株譜

AI 銘柄分析 · 10年

Smiths Group plc

SMIN · GBP · 分析基準日 2026-11-06

産業用シールと熱管理の事業を持つが、買収・売却後の現金配分と負債を含めて評価する。

10年期待年率3.63%
資本コスト9.00%
直近終値25.73 GBP2026-11-06

AIによるシナリオ分析です。基準日以降の出来事、株価や為替の変化は個別に確認が必要です。各数値は元の分析の単位と前提に従います。

分析の要約

John CraneとFlex-Tekの競争力、設備投資、運転資本、税、従業員株式報酬の負担を考慮した10年評価です。事業売却益の再発生は仮定していません。基準日時点の現金・株数や、将来の買戻し・配当は推計です。将来のリース支払と利息の税効果は過去のグループ実績を参考にした仮定で、控除可能性は未確認です。終点前に権利が発生し、終点後に支払われる想定配当は未収権利として終価に含めています。財務情報の出典はSmithsの2026年年次報告と業績発表、終値は二次株価情報です。

事業

産業用シールや交換部品を扱うJohn Craneと、熱管理や航空宇宙向け部品を扱うFlex-Tekが中核。2026年に売却した2事業は継続事業として扱いません。

競争力・事業の質

顧客設備への組込みと保守需要が競争力となる一方、設備投資循環、住宅建設、石綿関連債務、買収統合に注意。

業界と環境

エネルギー・産業設備の維持需要と、航空宇宙・住宅建設の需要動向に左右されます。

財務・資本配分

事業売却後の現金、買戻し残額、リース、石綿関連債務と株式報酬に必要な現金を分けて扱います。

評価の前提と確認

直近の事業売却益や調整後利益をそのまま継続利益とせず、維持投資後の株主価値と複数シナリオで検討します。

資本コストの前提

資本コスト
9.00%
rationale

Uniform 9% owner equity required return; unlevered future cash flow capitalized at 9%, conservative vs company WACC; do not use market P/E

tax_nominal_assumption
0.245

事業別データ

事業別の内訳と、収録されている年度別データを確認できます。

事業別データを開く →

10年のシナリオ

シナリオごとの確率、期間内の株主還元・追加負担、終価です。金額は億GBP。株主の範囲や受取時点は各分析の前提を確認してください。

シナリオ確率株主還元・追加負担終価
非常に強気:技術深耕・高収益買収10.0%35.51109.86
強気:投資回収と利益率改善20.0%31.8982.70
中立:FY2027ガイダンス近傍と緩やかな複利40.0%29.5066.20
弱気:住宅・エネルギー循環と還元遅延20.0%23.4439.96
厳しい弱気:設備投資停滞・訴訟積増し10.0%17.3220.16

非常に強気:技術深耕・高収益買収(確率 10.0%)

John Craneのアフターサービス拡大とFlex-Tekのデータセンター冷却・航空需要が想定超過。石綿負債譲渡も低コストで完了。

確率の根拠

主観的シナリオ重み。市場が示す客観的確率ではない。

このシナリオの数値・キャッシュフローを開く →

強気:投資回収と利益率改善(確率 20.0%)

アフターサービスと熱管理の成長が良好で、2027年のガイダンスを上回り成熟期も高資本効率を維持。

確率の根拠

主観的シナリオ重み。市場が示す客観的確率ではない。

このシナリオの数値・キャッシュフローを開く →

中立:FY2027ガイダンス近傍と緩やかな複利(確率 40.0%)

John Craneの更新需要が堅調、Flex-Tekは米住宅市場が徐々に回復。売却済み事業の利益は反復せず、石綿負債の譲渡費を計上。

確率の根拠

主観的シナリオ重み。市場が示す客観的確率ではない。

このシナリオの数値・キャッシュフローを開く →

弱気:住宅・エネルギー循環と還元遅延(確率 20.0%)

建設・プロセス産業の需要停滞。買戻しは約25%遅延し現金として残る。石綿負債譲渡は不成立。

確率の根拠

主観的シナリオ重み。市場が示す客観的確率ではない。

このシナリオの数値・キャッシュフローを開く →

厳しい弱気:設備投資停滞・訴訟積増し(確率 10.0%)

エネルギー設備の更新と米建設が長期停滞。訴訟負担を追加認識し、当初公表の買戻し計画も大幅縮小。

確率の根拠

主観的シナリオ重み。市場が示す客観的確率ではない。

事業別の前提

1
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名称

John Crane

数量
1
価格・単価
10.981450180264
営業利益
未確認
2
内容を開く
名称

Flex-Tek

数量
1
価格・単価
7.0542558968489
営業利益
未確認

日付別キャッシュフロー

1
内容を開く
想定日

2026-11-18

year
0.032854209446
金額
0
種類

AGM_and_Q1_trading_update_review

source_status

confirmed_calendar

is_cash_to_old_holders
いいえ
注記

2026 final dividend approval, ongoing repurchases, 5/6 Nov unreported trades and Q1 IFRS/operating guidance require refresh

2
内容を開く
想定日

2026-11-23

year
0.046543463381
金額
0
種類

prior_ex_date_dividend_paid_ineligible

source_status

confirmed_schedule_subject_to_AGM

is_cash_to_old_holders
いいえ
company_dividend_cash_oku
0.938
per_share_gbp
0.335
record_date

2026-10-16

注記

2026-11-06 purchaser ineligible; £93.8m company cost is estimate for pre-cutoff October record cohort

ex_date_model_context

2026-10-15

3
内容を開く
想定日

2026-12-10

year
0.093086926762
金額
0.025000054333
種類

ebt_market_purchase

source_status

forecast

is_cash_to_old_holders
はい
company_cash_cost_oku
0.025
avg_execution_price_gbp
25.705939
shares_purchased
97254
old_holder_shares_sold
97254
old_holder_shares_before
270876790
old_holder_shares_after
270779536
old_holder_fraction_after
1
4
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想定日

2026-12-15

year
0.106776180698
金額
0
種類

sbc_existing_ebt_share_delivery

source_status

forecast

is_cash_to_old_holders
いいえ
delivered_shares
65000
ebt_shares_before
1591134
ebt_shares_after
1526134
old_holder_fraction_after
0.999760009927
注記

no cash paid by old holders; EBT shares transferred to employee public float; P&L expense and capital credit modeled

5
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想定日

2026-12-18

year
0.11498973306
金額
0.799807909081
種類

issuer_repurchase

source_status

forecast

is_cash_to_old_holders
はい
company_cash_cost_oku
0.8
avg_execution_price_gbp
25.700281
shares_purchased
3112806
old_holder_shares_sold
3112058.95746
old_holder_shares_before
270779536
old_holder_shares_after
267667477.04254
old_holder_fraction_after
0.999760009927
6
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想定日

2027-02-23

year
0.298425735797
金額
0
種類

bond_principal_maturity_repayment

source_status

contractual_maturity_date_verified_FX_book_cash_forecast

is_cash_to_old_holders
いいえ
company_cash_spend_oku
5.54
注記

€650m bonds contractual Feb23 2027/Nov13 2033 via LSE bond listing; GBP book values used as cash settlement proxies, no refinancing forecast

7
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想定日

2027-03-15

year
0.35318275154
金額
0
種類

sbc_existing_ebt_share_delivery

source_status

forecast

is_cash_to_old_holders
いいえ
delivered_shares
710000
ebt_shares_before
1526134
ebt_shares_after
816134
old_holder_fraction_after
0.997115750381
注記

no cash paid by old holders; EBT shares transferred to employee public float; P&L expense and capital credit modeled

8
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想定日

2027-03-17

year
0.358658453114
金額
0.997115864904
種類

issuer_repurchase

source_status

forecast

is_cash_to_old_holders
はい
company_cash_cost_oku
1
avg_execution_price_gbp
25.63742
shares_purchased
3900549
old_holder_shares_sold
3889298.843033
old_holder_shares_before
267667477.04254
old_holder_shares_after
263778178.19951
old_holder_fraction_after
0.997115750381
9
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想定日

2027-04-01

year
0.399726214921
金額
0
種類

dividend_ex_date_review

source_status

forecast

is_cash_to_old_holders
いいえ
payment_date

2027-05-14

per_share_gbp
0.14775
dividend_type

interim

entitled_old_holder_shares
263778178.19951
company_eligible_shares
264541181
注記

pay amount based on this ex-date snapshot, not later shares

ex_date_model_context

2027-04-01

10
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想定日

2027-05-14

year
0.517453798768
金額
0.38973225829
種類

dividend_paid

source_status

forecast

is_cash_to_old_holders
はい
company_dividend_cash_oku
0.390859595
ex_date

2027-04-01

per_share_gbp
0.14775
entitled_old_holder_shares
263778178.19951
payment_date

2027-05-14

dividend_type

interim

11
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想定日

2027-07-16

year
0.689938398357
金額
1.395962110994
種類

issuer_repurchase

source_status

forecast

is_cash_to_old_holders
はい
company_cash_cost_oku
1.4
avg_execution_price_gbp
25.552202
shares_purchased
5478980
old_holder_shares_sold
5463177.254023
old_holder_shares_before
263778178.19951
old_holder_shares_after
258315000.94548
old_holder_fraction_after
0.997115750381
12
内容を開く
想定日

2027-08-17

year
0.777549623546
金額
0.192642696122
種類

ebt_market_purchase

source_status

forecast

is_cash_to_old_holders
はい
company_cash_cost_oku
0.1932
avg_execution_price_gbp
25.529713
shares_purchased
756765
old_holder_shares_sold
754582.300837
old_holder_shares_before
258315000.94548
old_holder_shares_after
257560418.64465
old_holder_fraction_after
0.997115750381
13
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想定日

2027-09-23

year
0.878850102669
金額
0
種類

anniversary_award_vesting_estimate_recheck

source_status

forecast

is_cash_to_old_holders
いいえ
grant_announced

2026-09-23

estimated_grant_value_oku
0.04
注記

£400 per employee anniversary award grant confirmed, vest date uncertain; ongoing share model covers equivalent EBT funded SBC cash

14
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想定日

2027-10-21

year
0.955509924709
金額
0
種類

dividend_ex_date_review

source_status

forecast

is_cash_to_old_holders
いいえ
payment_date

2027-11-23

per_share_gbp
0.329975
dividend_type

final

entitled_old_holder_shares
257560418.64465
company_eligible_shares
258305436
注記

pay amount based on this ex-date snapshot, not later shares

ex_date_model_context

2027-10-21

15
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想定日

2027-11-03

year
0.991101984942
金額
0
種類

legacy_asbestos_provision_cash_utilisation_not_holder_CF

source_status

forecast

is_cash_to_old_holders
いいえ
company_cash_used_oku
0.15
remaining_asbestos_provision_oku
1.38
16
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想定日

2027-11-23

year
1.045859000684
金額
0.849884991423
種類

dividend_paid

source_status

forecast

is_cash_to_old_holders
はい
company_dividend_cash_oku
0.852343362
ex_date

2027-10-21

per_share_gbp
0.329975
entitled_old_holder_shares
257560418.64465
payment_date

2027-11-23

dividend_type

final

17
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想定日

2027-12-17

year
1.111567419576
金額
1.595385085092
種類

issuer_repurchase

source_status

forecast

is_cash_to_old_holders
はい
company_cash_cost_oku
1.6
avg_execution_price_gbp
25.444154
shares_purchased
6288281
old_holder_shares_sold
6270144.027922
old_holder_shares_before
257560418.64465
old_holder_shares_after
251290274.61672
old_holder_fraction_after
0.997115750381
18
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想定日

2028-03-15

year
1.35523613963
金額
0
種類

sbc_existing_ebt_share_delivery

source_status

forecast

is_cash_to_old_holders
いいえ
delivered_shares
690000
ebt_shares_before
1572899
ebt_shares_after
882899
old_holder_fraction_after
0.994393192455
注記

no cash paid by old holders; EBT shares transferred to employee public float; P&L expense and capital credit modeled

19
内容を開く
想定日

2028-04-06

year
1.415468856947
金額
0
種類

dividend_ex_date_review

source_status

forecast

is_cash_to_old_holders
いいえ
payment_date

2028-05-15

per_share_gbp
0.14553375
dividend_type

interim

entitled_old_holder_shares
251290274.61672
company_eligible_shares
252707155
注記

pay amount based on this ex-date snapshot, not later shares

ex_date_model_context

2028-04-06

20
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想定日

2028-05-15

year
1.522245037645
金額
0.365712160035
種類

dividend_paid

source_status

forecast

is_cash_to_old_holders
はい
company_dividend_cash_oku
0.367774199
ex_date

2028-04-06

per_share_gbp
0.14553375
entitled_old_holder_shares
251290274.61672
payment_date

2028-05-15

dividend_type

interim

21
内容を開く
想定日

2028-08-17

year
1.779603011636
金額
0.196919744237
種類

ebt_market_purchase

source_status

forecast

is_cash_to_old_holders
はい
company_cash_cost_oku
0.19803
avg_execution_price_gbp
25.273894
shares_purchased
783536
old_holder_shares_sold
779142.864444
old_holder_shares_before
251290274.61672
old_holder_shares_after
250511131.75228
old_holder_fraction_after
0.994393192455
22
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想定日

2028-09-25

year
1.886379192334
金額
0
種類

hypothetical_extra_asbestos_provision_noncash

source_status

forecast

is_cash_to_old_holders
いいえ
extra_provision_oku
0.9
recognition_in_parent_NI_oku
-0.9
23
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想定日

2028-10-19

year
1.952087611225
金額
0
種類

dividend_ex_date_review

source_status

forecast

is_cash_to_old_holders
いいえ
payment_date

2028-11-23

per_share_gbp
0.325025375
dividend_type

final

entitled_old_holder_shares
250511131.75228
company_eligible_shares
251923619
注記

pay amount based on this ex-date snapshot, not later shares

ex_date_model_context

2028-10-19

24
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想定日

2028-11-03

year
1.993155373032
金額
0
種類

legacy_asbestos_provision_cash_utilisation_not_holder_CF

source_status

forecast

is_cash_to_old_holders
いいえ
company_cash_used_oku
0.15
remaining_asbestos_provision_oku
2.13
25
内容を開く
想定日

2028-11-23

year
2.047912388775
金額
0.814224745395
種類

dividend_paid

source_status

forecast

is_cash_to_old_holders
はい
company_dividend_cash_oku
0.818815687
ex_date

2028-10-19

per_share_gbp
0.325025375
entitled_old_holder_shares
250511131.75228
payment_date

2028-11-23

dividend_type

final

26
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想定日

2029-03-15

year
2.354551676934
金額
0
種類

sbc_existing_ebt_share_delivery

source_status

forecast

is_cash_to_old_holders
いいえ
delivered_shares
690000
ebt_shares_before
1666435
ebt_shares_after
976435
old_holder_fraction_after
0.991677062955
注記

no cash paid by old holders; EBT shares transferred to employee public float; P&L expense and capital credit modeled

27
内容を開く
想定日

2029-04-05

year
2.412046543463
金額
0
種類

dividend_ex_date_review

source_status

forecast

is_cash_to_old_holders
いいえ
payment_date

2029-05-14

per_share_gbp
0.143350744
dividend_type

interim

entitled_old_holder_shares
250511131.75228
company_eligible_shares
252613619
注記

pay amount based on this ex-date snapshot, not later shares

ex_date_model_context

2029-04-05

28
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想定日

2029-05-14

year
2.518822724162
金額
0.359109570543
種類

dividend_paid

source_status

forecast

is_cash_to_old_holders
はい
company_dividend_cash_oku
0.362123502
ex_date

2029-04-05

per_share_gbp
0.143350744
entitled_old_holder_shares
250511131.75228
payment_date

2029-05-14

dividend_type

interim

29
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想定日

2029-08-17

year
2.778918548939
金額
0.201291369238
種類

ebt_market_purchase

source_status

forecast

is_cash_to_old_holders
はい
company_cash_cost_oku
0.20298075
avg_execution_price_gbp
25.021328
shares_purchased
811231
old_holder_shares_sold
804479.175458
old_holder_shares_before
250511131.75228
old_holder_shares_after
249706652.57682
old_holder_fraction_after
0.991677062955
30
内容を開く
想定日

2029-10-18

year
2.948665297741
金額
0
種類

dividend_ex_date_review

source_status

forecast

is_cash_to_old_holders
いいえ
payment_date

2029-11-23

per_share_gbp
0.320149994
dividend_type

final

entitled_old_holder_shares
249706652.57682
company_eligible_shares
251802388
注記

pay amount based on this ex-date snapshot, not later shares

ex_date_model_context

2029-10-18

31
内容を開く
想定日

2029-11-03

year
2.992470910335
金額
0
種類

legacy_asbestos_provision_cash_utilisation_not_holder_CF

source_status

forecast

is_cash_to_old_holders
いいえ
company_cash_used_oku
0.15
remaining_asbestos_provision_oku
1.98
32
内容を開く
想定日

2029-11-23

year
3.047227926078
金額
0.799435834179
種類

dividend_paid

source_status

forecast

is_cash_to_old_holders
はい
company_dividend_cash_oku
0.806145331
ex_date

2029-10-18

per_share_gbp
0.320149994
entitled_old_holder_shares
249706652.57682
payment_date

2029-11-23

dividend_type

final

33
内容を開く
想定日

2030-03-15

year
3.353867214237
金額
0
種類

sbc_existing_ebt_share_delivery

source_status

forecast

is_cash_to_old_holders
いいえ
delivered_shares
690000
ebt_shares_before
1787666
ebt_shares_after
1097666
old_holder_fraction_after
0.988967051858
注記

no cash paid by old holders; EBT shares transferred to employee public float; P&L expense and capital credit modeled

34
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想定日

2030-04-04

year
3.408624229979
金額
0
種類

dividend_ex_date_review

source_status

forecast

is_cash_to_old_holders
いいえ
payment_date

2030-05-14

per_share_gbp
0.141200483
dividend_type

interim

entitled_old_holder_shares
249706652.57682
company_eligible_shares
252492388
注記

pay amount based on this ex-date snapshot, not later shares

ex_date_model_context

2030-04-04

35
内容を開く
想定日

2030-05-14

year
3.518138261465
金額
0.352586998507
種類

dividend_paid

source_status

forecast

is_cash_to_old_holders
はい
company_dividend_cash_oku
0.35652047
ex_date

2030-04-04

per_share_gbp
0.141200483
entitled_old_holder_shares
249706652.57682
payment_date

2030-05-14

dividend_type

interim

36
内容を開く
想定日

2030-08-17

year
3.778234086242
金額
0.20575979536
種類

ebt_market_purchase

source_status

forecast

is_cash_to_old_holders
はい
company_cash_cost_oku
0.208055269
avg_execution_price_gbp
24.771285
shares_purchased
839905
old_holder_shares_sold
830638.37169
old_holder_shares_before
249706652.57682
old_holder_shares_after
248876014.20513
old_holder_fraction_after
0.988967051858
37
内容を開く
想定日

2030-10-17

year
3.945242984257
金額
0
種類

dividend_ex_date_review

source_status

forecast

is_cash_to_old_holders
いいえ
payment_date

2030-11-25

per_share_gbp
0.315347744
dividend_type

final

entitled_old_holder_shares
248876014.20513
company_eligible_shares
251652483
注記

pay amount based on this ex-date snapshot, not later shares

ex_date_model_context

2030-10-17

38
内容を開く
想定日

2030-11-03

year
3.991786447639
金額
0
種類

legacy_asbestos_provision_cash_utilisation_not_holder_CF

source_status

forecast

is_cash_to_old_holders
いいえ
company_cash_used_oku
0.15
remaining_asbestos_provision_oku
1.83
39
内容を開く
想定日

2030-11-25

year
4.052019164956
金額
0.784824897296
種類

dividend_paid

source_status

forecast

is_cash_to_old_holders
はい
company_dividend_cash_oku
0.793580429
ex_date

2030-10-17

per_share_gbp
0.315347744
entitled_old_holder_shares
248876014.20513
payment_date

2030-11-25

dividend_type

final

40
内容を開く
想定日

2031-03-15

year
4.35318275154
金額
0
種類

sbc_existing_ebt_share_delivery

source_status

forecast

is_cash_to_old_holders
いいえ
delivered_shares
690000
ebt_shares_before
1937571
ebt_shares_after
1247571
old_holder_fraction_after
0.986262841066
注記

no cash paid by old holders; EBT shares transferred to employee public float; P&L expense and capital credit modeled

41
内容を開く
想定日

2031-04-03

year
4.405201916496
金額
0
種類

dividend_ex_date_review

source_status

forecast

is_cash_to_old_holders
いいえ
payment_date

2031-05-14

per_share_gbp
0.139082475
dividend_type

interim

entitled_old_holder_shares
248876014.20513
company_eligible_shares
252342483
注記

pay amount based on this ex-date snapshot, not later shares

ex_date_model_context

2031-04-03

42
内容を開く
想定日

2031-05-14

year
4.517453798768
金額
0.346142921121
種類

dividend_paid

source_status

forecast

is_cash_to_old_holders
はい
company_dividend_cash_oku
0.350964172
ex_date

2031-04-03

per_share_gbp
0.139082475
entitled_old_holder_shares
248876014.20513
payment_date

2031-05-14

dividend_type

interim

43
内容を開く
想定日

2031-08-17

year
4.777549623546
金額
0.210327189048
種類

ebt_market_purchase

source_status

forecast

is_cash_to_old_holders
はい
company_cash_cost_oku
0.21325665
avg_execution_price_gbp
24.52374
shares_purchased
869593
old_holder_shares_sold
857647.262751
old_holder_shares_before
248876014.20513
old_holder_shares_after
248018366.94238
old_holder_fraction_after
0.986262841066
44
内容を開く
想定日

2031-10-16

year
4.941820670773
金額
0
種類

dividend_ex_date_review

source_status

forecast

is_cash_to_old_holders
いいえ
payment_date

2031-11-24

per_share_gbp
0.310617528
dividend_type

final

entitled_old_holder_shares
248018366.94238
company_eligible_shares
251472890
注記

pay amount based on this ex-date snapshot, not later shares

ex_date_model_context

2031-10-16

45
内容を開く
想定日

2031-11-03

year
4.991101984942
金額
0
種類

legacy_asbestos_provision_cash_utilisation_not_holder_CF

source_status

forecast

is_cash_to_old_holders
いいえ
company_cash_used_oku
0.15
remaining_asbestos_provision_oku
1.68
46
内容を開く
想定日

2031-11-24

year
5.048596851472
金額
0.770388521108
種類

dividend_paid

source_status

forecast

is_cash_to_old_holders
はい
company_dividend_cash_oku
0.781118875
ex_date

2031-10-16

per_share_gbp
0.310617528
entitled_old_holder_shares
248018366.94238
payment_date

2031-11-24

dividend_type

final

47
内容を開く
想定日

2032-03-15

year
5.35523613963
金額
0
種類

sbc_existing_ebt_share_delivery

source_status

forecast

is_cash_to_old_holders
いいえ
delivered_shares
690000
ebt_shares_before
2117164
ebt_shares_after
1427164
old_holder_fraction_after
0.983564103911
注記

no cash paid by old holders; EBT shares transferred to employee public float; P&L expense and capital credit modeled

48
内容を開く
想定日

2032-04-01

year
5.401779603012
金額
0
種類

dividend_ex_date_review

source_status

forecast

is_cash_to_old_holders
いいえ
payment_date

2032-05-14

per_share_gbp
0.136996238
dividend_type

interim

entitled_old_holder_shares
248018366.94238
company_eligible_shares
252162890
注記

pay amount based on this ex-date snapshot, not later shares

ex_date_model_context

2032-04-01

49
内容を開く
想定日

2032-05-14

year
5.519507186858
金額
0.339775832817
種類

dividend_paid

source_status

forecast

is_cash_to_old_holders
はい
company_dividend_cash_oku
0.345453673
ex_date

2032-04-01

per_share_gbp
0.136996238
entitled_old_holder_shares
248018366.94238
payment_date

2032-05-14

dividend_type

interim

50
内容を開く
想定日

2032-08-17

year
5.779603011636
金額
0.214995273541
種類

ebt_market_purchase

source_status

forecast

is_cash_to_old_holders
はい
company_cash_cost_oku
0.218588067
avg_execution_price_gbp
24.278002
shares_purchased
900354
old_holder_shares_sold
885555.875212
old_holder_shares_before
248018366.94238
old_holder_shares_after
247132811.06717
old_holder_fraction_after
0.983564103911
51
内容を開く
想定日

2032-10-21

year
5.957563312799
金額
0
種類

dividend_ex_date_review

source_status

forecast

is_cash_to_old_holders
いいえ
payment_date

2032-11-23

per_share_gbp
0.305958265
dividend_type

final

entitled_old_holder_shares
247132811.06717
company_eligible_shares
251262536
注記

pay amount based on this ex-date snapshot, not later shares

ex_date_model_context

2032-10-21

52
内容を開く
想定日

2032-11-03

year
5.993155373032
金額
0
種類

legacy_asbestos_provision_cash_utilisation_not_holder_CF

source_status

forecast

is_cash_to_old_holders
いいえ
company_cash_used_oku
0.15
remaining_asbestos_provision_oku
1.53
53
内容を開く
想定日

2032-11-23

year
6.047912388775
金額
0.756123261897
種類

dividend_paid

source_status

forecast

is_cash_to_old_holders
はい
company_dividend_cash_oku
0.768758497
ex_date

2032-10-21

per_share_gbp
0.305958265
entitled_old_holder_shares
247132811.06717
payment_date

2032-11-23

dividend_type

final

54
内容を開く
想定日

2033-03-15

year
6.354551676934
金額
0
種類

sbc_existing_ebt_share_delivery

source_status

forecast

is_cash_to_old_holders
いいえ
delivered_shares
690000
ebt_shares_before
2327518
ebt_shares_after
1637518
old_holder_fraction_after
0.980870504384
注記

no cash paid by old holders; EBT shares transferred to employee public float; P&L expense and capital credit modeled

55
内容を開く
想定日

2033-04-07

year
6.417522245038
金額
0
種類

dividend_ex_date_review

source_status

forecast

is_cash_to_old_holders
いいえ
payment_date

2033-05-16

per_share_gbp
0.134941295
dividend_type

interim

entitled_old_holder_shares
247132811.06717
company_eligible_shares
251952536
注記

pay amount based on this ex-date snapshot, not later shares

ex_date_model_context

2033-04-07

56
内容を開く
想定日

2033-05-16

year
6.524298425736
金額
0.333484214762
種類

dividend_paid

source_status

forecast

is_cash_to_old_holders
はい
company_dividend_cash_oku
0.339988014
ex_date

2033-04-07

per_share_gbp
0.134941295
entitled_old_holder_shares
247132811.06717
payment_date

2033-05-16

dividend_type

interim

57
内容を開く
想定日

2033-08-17

year
6.778918548939
金額
0.219766815938
種類

ebt_market_purchase

source_status

forecast

is_cash_to_old_holders
はい
company_cash_cost_oku
0.224052768
avg_execution_price_gbp
24.035387
shares_purchased
932179
old_holder_shares_sold
914346.885906
old_holder_shares_before
247132811.06717
old_holder_shares_after
246218464.18126
old_holder_fraction_after
0.980870504384
58
内容を開く
想定日

2033-10-20

year
6.954140999316
金額
0
種類

dividend_ex_date_review

source_status

forecast

is_cash_to_old_holders
いいえ
payment_date

2033-11-23

per_share_gbp
0.301368891
dividend_type

final

entitled_old_holder_shares
246218464.18126
company_eligible_shares
251020357
注記

pay amount based on this ex-date snapshot, not later shares

ex_date_model_context

2033-10-20

59
内容を開く
想定日

2033-11-03

year
6.992470910335
金額
0
種類

legacy_asbestos_provision_cash_utilisation_not_holder_CF

source_status

forecast

is_cash_to_old_holders
いいえ
company_cash_used_oku
0.15
remaining_asbestos_provision_oku
1.38
60
内容を開く
想定日

2033-11-13

year
7.019849418207
金額
0
種類

bond_principal_maturity_repayment

source_status

contractual_maturity_date_verified_FX_book_cash_forecast

is_cash_to_old_holders
いいえ
company_cash_spend_oku
5.37
注記

€650m bonds contractual Feb23 2027/Nov13 2033 via LSE bond listing; GBP book values used as cash settlement proxies, no refinancing forecast

61
内容を開く
想定日

2033-11-23

year
7.047227926078
金額
0.742025855895
種類

dividend_paid

source_status

forecast

is_cash_to_old_holders
はい
company_dividend_cash_oku
0.756497267
ex_date

2033-10-20

per_share_gbp
0.301368891
entitled_old_holder_shares
246218464.18126
payment_date

2033-11-23

dividend_type

final

62
内容を開く
想定日

2034-03-15

year
7.353867214237
金額
0
種類

sbc_existing_ebt_share_delivery

source_status

forecast

is_cash_to_old_holders
いいえ
delivered_shares
690000
ebt_shares_before
2569697
ebt_shares_after
1879697
old_holder_fraction_after
0.978181697074
注記

no cash paid by old holders; EBT shares transferred to employee public float; P&L expense and capital credit modeled

63
内容を開く
想定日

2034-04-06

year
7.414099931554
金額
0
種類

dividend_ex_date_review

source_status

forecast

is_cash_to_old_holders
いいえ
payment_date

2034-05-15

per_share_gbp
0.132917175
dividend_type

interim

entitled_old_holder_shares
246218464.18126
company_eligible_shares
251710357
注記

pay amount based on this ex-date snapshot, not later shares

ex_date_model_context

2034-04-06

64
内容を開く
想定日

2034-05-15

year
7.520876112252
金額
0.327266627488
種類

dividend_paid

source_status

forecast

is_cash_to_old_holders
はい
company_dividend_cash_oku
0.334566296
ex_date

2034-04-06

per_share_gbp
0.132917175
entitled_old_holder_shares
246218464.18126
payment_date

2034-05-15

dividend_type

interim

65
内容を開く
想定日

2034-08-17

year
7.778234086242
金額
0.224643447736
種類

ebt_market_purchase

source_status

forecast

is_cash_to_old_holders
はい
company_cash_cost_oku
0.229654088
avg_execution_price_gbp
23.795197
shares_purchased
965128
old_holder_shares_sold
944070.544933
old_holder_shares_before
246218464.18126
old_holder_shares_after
245274393.63633
old_holder_fraction_after
0.978181697074
66
内容を開く
想定日

2034-10-19

year
7.950718685832
金額
0
種類

dividend_ex_date_review

source_status

forecast

is_cash_to_old_holders
いいえ
payment_date

2034-11-23

per_share_gbp
0.296848358
dividend_type

final

entitled_old_holder_shares
245274393.63633
company_eligible_shares
250745229
注記

pay amount based on this ex-date snapshot, not later shares

ex_date_model_context

2034-10-19

67
内容を開く
想定日

2034-11-03

year
7.991786447639
金額
0
種類

legacy_asbestos_provision_cash_utilisation_not_holder_CF

source_status

forecast

is_cash_to_old_holders
いいえ
company_cash_used_oku
0.15
remaining_asbestos_provision_oku
1.23
68
内容を開く
想定日

2034-11-23

year
8.046543463381
金額
0.728093010145
種類

dividend_paid

source_status

forecast

is_cash_to_old_holders
はい
company_dividend_cash_oku
0.744333095
ex_date

2034-10-19

per_share_gbp
0.296848358
entitled_old_holder_shares
245274393.63633
payment_date

2034-11-23

dividend_type

final

69
内容を開く
想定日

2035-03-15

year
8.35318275154
金額
0
種類

sbc_existing_ebt_share_delivery

source_status

forecast

is_cash_to_old_holders
いいえ
delivered_shares
690000
ebt_shares_before
2844825
ebt_shares_after
2154825
old_holder_fraction_after
0.975497326337
注記

no cash paid by old holders; EBT shares transferred to employee public float; P&L expense and capital credit modeled

70
内容を開く
想定日

2035-04-05

year
8.41067761807
金額
0
種類

dividend_ex_date_review

source_status

forecast

is_cash_to_old_holders
いいえ
payment_date

2035-05-14

per_share_gbp
0.130923418
dividend_type

interim

entitled_old_holder_shares
245274393.63633
company_eligible_shares
251435229
注記

pay amount based on this ex-date snapshot, not later shares

ex_date_model_context

2035-04-05

71
内容を開く
想定日

2035-05-14

year
8.517453798768
金額
0.321121618654
種類

dividend_paid

source_status

forecast

is_cash_to_old_holders
はい
company_dividend_cash_oku
0.329187595
ex_date

2035-04-05

per_share_gbp
0.130923418
entitled_old_holder_shares
245274393.63633
payment_date

2035-05-14

dividend_type

interim

72
内容を開く
想定日

2035-08-17

year
8.777549623546
金額
0.229627688213
種類

ebt_market_purchase

source_status

forecast

is_cash_to_old_holders
はい
company_cash_cost_oku
0.23539544
avg_execution_price_gbp
23.557407
shares_purchased
999242
old_holder_shares_sold
974757.899363
old_holder_shares_before
245274393.63633
old_holder_shares_after
244299635.73697
old_holder_fraction_after
0.975497326337
73
内容を開く
想定日

2035-10-18

year
8.947296372348
金額
0
種類

dividend_ex_date_review

source_status

forecast

is_cash_to_old_holders
いいえ
payment_date

2035-11-23

per_share_gbp
0.292395633
dividend_type

final

entitled_old_holder_shares
244299635.73697
company_eligible_shares
250435987
注記

pay amount based on this ex-date snapshot, not later shares

ex_date_model_context

2035-10-18

74
内容を開く
想定日

2035-11-03

year
8.991101984942
金額
0
種類

legacy_asbestos_provision_cash_utilisation_not_holder_CF

source_status

forecast

is_cash_to_old_holders
いいえ
company_cash_used_oku
0.15
remaining_asbestos_provision_oku
1.08
75
内容を開く
想定日

2035-11-23

year
9.045859000684
金額
0.714321465466
種類

dividend_paid

source_status

forecast

is_cash_to_old_holders
はい
company_dividend_cash_oku
0.732263889
ex_date

2035-10-18

per_share_gbp
0.292395633
entitled_old_holder_shares
244299635.73697
payment_date

2035-11-23

dividend_type

final

76
内容を開く
想定日

2036-03-15

year
9.35523613963
金額
0
種類

sbc_existing_ebt_share_delivery

source_status

forecast

is_cash_to_old_holders
いいえ
delivered_shares
586311
ebt_shares_before
3154067
ebt_shares_after
2567756
old_holder_fraction_after
0.973218864154
注記

no cash paid by old holders; EBT shares transferred to employee public float; P&L expense and capital credit modeled

77
内容を開く
想定日

2036-04-03

year
9.407255304586
金額
0
種類

dividend_ex_date_review

source_status

forecast

is_cash_to_old_holders
いいえ
payment_date

2036-05-14

per_share_gbp
0.128959566
dividend_type

interim

entitled_old_holder_shares
244299635.73697
company_eligible_shares
251022298
注記

pay amount based on this ex-date snapshot, not later shares

ex_date_model_context

2036-04-03

78
内容を開く
想定日

2036-05-14

year
9.519507186858
金額
0.315047750814
種類

dividend_paid

source_status

forecast

is_cash_to_old_holders
はい
company_dividend_cash_oku
0.323717267
ex_date

2036-04-03

per_share_gbp
0.128959566
entitled_old_holder_shares
244299635.73697
payment_date

2036-05-14

dividend_type

interim

79
内容を開く
想定日

2036-08-17

year
9.779603011636
金額
0.199531701913
種類

ebt_market_purchase

source_status

forecast

is_cash_to_old_holders
はい
company_cash_cost_oku
0.205022353
avg_execution_price_gbp
23.321352
shares_purchased
879119
old_holder_shares_sold
855575.194636
old_holder_shares_before
244299635.73697
old_holder_shares_after
243444060.54233
old_holder_fraction_after
0.973218864154
80
内容を開く
想定日

2036-10-16

year
9.943874058864
金額
0
種類

dividend_ex_date_review

source_status

forecast

is_cash_to_old_holders
いいえ
payment_date

2036-11-24

per_share_gbp
0.288009698
dividend_type

final

entitled_old_holder_shares
243444060.54233
company_eligible_shares
250143179
注記

Forecast date and forecast dividend rate; zero money at ex-date. Entitled old holder shares are fixed on this snapshot; receivable at the 2036-11-06 terminal date appears in terminal and mcap only, not in timed_cashflows.

entitlement_right_classification

predicted_2036_ex_date_not_2026_issuer_confirmed

post_horizon_right_valued_separately
はい
ex_date_model_context

2036-10-16

81
内容を開く
想定日

2036-10-16

year
9.943874058864
金額
0
種類

ex_dividend_future_payment_after_model_end

source_status

forecast

is_cash_to_old_holders
いいえ
post_horizon_payment_date

2036-11-24

outstanding_expected_company_cash_oku
0.720436615
注記

Terminal receivable correction v2: pay 2036-11-24 remains after ten-year horizon; keep amount=0, company liability already reduces ex-div corporate stock value, old-holder discounted receivable included separately in terminal mcap.

old_holder_nominal_unpaid_receivable_oku
0.701142503567
old_holder_2036_11_06_receivable_pv_oku
0.698171100492
future_dividend_payment_not_within_timed_cashflows
はい
82
内容を開く
想定日

2036-10-30

year
9.982203969884
金額
0
種類

legacy_asbestos_provision_cash_utilisation_not_holder_CF

source_status

forecast

is_cash_to_old_holders
いいえ
company_cash_used_oku
0.127459016
remaining_asbestos_provision_oku
0.952540984

その他の数値・前提

売上高
18.035706077113
営業利益
2.2082128574662
純利益
1.1781842697299
equity_oku
18.794240863
期間内の親会社利益合計(億)
11.315544297
multiple
16.973695465435
期間内株主受取
17.318079282
終価
20.160739166357
company_mcap_oku
19.998140996561
adjust_oku
1.866907399
キャッシュフローの算出方法

timed_holder_cashflows_v1

annual_ledger
内容を開く
1
内容を開く
period_id

2026_post_close_55d

period_start

2026-11-07

期間末

2026-12-31

calendar_inclusive_days
55
calendar_year_total_days
365
calendar_fraction
0.150684931507
period_start_year
0.002737850787
period_end_year
0.150581793292
actual_or_forecast

forecast

historical_FY2026_included
いいえ
opening
内容を開く
現金(億)
23.96
gross_borrowings_oku
12.04
equity_parent_oku
23.58
非支配持分資本(億)
0.23
legacy_provision_oku
1.53
発行済株式数
272370670
EBT_shares
1493880
old_holder_shares
270876790
segments
john_crane_revenue_oku
1.559794726
flex_tek_revenue_oku
1.141963154
売上高
2.70175788
headline_op_oku
0.432281261
headline_margin
0.16
nonheadline_cost_oku
0.140136986
of_which_acquired_intang_amort_oku
0.052739726
SBC_total_expensed_oku
0.031643836
SBC_nonheadline_expensed_oku
0.02109589
IFRS_operating_profit_oku
0.292144275
net_finance_oku
-0.018082192
IFRS_profit_before_tax_continuing_oku
0.274062083
tax_expense_continuing_oku
0.071256142
nci_profit_oku
0.001958904
parent_NI_operating_oku
0.200847037
parent_NI_special_oku
0
parent_net_income_oku
0.200847037
D_and_A_oku
0.122054795
cash_capex_oku
0.097945205
working_capital_increment_oku
0.016575342
lease_principal_oku
0.061780822
core_company_FCF_after_tax_oku
0.178696352
cash_paid_prior_ex_dividend_oku
0.938
company_dividends_paid_oku
0.938
issuer_buyback_cash_oku
0.8
EBT_market_buy_cash_oku
0.025
unannounced_MA_cash_oku
0
bond_repayment_oku
0
extra_borrowing_oku
0
residual_disposal_net_cash_oku
0
legacy_liability_cash_oku
0
SBC_equity_credit_oku
0.031643836
NCI_dividend_paid_oku
0.001506849
ending
内容を開く
現金(億)
22.375696352
gross_borrowings_oku
12.04
net_cash_oku
10.335696352
equity_parent_oku
22.049490873
非支配持分資本(億)
0.230452055
legacy_provision_oku
1.53
発行済株式数
269257864
EBT_shares
1526134
old_holder_shares
267667477.04254
float_excluding_ebt
267731730
old_cohort_fraction
0.999760009927
old_holder_cash_received_in_period_oku
0.824807963
events_in_period
5
equity_clean_surplus_residual_oku
0
lease_cashflow_legacy_classification_note

The preexisting lease_principal_oku is a LEGACY FIELD NAME for modeled annual GBP41m ALL-IN lease cash (including interest). This v3 annotates it but does not alter annual forecast cash, finance P&L, tax, shares, capital, payouts or debt. FY2026 GBP6m interest divided by 41m total is a future split assumption, not an audited cash split.

lease_cash_total_incl_interest_oku_metadata_only
0.061780822
lease_principal_component_proxy_oku_metadata_only
0.052739726098
lease_interest_component_proxy_oku_metadata_only
0.009041095902
2
内容を開く
period_id

calendar_2027

period_start

2027-01-01

期間末

2027-12-31

calendar_inclusive_days
365
calendar_year_total_days
365
calendar_fraction
1
period_start_year
0.153319644079
period_end_year
1.149897330595
actual_or_forecast

forecast

historical_FY2026_included
いいえ
opening
内容を開く
現金(億)
22.375696352
gross_borrowings_oku
12.04
equity_parent_oku
22.049490873
非支配持分資本(億)
0.230452055
legacy_provision_oku
1.53
発行済株式数
269257864
EBT_shares
1526134
old_holder_shares
267667477.04254
segments
john_crane_revenue_oku
10.509
flex_tek_revenue_oku
7.85335
売上高
18.36235
headline_op_oku
3.0114254
headline_margin
0.164
nonheadline_cost_oku
0.93
of_which_acquired_intang_amort_oku
0.35
SBC_total_expensed_oku
0.21
SBC_nonheadline_expensed_oku
0.14
IFRS_operating_profit_oku
2.0814254
net_finance_oku
-0.12
IFRS_profit_before_tax_continuing_oku
1.9614254
tax_expense_continuing_oku
0.509970604
nci_profit_oku
0.013
parent_NI_operating_oku
1.438454796
parent_NI_special_oku
0
parent_net_income_oku
1.438454796
D_and_A_oku
0.81
cash_capex_oku
0.65
working_capital_increment_oku
0.04
lease_principal_oku
0.41
core_company_FCF_after_tax_oku
1.361454796
cash_paid_prior_ex_dividend_oku
0
company_dividends_paid_oku
1.243202957
issuer_buyback_cash_oku
4
EBT_market_buy_cash_oku
0.1932
unannounced_MA_cash_oku
0
bond_repayment_oku
5.54
extra_borrowing_oku
0
residual_disposal_net_cash_oku
0
legacy_liability_cash_oku
0.15
SBC_equity_credit_oku
0.21
NCI_dividend_paid_oku
0.01
ending
内容を開く
現金(億)
12.610748191
gross_borrowings_oku
6.5
net_cash_oku
6.110748191
equity_parent_oku
18.261542711
非支配持分資本(億)
0.233452055
legacy_provision_oku
1.38
発行済株式数
253590054
EBT_shares
1572899
old_holder_shares
251290274.61672
float_excluding_ebt
252017155
old_cohort_fraction
0.997115750381
old_holder_cash_received_in_period_oku
5.420723007
events_in_period
12
equity_clean_surplus_residual_oku
-3.69E-10
lease_cashflow_legacy_classification_note

The preexisting lease_principal_oku is a LEGACY FIELD NAME for modeled annual GBP41m ALL-IN lease cash (including interest). This v3 annotates it but does not alter annual forecast cash, finance P&L, tax, shares, capital, payouts or debt. FY2026 GBP6m interest divided by 41m total is a future split assumption, not an audited cash split.

lease_cash_total_incl_interest_oku_metadata_only
0.41
lease_principal_component_proxy_oku_metadata_only
0.35
lease_interest_component_proxy_oku_metadata_only
0.06
3
内容を開く
period_id

calendar_2028

period_start

2028-01-01

期間末

2028-12-31

calendar_inclusive_days
366
calendar_year_total_days
366
calendar_fraction
1
period_start_year
1.152635181383
period_end_year
2.151950718686
actual_or_forecast

forecast

historical_FY2026_included
いいえ
opening
内容を開く
現金(億)
12.610748191
gross_borrowings_oku
6.5
equity_parent_oku
18.261542711
非支配持分資本(億)
0.233452055
legacy_provision_oku
1.38
発行済株式数
253590054
EBT_shares
1572899
old_holder_shares
251290274.61672
segments
john_crane_revenue_oku
10.141185
flex_tek_revenue_oku
7.34288225
売上高
17.48406725
headline_op_oku
2.889242113
headline_margin
0.16525
nonheadline_cost_oku
0.93
of_which_acquired_intang_amort_oku
0.35
SBC_total_expensed_oku
0.21525
SBC_nonheadline_expensed_oku
0.1425
IFRS_operating_profit_oku
1.959242113
net_finance_oku
-0.374046533
IFRS_profit_before_tax_continuing_oku
1.58519558
tax_expense_continuing_oku
0.412150851
nci_profit_oku
0.013
parent_NI_operating_oku
1.16004473
parent_NI_special_oku
-0.9
parent_net_income_oku
0.26004473
D_and_A_oku
0.822
cash_capex_oku
0.65
working_capital_increment_oku
0.04
lease_principal_oku
0.41
core_company_FCF_after_tax_oku
1.10029473
cash_paid_prior_ex_dividend_oku
0
company_dividends_paid_oku
1.186589886
issuer_buyback_cash_oku
0
EBT_market_buy_cash_oku
0.19803
unannounced_MA_cash_oku
0
bond_repayment_oku
0
extra_borrowing_oku
0
residual_disposal_net_cash_oku
0
legacy_liability_cash_oku
0.15
SBC_equity_credit_oku
0.21525
NCI_dividend_paid_oku
0.01
ending
内容を開く
現金(億)
12.176423034
gross_borrowings_oku
6.5
net_cash_oku
5.676423034
equity_parent_oku
17.352217554
非支配持分資本(億)
0.236452055
legacy_provision_oku
2.13
発行済株式数
253590054
EBT_shares
1666435
old_holder_shares
250511131.75228
float_excluding_ebt
251923619
old_cohort_fraction
0.994393192455
old_holder_cash_received_in_period_oku
1.37685665
events_in_period
8
equity_clean_surplus_residual_oku
-5.58E-10
lease_cashflow_legacy_classification_note

The preexisting lease_principal_oku is a LEGACY FIELD NAME for modeled annual GBP41m ALL-IN lease cash (including interest). This v3 annotates it but does not alter annual forecast cash, finance P&L, tax, shares, capital, payouts or debt. FY2026 GBP6m interest divided by 41m total is a future split assumption, not an audited cash split.

lease_cash_total_incl_interest_oku_metadata_only
0.41
lease_principal_component_proxy_oku_metadata_only
0.35
lease_interest_component_proxy_oku_metadata_only
0.06
4
内容を開く
period_id

calendar_2029

period_start

2029-01-01

期間末

2029-12-31

calendar_inclusive_days
365
calendar_year_total_days
365
calendar_fraction
1
period_start_year
2.154688569473
period_end_year
3.151266255989
actual_or_forecast

forecast

historical_FY2026_included
いいえ
opening
内容を開く
現金(億)
12.176423034
gross_borrowings_oku
6.5
equity_parent_oku
17.352217554
非支配持分資本(億)
0.236452055
legacy_provision_oku
2.13
発行済株式数
253590054
EBT_shares
1666435
old_holder_shares
250511131.75228
segments
john_crane_revenue_oku
10.24259685
flex_tek_revenue_oku
7.306167839
売上高
17.548764689
headline_op_oku
2.921869321
headline_margin
0.1665
nonheadline_cost_oku
0.93
of_which_acquired_intang_amort_oku
0.35
SBC_total_expensed_oku
0.22063125
SBC_nonheadline_expensed_oku
0.145
IFRS_operating_profit_oku
1.991869321
net_finance_oku
-0.381864385
IFRS_profit_before_tax_continuing_oku
1.610004935
tax_expense_continuing_oku
0.418601283
nci_profit_oku
0.013
parent_NI_operating_oku
1.178403652
parent_NI_special_oku
0
parent_net_income_oku
1.178403652
D_and_A_oku
0.834
cash_capex_oku
0.65
working_capital_increment_oku
0.04
lease_principal_oku
0.41
core_company_FCF_after_tax_oku
1.136034902
cash_paid_prior_ex_dividend_oku
0
company_dividends_paid_oku
1.168268833
issuer_buyback_cash_oku
0
EBT_market_buy_cash_oku
0.20298075
unannounced_MA_cash_oku
0
bond_repayment_oku
0
extra_borrowing_oku
0
residual_disposal_net_cash_oku
0
legacy_liability_cash_oku
0.15
SBC_equity_credit_oku
0.22063125
NCI_dividend_paid_oku
0.01
ending
内容を開く
現金(億)
11.791208353
gross_borrowings_oku
6.5
net_cash_oku
5.291208353
equity_parent_oku
17.380002874
非支配持分資本(億)
0.239452055
legacy_provision_oku
1.98
発行済株式数
253590054
EBT_shares
1787666
old_holder_shares
249706652.57682
float_excluding_ebt
251802388
old_cohort_fraction
0.991677062955
old_holder_cash_received_in_period_oku
1.359836774
events_in_period
7
equity_clean_surplus_residual_oku
3.32E-10
lease_cashflow_legacy_classification_note

The preexisting lease_principal_oku is a LEGACY FIELD NAME for modeled annual GBP41m ALL-IN lease cash (including interest). This v3 annotates it but does not alter annual forecast cash, finance P&L, tax, shares, capital, payouts or debt. FY2026 GBP6m interest divided by 41m total is a future split assumption, not an audited cash split.

lease_cash_total_incl_interest_oku_metadata_only
0.41
lease_principal_component_proxy_oku_metadata_only
0.35
lease_interest_component_proxy_oku_metadata_only
0.06
5
内容を開く
period_id

calendar_2030

period_start

2030-01-01

期間末

2030-12-31

calendar_inclusive_days
365
calendar_year_total_days
365
calendar_fraction
1
period_start_year
3.154004106776
period_end_year
4.150581793292
actual_or_forecast

forecast

historical_FY2026_included
いいえ
opening
内容を開く
現金(億)
11.791208353
gross_borrowings_oku
6.5
equity_parent_oku
17.380002874
非支配持分資本(億)
0.239452055
legacy_provision_oku
1.98
発行済株式数
253590054
EBT_shares
1787666
old_holder_shares
249706652.57682
segments
john_crane_revenue_oku
10.345022818
flex_tek_revenue_oku
7.269637
売上高
17.614659818
headline_op_oku
2.954859184
headline_margin
0.16775
nonheadline_cost_oku
0.93
of_which_acquired_intang_amort_oku
0.35
SBC_total_expensed_oku
0.226147031
SBC_nonheadline_expensed_oku
0.1475
IFRS_operating_profit_oku
2.024859184
net_finance_oku
-0.38879825
IFRS_profit_before_tax_continuing_oku
1.636060935
tax_expense_continuing_oku
0.425375843
nci_profit_oku
0.013
parent_NI_operating_oku
1.197685092
parent_NI_special_oku
0
parent_net_income_oku
1.197685092
D_and_A_oku
0.846
cash_capex_oku
0.65
working_capital_increment_oku
0.04
lease_principal_oku
0.41
core_company_FCF_after_tax_oku
1.172832123
cash_paid_prior_ex_dividend_oku
0
company_dividends_paid_oku
1.150100899
issuer_buyback_cash_oku
0
EBT_market_buy_cash_oku
0.208055269
unannounced_MA_cash_oku
0
bond_repayment_oku
0
extra_borrowing_oku
0
residual_disposal_net_cash_oku
0
legacy_liability_cash_oku
0.15
SBC_equity_credit_oku
0.226147031
NCI_dividend_paid_oku
0.01
ending
内容を開く
現金(億)
11.455884308
gross_borrowings_oku
6.5
net_cash_oku
4.955884308
equity_parent_oku
17.445678829
非支配持分資本(億)
0.242452055
legacy_provision_oku
1.83
発行済株式数
253590054
EBT_shares
1937571
old_holder_shares
248876014.20513
float_excluding_ebt
251652483
old_cohort_fraction
0.988967051858
old_holder_cash_received_in_period_oku
1.343171691
events_in_period
7
equity_clean_surplus_residual_oku
-3.85E-10
lease_cashflow_legacy_classification_note

The preexisting lease_principal_oku is a LEGACY FIELD NAME for modeled annual GBP41m ALL-IN lease cash (including interest). This v3 annotates it but does not alter annual forecast cash, finance P&L, tax, shares, capital, payouts or debt. FY2026 GBP6m interest divided by 41m total is a future split assumption, not an audited cash split.

lease_cash_total_incl_interest_oku_metadata_only
0.41
lease_principal_component_proxy_oku_metadata_only
0.35
lease_interest_component_proxy_oku_metadata_only
0.06
6
内容を開く
period_id

calendar_2031

period_start

2031-01-01

期間末

2031-12-31

calendar_inclusive_days
365
calendar_year_total_days
365
calendar_fraction
1
period_start_year
4.153319644079
period_end_year
5.149897330595
actual_or_forecast

forecast

historical_FY2026_included
いいえ
opening
内容を開く
現金(億)
11.455884308
gross_borrowings_oku
6.5
equity_parent_oku
17.445678829
非支配持分資本(億)
0.242452055
legacy_provision_oku
1.83
発行済株式数
253590054
EBT_shares
1937571
old_holder_shares
248876014.20513
segments
john_crane_revenue_oku
10.448473047
flex_tek_revenue_oku
7.233288815
売上高
17.681761861
headline_op_oku
2.988217755
headline_margin
0.169
nonheadline_cost_oku
0.93
of_which_acquired_intang_amort_oku
0.35
SBC_total_expensed_oku
0.231800707
SBC_nonheadline_expensed_oku
0.15
IFRS_operating_profit_oku
2.058217755
net_finance_oku
-0.394834082
IFRS_profit_before_tax_continuing_oku
1.663383672
tax_expense_continuing_oku
0.432479755
nci_profit_oku
0.013
parent_NI_operating_oku
1.217903917
parent_NI_special_oku
0
parent_net_income_oku
1.217903917
D_and_A_oku
0.858
cash_capex_oku
0.65
working_capital_increment_oku
0.04
lease_principal_oku
0.41
core_company_FCF_after_tax_oku
1.210704624
cash_paid_prior_ex_dividend_oku
0
company_dividends_paid_oku
1.132083047
issuer_buyback_cash_oku
0
EBT_market_buy_cash_oku
0.21325665
unannounced_MA_cash_oku
0
bond_repayment_oku
0
extra_borrowing_oku
0
residual_disposal_net_cash_oku
0
legacy_liability_cash_oku
0.15
SBC_equity_credit_oku
0.231800707
NCI_dividend_paid_oku
0.01
ending
内容を開く
現金(億)
11.171249235
gross_borrowings_oku
6.5
net_cash_oku
4.671249235
equity_parent_oku
17.550043756
非支配持分資本(億)
0.245452055
legacy_provision_oku
1.68
発行済株式数
253590054
EBT_shares
2117164
old_holder_shares
248018366.94238
float_excluding_ebt
251472890
old_cohort_fraction
0.986262841066
old_holder_cash_received_in_period_oku
1.326858631
events_in_period
7
equity_clean_surplus_residual_oku
2.8E-11
lease_cashflow_legacy_classification_note

The preexisting lease_principal_oku is a LEGACY FIELD NAME for modeled annual GBP41m ALL-IN lease cash (including interest). This v3 annotates it but does not alter annual forecast cash, finance P&L, tax, shares, capital, payouts or debt. FY2026 GBP6m interest divided by 41m total is a future split assumption, not an audited cash split.

lease_cash_total_incl_interest_oku_metadata_only
0.41
lease_principal_component_proxy_oku_metadata_only
0.35
lease_interest_component_proxy_oku_metadata_only
0.06
7
内容を開く
period_id

calendar_2032

period_start

2032-01-01

期間末

2032-12-31

calendar_inclusive_days
366
calendar_year_total_days
366
calendar_fraction
1
period_start_year
5.152635181383
period_end_year
6.151950718686
actual_or_forecast

forecast

historical_FY2026_included
いいえ
opening
内容を開く
現金(億)
11.171249235
gross_borrowings_oku
6.5
equity_parent_oku
17.550043756
非支配持分資本(億)
0.245452055
legacy_provision_oku
1.68
発行済株式数
253590054
EBT_shares
2117164
old_holder_shares
248018366.94238
segments
john_crane_revenue_oku
10.552957777
flex_tek_revenue_oku
7.19712237
売上高
17.750080148
headline_op_oku
3.021951145
headline_margin
0.17025
nonheadline_cost_oku
0.93
of_which_acquired_intang_amort_oku
0.35
SBC_total_expensed_oku
0.237595725
SBC_nonheadline_expensed_oku
0.1525
IFRS_operating_profit_oku
2.091951145
net_finance_oku
-0.399957514
IFRS_profit_before_tax_continuing_oku
1.691993631
tax_expense_continuing_oku
0.439918344
nci_profit_oku
0.013
parent_NI_operating_oku
1.239075287
parent_NI_special_oku
0
parent_net_income_oku
1.239075287
D_and_A_oku
0.87
cash_capex_oku
0.65
working_capital_increment_oku
0.04
lease_principal_oku
0.41
core_company_FCF_after_tax_oku
1.249671012
cash_paid_prior_ex_dividend_oku
0
company_dividends_paid_oku
1.11421217
issuer_buyback_cash_oku
0
EBT_market_buy_cash_oku
0.218588067
unannounced_MA_cash_oku
0
bond_repayment_oku
0
extra_borrowing_oku
0
residual_disposal_net_cash_oku
0
legacy_liability_cash_oku
0.15
SBC_equity_credit_oku
0.237595725
NCI_dividend_paid_oku
0.01
ending
内容を開く
現金(億)
10.93812001
gross_borrowings_oku
6.5
net_cash_oku
4.43812001
equity_parent_oku
17.693914531
非支配持分資本(億)
0.248452055
legacy_provision_oku
1.53
発行済株式数
253590054
EBT_shares
2327518
old_holder_shares
247132811.06717
float_excluding_ebt
251262536
old_cohort_fraction
0.983564103911
old_holder_cash_received_in_period_oku
1.310894368
events_in_period
7
equity_clean_surplus_residual_oku
-1.64E-10
lease_cashflow_legacy_classification_note

The preexisting lease_principal_oku is a LEGACY FIELD NAME for modeled annual GBP41m ALL-IN lease cash (including interest). This v3 annotates it but does not alter annual forecast cash, finance P&L, tax, shares, capital, payouts or debt. FY2026 GBP6m interest divided by 41m total is a future split assumption, not an audited cash split.

lease_cash_total_incl_interest_oku_metadata_only
0.41
lease_principal_component_proxy_oku_metadata_only
0.35
lease_interest_component_proxy_oku_metadata_only
0.06
8
内容を開く
period_id

calendar_2033

period_start

2033-01-01

期間末

2033-12-31

calendar_inclusive_days
365
calendar_year_total_days
365
calendar_fraction
1
period_start_year
6.154688569473
period_end_year
7.151266255989
actual_or_forecast

forecast

historical_FY2026_included
いいえ
opening
内容を開く
現金(億)
10.93812001
gross_borrowings_oku
6.5
equity_parent_oku
17.693914531
非支配持分資本(億)
0.248452055
legacy_provision_oku
1.53
発行済株式数
253590054
EBT_shares
2327518
old_holder_shares
247132811.06717
segments
john_crane_revenue_oku
10.658487355
flex_tek_revenue_oku
7.161136759
売上高
17.819624114
headline_op_oku
3.056065535
headline_margin
0.1715
nonheadline_cost_oku
0.93
of_which_acquired_intang_amort_oku
0.35
SBC_total_expensed_oku
0.243535618
SBC_nonheadline_expensed_oku
0.155
IFRS_operating_profit_oku
2.126065535
net_finance_oku
-0.40415384
IFRS_profit_before_tax_continuing_oku
1.721911696
tax_expense_continuing_oku
0.447697041
nci_profit_oku
0.013
parent_NI_operating_oku
1.261214655
parent_NI_special_oku
0
parent_net_income_oku
1.261214655
D_and_A_oku
0.882
cash_capex_oku
0.65
working_capital_increment_oku
0.04
lease_principal_oku
0.41
core_company_FCF_after_tax_oku
1.289750273
cash_paid_prior_ex_dividend_oku
0
company_dividends_paid_oku
1.096485281
issuer_buyback_cash_oku
0
EBT_market_buy_cash_oku
0.224052768
unannounced_MA_cash_oku
0
bond_repayment_oku
5.37
extra_borrowing_oku
0
residual_disposal_net_cash_oku
0
legacy_liability_cash_oku
0.15
SBC_equity_credit_oku
0.243535618
NCI_dividend_paid_oku
0.01
ending
内容を開く
現金(億)
5.387332233
gross_borrowings_oku
1.13
net_cash_oku
4.257332233
equity_parent_oku
17.878126754
非支配持分資本(億)
0.251452055
legacy_provision_oku
1.38
発行済株式数
253590054
EBT_shares
2569697
old_holder_shares
246218464.18126
float_excluding_ebt
251020357
old_cohort_fraction
0.980870504384
old_holder_cash_received_in_period_oku
1.295276887
events_in_period
8
equity_clean_surplus_residual_oku
-3.3E-11
lease_cashflow_legacy_classification_note

The preexisting lease_principal_oku is a LEGACY FIELD NAME for modeled annual GBP41m ALL-IN lease cash (including interest). This v3 annotates it but does not alter annual forecast cash, finance P&L, tax, shares, capital, payouts or debt. FY2026 GBP6m interest divided by 41m total is a future split assumption, not an audited cash split.

lease_cash_total_incl_interest_oku_metadata_only
0.41
lease_principal_component_proxy_oku_metadata_only
0.35
lease_interest_component_proxy_oku_metadata_only
0.06
9
内容を開く
period_id

calendar_2034

period_start

2034-01-01

期間末

2034-12-31

calendar_inclusive_days
365
calendar_year_total_days
365
calendar_fraction
1
period_start_year
7.154004106776
period_end_year
8.150581793292
actual_or_forecast

forecast

historical_FY2026_included
いいえ
opening
内容を開く
現金(億)
5.387332233
gross_borrowings_oku
1.13
equity_parent_oku
17.878126754
非支配持分資本(億)
0.251452055
legacy_provision_oku
1.38
発行済株式数
253590054
EBT_shares
2569697
old_holder_shares
246218464.18126
segments
john_crane_revenue_oku
10.765072228
flex_tek_revenue_oku
7.125331075
売上高
17.890403303
headline_op_oku
3.090567171
headline_margin
0.17275
nonheadline_cost_oku
0.93
of_which_acquired_intang_amort_oku
0.35
SBC_total_expensed_oku
0.249624008
SBC_nonheadline_expensed_oku
0.1575
IFRS_operating_profit_oku
2.160567171
net_finance_oku
-0.58998802
IFRS_profit_before_tax_continuing_oku
1.570579151
tax_expense_continuing_oku
0.408350579
nci_profit_oku
0.013
parent_NI_operating_oku
1.149228572
parent_NI_special_oku
0
parent_net_income_oku
1.149228572
D_and_A_oku
0.894
cash_capex_oku
0.65
working_capital_increment_oku
0.04
lease_principal_oku
0.41
core_company_FCF_after_tax_oku
1.19585258
cash_paid_prior_ex_dividend_oku
0
company_dividends_paid_oku
1.078899391
issuer_buyback_cash_oku
0
EBT_market_buy_cash_oku
0.229654088
unannounced_MA_cash_oku
0
bond_repayment_oku
0
extra_borrowing_oku
0
residual_disposal_net_cash_oku
0
legacy_liability_cash_oku
0.15
SBC_equity_credit_oku
0.249624008
NCI_dividend_paid_oku
0.01
ending
内容を開く
現金(億)
5.124631334
gross_borrowings_oku
1.13
net_cash_oku
3.994631334
equity_parent_oku
17.968425855
非支配持分資本(億)
0.254452055
legacy_provision_oku
1.23
発行済株式数
253590054
EBT_shares
2844825
old_holder_shares
245274393.63633
float_excluding_ebt
250745229
old_cohort_fraction
0.978181697074
old_holder_cash_received_in_period_oku
1.280003085
events_in_period
7
equity_clean_surplus_residual_oku
-3.81E-10
lease_cashflow_legacy_classification_note

The preexisting lease_principal_oku is a LEGACY FIELD NAME for modeled annual GBP41m ALL-IN lease cash (including interest). This v3 annotates it but does not alter annual forecast cash, finance P&L, tax, shares, capital, payouts or debt. FY2026 GBP6m interest divided by 41m total is a future split assumption, not an audited cash split.

lease_cash_total_incl_interest_oku_metadata_only
0.41
lease_principal_component_proxy_oku_metadata_only
0.35
lease_interest_component_proxy_oku_metadata_only
0.06
10
内容を開く
period_id

calendar_2035

period_start

2035-01-01

期間末

2035-12-31

calendar_inclusive_days
365
calendar_year_total_days
365
calendar_fraction
1
period_start_year
8.153319644079
period_end_year
9.149897330595
actual_or_forecast

forecast

historical_FY2026_included
いいえ
opening
内容を開く
現金(億)
5.124631334
gross_borrowings_oku
1.13
equity_parent_oku
17.968425855
非支配持分資本(億)
0.254452055
legacy_provision_oku
1.23
発行済株式数
253590054
EBT_shares
2844825
old_holder_shares
245274393.63633
segments
john_crane_revenue_oku
10.872722951
flex_tek_revenue_oku
7.089704419
売上高
17.96242737
headline_op_oku
3.125462362
headline_margin
0.174
nonheadline_cost_oku
0.93
of_which_acquired_intang_amort_oku
0.35
SBC_total_expensed_oku
0.255864608
SBC_nonheadline_expensed_oku
0.16
IFRS_operating_profit_oku
2.195462362
net_finance_oku
-0.594716636
IFRS_profit_before_tax_continuing_oku
1.600745726
tax_expense_continuing_oku
0.416193889
nci_profit_oku
0.013
parent_NI_operating_oku
1.171551838
parent_NI_special_oku
0
parent_net_income_oku
1.171551838
D_and_A_oku
0.906
cash_capex_oku
0.65
working_capital_increment_oku
0.04
lease_principal_oku
0.41
core_company_FCF_after_tax_oku
1.236416446
cash_paid_prior_ex_dividend_oku
0
company_dividends_paid_oku
1.061451484
issuer_buyback_cash_oku
0
EBT_market_buy_cash_oku
0.23539544
unannounced_MA_cash_oku
0
bond_repayment_oku
0
extra_borrowing_oku
0
residual_disposal_net_cash_oku
0
legacy_liability_cash_oku
0.15
SBC_equity_credit_oku
0.255864608
NCI_dividend_paid_oku
0.01
ending
内容を開く
現金(億)
4.914200857
gross_borrowings_oku
1.13
net_cash_oku
3.784200857
equity_parent_oku
18.098995378
非支配持分資本(億)
0.257452055
legacy_provision_oku
1.08
発行済株式数
253590054
EBT_shares
3154067
old_holder_shares
244299635.73697
float_excluding_ebt
250435987
old_cohort_fraction
0.975497326337
old_holder_cash_received_in_period_oku
1.265070772
events_in_period
7
equity_clean_surplus_residual_oku
5.72E-10
lease_cashflow_legacy_classification_note

The preexisting lease_principal_oku is a LEGACY FIELD NAME for modeled annual GBP41m ALL-IN lease cash (including interest). This v3 annotates it but does not alter annual forecast cash, finance P&L, tax, shares, capital, payouts or debt. FY2026 GBP6m interest divided by 41m total is a future split assumption, not an audited cash split.

lease_cash_total_incl_interest_oku_metadata_only
0.41
lease_principal_component_proxy_oku_metadata_only
0.35
lease_interest_component_proxy_oku_metadata_only
0.06
11
内容を開く
period_id

2036_pre_close_311d

period_start

2036-01-01

期間末

2036-11-06

calendar_inclusive_days
311
calendar_year_total_days
366
calendar_fraction
0.849726775956
period_start_year
9.152635181383
period_end_year
10.001368925394
actual_or_forecast

forecast

historical_FY2026_included
いいえ
opening
内容を開く
現金(億)
4.914200857
gross_borrowings_oku
1.13
equity_parent_oku
18.098995378
非支配持分資本(億)
0.257452055
legacy_provision_oku
1.08
発行済株式数
253590054
EBT_shares
3154067
old_holder_shares
244299635.73697
segments
john_crane_revenue_oku
9.331232257
flex_tek_revenue_oku
5.99419012
売上高
15.325422377
headline_op_oku
2.666623494
headline_margin
0.174
nonheadline_cost_oku
0.790245902
of_which_acquired_intang_amort_oku
0.297404372
SBC_total_expensed_oku
0.222850384
SBC_nonheadline_expensed_oku
0.138080601
IFRS_operating_profit_oku
1.876377592
net_finance_oku
-0.508565201
IFRS_profit_before_tax_continuing_oku
1.367812391
tax_expense_continuing_oku
0.355631222
nci_profit_oku
0.011046448
parent_NI_operating_oku
1.001134721
parent_NI_special_oku
0
parent_net_income_oku
1.001134721
D_and_A_oku
0.78004918
cash_capex_oku
0.552322404
working_capital_increment_oku
0.033989071
lease_principal_oku
0.348387978
core_company_FCF_after_tax_oku
1.071884012
cash_paid_prior_ex_dividend_oku
0
company_dividends_paid_oku
0.323717267
issuer_buyback_cash_oku
0
EBT_market_buy_cash_oku
0.205022353
unannounced_MA_cash_oku
0
bond_repayment_oku
0
extra_borrowing_oku
0
residual_disposal_net_cash_oku
0
legacy_liability_cash_oku
0.127459016
SBC_equity_credit_oku
0.222850384
NCI_dividend_paid_oku
0.008497268
ending
内容を開く
現金(億)
5.329886233
gross_borrowings_oku
1.13
net_cash_oku
4.199886233
equity_parent_oku
18.794240863
非支配持分資本(億)
0.260001235
legacy_provision_oku
0.952540984
発行済株式数
253590054
EBT_shares
3446875
old_holder_shares
243444060.54233
float_excluding_ebt
250143179
old_cohort_fraction
0.973218864154
old_holder_cash_received_in_period_oku
0.514579453
events_in_period
7
equity_clean_surplus_residual_oku
8.5E-11
presentation_scope

2036 January 1 through November 6 only (311 of 366 calendar days); numerical data unchanged from v1; 2037 annual segments are independent full-year forward valuation inputs.

unpaid_final_dividend_terminal_reconciliation
内容を開く
company_2036_final_dividend_assumed_declared_unpaid_liability_oku
0.720436615
old_holder_nominal_claim_oku
0.701142503567
old_holder_terminal_claim_pv_oku
0.698171100492
net_effect_on_terminal_holder_valuation_vs_v1_oku
0.698171100492
no_company_cash_payment_inside_2036_ledger
はい
注記

Separate valuation-only reconciliation. Does not change underlying assumed 2036 clean-surplus ledger, because declaration date and IFRS ledger recognition are not documented; company stock EV bridge already deducts liability once.

lease_cashflow_legacy_classification_note

The preexisting lease_principal_oku is a LEGACY FIELD NAME for modeled annual GBP41m ALL-IN lease cash (including interest). This v3 annotates it but does not alter annual forecast cash, finance P&L, tax, shares, capital, payouts or debt. FY2026 GBP6m interest divided by 41m total is a future split assumption, not an audited cash split.

lease_cash_total_incl_interest_oku_metadata_only
0.348387978
lease_principal_component_proxy_oku_metadata_only
0.297404371463
lease_interest_component_proxy_oku_metadata_only
0.050983606537
terminal
内容を開く
日付

2036-11-06

year_from_cutoff_actual_days_over_365_25
10.001368925394
方法

sustainable_unlevered_owner_FCF_after_tax_over_k_minus_g_plus_excess_cash_less_financial_debt_and_legacy_liabilities

terminal_perpetual_growth
0.008
equity_cost_k
0.09
2037_forecast_runrate_revenue_oku
18.179991726
2037_forecast_headline_margin
0.174
2037_forecast_IFRS_operating_profit_oku
2.23331856
2037_operating_tax_oku
0.580662826
2037_NCI_profit_not_owned_oku
0.013
2037_D_and_A_oku
0.93
2037_total_SBC_expense_noncash_addback_oku
0.268817754
2037_cash_capex_oku
0.65
2037_operating_working_capital_increment_oku
0.06
2037_lease_principal_cash_oku
0.35
2037_EBT_share_replacement_cash_oku
0.247312334
2037_assumed_growth_MA_cash_oku
0
2037_sustainable_unlevered_owner_FCF_oku
1.486761155
terminal_operating_enterprise_value_oku
18.131233597561
terminal_company_cash_oku
5.329886233
terminal_company_gross_debt_oku
1.13
terminal_assumed_steady_lease_liabilities_oku
1.04
terminal_nonlease_debt_deducted_oku
0.09
lease_accounting_note

CORRECTED v3: issuer FY2026 financing Lease payments GBP41m INCLUDE lease interest under company accounting policy; FY2026 GBP6m interest expense is in finance cost OUTSIDE IFRS operating profit, and GBP104m lease liability is in gross borrowings. For 2037 assumed stable GBP41m TOTAL lease cash = approx GBP35m principal + GBP6m interest (using FY2026 interest-expense proxy). 2037 terminal EBIT-based FCF uses -GBP35m -GBP6m*(1-model-tax-rate) exactly once; GBP6m*tax is the separately explicit assumed interest tax shield, not extra rent. The GBP104m lease liability is omitted from terminal EV debt deduction only because full ongoing lease rent is capitalized in FCF. Model GBP41m comes from FY2026 group FY cashflow with divestiture timing and is not company 2037 guidance; actual split/deductibility not separately verified.

required_operating_cash_oku
1.5
NCI_claim_on_nonoperating_assets_proxy_oku
0.260001235
terminal_remaining_legacy_provision_oku
0.952540984
pre_terminal_ex_div_future_payment_company_adjustment_oku
0.720436615
uncompleted_Flex_Tek_disposal_net_assets_oku
0.06
total_company_equity_value_oku
19.998140996561
old_holder_shares_at_terminal
243444060.54233
issued_shares_at_terminal
253590054
EBT_shares_at_terminal
3446875
old_cohort_fraction
0.973218864154
old_cohort_terminal_mcap_oku
20.160739166357
2036_partial_days
311
2036_annual_runrate_not_confused_with_partial
はい
company_ending_equity_value_kind

ex_dividend_stock_only_excludes_unpaid_2036_dividend_receivables

total_company_equity_value_plus_outstanding_dividend_receivables_oku
20.715524440519
company_unpaid_final_dividend_liability_oku
0.720436615
company_total_nominal_outstanding_dividend_rights_oku
0.720436614405
company_outstanding_dividend_rights_terminal_pv_oku
0.717383443958
old_cohort_terminal_stock_ex_div_only_oku
19.462568065865
old_cohort_unpaid_dividend_entitlement_shares_at_ex
243444060.54233
old_cohort_unpaid_dividend_assumed_per_share_gbp
0.288009698
old_cohort_unpaid_dividend_nominal_oku
0.701142503567
old_cohort_unpaid_dividend_receivable_pv_at_terminal_oku
0.698171100492
old_cohort_unpaid_dividend_ex_date_assumed

2036-10-16

old_cohort_unpaid_dividend_payment_date_assumed

2036-11-24

old_cohort_receivable_discount_rate
0.09
old_cohort_receivable_discount_years
0.049281314168
terminal_old_holder_value_kind

stock_value_ex_div_plus_discounted_old_holder_right_to_future_cash

forecast_2036_dividend_payable_included_once_in_stock_adjustment
はい
forecast_2036_dividend_right_not_in_2036_cashflow_events
はい
2036_partial_revenue_oku
15.325422377
2036_partial_IFRS_operating_profit_oku
1.876377592
2036_partial_parent_net_income_oku
1.001134721
2036_partial_reporting_basis

forecast calendar 2036 Jan 1 to Nov 6 inclusive: 311 / 366 days; NOT 2037 whole-year run rate

2037_runrate_reporting_basis

forecast calendar 2037 Jan 1 to Dec 31 inclusive: full 365-day run rate for perpetual valuation; NOT FY2037 actual or 2036 period profit

company_equity_book_value_2036_ledger_treatment

unchanged v1 forecast parent equity ledger before standalone assumed unpaid dividend adjustment; terminal company stock valuation deducts unpaid 2036 final liability once. No 2036 declared date known; it is not a verified IFRS balance sheet.

2037_lease_interest_cash_proxy_oku
0.06
2037_lease_cash_total_including_interest_oku
0.41
2037_lease_interest_after_tax_oku
0.0444
2037_lease_interest_tax_shield_oku
0.0156
2037_effective_tax_assumption_for_lease_interest
0.26
FY2026_lease_finance_interest_expense_oku_actual
0.06
FY2026_reported_total_lease_cash_outflow_oku_actual
0.41
FY2026_reported_lease_liability_oku_actual
1.04
FY2026_lease_interest_expense_divided_by_ending_liability_proxy_rate
0.057692307692
lease_interest_2037_assumed_rate_on_steady_lease_liability
0.057692307692
lease_interest_cash_proxy_not_verified_actual_cash_split
はい
2037_lease_cash_adjustment_vs_v2_oku
0.0156
2037_lease_interest_in_FCF_once
はい
2037_lease_interest_additional_outflow_v3_oku
0
2037_lease_liability_second_deduction_v3_oku
0
2037_lease_cash_source_year

FY2026 issuer actual group financing cashflow, extrapolated as 2037 assumed all-in runrate

2037_lease_interest_tax_shield_status

forecast optional assumption; tax deductibility by jurisdiction is NOT individually proven; no-tax-shield scenario reproduces v2.

old_holder_economics
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opening_cohort_shares_proxy
270876790
initial_cost_oku
69.696598067
terminal_old_holder_shares
243444060.54233
terminal_public_excluding_trust_shares
250143179
terminal_old_fraction
0.973218864154
old_holder_positive_cashflows_sum_oku
17.318079282
terminal_old_cohort_mcap_oku
20.160739166357
no_terminal_event_inside_timed_cashflows
はい
past_ex_date_final_2026_old_holder_payment_oku
0
future_ex_date_2036_post_horizon_paid_omitted
いいえ
terminal_old_cohort_stock_ex_div_only_oku
19.462568065865
terminal_old_cohort_unpaid_dividend_nominal_oku
0.701142503567
terminal_old_cohort_unpaid_dividend_pv_oku
0.698171100492
future_ex_date_2036_post_horizon_paid_in_timed_cashflows
いいえ
future_ex_date_2036_post_horizon_earnings_right_valued_in_terminal
はい
terminal_is_2036_11_06_not_payment_date
はい
valuation
内容を開く
pv_holder_events_at_k_oku
12.919207866699
pv_terminal_at_k_oku
8.515109505026
pv_total_oku
21.434317371725
pv_per_opening_share_gbp
7.912939817
safety_margin_to_price_pct
-0.692462502243
holder_cashflow_irr
-0.078011374727
irr_npv_residual_oku
0
pv_terminal_stock_ex_div_only_at_k_oku
8.220229276435
pv_terminal_receivable_at_k_oku
0.294880228591
new_right_pv_difference_vs_v1_oku
0.294880228591
v3_lease_tax_shield_increment_in_FCF_oku
0.0156
v3_lease_only_increment_old_holder_terminal_oku
0.185148953865
v3_lease_only_increment_old_holder_present_value_oku
0.07819969287
v2_dividend_receivable_component_unchanged_v3
はい
net_sum
11.315544297
payout
17.318079282
mcap
20.160739166357
net
1.001134721
op
1.876377592
equity
18.794240863
company_mcap_ex_div_stock_only_oku
19.998140996561
terminal_old_holder_stock_ex_div_only_oku
19.462568065865
terminal_old_holder_receivable_oku
0.698171100492
2036_partial_vs_2037_runrate_label
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売上高

2036-01-01 to 2036-11-06 311/366 DAYS (calendar forecast)

営業利益

2036-01-01 to 2036-11-06 311/366 DAYS (calendar forecast IFRS op)

純利益

2036-01-01 to 2036-11-06 311/366 DAYS (calendar forecast parent NI)

segments

2037-01-01 to 2037-12-31 full 365 DAYS calendar run rate, future annual, not 2036 partial period and not corporate FY2027 actual

terminal_stock_value_oku
19.462568065865
terminal_holder_receivable_pv_oku
0.698171100492
partial_2036_revenue_oku
15.325422377
partial_2036_op_oku
1.876377592
partial_2036_net_oku
1.001134721
segment_operating_profit_status

not_estimated

multiple_note

終価の会社株式価値を2036年部分期の親会社利益の年率換算で割った参考倍率。終価の入力PERではありません。

金額の単位

oku GBP (100 million GBP)

分析基準とデータ

価格・単価
25.73
price_currency

GBP

listed_quote
2573
listed_quote_currency

GBp

株価基準日

2026-11-06

株価の出所

2026-11-06終値25.73 GBP。FT掲載日付別価格などの二次情報。取引所当日日次原票は直接確認できず。

株数
270876790
shares_kind

opening beneficial public investor cohort, issued economic proxy less July31 EBT proxy; not legally exact Nov6 shares

株数の出所

10月末会社開示と11月4日までの既知買戻しを基に推計した流通株から、2026年7月末の信託149万株を代理控除。11月6日の正確な株数と信託残高は未確認です。

shares_precision

estimated as of Nov04 known repurchases; Nov05-06 unannounced trades, EBT transfers and settlement dates unknown

issued_shares_2026_07_31_actual
295807098
issued_shares_oct_30_official
274536580
buyback_oct26_oct30_purchased_unsettled
1611669
buyback_nov02_nov04_purchased
554241
issued_after_known_trades_proxy
272370670
EBT_held_2026_07_31_actual_latest
1493880
initial_old_cohort_shares_proxy
270876790
initial_old_cohort_cost_oku
69.696598067
full_company_issued_proxy_mcap_oku
70.080973391
2026_11_05_06_unpublished_issuer_repurchases
未確認
2026_11_06_exact_EBT_balance
未確認
date_specific_price_issuer_primary_confirmed
いいえ

検証上の留意点

reporting

2026 fiscal year ends July 31. Projection uses calendar 2026 Nov7-Dec31 (55 days), 2027-2035 full calendar years and 2036 Jan1-Nov6 (311/366 days), total 55 periods. Top-level each case revenue_oku, op_oku, net_oku are the 2036 311-day PARTIAL period, while case.segments 2037_annual and terminal 2037 runrate are full-calendar-year PROJECTIONS, not 2036 partial values or FY2037 issuer reported.

source_status

company annual and RNS facts through 2026-11-06; unaudited as-of balance proxies, forward years and all assumed event dates explicitly forecasts

invariant_company_parent_equity

ending parent equity = opening parent equity + parent NI(all exceptional and ordinary)+equity SBC credit - issuer cash buyback -E BT cash-funded shares - company dividends. Exact events grouped by calendar period. Prior FY2026 forward liability commitment 319m is not expensed again in cutoff bridge.

invariant_company_cash

ending cash = opening cash + recurring after-tax company cash FCF - dividends - issuer repurchase - employee trust market purchases - acquisitions - bond redemption - legal settlements + disposals + hypothetical funding.

invariant_old_cohort

old shares sold pro rata from public float for issuer repurchases and EBT market purchase; EBT transfer to workers generates zero cash and shifts old holding percentage; dividends paid on eligible old shares only; terminal value company times final old/free-float ratio.

invariant_IRR

Single negative initial outflow at 2026-11-06; positive old cohort dated cash only through 2036-11-06; at 2036-11-06 append one combined terminal of ex-div stock residual plus PV at terminal of October-ex, November-after-end dividend receivable. Separately prob-weight amount by date AND terminal, then root-solve. No post-horizon timed cash. v3 uses operating terminal FCF corrected ONLY for lease interest tax relief; all dated cohort flows and 2036 receivable are identical to v2. Recompute expected CF on each date and root-solve.

SBC_valuation

2037 SBC is non-cash addback with expected market cash to replenish employee trust subtracted once; historical EBT purchases are owner tender receipts and corporate cash expense. The same SBC is never subtracted twice from P&L. An alternative new issue/dilution would change forecasts.

NCI_handling

Parent NI excludes NCI share; company consolidated cash includes subsidiary cash but terminal owner cash flow subtracts ongoing NCI profit, and conservatively deducts NCI book claim from terminal excess cash. This conservative NCI adjustment may overstate minority cash share.

lease_and_debt

FY2026 GBP41m consolidated cash-flow financing Lease payments INCLUDES GBP6m lease interest FINANCE COST (note4), per issuer lease accounting policy; GBP104m lease liabilities in gross borrowing (note18). v2 terminal lease_principal=GBP41m was mislabelled, since it is all-in cash. v3 explicitly models 2037 GBP35m principal plus GBP6m interest proxy; tax-after interest GBP6m*(1-t) plus principal, t from each case 2037 EBIT-based tax rate. Total recurring lease cash remains GBP41m before tax shield. No second deduction of GBP104m in EV bridge; no extra GBP6m gross cash deduction. This terminal-only potential tax shield is contingent on deductibility and availability of tax relief; zero-shield alternative equals v2. Annual ledgers unchanged numeric; legacy annual lease_principal_oku is a misnomer for full lease cash; FY2026 GBP41m total includes discontinued during year. The FY2026 GBP6m is ACCOUNTING EXPENSE, not separately verified cash paid; the 5.769% computed using ending GBP104m liability is only a historical illustrative ratio, not issuer 2037 contractual implied lease rate.

legacy

Asbestos provision 153m is liability, not net debt; settlement reduces cash and provision without new expense; liability transfer difference is direct modeled parent P&L adjustment and obligation is not twice deducted in terminal.

2026_final_dividend

2026 Oct15 ex before cutoff; Nov23 paid by company with new holder zero cash; approval Nov18 still required. Cash outflow 93.8m is a proxy because Oct16 entitled share count not independently verified.

2036_final_ex_date

FORECAST ONLY: 2036-10-16 assumed ex and 2036-11-24 assumed payment (18d post terminal). Company liability already deducted in ex-div stock terminal; old-holder receivable entitlement is nominal shares-at-ex × per-share dividend and discounted from payment to 2036-11-06, added once to mcap. Keep zero dated ex-date review; do not add 2036-11-24 receipt to timed_cashflows. Actual declaration and dates require future revalidation.

forecast_price

Issuer and EBT buyback shares from case-defined assumed market prices, never assume future share quotes from current P/E.

terminal_kind

Company stock enterprise-to-equity derived from sustainable full calendar 2037 365-day cash flow, adjusted for 2036 ex-div unpaid liability once. Old holder mcap is stock ex-div residual plus post-horizon contractual-style forecast dividend claim (PV at terminal). 2036 311-day accounting amounts retained separately. v3 2037 terminal normalized lease cash and tax, without change to 2036 311-day partial-year reported figures or 2036 post-horizon dividend entitlement.

basis_uncertainty

Unannounced Nov 5-6 buyback unknown; shares chosen as last confirmable as-of-source through Nov4 and July EBT proxy. Price source is dated secondary; official listing confirms identity but LSE historical value not retrieved.

warnings
内容を開く
1

37.5 pence nominal is not price; quote 2,573p divided by 100 to 25.73 GBP

2

No 2026 AGM result or November Q1 data used because as-of cutoff

3

uncompleted business sale proceeds £40m must not be assumed all receivable after cutoff

4

all FY2026 £3.245bn sale proceeds already in 31Jul cash; not future cashflows

5

market PER not used for terminal

6

future share grants, ex dates and repurchase prices remain estimates

7

2036 assumed dividend right exists within modeled cohort; hypothetical ex and payment dates and amount are NOT confirmed by 2026 issuer primary sources. v1 omitted an asset, now corrected in terminal only; shareholder paid cashflow remains unchanged.

8

At 2036-11-06, terminal stock price is explicitly EX dividend and dividend liability has already been deducted from company stock value; do not credit corporate assets again when adding old-holder receivable.

9

v3: FY2026 GBP41m Lease payments contains financing interest per issuer accounting policy; old key lease_principal in historical 55 modeled annual rows is a legacy misnomer; new lease_cash_total metadata disaggregates only on proxy basis.

10

FY2026 GBP6m lease interest is reported P&L finance cost, NOT explicitly cash-interest amount; projecting it as GBP6m in 2037 and tax shield at scenario 24-26% is a conditional modeling assumption. Gross GBP41m cash treated as steady despite FY26 divestitures; no claim of management forecast.

11

Further audit limitation: annual-period net_finance_oku forecast (GBP12m negative baseline with cash adjustments) does not split lease interest; possible overlap with GBP41m all-in lease cash in annual NI-to-company-FCF cannot be excluded. All 55 annual period numbers deliberately preserved from v2 pending independent source-backed reconstruction.

check_results
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pass
はい
cases
5
periods
55
events
454
expected_IRR_independent
0.036274467485
expected_pv_oku_independent
48.331060753631
expected_price_gbp_per_share
17.842451822
max_residual_by_metric
内容を開く
gross lease cash from primary 41m
0
finance interest proxy 6/104*104
0
lease principal assumption
0
after-tax lease interest
0
tax effect
0
FCF from component P&L and cash
1.0E-9
change from v2 FCF equals interest tax benefit
0
terminal operating enterprise
1.4706E-8
terminal company ex-div stock
1.4706E-8
no lease second financial debt
0
old holder terminal float fraction
0
old stock residual
1.4278E-8
recompute old-holder 2036 dividend receivable
0
v2 right unchanged
0
case terminal mcap_oku
1.4278E-8
case terminal mcap
1.4278E-8
old holder econ value
1.4278E-8
date year
0
period payouts do not change
4.89E-10
XIRR root NPV residual
0
individual IRR
4.4E-11
case v3 PV
6.03E-9
case v3 PV/share
2.097E-9
case IRR residual
0
weighted old terminal
8.86E-10
weighted IRR
2.0E-12
weighted PV
3.73E-10
summary weighted IRR
2.0E-12
summary weighted value
3.73E-10
headline expected 1sh
3.32E-10
2036 receivables exactly unchanged
0
sensitivity PV 0.08
4.0E-12
sensitivity price 0.08
3.17E-10
sensitivity divright 0.08
0
sensitivity safety margin 0.08
0
sensitivity PV 0.09
3.0E-12
sensitivity price 0.09
4.71E-10
sensitivity divright 0.09
0
sensitivity safety margin 0.09
0
sensitivity PV 0.1
2.0E-12
sensitivity price 0.1
4.59E-10
sensitivity divright 0.1
0
sensitivity safety margin 0.1
0
sensitivity PV 0.11
2.0E-12
sensitivity price 0.11
1.54E-10
sensitivity divright 0.11
0
sensitivity safety margin 0.11
0
all_annual_ledger_prior_fields_numerically_identical_v2
はい
all_454_events_identical_v2
はい
assumed_ex_date_zero_event_preserved
はい
2036_post_horizon_payment_not_in_timed_cashflows
はい
2036_dividend_receivable_identical_v2
はい
2037_full_year_terminal_lease_adjustment_only
はい
no_104m_lease_liability_second_deduction
はい
all_in_41m_cash_and_6m_interest_not_double_deducted
はい
tax_effect_conditional_not_verified_with_issuer
はい
source_status_detail
confirmed_before_2026_11_06

FY2026 primary accounts, 2026 final 33.5p ex 2026-10-15; Nov 23 payment conditional on AGM; company 2026 events calendar. 2036 schedule is NOT primary data.

unverified_as_of_base_date
内容を開く
1

2036 board declaration, ex date, record date and 2036-11-24 payment date

2

2036 dividend rate/share, 2036 ex-date eligible shares, subsequent 2036 repurchases

3

exact 2026-11-06 fully settled issued shares, EBT and unreported own-share trades Nov5-Nov6

4

2026-11-06 cash and buyback forward liabilities (opening amount is bridge estimate)

5

outcome and cash cost of planned legacy asbestos obligation transfer

6

future Flex-Tek non-core sales closing

7

2037 full-calendar-year segment revenue and owner-CF forecasts

8

2037 annual cash lease interest component, 2037 lease amortization schedule/new leases and cash rent; FY2026 GBP6m is finance expense not separately paid cash

9

tax jurisdiction deductibility and cash-tax relief for IFRS16 lease interest; scenario 2037 tax rates are assumptions

preserved_unverified_v1_cutoff_facts
はい
annual_ledger_finance_interest_overlap_not_resolved

Legacy 2027-2036 annual ledger net_finance_oku is a single modelled financing-income/expense aggregate, with no itemized lease-interest component. Because original annual core FCF starts after finance expense and uses an annual lease_principal_oku legacy proxy equal to ALL-IN GBP41m cash, overlap of this annual forecast finance aggregate with lease interest CANNOT be independently excluded. The user requested unchanged annual ledger; no unsupported retrofit was made. This uncertainty applies to annual-period company cash/holder events and must be separately revalidated if a full annual lease finance cash bridge is obtained. It does NOT invalidate the separate 2037 terminal EBIT-before-finance lease split tested here; that terminal starts with pre-finance EBIT and accounts for lease cash once.

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