株譜

AI 銘柄分析 · 10年

United Utilities Group PLC

UU. · GBP · 分析基準日 2026-11-06

{ "title": "規制RCVは現金ではない。AMP8の料金・設備更新の成果と高投資負担を旧株主持分に反映", "rating": "valuation_derived_not_price_target", "quoted_price_gbp": 15.43, "scenario_expected_present_value_oku": 83.013637241, "scenario_expected_value_per_initial_share_gbp": 11.174809132, "expected_value_to_market_price": 0.724226127, "expected_10y_money_weighted_IRR": 0.044169078, "as_of_book_equity_status": "proxy", "core_uncertainty": "規制リオープナー最終決定と今後のPR29料金、更新・成長投資の回収、インフレリンク債、2026-11-06信託株数" }

10年期待年率4.42%
資本コスト8.50%
直近終値15.43 GBP2026-11-06

AIによるシナリオ分析です。基準日以降の出来事、株価や為替の変化は個別に確認が必要です。各数値は元の分析の単位と前提に従います。

分析の要約

株価15.43 GBP・2026-11-06基準。2026年5月発行済普通株742,864,028株を代理値に使用し、基準日の従業員信託残高は未確認。将来配当・増資は予測で、想定イベント日以降は再分析が必要。サイトの終価割引は10年固定(実日数3653/365.25の約10.00137年との差は近似)。
分析基準日2026-11-06。株数は2026年5月5日の増資後の発行株数を代理値として使用し、当日の従業員信託保有株数は未確認。未宣言の配当額と権利落ち日は予測。予測イベント到来後は再分析が必要。
{
"investment_thesis": "北西イングランドで規制された水道・下水サービスを提供する必需事業。PR24により投資・料金回収の可視性は上がったが、支出超過、ODI、環境義務、資本希薄化が普通株の真の価値を左右する。",
"financing": "2026-05-05調達のネット£788mは基準日前の既実施資本流入。以後の調達はシナリオ仮定。",
"income_quality": "FY2026連結親会社利益はIFRS £586.8m。SBC £4.5mは費用のまま。FY2026 underlying EPSは会計見積変更・インフラ更新の資産計上による押上げがあるため永久利益に無修正で乗じない。",
"dividend_timing": "2026-08-03支払最終配当は基準日前に全額消化済み。2027-02-01次回予定は配当額未確定のためシナリオ予測。2026-12-17除権予定は配当宣言確認済みのex_dateとは区別。",
"regulatory_vs_ifrs": "RCVは規制料金・減価償却・許容リターン計算に用いる資産価値で株主現金でない。IFRS equity, net financial debt, regulatory gearing, RCVを同一金額として換算しない。",
"highest_priority_checks": [
"2026年11月6日実効普通株数(従業員信託残高・5月以降の新株)",
"2026年9月末未公表中間財務の実際の純負債・IFRS親会社資本",
"2026年12月Ofwatリオープナー最終結論",
"環境罰金・係争/投資義務・IFRSの引当計上時点",
"2030年以降PR29の新料金収益認定"
]
}

事業

geography

England North West

customer_base

約800万人/人口ベースの生活基盤

core

United Utilities Water Ltdの水道・下水卸売と家計小売

revenue_sources
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1

水道卸売の規制料金

2

下水卸売の規制料金

3

家庭向けリテール料金

4

その他接続・工事関連収入

economic_characteristics

安定した顧客需要、長寿命資産、投資/料金はOfwat規制、環境処理性能を満たさないとODI減額・違反制裁。料金請求権はRCVが換金できることを意味しない。

regulatory_periods
1

AMP8 2025-04-01 to 2030-03-31

2

AMP9 2030-04-01 to 2035-03-31: future PR29 price control terms assumed not yet confirmed

3

AMP10 2035-04-01 onward: entirely forecast

allowed_revenue_mechanics

PR24を起点にallowed returns on nominalized RCV, RCV run-off, totex allowances, inflation, regulatory adjustments and ODIs; not all spending becomes RCV automatically.

inflation_linked_debt

FY26管理上RPI-linked債務エクスポージャ約£3.2bn、CPI/CPIH約£1.4bn。債務元本のインデクセーションは現金利払いと区別。FY26 EIR推計法変更が実績会計に影響。

competitive_position

地域独占型の管路インフラ、ネットワーク規模と水処理専門性。ただし顧客移転による競争ではなく、競争的調達、Ofwat効率比較、債券投資家の審査が規律する。

競争力・事業の質

sector_stability_score_0_to_5
4.1
regulatory_visibility_score_0_to_5
3.4
financial_flexibility_score_0_to_5
2.7
governance_and_environment_score_0_to_5
2.2
return_on_equity_caution

IFRS book equity is small relative to large long-lived RCV / debt financing. IFRS PAT/book equity is not a valid uncontested sustainable economic return or terminal market P/B anchor.

environmental_performance

FY26 storm spills declined 23% YoY, internal sewer flooding 42% down, but Ofwat estimate FY26 net ODI penalty ~£35m; future improvement targets binding.

enforcement_asof
verified_2026_09_08_fine_oku
0.009
fine_legal_surcharge_total_oku
0.00964225
further_ofwat_environment_investigation

未確定の追加罰金額は特定不能。モデルではシナリオ期待負担として費用計上;実際の確定負債ではない。

accounting_quality

FY2026 IRE capitalisation and debt EIR methodology change affected underlying comparability; forecast IFRS profit explicitly contains employee SBC expense and noncash bond indexation.

業界と環境

regulator

Ofwat (UK water England/Wales)

price_review

PR24 final December 2024, 2025-30

allowed_appointee_WACC_CPIH_real
0.0403
regulatory_notional_debt_fraction
0.55
ofwat_pr24_total_TOTEX_allowance_oku
130
company_new_AMP8_capital_investment_guidance_oku
115
FY2027_company_capital_investment_guidance_oku
20
2026_cost_change_DRAFT_in_2022_23_prices_oku
9.58
2026_company_cost_change_response_in_2022_23_prices_oku
10.26
management_incremental_reopener_AMP8_capex_oku
25
cost_change_final_decision_due

2026-12 (after valuation cutoff; not assumed approved)

environmental_PR24_targets
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storm_overflows_spill_reduction
0.33
pollution_incidents_reduction
0.3
leakage_reduction
0.13
internal_sewer_flooding_reduction
0.4
water_quality_contacts_reduction
0.34
risk_drivers
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1

PR29再設定と利回り低下

2

RPI/CPIHと規制料金回収ラグ

3

設備建設コストとサプライチェーン

4

過剰流出や河川環境規制/罰金

5

資本増資と配当制限

6

定率維持投資と資産劣化

7

Water Plus事業持分損失・保証

財務・資本配分

latest_financials_source

fy26_preliminary

latest_audited_report_disclosed

2026-06-24 FY26 full report; exact detailed re-audit of preliminary table uncompleted

fy2026_as_reported
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fiscal_year_end

2026-03-31

売上高
26.163
cash_operating_expense_including_sbc_oku
9.783
infrastructure_renewal_expense_oku
0.381
depreciation_and_amortization_oku
5.005
営業利益(億)
10.994
net_finance_expense_oku
3.158
equity_accounted_jv_loss_oku
0.046
profit_before_tax_oku
7.79
tax_expense_oku
1.922
attributable_profit_oku
5.868
親会社持分(億)
22.414
total_equity_oku
22.414
noncontrolling_interest_oku
0
cash_and_equivalents_oku
17.943
current_borrowings_oku
1.649
non_current_borrowings_oku
113.257
gross_borrowings_oku
114.906
regulatory_net_debt_oku
99.43
ifrs_net_debt_reported_oku
96.58
adjusted_rcv_oku
165.27
capital_investment_regulatory_oku
15.251
ppe_cash_purchases_oku
14.921
reported_cfo_oku
13.819
equity_settled_sbc_charge_oku
0.045
employee_share_purchases_for_options_oku
0.058
paid_dividends_oku
3.576
dividends_per_share_pence
53.66
interim_paid_pence
17.88
final_paid_pence
35.78
historical_revenue_by_service_oku
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wholesale_clean_water
10.739
wholesale_wastewater
13.626
household_retail
1.36
other
0.438
FY2026_equity_changes_oku
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opening_2025_03_31
19.999
attributable_pat_after_sbc
5.868
other_comprehensive_income
0.132
dividends_paid
-3.576
sbc_equity_settled_credit
0.045
shares_bought_for_options_market
-0.058
share_forfeiture_receipts
0.004
ending_2026_03_31
22.414
check_residual
0
reported_2026_March_balance_sheet
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ifrs_book_equity_oku
22.414
noncontrolling_interest_oku
0
gross_borrowings_oku
114.906
cash_and_equivalents_oku
17.943
simple_gross_borrowings_minus_cash_oku
96.963
reported_IFRS_net_debt_oku
96.58
management_rcv_gearing_debt_oku
99.43
adjusted_rcv_oku
165.27
regulatory_gearing
0.601621589
reported_income_statement_tax_oku
1.922
loan_and_hedge_fair_value_reconciliation_not_fully_traceable
はい
warning

IFRS net debt, debt less cash, and regulatory net debt follow different definitions. No automatic substitution.

ordinary_and_deferred_share_structure
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ordinary_as_of_2026_05_05
742864028
deferred_share_class_count
273956180
deferred_share_class_not_valued_as_ordinary
はい
shares_in_employee_trust_at_2026_11_06
未確認
company_treasury_as_of_2026_05_05
0
dividend_history_and_cutoff
1
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period

FY2025/26 interim

per_share_pence
17.88
ex_date

2025-12-18

payment_date

2026-02-02

after_valuation_cutoff
いいえ
included_forecast_CF
いいえ
2
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period

FY2025/26 final

per_share_pence
35.78
ex_date

2026-06-25

payment_date

2026-08-03

after_valuation_cutoff
いいえ
included_forecast_CF
いいえ
3
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period

FY2026/27 interim

per_share_pence
未確認
ex_date
未確認
scheduled_ex_date

2026-12-17

scheduled_payment_date

2027-02-01

after_valuation_cutoff
はい
included_forecast_CF

amount estimated in all five cases

buyback_policy_and_sbc

No ordinary corporate share repurchase forecast. Employee benefit trust historically buys issued shares on market to satisfy equity awards. Share purchase is company cash outflow and transfer can dilute original holders without company share cancellation. IFRS2 expense remains in profit and noncash equity credit reverses expense in statement of changes in equity.

2026_11_06_opening_proxy_bridge
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period

2026-04-01 to 2026-11-06

days
220
状態

推計・代理値。2026年9月末中間決算は11月12日発表予定のため2026-11-06時点で利用不可

from_2026_03_31
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親会社持分(億)
22.414
regulatory_net_debt_oku
99.43
adjusted_rcv_oku
165.27
ordinary_shares
681888418
verified_event_2026_05_05
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new_ordinary_shares
60975610
price_gbp
13.12
gross_proceeds_oku
8
net_proceeds_oku
7.88
post_issue_ordinary_shares
742864028
company_treasury_shares
0
last_verified_count_date

2026-07-17

verified_final_dividend_paid_2026_08_03
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cash_outflow_oku
2.657967492
per_share_gbp
0.3578
ex_date

2026-06-25

from_march_equity_dividend_liability

2026-03-31未認識。会社決算注記9に従い承認後に控除

assumed_profit_before_september_court_fine_oku
3.495890411
recognized_september_2026_court_fine_assumed_paid_oku
0.00964225
assumed_profit_after_court_fine_oku
3.486248161
court_fine_cash_settlement_unverified
はい
assumed_equity_sbc_credit_oku
0.027123288
assumed_employee_share_market_purchases_oku
0.034958904
assumed_OCI_oku
0
assumed_capex_cash_oku
12.054794521
assumed_depreciation_oku
3.315068493
assumed_indexation_oku
0.560547945
assumed_deferred_tax_noncash_oku
0.693150685
assumed_working_capital_cash_deduction_oku
0.120547945
assumed_cfo_oku
7.971232877
estimated_as_of_parent_equity_oku
31.114445052
estimated_as_of_regulatory_style_net_debt_oku
98.896678235
estimated_as_of_adjusted_rcv_oku
173.242046575
estimated_as_of_issued_ordinary_shares
742864028
estimated_as_of_treasury_shares
0
employee_trust_ordinary_shares_as_of
未確認
old_cohort_model_initial_shares
742864028
audit_equity_residual_oku
0
audit_debt_residual_oku
0
warning

FY2027途中の実績ではない。投資CFと資本の整合はモデル仮定内に限る。2026-09-08確定罰金の支払日は不明のため基準日までに現金決済したと仮定。社員信託の正確な基準日保有株数は未確認。

model_principal_indexation_vs_cash_interest

Each modeled period accounts IFRS finance expense as cash interest + noncash inflation-linked principal indexation, adds noncash finance to CFO, and separately increases debt principal. Forecast nominalized cash cost not directly pegged to Ofwat CPIH-real allowance.

future_primary_issuance_policy

If regulatory-style debt/RCV ratio exceeds 65%, hypothetical outside funding moves to 62-63% target as set by scenario, issued on November 1 of each anniversary year. Proceeds recognized in company equity and lower net debt, shares issued to non-cohort investors; zero cash payment by old cohort.

評価の前提と確認

quoted_P_E_not_used
はい
quoted_P_B_not_used
はい
RCV_minus_debt_not_equated_to_equity_share_value
はい
terminal_method

Discount future share-cohort dividends and proportional employee-trust tender proceeds; whole-company terminal FCFE derived from post-SBC sustainable PAT, retention for economic growth, uncovered maintenance capex, k and g; multiply by original cohort surviving shares / future ordinary issued; discount terminal at exact anniversary day count.

terminal_valuation_equations
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1

PAT_t = gross_regulatory_revenue - ODI - cash_opex - IRE - depreciation - SBC - environmental_fines - (cash_interest+noncash_indexation) - JVloss - IFRS_tax

2

FCFE_sustainable = max(0, PAT_normalized*(1 - g/normalized_economic_equity_ROE) - max(0, maintenance_capex - depreciation - maintenance_funding_recovery))

3

V_whole_2036_11_06 = FCFE_sustainable*(1+g)/(k-g)

4

V_old_2036_11_06 = V_whole_2036_11_06 * (remaining_original_cohort_shares / issued_ordinary_shares)

5

PV_old = sum(event.amount/(1+k)^((date-2026-11-06)/365.25)) + V_old/(1+k)^((2036-11-06 - 2026-11-06)/365.25)

6

IRR = root PV_old(IRR) - initial_cohort_purchase_cost_oku = 0

no_cash_added_for_non_cash_sbc
はい
historical_aug_2026_final_not_in_future_receipts
はい
all_5_scenarios_use_same_nominal_k
0.085
valuation_horizon_days
3653
year_count

actual days / 365.25; 2036-11-06 corresponds to 3653/365.25 years, not 10 exactly under convention

reinvestment_and_maintenance_policy

Terminal profit is AFTER routine operating costs, depreciation, SBC and financing. Deduct additional maintenance cash capex not supported by depreciation or explicit maintenance recovery separately; retain equity for terminal growth to avoid assuming growth without funds.

price_sensitivity_base_case
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1
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資本コスト
7.50%
g
0.02
old_holder_PV_oku
102.356585657
per_initial_share_gbp
13.778643439
2
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資本コスト
7.50%
g
0.025
old_holder_PV_oku
106.532515484
per_initial_share_gbp
14.340782629
3
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資本コスト
7.50%
g
0.03
old_holder_PV_oku
111.602777665
per_initial_share_gbp
15.023311597
4
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資本コスト
8.50%
g
0.02
old_holder_PV_oku
85.149822611
per_initial_share_gbp
11.462369882
5
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資本コスト
8.50%
g
0.025
old_holder_PV_oku
87.514681672
per_initial_share_gbp
11.780713344
6
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資本コスト
8.50%
g
0.03
old_holder_PV_oku
90.284416874
per_initial_share_gbp
12.153558857
7
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資本コスト
9.50%
g
0.02
old_holder_PV_oku
72.680717698
per_initial_share_gbp
9.783852086
8
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資本コスト
9.50%
g
0.025
old_holder_PV_oku
74.067074135
per_initial_share_gbp
9.970475261
9
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資本コスト
9.50%
g
0.03
old_holder_PV_oku
75.647341111
per_initial_share_gbp
10.183201536
limitations
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1

annual trust share movements not disclosed as of 2026-11-06

2

severe scenario could trigger dividends restrictions not contractually modeled

3

no access to full audited FY26 annual report pages for reconciliation beyond preliminary report

4

10-year regulatory and capital expenditures highly forecast-dependent

5

not a guarantee of Ofwat reopeners or permitted shareholder distributions

資本コストの前提

資本コスト
8.50%
basis

nominal GBP shareholder equity hurdle, fixed across five scenarios; Ofwat CPIH-real WACC 4.03% is a regulated asset allowance, not equity discount rate

k_policy

Based on 5.1% CPIH-real regulatory allowed CoE compounded with 3.0% CPIH => 8.253%, plus approximate 0.25pp company funding / environment / governance buffer rounded to 8.5%. Neither a quoted market PER nor implied PBR.

allowed_regulated_cost_of_equity_CPIH_real
0.051
regulated_appointee_allowed_WACC_CPIH_real
0.0403
notional_gearing_ofwat
0.55
inflation_for_k_bridge
0.03
cpi_nominalized_roe_reference
0.08253
additional_company_specific_risk_premium
0.00247

事業別データ

1
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ifrs_segment

Unified United Utilities Group, one IFRS 8 reportable segment

fy2026_reported_revenue_oku
26.163
reported_operating_profit_oku
10.994
source_id

fy26_preliminary

services
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1
service

wholesale water

売上高
10.739
pct
0.410465161
2
service

wholesale wastewater

売上高
13.626
pct
0.520811834
3
service

household retail

売上高
1.36
pct
0.051981806
4
service

other

売上高
0.438
pct
0.016741199
source_note

Service items are IFRS15 revenue disaggregation, not distinct IFRS operating segments. No fabricated segment operating profits.

10年のシナリオ

シナリオごとの確率、期間内の株主還元・追加負担、終価です。金額は億GBP。株主の範囲や受取時点は各分析の前提を確認してください。

シナリオ確率株主還元・追加負担終価
非常に強気10.0%49.85331.05
強気20.0%48.94223.68
標準40.0%47.81125.83
弱気20.0%24.120.00
深刻な下方10.0%2.270.00

非常に強気(確率 10.0%)

追加投資が効率的に規制収益化され、損失・ODIが小さい。

確率の根拠

将来の規制・設備投資・資金調達を考慮した分析上の仮定。

このシナリオの数値・キャッシュフローを開く →

強気(確率 20.0%)

料金・支出効率が良好でODI負担が縮小。

確率の根拠

将来の規制・設備投資・資金調達を考慮した分析上の仮定。

このシナリオの数値・キャッシュフローを開く →

標準(確率 40.0%)

AMP8の大部分が進捗、許容利益の回収と効率改善が進むが維持投資負担が残る。

確率の根拠

将来の規制・設備投資・資金調達を考慮した分析上の仮定。

このシナリオの数値・キャッシュフローを開く →

弱気(確率 20.0%)

料金回収の遅れ、環境ODI損失と資金調達コスト増。

確率の根拠

将来の規制・設備投資・資金調達を考慮した分析上の仮定。

このシナリオの数値・キャッシュフローを開く →

深刻な下方(確率 10.0%)

規制不達・環境制裁と建設超過。資金不足を増資で補填。

確率の根拠

将来の規制・設備投資・資金調達を考慮した分析上の仮定。

このシナリオの数値・キャッシュフローを開く →

単位の説明

monetary_company_and_cohort

億GBP(100 million GBP)

ordinary_share_price

GBP/share

stock_exchange_price

GBX (pence); price_gbp=price_gbx/100

株数

number of ordinary shares

probability_and_rates

fraction, 0.085=8.5%

cashflow_time

actual_days_since_2026-11-06/365.25

分析基準とデータ

価格・単価
15.43
株価基準日

2026-11-06

株数
742864028
株価の出所

https://www.londonstockexchange.com/en/quote/equity/UU~/united-utilities-group-plc

株数の出所

https://www.unitedutilities.com/globalassets/z_corporate-site/financial-news-2026/orchid---notification-of-admission-of-further-securities-to-trading-prm-1.6.4r593923535.2.pdf

detail
内容を開く
価格・単価
内容を開く
price_gbp
15.43
price_gbx
1543
株価基準日

2026-11-06

time

16:35 GMT London closing auction

source_id

lse_close

状態

confirmed_close

株数
内容を開く
ordinary_issued
742864028
ordinary_issued_asof_source

2026-05-05; re-verified AGM 2026-07-17

company_treasury_shares_last_confirmed
0
treasury_confirmed_asof_date

2026-05-05

employee_trust_shares_held_on_2026-11-06
未確認
employee_trust_share_balance_known
いいえ
estimated_effective_ordinary_shares_for_valuation
742864028
valuation_denominator_status

dated_proxy; not proven exact as of 2026-11-06; sensitivity to EBT holding and later issue exists

non_economic_deferred_shares_excluded
273956180
pre_issue_ordinary_shares
681888418
added_ordinary_shares_2026_05_05
60975610
sbc_creates_new_issued_shares_in_base_model
いいえ
price_times_effective_shares_oku
114.62391952
issuer_equity_offering_net_proceeds_oku
7.88
source_id

placing

時価総額(億)
114.62391952
market_cap_price_times_share_count_source

direct calculation, not LSE displayed market cap

last_verified_ifrs_financial_reporting_date

2026-03-31

balance_sheet_2026_11_06_status

estimated proxy from audited FY26 + known May placement + August dividend + unreported bridge profits/cash movements

fy26_reported_ifrs
内容を開く
fiscal_year_end

2026-03-31

売上高
26.163
cash_operating_expense_including_sbc_oku
9.783
infrastructure_renewal_expense_oku
0.381
depreciation_and_amortization_oku
5.005
営業利益(億)
10.994
net_finance_expense_oku
3.158
equity_accounted_jv_loss_oku
0.046
profit_before_tax_oku
7.79
tax_expense_oku
1.922
attributable_profit_oku
5.868
親会社持分(億)
22.414
total_equity_oku
22.414
noncontrolling_interest_oku
0
cash_and_equivalents_oku
17.943
current_borrowings_oku
1.649
non_current_borrowings_oku
113.257
gross_borrowings_oku
114.906
regulatory_net_debt_oku
99.43
ifrs_net_debt_reported_oku
96.58
adjusted_rcv_oku
165.27
capital_investment_regulatory_oku
15.251
ppe_cash_purchases_oku
14.921
reported_cfo_oku
13.819
equity_settled_sbc_charge_oku
0.045
employee_share_purchases_for_options_oku
0.058
paid_dividends_oku
3.576
dividends_per_share_pence
53.66
interim_paid_pence
17.88
final_paid_pence
35.78
historical_revenue_by_service_oku
内容を開く
wholesale_clean_water
10.739
wholesale_wastewater
13.626
household_retail
1.36
other
0.438
asof_2026_11_06_estimates
内容を開く
ordinary_parent_equity_oku
31.114445052
net_debt_regulatory_style_oku
98.896678235
adjusted_rcv_oku
173.242046575
net_debt_over_rcv
0.570858404
状態

model_proxy_not_disclosed_balance_sheet; Sep 2026 court fine assumed recognized and cash-paid

bridge_from_fy2026_year_end
内容を開く
period

2026-04-01 to 2026-11-06

days
220
状態

推計・代理値。2026年9月末中間決算は11月12日発表予定のため2026-11-06時点で利用不可

from_2026_03_31
内容を開く
親会社持分(億)
22.414
regulatory_net_debt_oku
99.43
adjusted_rcv_oku
165.27
ordinary_shares
681888418
verified_event_2026_05_05
内容を開く
new_ordinary_shares
60975610
price_gbp
13.12
gross_proceeds_oku
8
net_proceeds_oku
7.88
post_issue_ordinary_shares
742864028
company_treasury_shares
0
last_verified_count_date

2026-07-17

verified_final_dividend_paid_2026_08_03
内容を開く
cash_outflow_oku
2.657967492
per_share_gbp
0.3578
ex_date

2026-06-25

from_march_equity_dividend_liability

2026-03-31未認識。会社決算注記9に従い承認後に控除

assumed_profit_before_september_court_fine_oku
3.495890411
recognized_september_2026_court_fine_assumed_paid_oku
0.00964225
assumed_profit_after_court_fine_oku
3.486248161
court_fine_cash_settlement_unverified
はい
assumed_equity_sbc_credit_oku
0.027123288
assumed_employee_share_market_purchases_oku
0.034958904
assumed_OCI_oku
0
assumed_capex_cash_oku
12.054794521
assumed_depreciation_oku
3.315068493
assumed_indexation_oku
0.560547945
assumed_deferred_tax_noncash_oku
0.693150685
assumed_working_capital_cash_deduction_oku
0.120547945
assumed_cfo_oku
7.971232877
estimated_as_of_parent_equity_oku
31.114445052
estimated_as_of_regulatory_style_net_debt_oku
98.896678235
estimated_as_of_adjusted_rcv_oku
173.242046575
estimated_as_of_issued_ordinary_shares
742864028
estimated_as_of_treasury_shares
0
employee_trust_ordinary_shares_as_of
未確認
old_cohort_model_initial_shares
742864028
audit_equity_residual_oku
0
audit_debt_residual_oku
0
warning

FY2027途中の実績ではない。投資CFと資本の整合はモデル仮定内に限る。2026-09-08確定罰金の支払日は不明のため基準日までに現金決済したと仮定。社員信託の正確な基準日保有株数は未確認。

share_count_sensitivity
内容を開く
employee_trust_held_shares_unverified
未確認
illustrative_unverified_employee_trust_shares
1000000
illustrative_outstanding_if_1m_treasury_equivalent_were_excluded
741864028
market_cap_difference_oku_for_1m_share_denominator_change
0.1543
注記

EBTを会社自己株と同じ会計・株式市場フリーフロート控除扱いにできるかは信託保有時点・連結構成に依存。1m株は事実ではなく感応度。

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分析に使用した資料

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