株譜

AI 銘柄分析 · 10年

United Utilities Group PLC

UU. · GBP · 分析基準日 2026-11-06

{ "title": "規制RCVは現金ではない。AMP8の料金・設備更新の成果と高投資負担を旧株主持分に反映", "rating": "valuation_derived_not_price_target", "quoted_price_gbp": 15.43, "scenario_expected_present_value_oku": 83.013637241, "scenario_expected_value_per_initial_share_gbp": 11.174809132, "expected_value_to_market_price": 0.724226127, "expected_10y_money_weighted_IRR": 0.044169078, "as_of_book_equity_status": "proxy", "core_uncertainty": "規制リオープナー最終決定と今後のPR29料金、更新・成長投資の回収、インフレリンク債、2026-11-06信託株数" }

10年期待年率4.42%
資本コスト8.50%
直近終値15.43 GBP2026-11-06

AIによるシナリオ分析です。基準日以降の出来事、株価や為替の変化は個別に確認が必要です。各数値は元の分析の単位と前提に従います。

分析の要約

株価15.43 GBP・2026-11-06基準。2026年5月発行済普通株742,864,028株を代理値に使用し、基準日の従業員信託残高は未確認。将来配当・増資は予測で、想定イベント日以降は再分析が必要。サイトの終価割引は10年固定(実日数3653/365.25の約10.00137年との差は近似)。
分析基準日2026-11-06。株数は2026年5月5日の増資後の発行株数を代理値として使用し、当日の従業員信託保有株数は未確認。未宣言の配当額と権利落ち日は予測。予測イベント到来後は再分析が必要。
{
"investment_thesis": "北西イングランドで規制された水道・下水サービスを提供する必需事業。PR24により投資・料金回収の可視性は上がったが、支出超過、ODI、環境義務、資本希薄化が普通株の真の価値を左右する。",
"financing": "2026-05-05調達のネット£788mは基準日前の既実施資本流入。以後の調達はシナリオ仮定。",
"income_quality": "FY2026連結親会社利益はIFRS £586.8m。SBC £4.5mは費用のまま。FY2026 underlying EPSは会計見積変更・インフラ更新の資産計上による押上げがあるため永久利益に無修正で乗じない。",
"dividend_timing": "2026-08-03支払最終配当は基準日前に全額消化済み。2027-02-01次回予定は配当額未確定のためシナリオ予測。2026-12-17除権予定は配当宣言確認済みのex_dateとは区別。",
"regulatory_vs_ifrs": "RCVは規制料金・減価償却・許容リターン計算に用いる資産価値で株主現金でない。IFRS equity, net financial debt, regulatory gearing, RCVを同一金額として換算しない。",
"highest_priority_checks": [
"2026年11月6日実効普通株数(従業員信託残高・5月以降の新株)",
"2026年9月末未公表中間財務の実際の純負債・IFRS親会社資本",
"2026年12月Ofwatリオープナー最終結論",
"環境罰金・係争/投資義務・IFRSの引当計上時点",
"2030年以降PR29の新料金収益認定"
]
}

事業

geography

England North West

customer_base

約800万人/人口ベースの生活基盤

core

United Utilities Water Ltdの水道・下水卸売と家計小売

revenue_sources
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1

水道卸売の規制料金

2

下水卸売の規制料金

3

家庭向けリテール料金

4

その他接続・工事関連収入

economic_characteristics

安定した顧客需要、長寿命資産、投資/料金はOfwat規制、環境処理性能を満たさないとODI減額・違反制裁。料金請求権はRCVが換金できることを意味しない。

regulatory_periods
1

AMP8 2025-04-01 to 2030-03-31

2

AMP9 2030-04-01 to 2035-03-31: future PR29 price control terms assumed not yet confirmed

3

AMP10 2035-04-01 onward: entirely forecast

allowed_revenue_mechanics

PR24を起点にallowed returns on nominalized RCV, RCV run-off, totex allowances, inflation, regulatory adjustments and ODIs; not all spending becomes RCV automatically.

inflation_linked_debt

FY26管理上RPI-linked債務エクスポージャ約£3.2bn、CPI/CPIH約£1.4bn。債務元本のインデクセーションは現金利払いと区別。FY26 EIR推計法変更が実績会計に影響。

competitive_position

地域独占型の管路インフラ、ネットワーク規模と水処理専門性。ただし顧客移転による競争ではなく、競争的調達、Ofwat効率比較、債券投資家の審査が規律する。

競争力・事業の質

sector_stability_score_0_to_5
4.1
regulatory_visibility_score_0_to_5
3.4
financial_flexibility_score_0_to_5
2.7
governance_and_environment_score_0_to_5
2.2
return_on_equity_caution

IFRS book equity is small relative to large long-lived RCV / debt financing. IFRS PAT/book equity is not a valid uncontested sustainable economic return or terminal market P/B anchor.

environmental_performance

FY26 storm spills declined 23% YoY, internal sewer flooding 42% down, but Ofwat estimate FY26 net ODI penalty ~£35m; future improvement targets binding.

enforcement_asof
verified_2026_09_08_fine_oku
0.009
fine_legal_surcharge_total_oku
0.00964225
further_ofwat_environment_investigation

未確定の追加罰金額は特定不能。モデルではシナリオ期待負担として費用計上;実際の確定負債ではない。

accounting_quality

FY2026 IRE capitalisation and debt EIR methodology change affected underlying comparability; forecast IFRS profit explicitly contains employee SBC expense and noncash bond indexation.

業界と環境

regulator

Ofwat (UK water England/Wales)

price_review

PR24 final December 2024, 2025-30

allowed_appointee_WACC_CPIH_real
0.0403
regulatory_notional_debt_fraction
0.55
ofwat_pr24_total_TOTEX_allowance_oku
130
company_new_AMP8_capital_investment_guidance_oku
115
FY2027_company_capital_investment_guidance_oku
20
2026_cost_change_DRAFT_in_2022_23_prices_oku
9.58
2026_company_cost_change_response_in_2022_23_prices_oku
10.26
management_incremental_reopener_AMP8_capex_oku
25
cost_change_final_decision_due

2026-12 (after valuation cutoff; not assumed approved)

environmental_PR24_targets
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storm_overflows_spill_reduction
0.33
pollution_incidents_reduction
0.3
leakage_reduction
0.13
internal_sewer_flooding_reduction
0.4
water_quality_contacts_reduction
0.34
risk_drivers
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1

PR29再設定と利回り低下

2

RPI/CPIHと規制料金回収ラグ

3

設備建設コストとサプライチェーン

4

過剰流出や河川環境規制/罰金

5

資本増資と配当制限

6

定率維持投資と資産劣化

7

Water Plus事業持分損失・保証

財務・資本配分

latest_financials_source

fy26_preliminary

latest_audited_report_disclosed

2026-06-24 FY26 full report; exact detailed re-audit of preliminary table uncompleted

fy2026_as_reported
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fiscal_year_end

2026-03-31

売上高
26.163
cash_operating_expense_including_sbc_oku
9.783
infrastructure_renewal_expense_oku
0.381
depreciation_and_amortization_oku
5.005
営業利益(億)
10.994
net_finance_expense_oku
3.158
equity_accounted_jv_loss_oku
0.046
profit_before_tax_oku
7.79
tax_expense_oku
1.922
attributable_profit_oku
5.868
親会社持分(億)
22.414
total_equity_oku
22.414
noncontrolling_interest_oku
0
cash_and_equivalents_oku
17.943
current_borrowings_oku
1.649
non_current_borrowings_oku
113.257
gross_borrowings_oku
114.906
regulatory_net_debt_oku
99.43
ifrs_net_debt_reported_oku
96.58
adjusted_rcv_oku
165.27
capital_investment_regulatory_oku
15.251
ppe_cash_purchases_oku
14.921
reported_cfo_oku
13.819
equity_settled_sbc_charge_oku
0.045
employee_share_purchases_for_options_oku
0.058
paid_dividends_oku
3.576
dividends_per_share_pence
53.66
interim_paid_pence
17.88
final_paid_pence
35.78
historical_revenue_by_service_oku
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wholesale_clean_water
10.739
wholesale_wastewater
13.626
household_retail
1.36
other
0.438
FY2026_equity_changes_oku
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opening_2025_03_31
19.999
attributable_pat_after_sbc
5.868
other_comprehensive_income
0.132
dividends_paid
-3.576
sbc_equity_settled_credit
0.045
shares_bought_for_options_market
-0.058
share_forfeiture_receipts
0.004
ending_2026_03_31
22.414
check_residual
0
reported_2026_March_balance_sheet
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ifrs_book_equity_oku
22.414
noncontrolling_interest_oku
0
gross_borrowings_oku
114.906
cash_and_equivalents_oku
17.943
simple_gross_borrowings_minus_cash_oku
96.963
reported_IFRS_net_debt_oku
96.58
management_rcv_gearing_debt_oku
99.43
adjusted_rcv_oku
165.27
regulatory_gearing
0.601621589
reported_income_statement_tax_oku
1.922
loan_and_hedge_fair_value_reconciliation_not_fully_traceable
はい
warning

IFRS net debt, debt less cash, and regulatory net debt follow different definitions. No automatic substitution.

ordinary_and_deferred_share_structure
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ordinary_as_of_2026_05_05
742864028
deferred_share_class_count
273956180
deferred_share_class_not_valued_as_ordinary
はい
shares_in_employee_trust_at_2026_11_06
未確認
company_treasury_as_of_2026_05_05
0
dividend_history_and_cutoff
1
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period

FY2025/26 interim

per_share_pence
17.88
ex_date

2025-12-18

payment_date

2026-02-02

after_valuation_cutoff
いいえ
included_forecast_CF
いいえ
2
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period

FY2025/26 final

per_share_pence
35.78
ex_date

2026-06-25

payment_date

2026-08-03

after_valuation_cutoff
いいえ
included_forecast_CF
いいえ
3
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period

FY2026/27 interim

per_share_pence
未確認
ex_date
未確認
scheduled_ex_date

2026-12-17

scheduled_payment_date

2027-02-01

after_valuation_cutoff
はい
included_forecast_CF

amount estimated in all five cases

buyback_policy_and_sbc

No ordinary corporate share repurchase forecast. Employee benefit trust historically buys issued shares on market to satisfy equity awards. Share purchase is company cash outflow and transfer can dilute original holders without company share cancellation. IFRS2 expense remains in profit and noncash equity credit reverses expense in statement of changes in equity.

2026_11_06_opening_proxy_bridge
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period

2026-04-01 to 2026-11-06

days
220
状態

推計・代理値。2026年9月末中間決算は11月12日発表予定のため2026-11-06時点で利用不可

from_2026_03_31
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親会社持分(億)
22.414
regulatory_net_debt_oku
99.43
adjusted_rcv_oku
165.27
ordinary_shares
681888418
verified_event_2026_05_05
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new_ordinary_shares
60975610
price_gbp
13.12
gross_proceeds_oku
8
net_proceeds_oku
7.88
post_issue_ordinary_shares
742864028
company_treasury_shares
0
last_verified_count_date

2026-07-17

verified_final_dividend_paid_2026_08_03
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cash_outflow_oku
2.657967492
per_share_gbp
0.3578
ex_date

2026-06-25

from_march_equity_dividend_liability

2026-03-31未認識。会社決算注記9に従い承認後に控除

assumed_profit_before_september_court_fine_oku
3.495890411
recognized_september_2026_court_fine_assumed_paid_oku
0.00964225
assumed_profit_after_court_fine_oku
3.486248161
court_fine_cash_settlement_unverified
はい
assumed_equity_sbc_credit_oku
0.027123288
assumed_employee_share_market_purchases_oku
0.034958904
assumed_OCI_oku
0
assumed_capex_cash_oku
12.054794521
assumed_depreciation_oku
3.315068493
assumed_indexation_oku
0.560547945
assumed_deferred_tax_noncash_oku
0.693150685
assumed_working_capital_cash_deduction_oku
0.120547945
assumed_cfo_oku
7.971232877
estimated_as_of_parent_equity_oku
31.114445052
estimated_as_of_regulatory_style_net_debt_oku
98.896678235
estimated_as_of_adjusted_rcv_oku
173.242046575
estimated_as_of_issued_ordinary_shares
742864028
estimated_as_of_treasury_shares
0
employee_trust_ordinary_shares_as_of
未確認
old_cohort_model_initial_shares
742864028
audit_equity_residual_oku
0
audit_debt_residual_oku
0
warning

FY2027途中の実績ではない。投資CFと資本の整合はモデル仮定内に限る。2026-09-08確定罰金の支払日は不明のため基準日までに現金決済したと仮定。社員信託の正確な基準日保有株数は未確認。

model_principal_indexation_vs_cash_interest

Each modeled period accounts IFRS finance expense as cash interest + noncash inflation-linked principal indexation, adds noncash finance to CFO, and separately increases debt principal. Forecast nominalized cash cost not directly pegged to Ofwat CPIH-real allowance.

future_primary_issuance_policy

If regulatory-style debt/RCV ratio exceeds 65%, hypothetical outside funding moves to 62-63% target as set by scenario, issued on November 1 of each anniversary year. Proceeds recognized in company equity and lower net debt, shares issued to non-cohort investors; zero cash payment by old cohort.

評価の前提と確認

quoted_P_E_not_used
はい
quoted_P_B_not_used
はい
RCV_minus_debt_not_equated_to_equity_share_value
はい
terminal_method

Discount future share-cohort dividends and proportional employee-trust tender proceeds; whole-company terminal FCFE derived from post-SBC sustainable PAT, retention for economic growth, uncovered maintenance capex, k and g; multiply by original cohort surviving shares / future ordinary issued; discount terminal at exact anniversary day count.

terminal_valuation_equations
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1

PAT_t = gross_regulatory_revenue - ODI - cash_opex - IRE - depreciation - SBC - environmental_fines - (cash_interest+noncash_indexation) - JVloss - IFRS_tax

2

FCFE_sustainable = max(0, PAT_normalized*(1 - g/normalized_economic_equity_ROE) - max(0, maintenance_capex - depreciation - maintenance_funding_recovery))

3

V_whole_2036_11_06 = FCFE_sustainable*(1+g)/(k-g)

4

V_old_2036_11_06 = V_whole_2036_11_06 * (remaining_original_cohort_shares / issued_ordinary_shares)

5

PV_old = sum(event.amount/(1+k)^((date-2026-11-06)/365.25)) + V_old/(1+k)^((2036-11-06 - 2026-11-06)/365.25)

6

IRR = root PV_old(IRR) - initial_cohort_purchase_cost_oku = 0

no_cash_added_for_non_cash_sbc
はい
historical_aug_2026_final_not_in_future_receipts
はい
all_5_scenarios_use_same_nominal_k
0.085
valuation_horizon_days
3653
year_count

actual days / 365.25; 2036-11-06 corresponds to 3653/365.25 years, not 10 exactly under convention

reinvestment_and_maintenance_policy

Terminal profit is AFTER routine operating costs, depreciation, SBC and financing. Deduct additional maintenance cash capex not supported by depreciation or explicit maintenance recovery separately; retain equity for terminal growth to avoid assuming growth without funds.

price_sensitivity_base_case
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1
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資本コスト
7.50%
g
0.02
old_holder_PV_oku
102.356585657
per_initial_share_gbp
13.778643439
2
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資本コスト
7.50%
g
0.025
old_holder_PV_oku
106.532515484
per_initial_share_gbp
14.340782629
3
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資本コスト
7.50%
g
0.03
old_holder_PV_oku
111.602777665
per_initial_share_gbp
15.023311597
4
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資本コスト
8.50%
g
0.02
old_holder_PV_oku
85.149822611
per_initial_share_gbp
11.462369882
5
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資本コスト
8.50%
g
0.025
old_holder_PV_oku
87.514681672
per_initial_share_gbp
11.780713344
6
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資本コスト
8.50%
g
0.03
old_holder_PV_oku
90.284416874
per_initial_share_gbp
12.153558857
7
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資本コスト
9.50%
g
0.02
old_holder_PV_oku
72.680717698
per_initial_share_gbp
9.783852086
8
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資本コスト
9.50%
g
0.025
old_holder_PV_oku
74.067074135
per_initial_share_gbp
9.970475261
9
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資本コスト
9.50%
g
0.03
old_holder_PV_oku
75.647341111
per_initial_share_gbp
10.183201536
limitations
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1

annual trust share movements not disclosed as of 2026-11-06

2

severe scenario could trigger dividends restrictions not contractually modeled

3

no access to full audited FY26 annual report pages for reconciliation beyond preliminary report

4

10-year regulatory and capital expenditures highly forecast-dependent

5

not a guarantee of Ofwat reopeners or permitted shareholder distributions

資本コストの前提

資本コスト
8.50%
basis

nominal GBP shareholder equity hurdle, fixed across five scenarios; Ofwat CPIH-real WACC 4.03% is a regulated asset allowance, not equity discount rate

k_policy

Based on 5.1% CPIH-real regulatory allowed CoE compounded with 3.0% CPIH => 8.253%, plus approximate 0.25pp company funding / environment / governance buffer rounded to 8.5%. Neither a quoted market PER nor implied PBR.

allowed_regulated_cost_of_equity_CPIH_real
0.051
regulated_appointee_allowed_WACC_CPIH_real
0.0403
notional_gearing_ofwat
0.55
inflation_for_k_bridge
0.03
cpi_nominalized_roe_reference
0.08253
additional_company_specific_risk_premium
0.00247

事業別データ

事業別の内訳と、収録されている年度別データを確認できます。

事業別データを開く →

10年のシナリオ

シナリオごとの確率、期間内の株主還元・追加負担、終価です。金額は億GBP。株主の範囲や受取時点は各分析の前提を確認してください。

シナリオ確率株主還元・追加負担終価
非常に強気10.0%49.85331.05
強気20.0%48.94223.68
標準40.0%47.81125.83
弱気20.0%24.120.00
深刻な下方10.0%2.270.00

非常に強気(確率 10.0%)

追加投資が効率的に規制収益化され、損失・ODIが小さい。

確率の根拠

将来の規制・設備投資・資金調達を考慮した分析上の仮定。

このシナリオの数値・キャッシュフローを開く →

強気(確率 20.0%)

料金・支出効率が良好でODI負担が縮小。

確率の根拠

将来の規制・設備投資・資金調達を考慮した分析上の仮定。

このシナリオの数値・キャッシュフローを開く →

標準(確率 40.0%)

AMP8の大部分が進捗、許容利益の回収と効率改善が進むが維持投資負担が残る。

確率の根拠

将来の規制・設備投資・資金調達を考慮した分析上の仮定。

このシナリオの数値・キャッシュフローを開く →

弱気(確率 20.0%)

料金回収の遅れ、環境ODI損失と資金調達コスト増。

確率の根拠

将来の規制・設備投資・資金調達を考慮した分析上の仮定。

このシナリオの数値・キャッシュフローを開く →

深刻な下方(確率 10.0%)

規制不達・環境制裁と建設超過。資金不足を増資で補填。

確率の根拠

将来の規制・設備投資・資金調達を考慮した分析上の仮定。

事業別の前提

1
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id

regulated_water

数量
1
価格・単価
32.294429397
売上換算係数
1
売上高
32.294429397
営業利益
0.577688009
注記

連結事業。年次モデルの最終1年値。

日付別キャッシュフロー

1
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year
0.11225188227242
想定日

2026-12-17

金額
0
種類

forecast_review_gate

注記

予測権利落ち日または希薄化イベント。実施と金額を確認し再分析する。

2
year
0.238193018
想定日

2027-02-01

金額
0.462120381
3
year
0.479123888
想定日

2027-04-30

金額
0.058
4
内容を開く
year
0.63244353182752
想定日

2027-06-25

金額
0
種類

forecast_review_gate

注記

予測権利落ち日または希薄化イベント。実施と金額を確認し再分析する。

5
year
0.739219713
想定日

2027-08-03

金額
0.923761101
6
内容を開く
year
1.1115674195756
想定日

2027-12-17

金額
0
種類

forecast_review_gate

注記

予測権利落ち日または希薄化イベント。実施と金額を確認し再分析する。

7
year
1.237508556
想定日

2028-02-01

金額
0.138004455
8
year
1.475701574
想定日

2028-04-28

金額
0.059708996
9
内容を開く
year
1.6290212183436
想定日

2028-06-23

金額
0
種類

forecast_review_gate

注記

予測権利落ち日または希薄化イベント。実施と金額を確認し再分析する。

10
year
1.741273101
想定日

2028-08-03

金額
0.275857588
11
内容を開く
year
1.9876796714579
想定日

2028-11-01

金額
0
種類

forecast_review_gate

注記

予測権利落ち日または希薄化イベント。実施と金額を確認し再分析する。

12
内容を開く
year
2.1081451060917
想定日

2028-12-15

金額
0
種類

forecast_review_gate

注記

予測権利落ち日または希薄化イベント。実施と金額を確認し再分析する。

13
year
2.239561944
想定日

2029-02-01

金額
0
14
year
2.480492813
想定日

2029-04-30

金額
0.052943971
15
内容を開く
year
2.6338124572211
想定日

2029-06-25

金額
0
種類

forecast_review_gate

注記

予測権利落ち日または希薄化イベント。実施と金額を確認し再分析する。

16
year
2.740588638
想定日

2029-08-03

金額
0
17
内容を開く
year
2.9869952087611
想定日

2029-11-01

金額
0
種類

forecast_review_gate

注記

予測権利落ち日または希薄化イベント。実施と金額を確認し再分析する。

18
内容を開く
year
3.1129363449692
想定日

2029-12-17

金額
0
種類

forecast_review_gate

注記

予測権利落ち日または希薄化イベント。実施と金額を確認し再分析する。

19
year
3.238877481
想定日

2030-02-01

金額
0
20
year
3.47980835
想定日

2030-04-30

金額
0.048617528
21
内容を開く
year
3.6331279945243
想定日

2030-06-25

金額
0
種類

forecast_review_gate

注記

予測権利落ち日または希薄化イベント。実施と金額を確認し再分析する。

22
year
3.745379877
想定日

2030-08-05

金額
0
23
内容を開く
year
3.9863107460643
想定日

2030-11-01

金額
0
種類

forecast_review_gate

注記

予測権利落ち日または希薄化イベント。実施と金額を確認し再分析する。

24
内容を開く
year
4.1122518822724
想定日

2030-12-17

金額
0
種類

forecast_review_gate

注記

予測権利落ち日または希薄化イベント。実施と金額を確認し再分析する。

25
year
4.24366872
想定日

2031-02-03

金額
0
26
year
4.479123888
想定日

2031-04-30

金額
0.04569328
27
内容を開く
year
4.6324435318275
想定日

2031-06-25

金額
0
種類

forecast_review_gate

注記

予測権利落ち日または希薄化イベント。実施と金額を確認し再分析する。

28
year
4.741957563
想定日

2031-08-04

金額
0
29
内容を開く
year
4.9856262833676
想定日

2031-11-01

金額
0
種類

forecast_review_gate

注記

予測権利落ち日または希薄化イベント。実施と金額を確認し再分析する。

30
内容を開く
year
5.1115674195756
想定日

2031-12-17

金額
0
種類

forecast_review_gate

注記

予測権利落ち日または希薄化イベント。実施と金額を確認し再分析する。

31
year
5.240246407
想定日

2032-02-02

金額
0
32
year
5.481177276
想定日

2032-04-30

金額
0.043864023
33
内容を開く
year
5.6344969199179
想定日

2032-06-25

金額
0
種類

forecast_review_gate

注記

予測権利落ち日または希薄化イベント。実施と金額を確認し再分析する。

34
year
5.741273101
想定日

2032-08-03

金額
0
35
内容を開く
year
5.9876796714579
想定日

2032-11-01

金額
0
種類

forecast_review_gate

注記

予測権利落ち日または希薄化イベント。実施と金額を確認し再分析する。

36
内容を開く
year
6.113620807666
想定日

2032-12-17

金額
0
種類

forecast_review_gate

注記

予測権利落ち日または希薄化イベント。実施と金額を確認し再分析する。

37
year
6.239561944
想定日

2033-02-01

金額
0
38
year
6.477754962
想定日

2033-04-29

金額
0.042051632
39
内容を開く
year
6.6310746064339
想定日

2033-06-24

金額
0
種類

forecast_review_gate

注記

予測権利落ち日または希薄化イベント。実施と金額を確認し再分析する。

40
year
6.740588638
想定日

2033-08-03

金額
0
41
内容を開く
year
6.9869952087611
想定日

2033-11-01

金額
0
種類

forecast_review_gate

注記

予測権利落ち日または希薄化イベント。実施と金額を確認し再分析する。

42
内容を開く
year
7.1101984941821
想定日

2033-12-16

金額
0
種類

forecast_review_gate

注記

予測権利落ち日または希薄化イベント。実施と金額を確認し再分析する。

43
year
7.238877481
想定日

2034-02-01

金額
0
44
year
7.474332649
想定日

2034-04-28

金額
0.040161152
45
内容を開く
year
7.62765229295
想定日

2034-06-23

金額
0
種類

forecast_review_gate

注記

予測権利落ち日または希薄化イベント。実施と金額を確認し再分析する。

46
year
7.739904175
想定日

2034-08-03

金額
0
47
内容を開く
year
7.9863107460643
想定日

2034-11-01

金額
0
種類

forecast_review_gate

注記

予測権利落ち日または希薄化イベント。実施と金額を確認し再分析する。

48
内容を開く
year
8.1067761806982
想定日

2034-12-15

金額
0
種類

forecast_review_gate

注記

予測権利落ち日または希薄化イベント。実施と金額を確認し再分析する。

49
year
8.238193018
想定日

2035-02-01

金額
0
50
year
8.479123888
想定日

2035-04-30

金額
0.03822946
51
内容を開く
year
8.6324435318275
想定日

2035-06-25

金額
0
種類

forecast_review_gate

注記

予測権利落ち日または希薄化イベント。実施と金額を確認し再分析する。

52
year
8.739219713
想定日

2035-08-03

金額
0
53
内容を開く
year
8.9856262833676
想定日

2035-11-01

金額
0
種類

forecast_review_gate

注記

予測権利落ち日または希薄化イベント。実施と金額を確認し再分析する。

54
内容を開く
year
9.1115674195756
想定日

2035-12-17

金額
0
種類

forecast_review_gate

注記

予測権利落ち日または希薄化イベント。実施と金額を確認し再分析する。

55
year
9.237508556
想定日

2036-02-01

金額
0
56
year
9.481177276
想定日

2036-04-30

金額
0.036288557
57
内容を開く
year
9.6344969199179
想定日

2036-06-25

金額
0
種類

forecast_review_gate

注記

予測権利落ち日または希薄化イベント。実施と金額を確認し再分析する。

58
year
9.744010951
想定日

2036-08-04

金額
0
59
内容を開く
year
9.9876796714579
想定日

2036-11-01

金額
0
種類

forecast_review_gate

注記

予測権利落ち日または希薄化イベント。実施と金額を確認し再分析する。

その他の数値・前提

thesis

規制不達・環境制裁と建設超過。資金不足を増資で補填。

forecast_assumptions
内容を開く
状態

model_assumptions_not_company_guidance

initial_gross_revenue_oku
27.4
revenue_growth_early
0.025
revenue_growth_late
0.018
operating_cost_first_year_oku
11.85
operating_cost_growth_early
0.068
operating_cost_growth_late
0.053
inflation_assumption_CPIH
0.044
cash_financing_rate_on_opening_net_debt
0.04
index_linked_share_of_debt_proxy_at_start
0.46
index_linked_share_of_debt_target_from_anniversary_5
0.33
capex_multiplier_vs_common_schedule
1.16
rcv_eligible_capex_fraction
0.47
annual_rcv_runoff_assumed
0.036
regulatory_max_gearing_trigger
0.65
post_issue_target_gearing
0.62
environmental_fine_first_year_oku
0.23
revenue_odi_penalty_first_year_oku
0.78
first_anniversary_year_dps_target_gbp
0.36
later_dividend_target_growth
0.012
dividend_cap_as_multiple_of_same_period_positive_profit
0.8
future_employee_trust_share_purchase_market_price_growth_assumed
-0.025
model_employee_trust_purchase_and_delivery_same_period
はい
corporate_share_buybacks_assumed
0
book_OCI_assumed
0
annual_ledger
内容を開く
1
内容を開く
anniversary_year
1
period_start

2026-11-06

期間末

2027-11-06

period_days
365
data_status

scenario_forecast

income_oku
内容を開く
regulatory_gross_revenue_before_odi
27.4
negative_odi_revenue_adjustment
-0.78
revenue
26.62
cash_operating_cost_excluding_sbc_and_ire
11.85
infrastructure_renewal_expense
0.44
sbc_expense_included_in_pat
0.05
depreciation_and_amortization
5.85
environmental_legal_compliance_fines_expense
0.23
operating_profit
8.2
cash_finance_interest_expense
3.955867129
assumed_index_linked_fraction_of_debt
0.434
noncash_indexation_finance_expense
1.888530968
total_finance_expense
5.844398097
share_of_jv_loss
0.045
profit_before_tax
2.310601903
income_tax_expense
0.577650476
parent_attributable_ifrs_profit_after_sbc
1.732951427
noncontrolling_profit
0
total_profit_after_tax
1.732951427
regulatory_rcv_and_investment_oku
内容を開く
rcv_begin_adjusted
173.242046575
cpi_indexation_net_of_regulatory_runoff
1.385936373
cash_capex
25.52
maintenance_replacement_capex_assumed
15.8224
growth_and_compliance_capex_assumed
9.6976
qualified_rcv_capex_addition_proxy
11.9944
rcv_end_adjusted
186.622382948
RCV_is_unavailable_to_shareholders_as_cash
はい
cash_flow_and_debt_oku
内容を開く
company_cash_from_operations
9.684284718
noncash_financing_indexation_in_CFO_reconciliation
1.888530968
deferred_tax_non_cash_added_back
0.392802324
working_capital_cash_deduction
0.23
regulatory_style_net_debt_begin
98.896678235
cash_capex
25.52
dividends_paid_company_wide
1.386361142
employee_trust_market_purchase_cash
0.058
third_party_primary_issue_net_proceeds
0
noncash_debt_principal_indexation
1.888530968
regulatory_style_net_debt_end
118.065285626
gearing_end_net_debt_over_adjusted_rcv
0.632642686
ordinary_parent_equity_oku
内容を開く
begin
31.114445052
parent_profit_after_sbc
1.732951427
ifrs2_non_cash_sbc_equity_credit
0.05
primary_equity_issue_proceeds
0
company_dividend_cash_reduction
1.386361142
employee_trust_purchase_equity_reduction
0.058
assumed_other_comprehensive_income
0
end
31.453035338
share_and_holder_cohort_ledger
内容を開く
issued_ordinary_begin
742864028
issued_from_third_party_equity_funding
0
issued_ordinary_end
742864028
company_treasury_begin
0
company_treasury_end
0
trust_purchased_and_delivered_same_period
385529.35506921
trust_end_balance_model_only
0
sbc_new_primary_shares
0
old_cohort_owned_begin
742864028
old_cohort_sold_to_employee_trust
385529.35506921
old_cohort_owned_end
742478498.64493
old_cohort_fraction_begin
1
old_cohort_fraction_end
0.999481023
employee_market_purchase_unit_price_gbp
15.04425
third_party_issue_price_gbp
未確認
third_party_issue_proceeds_oku
0
holder_cash_returns_oku
内容を開く
interim_dividend
0.462120381
final_dividend
0.923761101
pro_rata_tender_to_employee_trust
0.058
ordinary_company_buybacks_pro_rata
0
total_old_holder_cash_receipts
1.443881482
company_cash_returns_oku
内容を開く
interim_dividend
0.462120381
final_dividend
0.924240761
target_dps_gbp_before_profit_restriction
0.36
actual_scenario_dps_gbp_after_profit_restriction
0.186623809
employee_trust_market_purchases_not_corporate_buybacks
0.058
corporate_buybacks
0
ordinary_primary_issue_receipts_not_shareholder_return
0
audit_residuals
内容を開く
income_statement_oku
0
親会社持分(億)
0
rcv_oku
0
debt_oku
0
発行済株式数
0
cohort_shares
0
holder_cashflow_oku
0
company_dividends_oku
0
2
内容を開く
anniversary_year
2
period_start

2027-11-06

期間末

2028-11-06

period_days
366
data_status

scenario_forecast

income_oku
内容を開く
regulatory_gross_revenue_before_odi
28.085
negative_odi_revenue_adjustment
-0.78
revenue
27.305
cash_operating_cost_excluding_sbc_and_ire
12.6558
infrastructure_renewal_expense
0.4488
sbc_expense_included_in_pat
0.0515
depreciation_and_amortization
6.3414
environmental_legal_compliance_fines_expense
0.23
operating_profit
7.5775
cash_finance_interest_expense
4.722611425
assumed_index_linked_fraction_of_debt
0.408
noncash_indexation_finance_expense
2.119508008
total_finance_expense
6.842119433
share_of_jv_loss
0.045
profit_before_tax
0.690380567
income_tax_expense
0.172595142
parent_attributable_ifrs_profit_after_sbc
0.517785426
noncontrolling_profit
0
total_profit_after_tax
0.517785426
regulatory_rcv_and_investment_oku
内容を開く
rcv_begin_adjusted
186.622382948
cpi_indexation_net_of_regulatory_runoff
1.492979064
cash_capex
30.16
maintenance_replacement_capex_assumed
18.6992
growth_and_compliance_capex_assumed
11.4608
qualified_rcv_capex_addition_proxy
14.1752
rcv_end_adjusted
202.290562012
RCV_is_unavailable_to_shareholders_as_cash
はい
cash_flow_and_debt_oku
内容を開く
company_cash_from_operations
8.91065813
noncash_financing_indexation_in_CFO_reconciliation
2.119508008
deferred_tax_non_cash_added_back
0.117364696
working_capital_cash_deduction
0.2369
regulatory_style_net_debt_begin
118.065285626
cash_capex
30.16
dividends_paid_company_wide
0.41422834
employee_trust_market_purchase_cash
0.05974
third_party_primary_issue_net_proceeds
16.487955398
noncash_debt_principal_indexation
2.119508008
regulatory_style_net_debt_end
125.420148447
gearing_end_net_debt_over_adjusted_rcv
0.62
ordinary_parent_equity_oku
内容を開く
begin
31.453035338
parent_profit_after_sbc
0.517785426
ifrs2_non_cash_sbc_equity_credit
0.0515
primary_equity_issue_proceeds
16.487955398
company_dividend_cash_reduction
0.41422834
employee_trust_purchase_equity_reduction
0.05974
assumed_other_comprehensive_income
0
end
48.036307821
share_and_holder_cohort_ledger
内容を開く
issued_ordinary_begin
742864028
issued_from_third_party_equity_funding
119581443.85257
issued_ordinary_end
862445471.85257
company_treasury_begin
0
company_treasury_end
0
trust_purchased_and_delivered_same_period
407277.16484235
trust_end_balance_model_only
0
sbc_new_primary_shares
0
old_cohort_owned_begin
742478498.64493
old_cohort_sold_to_employee_trust
407065.79735546
old_cohort_owned_end
742071432.84758
old_cohort_fraction_begin
0.999481023
old_cohort_fraction_end
0.860427073
employee_market_purchase_unit_price_gbp
14.66814375
third_party_issue_price_gbp
13.788055125
third_party_issue_proceeds_oku
16.487955398
holder_cash_returns_oku
内容を開く
interim_dividend
0.138004455
final_dividend
0.275857588
pro_rata_tender_to_employee_trust
0.059708996
ordinary_company_buybacks_pro_rata
0
total_old_holder_cash_receipts
0.473571039
company_cash_returns_oku
内容を開く
interim_dividend
0.138076113
final_dividend
0.276152227
target_dps_gbp_before_profit_restriction
0.36432
actual_scenario_dps_gbp_after_profit_restriction
0.055760991
employee_trust_market_purchases_not_corporate_buybacks
0.05974
corporate_buybacks
0
ordinary_primary_issue_receipts_not_shareholder_return
16.487955398
audit_residuals
内容を開く
income_statement_oku
-0
親会社持分(億)
0
rcv_oku
0
debt_oku
0
発行済株式数
0
cohort_shares
0
holder_cashflow_oku
0
company_dividends_oku
0
3
内容を開く
anniversary_year
3
period_start

2028-11-06

期間末

2029-11-06

period_days
365
data_status

scenario_forecast

income_oku
内容を開く
regulatory_gross_revenue_before_odi
28.787125
negative_odi_revenue_adjustment
-0.78
revenue
28.007125
cash_operating_cost_excluding_sbc_and_ire
13.5163944
infrastructure_renewal_expense
0.457776
sbc_expense_included_in_pat
0.053045
depreciation_and_amortization
6.8740776
environmental_legal_compliance_fines_expense
0.23
operating_profit
6.875832
cash_finance_interest_expense
5.016805938
assumed_index_linked_fraction_of_debt
0.382
noncash_indexation_finance_expense
2.108061855
total_finance_expense
7.124867793
share_of_jv_loss
0.045
profit_before_tax
-0.294035793
income_tax_expense
0
parent_attributable_ifrs_profit_after_sbc
-0.294035793
noncontrolling_profit
0
total_profit_after_tax
-0.294035793
regulatory_rcv_and_investment_oku
内容を開く
rcv_begin_adjusted
202.290562012
cpi_indexation_net_of_regulatory_runoff
1.618324496
cash_capex
30.16
maintenance_replacement_capex_assumed
18.6992
growth_and_compliance_capex_assumed
11.4608
qualified_rcv_capex_addition_proxy
14.1752
rcv_end_adjusted
218.084086508
RCV_is_unavailable_to_shareholders_as_cash
はい
cash_flow_and_debt_oku
内容を開く
company_cash_from_operations
8.497141662
noncash_financing_indexation_in_CFO_reconciliation
2.108061855
deferred_tax_non_cash_added_back
0
working_capital_cash_deduction
0.244007
regulatory_style_net_debt_begin
125.420148447
cash_capex
30.16
dividends_paid_company_wide
0
employee_trust_market_purchase_cash
0.0615322
third_party_primary_issue_net_proceeds
14.040467205
noncash_debt_principal_indexation
2.108061855
regulatory_style_net_debt_end
135.212133635
gearing_end_net_debt_over_adjusted_rcv
0.62
ordinary_parent_equity_oku
内容を開く
begin
48.036307821
parent_profit_after_sbc
-0.294035793
ifrs2_non_cash_sbc_equity_credit
0.053045
primary_equity_issue_proceeds
14.040467205
company_dividend_cash_reduction
0
employee_trust_purchase_equity_reduction
0.0615322
assumed_other_comprehensive_income
0
end
61.774252033
share_and_holder_cohort_ledger
内容を開く
issued_ordinary_begin
862445471.85257
issued_from_third_party_equity_funding
104441700.11276
issued_ordinary_end
966887171.96533
company_treasury_begin
0
company_treasury_end
0
trust_purchased_and_delivered_same_period
430251.77414115
trust_end_balance_model_only
0
sbc_new_primary_shares
0
old_cohort_owned_begin
742071432.84758
old_cohort_sold_to_employee_trust
370200.27461714
old_cohort_owned_end
741701232.57296
old_cohort_fraction_begin
0.860427073
old_cohort_fraction_end
0.767102154
employee_market_purchase_unit_price_gbp
14.301440156
third_party_issue_price_gbp
13.443353747
third_party_issue_proceeds_oku
14.040467205
holder_cash_returns_oku
内容を開く
interim_dividend
0
final_dividend
0
pro_rata_tender_to_employee_trust
0.052943971
ordinary_company_buybacks_pro_rata
0
total_old_holder_cash_receipts
0.052943971
company_cash_returns_oku
内容を開く
interim_dividend
0
final_dividend
0
target_dps_gbp_before_profit_restriction
0.36869184
actual_scenario_dps_gbp_after_profit_restriction
0
employee_trust_market_purchases_not_corporate_buybacks
0.0615322
corporate_buybacks
0
ordinary_primary_issue_receipts_not_shareholder_return
14.040467205
audit_residuals
内容を開く
income_statement_oku
0
親会社持分(億)
0
rcv_oku
0
debt_oku
0
発行済株式数
0
cohort_shares
0
holder_cashflow_oku
0
company_dividends_oku
0
4
内容を開く
anniversary_year
4
period_start

2029-11-06

期間末

2030-11-06

period_days
365
data_status

scenario_forecast

income_oku
内容を開く
regulatory_gross_revenue_before_odi
29.506803125
negative_odi_revenue_adjustment
-0.78
revenue
28.726803125
cash_operating_cost_excluding_sbc_and_ire
14.435509219
infrastructure_renewal_expense
0.46693152
sbc_expense_included_in_pat
0.05463635
depreciation_and_amortization
7.451500118
environmental_legal_compliance_fines_expense
0.23
operating_profit
6.088225917
cash_finance_interest_expense
5.408485345
assumed_index_linked_fraction_of_debt
0.356
noncash_indexation_finance_expense
2.117962861
total_finance_expense
7.526448207
share_of_jv_loss
0.02
profit_before_tax
-1.458222289
income_tax_expense
0
parent_attributable_ifrs_profit_after_sbc
-1.458222289
noncontrolling_profit
0
total_profit_after_tax
-1.458222289
regulatory_rcv_and_investment_oku
内容を開く
rcv_begin_adjusted
218.084086508
cpi_indexation_net_of_regulatory_runoff
1.744672692
cash_capex
26.68
maintenance_replacement_capex_assumed
16.5416
growth_and_compliance_capex_assumed
10.1384
qualified_rcv_capex_addition_proxy
12.5396
rcv_end_adjusted
232.3683592
RCV_is_unavailable_to_shareholders_as_cash
はい
cash_flow_and_debt_oku
内容を開く
company_cash_from_operations
7.91454983
noncash_financing_indexation_in_CFO_reconciliation
2.117962861
deferred_tax_non_cash_added_back
0
working_capital_cash_deduction
0.25132721
regulatory_style_net_debt_begin
135.212133635
cash_capex
26.68
dividends_paid_company_wide
0
employee_trust_market_purchase_cash
0.063378166
third_party_primary_issue_net_proceeds
12.090542128
noncash_debt_principal_indexation
2.117962861
regulatory_style_net_debt_end
144.068382704
gearing_end_net_debt_over_adjusted_rcv
0.62
ordinary_parent_equity_oku
内容を開く
begin
61.774252033
parent_profit_after_sbc
-1.458222289
ifrs2_non_cash_sbc_equity_credit
0.05463635
primary_equity_issue_proceeds
12.090542128
company_dividend_cash_reduction
0
employee_trust_purchase_equity_reduction
0.063378166
assumed_other_comprehensive_income
0
end
72.397830056
share_and_holder_cohort_ledger
内容を開く
issued_ordinary_begin
966887171.96533
issued_from_third_party_equity_funding
92243024.039742
issued_ordinary_end
1059130196.0051
company_treasury_begin
0
company_treasury_end
0
trust_purchased_and_delivered_same_period
454522.38704142
trust_end_balance_model_only
0
sbc_new_primary_shares
0
old_cohort_owned_begin
741701232.57296
old_cohort_sold_to_employee_trust
348665.10227391
old_cohort_owned_end
741352567.47068
old_cohort_fraction_begin
0.767102154
old_cohort_fraction_end
0.699963584
employee_market_purchase_unit_price_gbp
13.943904152
third_party_issue_price_gbp
13.107269903
third_party_issue_proceeds_oku
12.090542128
holder_cash_returns_oku
内容を開く
interim_dividend
0
final_dividend
0
pro_rata_tender_to_employee_trust
0.048617528
ordinary_company_buybacks_pro_rata
0
total_old_holder_cash_receipts
0.048617528
company_cash_returns_oku
内容を開く
interim_dividend
0
final_dividend
0
target_dps_gbp_before_profit_restriction
0.373116142
actual_scenario_dps_gbp_after_profit_restriction
0
employee_trust_market_purchases_not_corporate_buybacks
0.063378166
corporate_buybacks
0
ordinary_primary_issue_receipts_not_shareholder_return
12.090542128
audit_residuals
内容を開く
income_statement_oku
-0
親会社持分(億)
0
rcv_oku
0
debt_oku
0
発行済株式数
0
cohort_shares
0
holder_cashflow_oku
0
company_dividends_oku
0
5
内容を開く
anniversary_year
5
period_start

2030-11-06

期間末

2031-11-06

period_days
365
data_status

scenario_forecast

income_oku
内容を開く
regulatory_gross_revenue_before_odi
30.037925581
negative_odi_revenue_adjustment
-0.546
revenue
29.491925581
cash_operating_cost_excluding_sbc_and_ire
15.200591208
infrastructure_renewal_expense
0.47627015
sbc_expense_included_in_pat
0.056275441
depreciation_and_amortization
7.988008127
environmental_legal_compliance_fines_expense
0.138
operating_profit
5.632780656
cash_finance_interest_expense
5.762735308
assumed_index_linked_fraction_of_debt
0.33
noncash_indexation_finance_expense
2.091872917
total_finance_expense
7.854608225
share_of_jv_loss
0.02
profit_before_tax
-2.241827569
income_tax_expense
0
parent_attributable_ifrs_profit_after_sbc
-2.241827569
noncontrolling_profit
0
total_profit_after_tax
-2.241827569
regulatory_rcv_and_investment_oku
内容を開く
rcv_begin_adjusted
232.3683592
cpi_indexation_net_of_regulatory_runoff
1.858946874
cash_capex
23.2
maintenance_replacement_capex_assumed
14.384
growth_and_compliance_capex_assumed
8.816
qualified_rcv_capex_addition_proxy
10.904
rcv_end_adjusted
245.131306073
RCV_is_unavailable_to_shareholders_as_cash
はい
cash_flow_and_debt_oku
内容を開く
company_cash_from_operations
7.635461889
noncash_financing_indexation_in_CFO_reconciliation
2.091872917
deferred_tax_non_cash_added_back
0
working_capital_cash_deduction
0.258867026
regulatory_style_net_debt_begin
144.068382704
cash_capex
23.2
dividends_paid_company_wide
0
employee_trust_market_purchase_cash
0.065279511
third_party_primary_issue_net_proceeds
9.808663478
noncash_debt_principal_indexation
2.091872917
regulatory_style_net_debt_end
151.981409765
gearing_end_net_debt_over_adjusted_rcv
0.62
ordinary_parent_equity_oku
内容を開く
begin
72.397830056
parent_profit_after_sbc
-2.241827569
ifrs2_non_cash_sbc_equity_credit
0.056275441
primary_equity_issue_proceeds
9.808663478
company_dividend_cash_reduction
0
employee_trust_purchase_equity_reduction
0.065279511
assumed_other_comprehensive_income
0
end
79.955661893
share_and_holder_cohort_ledger
内容を開く
issued_ordinary_begin
1059130196.0051
issued_from_third_party_equity_funding
76752578.863918
issued_ordinary_end
1135882774.869
company_treasury_begin
0
company_treasury_end
0
trust_purchased_and_delivered_same_period
480162.11143863
trust_end_balance_model_only
0
sbc_new_primary_shares
0
old_cohort_owned_begin
741352567.47068
old_cohort_sold_to_employee_trust
336095.99222064
old_cohort_owned_end
741016471.47846
old_cohort_fraction_begin
0.699963584
old_cohort_fraction_end
0.652370551
employee_market_purchase_unit_price_gbp
13.595306549
third_party_issue_price_gbp
12.779588156
third_party_issue_proceeds_oku
9.808663478
holder_cash_returns_oku
内容を開く
interim_dividend
0
final_dividend
0
pro_rata_tender_to_employee_trust
0.04569328
ordinary_company_buybacks_pro_rata
0
total_old_holder_cash_receipts
0.04569328
company_cash_returns_oku
内容を開く
interim_dividend
0
final_dividend
0
target_dps_gbp_before_profit_restriction
0.377593536
actual_scenario_dps_gbp_after_profit_restriction
0
employee_trust_market_purchases_not_corporate_buybacks
0.065279511
corporate_buybacks
0
ordinary_primary_issue_receipts_not_shareholder_return
9.808663478
audit_residuals
内容を開く
income_statement_oku
0
親会社持分(億)
0
rcv_oku
0
debt_oku
0
発行済株式数
0
cohort_shares
0
holder_cashflow_oku
0
company_dividends_oku
0
6
内容を開く
anniversary_year
6
period_start

2031-11-06

期間末

2032-11-06

period_days
366
data_status

scenario_forecast

income_oku
内容を開く
regulatory_gross_revenue_before_odi
30.578608242
negative_odi_revenue_adjustment
-0.546
revenue
30.032608242
cash_operating_cost_excluding_sbc_and_ire
16.006222542
infrastructure_renewal_expense
0.485795553
sbc_expense_included_in_pat
0.057963704
depreciation_and_amortization
8.563144712
environmental_legal_compliance_fines_expense
0.138
operating_profit
4.781481731
cash_finance_interest_expense
6.079256391
assumed_index_linked_fraction_of_debt
0.33
noncash_indexation_finance_expense
2.20677007
total_finance_expense
8.28602646
share_of_jv_loss
0.02
profit_before_tax
-3.52454473
income_tax_expense
0
parent_attributable_ifrs_profit_after_sbc
-3.52454473
noncontrolling_profit
0
total_profit_after_tax
-3.52454473
regulatory_rcv_and_investment_oku
内容を開く
rcv_begin_adjusted
245.131306073
cpi_indexation_net_of_regulatory_runoff
1.961050449
cash_capex
23.2
maintenance_replacement_capex_assumed
14.384
growth_and_compliance_capex_assumed
8.816
qualified_rcv_capex_addition_proxy
10.904
rcv_end_adjusted
257.996356522
RCV_is_unavailable_to_shareholders_as_cash
はい
cash_flow_and_debt_oku
内容を開く
company_cash_from_operations
7.036700719
noncash_financing_indexation_in_CFO_reconciliation
2.20677007
deferred_tax_non_cash_added_back
0
working_capital_cash_deduction
0.266633037
regulatory_style_net_debt_begin
151.981409765
cash_capex
23.2
dividends_paid_company_wide
0
employee_trust_market_purchase_cash
0.067237896
third_party_primary_issue_net_proceeds
10.460975969
noncash_debt_principal_indexation
2.20677007
regulatory_style_net_debt_end
159.957741044
gearing_end_net_debt_over_adjusted_rcv
0.62
ordinary_parent_equity_oku
内容を開く
begin
79.955661893
parent_profit_after_sbc
-3.52454473
ifrs2_non_cash_sbc_equity_credit
0.057963704
primary_equity_issue_proceeds
10.460975969
company_dividend_cash_reduction
0
employee_trust_purchase_equity_reduction
0.067237896
assumed_other_comprehensive_income
0
end
86.88281894
share_and_holder_cohort_ledger
内容を開く
issued_ordinary_begin
1135882774.869
issued_from_third_party_equity_funding
83955805.082417
issued_ordinary_end
1219838579.9514
company_treasury_begin
0
company_treasury_end
0
trust_purchased_and_delivered_same_period
507248.17926337
trust_end_balance_model_only
0
sbc_new_primary_shares
0
old_cohort_owned_begin
741016471.47846
old_cohort_sold_to_employee_trust
330913.77409519
old_cohort_owned_end
740685557.70437
old_cohort_fraction_begin
0.652370551
old_cohort_fraction_end
0.607199649
employee_market_purchase_unit_price_gbp
13.255423885
third_party_issue_price_gbp
12.460098452
third_party_issue_proceeds_oku
10.460975969
holder_cash_returns_oku
内容を開く
interim_dividend
0
final_dividend
0
pro_rata_tender_to_employee_trust
0.043864023
ordinary_company_buybacks_pro_rata
0
total_old_holder_cash_receipts
0.043864023
company_cash_returns_oku
内容を開く
interim_dividend
0
final_dividend
0
target_dps_gbp_before_profit_restriction
0.382124658
actual_scenario_dps_gbp_after_profit_restriction
0
employee_trust_market_purchases_not_corporate_buybacks
0.067237896
corporate_buybacks
0
ordinary_primary_issue_receipts_not_shareholder_return
10.460975969
audit_residuals
内容を開く
income_statement_oku
0
親会社持分(億)
0
rcv_oku
0
debt_oku
0
発行済株式数
0
cohort_shares
0
holder_cashflow_oku
0
company_dividends_oku
0
7
内容を開く
anniversary_year
7
period_start

2032-11-06

期間末

2033-11-06

period_days
365
data_status

scenario_forecast

income_oku
内容を開く
regulatory_gross_revenue_before_odi
31.12902319
negative_odi_revenue_adjustment
-0.546
revenue
30.58302319
cash_operating_cost_excluding_sbc_and_ire
16.854552337
infrastructure_renewal_expense
0.495511464
sbc_expense_included_in_pat
0.059702615
depreciation_and_amortization
9.179691131
environmental_legal_compliance_fines_expense
0.138
operating_profit
3.855565643
cash_finance_interest_expense
6.398309642
assumed_index_linked_fraction_of_debt
0.33
noncash_indexation_finance_expense
2.3225864
total_finance_expense
8.720896042
share_of_jv_loss
0.02
profit_before_tax
-4.885330399
income_tax_expense
0
parent_attributable_ifrs_profit_after_sbc
-4.885330399
noncontrolling_profit
0
total_profit_after_tax
-4.885330399
regulatory_rcv_and_investment_oku
内容を開く
rcv_begin_adjusted
257.996356522
cpi_indexation_net_of_regulatory_runoff
2.063970852
cash_capex
23.78
maintenance_replacement_capex_assumed
14.7436
growth_and_compliance_capex_assumed
9.0364
qualified_rcv_capex_addition_proxy
11.1766
rcv_end_adjusted
271.236927374
RCV_is_unavailable_to_shareholders_as_cash
はい
cash_flow_and_debt_oku
内容を開く
company_cash_from_operations
6.402017719
noncash_financing_indexation_in_CFO_reconciliation
2.3225864
deferred_tax_non_cash_added_back
0
working_capital_cash_deduction
0.274632028
regulatory_style_net_debt_begin
159.957741044
cash_capex
23.78
dividends_paid_company_wide
0
employee_trust_market_purchase_cash
0.069255033
third_party_primary_issue_net_proceeds
11.560669786
noncash_debt_principal_indexation
2.3225864
regulatory_style_net_debt_end
168.166894972
gearing_end_net_debt_over_adjusted_rcv
0.62
ordinary_parent_equity_oku
内容を開く
begin
86.88281894
parent_profit_after_sbc
-4.885330399
ifrs2_non_cash_sbc_equity_credit
0.059702615
primary_equity_issue_proceeds
11.560669786
company_dividend_cash_reduction
0
employee_trust_purchase_equity_reduction
0.069255033
assumed_other_comprehensive_income
0
end
93.548605909
share_and_holder_cohort_ledger
内容を開く
issued_ordinary_begin
1219838579.9514
issued_from_third_party_equity_funding
95160541.965562
issued_ordinary_end
1314999121.917
company_treasury_begin
0
company_treasury_end
0
trust_purchased_and_delivered_same_period
535862.17911925
trust_end_balance_model_only
0
sbc_new_primary_shares
0
old_cohort_owned_begin
740685557.70437
old_cohort_sold_to_employee_trust
325375.32712683
old_cohort_owned_end
740360182.37724
old_cohort_fraction_begin
0.607199649
old_cohort_fraction_end
0.563011921
employee_market_purchase_unit_price_gbp
12.924038288
third_party_issue_price_gbp
12.14859599
third_party_issue_proceeds_oku
11.560669786
holder_cash_returns_oku
内容を開く
interim_dividend
0
final_dividend
0
pro_rata_tender_to_employee_trust
0.042051632
ordinary_company_buybacks_pro_rata
0
total_old_holder_cash_receipts
0.042051632
company_cash_returns_oku
内容を開く
interim_dividend
0
final_dividend
0
target_dps_gbp_before_profit_restriction
0.386710154
actual_scenario_dps_gbp_after_profit_restriction
0
employee_trust_market_purchases_not_corporate_buybacks
0.069255033
corporate_buybacks
0
ordinary_primary_issue_receipts_not_shareholder_return
11.560669786
audit_residuals
内容を開く
income_statement_oku
-0
親会社持分(億)
0
rcv_oku
0
debt_oku
0
発行済株式数
0
cohort_shares
0
holder_cashflow_oku
0
company_dividends_oku
0
8
内容を開く
anniversary_year
8
period_start

2033-11-06

期間末

2034-11-06

period_days
365
data_status

scenario_forecast

income_oku
内容を開く
regulatory_gross_revenue_before_odi
31.689345607
negative_odi_revenue_adjustment
-0.546
revenue
31.143345607
cash_operating_cost_excluding_sbc_and_ire
17.74784361
infrastructure_renewal_expense
0.505421694
sbc_expense_included_in_pat
0.061493693
depreciation_and_amortization
9.840628893
environmental_legal_compliance_fines_expense
0.138
operating_profit
2.849957717
cash_finance_interest_expense
6.726675799
assumed_index_linked_fraction_of_debt
0.33
noncash_indexation_finance_expense
2.441783315
total_finance_expense
9.168459114
share_of_jv_loss
0.02
profit_before_tax
-6.338501397
income_tax_expense
0
parent_attributable_ifrs_profit_after_sbc
-6.338501397
noncontrolling_profit
0
total_profit_after_tax
-6.338501397
regulatory_rcv_and_investment_oku
内容を開く
rcv_begin_adjusted
271.236927374
cpi_indexation_net_of_regulatory_runoff
2.169895419
cash_capex
24.36
maintenance_replacement_capex_assumed
15.1032
growth_and_compliance_capex_assumed
9.2568
qualified_rcv_capex_addition_proxy
11.4492
rcv_end_adjusted
284.856022793
RCV_is_unavailable_to_shareholders_as_cash
はい
cash_flow_and_debt_oku
内容を開く
company_cash_from_operations
5.722533515
noncash_financing_indexation_in_CFO_reconciliation
2.441783315
deferred_tax_non_cash_added_back
0
working_capital_cash_deduction
0.282870989
regulatory_style_net_debt_begin
168.166894972
cash_capex
24.36
dividends_paid_company_wide
0
employee_trust_market_purchase_cash
0.071332684
third_party_primary_issue_net_proceeds
12.706743324
noncash_debt_principal_indexation
2.441783315
regulatory_style_net_debt_end
176.610734132
gearing_end_net_debt_over_adjusted_rcv
0.62
ordinary_parent_equity_oku
内容を開く
begin
93.548605909
parent_profit_after_sbc
-6.338501397
ifrs2_non_cash_sbc_equity_credit
0.061493693
primary_equity_issue_proceeds
12.706743324
company_dividend_cash_reduction
0
employee_trust_purchase_equity_reduction
0.071332684
assumed_other_comprehensive_income
0
end
99.907008845
share_and_holder_cohort_ledger
内容を開く
issued_ordinary_begin
1314999121.917
issued_from_third_party_equity_funding
107276242.17353
issued_ordinary_end
1422275364.0905
company_treasury_begin
0
company_treasury_end
0
trust_purchased_and_delivered_same_period
566090.30204393
trust_end_balance_model_only
0
sbc_new_primary_shares
0
old_cohort_owned_begin
740360182.37724
old_cohort_sold_to_employee_trust
318715.58868591
old_cohort_owned_end
740041466.78856
old_cohort_fraction_begin
0.563011921
old_cohort_fraction_end
0.520322214
employee_market_purchase_unit_price_gbp
12.600937331
third_party_issue_price_gbp
11.844881091
third_party_issue_proceeds_oku
12.706743324
holder_cash_returns_oku
内容を開く
interim_dividend
0
final_dividend
0
pro_rata_tender_to_employee_trust
0.040161152
ordinary_company_buybacks_pro_rata
0
total_old_holder_cash_receipts
0.040161152
company_cash_returns_oku
内容を開く
interim_dividend
0
final_dividend
0
target_dps_gbp_before_profit_restriction
0.391350676
actual_scenario_dps_gbp_after_profit_restriction
0
employee_trust_market_purchases_not_corporate_buybacks
0.071332684
corporate_buybacks
0
ordinary_primary_issue_receipts_not_shareholder_return
12.706743324
audit_residuals
内容を開く
income_statement_oku
0
親会社持分(億)
0
rcv_oku
0
debt_oku
0
発行済株式数
0
cohort_shares
0
holder_cashflow_oku
0
company_dividends_oku
0
9
内容を開く
anniversary_year
9
period_start

2034-11-06

期間末

2035-11-06

period_days
365
data_status

scenario_forecast

income_oku
内容を開く
regulatory_gross_revenue_before_odi
32.259753828
negative_odi_revenue_adjustment
-0.546
revenue
31.713753828
cash_operating_cost_excluding_sbc_and_ire
18.688479322
infrastructure_renewal_expense
0.515530128
sbc_expense_included_in_pat
0.063338504
depreciation_and_amortization
10.549154173
environmental_legal_compliance_fines_expense
0.138
operating_profit
1.759251702
cash_finance_interest_expense
7.064429365
assumed_index_linked_fraction_of_debt
0.33
noncash_indexation_finance_expense
2.56438786
total_finance_expense
9.628817225
share_of_jv_loss
0.02
profit_before_tax
-7.889565523
income_tax_expense
0
parent_attributable_ifrs_profit_after_sbc
-7.889565523
noncontrolling_profit
0
total_profit_after_tax
-7.889565523
regulatory_rcv_and_investment_oku
内容を開く
rcv_begin_adjusted
284.856022793
cpi_indexation_net_of_regulatory_runoff
2.278848182
cash_capex
24.94
maintenance_replacement_capex_assumed
15.4628
growth_and_compliance_capex_assumed
9.4772
qualified_rcv_capex_addition_proxy
11.7218
rcv_end_adjusted
298.856670975
RCV_is_unavailable_to_shareholders_as_cash
はい
cash_flow_and_debt_oku
内容を開く
company_cash_from_operations
4.995957895
noncash_financing_indexation_in_CFO_reconciliation
2.56438786
deferred_tax_non_cash_added_back
0
working_capital_cash_deduction
0.291357119
regulatory_style_net_debt_begin
176.610734132
cash_capex
24.94
dividends_paid_company_wide
0
employee_trust_market_purchase_cash
0.073472665
third_party_primary_issue_net_proceeds
13.901500756
noncash_debt_principal_indexation
2.56438786
regulatory_style_net_debt_end
185.291136005
gearing_end_net_debt_over_adjusted_rcv
0.62
ordinary_parent_equity_oku
内容を開く
begin
99.907008845
parent_profit_after_sbc
-7.889565523
ifrs2_non_cash_sbc_equity_credit
0.063338504
primary_equity_issue_proceeds
13.901500756
company_dividend_cash_reduction
0
employee_trust_purchase_equity_reduction
0.073472665
assumed_other_comprehensive_income
0
end
105.908809918
share_and_holder_cohort_ledger
内容を開く
issued_ordinary_begin
1422275364.0905
issued_from_third_party_equity_funding
120372246.74854
issued_ordinary_end
1542647610.839
company_treasury_begin
0
company_treasury_end
0
trust_purchased_and_delivered_same_period
598023.60113358
trust_end_balance_model_only
0
sbc_new_primary_shares
0
old_cohort_owned_begin
740041466.78856
old_cohort_sold_to_employee_trust
311164.96434576
old_cohort_owned_end
739730301.82421
old_cohort_fraction_begin
0.520322214
old_cohort_fraction_end
0.479519948
employee_market_purchase_unit_price_gbp
12.285913897
third_party_issue_price_gbp
11.548759063
third_party_issue_proceeds_oku
13.901500756
holder_cash_returns_oku
内容を開く
interim_dividend
0
final_dividend
0
pro_rata_tender_to_employee_trust
0.03822946
ordinary_company_buybacks_pro_rata
0
total_old_holder_cash_receipts
0.03822946
company_cash_returns_oku
内容を開く
interim_dividend
0
final_dividend
0
target_dps_gbp_before_profit_restriction
0.396046884
actual_scenario_dps_gbp_after_profit_restriction
0
employee_trust_market_purchases_not_corporate_buybacks
0.073472665
corporate_buybacks
0
ordinary_primary_issue_receipts_not_shareholder_return
13.901500756
audit_residuals
内容を開く
income_statement_oku
-0
親会社持分(億)
0
rcv_oku
0
debt_oku
0
発行済株式数
0
cohort_shares
0
holder_cashflow_oku
0
company_dividends_oku
0
10
内容を開く
anniversary_year
10
period_start

2035-11-06

期間末

2036-11-06

period_days
366
data_status

scenario_forecast

income_oku
内容を開く
regulatory_gross_revenue_before_odi
32.840429397
negative_odi_revenue_adjustment
-0.546
revenue
32.294429397
cash_operating_cost_excluding_sbc_and_ire
19.678968726
infrastructure_renewal_expense
0.52584073
sbc_expense_included_in_pat
0.065238659
depreciation_and_amortization
11.308693274
environmental_legal_compliance_fines_expense
0.138
operating_profit
0.577688009
cash_finance_interest_expense
7.41164544
assumed_index_linked_fraction_of_debt
0.33
noncash_indexation_finance_expense
2.690427295
total_finance_expense
10.102072735
share_of_jv_loss
0.02
profit_before_tax
-9.544384726
income_tax_expense
0
parent_attributable_ifrs_profit_after_sbc
-9.544384726
noncontrolling_profit
0
total_profit_after_tax
-9.544384726
regulatory_rcv_and_investment_oku
内容を開く
rcv_begin_adjusted
298.856670975
cpi_indexation_net_of_regulatory_runoff
2.390853368
cash_capex
25.52
maintenance_replacement_capex_assumed
15.8224
growth_and_compliance_capex_assumed
9.6976
qualified_rcv_capex_addition_proxy
11.9944
rcv_end_adjusted
313.241924343
RCV_is_unavailable_to_shareholders_as_cash
はい
cash_flow_and_debt_oku
内容を開く
company_cash_from_operations
4.219876669
noncash_financing_indexation_in_CFO_reconciliation
2.690427295
deferred_tax_non_cash_added_back
0
working_capital_cash_deduction
0.300097832
regulatory_style_net_debt_begin
185.291136005
cash_capex
25.52
dividends_paid_company_wide
0
employee_trust_market_purchase_cash
0.075676845
third_party_primary_issue_net_proceeds
15.147370383
noncash_debt_principal_indexation
2.690427295
regulatory_style_net_debt_end
194.209993093
gearing_end_net_debt_over_adjusted_rcv
0.62
ordinary_parent_equity_oku
内容を開く
begin
105.908809918
parent_profit_after_sbc
-9.544384726
ifrs2_non_cash_sbc_equity_credit
0.065238659
primary_equity_issue_proceeds
15.147370383
company_dividend_cash_reduction
0
employee_trust_purchase_equity_reduction
0.075676845
assumed_other_comprehensive_income
0
end
111.501357388
share_and_holder_cohort_ledger
内容を開く
issued_ordinary_begin
1542647610.839
issued_from_third_party_equity_funding
134523236.73569
issued_ordinary_end
1677170847.5747
company_treasury_begin
0
company_treasury_end
0
trust_purchased_and_delivered_same_period
631758.26581291
trust_end_balance_model_only
0
sbc_new_primary_shares
0
old_cohort_owned_begin
739730301.82421
old_cohort_sold_to_employee_trust
302940.69064519
old_cohort_owned_end
739427361.13356
old_cohort_fraction_begin
0.479519948
old_cohort_fraction_end
0.440877781
employee_market_purchase_unit_price_gbp
11.97876605
third_party_issue_price_gbp
11.260040087
third_party_issue_proceeds_oku
15.147370383
holder_cash_returns_oku
内容を開く
interim_dividend
0
final_dividend
0
pro_rata_tender_to_employee_trust
0.036288557
ordinary_company_buybacks_pro_rata
0
total_old_holder_cash_receipts
0.036288557
company_cash_returns_oku
内容を開く
interim_dividend
0
final_dividend
0
target_dps_gbp_before_profit_restriction
0.400799447
actual_scenario_dps_gbp_after_profit_restriction
0
employee_trust_market_purchases_not_corporate_buybacks
0.075676845
corporate_buybacks
0
ordinary_primary_issue_receipts_not_shareholder_return
15.147370383
audit_residuals
内容を開く
income_statement_oku
0
親会社持分(億)
0
rcv_oku
0
debt_oku
0
発行済株式数
0
cohort_shares
0
holder_cashflow_oku
0
company_dividends_oku
0
complete_timed_corporate_and_cohort_events
内容を開く
1
内容を開く
種類

ordinary_dividend

想定日

2027-02-01

金額
0.462120381
company_total_oku
0.462120381
per_share_gbp
0.062207936
holder_shares_at_record_date_proxy
742864028
evidence

2027-02-01 date scheduled by company; cash amount forecast

ex_date
未確認
scheduled_ex_date

2026-12-17

year
0.238193018
2
内容を開く
種類

employee_trust_market_purchase_proportional_tender

想定日

2027-04-30

金額
0.058
company_total_oku
0.058
tender_price_gbp_assumed
15.04425
employee_trust_market_purchased_shares
385529.35506921
old_cohort_shares_tendered
385529.35506921
basis

市場から旧株主・新株主が比例応札、翌営業日以内の即時従業員交付を仮定。新株発行でない。

year
0.479123888
3
内容を開く
種類

ordinary_dividend

想定日

2027-08-03

金額
0.923761101
company_total_oku
0.924240761
per_share_gbp
0.124415872
holder_shares_at_record_date_proxy
742478498.64493
evidence

date & amount model assumption

ex_date
未確認
assumed_ex_date

2027-06-25

year
0.739219713
4
内容を開く
種類

ordinary_dividend

想定日

2028-02-01

金額
0.138004455
company_total_oku
0.138076113
per_share_gbp
0.018586997
holder_shares_at_record_date_proxy
742478498.64493
evidence

date & amount model assumption

ex_date
未確認
scheduled_ex_date

2027-12-17

year
1.237508556
5
内容を開く
種類

employee_trust_market_purchase_proportional_tender

想定日

2028-04-28

金額
0.059708996
company_total_oku
0.05974
tender_price_gbp_assumed
14.66814375
employee_trust_market_purchased_shares
407277.16484235
old_cohort_shares_tendered
407065.79735546
basis

市場から旧株主・新株主が比例応札、翌営業日以内の即時従業員交付を仮定。新株発行でない。

year
1.475701574
6
内容を開く
種類

ordinary_dividend

想定日

2028-08-03

金額
0.275857588
company_total_oku
0.276152227
per_share_gbp
0.037173994
holder_shares_at_record_date_proxy
742071432.84758
evidence

date & amount model assumption

ex_date
未確認
assumed_ex_date

2028-06-23

year
1.741273101
7
内容を開く
種類

primary_share_issue_to_third_party

想定日

2028-11-01

金額
0
company_inflow_oku
16.487955398
issue_price_gbp_assumed
13.788055125
new_shares
119581443.85257
old_holder_cashflow_oku
0
注記

第三者新株引受。旧株主は出資せず、会社の負債減少・普通株希薄化に反映する。旧株主支出CFなし。

year
1.987679671
8
内容を開く
種類

ordinary_dividend

想定日

2029-02-01

金額
0
company_total_oku
0
per_share_gbp
0
holder_shares_at_record_date_proxy
742071432.84758
evidence

date & amount model assumption

ex_date
未確認
scheduled_ex_date

2028-12-15

year
2.239561944
9
内容を開く
種類

employee_trust_market_purchase_proportional_tender

想定日

2029-04-30

金額
0.052943971
company_total_oku
0.0615322
tender_price_gbp_assumed
14.301440156
employee_trust_market_purchased_shares
430251.77414115
old_cohort_shares_tendered
370200.27461714
basis

市場から旧株主・新株主が比例応札、翌営業日以内の即時従業員交付を仮定。新株発行でない。

year
2.480492813
10
内容を開く
種類

ordinary_dividend

想定日

2029-08-03

金額
0
company_total_oku
0
per_share_gbp
0
holder_shares_at_record_date_proxy
741701232.57296
evidence

date & amount model assumption

ex_date
未確認
assumed_ex_date

2029-06-25

year
2.740588638
11
内容を開く
種類

primary_share_issue_to_third_party

想定日

2029-11-01

金額
0
company_inflow_oku
14.040467205
issue_price_gbp_assumed
13.443353747
new_shares
104441700.11276
old_holder_cashflow_oku
0
注記

第三者新株引受。旧株主は出資せず、会社の負債減少・普通株希薄化に反映する。旧株主支出CFなし。

year
2.986995209
12
内容を開く
種類

ordinary_dividend

想定日

2030-02-01

金額
0
company_total_oku
0
per_share_gbp
0
holder_shares_at_record_date_proxy
741701232.57296
evidence

date & amount model assumption

ex_date
未確認
scheduled_ex_date

2029-12-17

year
3.238877481
13
内容を開く
種類

employee_trust_market_purchase_proportional_tender

想定日

2030-04-30

金額
0.048617528
company_total_oku
0.063378166
tender_price_gbp_assumed
13.943904152
employee_trust_market_purchased_shares
454522.38704142
old_cohort_shares_tendered
348665.10227391
basis

市場から旧株主・新株主が比例応札、翌営業日以内の即時従業員交付を仮定。新株発行でない。

year
3.47980835
14
内容を開く
種類

ordinary_dividend

想定日

2030-08-05

金額
0
company_total_oku
0
per_share_gbp
0
holder_shares_at_record_date_proxy
741352567.47068
evidence

date & amount model assumption

ex_date
未確認
assumed_ex_date

2030-06-25

year
3.745379877
15
内容を開く
種類

primary_share_issue_to_third_party

想定日

2030-11-01

金額
0
company_inflow_oku
12.090542128
issue_price_gbp_assumed
13.107269903
new_shares
92243024.039742
old_holder_cashflow_oku
0
注記

第三者新株引受。旧株主は出資せず、会社の負債減少・普通株希薄化に反映する。旧株主支出CFなし。

year
3.986310746
16
内容を開く
種類

ordinary_dividend

想定日

2031-02-03

金額
0
company_total_oku
0
per_share_gbp
0
holder_shares_at_record_date_proxy
741352567.47068
evidence

date & amount model assumption

ex_date
未確認
scheduled_ex_date

2030-12-17

year
4.24366872
17
内容を開く
種類

employee_trust_market_purchase_proportional_tender

想定日

2031-04-30

金額
0.04569328
company_total_oku
0.065279511
tender_price_gbp_assumed
13.595306549
employee_trust_market_purchased_shares
480162.11143863
old_cohort_shares_tendered
336095.99222064
basis

市場から旧株主・新株主が比例応札、翌営業日以内の即時従業員交付を仮定。新株発行でない。

year
4.479123888
18
内容を開く
種類

ordinary_dividend

想定日

2031-08-04

金額
0
company_total_oku
0
per_share_gbp
0
holder_shares_at_record_date_proxy
741016471.47846
evidence

date & amount model assumption

ex_date
未確認
assumed_ex_date

2031-06-25

year
4.741957563
19
内容を開く
種類

primary_share_issue_to_third_party

想定日

2031-11-01

金額
0
company_inflow_oku
9.808663478
issue_price_gbp_assumed
12.779588156
new_shares
76752578.863918
old_holder_cashflow_oku
0
注記

第三者新株引受。旧株主は出資せず、会社の負債減少・普通株希薄化に反映する。旧株主支出CFなし。

year
4.985626283
20
内容を開く
種類

ordinary_dividend

想定日

2032-02-02

金額
0
company_total_oku
0
per_share_gbp
0
holder_shares_at_record_date_proxy
741016471.47846
evidence

date & amount model assumption

ex_date
未確認
scheduled_ex_date

2031-12-17

year
5.240246407
21
内容を開く
種類

employee_trust_market_purchase_proportional_tender

想定日

2032-04-30

金額
0.043864023
company_total_oku
0.067237896
tender_price_gbp_assumed
13.255423885
employee_trust_market_purchased_shares
507248.17926337
old_cohort_shares_tendered
330913.77409519
basis

市場から旧株主・新株主が比例応札、翌営業日以内の即時従業員交付を仮定。新株発行でない。

year
5.481177276
22
内容を開く
種類

ordinary_dividend

想定日

2032-08-03

金額
0
company_total_oku
0
per_share_gbp
0
holder_shares_at_record_date_proxy
740685557.70437
evidence

date & amount model assumption

ex_date
未確認
assumed_ex_date

2032-06-25

year
5.741273101
23
内容を開く
種類

primary_share_issue_to_third_party

想定日

2032-11-01

金額
0
company_inflow_oku
10.460975969
issue_price_gbp_assumed
12.460098452
new_shares
83955805.082417
old_holder_cashflow_oku
0
注記

第三者新株引受。旧株主は出資せず、会社の負債減少・普通株希薄化に反映する。旧株主支出CFなし。

year
5.987679671
24
内容を開く
種類

ordinary_dividend

想定日

2033-02-01

金額
0
company_total_oku
0
per_share_gbp
0
holder_shares_at_record_date_proxy
740685557.70437
evidence

date & amount model assumption

ex_date
未確認
scheduled_ex_date

2032-12-17

year
6.239561944
25
内容を開く
種類

employee_trust_market_purchase_proportional_tender

想定日

2033-04-29

金額
0.042051632
company_total_oku
0.069255033
tender_price_gbp_assumed
12.924038288
employee_trust_market_purchased_shares
535862.17911925
old_cohort_shares_tendered
325375.32712683
basis

市場から旧株主・新株主が比例応札、翌営業日以内の即時従業員交付を仮定。新株発行でない。

year
6.477754962
26
内容を開く
種類

ordinary_dividend

想定日

2033-08-03

金額
0
company_total_oku
0
per_share_gbp
0
holder_shares_at_record_date_proxy
740360182.37724
evidence

date & amount model assumption

ex_date
未確認
assumed_ex_date

2033-06-24

year
6.740588638
27
内容を開く
種類

primary_share_issue_to_third_party

想定日

2033-11-01

金額
0
company_inflow_oku
11.560669786
issue_price_gbp_assumed
12.14859599
new_shares
95160541.965562
old_holder_cashflow_oku
0
注記

第三者新株引受。旧株主は出資せず、会社の負債減少・普通株希薄化に反映する。旧株主支出CFなし。

year
6.986995209
28
内容を開く
種類

ordinary_dividend

想定日

2034-02-01

金額
0
company_total_oku
0
per_share_gbp
0
holder_shares_at_record_date_proxy
740360182.37724
evidence

date & amount model assumption

ex_date
未確認
scheduled_ex_date

2033-12-16

year
7.238877481
29
内容を開く
種類

employee_trust_market_purchase_proportional_tender

想定日

2034-04-28

金額
0.040161152
company_total_oku
0.071332684
tender_price_gbp_assumed
12.600937331
employee_trust_market_purchased_shares
566090.30204393
old_cohort_shares_tendered
318715.58868591
basis

市場から旧株主・新株主が比例応札、翌営業日以内の即時従業員交付を仮定。新株発行でない。

year
7.474332649
30
内容を開く
種類

ordinary_dividend

想定日

2034-08-03

金額
0
company_total_oku
0
per_share_gbp
0
holder_shares_at_record_date_proxy
740041466.78856
evidence

date & amount model assumption

ex_date
未確認
assumed_ex_date

2034-06-23

year
7.739904175
31
内容を開く
種類

primary_share_issue_to_third_party

想定日

2034-11-01

金額
0
company_inflow_oku
12.706743324
issue_price_gbp_assumed
11.844881091
new_shares
107276242.17353
old_holder_cashflow_oku
0
注記

第三者新株引受。旧株主は出資せず、会社の負債減少・普通株希薄化に反映する。旧株主支出CFなし。

year
7.986310746
32
内容を開く
種類

ordinary_dividend

想定日

2035-02-01

金額
0
company_total_oku
0
per_share_gbp
0
holder_shares_at_record_date_proxy
740041466.78856
evidence

date & amount model assumption

ex_date
未確認
scheduled_ex_date

2034-12-15

year
8.238193018
33
内容を開く
種類

employee_trust_market_purchase_proportional_tender

想定日

2035-04-30

金額
0.03822946
company_total_oku
0.073472665
tender_price_gbp_assumed
12.285913897
employee_trust_market_purchased_shares
598023.60113358
old_cohort_shares_tendered
311164.96434576
basis

市場から旧株主・新株主が比例応札、翌営業日以内の即時従業員交付を仮定。新株発行でない。

year
8.479123888
34
内容を開く
種類

ordinary_dividend

想定日

2035-08-03

金額
0
company_total_oku
0
per_share_gbp
0
holder_shares_at_record_date_proxy
739730301.82421
evidence

date & amount model assumption

ex_date
未確認
assumed_ex_date

2035-06-25

year
8.739219713
35
内容を開く
種類

primary_share_issue_to_third_party

想定日

2035-11-01

金額
0
company_inflow_oku
13.901500756
issue_price_gbp_assumed
11.548759063
new_shares
120372246.74854
old_holder_cashflow_oku
0
注記

第三者新株引受。旧株主は出資せず、会社の負債減少・普通株希薄化に反映する。旧株主支出CFなし。

year
8.985626283
36
内容を開く
種類

ordinary_dividend

想定日

2036-02-01

金額
0
company_total_oku
0
per_share_gbp
0
holder_shares_at_record_date_proxy
739730301.82421
evidence

date & amount model assumption

ex_date
未確認
scheduled_ex_date

2035-12-17

year
9.237508556
37
内容を開く
種類

employee_trust_market_purchase_proportional_tender

想定日

2036-04-30

金額
0.036288557
company_total_oku
0.075676845
tender_price_gbp_assumed
11.97876605
employee_trust_market_purchased_shares
631758.26581291
old_cohort_shares_tendered
302940.69064519
basis

市場から旧株主・新株主が比例応札、翌営業日以内の即時従業員交付を仮定。新株発行でない。

year
9.481177276
38
内容を開く
種類

ordinary_dividend

想定日

2036-08-04

金額
0
company_total_oku
0
per_share_gbp
0
holder_shares_at_record_date_proxy
739427361.13356
evidence

date & amount model assumption

ex_date
未確認
assumed_ex_date

2036-06-25

year
9.744010951
39
内容を開く
種類

primary_share_issue_to_third_party

想定日

2036-11-01

金額
0
company_inflow_oku
15.147370383
issue_price_gbp_assumed
11.260040087
new_shares
134523236.73569
old_holder_cashflow_oku
0
注記

第三者新株引受。旧株主は出資せず、会社の負債減少・普通株希薄化に反映する。旧株主支出CFなし。

year
9.987679671
期間内株主受取
2.265302123
終価
0
old_holder_economics
内容を開く
initial_purchased_ordinary_shares
742864028
purchased_shares_as_of_date

2026-11-06

initial_cost_oku
114.62391952
holder_policy

proportional_tender_for_all_employer_trust_market_purchase_events; no subscription to future primary issues; zero corporate repurchases assumed

initial_ownership_share_of_public_ordinary
1
terminal_old_cohort_shares
739427361.13356
terminal_issued_ordinary_shares
1677170847.5747
terminal_share_fraction
0.440877781
terminal_entire_company_equity_value_oku
0
terminal_old_cohort_mcap_oku
0
terminal_share_price_gbp_derived_not_market_multiple
0
net_primary_share_funding_oku
116.204888426
terminal_PV_oku
0
holder_cash_PV_oku
2.017824945
total_holder_PV_oku
2.017824945
scenario_irr
-0.54022885
terminal_valuation
内容を開く
方法

FCFE_gordon_from_normalized_post_SBC_earnings_less_growth_retention_and_uncovered_maintenance_capex

common_nominal_cost_of_equity
0.085
terminal_growth
0.012
normalized_sustainable_ROE_on_economic_reinvested_equity_assumption
0.112
year10_reported_parent_profit_after_sbc_oku
-9.544384726
terminal_normalization_factor
0.87
post_SBC_sustainable_parent_profit_oku
-8.303614712
equity_earnings_retained_for_growth_oku
-0.889673005
incremental_maintenance_capex_above_depreciation_net_recovery_oku
4.513706726
year11_sustainable_distributable_cash_oku
0
terminal_whole_company_value_oku
0
terminal_original_cohort_value_oku
0
treatment

2036-11-06残存旧株主持分。最終年の配当やEBT買付は同日以前のもののみ。2036-11-06後1年間の配当を期間内CFへ前倒ししない。

discounted_at_k
内容を開く
cashflow_pv_oku
2.017824945
terminal_pv_oku
0
現在価値(億)
2.017824945
price_paid_oku
114.62391952
npv_oku
-112.606094575
pv_to_price
0.017603873
checks
内容を開く
rows
10
cashflow_events_count
30
all_anniversary_start_end_connect
はい
payout_minus_events_oku
-1.0E-9
terminal_all_times_within_horizon
はい
share_ledger_balances
はい
company_to_old_valuation_residual_oku
0
scenario_irr_NPV_residual_oku
-0
calendar_year_bridge_views
内容を開く
1
内容を開く
calendar_year
2026
start_inclusive

2026-11-06

end_exclusive

2027-01-01

days
56
view

overlap_allocated_calendar_view_not_extra_valuation_years

uniform_daily_operating_accrual_assumption
はい
売上高
4.084164384
operating_cash_cost_before_ire_sbc_oku
1.818082192
depreciation_oku
0.897534247
finance_expense_oku
0.896674777
parent_profit_after_sbc_oku
0.265877479
noncash_sbc_equity_credit_oku
0.007671233
cash_capex_oku
3.91539726
cfo_oku
1.485808066
indexation_principal_oku
0.289747217
dividends_all_shareholders_event_dated_oku
0
employee_trust_share_purchase_event_dated_oku
0
new_primary_equity_net_proceeds_event_dated_oku
0
old_cohort_cash_receipts_event_dated_oku
0
change_parent_equity_oku
0.273548712
change_regulatory_style_net_debt_oku
2.719336411
change_adjusted_rcv_oku
2.052873526
calendar_event_dates
記載なし
注記

2026は2026-11-06以後、2036は2036-11-06までの一部期間。年次50明細の二重計上禁止。

2
内容を開く
calendar_year
2027
start_inclusive

2027-01-01

end_exclusive

2028-01-01

days
365
view

overlap_allocated_calendar_view_not_extra_valuation_years

uniform_daily_operating_accrual_assumption
はい
売上高
26.713649824
operating_cash_cost_before_ire_sbc_oku
11.968324366
depreciation_oku
5.922734606
finance_expense_oku
5.994604982
parent_profit_after_sbc_oku
1.546297947
noncash_sbc_equity_credit_oku
0.050208549
cash_capex_oku
26.219247548
cfo_oku
9.561856038
indexation_principal_oku
1.923080058
dividends_all_shareholders_event_dated_oku
1.386361142
employee_trust_share_purchase_event_dated_oku
0.058
new_primary_equity_net_proceeds_event_dated_oku
0
old_cohort_cash_receipts_event_dated_oku
1.443881482
change_parent_equity_oku
0.152145354
change_regulatory_style_net_debt_oku
20.024832711
change_adjusted_rcv_oku
13.724779863
calendar_event_dates
1

2027-02-01

2

2027-04-30

3

2027-08-03

注記

2026は2026-11-06以後、2036は2036-11-06までの一部期間。年次50明細の二重計上禁止。

3
内容を開く
calendar_year
2028
start_inclusive

2028-01-01

end_exclusive

2029-01-01

days
366
view

overlap_allocated_calendar_view_not_extra_valuation_years

uniform_daily_operating_accrual_assumption
はい
売上高
27.424169354
operating_cash_cost_before_ire_sbc_oku
12.793141625
depreciation_oku
6.425784149
finance_expense_oku
6.888368172
parent_profit_after_sbc_oku
0.393449086
noncash_sbc_equity_credit_oku
0.05175863
cash_capex_oku
30.172642862
cfo_oku
8.850949794
indexation_principal_oku
2.118640369
dividends_all_shareholders_event_dated_oku
0.41422834
employee_trust_share_purchase_event_dated_oku
0.05974
new_primary_equity_net_proceeds_event_dated_oku
16.487955398
old_cohort_cash_receipts_event_dated_oku
0.473571039
change_parent_equity_oku
16.459194773
change_regulatory_style_net_debt_oku
7.42634638
change_adjusted_rcv_oku
15.693978136
calendar_event_dates
内容を開く
1

2028-02-01

2

2028-04-28

3

2028-08-03

4

2028-11-01

注記

2026は2026-11-06以後、2036は2036-11-06までの一部期間。年次50明細の二重計上禁止。

4
内容を開く
calendar_year
2029
start_inclusive

2029-01-01

end_exclusive

2030-01-01

days
365
view

overlap_allocated_calendar_view_not_extra_valuation_years

uniform_daily_operating_accrual_assumption
はい
売上高
28.11754137
operating_cash_cost_before_ire_sbc_oku
13.657409276
depreciation_oku
6.962668452
finance_expense_oku
7.18648013
parent_profit_after_sbc_oku
-0.472650707
noncash_sbc_equity_credit_oku
0.053289152
cash_capex_oku
29.626082192
cfo_oku
8.40775771
indexation_principal_oku
2.109580913
dividends_all_shareholders_event_dated_oku
0
employee_trust_share_purchase_event_dated_oku
0.0615322
new_primary_equity_net_proceeds_event_dated_oku
14.040467205
old_cohort_cash_receipts_event_dated_oku
0.052943971
change_parent_equity_oku
13.55957345
change_regulatory_style_net_debt_oku
9.348970391
change_adjusted_rcv_oku
15.561968055
calendar_event_dates
内容を開く
1

2029-02-01

2

2029-04-30

3

2029-08-03

4

2029-11-01

注記

2026は2026-11-06以後、2036は2036-11-06までの一部期間。年次50明細の二重計上禁止。

5
内容を開く
calendar_year
2030
start_inclusive

2030-01-01

end_exclusive

2031-01-01

days
365
view

overlap_allocated_calendar_view_not_extra_valuation_years

uniform_daily_operating_accrual_assumption
はい
売上高
28.844191776
operating_cash_cost_before_ire_sbc_oku
14.552891661
depreciation_oku
7.533813676
finance_expense_oku
7.576796045
parent_profit_after_sbc_oku
-1.578446661
noncash_sbc_equity_credit_oku
0.054887827
cash_capex_oku
26.146082192
cfo_oku
7.871730858
indexation_principal_oku
2.11396002
dividends_all_shareholders_event_dated_oku
0
employee_trust_share_purchase_event_dated_oku
0.063378166
new_primary_equity_net_proceeds_event_dated_oku
12.090542128
old_cohort_cash_receipts_event_dated_oku
0.048617528
change_parent_equity_oku
10.503605128
change_regulatory_style_net_debt_oku
8.361147392
change_adjusted_rcv_oku
14.050863799
calendar_event_dates
内容を開く
1

2030-02-01

2

2030-04-30

3

2030-08-05

4

2030-11-01

注記

2026は2026-11-06以後、2036は2036-11-06までの一部期間。年次50明細の二重計上禁止。

6
内容を開く
calendar_year
2031
start_inclusive

2031-01-01

end_exclusive

2032-01-01

days
365
view

overlap_allocated_calendar_view_not_extra_valuation_years

uniform_daily_operating_accrual_assumption
はい
売上高
29.562290172
operating_cash_cost_before_ire_sbc_oku
15.317485222
depreciation_oku
8.07265865
finance_expense_oku
7.917324975
parent_profit_after_sbc_oku
-2.437150545
noncash_sbc_equity_credit_oku
0.056510164
cash_capex_oku
23.190274721
cfo_oku
7.540647425
indexation_principal_oku
2.108575911
dividends_all_shareholders_event_dated_oku
0
employee_trust_share_purchase_event_dated_oku
0.065279511
new_primary_equity_net_proceeds_event_dated_oku
9.808663478
old_cohort_cash_receipts_event_dated_oku
0.04569328
change_parent_equity_oku
7.362743586
change_regulatory_style_net_debt_oku
8.014819239
change_adjusted_rcv_oku
12.773219139
calendar_event_dates
内容を開く
1

2031-02-03

2

2031-04-30

3

2031-08-04

4

2031-11-01

注記

2026は2026-11-06以後、2036は2036-11-06までの一部期間。年次50明細の二重計上禁止。

7
内容を開く
calendar_year
2032
start_inclusive

2032-01-01

end_exclusive

2033-01-01

days
366
view

overlap_allocated_calendar_view_not_extra_valuation_years

uniform_daily_operating_accrual_assumption
はい
売上高
30.129644928
operating_cash_cost_before_ire_sbc_oku
16.143086948
depreciation_oku
8.661327746
finance_expense_oku
8.356219621
parent_profit_after_sbc_oku
-3.73480027
noncash_sbc_equity_credit_oku
0.058254794
cash_capex_oku
23.29871158
cfo_oku
6.942274433
indexation_principal_oku
2.225464213
dividends_all_shareholders_event_dated_oku
0
employee_trust_share_purchase_event_dated_oku
0.067237896
new_primary_equity_net_proceeds_event_dated_oku
10.460975969
old_cohort_cash_receipts_event_dated_oku
0.043864023
change_parent_equity_oku
6.717192597
change_regulatory_style_net_debt_oku
8.188163288
change_adjusted_rcv_oku
12.928057478
calendar_event_dates
内容を開く
1

2032-02-02

2

2032-04-30

3

2032-08-03

4

2032-11-01

注記

2026は2026-11-06以後、2036は2036-11-06までの一部期間。年次50明細の二重計上禁止。

8
内容を開く
calendar_year
2033
start_inclusive

2033-01-01

end_exclusive

2034-01-01

days
365
view

overlap_allocated_calendar_view_not_extra_valuation_years

uniform_daily_operating_accrual_assumption
はい
売上高
30.668990465
operating_cash_cost_before_ire_sbc_oku
16.991605245
depreciation_oku
9.281095281
finance_expense_oku
8.789563253
parent_profit_after_sbc_oku
-5.108282662
noncash_sbc_equity_credit_oku
0.059977411
cash_capex_oku
23.868986301
cfo_oku
6.297768088
indexation_principal_oku
2.340874146
dividends_all_shareholders_event_dated_oku
0
employee_trust_share_purchase_event_dated_oku
0.069255033
new_primary_equity_net_proceeds_event_dated_oku
11.560669786
old_cohort_cash_receipts_event_dated_oku
0.042051632
change_parent_equity_oku
6.443109502
change_regulatory_style_net_debt_oku
8.420677607
change_adjusted_rcv_oku
13.298645854
calendar_event_dates
内容を開く
1

2033-02-01

2

2033-04-29

3

2033-08-03

4

2033-11-01

注記

2026は2026-11-06以後、2036は2036-11-06までの一部期間。年次50明細の二重計上禁止。

9
内容を開く
calendar_year
2034
start_inclusive

2034-01-01

end_exclusive

2035-01-01

days
365
view

overlap_allocated_calendar_view_not_extra_valuation_years

uniform_daily_operating_accrual_assumption
はい
売上高
31.230860293
operating_cash_cost_before_ire_sbc_oku
17.892160322
depreciation_oku
9.949334141
finance_expense_oku
9.2390894
parent_profit_after_sbc_oku
-6.576472879
noncash_sbc_equity_credit_oku
0.061776732
cash_capex_oku
24.448986301
cfo_oku
5.611058899
indexation_principal_oku
2.460593875
dividends_all_shareholders_event_dated_oku
0
employee_trust_share_purchase_event_dated_oku
0.071332684
new_primary_equity_net_proceeds_event_dated_oku
12.706743324
old_cohort_cash_receipts_event_dated_oku
0.040161152
change_parent_equity_oku
6.120714493
change_regulatory_style_net_debt_oku
8.663110637
change_adjusted_rcv_oku
13.677635021
calendar_event_dates
内容を開く
1

2034-02-01

2

2034-04-28

3

2034-08-03

4

2034-11-01

注記

2026は2026-11-06以後、2036は2036-11-06までの一部期間。年次50明細の二重計上禁止。

10
内容を開く
calendar_year
2035
start_inclusive

2035-01-01

end_exclusive

2036-01-01

days
365
view

overlap_allocated_calendar_view_not_extra_valuation_years

uniform_daily_operating_accrual_assumption
はい
売上高
31.789306178
operating_cash_cost_before_ire_sbc_oku
18.832195533
depreciation_oku
10.660945674
finance_expense_oku
9.697191571
parent_profit_after_sbc_oku
-8.139454653
noncash_sbc_equity_credit_oku
0.063602687
cash_capex_oku
25.018288495
cfo_oku
4.875118956
indexation_principal_oku
2.582597609
dividends_all_shareholders_event_dated_oku
0
employee_trust_share_purchase_event_dated_oku
0.073472665
new_primary_equity_net_proceeds_event_dated_oku
13.901500756
old_cohort_cash_receipts_event_dated_oku
0.03822946
change_parent_equity_oku
5.752176125
change_regulatory_style_net_debt_oku
8.897739057
change_adjusted_rcv_oku
14.053625903
calendar_event_dates
内容を開く
1

2035-02-01

2

2035-04-30

3

2035-08-03

4

2035-11-01

注記

2026は2026-11-06以後、2036は2036-11-06までの一部期間。年次50明細の二重計上禁止。

11
内容を開く
calendar_year
2036
start_inclusive

2036-01-01

end_exclusive

2036-11-06

days
310
view

overlap_allocated_calendar_view_not_extra_valuation_years

uniform_daily_operating_accrual_assumption
はい
売上高
27.353205227
operating_cash_cost_before_ire_sbc_oku
16.667978976
depreciation_oku
9.578401407
finance_expense_oku
8.556400404
parent_profit_after_sbc_oku
-8.084041708
noncash_sbc_equity_credit_oku
0.055256788
cash_capex_oku
21.615300546
cfo_oku
3.574212479
indexation_principal_oku
2.278777217
dividends_all_shareholders_event_dated_oku
0
employee_trust_share_purchase_event_dated_oku
0.075676845
new_primary_equity_net_proceeds_event_dated_oku
15.147370383
old_cohort_cash_receipts_event_dated_oku
0.036288557
change_parent_equity_oku
7.042908618
change_regulatory_style_net_debt_oku
5.248171746
change_adjusted_rcv_oku
12.184230995
calendar_event_dates
内容を開く
1

2036-02-01

2

2036-04-30

3

2036-08-04

4

2036-11-01

注記

2026は2026-11-06以後、2036は2036-11-06までの一部期間。年次50明細の二重計上禁止。

売上高
32.294429397
営業利益
0.577688009
純利益
-9.544384726
equity_oku
111.501357388
期間内の親会社利益合計(億)
-33.925675573
multiple
kind

fcfe_model

why

持続利益、成長のための留保と追加維持投資から導出。

detail
内容を開く
方法

FCFE_gordon_from_normalized_post_SBC_earnings_less_growth_retention_and_uncovered_maintenance_capex

common_nominal_cost_of_equity
0.085
terminal_growth
0.012
normalized_sustainable_ROE_on_economic_reinvested_equity_assumption
0.112
year10_reported_parent_profit_after_sbc_oku
-9.544384726
terminal_normalization_factor
0.87
post_SBC_sustainable_parent_profit_oku
-8.303614712
equity_earnings_retained_for_growth_oku
-0.889673005
incremental_maintenance_capex_above_depreciation_net_recovery_oku
4.513706726
year11_sustainable_distributable_cash_oku
0
terminal_whole_company_value_oku
0
terminal_original_cohort_value_oku
0
treatment

2036-11-06残存旧株主持分。最終年の配当やEBT買付は同日以前のもののみ。2036-11-06後1年間の配当を期間内CFへ前倒ししない。

単位の説明

monetary_company_and_cohort

億GBP(100 million GBP)

ordinary_share_price

GBP/share

stock_exchange_price

GBX (pence); price_gbp=price_gbx/100

株数

number of ordinary shares

probability_and_rates

fraction, 0.085=8.5%

cashflow_time

actual_days_since_2026-11-06/365.25

分析基準とデータ

価格・単価
15.43
株価基準日

2026-11-06

株数
742864028
株価の出所

https://www.londonstockexchange.com/en/quote/equity/UU~/united-utilities-group-plc

株数の出所

https://www.unitedutilities.com/globalassets/z_corporate-site/financial-news-2026/orchid---notification-of-admission-of-further-securities-to-trading-prm-1.6.4r593923535.2.pdf

detail
内容を開く
価格・単価
内容を開く
price_gbp
15.43
price_gbx
1543
株価基準日

2026-11-06

time

16:35 GMT London closing auction

source_id

lse_close

状態

confirmed_close

株数
内容を開く
ordinary_issued
742864028
ordinary_issued_asof_source

2026-05-05; re-verified AGM 2026-07-17

company_treasury_shares_last_confirmed
0
treasury_confirmed_asof_date

2026-05-05

employee_trust_shares_held_on_2026-11-06
未確認
employee_trust_share_balance_known
いいえ
estimated_effective_ordinary_shares_for_valuation
742864028
valuation_denominator_status

dated_proxy; not proven exact as of 2026-11-06; sensitivity to EBT holding and later issue exists

non_economic_deferred_shares_excluded
273956180
pre_issue_ordinary_shares
681888418
added_ordinary_shares_2026_05_05
60975610
sbc_creates_new_issued_shares_in_base_model
いいえ
price_times_effective_shares_oku
114.62391952
issuer_equity_offering_net_proceeds_oku
7.88
source_id

placing

時価総額(億)
114.62391952
market_cap_price_times_share_count_source

direct calculation, not LSE displayed market cap

last_verified_ifrs_financial_reporting_date

2026-03-31

balance_sheet_2026_11_06_status

estimated proxy from audited FY26 + known May placement + August dividend + unreported bridge profits/cash movements

fy26_reported_ifrs
内容を開く
fiscal_year_end

2026-03-31

売上高
26.163
cash_operating_expense_including_sbc_oku
9.783
infrastructure_renewal_expense_oku
0.381
depreciation_and_amortization_oku
5.005
営業利益(億)
10.994
net_finance_expense_oku
3.158
equity_accounted_jv_loss_oku
0.046
profit_before_tax_oku
7.79
tax_expense_oku
1.922
attributable_profit_oku
5.868
親会社持分(億)
22.414
total_equity_oku
22.414
noncontrolling_interest_oku
0
cash_and_equivalents_oku
17.943
current_borrowings_oku
1.649
non_current_borrowings_oku
113.257
gross_borrowings_oku
114.906
regulatory_net_debt_oku
99.43
ifrs_net_debt_reported_oku
96.58
adjusted_rcv_oku
165.27
capital_investment_regulatory_oku
15.251
ppe_cash_purchases_oku
14.921
reported_cfo_oku
13.819
equity_settled_sbc_charge_oku
0.045
employee_share_purchases_for_options_oku
0.058
paid_dividends_oku
3.576
dividends_per_share_pence
53.66
interim_paid_pence
17.88
final_paid_pence
35.78
historical_revenue_by_service_oku
内容を開く
wholesale_clean_water
10.739
wholesale_wastewater
13.626
household_retail
1.36
other
0.438
asof_2026_11_06_estimates
内容を開く
ordinary_parent_equity_oku
31.114445052
net_debt_regulatory_style_oku
98.896678235
adjusted_rcv_oku
173.242046575
net_debt_over_rcv
0.570858404
状態

model_proxy_not_disclosed_balance_sheet; Sep 2026 court fine assumed recognized and cash-paid

bridge_from_fy2026_year_end
内容を開く
period

2026-04-01 to 2026-11-06

days
220
状態

推計・代理値。2026年9月末中間決算は11月12日発表予定のため2026-11-06時点で利用不可

from_2026_03_31
内容を開く
親会社持分(億)
22.414
regulatory_net_debt_oku
99.43
adjusted_rcv_oku
165.27
ordinary_shares
681888418
verified_event_2026_05_05
内容を開く
new_ordinary_shares
60975610
price_gbp
13.12
gross_proceeds_oku
8
net_proceeds_oku
7.88
post_issue_ordinary_shares
742864028
company_treasury_shares
0
last_verified_count_date

2026-07-17

verified_final_dividend_paid_2026_08_03
内容を開く
cash_outflow_oku
2.657967492
per_share_gbp
0.3578
ex_date

2026-06-25

from_march_equity_dividend_liability

2026-03-31未認識。会社決算注記9に従い承認後に控除

assumed_profit_before_september_court_fine_oku
3.495890411
recognized_september_2026_court_fine_assumed_paid_oku
0.00964225
assumed_profit_after_court_fine_oku
3.486248161
court_fine_cash_settlement_unverified
はい
assumed_equity_sbc_credit_oku
0.027123288
assumed_employee_share_market_purchases_oku
0.034958904
assumed_OCI_oku
0
assumed_capex_cash_oku
12.054794521
assumed_depreciation_oku
3.315068493
assumed_indexation_oku
0.560547945
assumed_deferred_tax_noncash_oku
0.693150685
assumed_working_capital_cash_deduction_oku
0.120547945
assumed_cfo_oku
7.971232877
estimated_as_of_parent_equity_oku
31.114445052
estimated_as_of_regulatory_style_net_debt_oku
98.896678235
estimated_as_of_adjusted_rcv_oku
173.242046575
estimated_as_of_issued_ordinary_shares
742864028
estimated_as_of_treasury_shares
0
employee_trust_ordinary_shares_as_of
未確認
old_cohort_model_initial_shares
742864028
audit_equity_residual_oku
0
audit_debt_residual_oku
0
warning

FY2027途中の実績ではない。投資CFと資本の整合はモデル仮定内に限る。2026-09-08確定罰金の支払日は不明のため基準日までに現金決済したと仮定。社員信託の正確な基準日保有株数は未確認。

share_count_sensitivity
内容を開く
employee_trust_held_shares_unverified
未確認
illustrative_unverified_employee_trust_shares
1000000
illustrative_outstanding_if_1m_treasury_equivalent_were_excluded
741864028
market_cap_difference_oku_for_1m_share_denominator_change
0.1543
注記

EBTを会社自己株と同じ会計・株式市場フリーフロート控除扱いにできるかは信託保有時点・連結構成に依存。1m株は事実ではなく感応度。

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分析に使用した資料

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