company_noncash_vested_shares
1638630.4
company_net_issued_share_change
5932298.3468198
company_treasury_share_change
0
employee_trust_share_change
-110720.70864995
old_holder_equity_share_remaining
0.950147154
equity_reconciliation
内容を開く
opening_oku
16.318376964
profit_oku
-2.711031157
share_scheme_credit_non_cash_oku
0.965970668
dividends_oku
-0
company_buyback_oku
-0
EBT_cash_acquisition_oku
-0.50725632
new_paid_in_capital_oku
1.536198611
closing_oku
15.602258766
share_reconciliation
内容を開く
issued_open
309995441
cancelled
-0
third_party_new
5932298.3468198
issued_close
315927739
trust_open
2776492.498
trust_purchased
1527909.6913501
trust_vested
-1638630.4
trust_close
2665771.789
old_open
299132660.469
old_pro_rata_sold
1487693.69
old_close
297644966.779
solvency_valuation
内容を開く
eligible_ownfund_oku
18.978182679
scr_oku
11.664782264
surplus_over_scr_oku
7.313400415
headroom_to_160pct_scr_oku
0.314531056
ratio
1.62696416
event_details
1
内容を開く
想定日

2029-06-15

year
2.606433949
event_type

employee_trust_open_market_purchase

company_cash_oku
0.50725632
old_holder_cash_received_oku
0.493904863
old_holder_shares_after
297644966.7793
eligible_shares_after
305691038.77483
company_equity_after_oku
15.017476695
capital_surplus_after_oku
6.676446332
basis

analyst_assumption

price_per_share_gbp_assumed
33.199365307
shares_acquired_by_trust
1527909.6913501
old_cohort_pro_rata_shares_sold
1487693.6895054
non_cash_sbc_excluded
はい
event_id

crisis-2029-01

event_date_status

analyst_estimated_not_issuer_announced_as_of_2026_11_06

issuer_confirmation_status

unconfirmed_future_scenario_event

requires_display_revalidation_on_real_world_occurrence
はい
revalidate_immediately_on_issuer_announcement_even_before_assumed_date
はい
model_assumption_payment_or_execution_date

2029-06-15

event_assumption_as_of_date

2026-11-06

verification_instructions

Verify EBT purchase confirmations, execution dates, volume, price, number of employee-held shares, resulting old-holder market sale assumptions, cash and eligible own funds.

trust_purchase_execution_date_assumed

2029-06-15

settlement_date_confirmed
未確認
revalidation_due_dates_assumed
1

2029-06-15

first_revalidation_date_assumed

2029-06-15

display_review_required_when_event_executed_or_announced
はい
2
内容を開く
想定日

2029-08-15

year
2.773442847
event_type

noncash_ebt_shares_vested_to_staff

company_cash_oku
0
old_holder_cash_received_oku
0
old_holder_shares_after
297644966.7793
eligible_shares_after
307329669.17483
company_equity_after_oku
14.725836449
capital_surplus_after_oku
6.384806086
basis

analyst_assumption

vested_shares
1638630.4
issued_change
0
old_cohort_shares_change
0
noncash_event_not_in_timed_cashflows
はい
event_id

crisis-2029-02

event_date_status

analyst_estimated_not_issuer_announced_as_of_2026_11_06

issuer_confirmation_status

unconfirmed_future_scenario_event

requires_display_revalidation_on_real_world_occurrence
はい
revalidate_immediately_on_issuer_announcement_even_before_assumed_date
はい
model_assumption_payment_or_execution_date

2029-08-15

event_assumption_as_of_date

2026-11-06

verification_instructions

Verify vest/settlement date, actual allocated shares, EBT transfer versus new issuance, trust holdings, eligible dividend shares and old-holder ownership; do NOT create a cash flow from SBC alone.

award_vesting_and_share_delivery_date_assumed

2029-08-15

stock_delivery_date_confirmed
未確認
not_old_holder_cashflow
はい
revalidation_due_dates_assumed
1

2029-08-15

first_revalidation_date_assumed

2029-08-15

display_review_required_when_event_executed_or_announced
はい
3
内容を開く
想定日

2029-09-17

year
2.863791923
event_type

external_equity_financing_not_holder_cash

company_cash_oku
-1.536198611
old_holder_cash_received_oku
0
old_holder_shares_after
297644966.7793
eligible_shares_after
313261967.52165
company_equity_after_oku
16.104262468
capital_surplus_after_oku
7.815404117
basis

analyst_assumption

new_shares_issued
5932298.3468198
issue_price_gbp_assumed
25.89550494
outside_investors_pay_company_not_old_cohort
はい
event_id

crisis-2029-03

event_date_status

analyst_estimated_not_issuer_announced_as_of_2026_11_06

issuer_confirmation_status

unconfirmed_future_scenario_event

requires_display_revalidation_on_real_world_occurrence
はい
revalidate_immediately_on_issuer_announcement_even_before_assumed_date
はい
model_assumption_payment_or_execution_date

2029-09-17

event_assumption_as_of_date

2026-11-06

verification_instructions

Verify paid-in proceeds, actual issue date/price/count, dilution of existing holders and impact on parent capital and solvency; do not treat new investor payment as old-holder cash.

external_share_issue_date_assumed

2029-09-17

new_share_issue_date_confirmed
未確認
revalidation_due_dates_assumed
1

2029-09-17

first_revalidation_date_assumed

2029-09-17

display_review_required_when_event_executed_or_announced
はい
insurance_service_result_oku
-1.627842195
net_insurance_and_investment_result_oku
-0.923037205
financial_services_net_interest_oku
0.695982613
net_other_income_and_expenses_with_model_adjustment_oku
-2.236137938
営業利益(億)
-2.46319253
operating_profit_status

analyst_forecast_issuer_IFRS_operating_profit_presentation_analogue

operating_profit_display_label_ja

営業利益(IFRS連結損益計算書Operating profit準拠の予測)

operating_profit_is_PBT
いいえ
operating_profit_bridge_oku
内容を開く
ifrs17_insurance_revenue
45.665350444
insurance_service_expenses_including_sbc
-43.291734679
net_reinsurance_service_result
-4.00145796
insurance_service_result
-1.627842195
investment_return
1.823429986
net_insurance_finance_result
-1.118624996
net_insurance_and_investment_result
-0.923037205
financial_services_interest_income
1.756300485
financial_services_interest_expense
-1.060317872
net_financial_services_interest
0.695982613
other_revenue_and_profit_commission
1.950178365
other_operating_expenses_including_sbc
-3.488859683
other_operating_expenses_recovered_from_co_insurers
1.227613566
expected_credit_losses_and_writeoffs
-1.517070186
other_operating_before_model_adjustment
-1.828137938
unallocated_model_operating_adjustment_not_issuer_disclosure
-0.408
total_other_operating_income_and_expenses_after_adjustment
-2.236137938
operating_profit
-2.46319253
net_finance_costs_below_operating_profit
-0.249838625
PBT_continuing_group_proxy
-2.713031157
reconciliation_error_oku
2.0E-9
SBC_annual_expense_already_included_in_op_costs
0.965970668
categorisation_note

Additional normalisation is assigned to other operating expenses for the purpose of matching original PBT. It is not a reported future statutory line.

4
内容を開く
year
2030
状態

analyst_assumption_2027_to_2036_not_company_forecast

segments_ifrs17_revenue_oku
内容を開く
UK_motor
28.043078642
UK_other_insurance
7.783717995
European_insurance
7.456466196
Other_insurance
1.466804427
ifrs17_insurance_revenue_oku
44.75006726
insurance_services_expenses_including_sbc_oku
-42.213473784
net_reinsurance_service_result_oku
-3.921255637
investment_return_oku
1.79835164
insurance_finance_result_oku
-1.102086789
financial_services_interest_income_oku
1.782644992
financial_services_interest_expense_oku
-1.07622264
other_revenue_and_profit_commission_oku
1.902470192
other_operating_expenses_including_sbc_oku
-3.48140768
other_operating_expenses_recoverable_from_co_insurers_oku
1.20300817
expected_credit_loss_and_writeoffs_oku
-1.539826239
finance_cost_net_oku
-0.256084591
normalized_nonrecurring_adjustment_oku
-0.408
operating_revenue_analytical_oku
48.435182444
net_expenses_after_investment_and_reinsurance_oku
50.996997551
pbt_parent_continuing_proxy_oku
-2.561815107
income_tax_oku
-0
profit_after_tax_parent_sbc_deducted_oku
-2.559815107
non_controlling_profit_estimate_oku
-0.002
sbc_pnl_included_in_costs_oku
0.994949788
sbc_equity_credit_oku
0.994949788
uk_motor_reported_loss_ratio_reference
0.729
uk_motor_core_combined_ratio_reference
0.958
uk_motor_vehicle_policies_m
5.108139514
uk_motor_annualized_written_premium_per_current_policy_gbp
663.160857233
uk_motor_total_premiums_written_oku
33.875181788
admiral_money_gross_loan_balance_oku
19.930284754
loan_ecl_cost_assumption_multiple
3.1
reinsurance_cost_assumption_multiple
1.4
detail_adjustments
内容を開く
uk_motor_claim_impact_oku
-4.767323369
reinsurance_net_oku
-3.921255637
credit_cost_oku
-1.539826239
normalization_ex_2026_one_off_oku
-0.408
date_start

2030-01-01

date_end_projection

2030-12-31

period_days_in_year
365
cutoff_capital_date

2030-12-31

forecast_after_horizon_not_realised_in_capital_oku
-0
as_of_event_start
内容を開く
発行済株式数
315927739
自己株式数
0
ebt_unvested_shares_estimate
2665771.789
outside_trust_dividend_eligible_shares
313261967.522
old_cohort_remaining_shares
297644966.779
old_cohort_outside_share_fraction
0.950147154
親会社持分(億)
15.602258766
eligible_own_funds_proxy_oku
18.978182679
solvency_capital_requirement_proxy_oku
11.664782264
scr_surplus_oku
7.313400415
prudential_ratio_proxy
1.62696416
as_of_year_end_or_horizon
内容を開く
発行済株式数
324319271
自己株式数
0
ebt_unvested_shares_estimate
2669584.875
outside_trust_dividend_eligible_shares
321649686.483
old_cohort_remaining_shares
296065720.496
old_cohort_outside_share_fraction
0.920460156
親会社持分(億)
15.569446919
eligible_own_funds_proxy_oku
18.945370832
solvency_capital_requirement_proxy_oku
11.616661598
scr_surplus_oku
7.328709233
prudential_ratio_proxy
1.630879119
subperiod_realization_factor
1
realized_parent_profit_oku
-2.559815107
realized_sbc_equity_credit_oku
0.994949788
sbc_pnl_allocated_to_insurance_expenses_oku
0.417878911
sbc_pnl_allocated_to_other_operating_expenses_oku
0.577070877
cash_capital_transfers
内容を開く
dividends_oku
0
ordinary_dividends_oku
0
special_dividend_oku
0
buyback_oku
0
ebt_acquisition_oku
0.521459497
new_outside_equity_raised_oku
2.053512968
old_holder_actual_cash_events_year_sum_oku
0.495463257
company_noncash_vested_shares
1658293.9648
company_net_issued_share_change
8391532.0472071
company_treasury_share_change
0
employee_trust_share_change
3813.085684503
old_holder_equity_share_remaining
0.920460156
equity_reconciliation
内容を開く
opening_oku
15.602258766
profit_oku
-2.559815107
share_scheme_credit_non_cash_oku
0.994949788
dividends_oku
-0
company_buyback_oku
-0
EBT_cash_acquisition_oku
-0.521459497
new_paid_in_capital_oku
2.053512968
closing_oku
15.569446919
share_reconciliation
内容を開く
issued_open
315927739
cancelled
-0
third_party_new
8391532.0472071
issued_close
324319271
trust_open
2665771.789
trust_purchased
1662107.0504845
trust_vested
-1658293.9648
trust_close
2669584.875
old_open
297644966.779
old_pro_rata_sold
1579246.283
old_close
296065720.496
solvency_valuation
内容を開く
eligible_ownfund_oku
18.945370832
scr_oku
11.616661598
surplus_over_scr_oku
7.328709233
headroom_to_160pct_scr_oku
0.358712274
ratio
1.630879119
event_details
1
内容を開く
想定日

2030-06-17

year
3.611225188
event_type

employee_trust_open_market_purchase

company_cash_oku
0.521459497
old_holder_cash_received_oku
0.495463257
old_holder_shares_after
296065720.49626
eligible_shares_after
311599860.47116
company_equity_after_oku
14.360532492
capital_surplus_after_oku
6.071674141
basis

analyst_assumption

price_per_share_gbp_assumed
31.373400216
shares_acquired_by_trust
1662107.0504845
old_cohort_pro_rata_shares_sold
1579246.283036
non_cash_sbc_excluded
はい
event_id

crisis-2030-01

event_date_status

analyst_estimated_not_issuer_announced_as_of_2026_11_06

issuer_confirmation_status

unconfirmed_future_scenario_event

requires_display_revalidation_on_real_world_occurrence
はい
revalidate_immediately_on_issuer_announcement_even_before_assumed_date
はい
model_assumption_payment_or_execution_date

2030-06-17

event_assumption_as_of_date

2026-11-06

verification_instructions

Verify EBT purchase confirmations, execution dates, volume, price, number of employee-held shares, resulting old-holder market sale assumptions, cash and eligible own funds.

trust_purchase_execution_date_assumed

2030-06-17

settlement_date_confirmed
未確認
revalidation_due_dates_assumed
1

2030-06-17

first_revalidation_date_assumed

2030-06-17

display_review_required_when_event_executed_or_announced
はい
2
内容を開く
想定日

2030-08-15

year
3.772758385
event_type

noncash_ebt_shares_vested_to_staff

company_cash_oku
0
old_holder_cash_received_oku
0
old_holder_shares_after
296065720.49626
eligible_shares_after
313258154.43596
company_equity_after_oku
14.10758166
capital_surplus_after_oku
5.818723309
basis

analyst_assumption

vested_shares
1658293.9648
issued_change
0
old_cohort_shares_change
0
noncash_event_not_in_timed_cashflows
はい
event_id

crisis-2030-02

event_date_status

analyst_estimated_not_issuer_announced_as_of_2026_11_06

issuer_confirmation_status

unconfirmed_future_scenario_event

requires_display_revalidation_on_real_world_occurrence
はい
revalidate_immediately_on_issuer_announcement_even_before_assumed_date
はい
model_assumption_payment_or_execution_date

2030-08-15

event_assumption_as_of_date

2026-11-06

verification_instructions

Verify vest/settlement date, actual allocated shares, EBT transfer versus new issuance, trust holdings, eligible dividend shares and old-holder ownership; do NOT create a cash flow from SBC alone.

award_vesting_and_share_delivery_date_assumed

2030-08-15

stock_delivery_date_confirmed
未確認
not_old_holder_cashflow
はい
revalidation_due_dates_assumed
1

2030-08-15

first_revalidation_date_assumed

2030-08-15

display_review_required_when_event_executed_or_announced
はい
3
内容を開く
想定日

2030-09-16

year
3.86036961
event_type

external_equity_financing_not_holder_cash

company_cash_oku
-2.053512968
old_holder_cash_received_oku
0
old_holder_shares_after
296065720.49626
eligible_shares_after
321649686.48317
company_equity_after_oku
16.023900956
capital_surplus_after_oku
7.783163271
basis

analyst_assumption

new_shares_issued
8391532.0472071
issue_price_gbp_assumed
24.471252168
outside_investors_pay_company_not_old_cohort
はい
event_id

crisis-2030-03

event_date_status

analyst_estimated_not_issuer_announced_as_of_2026_11_06

issuer_confirmation_status

unconfirmed_future_scenario_event

requires_display_revalidation_on_real_world_occurrence
はい
revalidate_immediately_on_issuer_announcement_even_before_assumed_date
はい
model_assumption_payment_or_execution_date

2030-09-16

event_assumption_as_of_date

2026-11-06

verification_instructions

Verify paid-in proceeds, actual issue date/price/count, dilution of existing holders and impact on parent capital and solvency; do not treat new investor payment as old-holder cash.

external_share_issue_date_assumed

2030-09-16

new_share_issue_date_confirmed
未確認
revalidation_due_dates_assumed
1

2030-09-16

first_revalidation_date_assumed

2030-09-16

display_review_required_when_event_executed_or_announced
はい
insurance_service_result_oku
-1.384662161
net_insurance_and_investment_result_oku
-0.68839731
financial_services_net_interest_oku
0.706422352
net_other_income_and_expenses_with_model_adjustment_oku
-2.323755557
営業利益(億)
-2.305730515
operating_profit_status

analyst_forecast_issuer_IFRS_operating_profit_presentation_analogue

operating_profit_display_label_ja

営業利益(IFRS連結損益計算書Operating profit準拠の予測)

operating_profit_is_PBT
いいえ
operating_profit_bridge_oku
内容を開く
ifrs17_insurance_revenue
44.75006726
insurance_service_expenses_including_sbc
-42.213473784
net_reinsurance_service_result
-3.921255637
insurance_service_result
-1.384662161
investment_return
1.79835164
net_insurance_finance_result
-1.102086789
net_insurance_and_investment_result
-0.68839731
financial_services_interest_income
1.782644992
financial_services_interest_expense
-1.07622264
net_financial_services_interest
0.706422352
other_revenue_and_profit_commission
1.902470192
other_operating_expenses_including_sbc
-3.48140768
other_operating_expenses_recovered_from_co_insurers
1.20300817
expected_credit_losses_and_writeoffs
-1.539826239
other_operating_before_model_adjustment
-1.915755557
unallocated_model_operating_adjustment_not_issuer_disclosure
-0.408
total_other_operating_income_and_expenses_after_adjustment
-2.323755557
operating_profit
-2.305730515
net_finance_costs_below_operating_profit
-0.256084591
PBT_continuing_group_proxy
-2.561815107
reconciliation_error_oku
1.0E-9
SBC_annual_expense_already_included_in_op_costs
0.994949788
categorisation_note

Additional normalisation is assigned to other operating expenses for the purpose of matching original PBT. It is not a reported future statutory line.

5
内容を開く
year
2031
状態

analyst_assumption_2027_to_2036_not_company_forecast

segments_ifrs17_revenue_oku
内容を開く
UK_motor
26.92976842
UK_other_insurance
7.861555175
European_insurance
7.604663462
Other_insurance
1.488806493
ifrs17_insurance_revenue_oku
43.88479355
insurance_services_expenses_including_sbc_oku
-40.948634597
net_reinsurance_service_result_oku
-3.845435429
investment_return_oku
1.774643531
insurance_finance_result_oku
-1.0864522
financial_services_interest_income_oku
1.809384667
financial_services_interest_expense_oku
-1.09236598
other_revenue_and_profit_commission_oku
1.85736871
other_operating_expenses_including_sbc_oku
-3.476740585
other_operating_expenses_recoverable_from_co_insurers_oku
1.179747169
expected_credit_loss_and_writeoffs_oku
-1.562923633
finance_cost_net_oku
-0.262486705
normalized_nonrecurring_adjustment_oku
-0.408
operating_revenue_analytical_oku
47.551546927
net_expenses_after_investment_and_reinsurance_oku
49.72864843
pbt_parent_continuing_proxy_oku
-2.177101503
income_tax_oku
-0
profit_after_tax_parent_sbc_deducted_oku
-2.175101503
non_controlling_profit_estimate_oku
-0.002
sbc_pnl_included_in_costs_oku
1.024798282
sbc_equity_credit_oku
1.024798282
uk_motor_reported_loss_ratio_reference
0.699
uk_motor_core_combined_ratio_reference
0.928
uk_motor_vehicle_policies_m
4.954895328
uk_motor_annualized_written_premium_per_current_policy_gbp
656.529248661
uk_motor_total_premiums_written_oku
32.530337071
admiral_money_gross_loan_balance_oku
20.229239025
loan_ecl_cost_assumption_multiple
3.1
reinsurance_cost_assumption_multiple
1.4
detail_adjustments
内容を開く
uk_motor_claim_impact_oku
-3.770167579
reinsurance_net_oku
-3.845435429
credit_cost_oku
-1.562923633
normalization_ex_2026_one_off_oku
-0.408
date_start

2031-01-01

date_end_projection

2031-12-31

period_days_in_year
365
cutoff_capital_date

2031-12-31

forecast_after_horizon_not_realised_in_capital_oku
-0
as_of_event_start
内容を開く
発行済株式数
324319271
自己株式数
0
ebt_unvested_shares_estimate
2669584.875
outside_trust_dividend_eligible_shares
321649686.483
old_cohort_remaining_shares
296065720.496
old_cohort_outside_share_fraction
0.920460156
親会社持分(億)
15.569446919
eligible_own_funds_proxy_oku
18.945370832
solvency_capital_requirement_proxy_oku
11.616661598
scr_surplus_oku
7.328709233
prudential_ratio_proxy
1.630879119
as_of_year_end_or_horizon
内容を開く
発行済株式数
331799351
自己株式数
0
ebt_unvested_shares_estimate
2799482.439
outside_trust_dividend_eligible_shares
328999868.832
old_cohort_remaining_shares
294401444.721
old_cohort_outside_share_fraction
0.894837575
親会社持分(億)
15.612876745
eligible_own_funds_proxy_oku
18.988800658
solvency_capital_requirement_proxy_oku
11.572462776
scr_surplus_oku
7.416337882
prudential_ratio_proxy
1.640860811
subperiod_realization_factor
1
realized_parent_profit_oku
-2.175101503
realized_sbc_equity_credit_oku
1.024798282
sbc_pnl_allocated_to_insurance_expenses_oku
0.430415278
sbc_pnl_allocated_to_other_operating_expenses_oku
0.594383003
cash_capital_transfers
内容を開く
dividends_oku
0
ordinary_dividends_oku
0
special_dividend_oku
0
buyback_oku
0
ebt_acquisition_oku
0.536060363
new_outside_equity_raised_oku
1.729793411
old_holder_actual_cash_events_year_sum_oku
0.493422205
company_noncash_vested_shares
1678193.4923776
company_net_issued_share_change
7480079.9121673
company_treasury_share_change
0
employee_trust_share_change
129897.56359919
old_holder_equity_share_remaining
0.894837575
equity_reconciliation
内容を開く
opening_oku
15.569446919
profit_oku
-2.175101503
share_scheme_credit_non_cash_oku
1.024798282
dividends_oku
-0
company_buyback_oku
-0
EBT_cash_acquisition_oku
-0.536060363
new_paid_in_capital_oku
1.729793411
closing_oku
15.612876745
share_reconciliation
内容を開く
issued_open
324319271
cancelled
-0
third_party_new
7480079.9121673
issued_close
331799351
trust_open
2669584.875
trust_purchased
1808091.0559768
trust_vested
-1678193.4923776
trust_close
2799482.439
old_open
296065720.496
old_pro_rata_sold
1664275.775
old_close
294401444.721
solvency_valuation
内容を開く
eligible_ownfund_oku
18.988800658
scr_oku
11.572462776
surplus_over_scr_oku
7.416337882
headroom_to_160pct_scr_oku
0.472860217
ratio
1.640860811
event_details
1
内容を開く
想定日

2031-06-16

year
4.607802875
event_type

employee_trust_open_market_purchase

company_cash_oku
0.536060363
old_holder_cash_received_oku
0.493422205
old_holder_shares_after
294401444.72138
eligible_shares_after
319841595.42719
company_equity_after_oku
14.507083438
capital_surplus_after_oku
6.266345752
basis

analyst_assumption

price_per_share_gbp_assumed
29.647863204
shares_acquired_by_trust
1808091.0559768
old_cohort_pro_rata_shares_sold
1664275.7748767
non_cash_sbc_excluded
はい
event_id

crisis-2031-01

event_date_status

analyst_estimated_not_issuer_announced_as_of_2026_11_06

issuer_confirmation_status

unconfirmed_future_scenario_event

requires_display_revalidation_on_real_world_occurrence
はい
revalidate_immediately_on_issuer_announcement_even_before_assumed_date
はい
model_assumption_payment_or_execution_date

2031-06-16

event_assumption_as_of_date

2026-11-06

verification_instructions

Verify EBT purchase confirmations, execution dates, volume, price, number of employee-held shares, resulting old-holder market sale assumptions, cash and eligible own funds.

trust_purchase_execution_date_assumed

2031-06-16

settlement_date_confirmed
未確認
revalidation_due_dates_assumed
1

2031-06-16

first_revalidation_date_assumed

2031-06-16

display_review_required_when_event_executed_or_announced
はい
2
内容を開く
想定日

2031-08-15

year
4.772073922
event_type

noncash_ebt_shares_vested_to_staff

company_cash_oku
0
old_holder_cash_received_oku
0
old_holder_shares_after
294401444.72138
eligible_shares_after
321519788.91957
company_equity_after_oku
14.317992497
capital_surplus_after_oku
6.077254812
basis

analyst_assumption

vested_shares
1678193.4923776
issued_change
0
old_cohort_shares_change
0
noncash_event_not_in_timed_cashflows
はい
event_id

crisis-2031-02

event_date_status

analyst_estimated_not_issuer_announced_as_of_2026_11_06

issuer_confirmation_status

unconfirmed_future_scenario_event

requires_display_revalidation_on_real_world_occurrence
はい
revalidate_immediately_on_issuer_announcement_even_before_assumed_date
はい
model_assumption_payment_or_execution_date

2031-08-15

event_assumption_as_of_date

2026-11-06

verification_instructions

Verify vest/settlement date, actual allocated shares, EBT transfer versus new issuance, trust holdings, eligible dividend shares and old-holder ownership; do NOT create a cash flow from SBC alone.

award_vesting_and_share_delivery_date_assumed

2031-08-15

stock_delivery_date_confirmed
未確認
not_old_holder_cashflow
はい
revalidation_due_dates_assumed
1

2031-08-15

first_revalidation_date_assumed

2031-08-15

display_review_required_when_event_executed_or_announced
はい
3
内容を開く
想定日

2031-09-15

year
4.856947296
event_type

external_equity_financing_not_holder_cash

company_cash_oku
-1.729793411
old_holder_cash_received_oku
0
old_holder_shares_after
294401444.72138
eligible_shares_after
328999868.83174
company_equity_after_oku
15.950088922
capital_surplus_after_oku
7.75355006
basis

analyst_assumption

new_shares_issued
7480079.9121673
issue_price_gbp_assumed
23.125333299
outside_investors_pay_company_not_old_cohort
はい
event_id

crisis-2031-03

event_date_status

analyst_estimated_not_issuer_announced_as_of_2026_11_06

issuer_confirmation_status

unconfirmed_future_scenario_event

requires_display_revalidation_on_real_world_occurrence
はい
revalidate_immediately_on_issuer_announcement_even_before_assumed_date
はい
model_assumption_payment_or_execution_date

2031-09-15

event_assumption_as_of_date

2026-11-06

verification_instructions

Verify paid-in proceeds, actual issue date/price/count, dilution of existing holders and impact on parent capital and solvency; do not treat new investor payment as old-holder cash.

external_share_issue_date_assumed

2031-09-15

new_share_issue_date_confirmed
未確認
revalidation_due_dates_assumed
1

2031-09-15

first_revalidation_date_assumed

2031-09-15

display_review_required_when_event_executed_or_announced
はい
insurance_service_result_oku
-0.909276476
net_insurance_and_investment_result_oku
-0.221085145
financial_services_net_interest_oku
0.717018687
net_other_income_and_expenses_with_model_adjustment_oku
-2.410548339
営業利益(億)
-1.914614797
operating_profit_status

analyst_forecast_issuer_IFRS_operating_profit_presentation_analogue

operating_profit_display_label_ja

営業利益(IFRS連結損益計算書Operating profit準拠の予測)

operating_profit_is_PBT
いいえ
operating_profit_bridge_oku
内容を開く
ifrs17_insurance_revenue
43.88479355
insurance_service_expenses_including_sbc
-40.948634597
net_reinsurance_service_result
-3.845435429
insurance_service_result
-0.909276476
investment_return
1.774643531
net_insurance_finance_result
-1.0864522
net_insurance_and_investment_result
-0.221085145
financial_services_interest_income
1.809384667
financial_services_interest_expense
-1.09236598
net_financial_services_interest
0.717018687
other_revenue_and_profit_commission
1.85736871
other_operating_expenses_including_sbc
-3.476740585
other_operating_expenses_recovered_from_co_insurers
1.179747169
expected_credit_losses_and_writeoffs
-1.562923633
other_operating_before_model_adjustment
-2.002548339
unallocated_model_operating_adjustment_not_issuer_disclosure
-0.408
total_other_operating_income_and_expenses_after_adjustment
-2.410548339
operating_profit
-1.914614797
net_finance_costs_below_operating_profit
-0.262486705
PBT_continuing_group_proxy
-2.177101503
reconciliation_error_oku
1.0E-9
SBC_annual_expense_already_included_in_op_costs
1.024798282
categorisation_note

Additional normalisation is assigned to other operating expenses for the purpose of matching original PBT. It is not a reported future statutory line.

6
内容を開く
year
2032
状態

analyst_assumption_2027_to_2036_not_company_forecast

segments_ifrs17_revenue_oku
内容を開く
UK_motor
25.860656614
UK_other_insurance
7.940170726
European_insurance
7.755806148
Other_insurance
1.511138591
ifrs17_insurance_revenue_oku
43.067772079
insurance_services_expenses_including_sbc_oku
-39.784664703
net_reinsurance_service_result_oku
-3.773843357
investment_return_oku
1.752257511
insurance_finance_result_oku
-1.071689479
financial_services_interest_income_oku
1.836525437
financial_services_interest_expense_oku
-1.10875147
other_revenue_and_profit_commission_oku
1.814782325
other_operating_expenses_including_sbc_oku
-3.47485437
other_operating_expenses_recoverable_from_co_insurers_oku
1.157783325
expected_credit_loss_and_writeoffs_oku
-1.586367487
finance_cost_net_oku
-0.269048873
normalized_nonrecurring_adjustment_oku
-0.408
operating_revenue_analytical_oku
46.719079841
net_expenses_after_investment_and_reinsurance_oku
48.567178903
pbt_parent_continuing_proxy_oku
-1.848099062
income_tax_oku
-0
profit_after_tax_parent_sbc_deducted_oku
-1.846099062
non_controlling_profit_estimate_oku
-0.002
sbc_pnl_included_in_costs_oku
1.05554223
sbc_equity_credit_oku
1.05554223
uk_motor_reported_loss_ratio_reference
0.669
uk_motor_core_combined_ratio_reference
0.898
uk_motor_vehicle_policies_m
4.806248468
uk_motor_annualized_written_premium_per_current_policy_gbp
649.963956174
uk_motor_total_premiums_written_oku
31.238882689
admiral_money_gross_loan_balance_oku
20.53267761
loan_ecl_cost_assumption_multiple
3.1
reinsurance_cost_assumption_multiple
1.4
detail_adjustments
内容を開く
uk_motor_claim_impact_oku
-2.844672228
reinsurance_net_oku
-3.773843357
credit_cost_oku
-1.586367487
normalization_ex_2026_one_off_oku
-0.408
date_start

2032-01-01

date_end_projection

2032-12-31

period_days_in_year
366
cutoff_capital_date

2032-12-31

forecast_after_horizon_not_realised_in_capital_oku
-0
as_of_event_start
内容を開く
発行済株式数
331799351
自己株式数
0
ebt_unvested_shares_estimate
2799482.439
outside_trust_dividend_eligible_shares
328999868.832
old_cohort_remaining_shares
294401444.721
old_cohort_outside_share_fraction
0.894837575
親会社持分(億)
15.612876745
eligible_own_funds_proxy_oku
18.988800658
solvency_capital_requirement_proxy_oku
11.572462776
scr_surplus_oku
7.416337882
prudential_ratio_proxy
1.640860811
as_of_year_end_or_horizon
内容を開く
発行済株式数
338115293
自己株式数
0
ebt_unvested_shares_estimate
3068047.561
outside_trust_dividend_eligible_shares
335047245.78
old_cohort_remaining_shares
292641391.436
old_cohort_outside_share_fraction
0.87343321
親会社持分(億)
15.651500469
eligible_own_funds_proxy_oku
19.027424382
solvency_capital_requirement_proxy_oku
11.53206195
scr_surplus_oku
7.495362432
prudential_ratio_proxy
1.649958565
subperiod_realization_factor
1
realized_parent_profit_oku
-1.846099062
realized_sbc_equity_credit_oku
1.05554223
sbc_pnl_allocated_to_insurance_expenses_oku
0.443327737
sbc_pnl_allocated_to_other_operating_expenses_oku
0.612214493
cash_capital_transfers
内容を開く
dividends_oku
0
ordinary_dividends_oku
0
special_dividend_oku
0
buyback_oku
0
ebt_acquisition_oku
0.551070053
new_outside_equity_raised_oku
1.380250609
old_holder_actual_cash_events_year_sum_oku
0.49311819
company_noncash_vested_shares
1698331.8142861
company_net_issued_share_change
6315942.0708067
company_treasury_share_change
0
employee_trust_share_change
268565.12279762
old_holder_equity_share_remaining
0.87343321
equity_reconciliation
内容を開く
opening_oku
15.612876745
profit_oku
-1.846099062
share_scheme_credit_non_cash_oku
1.05554223
dividends_oku
-0
company_buyback_oku
-0
EBT_cash_acquisition_oku
-0.551070053
new_paid_in_capital_oku
1.380250609
closing_oku
15.651500469
share_reconciliation
内容を開く
issued_open
331799351
cancelled
-0
third_party_new
6315942.0708067
issued_close
338115293
trust_open
2799482.439
trust_purchased
1966896.9370838
trust_vested
-1698331.8142861
trust_close
3068047.561
old_open
294401444.721
old_pro_rata_sold
1760053.285
old_close
292641391.436
solvency_valuation
内容を開く
eligible_ownfund_oku
19.027424382
scr_oku
11.53206195
surplus_over_scr_oku
7.495362432
headroom_to_160pct_scr_oku
0.576125263
ratio
1.649958565
event_details
1
内容を開く
想定日

2032-06-15

year
5.607118412
event_type

employee_trust_open_market_purchase

company_cash_oku
0.551070053
old_holder_cash_received_oku
0.49311819
old_holder_shares_after
292641391.4364
eligible_shares_after
327032971.89465
company_equity_after_oku
14.701088137
capital_surplus_after_oku
6.504549275
basis

analyst_assumption

price_per_share_gbp_assumed
28.017230728
shares_acquired_by_trust
1966896.9370838
old_cohort_pro_rata_shares_sold
1760053.2849807
non_cash_sbc_excluded
はい
event_id

crisis-2032-01

event_date_status

analyst_estimated_not_issuer_announced_as_of_2026_11_06

issuer_confirmation_status

unconfirmed_future_scenario_event

requires_display_revalidation_on_real_world_occurrence
はい
revalidate_immediately_on_issuer_announcement_even_before_assumed_date
はい
model_assumption_payment_or_execution_date

2032-06-15

event_assumption_as_of_date

2026-11-06

verification_instructions

Verify EBT purchase confirmations, execution dates, volume, price, number of employee-held shares, resulting old-holder market sale assumptions, cash and eligible own funds.

trust_purchase_execution_date_assumed

2032-06-15

settlement_date_confirmed
未確認
revalidation_due_dates_assumed
1

2032-06-15

first_revalidation_date_assumed

2032-06-15

display_review_required_when_event_executed_or_announced
はい
2
内容を開く
想定日

2032-08-16

year
5.776865161
event_type

noncash_ebt_shares_vested_to_staff

company_cash_oku
0
old_holder_cash_received_oku
0
old_holder_shares_after
292641391.4364
eligible_shares_after
328731303.70894
company_equity_after_oku
14.567168674
capital_surplus_after_oku
6.370629812
basis

analyst_assumption

vested_shares
1698331.8142861
issued_change
0
old_cohort_shares_change
0
noncash_event_not_in_timed_cashflows
はい
event_id

crisis-2032-02

event_date_status

analyst_estimated_not_issuer_announced_as_of_2026_11_06

issuer_confirmation_status

unconfirmed_future_scenario_event

requires_display_revalidation_on_real_world_occurrence
はい
revalidate_immediately_on_issuer_announcement_even_before_assumed_date
はい
model_assumption_payment_or_execution_date

2032-08-16

event_assumption_as_of_date

2026-11-06

verification_instructions

Verify vest/settlement date, actual allocated shares, EBT transfer versus new issuance, trust holdings, eligible dividend shares and old-holder ownership; do NOT create a cash flow from SBC alone.

award_vesting_and_share_delivery_date_assumed

2032-08-16

stock_delivery_date_confirmed
未確認
not_old_holder_cashflow
はい
revalidation_due_dates_assumed
1

2032-08-16

first_revalidation_date_assumed

2032-08-16

display_review_required_when_event_executed_or_announced
はい
3
内容を開く
想定日

2032-09-15

year
5.859000684
event_type

external_equity_financing_not_holder_cash

company_cash_oku
-1.380250609
old_holder_cash_received_oku
0
old_holder_shares_after
292641391.4364
eligible_shares_after
335047245.77975
company_equity_after_oku
15.882619543
capital_surplus_after_oku
7.726481506
basis

analyst_assumption

new_shares_issued
6315942.0708067
issue_price_gbp_assumed
21.853439967
outside_investors_pay_company_not_old_cohort
はい
event_id

crisis-2032-03

event_date_status

analyst_estimated_not_issuer_announced_as_of_2026_11_06

issuer_confirmation_status

unconfirmed_future_scenario_event

requires_display_revalidation_on_real_world_occurrence
はい
revalidate_immediately_on_issuer_announcement_even_before_assumed_date
はい
model_assumption_payment_or_execution_date

2032-09-15

event_assumption_as_of_date

2026-11-06

verification_instructions

Verify paid-in proceeds, actual issue date/price/count, dilution of existing holders and impact on parent capital and solvency; do not treat new investor payment as old-holder cash.

external_share_issue_date_assumed

2032-09-15

new_share_issue_date_confirmed
未確認
revalidation_due_dates_assumed
1

2032-09-15

first_revalidation_date_assumed

2032-09-15

display_review_required_when_event_executed_or_announced
はい
insurance_service_result_oku
-0.490735981
net_insurance_and_investment_result_oku
0.189832051
financial_services_net_interest_oku
0.727773967
net_other_income_and_expenses_with_model_adjustment_oku
-2.496656207
営業利益(億)
-1.579050189
operating_profit_status

analyst_forecast_issuer_IFRS_operating_profit_presentation_analogue

operating_profit_display_label_ja

営業利益(IFRS連結損益計算書Operating profit準拠の予測)

operating_profit_is_PBT
いいえ
operating_profit_bridge_oku
内容を開く
ifrs17_insurance_revenue
43.067772079
insurance_service_expenses_including_sbc
-39.784664703
net_reinsurance_service_result
-3.773843357
insurance_service_result
-0.490735981
investment_return
1.752257511
net_insurance_finance_result
-1.071689479
net_insurance_and_investment_result
0.189832051
financial_services_interest_income
1.836525437
financial_services_interest_expense
-1.10875147
net_financial_services_interest
0.727773967
other_revenue_and_profit_commission
1.814782325
other_operating_expenses_including_sbc
-3.47485437
other_operating_expenses_recovered_from_co_insurers
1.157783325
expected_credit_losses_and_writeoffs
-1.586367487
other_operating_before_model_adjustment
-2.088656207
unallocated_model_operating_adjustment_not_issuer_disclosure
-0.408
total_other_operating_income_and_expenses_after_adjustment
-2.496656207
operating_profit
-1.579050189
net_finance_costs_below_operating_profit
-0.269048873
PBT_continuing_group_proxy
-1.848099062
reconciliation_error_oku
0
SBC_annual_expense_already_included_in_op_costs
1.05554223
categorisation_note

Additional normalisation is assigned to other operating expenses for the purpose of matching original PBT. It is not a reported future statutory line.

7
内容を開く
year
2033
状態

analyst_assumption_2027_to_2036_not_company_forecast

segments_ifrs17_revenue_oku
内容を開く
UK_motor
24.833988546
UK_other_insurance
8.019572434
European_insurance
7.909952795
Other_insurance
1.53380567
ifrs17_insurance_revenue_oku
42.297319445
insurance_services_expenses_including_sbc_oku
-38.96557638
net_reinsurance_service_result_oku
-3.706331911
investment_return_oku
1.731147457
insurance_finance_result_oku
-1.057768208
financial_services_interest_income_oku
1.864073319
financial_services_interest_expense_oku
-1.125382742
other_revenue_and_profit_commission_oku
1.774623291
other_operating_expenses_including_sbc_oku
-3.47574731
other_operating_expenses_recoverable_from_co_insurers_oku
1.137071383
expected_credit_loss_and_writeoffs_oku
-1.610163
finance_cost_net_oku
-0.275775095
normalized_nonrecurring_adjustment_oku
-0.408
operating_revenue_analytical_oku
45.936016055
net_expenses_after_investment_and_reinsurance_oku
47.756525806
pbt_parent_continuing_proxy_oku
-1.820509751
income_tax_oku
-0
profit_after_tax_parent_sbc_deducted_oku
-1.818509751
non_controlling_profit_estimate_oku
-0.002
sbc_pnl_included_in_costs_oku
1.087208497
sbc_equity_credit_oku
1.087208497
uk_motor_reported_loss_ratio_reference
0.649
uk_motor_core_combined_ratio_reference
0.878
uk_motor_vehicle_policies_m
4.662061014
uk_motor_annualized_written_premium_per_current_policy_gbp
643.464316612
uk_motor_total_premiums_written_oku
29.998699046
admiral_money_gross_loan_balance_oku
20.840667774
loan_ecl_cost_assumption_multiple
3.1
reinsurance_cost_assumption_multiple
1.4
detail_adjustments
内容を開く
uk_motor_claim_impact_oku
-2.235058969
reinsurance_net_oku
-3.706331911
credit_cost_oku
-1.610163
normalization_ex_2026_one_off_oku
-0.408
date_start

2033-01-01

date_end_projection

2033-12-31

period_days_in_year
365
cutoff_capital_date

2033-12-31

forecast_after_horizon_not_realised_in_capital_oku
-0
as_of_event_start
内容を開く
発行済株式数
338115293
自己株式数
0
ebt_unvested_shares_estimate
3068047.561
outside_trust_dividend_eligible_shares
335047245.78
old_cohort_remaining_shares
292641391.436
old_cohort_outside_share_fraction
0.87343321
親会社持分(億)
15.651500469
eligible_own_funds_proxy_oku
19.027424382
solvency_capital_requirement_proxy_oku
11.53206195
scr_surplus_oku
7.495362432
prudential_ratio_proxy
1.649958565
as_of_year_end_or_horizon
内容を開く
発行済株式数
344183687
自己株式数
0
ebt_unvested_shares_estimate
3488986.613
outside_trust_dividend_eligible_shares
340694700.656
old_cohort_remaining_shares
290772549.328
old_cohort_outside_share_fraction
0.85346954
親会社持分(億)
15.606913619
eligible_own_funds_proxy_oku
18.982837532
solvency_capital_requirement_proxy_oku
11.495340716
scr_surplus_oku
7.487496816
prudential_ratio_proxy
1.651350578
subperiod_realization_factor
1
realized_parent_profit_oku
-1.818509751
realized_sbc_equity_credit_oku
1.087208497
sbc_pnl_allocated_to_insurance_expenses_oku
0.456627569
sbc_pnl_allocated_to_other_operating_expenses_oku
0.630580928
cash_capital_transfers
内容を開く
dividends_oku
0
ordinary_dividends_oku
0
special_dividend_oku
0
buyback_oku
0
ebt_acquisition_oku
0.566500015
new_outside_equity_raised_oku
1.253214419
old_holder_actual_cash_events_year_sum_oku
0.494799926
company_noncash_vested_shares
1718711.7960576
company_net_issued_share_change
6068393.9282759
company_treasury_share_change
0
employee_trust_share_change
420939.05190232
old_holder_equity_share_remaining
0.85346954
equity_reconciliation
内容を開く
opening_oku
15.651500469
profit_oku
-1.818509751
share_scheme_credit_non_cash_oku
1.087208497
dividends_oku
-0
company_buyback_oku
-0
EBT_cash_acquisition_oku
-0.566500015
new_paid_in_capital_oku
1.253214419
closing_oku
15.606913619
share_reconciliation
内容を開く
issued_open
338115293
cancelled
-0
third_party_new
6068393.9282759
issued_close
344183687
trust_open
3068047.561
trust_purchased
2139650.8479599
trust_vested
-1718711.7960576
trust_close
3488986.613
old_open
292641391.436
old_pro_rata_sold
1868842.108
old_close
290772549.328
solvency_valuation
内容を開く
eligible_ownfund_oku
18.982837532
scr_oku
11.495340716
surplus_over_scr_oku
7.487496816
headroom_to_160pct_scr_oku
0.590292387
ratio
1.651350578
event_details
1
内容を開く
想定日

2033-06-15

year
6.606433949
event_type

employee_trust_open_market_purchase

company_cash_oku
0.566500015
old_holder_cash_received_oku
0.494799926
old_holder_shares_after
290772549.32765
eligible_shares_after
332907594.93179
company_equity_after_oku
14.752408651
capital_surplus_after_oku
6.596270615
basis

analyst_assumption

price_per_share_gbp_assumed
26.476283038
shares_acquired_by_trust
2139650.8479599
old_cohort_pro_rata_shares_sold
1868842.1087535
non_cash_sbc_excluded
はい
event_id

crisis-2033-01

event_date_status

analyst_estimated_not_issuer_announced_as_of_2026_11_06

issuer_confirmation_status

unconfirmed_future_scenario_event

requires_display_revalidation_on_real_world_occurrence
はい
revalidate_immediately_on_issuer_announcement_even_before_assumed_date
はい
model_assumption_payment_or_execution_date

2033-06-15

event_assumption_as_of_date

2026-11-06

verification_instructions

Verify EBT purchase confirmations, execution dates, volume, price, number of employee-held shares, resulting old-holder market sale assumptions, cash and eligible own funds.

trust_purchase_execution_date_assumed

2033-06-15

settlement_date_confirmed
未確認
revalidation_due_dates_assumed
1

2033-06-15

first_revalidation_date_assumed

2033-06-15

display_review_required_when_event_executed_or_announced
はい
2
内容を開く
想定日

2033-08-15

year
6.773442847
event_type

noncash_ebt_shares_vested_to_staff

company_cash_oku
0
old_holder_cash_received_oku
0
old_holder_shares_after
290772549.32765
eligible_shares_after
334626306.72784
company_equity_after_oku
14.630191181
capital_surplus_after_oku
6.474053145
basis

analyst_assumption

vested_shares
1718711.7960576
issued_change
0
old_cohort_shares_change
0
noncash_event_not_in_timed_cashflows
はい
event_id

crisis-2033-02

event_date_status

analyst_estimated_not_issuer_announced_as_of_2026_11_06

issuer_confirmation_status

unconfirmed_future_scenario_event

requires_display_revalidation_on_real_world_occurrence
はい
revalidate_immediately_on_issuer_announcement_even_before_assumed_date
はい
model_assumption_payment_or_execution_date

2033-08-15

event_assumption_as_of_date

2026-11-06

verification_instructions

Verify vest/settlement date, actual allocated shares, EBT transfer versus new issuance, trust holdings, eligible dividend shares and old-holder ownership; do NOT create a cash flow from SBC alone.

award_vesting_and_share_delivery_date_assumed

2033-08-15

stock_delivery_date_confirmed
未確認
not_old_holder_cashflow
はい
revalidation_due_dates_assumed
1

2033-08-15

first_revalidation_date_assumed

2033-08-15

display_review_required_when_event_executed_or_announced
はい
3
内容を開く
想定日

2033-09-15

year
6.858316222
event_type

external_equity_financing_not_holder_cash

company_cash_oku
-1.253214419
old_holder_cash_received_oku
0
old_holder_shares_after
290772549.32765
eligible_shares_after
340694700.65612
company_equity_after_oku
15.821295083
capital_surplus_after_oku
7.70187828
basis

analyst_assumption

new_shares_issued
6068393.9282759
issue_price_gbp_assumed
20.651500769
outside_investors_pay_company_not_old_cohort
はい
event_id

crisis-2033-03

event_date_status

analyst_estimated_not_issuer_announced_as_of_2026_11_06

issuer_confirmation_status

unconfirmed_future_scenario_event

requires_display_revalidation_on_real_world_occurrence
はい
revalidate_immediately_on_issuer_announcement_even_before_assumed_date
はい
model_assumption_payment_or_execution_date

2033-09-15

event_assumption_as_of_date

2026-11-06

verification_instructions

Verify paid-in proceeds, actual issue date/price/count, dilution of existing holders and impact on parent capital and solvency; do not treat new investor payment as old-holder cash.

external_share_issue_date_assumed

2033-09-15

new_share_issue_date_confirmed
未確認
revalidation_due_dates_assumed
1

2033-09-15

first_revalidation_date_assumed

2033-09-15

display_review_required_when_event_executed_or_announced
はい
insurance_service_result_oku
-0.374588846
net_insurance_and_investment_result_oku
0.298790403
financial_services_net_interest_oku
0.738690577
net_other_income_and_expenses_with_model_adjustment_oku
-2.582215636
営業利益(億)
-1.544734656
operating_profit_status

analyst_forecast_issuer_IFRS_operating_profit_presentation_analogue

operating_profit_display_label_ja

営業利益(IFRS連結損益計算書Operating profit準拠の予測)

operating_profit_is_PBT
いいえ
operating_profit_bridge_oku
内容を開く
ifrs17_insurance_revenue
42.297319445
insurance_service_expenses_including_sbc
-38.96557638
net_reinsurance_service_result
-3.706331911
insurance_service_result
-0.374588846
investment_return
1.731147457
net_insurance_finance_result
-1.057768208
net_insurance_and_investment_result
0.298790403
financial_services_interest_income
1.864073319
financial_services_interest_expense
-1.125382742
net_financial_services_interest
0.738690577
other_revenue_and_profit_commission
1.774623291
other_operating_expenses_including_sbc
-3.47574731
other_operating_expenses_recovered_from_co_insurers
1.137071383
expected_credit_losses_and_writeoffs
-1.610163
other_operating_before_model_adjustment
-2.174215636
unallocated_model_operating_adjustment_not_issuer_disclosure
-0.408
total_other_operating_income_and_expenses_after_adjustment
-2.582215636
operating_profit
-1.544734656
net_finance_costs_below_operating_profit
-0.275775095
PBT_continuing_group_proxy
-1.820509751
reconciliation_error_oku
0
SBC_annual_expense_already_included_in_op_costs
1.087208497
categorisation_note

Additional normalisation is assigned to other operating expenses for the purpose of matching original PBT. It is not a reported future statutory line.

8
内容を開く
year
2034
状態

analyst_assumption_2027_to_2036_not_company_forecast

segments_ifrs17_revenue_oku
内容を開く
UK_motor
23.848079201
UK_other_insurance
8.099768158
European_insurance
8.067163107
Other_insurance
1.556812755
ifrs17_insurance_revenue_oku
41.571823221
insurance_services_expenses_including_sbc_oku
-38.457702521
net_reinsurance_service_result_oku
-3.642759802
investment_return_oku
1.711269188
insurance_finance_result_oku
-1.044659252
financial_services_interest_income_oku
1.892034419
financial_services_interest_expense_oku
-1.142263483
other_revenue_and_profit_commission_oku
1.736807564
other_operating_expenses_including_sbc_oku
-3.479419979
other_operating_expenses_recoverable_from_co_insurers_oku
1.117567995
expected_credit_loss_and_writeoffs_oku
-1.634315445
finance_cost_net_oku
-0.282669472
normalized_nonrecurring_adjustment_oku
-0.408
operating_revenue_analytical_oku
45.200665203
net_expenses_after_investment_and_reinsurance_oku
47.26295277
pbt_parent_continuing_proxy_oku
-2.062287567
income_tax_oku
-0
profit_after_tax_parent_sbc_deducted_oku
-2.060287567
non_controlling_profit_estimate_oku
-0.002
sbc_pnl_included_in_costs_oku
1.119824752
sbc_equity_credit_oku
1.119824752
uk_motor_reported_loss_ratio_reference
0.639
uk_motor_core_combined_ratio_reference
0.868
uk_motor_vehicle_policies_m
4.522199184
uk_motor_annualized_written_premium_per_current_policy_gbp
637.029673446
uk_motor_total_premiums_written_oku
28.807750694
admiral_money_gross_loan_balance_oku
21.153277791
loan_ecl_cost_assumption_multiple
3.1
reinsurance_cost_assumption_multiple
1.4
detail_adjustments
内容を開く
uk_motor_claim_impact_oku
-1.907846336
reinsurance_net_oku
-3.642759802
credit_cost_oku
-1.634315445
normalization_ex_2026_one_off_oku
-0.408
date_start

2034-01-01

date_end_projection

2034-12-31

period_days_in_year
365
cutoff_capital_date

2034-12-31

forecast_after_horizon_not_realised_in_capital_oku
-0
as_of_event_start
内容を開く
発行済株式数
344183687
自己株式数
0
ebt_unvested_shares_estimate
3488986.613
outside_trust_dividend_eligible_shares
340694700.656
old_cohort_remaining_shares
290772549.328
old_cohort_outside_share_fraction
0.85346954
親会社持分(億)
15.606913619
eligible_own_funds_proxy_oku
18.982837532
solvency_capital_requirement_proxy_oku
11.495340716
scr_surplus_oku
7.487496816
prudential_ratio_proxy
1.651350578
as_of_year_end_or_horizon
内容を開く
発行済株式数
351388875
自己株式数
0
ebt_unvested_shares_estimate
4077228.129
outside_trust_dividend_eligible_shares
347311646.401
old_cohort_remaining_shares
288786032.528
old_cohort_outside_share_fraction
0.83148963
親会社持分(億)
15.49022923
eligible_own_funds_proxy_oku
18.866153143
solvency_capital_requirement_proxy_oku
11.462185905
scr_surplus_oku
7.403967238
prudential_ratio_proxy
1.64594723
subperiod_realization_factor
1
realized_parent_profit_oku
-2.060287567
realized_sbc_equity_credit_oku
1.119824752
sbc_pnl_allocated_to_insurance_expenses_oku
0.470326396
sbc_pnl_allocated_to_other_operating_expenses_oku
0.649498356
cash_capital_transfers
内容を開く
dividends_oku
0
ordinary_dividends_oku
0
special_dividend_oku
0
buyback_oku
0
ebt_acquisition_oku
0.582362015
new_outside_equity_raised_oku
1.406140441
old_holder_actual_cash_events_year_sum_oku
0.497028241
company_noncash_vested_shares
1739336.3376103
company_net_issued_share_change
7205187.2610587
company_treasury_share_change
0
employee_trust_share_change
588241.51604346
old_holder_equity_share_remaining
0.83148963
equity_reconciliation
内容を開く
opening_oku
15.606913619
profit_oku
-2.060287567
share_scheme_credit_non_cash_oku
1.119824752
dividends_oku
-0
company_buyback_oku
-0
EBT_cash_acquisition_oku
-0.582362015
new_paid_in_capital_oku
1.406140441
closing_oku
15.49022923
share_reconciliation
内容を開く
issued_open
344183687
cancelled
-0
third_party_new
7205187.2610587
issued_close
351388875
trust_open
3488986.613
trust_purchased
2327577.8536537
trust_vested
-1739336.3376103
trust_close
4077228.129
old_open
290772549.328
old_pro_rata_sold
1986516.8
old_close
288786032.528
solvency_valuation
内容を開く
eligible_ownfund_oku
18.866153143
scr_oku
11.462185905
surplus_over_scr_oku
7.403967238
headroom_to_160pct_scr_oku
0.526655695
ratio
1.64594723
event_details
1
内容を開く
想定日

2034-06-15

year
7.605749487
event_type

employee_trust_open_market_purchase

company_cash_oku
0.582362015
old_holder_cash_received_oku
0.497028241
old_holder_shares_after
288786032.52841
eligible_shares_after
338367122.80247
company_equity_after_oku
14.596834269
capital_surplus_after_oku
6.477417466
basis

analyst_assumption

price_per_share_gbp_assumed
25.02008747
shares_acquired_by_trust
2327577.8536537
old_cohort_pro_rata_shares_sold
1986516.7992401
non_cash_sbc_excluded
はい
event_id

crisis-2034-01

event_date_status

analyst_estimated_not_issuer_announced_as_of_2026_11_06

issuer_confirmation_status

unconfirmed_future_scenario_event

requires_display_revalidation_on_real_world_occurrence
はい
revalidate_immediately_on_issuer_announcement_even_before_assumed_date
はい
model_assumption_payment_or_execution_date

2034-06-15

event_assumption_as_of_date

2026-11-06

verification_instructions

Verify EBT purchase confirmations, execution dates, volume, price, number of employee-held shares, resulting old-holder market sale assumptions, cash and eligible own funds.

trust_purchase_execution_date_assumed

2034-06-15

settlement_date_confirmed
未確認
revalidation_due_dates_assumed
1

2034-06-15

first_revalidation_date_assumed

2034-06-15

display_review_required_when_event_executed_or_announced
はい
2
内容を開く
想定日

2034-08-15

year
7.772758385
event_type

noncash_ebt_shares_vested_to_staff

company_cash_oku
0
old_holder_cash_received_oku
0
old_holder_shares_after
288786032.52841
eligible_shares_after
340106459.14008
company_equity_after_oku
14.439661032
capital_surplus_after_oku
6.320244229
basis

analyst_assumption

vested_shares
1739336.3376103
issued_change
0
old_cohort_shares_change
0
noncash_event_not_in_timed_cashflows
はい
event_id

crisis-2034-02

event_date_status

analyst_estimated_not_issuer_announced_as_of_2026_11_06

issuer_confirmation_status

unconfirmed_future_scenario_event

requires_display_revalidation_on_real_world_occurrence
はい
revalidate_immediately_on_issuer_announcement_even_before_assumed_date
はい
model_assumption_payment_or_execution_date

2034-08-15

event_assumption_as_of_date

2026-11-06

verification_instructions

Verify vest/settlement date, actual allocated shares, EBT transfer versus new issuance, trust holdings, eligible dividend shares and old-holder ownership; do NOT create a cash flow from SBC alone.

award_vesting_and_share_delivery_date_assumed

2034-08-15

stock_delivery_date_confirmed
未確認
not_old_holder_cashflow
はい
revalidation_due_dates_assumed
1

2034-08-15

first_revalidation_date_assumed

2034-08-15

display_review_required_when_event_executed_or_announced
はい
3
内容を開く
想定日

2034-09-15

year
7.857631759
event_type

external_equity_financing_not_holder_cash

company_cash_oku
-1.406140441
old_holder_cash_received_oku
0
old_holder_shares_after
288786032.52841
eligible_shares_after
347311646.40114
company_equity_after_oku
15.765926549
capital_surplus_after_oku
7.679664557
basis

analyst_assumption

new_shares_issued
7205187.2610587
issue_price_gbp_assumed
19.515668227
outside_investors_pay_company_not_old_cohort
はい
event_id

crisis-2034-03

event_date_status

analyst_estimated_not_issuer_announced_as_of_2026_11_06

issuer_confirmation_status

unconfirmed_future_scenario_event

requires_display_revalidation_on_real_world_occurrence
はい
revalidate_immediately_on_issuer_announcement_even_before_assumed_date
はい
model_assumption_payment_or_execution_date

2034-09-15

event_assumption_as_of_date

2026-11-06

verification_instructions

Verify paid-in proceeds, actual issue date/price/count, dilution of existing holders and impact on parent capital and solvency; do not treat new investor payment as old-holder cash.

external_share_issue_date_assumed

2034-09-15

new_share_issue_date_confirmed
未確認
revalidation_due_dates_assumed
1

2034-09-15

first_revalidation_date_assumed

2034-09-15

display_review_required_when_event_executed_or_announced
はい
insurance_service_result_oku
-0.528639102
net_insurance_and_investment_result_oku
0.137970834
financial_services_net_interest_oku
0.749770936
net_other_income_and_expenses_with_model_adjustment_oku
-2.667359865
営業利益(億)
-1.779618095
operating_profit_status

analyst_forecast_issuer_IFRS_operating_profit_presentation_analogue

operating_profit_display_label_ja

営業利益(IFRS連結損益計算書Operating profit準拠の予測)

operating_profit_is_PBT
いいえ
operating_profit_bridge_oku
内容を開く
ifrs17_insurance_revenue
41.571823221
insurance_service_expenses_including_sbc
-38.457702521
net_reinsurance_service_result
-3.642759802
insurance_service_result
-0.528639102
investment_return
1.711269188
net_insurance_finance_result
-1.044659252
net_insurance_and_investment_result
0.137970834
financial_services_interest_income
1.892034419
financial_services_interest_expense
-1.142263483
net_financial_services_interest
0.749770936
other_revenue_and_profit_commission
1.736807564
other_operating_expenses_including_sbc
-3.479419979
other_operating_expenses_recovered_from_co_insurers
1.117567995
expected_credit_losses_and_writeoffs
-1.634315445
other_operating_before_model_adjustment
-2.259359865
unallocated_model_operating_adjustment_not_issuer_disclosure
-0.408
total_other_operating_income_and_expenses_after_adjustment
-2.667359865
operating_profit
-1.779618095
net_finance_costs_below_operating_profit
-0.282669472
PBT_continuing_group_proxy
-2.062287567
reconciliation_error_oku
0
SBC_annual_expense_already_included_in_op_costs
1.119824752
categorisation_note

Additional normalisation is assigned to other operating expenses for the purpose of matching original PBT. It is not a reported future statutory line.

9
内容を開く
year
2035
状態

analyst_assumption_2027_to_2036_not_company_forecast

segments_ifrs17_revenue_oku
内容を開く
UK_motor
22.901310457
UK_other_insurance
8.18076584
European_insurance
8.227497974
Other_insurance
1.580164946
ifrs17_insurance_revenue_oku
40.889739216
insurance_services_expenses_including_sbc_oku
-38.000938475
net_reinsurance_service_result_oku
-3.582991719
investment_return_oku
1.692580394
insurance_finance_result_oku
-1.032334709
financial_services_interest_income_oku
1.920414935
financial_services_interest_expense_oku
-1.159397435
other_revenue_and_profit_commission_oku
1.701254652
other_operating_expenses_including_sbc_oku
-3.485875259
other_operating_expenses_recoverable_from_co_insurers_oku
1.099231651
expected_credit_loss_and_writeoffs_oku
-1.658830176
finance_cost_net_oku
-0.289736209
normalized_nonrecurring_adjustment_oku
-0.408
operating_revenue_analytical_oku
44.511408803
net_expenses_after_investment_and_reinsurance_oku
46.826291937
pbt_parent_continuing_proxy_oku
-2.314883133
income_tax_oku
-0
profit_after_tax_parent_sbc_deducted_oku
-2.312883133
non_controlling_profit_estimate_oku
-0.002
sbc_pnl_included_in_costs_oku
1.153419495
sbc_equity_credit_oku
1.153419495
uk_motor_reported_loss_ratio_reference
0.629
uk_motor_core_combined_ratio_reference
0.858
uk_motor_vehicle_policies_m
4.386533208
uk_motor_annualized_written_premium_per_current_policy_gbp
630.659376712
uk_motor_total_premiums_written_oku
27.664082992
admiral_money_gross_loan_balance_oku
21.470576958
loan_ecl_cost_assumption_multiple
3.1
reinsurance_cost_assumption_multiple
1.4
detail_adjustments
内容を開く
uk_motor_claim_impact_oku
-1.603091732
reinsurance_net_oku
-3.582991719
credit_cost_oku
-1.658830176
normalization_ex_2026_one_off_oku
-0.408
date_start

2035-01-01

date_end_projection

2035-12-31

period_days_in_year
365
cutoff_capital_date

2035-12-31

forecast_after_horizon_not_realised_in_capital_oku
-0
as_of_event_start
内容を開く
発行済株式数
351388875
自己株式数
0
ebt_unvested_shares_estimate
4077228.129
outside_trust_dividend_eligible_shares
347311646.401
old_cohort_remaining_shares
288786032.528
old_cohort_outside_share_fraction
0.83148963
親会社持分(億)
15.49022923
eligible_own_funds_proxy_oku
18.866153143
solvency_capital_requirement_proxy_oku
11.462185905
scr_surplus_oku
7.403967238
prudential_ratio_proxy
1.64594723
as_of_year_end_or_horizon
内容を開く
発行済株式数
360339445
自己株式数
0
ebt_unvested_shares_estimate
4849030.373
outside_trust_dividend_eligible_shares
355490414.328
old_cohort_remaining_shares
286680691.956
old_cohort_outside_share_fraction
0.806437193
親会社持分(億)
15.382789022
eligible_own_funds_proxy_oku
18.758712935
solvency_capital_requirement_proxy_oku
11.432489383
scr_surplus_oku
7.326223552
prudential_ratio_proxy
1.640824873
subperiod_realization_factor
1
realized_parent_profit_oku
-2.312883133
realized_sbc_equity_credit_oku
1.153419495
sbc_pnl_allocated_to_insurance_expenses_oku
0.484436188
sbc_pnl_allocated_to_other_operating_expenses_oku
0.668983307
cash_capital_transfers
内容を開く
dividends_oku
0
ordinary_dividends_oku
0
special_dividend_oku
0
buyback_oku
0
ebt_acquisition_oku
0.598668151
new_outside_equity_raised_oku
1.650691582
old_holder_actual_cash_events_year_sum_oku
0.49778636
company_noncash_vested_shares
1760208.3736616
company_net_issued_share_change
8950570.1702469
company_treasury_share_change
0
employee_trust_share_change
771802.24385802
old_holder_equity_share_remaining
0.806437193
equity_reconciliation
内容を開く
opening_oku
15.49022923
profit_oku
-2.312883133
share_scheme_credit_non_cash_oku
1.153419495
dividends_oku
-0
company_buyback_oku
-0
EBT_cash_acquisition_oku
-0.598668151
new_paid_in_capital_oku
1.650691582
closing_oku
15.382789022
share_reconciliation
内容を開く
issued_open
351388875
cancelled
-0
third_party_new
8950570.1702469
issued_close
360339445
trust_open
4077228.129
trust_purchased
2532010.6175196
trust_vested
-1760208.3736616
trust_close
4849030.373
old_open
288786032.528
old_pro_rata_sold
2105340.572
old_close
286680691.956
solvency_valuation
内容を開く
eligible_ownfund_oku
18.758712935
scr_oku
11.432489383
surplus_over_scr_oku
7.326223552
headroom_to_160pct_scr_oku
0.466729922
ratio
1.640824873
event_details
1
内容を開く
想定日

2035-06-15

year
8.605065024
event_type

employee_trust_open_market_purchase

company_cash_oku
0.598668151
old_holder_cash_received_oku
0.49778636
old_holder_shares_after
286680691.95567
eligible_shares_after
344779635.78362
company_equity_after_oku
14.364243369
capital_surplus_after_oku
6.277981377
basis

analyst_assumption

price_per_share_gbp_assumed
23.64398266
shares_acquired_by_trust
2532010.6175196
old_cohort_pro_rata_shares_sold
2105340.5727396
non_cash_sbc_excluded
はい
event_id

crisis-2035-01

event_date_status

analyst_estimated_not_issuer_announced_as_of_2026_11_06

issuer_confirmation_status

unconfirmed_future_scenario_event

requires_display_revalidation_on_real_world_occurrence
はい
revalidate_immediately_on_issuer_announcement_even_before_assumed_date
はい
model_assumption_payment_or_execution_date

2035-06-15

event_assumption_as_of_date

2026-11-06

verification_instructions

Verify EBT purchase confirmations, execution dates, volume, price, number of employee-held shares, resulting old-holder market sale assumptions, cash and eligible own funds.

trust_purchase_execution_date_assumed

2035-06-15

settlement_date_confirmed
未確認
revalidation_due_dates_assumed
1

2035-06-15

first_revalidation_date_assumed

2035-06-15

display_review_required_when_event_executed_or_announced
はい
2
内容を開く
想定日

2035-08-15

year
8.772073922
event_type

noncash_ebt_shares_vested_to_staff

company_cash_oku
0
old_holder_cash_received_oku
0
old_holder_shares_after
286680691.95567
eligible_shares_after
346539844.15728
company_equity_after_oku
14.170469994
capital_surplus_after_oku
6.084208002
basis

analyst_assumption

vested_shares
1760208.3736616
issued_change
0
old_cohort_shares_change
0
noncash_event_not_in_timed_cashflows
はい
event_id

crisis-2035-02

event_date_status

analyst_estimated_not_issuer_announced_as_of_2026_11_06

issuer_confirmation_status

unconfirmed_future_scenario_event

requires_display_revalidation_on_real_world_occurrence
はい
revalidate_immediately_on_issuer_announcement_even_before_assumed_date
はい
model_assumption_payment_or_execution_date

2035-08-15

event_assumption_as_of_date

2026-11-06

verification_instructions

Verify vest/settlement date, actual allocated shares, EBT transfer versus new issuance, trust holdings, eligible dividend shares and old-holder ownership; do NOT create a cash flow from SBC alone.

award_vesting_and_share_delivery_date_assumed

2035-08-15

stock_delivery_date_confirmed
未確認
not_old_holder_cashflow
はい
revalidation_due_dates_assumed
1

2035-08-15

first_revalidation_date_assumed

2035-08-15

display_review_required_when_event_executed_or_announced
はい
3
内容を開く
想定日

2035-09-17

year
8.862422998
event_type

external_equity_financing_not_holder_cash

company_cash_oku
-1.650691582
old_holder_cash_received_oku
0
old_holder_shares_after
286680691.95567
eligible_shares_after
355490414.32752
company_equity_after_oku
15.716333357
capital_surplus_after_oku
7.659767887
basis

analyst_assumption

new_shares_issued
8950570.1702469
issue_price_gbp_assumed
18.442306474
outside_investors_pay_company_not_old_cohort
はい
event_id

crisis-2035-03

event_date_status

analyst_estimated_not_issuer_announced_as_of_2026_11_06

issuer_confirmation_status

unconfirmed_future_scenario_event

requires_display_revalidation_on_real_world_occurrence
はい
revalidate_immediately_on_issuer_announcement_even_before_assumed_date
はい
model_assumption_payment_or_execution_date

2035-09-17

event_assumption_as_of_date

2026-11-06

verification_instructions

Verify paid-in proceeds, actual issue date/price/count, dilution of existing holders and impact on parent capital and solvency; do not treat new investor payment as old-holder cash.

external_share_issue_date_assumed

2035-09-17

new_share_issue_date_confirmed
未確認
revalidation_due_dates_assumed
1

2035-09-17

first_revalidation_date_assumed

2035-09-17

display_review_required_when_event_executed_or_announced
はい
insurance_service_result_oku
-0.694190978
net_insurance_and_investment_result_oku
-0.033945293
financial_services_net_interest_oku
0.7610175
net_other_income_and_expenses_with_model_adjustment_oku
-2.752219132
営業利益(億)
-2.025146925
operating_profit_status

analyst_forecast_issuer_IFRS_operating_profit_presentation_analogue

operating_profit_display_label_ja

営業利益(IFRS連結損益計算書Operating profit準拠の予測)

operating_profit_is_PBT
いいえ
operating_profit_bridge_oku
内容を開く
ifrs17_insurance_revenue
40.889739216
insurance_service_expenses_including_sbc
-38.000938475
net_reinsurance_service_result
-3.582991719
insurance_service_result
-0.694190978
investment_return
1.692580394
net_insurance_finance_result
-1.032334709
net_insurance_and_investment_result
-0.033945293
financial_services_interest_income
1.920414935
financial_services_interest_expense
-1.159397435
net_financial_services_interest
0.7610175
other_revenue_and_profit_commission
1.701254652
other_operating_expenses_including_sbc
-3.485875259
other_operating_expenses_recovered_from_co_insurers
1.099231651
expected_credit_losses_and_writeoffs
-1.658830176
other_operating_before_model_adjustment
-2.344219132
unallocated_model_operating_adjustment_not_issuer_disclosure
-0.408
total_other_operating_income_and_expenses_after_adjustment
-2.752219132
operating_profit
-2.025146925
net_finance_costs_below_operating_profit
-0.289736209
PBT_continuing_group_proxy
-2.314883133
reconciliation_error_oku
-1.0E-9
SBC_annual_expense_already_included_in_op_costs
1.153419495
categorisation_note

Additional normalisation is assigned to other operating expenses for the purpose of matching original PBT. It is not a reported future statutory line.

10
内容を開く
year
2036
状態

analyst_assumption_2027_to_2036_not_company_forecast

segments_ifrs17_revenue_oku
内容を開く
UK_motor
21.992128432
UK_other_insurance
8.262573498
European_insurance
8.391019496
Other_insurance
1.60386742
ifrs17_insurance_revenue_oku
40.249588846
insurance_services_expenses_including_sbc_oku
-37.703838855
net_reinsurance_service_result_oku
-3.526898099
investment_return_oku
1.675040563
insurance_finance_result_oku
-1.020767863
financial_services_interest_income_oku
1.949221159
financial_services_interest_expense_oku
-1.176788397
other_revenue_and_profit_commission_oku
1.667887488
other_operating_expenses_including_sbc_oku
-3.495118337
other_operating_expenses_recoverable_from_co_insurers_oku
1.082022602
expected_credit_loss_and_writeoffs_oku
-1.683712629
finance_cost_net_oku
-0.296979614
normalized_nonrecurring_adjustment_oku
-0.408
operating_revenue_analytical_oku
43.866697492
net_expenses_after_investment_and_reinsurance_oku
46.55504063
pbt_parent_continuing_proxy_oku
-2.688343138
income_tax_oku
-0
profit_after_tax_parent_sbc_deducted_oku
-2.686343138
non_controlling_profit_estimate_oku
-0.002
sbc_pnl_included_in_costs_oku
1.188022079
sbc_equity_credit_oku
1.188022079
uk_motor_reported_loss_ratio_reference
0.624
uk_motor_core_combined_ratio_reference
0.853
uk_motor_vehicle_policies_m
4.254937212
uk_motor_annualized_written_premium_per_current_policy_gbp
624.352782945
uk_motor_total_premiums_written_oku
26.565818897
admiral_money_gross_loan_balance_oku
21.792635612
loan_ecl_cost_assumption_multiple
3.1
reinsurance_cost_assumption_multiple
1.4
detail_adjustments
内容を開く
uk_motor_claim_impact_oku
-1.429488348
reinsurance_net_oku
-3.526898099
credit_cost_oku
-1.683712629
normalization_ex_2026_one_off_oku
-0.408
date_start

2036-01-01

date_end_projection

2036-12-31

period_days_in_year
366
cutoff_capital_date

2036-11-06

forecast_after_horizon_not_realised_in_capital_oku
-0.403685444
as_of_event_start
内容を開く
発行済株式数
360339445
自己株式数
0
ebt_unvested_shares_estimate
4849030.373
outside_trust_dividend_eligible_shares
355490414.328
old_cohort_remaining_shares
286680691.956
old_cohort_outside_share_fraction
0.806437193
親会社持分(億)
15.382789022
eligible_own_funds_proxy_oku
18.758712935
solvency_capital_requirement_proxy_oku
11.432489383
scr_surplus_oku
7.326223552
prudential_ratio_proxy
1.640824873
as_of_year_end_or_horizon
内容を開く
発行済株式数
371615979
自己株式数
0
ebt_unvested_shares_estimate
5822098.351
outside_trust_dividend_eligible_shares
365793880.986
old_cohort_remaining_shares
284459442.277
old_cohort_outside_share_fraction
0.777649537
親会社持分(億)
15.459466798
eligible_own_funds_proxy_oku
18.835390711
solvency_capital_requirement_proxy_oku
11.40614786
scr_surplus_oku
7.429242851
prudential_ratio_proxy
1.651336713
subperiod_realization_factor
0.849726776
realized_parent_profit_oku
-2.282657694
realized_sbc_equity_credit_oku
1.009494171
sbc_pnl_allocated_to_insurance_expenses_oku
0.498969273
sbc_pnl_allocated_to_other_operating_expenses_oku
0.689052806
cash_capital_transfers
内容を開く
dividends_oku
0
ordinary_dividends_oku
0
special_dividend_oku
0
buyback_oku
0
ebt_acquisition_oku
0.61543086
new_outside_equity_raised_oku
1.965272158
old_holder_actual_cash_events_year_sum_oku
0.496306335
company_noncash_vested_shares
1781330.8741455
company_net_issued_share_change
11276534.635728
company_treasury_share_change
0
employee_trust_share_change
973067.97750544
old_holder_equity_share_remaining
0.777649537
equity_reconciliation
内容を開く
opening_oku
15.382789022
profit_oku
-2.282657694
share_scheme_credit_non_cash_oku
1.009494171
dividends_oku
-0
company_buyback_oku
-0
EBT_cash_acquisition_oku
-0.61543086
new_paid_in_capital_oku
1.965272158
closing_oku
15.459466798
share_reconciliation
内容を開く
issued_open
360339445
cancelled
-0
third_party_new
11276534.635728
issued_close
371615979
trust_open
4849030.373
trust_purchased
2754398.851651
trust_vested
-1781330.8741455
trust_close
5822098.351
old_open
286680691.956
old_pro_rata_sold
2221249.679
old_close
284459442.277
solvency_valuation
内容を開く
eligible_ownfund_oku
18.835390711
scr_oku
11.40614786
surplus_over_scr_oku
7.429242851
headroom_to_160pct_scr_oku
0.585554134
ratio
1.651336713
event_details
1
内容を開く
想定日

2036-06-16

year
9.609856263
event_type

employee_trust_open_market_purchase

company_cash_oku
0.61543086
old_holder_cash_received_oku
0.496306335
old_holder_shares_after
284459442.27667
eligible_shares_after
352736015.47587
company_equity_after_oku
14.079604234
capital_surplus_after_oku
6.023038764
basis

analyst_assumption

price_per_share_gbp_assumed
22.343563613
shares_acquired_by_trust
2754398.851651
old_cohort_pro_rata_shares_sold
2221249.6790017
non_cash_sbc_excluded
はい
event_id

crisis-2036-01

event_date_status

analyst_estimated_not_issuer_announced_as_of_2026_11_06

issuer_confirmation_status

unconfirmed_future_scenario_event

requires_display_revalidation_on_real_world_occurrence
はい
revalidate_immediately_on_issuer_announcement_even_before_assumed_date
はい
model_assumption_payment_or_execution_date

2036-06-16

event_assumption_as_of_date

2026-11-06

verification_instructions

Verify EBT purchase confirmations, execution dates, volume, price, number of employee-held shares, resulting old-holder market sale assumptions, cash and eligible own funds.

trust_purchase_execution_date_assumed

2036-06-16

settlement_date_confirmed
未確認
revalidation_due_dates_assumed
1

2036-06-16

first_revalidation_date_assumed

2036-06-16

display_review_required_when_event_executed_or_announced
はい
2
内容を開く
想定日

2036-08-15

year
9.77412731
event_type

noncash_ebt_shares_vested_to_staff

company_cash_oku
0
old_holder_cash_received_oku
0
old_holder_shares_after
284459442.27667
eligible_shares_after
354517346.35002
company_equity_after_oku
13.833977831
capital_surplus_after_oku
5.777412361
basis

analyst_assumption

vested_shares
1781330.8741455
issued_change
0
old_cohort_shares_change
0
noncash_event_not_in_timed_cashflows
はい
event_id

crisis-2036-02

event_date_status

analyst_estimated_not_issuer_announced_as_of_2026_11_06

issuer_confirmation_status

unconfirmed_future_scenario_event

requires_display_revalidation_on_real_world_occurrence
はい
revalidate_immediately_on_issuer_announcement_even_before_assumed_date
はい
model_assumption_payment_or_execution_date

2036-08-15

event_assumption_as_of_date

2026-11-06

verification_instructions

Verify vest/settlement date, actual allocated shares, EBT transfer versus new issuance, trust holdings, eligible dividend shares and old-holder ownership; do NOT create a cash flow from SBC alone.

award_vesting_and_share_delivery_date_assumed

2036-08-15

stock_delivery_date_confirmed
未確認
not_old_holder_cashflow
はい
revalidation_due_dates_assumed
1

2036-08-15

first_revalidation_date_assumed

2036-08-15

display_review_required_when_event_executed_or_announced
はい
3
内容を開く
想定日

2036-09-15

year
9.859000684
event_type

external_equity_financing_not_holder_cash

company_cash_oku
-1.965272158
old_holder_cash_received_oku
0
old_holder_shares_after
284459442.27667
eligible_shares_after
365793880.98575
company_equity_after_oku
15.672343014
capital_surplus_after_oku
7.642119067
basis

analyst_assumption

new_shares_issued
11276534.635728
issue_price_gbp_assumed
17.427979618
outside_investors_pay_company_not_old_cohort
はい
event_id

crisis-2036-03

event_date_status

analyst_estimated_not_issuer_announced_as_of_2026_11_06

issuer_confirmation_status

unconfirmed_future_scenario_event

requires_display_revalidation_on_real_world_occurrence
はい
revalidate_immediately_on_issuer_announcement_even_before_assumed_date
はい
model_assumption_payment_or_execution_date

2036-09-15

event_assumption_as_of_date

2026-11-06

verification_instructions

Verify paid-in proceeds, actual issue date/price/count, dilution of existing holders and impact on parent capital and solvency; do not treat new investor payment as old-holder cash.

external_share_issue_date_assumed

2036-09-15

new_share_issue_date_confirmed
未確認
revalidation_due_dates_assumed
1

2036-09-15

first_revalidation_date_assumed

2036-09-15

display_review_required_when_event_executed_or_announced
はい
insurance_service_result_oku
-0.981148108
net_insurance_and_investment_result_oku
-0.326875408
financial_services_net_interest_oku
0.772432762
net_other_income_and_expenses_with_model_adjustment_oku
-2.836920876
営業利益(億)
-2.391363522
operating_profit_status

analyst_forecast_issuer_IFRS_operating_profit_presentation_analogue

operating_profit_display_label_ja

営業利益(IFRS連結損益計算書Operating profit準拠の予測)

operating_profit_is_PBT
いいえ
operating_profit_bridge_oku
内容を開く
ifrs17_insurance_revenue
40.249588846
insurance_service_expenses_including_sbc
-37.703838855
net_reinsurance_service_result
-3.526898099
insurance_service_result
-0.981148108
investment_return
1.675040563
net_insurance_finance_result
-1.020767863
net_insurance_and_investment_result
-0.326875408
financial_services_interest_income
1.949221159
financial_services_interest_expense
-1.176788397
net_financial_services_interest
0.772432762
other_revenue_and_profit_commission
1.667887488
other_operating_expenses_including_sbc
-3.495118337
other_operating_expenses_recovered_from_co_insurers
1.082022602
expected_credit_losses_and_writeoffs
-1.683712629
other_operating_before_model_adjustment
-2.428920876
unallocated_model_operating_adjustment_not_issuer_disclosure
-0.408
total_other_operating_income_and_expenses_after_adjustment
-2.836920876
operating_profit
-2.391363522
net_finance_costs_below_operating_profit
-0.296979614
PBT_continuing_group_proxy
-2.688343138
reconciliation_error_oku
2.0E-9
SBC_annual_expense_already_included_in_op_costs
1.188022079
categorisation_note

Additional normalisation is assigned to other operating expenses for the purpose of matching original PBT. It is not a reported future statutory line.

final_partial_2036
内容を開く
開始日

2035-12-31

終了日

2036-11-06

days_included
311
days_full_year
366
realization_fraction
0.849726776
ifrs17_insurance_revenue_realized_oku
34.201153364
operating_revenue_analytical_realized_oku
37.274707432
net_expenses_after_investment_and_reinsurance_realized_oku
39.559064579
PBT_realized_oku
-2.284357147
tax_realized_oku
-0
2036_parent_profit_included_oku
-2.282657694
2036_parent_profit_after_cutoff_excluded_oku
-0.403685444
sbc_equity_credit_included_oku
1.009494171
dividends_paid_included_oku
0
buybacks_paid_included_oku
0
ebt_purchases_included_oku
0.61543086
new_financing_included_oku
1.965272158
share_and_capital_at_cutoff
内容を開く
発行済株式数
371615979
自己株式数
0
ebt_unvested_shares_estimate
5822098.351
outside_trust_dividend_eligible_shares
365793880.986
old_cohort_remaining_shares
284459442.277
old_cohort_outside_share_fraction
0.777649537
親会社持分(億)
15.459466798
eligible_own_funds_proxy_oku
18.835390711
solvency_capital_requirement_proxy_oku
11.40614786
scr_surplus_oku
7.429242851
prudential_ratio_proxy
1.651336713
post_cutoff_2036_distributions_excluded
はい
operating_profit_realized_to_2036_11_06_oku
-2.032005616
net_finance_costs_realized_to_2036_11_06_oku
-0.25235153
operating_profit_assumption_note

2036 FY OP multiplied by annual fractional recognition, not the full FY OP accrued into 2036-11-06 equity.

期間内株主受取
7.265814893
終価
0
old_holder_economics
内容を開く
cohort

2026-11-06時点のEBTを除いた株主群。買戻し及びEBT市場取得に比例売却し、将来発行・従業員への信託株交付には参加しない

initial_market_value_oku
118.727581042
initial_old_holder_shares
301798630
remaining_old_holder_shares
284459442.277
remaining_outside_holding_fraction
0.777649537
all_dividend_buyback_and_ebt_proceeds_oku
7.265814893
terminal_old_cohort_mcap_oku
0
terminal_whole_company_equity_value_oku
0
terminal_book_equity_oku
15.459466798
terminal_fundamental
内容を開く
方法

SBC_clean_surplus_residual_income_endogenous_fair_value_share_neutral_v3

終価の基準日

2036-11-06

forecast_2037_annual_parent_profit_after_sbc_oku
-3.167685267
sustainability_haircut_multiplier
0.66
normalized_next_12m_profit_oku
-2.090672276
parent_book_equity_terminal_oku
15.459466798
required_return
0.09
perpetual_reinvestment_supported_growth
0.005
residual_income_oku
-2.25836154645
group_fundamental_equity_value_oku
0
old_cohort_remaining_fraction
0.777649537
cohort_terminal_value_oku
0
method_notes

Correction: the original RI applied IFRS parent NI after SBC but omitted the recurring IAS32-equity recredit and funded market EBT acquisitions. The FY2037 equity bridge is E1=E0+normalized NI after expensed SBC+SBC capital credit -market employee trust cash purchases -sustainable dividends/corporate repurchases. At stable outside shares, bought shares equal grants; cash funding B=A*V1/X at fundamental post-year-end price; group intrinsic V=(NI+C-g*E)/(k-g+(A/X)*(1+g)). This is exactly E+(NI+C-B-k*E)/(k-g). The valuation for the original outside cohort is group intrinsic V * original remaining outside fraction, assuming all next-year EBT sales are pro rata at fair value and both sale cash and fewer remaining shares are respected. Beyond 2036 cash from employee trust sales is NOT added again to the terminal value. 2036 actual modeled EBT buys have already reduced book equity and shareholder shares, so not charged again. No market P/E or P/B multiple is used, no insurance investment asset double-counted. Zero-floor case is capital-stress/downside, not a financed going concern.

normalized_next_12m_distributable_earnings_after_market_EBT_funding_oku
-0.86700953463
sustainable_2037_distributable_cash_excluding_trust_purchases_oku
0
2037_required_purchase_funding_oku
未確認
2037_purchase_price_fundamental_gbp_assumed
未確認
2037_share_scheme_equity_credit_oku
1.22366274137
2037_share_scheme_pnl_expense_oku
1.22366274137
2037_award_shares_assumed
1802706.8446353
terminal_book_growth_required_oku
0.07729733399
terminal_2037_nominal_COE_oku
1.39135201182
pre_v3_uncorrected_terminal_company_equity_value_oku
0
pre_v3_uncorrected_terminal_old_holder_value_oku
0
valuation
内容を開く
discount_rate
0.09
terminal_elapsed_ACT_365_25
10.001368925
pv_holder_cashflows_oku
5.4881204476733
pv_terminal_old_cohort_oku
0
pv_total_oku
5.4881204476733
return_multiple_on_initial_market_value
0.046224477914124
pv_upside_vs_market
-0.95377552208588
old_holder_cashflow_irr
-0.37221182534491
valuation_revision_reason

2037 onward share-neutral EBT replenishment at intrinsic value and corresponding share-scheme credit clean-surplus bridge

pre_v3_pv_total_oku
5.488120448
pre_v3_IRR
-0.372211825
validation
内容を開く
annual_period_count
10
all_cashflows_within_horizon
はい
payout_equals_sum_events_oku
7.265814893
terminal_ownership_fraction_matches
0.777649537
company_buybacks_are_old_cohort_cash_included_once
はい
sbc_pnl_is_cost_and_not_holder_cashflow
はい
EBT_stock_grants_non_cash_not_holder_cashflow
はい
operating_profit_annual_bridges_all_10_years
はい
forecast_event_assumed_ex_dates_distinct_from_issuer_confirmed_ex_dates
はい
future_2027_2036_corporate_events_have_dated_revalidation_triggers
はい
2036_annual_share_awards_and_purchases_reconcile_to_trust_rollforward
はい
terminal_SBC_cash_funding_and_capital_credit_accounted_exactly_once
はい
terminal_clean_surplus_reconciles
はい
2037_fair_market_sale_original_cohort_total_return_matches_COE
未確認
2037_issuance_vs_trust_purchase_one_year_holder_equivalence
未確認
2037_dated_future_event_not_in_10yr_timed_cashflows
はい
negative_sustainable_distribution_requires_recapitalization_or_plan_change
はい
future_event_revalidation_schedule
内容を開く
1
内容を開く
event_id

crisis-2027-01

fiscal_year
2027
event_type

dividend_final_prior_fiscal_year

date_status

unconfirmed_assumed

date_fields
ex_date_assumed

2027-05-06

record_date_assumed

2027-05-07

payment_date_assumed

2027-05-17

first_revalidation_date_assumed

2027-05-06

revalidation_due_dates_assumed
1

2027-05-06

2

2027-05-07

3

2027-05-17

on_earlier_announcement

revalidate_immediately

on_actual_execution

reconcile_price_shares_cash_equity_solvency_holder_economics

old_holder_cashflow_expected_oku
2.145
company_cash_change_oku
2.145
noncash_event
いいえ
checks

Confirm official declaration, ex-date, record date, pay date, GBP/share, distributable capital, share count at ex-date, old cohort entitlement and payment; recompute holder CF PV/IRR and balance sheet/SCR on change.

2
内容を開く
event_id

crisis-2027-02

fiscal_year
2027
event_type

employee_trust_open_market_purchase

date_status

unconfirmed_assumed

date_fields
trust_purchase_execution_date_assumed

2027-06-15

first_revalidation_date_assumed

2027-06-15

revalidation_due_dates_assumed
1

2027-06-15

on_earlier_announcement

revalidate_immediately

on_actual_execution

reconcile_price_shares_cash_equity_solvency_holder_economics

old_holder_cashflow_expected_oku
0.48
company_cash_change_oku
0.48
noncash_event
いいえ
checks

Verify EBT purchase confirmations, execution dates, volume, price, number of employee-held shares, resulting old-holder market sale assumptions, cash and eligible own funds.

3
内容を開く
event_id

crisis-2027-03

fiscal_year
2027
event_type

noncash_ebt_shares_vested_to_staff

date_status

unconfirmed_assumed

date_fields
award_vesting_and_share_delivery_date_assumed

2027-08-16

first_revalidation_date_assumed

2027-08-16

revalidation_due_dates_assumed
1

2027-08-16

on_earlier_announcement

revalidate_immediately

on_actual_execution

reconcile_price_shares_cash_equity_solvency_holder_economics

old_holder_cashflow_expected_oku
0
company_cash_change_oku
0
noncash_event
はい
checks

Verify vest/settlement date, actual allocated shares, EBT transfer versus new issuance, trust holdings, eligible dividend shares and old-holder ownership; do NOT create a cash flow from SBC alone.

4
内容を開く
event_id

crisis-2027-04

fiscal_year
2027
event_type

external_equity_financing_not_holder_cash

date_status

unconfirmed_assumed

date_fields
external_share_issue_date_assumed

2027-09-15

first_revalidation_date_assumed

2027-09-15

revalidation_due_dates_assumed
1

2027-09-15

on_earlier_announcement

revalidate_immediately

on_actual_execution

reconcile_price_shares_cash_equity_solvency_holder_economics

old_holder_cashflow_expected_oku
0
company_cash_change_oku
-1.419953445
noncash_event
いいえ
checks

Verify paid-in proceeds, actual issue date/price/count, dilution of existing holders and impact on parent capital and solvency; do not treat new investor payment as old-holder cash.

5
内容を開く
event_id

crisis-2027-05

fiscal_year
2027
event_type

dividend_interim_current_fiscal_year

date_status

unconfirmed_assumed

date_fields
ex_date_assumed

2027-09-02

record_date_assumed

2027-09-03

payment_date_assumed

2027-10-04

first_revalidation_date_assumed

2027-09-02

revalidation_due_dates_assumed
1

2027-09-02

2

2027-09-03

3

2027-10-04

on_earlier_announcement

revalidate_immediately

on_actual_execution

reconcile_price_shares_cash_equity_solvency_holder_economics

old_holder_cashflow_expected_oku
0.098781634
company_cash_change_oku
0.09930758
noncash_event
いいえ
checks

Confirm official declaration, ex-date, record date, pay date, GBP/share, distributable capital, share count at ex-date, old cohort entitlement and payment; recompute holder CF PV/IRR and balance sheet/SCR on change.

6
内容を開く
event_id

crisis-2028-01

fiscal_year
2028
event_type

dividend_final_prior_fiscal_year

date_status

unconfirmed_assumed

date_fields
ex_date_assumed

2028-05-04

record_date_assumed

2028-05-05

payment_date_assumed

2028-05-15

first_revalidation_date_assumed

2028-05-04

revalidation_due_dates_assumed
1

2028-05-04

2

2028-05-05

3

2028-05-15

on_earlier_announcement

revalidate_immediately

on_actual_execution

reconcile_price_shares_cash_equity_solvency_holder_economics

old_holder_cashflow_expected_oku
0.097206037
company_cash_change_oku
0.09930758
noncash_event
いいえ
checks

Confirm official declaration, ex-date, record date, pay date, GBP/share, distributable capital, share count at ex-date, old cohort entitlement and payment; recompute holder CF PV/IRR and balance sheet/SCR on change.

7
内容を開く
event_id

crisis-2028-02

fiscal_year
2028
event_type

employee_trust_open_market_purchase

date_status

unconfirmed_assumed

date_fields
trust_purchase_execution_date_assumed

2028-06-15

first_revalidation_date_assumed

2028-06-15

revalidation_due_dates_assumed
1

2028-06-15

on_earlier_announcement

revalidate_immediately

on_actual_execution

reconcile_price_shares_cash_equity_solvency_holder_economics

old_holder_cashflow_expected_oku
0.482997845
company_cash_change_oku
0.49344
noncash_event
いいえ
checks

Verify EBT purchase confirmations, execution dates, volume, price, number of employee-held shares, resulting old-holder market sale assumptions, cash and eligible own funds.

8
内容を開く
event_id

crisis-2028-03

fiscal_year
2028
event_type

noncash_ebt_shares_vested_to_staff

date_status

unconfirmed_assumed

date_fields
award_vesting_and_share_delivery_date_assumed

2028-08-15

first_revalidation_date_assumed

2028-08-15

revalidation_due_dates_assumed
1

2028-08-15

on_earlier_announcement

revalidate_immediately

on_actual_execution

reconcile_price_shares_cash_equity_solvency_holder_economics

old_holder_cashflow_expected_oku
0
company_cash_change_oku
0
noncash_event
はい
checks

Verify vest/settlement date, actual allocated shares, EBT transfer versus new issuance, trust holdings, eligible dividend shares and old-holder ownership; do NOT create a cash flow from SBC alone.

9
内容を開く
event_id

crisis-2029-01

fiscal_year
2029
event_type

employee_trust_open_market_purchase

date_status

unconfirmed_assumed

date_fields
trust_purchase_execution_date_assumed

2029-06-15

first_revalidation_date_assumed

2029-06-15

revalidation_due_dates_assumed
1

2029-06-15

on_earlier_announcement

revalidate_immediately

on_actual_execution

reconcile_price_shares_cash_equity_solvency_holder_economics

old_holder_cashflow_expected_oku
0.493904863
company_cash_change_oku
0.50725632
noncash_event
いいえ
checks

Verify EBT purchase confirmations, execution dates, volume, price, number of employee-held shares, resulting old-holder market sale assumptions, cash and eligible own funds.

10
内容を開く
event_id

crisis-2029-02

fiscal_year
2029
event_type

noncash_ebt_shares_vested_to_staff

date_status

unconfirmed_assumed

date_fields
award_vesting_and_share_delivery_date_assumed

2029-08-15

first_revalidation_date_assumed

2029-08-15

revalidation_due_dates_assumed
1

2029-08-15

on_earlier_announcement

revalidate_immediately

on_actual_execution

reconcile_price_shares_cash_equity_solvency_holder_economics

old_holder_cashflow_expected_oku
0
company_cash_change_oku
0
noncash_event
はい
checks

Verify vest/settlement date, actual allocated shares, EBT transfer versus new issuance, trust holdings, eligible dividend shares and old-holder ownership; do NOT create a cash flow from SBC alone.

11
内容を開く
event_id

crisis-2029-03

fiscal_year
2029
event_type

external_equity_financing_not_holder_cash

date_status

unconfirmed_assumed

date_fields
external_share_issue_date_assumed

2029-09-17

first_revalidation_date_assumed

2029-09-17

revalidation_due_dates_assumed
1

2029-09-17

on_earlier_announcement

revalidate_immediately

on_actual_execution

reconcile_price_shares_cash_equity_solvency_holder_economics

old_holder_cashflow_expected_oku
0
company_cash_change_oku
-1.536198611
noncash_event
いいえ
checks

Verify paid-in proceeds, actual issue date/price/count, dilution of existing holders and impact on parent capital and solvency; do not treat new investor payment as old-holder cash.

12
内容を開く
event_id

crisis-2030-01

fiscal_year
2030
event_type

employee_trust_open_market_purchase

date_status

unconfirmed_assumed

date_fields
trust_purchase_execution_date_assumed

2030-06-17

first_revalidation_date_assumed

2030-06-17

revalidation_due_dates_assumed
1

2030-06-17

on_earlier_announcement

revalidate_immediately

on_actual_execution

reconcile_price_shares_cash_equity_solvency_holder_economics

old_holder_cashflow_expected_oku
0.495463257
company_cash_change_oku
0.521459497
noncash_event
いいえ
checks

Verify EBT purchase confirmations, execution dates, volume, price, number of employee-held shares, resulting old-holder market sale assumptions, cash and eligible own funds.

13
内容を開く
event_id

crisis-2030-02

fiscal_year
2030
event_type

noncash_ebt_shares_vested_to_staff

date_status

unconfirmed_assumed

date_fields
award_vesting_and_share_delivery_date_assumed

2030-08-15

first_revalidation_date_assumed

2030-08-15

revalidation_due_dates_assumed
1

2030-08-15

on_earlier_announcement

revalidate_immediately

on_actual_execution

reconcile_price_shares_cash_equity_solvency_holder_economics

old_holder_cashflow_expected_oku
0
company_cash_change_oku
0
noncash_event
はい
checks

Verify vest/settlement date, actual allocated shares, EBT transfer versus new issuance, trust holdings, eligible dividend shares and old-holder ownership; do NOT create a cash flow from SBC alone.

14
内容を開く
event_id

crisis-2030-03

fiscal_year
2030
event_type

external_equity_financing_not_holder_cash

date_status

unconfirmed_assumed

date_fields
external_share_issue_date_assumed

2030-09-16

first_revalidation_date_assumed

2030-09-16

revalidation_due_dates_assumed
1

2030-09-16

on_earlier_announcement

revalidate_immediately

on_actual_execution

reconcile_price_shares_cash_equity_solvency_holder_economics

old_holder_cashflow_expected_oku
0
company_cash_change_oku
-2.053512968
noncash_event
いいえ
checks

Verify paid-in proceeds, actual issue date/price/count, dilution of existing holders and impact on parent capital and solvency; do not treat new investor payment as old-holder cash.

15
内容を開く
event_id

crisis-2031-01

fiscal_year
2031
event_type

employee_trust_open_market_purchase

date_status

unconfirmed_assumed

date_fields
trust_purchase_execution_date_assumed

2031-06-16

first_revalidation_date_assumed

2031-06-16

revalidation_due_dates_assumed
1

2031-06-16

on_earlier_announcement

revalidate_immediately

on_actual_execution

reconcile_price_shares_cash_equity_solvency_holder_economics

old_holder_cashflow_expected_oku
0.493422205
company_cash_change_oku
0.536060363
noncash_event
いいえ
checks

Verify EBT purchase confirmations, execution dates, volume, price, number of employee-held shares, resulting old-holder market sale assumptions, cash and eligible own funds.

16
内容を開く
event_id

crisis-2031-02

fiscal_year
2031
event_type

noncash_ebt_shares_vested_to_staff

date_status

unconfirmed_assumed

date_fields
award_vesting_and_share_delivery_date_assumed

2031-08-15

first_revalidation_date_assumed

2031-08-15

revalidation_due_dates_assumed
1

2031-08-15

on_earlier_announcement

revalidate_immediately

on_actual_execution

reconcile_price_shares_cash_equity_solvency_holder_economics

old_holder_cashflow_expected_oku
0
company_cash_change_oku
0
noncash_event
はい
checks

Verify vest/settlement date, actual allocated shares, EBT transfer versus new issuance, trust holdings, eligible dividend shares and old-holder ownership; do NOT create a cash flow from SBC alone.

17
内容を開く
event_id

crisis-2031-03

fiscal_year
2031
event_type

external_equity_financing_not_holder_cash

date_status

unconfirmed_assumed

date_fields
external_share_issue_date_assumed

2031-09-15

first_revalidation_date_assumed

2031-09-15

revalidation_due_dates_assumed
1

2031-09-15

on_earlier_announcement

revalidate_immediately

on_actual_execution

reconcile_price_shares_cash_equity_solvency_holder_economics

old_holder_cashflow_expected_oku
0
company_cash_change_oku
-1.729793411
noncash_event
いいえ
checks

Verify paid-in proceeds, actual issue date/price/count, dilution of existing holders and impact on parent capital and solvency; do not treat new investor payment as old-holder cash.

18
内容を開く
event_id

crisis-2032-01

fiscal_year
2032
event_type

employee_trust_open_market_purchase

date_status

unconfirmed_assumed

date_fields
trust_purchase_execution_date_assumed

2032-06-15

first_revalidation_date_assumed

2032-06-15

revalidation_due_dates_assumed
1

2032-06-15

on_earlier_announcement

revalidate_immediately

on_actual_execution

reconcile_price_shares_cash_equity_solvency_holder_economics

old_holder_cashflow_expected_oku
0.49311819
company_cash_change_oku
0.551070053
noncash_event
いいえ
checks

Verify EBT purchase confirmations, execution dates, volume, price, number of employee-held shares, resulting old-holder market sale assumptions, cash and eligible own funds.

19
内容を開く
event_id

crisis-2032-02

fiscal_year
2032
event_type

noncash_ebt_shares_vested_to_staff

date_status

unconfirmed_assumed

date_fields
award_vesting_and_share_delivery_date_assumed

2032-08-16

first_revalidation_date_assumed

2032-08-16

revalidation_due_dates_assumed
1

2032-08-16

on_earlier_announcement

revalidate_immediately

on_actual_execution

reconcile_price_shares_cash_equity_solvency_holder_economics

old_holder_cashflow_expected_oku
0
company_cash_change_oku
0
noncash_event
はい
checks

Verify vest/settlement date, actual allocated shares, EBT transfer versus new issuance, trust holdings, eligible dividend shares and old-holder ownership; do NOT create a cash flow from SBC alone.

20
内容を開く
event_id

crisis-2032-03

fiscal_year
2032
event_type

external_equity_financing_not_holder_cash

date_status

unconfirmed_assumed

date_fields
external_share_issue_date_assumed

2032-09-15

first_revalidation_date_assumed

2032-09-15

revalidation_due_dates_assumed
1

2032-09-15

on_earlier_announcement

revalidate_immediately

on_actual_execution

reconcile_price_shares_cash_equity_solvency_holder_economics

old_holder_cashflow_expected_oku
0
company_cash_change_oku
-1.380250609
noncash_event
いいえ
checks

Verify paid-in proceeds, actual issue date/price/count, dilution of existing holders and impact on parent capital and solvency; do not treat new investor payment as old-holder cash.

21
内容を開く
event_id

crisis-2033-01

fiscal_year
2033
event_type

employee_trust_open_market_purchase

date_status

unconfirmed_assumed

date_fields
trust_purchase_execution_date_assumed

2033-06-15

first_revalidation_date_assumed

2033-06-15

revalidation_due_dates_assumed
1

2033-06-15

on_earlier_announcement

revalidate_immediately

on_actual_execution

reconcile_price_shares_cash_equity_solvency_holder_economics

old_holder_cashflow_expected_oku
0.494799926
company_cash_change_oku
0.566500015
noncash_event
いいえ
checks

Verify EBT purchase confirmations, execution dates, volume, price, number of employee-held shares, resulting old-holder market sale assumptions, cash and eligible own funds.

22
内容を開く
event_id

crisis-2033-02

fiscal_year
2033
event_type

noncash_ebt_shares_vested_to_staff

date_status

unconfirmed_assumed

date_fields
award_vesting_and_share_delivery_date_assumed

2033-08-15

first_revalidation_date_assumed

2033-08-15

revalidation_due_dates_assumed
1

2033-08-15

on_earlier_announcement

revalidate_immediately

on_actual_execution

reconcile_price_shares_cash_equity_solvency_holder_economics

old_holder_cashflow_expected_oku
0
company_cash_change_oku
0
noncash_event
はい
checks

Verify vest/settlement date, actual allocated shares, EBT transfer versus new issuance, trust holdings, eligible dividend shares and old-holder ownership; do NOT create a cash flow from SBC alone.

23
内容を開く
event_id

crisis-2033-03

fiscal_year
2033
event_type

external_equity_financing_not_holder_cash

date_status

unconfirmed_assumed

date_fields
external_share_issue_date_assumed

2033-09-15

first_revalidation_date_assumed

2033-09-15

revalidation_due_dates_assumed
1

2033-09-15

on_earlier_announcement

revalidate_immediately

on_actual_execution

reconcile_price_shares_cash_equity_solvency_holder_economics

old_holder_cashflow_expected_oku
0
company_cash_change_oku
-1.253214419
noncash_event
いいえ
checks

Verify paid-in proceeds, actual issue date/price/count, dilution of existing holders and impact on parent capital and solvency; do not treat new investor payment as old-holder cash.

24
内容を開く
event_id

crisis-2034-01

fiscal_year
2034
event_type

employee_trust_open_market_purchase

date_status

unconfirmed_assumed

date_fields
trust_purchase_execution_date_assumed

2034-06-15

first_revalidation_date_assumed

2034-06-15

revalidation_due_dates_assumed
1

2034-06-15

on_earlier_announcement

revalidate_immediately

on_actual_execution

reconcile_price_shares_cash_equity_solvency_holder_economics

old_holder_cashflow_expected_oku
0.497028241
company_cash_change_oku
0.582362015
noncash_event
いいえ
checks

Verify EBT purchase confirmations, execution dates, volume, price, number of employee-held shares, resulting old-holder market sale assumptions, cash and eligible own funds.

25
内容を開く
event_id

crisis-2034-02

fiscal_year
2034
event_type

noncash_ebt_shares_vested_to_staff

date_status

unconfirmed_assumed

date_fields
award_vesting_and_share_delivery_date_assumed

2034-08-15

first_revalidation_date_assumed

2034-08-15

revalidation_due_dates_assumed
1

2034-08-15

on_earlier_announcement

revalidate_immediately

on_actual_execution

reconcile_price_shares_cash_equity_solvency_holder_economics

old_holder_cashflow_expected_oku
0
company_cash_change_oku
0
noncash_event
はい
checks

Verify vest/settlement date, actual allocated shares, EBT transfer versus new issuance, trust holdings, eligible dividend shares and old-holder ownership; do NOT create a cash flow from SBC alone.

26
内容を開く
event_id

crisis-2034-03

fiscal_year
2034
event_type

external_equity_financing_not_holder_cash

date_status

unconfirmed_assumed

date_fields
external_share_issue_date_assumed

2034-09-15

first_revalidation_date_assumed

2034-09-15

revalidation_due_dates_assumed
1

2034-09-15

on_earlier_announcement

revalidate_immediately

on_actual_execution

reconcile_price_shares_cash_equity_solvency_holder_economics

old_holder_cashflow_expected_oku
0
company_cash_change_oku
-1.406140441
noncash_event
いいえ
checks

Verify paid-in proceeds, actual issue date/price/count, dilution of existing holders and impact on parent capital and solvency; do not treat new investor payment as old-holder cash.

27
内容を開く
event_id

crisis-2035-01

fiscal_year
2035
event_type

employee_trust_open_market_purchase

date_status

unconfirmed_assumed

date_fields
trust_purchase_execution_date_assumed

2035-06-15

first_revalidation_date_assumed

2035-06-15

revalidation_due_dates_assumed
1

2035-06-15

on_earlier_announcement

revalidate_immediately

on_actual_execution

reconcile_price_shares_cash_equity_solvency_holder_economics

old_holder_cashflow_expected_oku
0.49778636
company_cash_change_oku
0.598668151
noncash_event
いいえ
checks

Verify EBT purchase confirmations, execution dates, volume, price, number of employee-held shares, resulting old-holder market sale assumptions, cash and eligible own funds.

28
内容を開く
event_id

crisis-2035-02

fiscal_year
2035
event_type

noncash_ebt_shares_vested_to_staff

date_status

unconfirmed_assumed

date_fields
award_vesting_and_share_delivery_date_assumed

2035-08-15

first_revalidation_date_assumed

2035-08-15

revalidation_due_dates_assumed
1

2035-08-15

on_earlier_announcement

revalidate_immediately

on_actual_execution

reconcile_price_shares_cash_equity_solvency_holder_economics

old_holder_cashflow_expected_oku
0
company_cash_change_oku
0
noncash_event
はい
checks

Verify vest/settlement date, actual allocated shares, EBT transfer versus new issuance, trust holdings, eligible dividend shares and old-holder ownership; do NOT create a cash flow from SBC alone.

29
内容を開く
event_id

crisis-2035-03

fiscal_year
2035
event_type

external_equity_financing_not_holder_cash

date_status

unconfirmed_assumed

date_fields
external_share_issue_date_assumed

2035-09-17

first_revalidation_date_assumed

2035-09-17

revalidation_due_dates_assumed
1

2035-09-17

on_earlier_announcement

revalidate_immediately

on_actual_execution

reconcile_price_shares_cash_equity_solvency_holder_economics

old_holder_cashflow_expected_oku
0
company_cash_change_oku
-1.650691582
noncash_event
いいえ
checks

Verify paid-in proceeds, actual issue date/price/count, dilution of existing holders and impact on parent capital and solvency; do not treat new investor payment as old-holder cash.

30
内容を開く
event_id

crisis-2036-01

fiscal_year
2036
event_type

employee_trust_open_market_purchase

date_status

unconfirmed_assumed

date_fields
trust_purchase_execution_date_assumed

2036-06-16

first_revalidation_date_assumed

2036-06-16

revalidation_due_dates_assumed
1

2036-06-16

on_earlier_announcement

revalidate_immediately

on_actual_execution

reconcile_price_shares_cash_equity_solvency_holder_economics

old_holder_cashflow_expected_oku
0.496306335
company_cash_change_oku
0.61543086
noncash_event
いいえ
checks

Verify EBT purchase confirmations, execution dates, volume, price, number of employee-held shares, resulting old-holder market sale assumptions, cash and eligible own funds.

31
内容を開く
event_id

crisis-2036-02

fiscal_year
2036
event_type

noncash_ebt_shares_vested_to_staff

date_status

unconfirmed_assumed

date_fields
award_vesting_and_share_delivery_date_assumed

2036-08-15

first_revalidation_date_assumed

2036-08-15

revalidation_due_dates_assumed
1

2036-08-15

on_earlier_announcement

revalidate_immediately

on_actual_execution

reconcile_price_shares_cash_equity_solvency_holder_economics

old_holder_cashflow_expected_oku
0
company_cash_change_oku
0
noncash_event
はい
checks

Verify vest/settlement date, actual allocated shares, EBT transfer versus new issuance, trust holdings, eligible dividend shares and old-holder ownership; do NOT create a cash flow from SBC alone.

32
内容を開く
event_id

crisis-2036-03

fiscal_year
2036
event_type

external_equity_financing_not_holder_cash

date_status

unconfirmed_assumed

date_fields
external_share_issue_date_assumed

2036-09-15

first_revalidation_date_assumed

2036-09-15

revalidation_due_dates_assumed
1

2036-09-15

on_earlier_announcement

revalidate_immediately

on_actual_execution

reconcile_price_shares_cash_equity_solvency_holder_economics

old_holder_cashflow_expected_oku
0
company_cash_change_oku
-1.965272158
noncash_event
いいえ
checks

Verify paid-in proceeds, actual issue date/price/count, dilution of existing holders and impact on parent capital and solvency; do not treat new investor payment as old-holder cash.

future_event_revalidation_schedule_count
32
operating_profit_display_2036
内容を開く
year
2036
metric

IFRS_consolidated_Operating_profit_issuer_presentation_analogue

display_label_ja

2036年予測営業利益(IFRS連結損益計算書準拠・会社予想ではない)

状態

ANALYST_FORECAST_UNCONFIRMED

full_fiscal_year_start_date

2036-01-01

full_fiscal_year_end_date

2036-12-31

full_FY2036_operating_profit_oku
-2.391363522
full_FY2036_PBT_continuing_oku
-2.688343138
full_FY2036_net_finance_costs_oku
-0.296979614
full_FY2036_operating_profit_bridge_oku
内容を開く
ifrs17_insurance_revenue
40.249588846
insurance_service_expenses_including_sbc
-37.703838855
net_reinsurance_service_result
-3.526898099
insurance_service_result
-0.981148108
investment_return
1.675040563
net_insurance_finance_result
-1.020767863
net_insurance_and_investment_result
-0.326875408
financial_services_interest_income
1.949221159
financial_services_interest_expense
-1.176788397
net_financial_services_interest
0.772432762
other_revenue_and_profit_commission
1.667887488
other_operating_expenses_including_sbc
-3.495118337
other_operating_expenses_recovered_from_co_insurers
1.082022602
expected_credit_losses_and_writeoffs
-1.683712629
other_operating_before_model_adjustment
-2.428920876
unallocated_model_operating_adjustment_not_issuer_disclosure
-0.408
total_other_operating_income_and_expenses_after_adjustment
-2.836920876
operating_profit
-2.391363522
net_finance_costs_below_operating_profit
-0.296979614
PBT_continuing_group_proxy
-2.688343138
reconciliation_error_oku
2.0E-9
SBC_annual_expense_already_included_in_op_costs
1.188022079
categorisation_note

Additional normalisation is assigned to other operating expenses for the purpose of matching original PBT. It is not a reported future statutory line.

cutoff_2036_11_06_operating_profit_accrued_oku
-2.032005616
cutoff_2036_11_06_net_finance_costs_accrued_oku
-0.25235153
cutoff_2036_11_06_PBT_accrued_oku
-2.284357147
reconciliation_abs_error_FY_oku
2.0E-9
independent_of_valuation_terminal_PE_PBR_reversion
はい
terminal_sbc_share_neutral_continuation
内容を開く
状態

analyst_assumption_not_issuer_guidance

terminal_stock_and_parent_equity_date

2036-11-06

FY2036_projected_employee_transactions
内容を開く
year
2036
状態

all modeled 2036 EBT purchases and share deliveries occurred by the 2036-11-06 horizon; no 2036-11-07 to Dec31 employee share event assumed

FY2036_SBC_pnl_expense_after_tax_profit_has_impact_oku
1.188022079
FY2036_SBC_equity_credit_full_year_forecast_oku
1.188022079
FY2036_SBC_equity_credit_recognized_by_horizon_oku
1.009494171
FY2036_stock_awards_delivered_shares
1781330.8741455
FY2036_employee_trust_open_market_purchase_shares
2754398.851651
FY2036_employee_trust_cash_purchase_oku
0.61543086
2036_employee_trust_execution_price_gbp_per_share_assumed
22.343563613
2036_award_equivalent_cash_for_share_number_neutrality_oku
0.39801279702271
2036_incremental_cash_vs_executed_ebt_to_match_deliveries_oku
-0.21741806297729
2036_share_inventory_delta_purchases_minus_deliveries
973067.97750544
trust_shares_start_2036
4849030.373
trust_shares_at_2036_11_06
5822098.351
trust_end_reconciliation_error_shares
-0.00049456395208836
FY2036_company_total_share_issuance_delta
11276534.635728
year_2036_current_buyback_dividends_EBT_already_in_parent_book_equity
はい
non_cash_ebt_awards_are_not_company_cashflow_or_original_cohort_cashflow
はい
market_purchase_event_assumed_date

2036-06-16

share_delivery_event_assumed_date

2036-08-15

future_date_status

forecast_only_not_announced

FY2037_first_full_forward_year
内容を開く
forecast_period_start

2036-11-07

forecast_period_end

2037-11-06

FY2037_calendar_earnings_used_as_next_12_month_proxy_not_exact_stub

The underlying model reports FY2037 calendar P&L and normalizes it as a proxy for the 12 months from 2036-11-07; this is a projection approximation, not exact calendar-year or IFRS17 partial-period accrual.

original_FY2037_IFRS_parent_profit_after_expensed_SBC_oku
-3.167685267
normalized_FY2037_IFRS_parent_profit_after_expensed_SBC_oku
-2.090672276
normalized_multiplier
0.66
SBC_2037_pnl_already_expensed_in_parent_earnings_oku
1.22366274137
SBC_2037_equity_capital_credit_oku
1.22366274137
deferred_tax_on_share_scheme_credit_forecast_oku
0
assumed_2037_stock_awards_delivered_shares
1802706.8446353
assumed_2037_employee_trust_purchased_shares
未確認
first_year_share_number_neutral

No: zero-value crisis outcome cannot fund market purchases

outside_dividend_eligible_shares_before
365793880.986
outside_dividend_eligible_shares_after
未確認
existing_trust_inventory_assumed_stabilized_at_horizon_shares
5822098.351
original_old_cohort_shares_before
284459442.277
old_cohort_pro_rata_shares_sold_into_trust_2037
未確認
original_old_cohort_shares_after
未確認
company_fundamental_equity_value_start_oku
0
2037_end_post_distribution_equity_value_oku
未確認
share_market_price_for_2037_purchase_gbp_analyst_fundamental
未確認
cash_required_to_fund_2037_awards_at_post_distribution_intrinsic_price_oku
未確認
normalized_net_income_plus_non_cash_credit_oku
-0.86700953463
normalized_cash_available_after_share_scheme_replenishment_before_growth_oku
未確認
required_parent_book_equity_growth_oku
0.07729733399
sustainable_regular_and_surplus_distributions_oku
0
sustainable_payout_shortfall_oku
0.94430686862
illustrative_regular_dividend_at_65pct_normalized_profit_oku
0
illustrative_discretionary_dividend_or_cancelled_buyback_oku
0
parent_book_end_clean_surplus_oku
未確認
parent_book_end_required_at_perpetual_g_oku
15.53676413199
capital_adequacy_note

Projected FY2037 payout is a stylized sustainable equity payout, not a regulator-approved payout or announced dividend; requires continuing matching eligible own funds and SCR buffers.

fundamental_model_cash_and_award_event_timing_assumption

2037-11-06 forward-year-end equivalent for fixed-point pricing. This replaces the earlier 2027-2036 June/Aug schedule only for post-horizon steady state; actual grant and execution dates could differ.

unconfirmed_market_purchase_date_illustrative

2037-11-06

unconfirmed_share_award_delivery_date_illustrative

2037-11-06

illustrative_events_after_10yr_horizon_not_holder_timed_cashflows
はい
clean_surplus_valuation_bridge
内容を開く
日付

2036-11-06

book_parent_equity_start_oku
15.459466798
normalized_IFRS_profit_after_SBC_oku
-2.090672276
SBC_equity_credit_non_cash_oku
1.22366274137
market_purchase_trust_cash_outflow_oku
未確認
equity_available_before_dividend_and_reinvestment_oku
未確認
annual_parent_book_growth_rate_g
0.005
retained_book_growth_required_oku
0.07729733399
sustainable_cash_payout_to_outside_shareholders_excluding_EBT_sales_oku
未確認
book_equity_end_after_payout_and_EBT_oku
未確認
residual_income_after_trust_capital_credit_adjustment_oku
-2.25836154645
perpetual_gordon_residual_income_oku
-26.56895937
book_plus_residual_income_after_zero_floor_oku
0
fixed_point_denominator
0.089952844957316
fixed_point_numerator_oku
-0.94430686862
terminal_group_value_oku
0
old_holder_fraction_at_2036_11_06
0.77764953724824
terminal_old_holder_value_oku
0
formula_if_positive

V=E+(NI_after_SBC+credit-B-k*E)/(k-g) ; B=awards_2037*(1+g)*V*1e8/X/1e8 ; therefore V=(NI_after_SBC+credit-g*E)/(k-g+(awards/X)*(1+g)) ; D=NI_after_SBC+credit-B-g*E

IFRS_equity_bridge_formula

E_2037=E_2036+PAT_after_SBC+noncash_SBC_equity_credit+tax_credit_0 -cash_EBT -cash_dividend_and_company_buyback

non_recurring_2036_purchases_not_deducted_again_in_terminal
はい
no_non_cash_SBC_in_timed_holder_cashflows
はい
terminal_continuation_not_treating_SBC_equity_credit_as_free_owner_cash
はい
oldholder_first_forward_year_pro_rata_equivalence_check
内容を開く
oldholder_terminal_entry_value_oku
0
oldholder_2037_dividend_and_regular_buyback_cash_ex_EBT_oku
未確認
oldholder_2037_ebt_sale_cash_oku
未確認
oldholder_2037_remaining_shares
未確認
oldholder_2037_remaining_equity_value_oku
未確認
sum_2037_oldholder_cashes_plus_remaining_equity_oku
未確認
required_2037_oldholder_expected_wealth_at_k_oku
未確認
single_year_return_matches_discount_rate
未確認
no_market_purchase_counterfactual_issue_new_2037_award_shares
未確認
no_market_purchase_counterfactual_parent_equity_after_2037_oku
未確認
no_market_purchase_counterfactual_group_equity_value_oku
未確認
no_market_purchase_counterfactual_outside_share_count
未確認
no_market_purchase_counterfactual_oldholder_end_equity_value_oku
未確認
counterfactual_equivalence_error_oku
未確認
注記

Funded EBT purchase plus proportional holder sale and an economically equivalent new employee share issue yield the same old holder wealth at the same share intrinsic price. These are alternative accounting paths; DO NOT both subtract funding cost and apply new issuance dilution.

price_and_scheme_cost_sensitivity
内容を開く
2036_assumed_trading_price_gbp
22.343563613
2037_extrapolated_2036_market_price_gbp
21.114667614285
2037_extrapolated_market_price_cash_neutral_oku
0.3806355583047
terminal_cohort_value_if_2037_market_execution_price_extrapolated_oku
0
caveat_market_price_extrapolation

Not self-consistent intrinsic-price funding: extra sensitivity only, not terminal base case

sensitivity_cash_price_multiplier_intrinsic_base
below_20pct
0
base
0
above_20pct
0
interpretation

Lower funding transaction price reduces EBT capital consumption, higher price increases it; intrinsic-model base uses fair value, not current market P/E or P/B.

unconfirmed_information
内容を開く
1

Employee trust share counts and future vestings are forecasts

2

2037+ SBC equity credit and whether deferred tax credits recur are assumptions

3

post-2036 expected retained share capital and Solvency II requirements may differ

4

2037 EBT price is solved from discounted business value, not a traded market price

5

future LTIP performance conditions may lead to delivery variance

売上高
43.866697492
営業利益
-2.391363522
純利益
-2.686343138
equity_oku
15.459466798
期間内の親会社利益合計(億)
-16.557848852
multiple
kind

residual_income

why

普通株資本、SBC資本組入れと従業員信託の継続買付を整合させた残余利益法による終価。

detail
内容を開く
方法

SBC_clean_surplus_residual_income_endogenous_fair_value_share_neutral_v3

終価の基準日

2036-11-06

forecast_2037_annual_parent_profit_after_sbc_oku
-3.167685267
sustainability_haircut_multiplier
0.66
normalized_next_12m_profit_oku
-2.090672276
parent_book_equity_terminal_oku
15.459466798
required_return
0.09
perpetual_reinvestment_supported_growth
0.005
residual_income_oku
-2.25836154645
group_fundamental_equity_value_oku
0
old_cohort_remaining_fraction
0.777649537
cohort_terminal_value_oku
0
method_notes

Correction: the original RI applied IFRS parent NI after SBC but omitted the recurring IAS32-equity recredit and funded market EBT acquisitions. The FY2037 equity bridge is E1=E0+normalized NI after expensed SBC+SBC capital credit -market employee trust cash purchases -sustainable dividends/corporate repurchases. At stable outside shares, bought shares equal grants; cash funding B=A*V1/X at fundamental post-year-end price; group intrinsic V=(NI+C-g*E)/(k-g+(A/X)*(1+g)). This is exactly E+(NI+C-B-k*E)/(k-g). The valuation for the original outside cohort is group intrinsic V * original remaining outside fraction, assuming all next-year EBT sales are pro rata at fair value and both sale cash and fewer remaining shares are respected. Beyond 2036 cash from employee trust sales is NOT added again to the terminal value. 2036 actual modeled EBT buys have already reduced book equity and shareholder shares, so not charged again. No market P/E or P/B multiple is used, no insurance investment asset double-counted. Zero-floor case is capital-stress/downside, not a financed going concern.

normalized_next_12m_distributable_earnings_after_market_EBT_funding_oku
-0.86700953463
sustainable_2037_distributable_cash_excluding_trust_purchases_oku
0
2037_required_purchase_funding_oku
未確認
2037_purchase_price_fundamental_gbp_assumed
未確認
2037_share_scheme_equity_credit_oku
1.22366274137
2037_share_scheme_pnl_expense_oku
1.22366274137
2037_award_shares_assumed
1802706.8446353
terminal_book_growth_required_oku
0.07729733399
terminal_2037_nominal_COE_oku
1.39135201182
pre_v3_uncorrected_terminal_company_equity_value_oku
0
pre_v3_uncorrected_terminal_old_holder_value_oku
0

金額の単位

oku_GBP

未確認事項

1

2026-11-06 official exchange auction close not independently retrieved, independently archived close used

2

2026-11-06 EBT exact outstanding shares not publicly verified; initial assumed 3.3m, sensitivity provided

3

Nov4 repurchase announcement says following cancellation share count, not primary confirmation of 11/06 legal-effective cancellation

4

No 2026 Q3 IFRS balance released, equity and regulatory own funds are date-mismatched proxy

5

2026 H2 and later IFRS profit/claims cost and business volume and future special dividends are scenario assumptions

6

Forecast share-based employee awards and EBT purchases are modeled, actual employee vesting and future trustees unknown

7

Forecast SCR and ownfunds are simplified sensitivities, not a regulatory actuarial model

8

Equity methods ignore further OCI/deferred tax FX and loss-carryforward details, and no future acquisition or hybrid debt refinancing is explicitly forecast

9

No exchange rates applied: all GBP; European euro operations assumed translated into reported GBP and implicitly captured in scenario growth

10

Future ex dates and corporate action dates are scenario assumptions only. Actual RNS announcements or execution need immediate revalidation of financials and old cohort ownership; assumed dates have no confirmation status.

11

2036 forecast operating profit is not issuer-reported IFRS: issuer H1 classification is mirrored; -0.408 oku GBP annual scenario normalization is included within other operating expenses to preserve existing PBT reconciliation.

12

2037+ cash-neutral EBT replenishment assumes buy at end-of-period fair intrinsic share value rather than a traded forward price; actual price may differ markedly.

13

SBC equity credit is forecast to equal equity-settled SBC expenses; no future deferred tax equity credit modeled (2026 H1 realized £6.3m).

14

2037+ fixed stock award counts grow 1.2% annually and share-neutral EBT purchases are assumed sustainable; the company may change the scheme or funding mix.

15

Crisis terminal = 0 is a franchise going-concern stress value, not a documented asset-liquidation recovery. Negative distributable cash indicates inadequate capital, and share neutrality not financeable at any positive quoted price.

16

Regulatory capital including Solvency II eligible own funds does not mechanically equal IFRS equity and its projected ratio is only a sensitivity; 2037+ capital and dividend authorization uncertain.

分析基準とデータ

価格・単価
39.34
株価基準日

2026-11-06

株数
301798630
株価の出所

https://stockanalysis.com/quote/lon/ADM/history/

株数の出所

https://www.admiralgroup.co.uk/news-releases/news-release-details/transaction-own-shares-3

detail
価格・単価
内容を開く
日付

2026-11-06

close_pence
3934
close_gbp
39.34
currency

GBP

source_url

https://stockanalysis.com/quote/lon/ADM/history/

状態

independent_secondary_market_data

market_price_changes_no_predictive_input_to_terminal
はい
株数
内容を開く
published_shares_2026_06_30
306304676
published_shares_2026_10_30
305254676
cumulative_corporate_repurchase_shares_2026_09_30_to_2026_11_03
1206046
share_count_post_cancellation_per_2026_11_04_release
305098630
share_count_status

company_announced_post_cancellation_pro_forma; final effective date for cancellation not independently checked

treasury_shares_2026_11_04
0
ebt_unvested_shares_2026_06_30_exact
未確認
ebt_non_dividend_eligible_share_count_2026_06_30_approx
3304676
ebt_2026_11_06_assumed
3300000
ebt_latest_precise_count_verified
いいえ
excluded_from_dividends
はい
outside_ebt_shares_2026_11_06_estimate
301798630
old_holder_cohort_initial_shares
301798630
old_holder_cohort_definition

11/6時点、従業員信託を除く外部普通株主全体。将来の会社買戻し・EBT市場取得へ比例売却。株式交付・第三者増資には参加しない。全株主群が受け取る現金と残存持分は同じ群。

initial_old_cohort_mcap_oku
118.727581042
calculation

(305098630-3300000)*39.34/1e8

fully_diluted_future_2026_H1_weighted_shares
305604323
fully_diluted_not_issued_or_trust_stock

将来権利確定予定の株式報酬約374万株相当は外部株数や既存EBT在庫と同じではない

source_urls
1

https://www.admiralgroup.co.uk/news-releases/news-release-details/transaction-own-shares-3

2

https://admiralgroup.co.uk/share-capital

3

https://www.admiralgroup.co.uk/news-releases/news-release-details/half-year-financial-report

sensitivity_ebt_stock_at_cutoff_unknown
sensitivity_range_shares
1
2500000
2
4000000
initial_outside_shares_range
1
301098630
2
302598630
valuation_mcap_oku_range
1
118.452201042
2
119.042301042

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